[000:00:00;00] the fact that, even under shelling, you just really believe in the armed forces and you know that everything will be fine and that what we rejected yesterday is faith in the armed forces - this is a holy thing no less holy than faith in god, for example, but i have such a proverb i hope in god, but don't be careless yourself. that's why you have to be responsible, don't rely on it, it's called tempting god, and it's a bit of a sin, even for that reason, you still have to evacuate, if there's no way to do that, at least leave the children under in fact, i offer this to my friend how to find an argument, well, here is such a friend, some kind of car, let's convince, convince and convince, we hope that you will still manage to persuade this person. well, in the end , every person has his own circumstances, he also

has some problems from which he must somehow get out of. thank you, mrs. elena, hold on . we wish you more electricity than 2 hours a day eh olena balabay journalist and activist was from odesa with us and told us about the situation there, and now andriyanitsy news will tell us about the situation in the economy economy is already at the start and we are already ready to watch and listen to them thank you colleagues, we will talk today a lot about the recovery of the world economy about the new forecasts of the international monetary fund wait for it congratulations andriy yanitskyi with economic news on the espresso tv channel as usual on weekdays at eight in the morning live if you are watching us on the internet, please comment on this issue. i will be able to answer all your questions after its completion, if they are of course related to the economy

. well, send the link to your relatives relatives, let them also know the news from the economic sphere , the economy of ukraine can grow immediately after the victory. 30%, and in 2023 a small growth is predicted, let's look with optimism at the 23rd year and of course that uh economic growth and there the macro forecast for us completely depends, if you understand, on the military situation if we end the war will be in the 23rd year, we finally get the victory we are striving for and for which we are fighting, then of course it will give us growth and here we can also talk about the partial return of people

about the first wave and about the certain return of business before the beginning of the grain agreement with last year, it was possible to export 19 million tons of agricultural products by sea. we are talking about the period. since august 1 , the deputy minister of agricultural policy and food markiyan dmytrosevich informed about this. three million tons of agricultural products, while their capacity is twice as large and it would be possible to export more, the deputy minister said that for the third month in a row, after a purposeful russia is purposefully blocking the work of the initiative, there are currently 117 vessels waiting in line for inspection, however, on average , only two or three vessels pass the inspection. well and despite the crisis, ukraine will provide itself with grain and food despite

the shortage of electricity, for example , the deputy chairman of the all-ukrainian agrarian council, denys marchuk, is confident of this, the lack of kilowatts first of all, it affects the work of processing enterprises, also in the conditions of the energy crisis, small and medium-sized family farms suffer the most, now they cannot provide themselves with additional means of uninterrupted power supply , however, the use of generators causes an increase in prices for ordinary consumers, according to the forecast of denys marchuk, the prices of some products will grow from three to five percent, russia threatens world stability, as stated in the report of the international monetary fund due to the war in in ukraine, nine out of ten countries will reduce the pace of development e-e the fund said that the escalation of the war in our country will remain a serious

threat to world stability this year , the world economy will slow down, they say recovery is expected only from 2024 , energy security and high inflation remain challenges, this is actually about the forecasts of the international currency fund and other economic news, we will talk with our guest serhii kursi, representative of investors of the dragon-capital e p group. i congratulate serhii. the monetary fund, on the one hand, yes, the forecasts are disappointing, and on the other hand, the forecasts are improving, and what prompted the international monetary fund to improve the forecasts, and if you could outline a few numbers, it would also be good, well, look, i would not say that the forecasts are disappointing, the forecasts are absolutely normal the imf really said that it sees more growth this year, the previous forecast was two and seven

percent, the new forecast is 2.9%. well, what motivates , well, first of all, the decrease in the price of energy, which gives more positive forecasts, for example, in relation to europe's second story is a story from china, in fact, china now, after they re-elected comrade salt, they began to correct the mistakes of this stubborn communist, to charge communist activities, they abandoned the zero code, this may mean that in the near future china will return to at least some kind of economic growth is stable and actually china and energy are the two main factors that allowed the imf to say, well, the economy will grow faster than we expected, well, russian propaganda , for example, says that here is the international monetary fund the fund for russia has also improved the forecast, you see nothing well, we will talk about the sanctions against russia a little later in more detail, but

in general, at the macro level, the russians say, you see , nothing is working against us, even the international monetary fund confirms that there will be some kind of improvement in us well, on the one hand, it is indeed a fact that the imf says that the russian economy will grow rather than fall next year, and it is unpleasant for us to read this, on the other hand, it is necessary to understand that the imf is based on statistical data given to it by the central bank of russia and they didn't just make all the statistics secret. and actually nothing prevents the russians. and how much of this mainly russian flag is directed at this one? she doesn't say that russia is good. because no one believes it, she says , look at russia, it's indifferent. and in spain, the prices of products are rising because your sanctions, let's cancel the sanctions because they are against russia they don't work that's why they need to build this potemkin village of the russian economy and in order to convince the world so that all kinds of orbans repeat around

