[000:00:00;00] after that, a time period of up to 2-3 weeks is meant to start an offensive on kupyansk in the liman direction, and against the background of these events , large-scale mobilization will be prepared and carried out so that at the beginning of summer, somewhere in the first half of june, already having a group of up to half a million military personnel , with old samples or restored samples, but still military equipment, to start already larger-scale actions and try to achieve the goal of the war to destroy the ukrainian state, that is, if your statement is short, then in fact now this

the grouping of rural troops with 320,000 personnel on the territory of ukraine , plus a reserve of 150,000, is actually insufficient to ensure quality changes on the front line . yes, starting and then there will be a big pause for two months, when the enemy will still try to gather strength, use this uh, all his capabilities and start the second wave of the offensive, and this will be decisive for how it will develop the situation on the battlefield on the battlefield is the main conclusion. yes, you are right. well, the only thing is that it is not the starting stage, but the first stage of the three-stage operation. regarding whether this means that these two months are extremely important for us to speed up the formation of our e-e reserves and they were really ready to confront the summer as the main stage of hostilities with the russian federation, on which the important results

of the hostilities will depend. of the armed forces of ukraine, training for tanks of western models has begun, this means that on the one hand, the allies understand that we have suffered losses, we do not have enough qualified personnel in order to prepare the reserves qualitatively, on the other hand , retraining for new models provides the armed forces the forces of ukraine will have the opportunity within two to three months to prepare the group to conduct a rapid but powerful counteroffensive operation that will simply put an end to the armed forces of the russian federation, which will remain

kalashnikov assault rifles and a little bit of dry rations, it makes sense that they will have a huge group that will walk around europe , well, with such a schedule, it is unlikely that they will be able to achieve anything, especially in the conditions of destroyed non-logistics in the south of ukraine. that now the enemy is trying to make us fight linearly, that is, in fact, manpower against manpower, or are there any directions that allow us , relatively speaking, to break this dependence and bet on some other technological solutions that allow us to preserve our personnel and increase the number of losses of the enemy so that we destroy not 800 enemies there per day, but in particular , there are 1500 such decisions that can be supported by our foreign partners and what are these decisions, such decisions have already been adopted by foreign partners, this is the receipt of the armed forces of ukraine in in the near future , small-diameter light bombs are planned

that can be launched from ground platforms such as km-270 or hahimers, respectively, everything that is located at a depth of up to 70 km automatically falls into the zone of damage of long-range high-precision munitions powerful enough to cause powerful destruction, this is the first , the second is that the war is being waged by small infantry groups, now two issues must be urgently resolved by the armed forces of ukraine . and bring in the personnel of the second e units , the smallest units of the company platoon must receive fire equipment that significantly increases their surprise capabilities, this is first of all

mortars, automatic grenade launchers, in order to inflict damage on the enemy at long approaches, because now this role is played by artillery, while we have the advantage of control in means of reconnaissance, in ammunition, in the power of ammunition, their accuracy, er, we quite successfully repel attacks, but if the enemy again returns to the tactics of massive the use of artillery will simply sweep away our positions. we will have a very difficult time, so i think that the matter is now in the next month, until the weather and the terrain do not allow the widespread use of heavy armored vehicles it is precisely the strengthening of elementary units that should be emphasized, mr. viktor. thank you for your time, for your inclusion, for your explanations, and i would like to remind our viewers that the espresso channel was broadcast by victor kivnyuk, a reserve colonel and an expert at the center for defense strategies. so, we see that the challenges are quite serious, but there are opportunities to counteract these challenges

due to qualitative changes in the training of our armed forces, which should take place in the near future, the coming months. so, these were the main military results of this era and more more international and economic news from my colleagues on the big airwaves. thank you to his guests. i voiced a few short messages for you that the scandalous press officer who took pictures on new year's holidays in paris has been dismissed from her position. this person was a persofir. in the south of the border service and on the new year holidays went to rest in paris, of course. everyone has the right to go somewhere, but definitely not a military serviceman during the war , in any case, a scandal broke out because of

this, and she was actually dismissed from her post after that, mrs. ivanna platovska is no longer a military serviceman, no longer an officer. as far as i understand, she posted a fresh photo, we won't show it, she posted a fresh photo, this is also a luxury segment. and people there started to be somewhat indignant with her. well, she replied that she should not be jealous of other people's money. well, but in in any case, now she has every right to insert a photo from paris from bangkok from dubai from new york watched from barcelona from london and actually no one will say anything to her because now she is not a military serviceman in moscow, they tried to steal lenin, this is how i approach yuriy fizra, the world about ukraine, yuriy good evening. good evening to you, vasyl . they really tried to steal lenin in moscow, but a man who was drunk tried to steal it. well , somewhere he is with his colleagues near red square on tverskaya i drank chained russian, i got hot and thought noch why not steal, well, but they were detained, as everyone is detained in russia for anything. well, in particular, i will have something else in the column today, and the un

