41:14 21 73 82-33 this is the card number oleksandr doroshenko p. oleksandr , we hope that we get good feedback from our viewers who always support the defenders. in kharkiv oblast, we are aware of the situation in the lyman direction in the crimea region, and it is not excluded that it will return to this direction. defense minister oleksiy reznikov stated that on the anniversary of the invasion, russia may launch an offensive on two directions, but we will talk about it after the economic news with andriy yanivskyi, which as usual starts at eight o'clock in the morning on our channel, we pass the floor to andriy andriy yanitsky with economic news on

the espresso tv channel, as usual on weekdays at 8 o'clock, you can also watch us on the internet, not only on tv and leave your comments, i will definitely look at these comments after the program and respond to all the comments that were on the topic, send a link to youtube broadcast with your friends and family, let them also know the truth today we have big topic, we are talking about russia and energy sanctions against russia, we are visiting boris dodonov, head of the energy center for energy and climate research, i am afraid to make a mistake in the name casey , others, e-e, hello, boris, good evening. so, we are talking about russia and oil and gas. e for at the beginning, let's form a general picture like this what does oil and gas mean for russia in general means that oil and gas come from oil and gas are key for

the russian budget according to the estimates of the international energy agency, the most authoritative body of the international organization in in the field of energy before the invasion oil and gas revenues made up 45 % of this russian federal budget at the beginning of the invasion these revenues even increased before russia classified further in fact the most apt comparison is margaret's expression when she compared the soviet unions called it a gas station this is the definition of a full measure applies to today's russia if gas prices are high then everything is good for the economy only prices only prices are falling revenues from naftogaz exports are falling starts in

the country 25 years in russia now we have was interrupted and the lights were turned off, we understand the conditions under which we work, but something immediately resumed the price of marzipadena in russia , except for the last one this year, a recession began you say that there are such huge revenues from oil and gas, and the population of russia , well, especially in the hinterland lives, well, not very well

. super-high incomes, ordinary russians live so poorly, in june they should thank their president, he has such huge incomes, and these are the largest exporters of gas and oil and oil in the world, but all these incomes are distributed among a narrow circle of people. first of all, putin's friends in st. petersburg, whom he put at the head of russian state companies, we all then saw, er , they were arrested on senchin's yacht, their heads are broken, we know what a chic lifestyle mr. miller leads, at the same time, ordinary russians received only crumbs

from this too much gas income separately, a large part of the oil and gas income was sent to the army, but thanks to the issues of corruption in russia, happiness continued for ukraine. it was all stolen and these funds did not come mainly for what they were, and corruption in russia is our ally and those who are fighting corruption in russia are actually harming the ukrainian army. i hope that we will defeat them not only because there is corruption, but also because we have a better army and a more motivated one. but if we go back to russia itself, to their political system, whether it seems to me or not, perhaps you will refute my opinion that control over gas and oil production is in the hands of the state in the hands of putin's clan, it

also leads to control over political life, that is, if there was liberalization economic, if different european and american companies were engaged in the extraction of these minerals, then it is possible that political life was also more competitive and democratic , it is possible that it is so. itself and control over oil and gas production at the center of this system, it all started with the defeat of newcastle and practically the entire secretariat of pederkovsky's assets in 2004, then the same russia nationalized, later pavel abramovich made an offer that he could not refuse and he was forced to give his seven days, eh, now it's all the same and this is

the tnk company, which was private, it also came under the control of state-owned state-owned companies, we are a state-owned gas company even those headed by putin's friends and his former associates, pure economists, also talk about such a thing as the dutch disease, that is, when some e sector of mineral extraction develops. and all the others sectors of the economy are not developing, because why develop something else? i don’t know processing in the agricultural sector or some industry when there is enough money from oil and gas, something similar. it did not develop on them , it now occupies a very small small share in the structure of gdp, while the main one

