[000:00:00;00] about the general resource, which is in principle possible. this is the first part, the second part. of course, the mobilization will continue as much as it will be necessary and necessary in order to protect the state and protect it in the first place from the enemy, so again , i am not ready to say about the framework, the amount of this mobilization but i can say that in defense of the words that really we remember the first days of the war we remember how many people took up arms and went to defend their country we remember that in kyiv how many barrels were distributed because people wanted to protect their homes to protect their home, but the key story, as we can see, for example, even for the offensive guard, we have already received several thousand applications, well, that is, not that, again, i am saying that there are moments when people are not what they do not want and they do not want to listen because they don't know where they are going, because sometimes i don't want to switch from one to the other

, there is a certain mistrust of the military commissions, let's say to this structure, objectively or not. of their objective judgments a separate story but i mean that there are such people , that's why we decided to go a little different way, and that's why you apply there , relatively speaking, or not through the usual mobilization through the military office. and you can apply or through the website. of course, then you have to pass the medical board, pass the psychological test but nevertheless, you can submit an application either through the website simply or through tsnap, where an ordinary employee of the tsnap can accept this application from you, so again, this is a little bit about a different approach, and again, as we see, i will put it for now, we already have several thousand questionnaires several thousand questionnaires - in fact, it is actually possible to complete the necessary number in this way, and see . we must understand that this does not mean that everyone will be accepted because, again, people will still pass the military medical board, they will pass a psychological test, but in

in general, if this is so, then indeed they can be a and e, huh, why won’t these people end up somewhere completely different there, a completely different unit , a completely different location, they will come there to study there in three weeks there and so on and so on and so on especially for this well, we are talking about this publicly and it will not be wise at all if tomorrow you see that the offensive guard is located somewhere in a completely different location, well, there will be a lot of questions for the unit and in general , trust in the unit will be destroyed, therefore military training will definitely be carried out with the best instructors may be both ukrainian and foreign, who will help train these units. but again, support will definitely be provided, combat coordination will definitely be carried out , and only after that they can be such an auxiliary body that will help the armed forces of ukraine to liberate its territories is the minister of internal affairs . nevertheless, we now see such constant rotations in

various ministries, constant changes, some of which are caused by scandals. unfortunately, the ministry of internal affairs faced another crisis , if you can call it that due of the tragedy that happened. do you know who is being considered , who can be the new head of the ministry of internal affairs, and does this somehow change the policy of the ministry itself? look, i am not ready to say that. what i see, i will ask for now, again, this is a political issue that will be decided by the verkhovna rada of ukraine, this is absolutely, well, let's say a little bit of a different series of questions, and it is a little bit illogical to discuss certain candidates well, i can't be an adviser without a minister directly

. i'll stay within the team for the time being. of course, we'll decide in the final. it is really important that a person continued a sufficiently large number of the cases that denys anatoliyovych started, because there is a sufficiently large number, including these offensive accidents and many other things. these were very good initiatives, which i am convinced must be continued and the main task is to preserve the work of all structures and subdivisions of the ministry of internal affairs of ukraine. i am convinced that including if it is mr. klymenko, then he as a person and a member of the team will bring anatoliyovych and i am convinced that he will cope with it and what i see i will put on now absolutely everything continues, everything works and my subjective opinion, although again i am no longer inside but we are also what is happening what i see is set now i like it so i can wish whoever it is only the onset because we must to understand that we are now in the same boat and we will benefit from the fact that this person will manage. we are all together with you, so whoever it is, i will definitely support and the main

task, because this is the ministry of internal affairs - it is a fairly serious unit, they must understand that several scoops go to him, that is, the state emergency service and the national guard, and border guards and the national police of ukraine, that is almost 400,000 personnel. therefore , an extremely large amount will depend on this person and the stabilization of what is happening inside the country and what will happen at the front, help armed forces of ukraine, so i can only wish success to this person, whoever it is, mstislav smirnov. thank you for this conversation, for taking the time to join us ex-soviet minister of the interior of ukrainian affairs and the co-founder of the volunteer association dobrobat was with us well, now we are with valeria klochok, the head of the center for public analytics, the tower, let's talk a little about russian oil and its prices .

