[000:00:00;00] about the fact that the body of one more person was found this night from under zavaly, a residential building destroyed by a russian rocket in the kramatorsk region, the day before yesterday, this is a woman. thus , the total number of victims from the russian strike has increased to four people, this happened tonight and there was a fourth body. well, about trust in telegram channels, we constantly say that the trust of ukrainians in tv, in tv channels, in official sources of information has fallen, but trust in anonymous telegram channels that spread information often misinformation has increased disinformation, manipulation, russian disinformation about the fact that there will be a big offensive and that someone will capture someone before february 23, the day of the soviet army and the navy, god forbid , it is also called such a holiday among our unfortunate neighbors, now we have it, as far as

i understand news of the economy during the war and yes, we will see andriy lenytsky now. congratulations , andriy yanitsky with economic news on espresso tv channel as usual at eight in the morning and repeat at 11:00 p.m. whenever you want. you can watch our program on youtube espresso leave comments there send a link to your relatives and friends today we will talk about the big economy or macroeconomics as it is called correctly with olena bilan, the chief economist of dragon capital investment company ms. olena, congratulations, your company is an investment company , but during the war there are doubts that investments even exist how are you working? how have you been working this year? well, during the war, it is very difficult to attract investments, especially with regard to

foreign investors, for whom now the risks of investments in ukraine have increased many times, but we invested a lot of our own funds and the funds of foreign investors before the war, and in principle, our entire last year was devoted to preserving these investments so that these assets worked there, that is to rebuild them under new conditions. unfortunately, we lost several a-a assets, three warehouses burned down and near kyiv a-a, and well, partially one of them was successfully restored, and as for the other two, this will be a question after the post-war reconstruction , or during the reconstruction new money will come and you will have more work and everything will be fine. well, we congratulate you. the main thing is that the victory should be like mine as soon as possible so that it also starts from that

as soon as possible. i think that the question is the post office. and in our desires to rebuild and it will not be a year ago when you did they make forecasts for the year 2022 or did they say something about a full-scale invasion? maybe you noticed that the russians are bringing in money from ukraine, maybe some financial flows have changed, or economic ones, and you can’t predict a war with such signs, well , you know, uh, in this case, about a war. i think many russians didn't, er, not what they didn't think, but they didn't expect that putin would give the order to attack ukraine, er, and even international media journalists who spent a lot of time in moscow and communicated at the highest level are now saying that there is no

there were such expectations that the war would really start, that's why there were no such indicators of the withdrawal of funds by russian business. states and e of the united states of america, the financial markets reacted. in other words, it was clear that both our e and our business were nervous . we saw this based on the exchange rate . the situation worsened. on the interbank foreign exchange market, the national bank began to sell a lot of currency from its reserves to support the exchange rate, but it still devalued. well, already there , closer to the middle of february, we saw a eurobond on the market where we are actively working

er, well, they began to lower the walls very sharply on ukrainian and euro plates, primarily on the sovereign, but also on the company's bond . transferred assets worth 4 billion dollars reregistered his offshore campaign trusts to his children but did he do it he did it before the invasion but did he do it because he knew the repeat or was he just so careful well here we can't uh to find out so really and not on the markets we can say whether it was such a panic, you know, did anyone really expect it, people probably already expected it, but uh, someone just panicked, so no one could say exactly until the last moment. in the middle ages, it was clear why people started wars, they captured new territories, captured

mines, uh wealth of gold and war was a profitable business. and in the modern economy , in my opinion, war harms both the country that aggressively attacked another country and the affected party, what is the economic sense in war, well, in particular, in this ongoing war now is it not about the economy, i think it is hardly about the economy at all because it is more political and geopolitical a-a er-e let’s say the invasion yes er-e and the reasons that led to it then hmm really the economy of russia now er- e is already beginning to suffer more seriously from the sanctions last year. hmm, in principle, high energy prices in the world helped them a lot, almost completely compensating there for the impact of those sanctions that were introduced last year, but the sanctions

are gradually becoming tougher and gradually their effect is more noticeable. well, that's it according to some forecasts, this year the russian economy will suffer more than even last year, that is, if in ukraine we still expect this year, well, at least there will not be a repeat of the situation of last year . maybe there will even be a baptism of the economic situation, and then russia according to forecasts, this year will feel er and the economy will feel worse than in the new year , at least so far it is not comparable ah well if hmm he eh these are the negative consequences that the war has inflicted on us it is not comparable with those with what happens in the russian economy, if there was a drop in gdp in ukraine, that is, our economy shrank by er by 30%, while in

