[000:00:00;00] the additional committee of the council returned to the audit of defense procurement, we have what is left, i don't know, it's serious. it works. yes, in fact, in chernihiv oblast, two rockets were hit by rockets on the settlement of semenivka , including an industrial enterprise. there are people who are under rubble now, and two were injured it seems to me that it is very important to note. well, regarding the audit, the audit will be an interesting question , because last time he told the committee that everything is fine there, and if he returns, he will have to admit that he was wrong, and i think that he was wrong because there are many spots and, unfortunately, not white ones, which will have to be answered, this is not a question of the committee frankly, but it will be difficult to explain how everything was fine then

and two weeks later it became bad. well, with serhiy rudenko glory to ukraine is a program verdict my name is serhiy rudenko good day and good health to all today february 8 is the 350th day of the heroic resistance of the ukrainian people to the russian occupiers president zelenskyi is visiting on wednesday britain is expected official london will announce the provision of long-range weapons to ukraine and the training of ukrainian pilots germany will provide ukraine with guided missiles and additional cheetah installations by the end of february and joseph biden said that the united states of america has built a global coalition and stands with the people of ukraine against putin's aggression as he emphasized biden in his speech before the congress in the united states of america , the americans will be with the ukrainian people until

the victorious end, meanwhile, the russian army continues to lose manpower and equipment in in ukraine, as of the morning of february 8, russia has already lost 134 people in ukraine in the last day alone. the armed forces of ukraine destroyed 910 orks. at the beginning of the great war, the russians have already lost in ukraine 3,253 tanks, 6,458 armored fighting vehicles, 2,236 artillery systems , 461 rocket salvo systems, 228 air defense systems, 295 airplanes 285 helicopters 512 units of motor vehicles 18 ships boats 796 cruise missiles 1961 drones 211 units of special equipment so let's talk today about

the expected and likely resignation of oleksiy reznikov from the post of minister of defense about how and what weapons will arrive in ukraine already this month, the expected rammstein, which is scheduled for february 14, and about biden at the head of the anti-putin coalition . today's our first guest - this is military expert mykhailo samus, mr. mykhailo. good day. good health to you and i'm glad you're with us on the air. congratulations , i'm very glad to see you. thank you, so let's go. let's start our conversation with the expected reshuffle in the ministry of defense, the leader of the servant of the people faction in the verkhovna rada, david arkhamia, has already said that oleksiy reznikov will step down from the post of minister of defense, instead , it is planned that his position will be replaced by a wing of budanov, a general who currently heads the main

intelligence directorate of the ministry of defense of ukraine, although the arkhamian said that all this will take place a little later because rammstein is ahead and this is a very important important meeting that should take place on february 14 and before that there is no need to touch varshikov how do you assess the activity of varshikov and in the context of what is happening, does the ministry of defense of ukraine need to resort to personnel changes now, well, it is obvious that there are two problems, one problem. i believe that the ministry of defense did not work effectively in terms of communication in the situation when there were accusations in corruption a-a i think that it was necessary to show less emotionality and more er, nevertheless, to provide the relevant structures with the opportunity to deal with those processes that are

corrupt, the second problem is that really no preventive measures were taken to prevent those corruptions, obviously corrupt practices that were admitted , in any case there are accusations, so far these accusations have not been brought to court and to court decisions , we can say that there are suspicions against those of committing such active schemes or the existence of such schemes or processes i think that in fact the minister of defense reznikov conducted an excellent on the plane of the formation of those weapons packages that are received by the armed forces of ukraine in this the function of the minister is carried out on a solid five or a solid 12 depending on the evaluation system, but it is obvious that there are problems with the internal kitchen, which takes place in the ministry of defense, that is, for example, now the situation is in such a way that of course, such a standbad

has been announced for the adoption of personnel decisions it is obvious that the decision to resign the butcher also took place under the influence of certain emotions , after that there was a reassessment of this decision , because we see the real situation now , president zelensky is in great britain, he just arrived tomorrow he will obviously be in brussels at the summit of the european union. these are simply absolutely important events that determine in fact the future of ukraine, the future of the armed forces of ukraine in relation to countermeasures because you said that biden is at the head of the anti-putin coalition. and now we see who is included in it. it is obvious that the united kingdom and the european union, which not only give signals , they are now specifically taking these steps, and the decision-making regarding various issues must also be considered in relation to these

processes, now it is possible to change the minister obviously, it will be a certain time for the new team to get into the situation, if there really is information that is different , for example, if i did not have information about these corrupt devices, then it is possible to simply strengthen the anti-corruption capabilities within the ministry of defense. and reznikov can continue to perform his functions, that is, i would for example do so, but of course it is up to the president to decide how he will see this situation. he has more information, he knows who is responsible for this situation, for this situation and whether it is really varshikov can continue to perform his functions without a doubt , there are a lot of questions, if varshikov did not see these corrupt devices, then this is also a question for the head of the ministry of defense. which we do not know, but we know that oleksiy reznikov told ukrainian pravda in an interview that he was not ashamed of his