here, in principle, a good question was asked by the russian jellyfish er, who is trying to understand or explain er, the re-introduced restrictions on russian oil, now from the european union, what does this really mean and when will it actually start there is some kind of action well, we have too many restrictions on the products, the price is so produced , to know, and in principle, this is the next stage after the december introduction of sanctions regarding the restriction of the transportation of the oil pipeline itself , the only possibility is to transport it by sea. and this significantly reduces the possibilities, because restrictions are also introduced prices and worlds for products, and oil price restrictions have already been introduced. therefore, it should work, let's say what the forecast is, because the main thing is what were the forecasts, what were they, the forecasts were such that

, um, somewhere by about 30-40%, it should fall the revenues of the russian federation from the sale of oil and the world of tachometer products due to the fact that they are losing the european market, but in the last month of january, the russian oil industry actively refocused on the countries of central asia, in particular, china , india. india in this part is now gaining momentum , it purchases a lot of of russian oil , including oil and central i apologize from the middle east and processing it already sells its products to europe in fact , this means that today as on for me, the sanctions policy that was introduced by the european union is part of the oil embargo, because we are not talking about gas, it was still not as effective as it was predicted from the very beginning. i think that we will see more concrete figures in time, but what today

appears in the information field, it indicates that after all, the market is a living organism, in any case, mammals are on politics, you know, we are eating a little yes . where is there any water restriction, she will be looking hard for ways to survive, as well as oil russia's industry is simply reorienting itself, so it is suffering losses, but unfortunately it is still working . even russian vice prime minister novikov again expects that he has two forecasts. he is optimistic that the processing of petroleum products will fall by 15 13-15% this year due to embargo sanctions, including those of the european union, and in the socialist forecast up to 25% - that's a quarter, it already seems like solid numbers to me . well, i think that there will still be more in these games because well, i'm not accidentally talking about 30-40%, eh because, after all, costs are a logistical burden

we have much more oil deliveries, they will have a significant impact on the price policy, plus, let's not forget the history of the relations between, for example , the united states of america and saudi arabia, and they are improving from time to time, but after all , we should not throw off the levers near the east, which is actually, well, saudi arabia is second in volume to ukraine, which produces too much in the world, so , at any moment, we can get a decision there to increase oil production, this will significantly change the situation, plus also the rada which he is actively negotiating with the european union about the supply of science against the background of the embargo, which was introduced, we talked about it in the summer of last year, well, we understand that, unfortunately , today iran has some vision of the development of events in the world . to give an opportunity to open the oil market for the european union there today, so i think that we are still

happy to put an end to this story because the preservation of practically russian oil on the market preservation of russian oil on the market in the opinion of many and my colleagues, including myself, i partially share their position here , it leaves more or less stable the market of oil and crude oil and oil products in the world . these are also very important factors, so i think that events here can be considered differently, but the fact that russia will receive less money is definitely true . the united states of america said that if russia withdraws its troops from ukraine, if it stops all this, the sanctions can be eased well, we see that russia continues to stick to its course at any cost, they are preparing another offensive for information, and actually it turns out that these sanctions

are not so strong and hit those russians if they continue to hit ukraine. well, not true. well, we expected something else. everything there is too much and will die because initially the sanctions policy was introduced in march. last year , the forecasts were based precisely on the fact that the maximum effect after this policy, if it is consistent, is maximal. well, as maximally, it will be sufficient. it can the financial and economic power of russia will decrease in about one year. well, this year we have, if we speak again objectively, russia's financial capabilities have decreased a lot. there is a review of various social programs. the financing of military operations is not only from the state budget. to a large extent at the expense of funds and private business and local budgets, this is also a very good indicative fact