russia it is about 4%, only actually about how our economy reacted to a certain large-scale invasion well, my memories as an ordinary consumer an ordinary ukrainian that a lot of stores were closed, actually, it was not possible, i remember it was cold. i was trying to find a hat , you couldn't just buy a hat for yourself, but grocery stores were working and the banking system was working, how about you from the human side which sees numbers and data on uh economic processes in the branches of the economy noted for themselves what stopped what continued to work and you know this book is a bit of an illusion now there are still uh economists who see a lot there actually not so much because well, from the first days war stopped receiving data, yes. that is, we do not publish a lot of data , especially regarding individual sectors

of the economy, that is why, in fact, we also focus on business surveys on some such indirect indicators, i showed, but remembering that time, i completely agree with you that a lot of things stopped and, according to some estimates, about half of the economy was stopped, that is, something was already there in the first days there, and there, in the occupied territories, in other areas, in the main territory, that is, businesses were simply closed because they did not know what to do next, as e- well, everyone was in shock, but it is very important that the banking system was working, i remember how it was completely unexpected for me when at nine in the morning i want to emphasize that at 9:00 a.m. on february 24, a resolution of the national bank was issued which er, which national bank introduced

restrictions on the foreign exchange market and fixed the exchange rate. that is, it was all prepared by the employees of the national bank, if they had been ready for this plan, unfortunately, they would have had to put it into action, but they did it simply as quickly as possible. i think that this step is the key the stabilization of the system played a role, but the gas stations also worked. i remember that ukrzaliznytsia was working, motiza and all the businesses that, if they had not fallen apart at that time , were particularly critical infrastructure. of course, we are very grateful that they supported and helped people were able to evacuate and get their savings from banks, and mobile communication was working, which for many was critically important , and in principle, these were the first days of the war, even though they were super tough emotionally, but the economy really held up, as he noted the work of ukrzaliznytsia, which was not just working and immediately organized evacuation trains from

, well, from the capital. we remember these photos where there are just crowds on the platforms, but millions of people were able to save their lives. with their property , thanks to ukrzaliznytsia, state enterprises showed themselves interestingly. maybe it's even better than private business, because a lot of it is private business that has closed, well, i agree that you're ukrzaliznytsia , but to say that private business has closed, well, it's hard too. it would be very critical for people crazy queues uh, they used to go out a lot with their vehicles and so, uh, in the fairy tale, it’s just uh, the cashiers well, they were only absent , excuse me, and sit down to have something to eat or hand over , uh, hand over the cash register and so they sat 24 by 7 and

sold ah, gasoline, diesel, because it was it was a private business, that is, every reform of the business should be done not in the form of a business, but in the management and in the way the processes are adjusted in the company itself. well , fortunately, in a month, maybe after the e -invasion, the business plus or minus has adapted. i have already seen how almost all e- shops that were closed were reopened. perhaps some other businesses have appeared there, but new challenges have also appeared. with your colleague , the economist vitaly vavryshchuk, we talked on tuesday about the fuel crisis . do you remember the fuel shortage in the summer? there were problems with the export of grain and here is the grain corridor as a solution to this problem, of course there were problems with the energy and it remains with the energy infrastructure with shelling so as not to repeat this, do not talk about these problems here, there are our viewers, i am sending you to

the program for tuesday. let's talk about the other two problems about high prices and about the budget fiscal crisis in the summer, i remember that even some payments have already started to be delayed, it seems that sick leave was paid on time and internally displaced persons also received their payments on time that caused the price to rise so fast and why did the budget crisis arise, well, look at us, price growth is really, uh, quite fast, that is, according to official data, last year, uh, it is about 27%, a little less, yes , uh, well, in the historical in the future, this is very fast. the price increase is probably faster. we had an inflation rate of 14-15 years when there was a sharp devaluation, and here last year the devaluation was moderate

, there the 25% exchange rate satisfied the hryvnias. for comparison, in 415 years it was 70%. the situation with the course was much worse inflation at that time than now, that's why it is, in principle, against the background of peacetime, inflation is high, but if you compare it with the fourteenth year of the 15th , when we had a limited invasion of russia by the enemy, that's the order of the situation now, and also taking into account the fact that in in the world, inflation is very high now, many even developed countries have a population of about 10% for them , this is the highest figure for decades, so the situation in our country, i think is completely under control, the main reason for the rise in prices is the consequences of the war, this includes

logistics has become much more expensive, well, that is, proving something, where the imported goods are from or inside ukraine has become much more expensive, and the prices of gasoline have increased, and in general, these routes have become er, they have become longer, so, in part , our business in the occupied territories has been destroyed er and this applies to those enterprises that left us a lot of food products . yes, for example, there in the kherson region - it is here. yes, yes, in our country, many enterprises have a lot of problems with personnel, for example . yes, someone went to the armed forces