work as a minister and that there were no conversations about his resignation. the activity in this position did not take place. i repeat my answers, er, tif, i simply believe that any official should know for sure that he is in his position for life and should be ready to start a stage and finish a stage, so i am ready for any whatever the course of events, i am not ashamed of what i have done, i am not at all ashamed of what i have to see . what did they get out of tisanti? i'm not for that it's a shame what kind of defense minister oleksiy reznikova was or is, we all see and hear and know, we see his active participation in rammstein and see how he

is perceived by his western colleagues in the anti- putin coalition . - it is, to paraphrase or to quote the rhyme master, quietly left quietly came. that is, it is a conversation, it is the work of an intelligence officer, quiet and calm, and the position of the minister of defense is, after all, a political position and a public position that allows a person not only to know about something and to speak and articulate your thoughts, budanov's previous experience of being an effective minister of defense will not hurt. i think that it will not hurt. you are absolutely right that general bohdanov has shown himself to be an absolutely professional intelligence officer, although of course it may have come as a surprise to many. that is, he was not seen e- in general, in some areas that were open to an ordinary

citizen, and then general bohdanov showed himself as a very professional analyst , a very professional specialist in forecasting the situation, his forecasts are constantly wrong it's not just that, it's not tarot cards. let's say this means that general budanov owns the situation, and the main thing is that he tries to master this situation, he tries to understand and tries to predict it. it is very important for the development of the ministry of defense. of course, this is a different position and i am sure that general budanov will do because it is obvious that this general is a person who is trying to grow in a constant sense and i am sure that he will do it. another question is that this is really a political position here. it is completely different. let's put it this way. the threat of challenges here is not always a fair game, you don't always know who is the enemy and who is the friend

, in this way it is a little different from the combat situation on the battlefield, what general bohdanov is used to, you know better than me , political let's put it this way, the jungle this is a slightly different situation and that's why there's another important thing here, the team, that is, reznikov has his own team that actually dealt with international issues , let's say international military-technical cooperation, and here i'll repeat myself again 12 points , but for example, reznikov's team is obvious somewhere, it did not work from the point of view of the anti-corruption fight, the step of control is, shall i remind you, there are four four levels of anti-corruption control, for example , parliamentary control, democratic control, that is, democratic civil control is manifested through the media, well , it is journalistic. and in general, public organizations work later there is departmental

control at the level of the cabinet of ministers and there is corporate control, that is, actually everything and the structure. that is, this is the ministry of defense, and it is obvious that corporate control has failed it was precisely the level of civil democratic control that worked when journalists published this information and then parliamentary control worked, which already began to work for its own according to its functionality , causing er on er r- debriefing of flights . understanding that there are problems that need to be solved, therefore, regarding the corporate level of the anti-corruption fight , i think that it is necessary to improve here, in any case, it is possible that it does not even depend on who exactly will it be, will it be minister reznikov or will it be minister bohdanov, and yet the anti-corruption components in the ministry of defense need

to be radically improved or even created from scratch, why is this extremely important, because people are giving their last hryvnias to buy drones, fairy tales a- and warm clothes and so on, they give everything they have, often not having any business that they lost due to the war or jobs, and at this moment someone is stealing millions, this is a very demoralizing factor - it is a very powerful weapon in the hands of russia, let me remind you that corruption is one of the most effective tools in the hands of the kdb since, let's say, the soviet union, and of course putin uses it, and in europe we know these cases of corruption of officials in the european union and in ukraine. of course, this is absolutely it's normal when the russians carry out this corruption and when such things happen during the war in the ministry of defense, well, it's simply unacceptable, it's a very negative factor that can destroy all

the positive gains that you can get 100 euro fighters and at this moment you will have the ministry of defense and the stability of the vertical stability of the defense due to the fact that you have corrupt people who simply steal unscrupulously steal from the soldiers uh, well, this is simply unacceptable, well, they don't just steal as a situation with bulletproof vests, they buy uh, technically, this is already in general , this is already supremacy, the degree of cynicism, for which , it seems to me, should be shot according to the law of wartime, here, i don’t know , the highest degree of punishment should be applied, because people none of them come out with bulletproof vests because the cheap ones bought them there, look, personnel rotations were postponed and they said that now is not the time rammstein is ahead, a big russian offensive is ahead, it is not about what is currently happening on the eastern and southern

fronts, president zelenskyy said yesterday in his evening address to ukrainians, we will hear from the supreme commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine, we will pay maximum attention to what the occupiers are preparing and what our soldiers need to effectively resist moreover, in all directions of donetsk region, the east, where the taigariches, i mention them every day in such addresses, the south of the meeting, although the strategic importance of these directions is no less. according to you

