[000:00:00;00] penalty passport, statistics, if these numbers are transferred to the entire line of contact, then the statistics show that approximately 800-900 katsaps along the entire line of contact fall under the fire in just a couple of days . this is how the life of the russian occupier continues. we need more of the latest projectiles, and if you multiply it by the professionalism of our guys , and it is the result, we will shoot it on drones and show it beautifully .

already a third of our caesars. well, maybe we wouldn’t mind even more, of course, but at least it speaks well of the french. look , ivan, now the main goal of the russians is, in principle, on the one hand, to somehow completely surround our units near the red mountain and paraskoviivka on the other hand. go out on the road eh, it's already from the south t-04 05.04 - it's ivaniv e between ivanivka and the hubs, if you evaluate these two directions eh, then in- well, where, where the situation is dangerous, it's still going now well, in principle, it's more critical for self -defense there will be a question about let's say that's what i think that after all, they will try, uh, yes. what is further north along the flank by car, and there , let's say, they can concentrate their efforts there . if we talk about what can be more dangerous . well

, you and i. unfortunately, we succeed. details that, well, it is impossible to predict, which directly depends on how the events on the battlefield will develop, because, well, let's say, we are trying to understand the general picture , how long will it be possible to hold back the russians under bakhmut or, on the contrary, how quickly they will be able to push them away from the other side of russia. they, too, are constantly trying to understand how we can simply feel where , in their opinion, our defense is the most stable and where it is not the most stable, and accordingly they throw their efforts there, they act in an advisory manner , taking into account the fact that the enemy uses verbs and speaks chaotically now now this is more dangerous there is less dangerous there is less dangerous well, i personally would not take it purely because, well , it seems that such a genre is called for a child not caffeine gushchyn well, no more . to roman from the first, you will also hear very often russians talk about the fact that

as soon as it is possible to go out and capture there during the ravine , this question will be solved, as it seems to me, it is quite difficult in the times of the ravine, in principle, it can be captured well, this is a somewhat unlikely story. but how do you, romano, evaluate these dreams of going to the temporary yaru? hmm, we don’t listen to their dreams , we don’t even try to listen to them, and i advise all other people to do the same. the population of katsaps talked about the fact that they will take basmuth by the new year. since july, katsaps have been trying to storm the fortress. there are only losses. there is no result . therefore, all their statements and these fantasies of the bunker grandfather and those close to him are all exclusively

fantasies about the fact that we are standing strong. we inflict a striking blow on the fighters, and the fact that they are talking about taking something, well, these are sick fantasies, er, and some kind of attempt there, again, to keep their electorate in a bunker, eh, at least in some way to explain to the population of katapia that what why are they here at all because it is a mystery to the whole world what they are doing here and that these efforts have been forgotten here and they are dying here they are freezing here, well, it is not clear why and here they are trying to somehow explain that they here they release what they will release during the name of what they will release they smell nothing they will not weave here they are beached in the ground well thank you this is roman conan lieutenant battalion freedom of the national guard of ukraine who joined

us from under the bahma here thank you roman and i wish you well, good luck there and we really hope that you will succeed in everything and will be able to repel this attack on bakhmut a-a and ivan, we will continue with you, let's talk with you . indeed, this point from the time of yara is critical for the advancement of the russians in general, in general, in principle, here you know, it’s worth analyzing the whole story on three levels: operational and , let’s say, theoretical, and let’s call it informational, because operational even if you try to look at map of combat well now i am even the son-in-law of the temporal abyss and i will try to move russia on. of course, this is the most difficult option now. well, it is not that it would allow the russians, well, now what they call will snap the circle of operational rotation. well, all the more so, as they are

in a hurry to advance in a costly way for themselves, because well, as the previous speaker pointed out that literally there five soldiers have something to clear the mines in the literal sense , and why hmm, the previous four do not know about the fate of the first one who left well, this is very much for them expensive and not even if you model the worst option that can only be imagined and voiced live. well, if they even get there for kilometers, that is , several tens of kilometers, they descend , they need some time somewhere to get a foothold before continuing with any offensive actions, why i he immediately said that if there were two, several levels , to analyze this whole story because, as you can see , roughly speaking, the russians simply set themselves, well , the russian military command would simply set themselves such a task and we would know about it because only from the assembly of the general staff, yes no, they still chose the contact of the information product that propaganda has to sell to the population, and if it is already such

a story, that the way out of this is only a temporary pitfall, this is russian propaganda trying very hard to sell that this is a victory. it was normal, logic tells us that the independents are somehow not very optimistic about their chances of capturing the entire donetsk region , according to the admin of the cordo - according to the border admin, in the end, you know. so when we try to evaluate what is there, all those determined people produce in the information space, we we pay attention only to all these screamers well, like there is skobeevoy then more well, let's say so and from the rubric uh , we do n't understand all the characters from the rubrics in the grades of something there. which at the same time there are direct recruits advising him. well, you know, these are the eyes of the so-called military theorists. the refrain of the so-called military theorists is the constant refrain of commanders of the type. well, let's at least not fool ourselves into thinking that we are advancing slowly because