. there are a lot of people who have lost their jobs, but hmmm, there is such a thing as if we were to carry forgings on the market on the labor market in our country, that is why, in principle , the inflation that we have is all ah, well, most of the education, the consequences of the war, and it helped a lot that the government recorded all utility tariffs, i.e. prices did not increase either for gas or for gas electricity for the population, while in other countries you know because of the fact that in the world , in principle, the energy crisis is also provoked by the actions of russia a-and there the prices of utility services are rising very quickly because of inflation a-a i believe that this past year if m-m was well, let's say so, uh, according to this indicator , we also worked very well in the 23rd year, is there a slowdown

, uh, gradually slowed down activity? yes , it will still be high, it will still be about twenty percent, but it will already be lower than in the 22nd year, i understand the budget that our foreign partners helped us in the first place although the national bank did not manage without the mission of e-e hryvnias , let's move on to the forecasts because there is not much time left, literally two minutes two and a half minutes, but we have to tell the audience what we expect in 2023, your the organization always gives forecasts that, well, with the exception of 2022 , of course, because no one here could predict, but they always really come true. what will happen this year ? what do you expect, andriy ? important factors that will affect our economy and affected last year will affect this year, and we expect that this international aid will increase this

year, that is, if last year we were given 32 billion dollars, then we expect that this year it will be about 40 billion dollars, which is important both for the exchange rate and for the budget, and thanks to this help, i think that the national bank will be able to maintain the fixed exchange rate at the current level, at least until the middle of the year, almost and longer, in principle, i have this the hope that if the hot phase of the war there will end hmm somewhere in the second half of this year, then until this period the national bank will be able to maintain the exchange rate at the level of the temperature of a healthy person of 36.6°, degrees and up to the level of the dollar, but then it will be come to, well, return to the floating exchange rate, and there may be a small devaluation , we expect somewhere around 142-43 per hryvnia to the dollar

, but in the real sector of the economy, that is , where hm production, the situation will still be quite difficult. precisely because of the shortage of electricity, that is why we expect that in this this year, gdp will still decrease to somewhere around 5%, it is possible that it will fall after 30% last year, but this is still against the background of a decrease in inflation, which is important for many people, because the high level of prices is eats their incomes well, if we talk about prices, you say that it will be less than 26, since you said 20, yes, we are forecasting 18 in general, but the situation is so variable, so i think it is somewhere around 20%. you can orient yourself. thank you, ms. olena. today we spoke with olena

bilan, chief economist of the dragon company capital talked about the big economy, about prices, about labor, about money, gdp , inflation - that's all, we don't often raise these topics in our program, usually some kind of industry. on the next weekday, monday, and we will all win together on this film, television, sports, music, education , free people have a choice, choose what you want on megogo

, a war is going on, and not only for territories, it is also a war for minds, russia is throwing millions of oil dollars to transform ukrainians on little russians ukraine will become russia analysis and analysis of information about ukraine by russian propagandists specific facts and methods by which enemy propaganda turns people into obedient zombies historical residents of the ldr let's counter the information attacks of the russians in the project of the chronicle of the information war with olga leni tuesday thursday at 11:40 a.m. and friday at 13:00 on the espresso tv channel we continue our broadcast at 8:20 on the clock on february 3 and friday and ot checherina and khrystyna yaskiv with you and with us on the espresso channel interesting information from the united states has flown to us in the literal sense of the word. a chinese spy balloon is flying over the usa. high officials have advised the us president joe biden not

to shoot down this balloon for several days . a suspicious chinese spy balloon has been flying over the usa for several days. the voice of america reports that the us government has detected and is tracking a high-altitude balloon. scout who is currently over the continental part of the united states, the official representative of the pentagon said that the balloon is currently flying at an altitude that significantly exceeds the ceiling for commercial flights and does not constitute fighting a physical threat to people on the ground, the senate in the united states, marco rubio, the main republican on the senate intelligence committee, said that the spy balloon is alarming, but it is not surprising that the level of espionage directed against our country by beijing has increased dramatically over the past 5 years , it has become more intense and daring, let's come to the discussion of socially important hot topics , and recently social networks were shaken by a video

and in general a story about uh, um, ukrainian boys are there. committed actions with them that can er and are qualified now as rape and distributed these audiovisual materials on the network that can be qualified as distribution of pornographic content in the end the national police of ukraine took up this case and now i hope we will hear some details iryna pryanishnikova spokeswoman for the kyiv police of the region, please contact us , mrs. irina, congratulations. glory to ukraine. good morning. glory to the heroes. indeed, the case resonates with this group of people, and today i hope that our investigators will contact with a petition to the court to choose a measure for the boys from a foreign event in the form of detention, let me remind you that the police