, what british intelligence predicts corresponds to both your expectations and your forecast - these are the first and second, if not more, options of the russians in order to start an offensive only in the south and east of ukraine, for example in the northeast. i mean the sumy region, because the russians have been shelling the sumy region quite actively for a long time, today orlan drones were shot down in the konotop area, which were moving towards nizhyn, well, that is, the russians are conducting some preliminary actions that usually precede can there not be an offensive? so now we are talking about four directions, and as a result, in these directions there will be , for example, 8, well, i will immediately say that if you compare the readiness of russia, for example , on february 24. and last year and now, they are different

things, now russia is not ready to carry out a strategic operation similar to the mongoose jump that it tried to implement on february 24 of last year, although at that time all military analysts, well, most of them, including me, for example, said that they were ready to carry out a scar - a large-scale offensive , but it will be a disaster for russia because the group that they have then had 150-170,000 around ukraine, it will be a disaster, this group is not enough , but then they gathered enough aviation forces , they had enough artillery forces of the new e armored vehicles are also relatively prepared for the professional army and so on. now the components that i named are actually absent in russia, that is, there is no longer a professional army , now they have a mobilized army . this is a little bit of the level we see in donbas. which well, the russian command is simply throwing into the furnace of war in order to implement this political plan of putin regarding the immediate capture of donbas

. because he needs to demonstrate something on the anniversary of the war. and if they do not capture donbas , then they will have to er nonsense about uh, some new tasks of this so-called special district work, just as important is the absence of air supremacy on february 24. last year, russia could hope to achieve air supremacy because they could launch massive missile strikes that destroy ukrainian air defenses, destroy ukrainian aviation that they tried to do it, but did not achieve it. and after that , having planned to launch massive air strikes into the air already against another critical military and state object, and then provide the conditions for a ground offensive so now they don’t have these capabilities, in fact they have spent a significant amount of their missile potential, aviation potential, they cannot use it in the conditions of the strengthening of ukrainian air defense and so on, because if you compare our air defense now and last year, therefore

, we have obviously strengthened we have advanced western models and there will be more and more of them, and this means that there will be no dominance of the air, just a ground offensive , just mobilized . therefore, for example, i believe that they have the opportunity to carry out the political task of taking donbas, buying donetsk, luhansk region, and try to provoke ukrainian troops in other directions, such as sumy region, kharkiv region. perhaps they can try something somewhere in the zaporizhzhia direction , they currently have more strike groups there is none, and in order to create them, we still need some kind of more intensive mobilization, we say that covert mobilization measures are underway, but this is clearly not enough if compare what they did in september of last year, how violent it all was and now. maybe they continue

to recruit something, but obviously not at such a pace , not in such volumes, and thus they cannot create, for example, another 300,500,000 groups, and even more so create a motorized rifle unit for example, for this, you need several thousand tanks, for that , several thousand armored vehicles in combat condition , artillery, and so on, intelligence, i am not talking about aviation. they will bring them to the state of driving and shooting, but this is a completely different level, and therefore it is extremely important that what happens on the ukrainian side is the acquisition of state-of-the-art weapons, which will be able to create a situation in the spring, ukraine will be able to break this massive army precisely with its e-e with its predominance of high-tech the predominance of high-tech, but mr. mykhailo

, there is obviously a threat from belarus, because there are canders and installations that can be launched from the 300 s400, well, that is, for this you do not need a motorized rifle divisions or some brigades that can, let's say, repeat the path of those who entered the territory of ukraine from the republic of belarus on february 24, 2022. well, how likely is it that together with the offensive, for example, in donetsk region and luhansk region and in zaporizhzhia, the russians can use the territories of belarus for shelling the northern regions of ukraine, and in particular the capital of ukraine , in order to constantly distract the attention of the ukrainian army and strike at peaceful cities and in this way create problems in parallel and

create problems for the ukrainian army yes of course, belarus is far from russia from the point of view of withdrawing ukrainian forces, i.e. instead of concentrating on the donbas in the eastern direction to the south, the armed forces of ukraine are forced to keep significant forces on the belarusian border, the belarusian border is about 1000 km and this is of course a huge challenge and threat, and even more so even if we say that there is no russian ground component there, in fact there are about 10-12 thousand, they, er, carry out rotations, but the total number remains approximately the same, and the russians recently conducted aviation training e-e on the territory of belarus and so far it is interesting that russian aviation has remained on the territory of belarus, it cannot be ruled out that it will remain there under the guise of exercises in general, and one more squadron or two e-e squadrons will remain on the territory of belarus, strengthening the aviation components are absolutely right in order to create threats and