, after all, is the extractive industry, it is not only naftogaz, it is also coal, diamonds vs. which will also happen stations that they are not fully introduced, in fact , all these high-tech areas in russia did not develop queues, there was an attempt to create there the very word, it was there again, everything was thanks to corruption, embezzlement, even nothing was wrong to create and we could not, we said that gas production well control over gas and oil production became a tool in the internal political struggle for russians, but if you look at the situation in the world , the export of e-e gas and oil was also a tool of both internal and external political struggle, that is, it was not so much about business as about some geopolitical whims of the kremlin, could you give examples when russia

successfully or successfully used this tool in the external arena ? yes , this applies to both oil and gas . separately exempted in fact from such taxation as oil oil had a high progressive school when eastern all over all over us profits from oil exports starting if a cow there is a little more than there 35 dollars take them were actually expropriated to the federal budget at the same time as russia was building gas pipelines that did not make any economic sense, this applies to inord stream mord stream 2, in fact, these favors even according to the estimates of russian economists they 23-2 never existed and the turkish stream they were never purchasable these were purely

geopolitical projects and russia tried to use it as an energy weapon after the invasion of ukraine. it was used when russia sharply reduced gas supplies from us to the eu. of the beginning of the repetition but already when the stream number was stopped in fact it was a reduction of eight times eight times and to the military level when yes europe was able to resist this we will talk about it separately about europe and russia but i would like to add that you said that it was not profitable perhaps for the russian budget, but it was definitely quite profitable for the contracting companies that built these gas pipelines, because i think there was also corruption there, and such gas pipelines are once again built by people from the entourage of the russian president, and if we mention the

situations when russia managed to bring other countries under its control, belarus comes to mind, which actually became dependent on e-e russian oil , since oil processing in belarus is precisely the source of income for the belarusian budget , or if we take armenia, where russia controls the supply of russian of gas, perhaps you can recall some other stories. ukraine fought back against this pressure already after the overthrow of the yanukovych regime in international courts, what happened to moldova, is moldova a dependency of which european countries which are more dependent which are less dependent on supplies of russian energy carriers yes moldova is moldova is quite strong dependent they created this no they did not break this chain like ukraine in fact there is a scheme that is uncontrolled uncontrolled by the government of moldova

transnistria produces electricity we lend to moldova at market prices it produces from russian gas and does not settle with gazprom gazprom - all this puts all the thresholds on the young man and blackmails him by cutting off gas, but moldova has already been able to connect to conclude new ones as well like ukraine, it followed the reverse path, supplied gas from europe to it, now emergency agreements can supply gas both from ukraine and from romania, and now, seeing this, gazprom has already reduced the level of blackmail and moldova has extremely liquefied gas, and they were some of the first and refused to purchase russian blue fuel, while the countries, especially

those that are landlocked, still receive a significant share of gas from russia, but their dependence is already falling even after the basic war, and thanks to this , they can already receive money from their neighbors in the reverse mode, the interconnector. as i understand this combination, two pipeline systems were combined in order to be able to simply transfer volumes of gas from well, for example , from norway to poland or through polish territory, that is, the system was combined so that the gas could be transferred to me could be transported both in reverse and reverse modes and countries could pump gas from one european country to

europe and the other side on the eve of this winter. we saw such propaganda russian videos where they depicted such freezing europe moreover, in the video there were actually russian cities but they pretended that it was a european one and now winter has already passed, in fact, there is not one month left and we see that europe has not frozen and maybe the tariffs have increased for europeans maybe they are not very satisfied with this, that they have to pay more bills but disasters did not happen. how was europe able to achieve this? you said about the lg terminals , that is, about the terminals for the supply of liquefied gas. they said about the interconnector that allowed the transfer of gas volumes from one european country in other e-e, in different routes, some other measures may have been applied regarding, for example, energy efficiency or nuclear energy, which may have replaced e-e

energy of thermal power plants, maybe there were some other steps, yes, first of all, it was a change when russia suddenly europe has been able to increase the volume of imports of liquefied natural gas, and norway has increased gas supplies to russia . europe has adopted a plan to germany sooner . by the way, sorry, norway has increased gas supplies to europe. pipeline gas plus e-e decision natural gas and the usa qatar other countries also in ukraine adopted a plan to limit the demand for natural gas it was achieved both thanks to energy efficiency and the transition to other types of fuel europe cares a lot about the climate it increased the share of coal generation gas generation was