we are. you warn your personnel to they say, within the framework of our military science, we must advance quickly, very quickly, in order to preserve our own and inflict maximum losses on the enemy of type a, so it turns out that even at the summit, you military theorists who sit there advise, well, at the ministry of defense of the russian federation and for that deserve a separate whisper, they directly emphasize that this format of hostilities, which is currently being waged by the irif army at the most the effect in terms of exhausting the armed forces of ukraine is not even what it is up to. exactly, well, the perfect result. yes, just like everything that exhausts the armed forces of ukraine, it turns out simply to exhaust our fighters by the fact that they constantly send a wave there. and therefore it is as similar as possible to what the russians now admit and calculate. therefore, so far we have such a case that if here of course there can

be a construction on the contrary that on the one hand we are somehow thinking about a fake their statement there, the operational situation may turn out differently well, but here time may show something, and the objective foundations i basically wrote , look, they are there if you look north , there, closer to soledar, there behind soledar , north of saudar, they are now aimed at siversk very actively and for them, this is also another such point, well, practically, i don’t know , it has already become sacred, because going to soledar is also some kind of literal goal and which is declared to be very important, they are trying to achieve in the end. soledar, and well, it is clear that their attack is directed there, you know, they are personally impressed that they are just trying to prove to themselves that

they are capable of attacking, because even now if we look at this such and such a configuration of hostilities when they are conducting, but they are not trying yet some there let's say a blow of a lesser value or enter let's say something into a single result, well, roughly speaking , to direct several arrows, words of attack, well , only there to take it quickly exactly, they are trying to somehow create something that they call it an operational space for a further offensive, but they are not in the condition to immediately create an operational space for a further offensive, they should at least deal with some of the first tasks, you know , but nevertheless they are trying to show themselves in this way that they are advancing not in a few directions at the same time, on the one hand, the goal looks, well, irrational , well, like they are somehow wasting resources. well , on the other hand, it’s still not in something, and our forces disperse those forces that could

would like to concentrate a little bit, so to prepare for a counteroffensive, there are all kinds of publications in the western media about the fact that western partners supposedly advise us to move away from bakhmut in order to preserve the strength for a counteroffensive, they do not arise simply because the russians they attack, well, something from a strategic strategic plan , i emphasize from time to time precisely from a strategic plan, they at the same time in some ways limit our ability to prepare for a counteroffensive , which i announced on the basis of which this entire tank coalition and others were formed there packages of military aid well, about the tank coalition, i want to talk a little later, but let's see now , in principle, they can see that the russian offensive continues in four directions, i still think that it is, well, still an offensive, or is it direct and and the big, big offensive that they were talking about, well, it’s probably not a big offensive, but how can you even understand these actions

, well, that is, there were several waves, it was some kind of first wave of those whom they managed to prepare from those mobilized that they had already recruited how are you you estimate because at the same time they are going there , e.e., luhansk region, near this crime area, near even near kupyansk . they are trying to do something, e. the attempt to capture bakhmut is, in this connection, an attempt to storm under a coal mine, it's all basically a single castle, if we even consider this situation, what is pessimistic for us from the point of view of what is optimistic ? but definitely not what they are there they can repeat the conditional on february 24, if we model a pessimistic version that, they say, the russians are now throwing some free forces into

battle in order to hide the strength of the defense of ukraine, who , because of this, cannot get enough time there for rest, regrouping , the like, the like, it is even possible to prepare for counterattack well, the weather is now cold , it is frozen , the ground is freezing. no less, and it turns out that within the framework of philology, the second helmet of the offensive should go to the attack, but judging by everything, even the fact that the second offensive of the top with a mouse should have gone, the russians have already started for you well, that's right, dude, patriot. the same areas to hold the army of the russian federation and even the same areas to hold the unit, in fact , the army played only under a different banner, well, this means that if they were not among themselves, they could , roughly speaking, not coordinate efforts there, and friendlyfire helped even more