that social programs are decreasing. russia's capabilities to introduce further are not the same as they were at the beginning of a large-scale war, yes, yes, to me. it would not be entirely sincere, although they remain sufficient to carry out this aggression, but the nature of the aggression has changed somewhat, because in the absolute majority, russia today, for the war against ukraine, it uses exclusively a mobilization resource that is not supported by the military power of armored vehicles, artillery systems, and so on . even our guys from the armed forces of ukraine note that even our guys from the armed forces of ukraine have achieved parity. us cannot support the offensive that it is preparing with powerful military equipment that would be enough to cover the personnel. of course, this is a threat that will have to be dealt with, but these also show that financial opportunities, i say again , and resources, because sanctions they still prevent russia from waging a war on the scale in which it would at least like

to do so today. to replace the minister of defense, this will happen during the war, this is also mr. reznikov, who, in principle, has a good reputation and is one of those politicians or officials who, well , he has some kind of normal background, well, in ukrainian realities, is it just now? also, we we are interviewing our interviewees for our viewers. i see that 1,600 people just now have already voted. they were asked whether they support budana's candidacy or the candidacy of varshikov, and the votes were absolutely evenly divided, 47% believe that it is necessary to replace the construction of varshikov and

47% believe that there are different times when it is necessary to leave, and another 6% are undecided. what do you think of this appointment ? in the ministry of defense to deny that it exists and to refute it was absolutely not sincere . moreover, your colleagues conducted a fairly successful investigation in this regard and warned of the possibility of abuse, but the fact is that the corruption scandals of the ministry of defense how it turned out to be so, and there are a lot of published testimonies about it. they originate not only from this food scandal. and if, as confirmed even for varschikova himself yesterday at the press conference, the suspicions that have been put forward touch the history of previous periods. then even since the summer of last year , that is, corruption scandals in the ministry of defense have been present earlier literally today, or rather yesterday, late in the evening, an interview was published on

the ukrainian pravda channel, where he talks about the fact that he is suffering reputational losses ministry of defense it is because of these corruption scandals that is, the fact is present and it is recognized even precisely and so the next action was absolutely logical what is next and what is most likely the resignation of the head in order to find out the truth or refute the accusation that she even to the address of his i department, somehow, i am now in quotation marks saying, somehow, the co-instigators of the corruption scandal, precisely with the decision to provide ukraine with tanks, because we expected a decision after rammstein, it was not there, but the whole he actually launched everything about this with the fertilizer of the transfer of tanks to ukraine jobidi when he said that american tanks will also go and german tanks will go there, even two battalions will go there, not 14 units, as he said, vote well, that is, the situation is leveling off and getting better, but for some reason

later again, everything stopped , yes, other military aid is coming, but armored vehicles are not coming, so i would connect these things precisely with scandals in the ministry of defense , that is, once again i played the supply of weapons and the replacement of the head of the ministry of defense, that is absolutely, well, the expected step in order for this schedule to shift, i was faster , especially against the background of the forced offensive, which is being threatened by many, and which is being talked about a lot now , so it is necessary to be as cool as possible with all these stories and not connect exactly how i have the position of minister of defense with the personality to embrace you today , the party clearly articulates that he is ready to help. he helps regardless of who will head the ministry. he helps ukraine. the minister of defense helps regardless of his last name, i think that the replacement there, the departure of reznikov and

the arrival of budanov, whom they know very well , and who is also a public person, will not become any reason to reduce the supply of armored vehicles of ukraine, perhaps on the contrary. they will go faster well, this is again my subjective opinion on this matter, based on the informational analysis that is in the information space, and as for the further fate of the ministry and those involved in the scandals, of course it should play a role here law enforcement agencies, and this will also be a very good signal to our western partners that all abuses of the ministry are being investigated, they are being properly evaluated by the court and they are passing fair judgments. on the website, if you spend there, you will indicate that the majority of people support it, then ok , now, unfortunately, i can state