, see also sanctions don't work, it's only you we are harming ourselves, that is, you should not trust the statistical data with russia and they can mislead the world, you should not expect that russia will collapse tomorrow and there will be minus 30% of the economy, it does not happen like that, but on the other hand. that russian construction has become six percent less to buy metal, which actually should indicate a construction crisis, but official russian statistics say that construction in russia is growing by 4%. and how they build without metal or reduce to metal it was mysterious history, of course, arcs, not a campaign, they will say that it is normal to build or isbs from wood, yes, without a single nail, but i do not think that it is about this story . be careful, but

you also need to be careful about your own expectations, which say that russia will collapse, there will be a very deep economic crisis immediately and everything will be bad somewhere in the middle, well, optimistic numbers that are not it is possible to deny that in your column of novoe vremya you write about the fact that the world stock market grew, optimism continues to reign in the world markets, january turned out to be the best january in many years and many people remembered the old legends of the stock market and are already choosing places parking lots for your yachts that you won't buy for bonuses in 2023. what is the reason for such optimism of stock broker investors? it's a psychological factor . it's an expectation. they've already overcome the donkey. well , mostly the american weaver. and what

were the stock markets afraid of? all last year and still fear that the rates will remain high for a long time, money will be expensive and there will be less money for the fund, and now, on the one hand , the statistics of the united states of america are very good, and on the other hand, inflation is also decreasing, and there is hope that the american central bank will not will only stop on the path of rising the rate and even move to its decline and this is exactly what makes the life of traders and speculators from wall street so positive because they see that they are more afraid of expensive money let's do it and now they see the light at the end of the tunnel, soon money will stop becoming more expensive psychological phenomena i understand that in general the beginning of the year is always a little optimistic because it seems that there is still a lot of good things ahead and propaganda we remember already towards

the end of the year, uh, usually these days the ukraine eu summit has passed. what kind of event is this? what economic significance does it carry with it? i talked about money there in general . well, this is a huge event for the economy. even if they didn't talk about money there. to be honest, i don't know. they didn't let me out of that bunker. they sat but i think that they may have talked about money, but the money will go later, european integration is actually very actively connected with the summits, first of all , the program for the recovery of ukraine after the war will somehow be tied to european integration, and yuriy tarascha will be tied to the reform program and secondly, for ukrainian investors for investors of ukraine let's do this , the european integration of ukraine is the future, and it is not necessary that we become a member of the european union in two years, this is absolutely not necessary , especially since this will not happen sooner than later even if we bet whether in five or 10 years, the eu member is all the same. the attractive factor

is the height, and this will order investments in ukraine again after the end of the war , that is, european integration is very important here, so the positive conclusion of the summit, after all, experts see in this had a positive ending, even the bureaucratic language was in favor of ukraine. this is a plus minus that, of course , we saw a lot of articles published in the western press the day before, as they said that you need to calm down a little, you need to look at it coldly with eyes on ukraine ukraine is not yet ready plus, the european agrarian boat is doing a lot now because they were really scared of ukraine's joining the common market, they saw how it threatens the 22nd year and they understood what threatens ukraine's accession to the eu in principle when ukraine became a member, it will take away a lot of subsidies from a lot of people and let very competitive producers enter the european union market because, for example , ukrainian producers of the same chicken

are much more competitive and efficient than europeans actually feel this. and agrolobists know that we will have two problems on the way to euro integration: our own corrupt officials and european agribusiness logisticians. it’s good that you mentioned our own corrupt officials the day before . there were many corruption scandals in the press. but the government reacted to them quite quickly. there was a whole series of personnel decisions before the summit. do you connect these two events? is it just a coincidence? it so happened that in january they decided to clean up the vertical and remove some dubious officials. is it still like this? bow to the europeans to show that here we are fighting corruption well, we will see if this is really a struggle or this struggle is actually a political will, we will also see now it is too early to say and really, it can hardly be a coincidence that two days before the summit such e-