replaced by a free one, energy efficiency measures were also implemented, there were measures regarding the mandatory injection of gas into storage facilities, and now europe has a record volume of gas in its storage facilities , and prices have already begun to decrease sharply during in the last two weeks that in the third quarter they set 2,000 exceeded even two two thousand dollars for 2,000 cubic meters now they have already fallen below another 800 and broken contracts already in a year it should fall twice more already now on the 24th 25th years of the name regulated by 35 e-e well, in fact, in addition to simply refusing russian gas of such a market, administrative e-e measures to reduce

consumption were also applied. used such a tool as limiting the maximum price for the purchase of russian oil for third countries, which is broadcast through insurance companies. as far as i understand , which companies should insure these tankers with oil , did these measures prove to be effective? well, if possible, we have two minutes left, it is difficult to talk about it in two minutes. if it is very short, first of all, it had little impact. for nothing in russia, the prices of russian oil have already fallen to such a level that the economic college is threatened, they are already us

. the prices are approaching 40 dollars per barrel. as big as the main gas jurassic brand in europe. in general , russia has already turned from the main key player into a marginal supplier. if you touch, its share was about 40% on the gas market, now it is now now the share fell to about 7 only 7% established the share of russian supply established 30% before the war now this year the international energy agency predicts that it will fall to 5%. therefore, in europe there is no longer any need to be afraid of russia, that it can use gas or oil as a weapon and introduce further sanctions regarding the refusal of a certain refusal not only from oil, but from russian gas, this is even more

less the income of the aggressor, which in the case of oil, we can at least to redirect to other countries to gas and in everyday life route production in general international energy agency evaluates abstracts from russia's aggression in the oil and gas sector one trillion dollars by 2000 by 2030 and these losses are the main sanctions they have only come into effect, we will see how the e-e class of the russian economy gains momentum in the 23-24th year mr. boris thank you for your comment today, we had boris dodonov, the head of the center for energy and climate research at the kse institute, in our program. he promised us the collapse of the russian economy in the next two years. i hope that we will see him sooner, and i am andriy yanitsky, the host

economic news programs on the espresso tv channel. see you tomorrow at 8:00 a.m. together we will defeat art in a country of war . the story entered now, yes, at some such moment, where everything just gathered in it, like a linear one, that's what happened there, what we remember then, it was a kind of drag, and it's as if it's all in one moment, and we see that well, that's all it is repeated, however, as the place and meaning of the artist and his work change . in a country at war, see in the new tv series from the docnotfiling studio and the association babylon 13 art in a country at war from january 16, weekdays from monday to friday at 11:10

a.m. on espresso. this week in the judicial control program with tetyana shustrova, newly elected members of the people 's party of ukraine. judicial authorities, such acquaintances, they can be factors of influence, watch on thursday, february 2 at 4:40 p.m. the judicial control program with tetyana shustrova on the espresso tv channel, we will continue our broadcast at 8:21 on the second of february today, thursday, you are on the espresso channel and chicheryna and khrystyna yaskiv are speaking on the evening of february 1, the russian military shelled yurkivka in the zaporizhia region , zaporizhia ova reports about this, as a result , private houses and the power grid were damaged in komyshuvas, an enemy projectile hit a

private house, fortunately these attacks were avoided without wounded or dead, there is a summary of information about the mykolayiv region, also from the regional military administration . yesterday, february 1, at 13-15, the enemy attacked the settlement of the kutsurub community with the enemy's anti-terrorist forces, there was no destruction and luckily, well , tonight at ten o'clock the enemy carried out artillery fire . fortunately, there were no casualties in the ochakiv community, and traditionally unfortunately, the enemy shelled the nikopol district of the dnipropetrovsk region, mykola lukashuk, the head of the dnipropetrovsk regional council at night, the russians again directed heavy artillery shells at the nikopol district, they hit nikopol itself, fortunately, the people were unharmed, the consequences of the shelling are currently being clarified, as i said before the release of economic news, reznikov stated that on the anniversary of the invasion, russia may launch an offensive in two directions. this is what he said on the air of our french colleagues