that there is a very serious manipulation of information of this story. well, for example, and as for the same deputy minister of the left , the appearance of a fake foreign passport , then his story of supporting yanukovych, hearsay, crimea, and so on. nothing official was found, so the question arises. and how was this check carried out, because well , if we were to ask the calculator and would you support him there ? today there will be many but not so many supporters of such theses and these are also political moments that he is present he must be present because today, for example, i gave an example, or rather i say to your colleagues imagine the situation if you take any figure of such a scandal and when you find out who the electoral body will run for office as a candidate for deputies yes, and in his biography it will be written whether he supported viktor yanukovych , then i have doubts that i will take him to some specific

council there, especially for those wars of russia against ukraine, all these things, of course they should be filtered and tracked because the process of lustration itself, for example, can be treated differently and the process but the higher self well, i do not think that there is a negative attitude among the supporters of the faith of integration processes in ukraine, there is definitely a percentage of the population that does not yet recognize russian aggression. he says that it is russia did not attack ukraine, there are such , unfortunately, there are even in ukraine, but the absolute majority perfectly understands who is against whom thank you very much valery valery klochok, head of the center for public analytics tower a-a thank you for participating in our broadcast this morning and then we continue this topic a little, in fact, searches er arrests kanevsky project manager needs an aggressor head of the expert organization estate watch good morning to you mr. gleby good morning we hear you beautiful we see

the panels b e if so trace hmm, can you correct me, but i look so much behind my bubble in facebook, and then a little. all kinds of journalists, activists, public volunteers , in a word, people who don't care and it's so amazing. green bots, no, i don’t really like these labels. but nevertheless, people hung them and what’s interesting, you know, now it’s so strange to trace because those who supposedly called the bullies, now they say , listen, you who already won the war with russia, so that you are fighting here yes, with corruption, riljano, but those who were conditional greenbots say let ’s fight corruption, what is it like, how dare you have a war in us, and you are profiting from the war here, and it is very strange to watch these metamorphoses

, it must be, well, somehow there is some kind of back psychologists, do you have a uh, how the head of an expert organization is standing here. do you have any explanation for this? and should we fight corruption like this now, when we have a uh, much more terrible war with an external enemy? well, you know there can be only one explanation. hmm, today in society , emotions are heightened due to the war. society demands justice, and any scandal, and especially a scandal related to the procurement of the ministry of defense, really pushes society. that is why it is so aggressive to demand from the action of some authorities, and at the same time, another part of society, which feels this war in its own way and feels the danger, and they repel this part of society, on the contrary

, protect now the power of the institution. i can identify myself neither in the first camp nor in the second camp, because i know all the stories with the murderous minister of defense and defense procurement. there is the next minister of defense. i am missing one thing. frankly, this is not the first scandal in the procurement of the ministry of defense after 2014. they are always in our country with a frequency of once every three years. now in this discussion, that is, i see a discussion there about whether to fire varshikov or not to fire who will come after reznikov, i did not see it in this discussion, but what will happen to the

procurement system so that there is no more opportunities to steal budget money on potatoes and eggs, you understand, and this is actually a great tragedy for our country, because parallelism and discussion a-a who does not know that in january, the government had to consider the draft anti-corruption program prepared by european experts , ukrainian experts together with the national agency for the prevention of corruption, and there is the defense sector in this program and here in this defense sector there are clearly written tasks for the ministry of defense to ensure that its procurement system is professional and that the personnel recruitment of the ministry of defense is as high as possible professional e-e passed the maximum checks and moreover to also involve civilian ossets, i.e. not only that e-e persons with epaulettes there, for example, conducted purchases, and that it was precisely from the civilian markets that professionals were recruited who have a reputation for experience and integrity and could dispose of billions of hryvnias under the time of procurement of the ministry of defense is yes. this program , as of the beginning of november