it is a large-scale demonstration of political will, the fight against corruption, therefore, most likely, these things are connected and they were made before the summit . does this mean that a corrupt person will live in ukraine? does not make corruption in ukraine lower, because more usually war makes corruption more in any country, it is not only ukrainian history, so it is actually necessary to move on to what the ministry of internal affairs and the european union are talking about, institutional changes. that is, personalities. this is good, but personalities never work. it is necessary to make institutional changes within the framework of the fight against corruption, it is important to properly conduct the competition for the election of the head of the nabu without rushing anywhere, and the key here is the judicial reform , but this will mainly be looked at including

there are several constitutional courts where we have messed up and made trouble for ourselves, er, it will be looked at for such demonstrative speeches in front of themselves. there, of course, they will say about you, well done. yes , it's fine. they say . that the citizens will also like such news and photos from the search of the house of one of the richest ukrainians, ihor kolomoiskyi, and the information that the search was also carried out at the former minister of internal affairs of ukraine, arsen avakov, and none the less passed and the information that the personnel changes will continue is preserved, here they say that they can change the minister of defense to another ministry in his place, put the country's chief intelligence officer in his place, that is, this tendency to change positions , it is still with us, although already for summit, it is no longer important, is there any economic

aspect here? is it just some kind of inertia of the previous people, the economic aspect here is the result of a scandal, and in fact i really don't like him, he received some benefits from of this corruption but he did a good job of communicating with the western ministries of defense and this is extremely important because the supply of western weapons is a key key task, including he was recruited and corruption was done by a little bit of other people and we can, of course, blame different people who say that he did not find the political will during the war to deal specifically with the fight against corruption in his own department. but again, i believe that this was not a key task and those scandals that were sometimes looked like a slightly artificial story and i am sorry that as a result because of this, you can call it populism. and you can try to maintain this level of justice during the war, which is very important

. i am sorry that i would have a historical position in the ministry. what a fool. the ministry of economy seems to be going to merge it with the ministry of economy, er, there were also such rumors . well, so far these personnel changes have not happened much, i see critics of er, such an idea in er on social networks from the leaders of public opinion, it is possible for them and for us to be listened to in the upper stomachs of the saber of power, let's see before personnel changes occur although international news agencies are already writing about them , since deputies and very respectable people are already talking about it we have two and a half minutes left to talk about new oil restrictions against russia, on february 5, literally yesterday, these restrictions came into effect. what are these new sanctions?

crude oil was issued a sanction in december. supplies about 3 million barva oil products. they were mainly sent to the european market. europe is closing now and this is very important. this is a significant share of the russian oil production and refining industry, and now the big question is how russia will be able to cope with this. it will be forced to pay because what we see from nadpa is that russia has reoriented mainly its oil supplies there to india, china, but they are buying at a huge discount because russian oil is now the same russian oil products will be toxic. and the question is how russia will save a share of the money. because here, again, the question is the sky in the oil and gasoline or diesel that they sell. the question is the money that goes for it in russia . i am sending to your facebook, you have published diagrams there, where

you can see how the volumes or revenues from the export of russian energy carriers changed. you said at the beginning of our conversation that you shouldn't hope for a rapid collapse of the russian economy, yes, and the russian federation has been under sanctions for 40 years, it has been collapsing there for a long time. this is the way and immediately it will not happen unfortunately , let's hope that someday it will not happen immediately , or at least russia will not have the money to increase its military operations , serhiy fursak, an investment banker from investment group dragon capital e thank you mr. serhiy for your inclusion i am andriy yanitskyi, the host of the economic news program

on the espresso tv channel see you tomorrow at 8 am, together we will win the war has raised its head again in europe, reminding us of the darkest hour in our history frantz 24 constantly covers events in ukraine our team on the ground and in the studio will inform you about the dynamics of events, watch the latest news from franz 24 in ukrainian on espresso, art in the country of war, a series of documentaries , each of which will tell about one of ukrainian artists, artists who have not left abroad and continue their creative path . in ukraine, i have the impression that history just

entered now, yes, at some such moment where everything just gathered into it as linearly, so what happened there that we remember then there was some kind of drag, but it seems that now it is all at one moment and we see that everything is repeating itself, but how the place and meaning of the artist and his work change. art in the country of war from january 16 on weekdays from monday to friday at 11:10 on espresso good morning, friends, we are back on the air with andrii seychuk and continue our marathon uh, well, i found a place to put just a few words, friends, the team locational is continuing