said that the peaceful end of the russian the war in ukraine is still not visible in poland, they generally assumed the beginning of the possible beginning of the third world war, but the prime minister of estonia kayakal showed all europeans, ordinary europeans , how it is possible to join in helping ukraine, about this and other things in a moment in the column world about ukraine well, i'll start with the terrible tragedy that happened today in turkey, more than one and a half thousand people died and about 800 were injured as a result of two earthquakes that shook the south-west and east of the country today, and here in the neighboring series on the territory which also felt strong tremors. zakyn did not kill more than 800 people, at least 600 received injuries of varying degrees of severity. the first earthquake with a magnitude of 7.8 on

the rifter scale was recorded at 4:17 in the morning near the city of asiantep, which is not far from the border with syria , and the second was recorded in the province of elbistan . yes in southwestern turkey alone , according to local media reports , at least 3,000 residential and non-residential buildings have been completely destroyed in the region, and many people may still be trapped under the rubble. search and rescue teams are working non-stop. well, after lunch there was also information that an earthquake was also recorded today in kazakhstan, fluctuations with a magnitude of 5.4 points on the rifter scale were felt in the south of the country near the city of shymkend, there is still no information about victims and destruction i hope that it won't be and further, taking into account the fact that the fluctuations were

not as powerful and strong as, unfortunately , in the south, in the southeast of turkey , the world needs peace in accordance with the charter of the united nations and in accordance of international law, but the prospects of this peace are constantly weakening , the secretary general of this organization, antonio guterres, said about this today during a speech at the un general assembly that, in his words, the probability of a peaceful end to the russian war in ukraine is becoming, unfortunately, increasingly weak, and the possibility of further escalation and bloodshed is growing well, and then the quote from the un secretary general, the world is blindly heading towards a large-scale war, it is going to it with wide open eyes, this is the end of the quote.

about two billion people suffer from conflicts in the world now, and this is scary . there will most likely be no new economic restrictions in the 10th package of anti-russian sanctions. the package will most likely include the means by which brussels will try to eliminate the white matter in the previous 9 packages that the kremlin uses to bypass the introduced restrictions already introduced according to sources with which talked to journalists-politicians, it is not about a real package of sanctions, but about the adjustment of the already existing, because there are no new possible restrictions left, and many say in the west well, it is a pity, because more and more of these restrictions are needed, taking into account what to squeeze on russia we need more and more peace in ukraine will come only

when russia withdraws all its troops from the territory of our country either voluntarily or if its cream if the kremlin demolishes this in an interview with a spanish publication elmundo said the prime minister of poland, mateo shmurowiecki, but when the head of the government of the polish-lithuanian commonwealth was asked whether he would not lead to this means the option and with the coercion of russia to the point that the war can turn into something else, mr. morawiecki answered the quote, we are considering all possible scenarios but i am sure that if the kremlin is allowed to win this war, russian imperialism will not stop in ukraine. russia is a threat to all its neighbors, but in finland they are looking for an alternative option to join nato without sweden this may happen if turkey and hungary do not ratify the swedish government's application to join the north atlantic alliance

, our coat of arms of the finnish publication ilta lehka wrote about this today with reference to a source in the government of the current prime minister of finland, who himself is not marinated, according to the source publication, finnish government officials perfectly understand that their country has a long border with russia, and considering russia's hope in ukraine, it is necessary to significantly strengthen its own security, in particular by becoming a member of nato, although the journalists of the publication summarize and emphasize because until the official position of the government of finland has not changed towards nato, this country still wants to join together with sweden . well, there are such prospects. they somehow become illusory in view of all the recent statements of the president of turkey, recep tayyip erdoğan. a few days ago, last week, he stated, let me remind you that he has no complaints about finland, but he has no complaints about sweden, that's why if finland wants to join, it can join

itself. i want sweden. well, let it wait for sweden. that's why i don't know. we'll see what happens next for the country. events continue to finance the opposition in order for it to continue preparing for a coup d'état in belarus, and even more about this today , the self-proclaimed president of the country, oleksandr lukashenko , said during a meeting with a high-ranking official from any provocations and even adds that success is even added by the once successful head of a collective farm that they are even ready to commit acts of terrorism inside the country well, what else did oleksandr lukashenko say let's listen to him in his direct language and if the west sees that they are playing, only a specific event will be financed , preferably of such a radical plan, and not even at the level of the 20th year, the overthrow of the murder