, a similar situation even with because the russians they are trying to take bakhmut well, that means our athlete is on that side well, he is not stupid. if he was stupid, then we would have already defeated him, but for some reason they do not have such a clear idea in their heads, so let's say that we should homogenize our battle formations and remove either dude wagner from there or the remnants of the russian army from there to advance only in one echelon in order to preserve forces, well, for some reason, it does not come to that even if we continue the material of this pessimistic version of the introduction to bypass the so-called second echelon, which would have to develop success, well, the russians will turn out clearly not as they hoped, and in the end, instead of what they hoped for, these rapid advances will continue for them, uh , the same thing that they call the verdun meat grinder, well, that is, a slow advance of a couple of hundred meters forward from with large losses of manpower. if you model an optimistic option , you know, in our case, the optimistic option already has the option that the russians have been trying to access at

their slow pace for the second week, because well this option is optimistic in the sense that we still expected that the russians will literally try to repeat until february 4, that is, to enter on february 24, to advance with a very large mass of troops in very unexpected directions, and in parallel to accompany this with very massive missile strikes on the entire infrastructure of ukraine, because on february 24, as far as remembers that the russians fired at least 160 missiles at both military and civilian targets, but nevertheless, in order to repeat such a scenario, the russians have already folded their forces and smeared them it seems that this great author, under whom they threatened and told everyone here, is literally happening right now and we are just so when you and i are talking here we are trying to understand the individual tactical episodes of this entire great offensive and you know you can call it rather, well, not what is there the repetition of february 4 is similar. in this way, the russians are trying to repeat something like the horde operation

of the nazis in 1944. if it was not enough that the offensive was put on the soft side, the fate of this offensive to carry out which the germans then attracted half a million people and 1.5 thousand units of tanks and self-propelled guns determined that in one of the forests seven incomplete german battalions could not push through two incomplete american battalions , therefore, in fact, the russians of this great offensive are in failure. everyone there a tactical episode from the rubric, where did our fighters successfully hold back the raid of the russians, he can play such a role, you know, it is very important , as a result of which the russians will roll back due to such a communicative effect if to talk about political ones, i still see here in these offensives of the russians often political ones, they were very afraid of what you say that the ukrainians will at least form a shock fist in one direction and capture something

and even capture it without something, there are a couple of villages, one town for the russians because it was, well, politically, it would have been a very big loss. well, but it didn't happen. this is already such a local fate for them. well , oleksandr doroshenko joined us - he is an officer of the national guard of ukraine and a member of the kharkiv regional council greetings, oleksandr, do you hear me. glory to the heroes, tell me. here we have already started talking about the fact that the russians are trying to conduct some offensive actions in the direction of luhansk. there, near the flint near the er, in the direction of the estuary, the russians themselves are constantly telling that they are advancing there. in kupyansk, they say that they are going to dotsky there from dibrovan yampil, how do you see it, that is , did some kind of strike group of russian

troops really gather there? we were in the middle of november a few kilometers away, but this we held the defense for a few kilometers, i can say that we were put on rotation in the kharkiv region. a week ago, but a few days after our big air reconnaissance group went there because there were some problems and left after another battalion of our unit replaced that the orcs really were offensive actions, there were uh, further offensive actions, that's why the unit of our unit had to retreat to the prepared positions. that's why they have people, there are many infantry in

the forest, and there is armor, and artillery is constantly working for mortars and mortars and tanks, they provide our guys with some kind of strongholds or dugouts, uh, it's better to make it safer, so i can say that the situation there is very difficult , very difficult for now, and we're holding on . yes, everyone said that maybe somewhere after the new year we will go to krom except for me , but no no , that is , now you do not evaluate it positively. prepared troops, i.e. what is it for, at least it gave us some understanding. what are they counting on there more for some kind of rush or

what do they have there, and people of different levels of training are in the agner, especially professional ones, so far they have not seen the infantry by name, but i can say that they are mobilized, there is also a crime. there was information that there are many people in crimea , it is orks and russians who arrive. where possible , they will be placed in what buildings or other premises they do this, i can say. as for the air reconnaissance, it is professional - it ahmat, that’s why their actions, how they work, or maybe they evaluated a-a saw their videos of how they work eh, immediately after they raise the copters, almost immediately, if they saw something, some eh targets, immediately from eh, they turn to their artillery

and the artillery works out, he can say, er , he saw his car damaged, yes, they saw this video three weeks later on youtube, but saw how when we were in the forest on the first, er , first, second of january, when they saw all this , and then, er, it was already in the evening, but the tank worked on the car, so some units if they had professional well, by the way, what you are saying also says that the russians somehow corrected their situation with the fact that they did not have such a normal interaction between er-er actual guidance and artillery, that is, they had such a big gap and what do you say now that they have pulled up the copters, yes, more or less, and there is some kind of interaction , well, that’s it, in principle, that’s it already then, the quality improvement of their work can be evaluated in this way, tell me. and actually , what is the focus of their efforts in this area

, how do you evaluate this method, is it some kind of developed the offensive there is something more towards kharkiv. is it still also directed there somehow to capture kupyansk itself? well, what plans do they see there? well, the direction of criminalization is more the direction of liman. we were just in liman, and we were constantly on duty. to the forest, just the forest, eh, eh, the trip to the forest to the place took about an hour and the whole forest when we drove by, and yampil from yampil to the forest eh, he drove the whole forest is shot through, not small arms, mortars, artillery, all shoot, even an hour, you you're not going to the friend gear to third you practically don't switch, that's why it's dangerous, they have a task now. as far as i understand , it's a maximum. maybe because of the sharp stallion