a car for paramedics who work in the bakhmut direction is collected by the espresso tv channel. they work every day, defeating death in hellish conditions. paramedics provide help to our sons, husbands and fathers. they do everything for their lives, and therefore for the lives of each of join us in the collection of the espresso tv channel, the best evacuation car for doctors, you can see the details on the screen right now , we have to collect uah 185,000 and already 52,000. that is, almost a third has already been collected. that is why this collection is a necessity and, first of all, for our defenders, so any passive force will be extremely important every hryvnia on the line of contact with the enemy is the preservation of the life of our soldier 52,210 hryvnias have already been collected thanks to you reminds me of this thank you for your

concern we need to collect only 185,000 hryvnia knowing how our viewers are responsible. i think that we will be able to do all this very quickly. close this need to start the next gathering and help our defenders knock out the enemy who has decided to make the next attack again. a tautology, i don't know if they will succeed. well, they will try anyway, or maybe they are already actually advancing , maybe this offensive will not change in any way from what has already happened. roman decided to go to the battalion freedom is already with us on

this is how i understand the communication, it is from the eastern direction, mr. roman, good morning to you. good morning, studio. good morning, the audience. glory to ukraine. what is the situation around you? and this is the crisis of smuhlyansk, all of this can , aggression, bring down various types of the world , the massed shaft in the artillery at the moment, despite insignificant successes, the enemy’s success in the promotion of the route is under ukrainian control, not it can be said that they are safe, that they will leave under our control, now the tactics of the katsaps, they pruti, with unprecedented force, send their infantry units, first

, their infantry units, so to speak, to the development of the battle from, and we, as fighters, because of the battalion, freedom and others their units are placed in the ukrainian chernozem, after the salted er-er to you er-er artillery starts and the infantry push is repeated again, this will continue for several hours er-er and well, endless attempts, now the enemy is using outdated soviet tactics, that is, still er, it has been modernized a bit, it is a live restraint and steel tactic for you, if you can describe it that way, first there are infantry, then artillery mass fire, we, like the cardinalist battalion svoboda, give er , this kind of strength, it’s still er, let’s say the difference in the number of shells, she feels like

we can hit and we aim at corrections. so, for example, before that, we destroyed the leadership group there, well, i pretty much shut down the leadership group, they can be located, i can’t say exactly where, but we will soon have a video about it and provided that the katsaps beat with squares they destroy well, just with squares, as a rule, they do it with thrusting blows and they simply destroy, they level in winter and bakhmut and the assistant of the city and all of it and actually it remains there, well, it is already a city , you can’t call it, er, it’s, well, the land mat is filled with that mr. roman, can there be any answer here, or will we have to? maybe at some point we will have to leave the bahmuts as bahmuts. if this is the case, the situation is complicated and

the roads for transporting ammunition and products are already dangerous. what is the situation, how will the situation develop in the future, we have our own shade the front for which we are responsible for which we stand and we will stand until we achieve victory or there is no other order there are orders to defend the city of bakhmut we are carrying it out no one is going to retreat anywhere our positions are strong our positions are strong and we inflict a huge blow on the enemy, they die here like flies, you understand

, but the problem is that there are a lot of them and this biomass is just like a locust. and it is me. well, this is what everyone should understand, both katsap and ukrainians , we have to understand that we are defending the katsaps, here murut and everyone who comes now is under fire, comes with a sword , he is crushed by this and lies down, despite the fact that they have more of these shells in them there is more than this biomass, biomass cannot deal with anything normally, biomass is biomass and we will kill them ourselves, mr. roman. more than a year next year, another year, another year, then we have, we can't afford such losses as the russians, that's why, well, my question is actually

the most important question for me. today, i think for many ukrainians, is there a feeling that we are bearing acceptable losses and the enemy is bearing unacceptable losses that their strategy of throwing human minced meat will not lead to success, as it happened, for example , during the second world war, when they put a million of their soldiers but took berlin. there cannot be any loss of ours - this is a tragedy , this is a tragedy for the families of servicemen and a tragedy for the nation, a tragedy for ukraine as a whole, because each of our fighters is a hero, this is a warrior - this is the case that borovyk defended and i can't even compare

how much is the life of one of our fighters worth compared to that of the apostles - it's unpleasant things that the katsaps here die more uh-uh, it's definitely true if you conduct a well, a small, purely numerical one, move away from uh, from morals and just count it with numbers uh-uh well, somewhere one to 20 idea so and so statistics, but this is little, this is little, the life of our fighter is priceless, and the life of those jackals, we are maps, the fact that they have a huge amount of detailed resources, that’s right, it’s a fact, uh , they are about themselves with us now, if i apologize to