of the president there, you owe them a face and you are not in the last straw there this is to scare you, you know exactly that, that is, everyone who stood up to clean up all the people for this will be financed by the west, it reminds me of his phrase when he told putin and i will show you where they were supposed to attack belarus, well, he knows how to speak so that later i had something to show you, the chinese intelligence agent who was shot down in the united states of america. it may divert washington's attention from russia for a certain period of time . such fears are now arising in the leadership of the european union . next quote the administration of the white house can for some time solve the problems that have arisen with beijing, and for the european union this is bad news because the main problem continues

stay russia - that's the end of the quote, well, besides that, the source of the publication claims that problems with china can affect american foreign policy, which continues to actively support ukraine, i really hope that greece will not be affected. how warm and with warm seas, due to heavy snowfall in the country, schools were closed and students were transferred to distance education , employees of all state institutions were transferred to remote work, courier delivery was prohibited a to the drivers who go out on the roads without chains on the wheels, even the studs were left without power due to broken power lines well, but i am happy that everything passes these and me and summer will come and warmth will come to them and to us in the end and victory will come to us well and in conclusion last week, she wove camouflage nets for

the armed forces of ukraine, and this time she joined the production of trench candles again for the defenders of ukraine, and now i am talking about the prime minister of estonia, mrs. kayu kalas, about the fact that she helped again to other estonian volunteers to create these candles, the head of the estonian government wrote on her page in the twitter microprog network , according to mrs. kalles, people throughout estonia are helping ukraine as much as they can, because the russian war against ukraine is a war against democracy and freedom, and therefore the minister herself also joins them and even more, she encourages others to do the same. everyone can help ukraine win . kaya kallas finished her post on twitter. well , i'm her. thanks for that. thank you for such a beautiful example well, thank you for all the help that we in ukraine receive from this small country . well, that's all in the world about

ukraine section for today, only for today, because tomorrow there will be more, but there will be more. who suffer from rheumatism and arthrosis of the joints is so piercing , it is impossible to get used to it, it does not allow to move i tried everything and at the pharmacy i bought a yellow dolgit cream, it saves me from the pain of rheumatism, relieves pain, reduces swelling and improves the mobility of the joints in the wrists and back, what is it? we continue our ten. thank you very much to yuri fizor for telling us what is happening outside of ukraine. by the way, today

we will also raise the topic of the earthquake in turkey. later, she will tell about the situation in the republic of turkey, where a terrible earthquake occurred in the south of the country. then there was another, and up to 1,500 people died, and more than 300 people died in neighboring syria. well, now we will talk about israel and iran with us on the phone ihor semevolos director of the center of middle eastern studies mr. ihor i greet you good evening i will briefly announce the information for our audience and then we will start from this so to speak - dancing it is quite possible that in the future god grant that we will not be receiving weapons from israel in the distant future , the prime minister of the jewish state of binin, nathaniyahu, promised to study the issue of supplying us with weapons. in addition, the leaders of the soviet union also promised to think about those whether to provide ukraine with air defense equipment, in particular, we are talking about the iron dome, yes, it was without synchronization, we gave

the opportunity to hear this information. now i want to ask you. moved on to such a conversation, please well, i assume that the key reason why the rhetoric has changed, and i emphasize that it is only about rhetoric, now it is the visit of biden and this is a complication of a serious complication of relations between israel and by iran and the course of the penguin government of providing, well, let's say so, to a more comfortable confrontational behavior with israel, yes. that is, we still cannot say how far , how far he is ready, let's say, to strike at the nuclear program of a nuclear facility of israel as he

he talks about it or about missiles in warehouses or places of their assembly, that is, all this still remains a part of the militant rhetoric, so to speak. but nevertheless , we already see certain signs of a change in behavior , a change in policy. well, the same fakhansky eh isakhan drones that are attributed to the israelis and some were launched from the territory of iran by some unnamed people , possibly masad agents . of my israeli and uh, among this other thing, there was also this request of anthony blinke to help ukraine uh, the logic is also clear here. if we are uh, it is meant that the united states of america also helps israel, then,

accordingly, israel must help ukraine. such logic and how israel will actually behave is still difficult to say. i think that the first signal of the first and main such moment should be the agreement on the possibility of exporting israeli weapons that are located on the territory of european countries, well, with the armament of european countries to ukraine at one time, we remember that the israelis have blocked the export of such weapons, if such export will be allowed, then yes, the ice has really shifted , that is, the situation is dynamically changing. and please tell me about which language, which weapons . the main thing we are talking about now is that they are not bad israeli drones , if, again , i am not confusing anything. it seems that, well, there are weapons, small arms, also of good israel, and of course, whatever ukraine lacks