, you'll send us something more to the estuary or, er, to yampol, i don't think they'll succeed, but before that what is the road in torskoy, which road is connected to kriminatorska, they approached 3 km a few weeks ago , they worked in potorskoye with mortars, artillery, there are roads there, they use these roads that connect the settlements of liman-torsko, they worked , they worked successfully, they were damaged few cars will fall after theirs, so i think that it will be more local, but you know. they will count their infantry. and in our country, each person is by weight, because in them. but this is a big country, and their five are counted, i think in relation. i think that to our one uh, look at another nuance , uh, you in your direction, that is, for example, in the direction of bakhmut, we constantly

observe this uh, method of action by assault groups in your direction, how does it happen, that is, what exactly are the tactics used by the russians in your direction now uh, i can uh, more uh, make a chronology when we go in at the beginning of november, from our side, the thermal actions, uh, and the assault actions were on the position of the mayampil orcs and uh , they advanced through the forest, so we advanced somewhere , well, a few kilometers there, 5-7 km behind uh, behind him , there was a line of defense that was held almost until the end of january, when we were the extreme ones. 10 20 30 people

came to our trails. yes, he was there today were killed, went to a concert in kobzon, but tomorrow we saw that there are already 30-40 replacements, so you know, there is quite a bit of frost here in the forest, and the format of the battles is different from the city battles, so there and there about this artillery has various features, but it is difficult and in the forest in the city of yasno ivan, then you have a question. what do you think the russians are pursuing there, this is support for this idea, after all, to finally go to the border of the luhansk region and the donetsk region, eh ? from there they will plan something else in this direction, in fact, also in my opinion here, the maximum plan is to ensure that they fulfill the task of taking over

the donetsk region . of the front well, because it seems that they have such a format of hostilities there, it is called coking the enemy, well, they perform this task, well, at the same time, it means why the russians are unlikely to set themselves what are now very global goals, there is the truth of the great attack, well, these are all not human experiments with throwing small group assault groups on all sections of the front, it’s in them consider, well, those russian theoreticians are trying to check in this way and what kind of offensive helmet of forces should be built for, well , really such big strikes, as they planned that in february 2022 , because here they saw that it is impractical to build such large churches in london, it is impractical for battalions in tactical groups, and it is also impractical for columns to advance, but now they are trying to check and how will this theory work out for them to scatter their offensive forces on assault groups and in this way ensure continuous pressure, because

, unfortunately, our enemy is not stupid for some kind of reflection, he is capable of it, but to what extent they will try to attack us in this way and carry out their reflexes in this way , well, the question is open ivan, literally briefly, how would you evaluate the idea that they are coming from the side of the wallows in order for them to succeed in this attempt, what do the russians need, that is, what do they lack and to what extent are they generally capable of this to prepare such an offensive in short well, what do they need, they need more manpower, more armored vehicles and more ammunition for artillery, it's all busy now under the bachmouth , for some reason i made an amendment that they might have an option at least to just get bored our forces, well, they know how to take them into account there and they fully understand that what they have may not be enough to cut through our

part of the kharkiv region so as to again provide a flank for the offensive on donetsk region, well , to find at least our uh-uh, well, offensive on svatov and beyond, and that's all, that is, with these actions yes, oleksandr. how would you assess your direction? what do we lack in order to stop these attempts of the russian offensive? well, let's move on to the renewal of the counteroffensive. well, the first thing is that i think that from the real these are bro tanks, armored vehicles, bmps, various armored vehicles, for demining, there are primarily foreign cars, artillery, shells for artillery, but if we dream of airplanes, when we understand that

this will not happen, and here, too, the main thing is people, people , because people can say really no it has been almost a year, how will the war continue, when there was no mobilization or it was not so active, now we really lack people and there is a loss, but first of all people are tired, tired of being constantly in tension, and psychologically and physically, people need some kind of rest in order to re-e- i don't want to go into battle, but you say more, well, people, this is nasa, and i would like some trained fresh forces to come, as i understand it, fully capable so that our forces can save themselves . well, we understand that trained people will not be

because when i went as a volunteer last year, there was no training . therefore, even with the young fighter course, now i understand that apart from 2-3 weeks, it is not enough to be active, even inactive. and some understanding of new weapons to hold there, to teach some tactics, but you know the people who are there, problems already arise on the psyche of the people who are constantly under fire, well, i think this is no secret to anyone, that's why people constantly need a break because well, what do we know when the end of our ninth year is live and that's why people will have post-traumatic syndrome, and now the last year is a more active