of kyiv region, investigators together with prosecutors have identified six people who were involved in the commission of this crime, two of them have been detained , they are currently in a temporary detention center and now they have already been charged with suspicion under article 301, part three - this is the production and sale of proneographic products . appear as victims, as witnesses, maybe some of them and did the police search e-e, in particular, any of them , because the information on the network is such that it needs to be clarified. videos in which girls were humiliated, eh, and regarding the moral side of this crime, we will not discuss it at all, it is extremely disgusting, but we

conducted searches both in the capital and in the territory of the ivano-frankivsk region, eh, and now we are establishing the exact number of victims of of these crimes, therefore, we appeal to all the girls who became victims of this matter to contact the police, report the facts that you already know, if you became a victim of this particular criminal group, and we will continue to identify them in the world who could become as the victims of this crime, ms. remeni, i correctly understand that you did not receive statements from these girls in this video regarding the violation of their rights, well, i can tell you that criminal proceedings are an offense directly after the fact as already in the social network began to spread. this is such high-profile news, and we immediately established the data, and at the moment we are also collecting all the necessary information so that none of the persons who were involved in the commission of this

crime can escape." but it is clear that those persons who directly appear in the video and we are now collecting all the evidence in them in order to establish in what status they actually were, and i will remind you that during the filming of these videos there was a direct imitation of sexual facts, now about rape we more we are not saying. we are investigating all the circumstances and i will remind champa that in order to qualify these actions as rape , you need to have appropriate examinations in order to fully understand what kind of crime was committed. during the manufacture and sale of these electrical products, it is simply interesting how how exactly then did you qualify this production as pornographic and if there is no examination of the fact of the sexual crime of sexual contact there is no reason exactly 301 article part three there from three to seven among other things if in fact there is no sexual contact on there is no video. is this pornography, this question was meant to look at the present time, the investigation in this case is ongoing and we are establishing all

the circumstances. at the moment, we have these facts about the fact that this defense arctic product was really created and distributed on the telegram network and instagram for in order to qualify these crimes as rape , it is necessary to have the opinion of the relevant experts , of course, they will be carried out in the future and in the future we will already understand exactly how many episodes there were, how many victims there were and what exactly the qualification will be in the future in this criminal proceeding. irina , there is also information that some of these girls could provide services of a sexual nature for money. the fact that if the girls became victims of violence in this case, we are also talking about sexual violence, then we will not talk about the fact that none of the girls were victims in this

situation, let's remember that in any case, a full investigation of these situations will be carried out, we will further understand the whole situation and the data that you have submitted to the girls will be completely taken into account, but once again you repeat that the girls in this situation are victims and victims of sexual violence and crimes that were committed in relation to them yes thank you for this important clarification because people are asking questions, the discussion is very hot now in this direction, there is information that the boys who are suspects to some extent punishment was also served with summonses to ms. iryna. what i want to tell you is small. i repeat to you once again that what was really political was six people who are related to the commission of this offense. but the police do not hand over the summons. precisely by the investigators of the police of the kyiv region, together with the prosecutor's office and employees of the criminal police of the national police of ukraine - this is the open implementation of the implementation and announcement of suspicion to other

organizers who directly planned carried out this shooting, posted their videos on social networks and directly appeared in the old videos that were posted directly on the internet about the summonses that were handed to the police, we now speak for me in general. thank you. perhaps you know some additional information . the kyiv city prosecutor's office, together with the sbu , exposed a large-scale criminal organization that consisted of 15 people and ensured the operation of places of debauchery on the territory of kyiv also engaged in pimping on the territory of ukraine and outside the state, according to the materials of the investigation, the activities of the organization were headed by the deputy head of the migration police department of the national police of ukraine, he involved two citizens of ukraine in the criminal organization , who created an extensive network of salons for intimate services for money in the territory of kyiv. do you know anything about this story of how the police crushed brothels, only what, according to our information, was really in

operation and acting as minister , ihor kume ordered to report that the national police provided maximum assistance to the investigative bodies and the security service of ukraine in order to expose the shameful facts of any violations by law enforcement officers , such offenses. in khrystynu's plan, all two articles, i.e. these two industries, such as the industry of providing sexual services and the industry of pornography production, should have been legalized long ago, taxes should be taken from them, the creator new jobs and not to engage in the crushing and then the tinization of this well-obvious business, which has long been present and exists in us, but it is there, we just need to accept it and not be hypocrites, and then it will be easier for everyone . i think this is my personal opinion. i think that for a long time it is the question will hang in and