, the projectile is working. it's about barrage shells, it's about anti-tank weapons, you're a means of impression. well, it's similar, that is, what our baltic friends wanted to convey at one time , but they were simply blocked. and please tell me, is there understanding today in israel judging by the words from the actions of the leadership of the state of israel, let's say relaxation to iran, no let's say yes , the strengthening of ukraine - this is through russia , so to speak, through the transfer.

i can't say that it 's some kind of f----------------------------------------------------------------------- the main a-a arbiter and the main a-a guarantor that there ira will not carry out strikes on the territory of israel, and russia, accordingly, in its turn, will turn a blind eye to the strikes of the israelis on the territory of syria, that is, in the bases and objects of iranian objects in this country, this was the agreement. to what extent this agreement will be implemented in the future, the future will show. i think that the promise of the russians to send modern aircraft and air defense equipment there seriously changes the map . i mean iran, and obviously these

to get not only there, but also closer to the borders of israel. that is, this is a direct and obvious threat, and i think that for the first time in israel they began to understand that this is the game they played before, where moscow was the key player, is already beginning to bubble up. well, there are still symptoms of such clear signs that they have changed their policy no i will put one more task on the tyrant of israel and then of course i will ask about today's earthquake in turkey, syria , well , this is actually also the middle east, well, in part. like a part of europe somewhere, some part but again, we understand so well that the israeli national team also plays in the selection for the european championship, but israel of course it is not europe well, like kazakhstan by the way, but this is what i wanted to ask a little more to iran, please tell me what happened in this situation, understanding the threat from israel , understanding that the consequences of this war are still

unclear, as well as the end of this war for iran. and now he wants to build a factory for drones with russia, he continues to support russia may lose diplomatic relations with ukraine, what do you think the leadership of iran is betting on, well, the leadership of iran does not have many options for, let's say, interaction with the fact that the nuclear agreement has not been concluded, or rather, it has not been restored in principle, the sanctions pressure is increasing, the economic situation is increasing the political situation is getting complicated, it is not the best, there are problems within the political class, so they can rely only on the fact that, well, there is russia, so they decided to bet on russia and rely on russia for those resources that

russia can immediately pay out of its pocket and give to tehran. well, actually, they are focusing on this. that is, it is closing , closing, closing the holes, and the fact that the holes are increasing is a fact because, well, this is an indirect fact which it recently became known that in iran the amount of chicken and chicken consumed on the parquet is sharply decreasing. and this is one of the key meats for iranians, and this indicates that there is a further e impoverishment of the population, that is , incomes are really falling very much and are increasing ventilation eats up almost all of the money that is saved, that is, the situation is really

difficult for the iranians and for the iranian leadership , so they work with whomever they can. we have literally 2.5 minutes. approximately one and a half thousand dead , well, there are a little less in turkey, more than three hundred people died in syria , political consequences first of all. and it was this blow that came at a moment when the situation was not easy, so it was absolutely right, absolutely right, this is an obvious black swan for ertogan, because i am more than sure that the position will raise a lot of questions , ertugano, starting with why these houses were not er, they were built in accordance with the reporting of which technologies, although such a decision was made, er, who made these houses and many other things, all of them are bigger. these houses were built after 2002, that is,

during the era of virtual reality, it is very clear what will happen it's difficult. well, plus, of course, the resources that need to be saved now should not be spent on reconstruction, on help, as dogan can't throw at, let's say, the support of those strata of the population on which he is very naked, by the way, some other gas generators in turkey were also affected as a result of this accident, he does not know what exactly is it about? tell me, please, can this change? now , let's say sweden, which depends directly on the decision of the turkish authorities to join nato. i promise to provide humanitarian assistance to turkey. help, rescuers, is it possible that this trouble will at least somehow change erdogan's attitude, or will they continue to stubbornly try to get rid of these kurds who are interfering with them in sweden , please, well, there may be beauties here, very beautiful in

the format of getting out of this crisis, that is, erdogan can really save face and here is how the noble host , the grateful ruler, solve these questions sweden. in principle, i miss the fact that it is possible, he repeatedly made such feints , but he can insist on his medal with approximately the same success. thank you very much for your participation. thank you for your comments. ihor samovolosi, the director of the middle eastern studies center, was in touch with us