constantly disturb the ukrainian forces, there is no need to keep the ground forces, you can constantly raise the aviation component, we know that this is an immediate threat to the air alarms, airstrikes, there are also iscanders. which 500 km can extend the length of 1000 borders for 500 km - this is actually half of ukraine from this point of view, it can be covered by strikes and iscanders, this is a huge threat. there, we must, this means that we must hold there and reinforced forces against air defense and in general to be ready for the fact that, for example, russia can quickly transfer an airborne assault component, create in a week , for example, 10,000 groups of airborne troops and then try under the cover of these missile strikes and the aviation component to carry out an amphibious operation again on a-a from the territory of belarus in separate

directions e-e the territory of ukraine , again pulling back the ukrainian forces, therefore, of course , belarus remains one of the most dangerous directions, although at the moment there is of course no direct threat ukrainian intelligence constantly monitors the situation and follows what is happening there, because of course this is potentially a very, very threatening direction. on this day, he was in the united states of america with a report on the state of affairs in the country before the american congress, he emphasized the support of the united states of america to ukraine in resisting russian aggression and promised further support as long as necessary, let's hear biden, i spoke in this chamber about vladimir putin's brutal war against ukraine this was a test for america to the whole world whether we will stand up for

the greatest basic principles or we will stand up for sovereignty or we will stand up for the right of people to live free from tyranny or will we stand up for the protection of democracy in one year we know the answer yes we will and yes we did it we did it we united nato and built a global coalition we resisted putin's aggression we stand with the people of ukraine we will stand with you as long as it will be necessary during the last two months, we have seen mr. mykhailo as the united states of america quite actively began to talk about the need for the victory of the civilized world over putin's russia according to your opinion, can we perceive the current biden's speech as a political decision or announcement of the political

slogan of the council to end putin's russia forever, well, in any case, in order to solve it, a political decision is needed, the political decision of the united states of america is made by the president. i think that this is even a kind of political manifesto, which is in the background again after all, the visit of president zelensky to great britain and the european union demonstrates the real existence of the anti-putniv coalition, and not just declaratively, but in reality, and not only in words, but in deeds, because during the same the very visit of zelensky to london has already been announced, in any case, the prime minister of great britain announced the training of pilots and this means nothing more and nothing less that great britain can provide us with its eurofighters. from the countries for such aircraft will help us dominate the air in certain areas of the front. and this during the offensive is simply impossible to overestimate and the summit of the european union

will just as obviously proclaim the same thesis that the europeans will be with ukraine until victory, this means that everyone has already understood that putin will not be able to stop, he has driven himself into this corner, he obviously wanted an easy operation when ukraine will fall to him at his feet, and now he is in a situation where he himself dragged himself into a war of attrition and now eh a lot depends, of course, on the unity of nato, the european union, the united states, our allies, and these statements by biden, zelenskyi's visit to brussels, london , show that the western ukrainian coalition is ready for war to the point of exhaustion. and now we'll see how putin reacts to this will react if he reacts to it only side-by-side, i think he has no chance, that is, he is of course known for his stubbornness, he is known for the fact that psychological

complexes prevail over reason, it is not obvious yet, he is not ready to make any concessions, he will try drive russia further into this catastrophe economically, we know that in january, for example, the budget deficit in russia increased by 60%. and this is not until the end of the oil, gas, oil sanctions, as well as nuclear sanctions, which will lead to obviously, in relation to larger economic problems, there is not much time left when he can take some military steps, an economic disaster will soon occur. i think that within the next six months, i think, based on this, i think that putin may have been explained to putin that he has the only chance now to achieve military success in donbas, and it is possible to record this situation after that , to announce that it is a victory, and to declare that he is ready for negotiations, otherwise, the coalition formed once is anti-putin, it will prove already

this year, everything looks like everyone is ready not to drag out this process, because after all, well, if you imagine that the west will invest such money in this war with putin and such investments, and in general, concentrate so much on putin , on putin's er, this adventure for a few more years, well, i think that it will be too much too high a price and too much attention to this putin will actually be decided, it seems to me to finish it this year to suppress uh this hydra that has decided that it can rule europe rule the democratic world already this year and these statements these decisions are about it it seems to me. well, but the main accents. obviously, this year, february, march and april will be the three main months during which the end of the russian-ukrainian war will be decided , what it will be and when it will be, i

completely understand. well, for example, yesterday the minister of defense germany was in ukraine and the decisions that germany is making now, it was simply impossible to imagine there even a month ago , that is, you can actually talk about hundreds of tanks. tank really in it has its own shortcomings, which are inherent in the period when it was developed, but all this can be solved and this tank will be very useful , especially 100 such tanks, for example, will be very useful in order to destroy russian soldiers, the russian army. i think that this is a leopard one will be very effective, and all this means that everyone really understood that these three months are decisive , now we need to make a decision right now, we need to hand over weapons to ukraine, not in a year, not in two, and so on. ukraine was ready and having endured now

it is obvious that the main task of ukraine is