, has not yet been approved by the government, you understand, and there it is written how to actually change the procurement of the ministry of defense , and no one is talking about this, except for the first camp it's not interesting who demands landings , not the second camp , it's not interesting who says no, landings are not needed until landings, let's win after the war, there will be landings , yes. because there is actually a case in ukraine where a successful professional procurement organization was created under the ministry and everyone forgot about corruption in this ministry in procurement, although there were scandals every year even worse than in the ministry of defense, i am now talking about a few years ago, the ministry of health, with the participation of international partners, with the participation of anti -corruption organizations, including the creation of a state-owned medical procurement enterprise of ukraine, recruited

professionals from the market who have a reputation and integrity. they were recruited on a competitive basis, that is, not like you yes, the previous guest in the studio discussed how he passed a special inspection in the elevator with such slogans about crimea and, being a supporter , shows solidarity because i, for example, well, i really know pliev that personally, well, it’s a story otherwise, to be honest, it’s not even important to me. well, he has some sentiment towards russia. isn’t there some inventory of russia? if he’s a good manager, he’ll be in his place. and he’s basically not a person there , a traitor to the country. just one question, is he the person who is best suited for this position and for this to know and understand it well, we just want to see a transparent competition and in this discussion everyone has a passport, he does not have a passport weaver, well done

or is he a scoundrel, how could he publish this ukrainian pravda, you are a serious media are you a drain tank and so on and so on, there is no main where there is a transparent competition yes , you understand, we are talking now about procurement, procurement is not a military art, procurement is not the business of generals, procurement is a business process in ukraine, there are enough managers who have experience in managing funds in hundreds of millions and in billions during procurement and managed them without corruption in public and private institutions, that is the question why in 2023 after all these battles after such a terrible invasion. well, we can't come to this discussion after all, not about who will be the new minister of defense or how some personalities with certain gaps in their political biographies ended up there. we will not come to a discussion like how we should make a professional procurement system to the ministry of defense that, in principle, everyone has forgotten

about corruption in the procurement of the ministry of defense of ukraine, in my opinion, this is currently the main task. was with us, stay with us er, because we still have many interesting guests and many interesting topics for you. all this later, we are looking for 17 -year-old mykola roslov from mariupol. i know that the boy met the war in his hometown in donetsk region and stayed there in the epicenter of hostilities for almost two months. at the end of april, mykola

managed to be evacuated from the dangerous territory on in the west of ukraine, as an internally displaced orphan, he was placed in a boarding school in the village of velikiy bereznyi in transcarpathia. the boy stayed there for only a few days, and on the second of may he mysteriously disappeared and no one knows where he is now, so i appeal to everyone who sees me to look carefully at the photo of mykola roslov he has light blond hair and green eyes , he looks like a 17-18-year-old boy, if anyone has seen him or knows where he might be, don't delay and call us on the hotline of the child tracing service magnolia by short number 116,000 calls from any mobile operator, i have another story of a child's disappearance, this time in kharkiv oblast, it is about five-year-old yaroslav mayer. i know that he and his parents came under fire, in the end he lost his mother and father, fortunately yaroslav himself

the child survived, he saved the child by chance, the godfather told us about it, the grandfather of the boy, who is now trying to find his grandson. yaroslava told the tragic story of his family in detail. he says that his grandson and his parents met the war in kharkiv and since in the first days of the full-scale invasion the situation there was quite uneasy , the family immediately decided to evacuate . was the kupyan district occupied almost from the beginning of the war, so mr. serhiy could not contact his family for about seven months, but he believed that everything was fine with them, but there was no

absolutely, then, as if he knew that he was an official , it would be even more so under the occupation, they can blow it up there and not all of them will go to the head again. for some time it remained under occupation and it was there that the family of mr. serhiy was located. it is known that the situation in the village was very tense and at some point an evacuation column was organized there for civilians. but on the highway between the kupyan junction and the village of kurylivka , civilian cars were fired upon. the two daughters of nadiya's family were driving in this column. why did they give everything they had ? five-year-old yaroslav survived, survived and baptized a boy who was also riding in this convoy , he saved the child and supposedly managed to do it together with