of the publication bifm tv, he called for new military assistance from ukraine to nato, because it expects the offensive of the russian army in the east or in the south, the direct speech of oleksiy reznikova we are not we can lose the initiative, we think that given that the russians live with symbols, they can try something around february 24, the anniversary of the full-scale invasion, we do not underestimate our enemy. well, he said on air to our french colleagues about 500,000 russian soldiers mobilized by the kremlin, a quote officially announced about 300,000 but when we see troops on the borders, according to our estimates , the minister of defense explained this much more, in his opinion, the armed forces of the russian federation can carry out an offensive in two directions this is a quote, this could be donbas , and it could also be the south, said varshikov, because the headquarters reports that the enemy is activating and trying to take revanch in the liman direction, but the mankas of donetsk region, but he is directing his movement from the flint region, this is luhansk, in communication with us

, volodymyr nebir, an officer of the airborne assault troops of the armed forces of ukraine p volodymyr congratulations glory to ukraine glory to the heroes good morning very good please tell me about the situation in your operational zone as of today morning means as of this morning the enemy is not leaving any attempts e-e before the storming of such settlements, in particular, as e-e kupyansk and in the direction in the lyman direction in the direction of kupyansk, the enemy concentrated e-e up to three divisions, including e-e two airborne troops as well as one tank tank division here. well, this is without taking additional various marginal units there , such as wagner’s chvk, and various separate additional units

of the anti-aircraft reconnaissance type there, and so on . here is a similar situation in the inna lyman direction. that’s the same there you can say more there is a greater concentration of forces and equipment, because it was already there. before that, there was not enough russian military. so, at the moment , we still lack a little advantage in artillery, high-precision artillery , in particular, because of what they started to notice that the enemy has begun to use the tactics of completely destroying our strong points, let's just say that they are digging in our positions with shells, they are digging in our positions even when there is nothing there, the infantry enters there

to fight this somehow we need should have uh-vulnerary protection. do you understand how it is, armored vehicles, this is a large number of art systems, as i already said, a large amount of ammunition. well, for now, our guys, i would say not even bravely, but heroically, uh, stand for every meter of our land , here so far, we have not observed the advantages of a significant breakthrough or an advantage in the russian army, but if the enemy gathers all the, let's say, all available means and strikes in two or three points , then possible success is definitely possible, vladimir, regarding shells from divovsky

journal reported that today, or tomorrow, friday, the americans may announce the provision of another package of weapons to ukraine, among which will be high-precision winged projectiles, they are even such a projectile with wings with a small jet engine with a range of up to 150 km, which can be used from cameras that already exist in service with the ukrainian armed forces, is this news being discussed on the front line in your unit? and what do you think about the use of projectiles with a range of up to 150 km , such mini-t cruise missiles rockets, please, and i will tell you right away that we , uh, well, on the front line, all possible options for the development of events are being discussed

, because you understand, we are military. of such projectiles. here are high-precision winged ones, as you say, it is definitely. this will help to avoid great destruction. and also casualties among the civilian population. we understand the advantages. it is the same in the point delivery of these strikes, eh, how to say, we will have an advantage at a distance, this is because, as you can see, as practice shows, russia still uses more soviet artillery means, soviet shells , and even the same rockets they use more in civilian cities, er, along the ugu, deep into the territory of ukraine, and not

the previous line, although airstrikes we had four airstrikes, especially yesterday, by the russians. well, three missile strikes . tell us about these airstrikes. is this the use of aviation or rotorcraft , and from where, that is, from your territory? do they apply them or do they fly into the territory controlled by the armed forces of ukraine from the temporarily occupied territory of ukraine, they fly in, they fly in from the territory of russia , this is basically er-e bombing er-e bombing excuse me, attack aircraft , these are l-planes please, mr. volodymyr, start the situation in swativ direction, yes, because events there have become somewhat more active recently, supposedly an initiative by

the defense forces, but we understand that the situation is changing dynamically, and this is normal in the conditions of war, we still think that the main blow it will not be in the direction of svatovo, because it is located between crimea and kupyansk , after all, we believe that there will be a major impact on the heap with a further exit to the city of kharkiv . here, but after all, svatovo was also not unimportant, well, it is impossible, there the track goes kreminna e-e svatovo that's what