[000:00:00;00] lukashenka i can't really imagine anything other than escape no, lukashenka will just come to listen to all this, it could be a conversation about whether or not to involve the belarusian army in the war with ukraine, it could be this type of consultation, because if lukashenka thinks about it, putin will put pressure on him he doesn't want to, he can ask himself in the calls what he can do in order for him to make up his mind or for putin to make up his mind. oh, i don't think so. i don't think anyone needs this war right now, and sizingin doesn't really need this war, and we need to finish ours

the program and we are finishing it yes vitaliy portnikov mykola veresen thank you for your attention to everything, we will see you in a week of all the best i congratulate you dear tv viewers on the air of the espresso tv channel program studio event we will analyze the most important events of this week and we will try to predict what the next days will bring us, our military guests experts retired colonel of the british army glen grand, as well as a well-known video blogger, a former member of the state duma, a member of the russian opposition, mark fedigin, will now be a military expert on our air retired colonel of the british army, glen grand, he will analyze the current situation on the fronts and the attempts of the russians to attack in the so-called larger format . glory to ukraine, dear mr. colonel. the offensive and attempts of the russians to advance, the battle of ugledar

demonstrated that the russian attempt was choked, they lost an extremely large number of personnel and armored vehicles the battle in the east should be considered along the entire length of the front in the east and not only in bakhmut or ugledar, because these are the places where the ukrainian troops are concentrated and so they are really quite successfully resisting the russians there , but there are other places where russia is looking for a weak point, these are certain gaps between the cities of the forest where they can move forward so they're slowly but surely moving forward somewhere and whatever it is it 's still forward movement the question is are we getting overall strategic value from what we're doing on donbas what to do next, if we just fight there defensively and wait for the next wave of attacks, it will cost us a lot

of blood. the question is how long ukraine will be able to withstand such a high level of one-on-one combat, because this is exactly what we are seeing now. face-to-face combat, all military personnel are told during training that if you have to engage in such battles , you must fight with the intention of seizing the initiative and not simply destroying the enemy. a one-on-one confrontation is extremely expensive in terms of ammunition and manpower, the main goal is always to break the spirit of the enemy and then move on to other actions . what worries me is that we are unlikely to act immediately, instead we will wait until the systems and tanks of the west arrive. and this temporary

the delay before the counterattack gives the russians time to drop more soldiers and equipment and continue the attack so i think there has to be something else if we're going to fight so at some point we have to try anything to cross the current line demarcation not forgetting that during the first and second world wars most soldiers during the attack covered long distances on foot without waiting for transport dear glend so we all live now in anticipation of large -scale combat operations on the front line and accordingly your anticipation regarding the northern direction at the moment does not see that they are going to do something with belarus, since they took so much ammunition and equipment from under russia, they will simply continue to conduct training there to make sure that we

we will leave as many troops as possible on the northern border because they do not want these troops to enter the main combat zone around kharkiv or sumy there is always a possibility that they are preparing for something there, but there is no intelligence data about this so we have to assume that if we do not receive intelligence satellite data from the americans or anyone else all they do is just keep destroying school buildings with artillery and rockets and that they will continue to do so and further it seems that the main front is still in the east it seems their goal is to break through and thus lose donetsk region if they manage to do this they will not achieve it because it is too big and it will take them too much time but it seems that this is their main goal and then in the south you have a nuclear power plant and now they are pumping water around it which is very dangerous because if cooling water is taken from a nuclear power plant, it can lead to a serious nuclear incident

. but again, in the south, the russians are quite positionally weak, it is possible that attacks in the east are intended to withdraw all the armed forces of ukraine in one place to then attack elsewhere, but at the moment there is no intelligence data that would indicate that they are going to do this, it seems that they act in the same way as during the battles around kyiv, circulating in their military bloodstream and every time they noted failures. so they currently do not have any evidence of some reasonable strategic approach to the use of tactical nuclear weapons, the russians once again began to repeat the story that they are a nuclear power began to withdraw its navy, deploy its submarine flotillas, which are the carriers of nuclear weapons, in particular, that is, they constantly return to this argument, this whole nuclear threat is exclusively political actions

aimed at sowing uncertainty . ukraine, let's consider finland for example , it was going to give tanks . will give until it joins nato the same story with other countries, i.e. russia this is how it plays on the weakness of many european politicians and also some in the white house that it can worsen the situation, this weakness creates delay and i mean that even a day or two delay as we know in donbas means the death of ukrainians and this is what putin wants and he will try to use all possible hybrid methods to sow fears in the minds of european countries so that they accordingly delay the decision saying we we can't we think about it we haven't decided we must do it all together in nato such weakness of the europeans is dangerous for ukraine because everything happens

a day two three four slower and slowness means death and superiority of russia in this period, when we are talking about the russian plans for a war of attrition, voiced, so to speak, by many military experts . yes, we understand from the other side that this means that they do not have a strategic plan of action, a war of attrition is always about tens and possibly hundreds of thousands killed, that is, at one time field marshal douglas heik became famous for it. well, i don’t even want to mention the freud of marshal zhukov. you are right, this is exactly what russia is doing, but what worries me is that ukraine is also doing it. we pay for time human lives and not a conquered space, so we should ask ourselves if bakhmut, which has now been razed to the ground, is important enough to continue to hold it at any

cost and what does at any cost mean that we will just stand in the same place until we will die, we will lose many of our priceless fighters who would help us a lot in the future, don't forget that we have already left several times, maybe we will have to do it again and if we have to do it again, it will mean that the line bahmuta was not so important, but we must win the space, try to infiltrate in certain places in order to confuse the enemy and not only lose our men . all at once and by twos by threes by fours by fives during the summer , so the general staff faces an important decision, which is whether to use these tanks as soon as we get them or to hold them until we

have a large number and then strike somewhere against the enemy and to successfully break through, this decision by the general staff worries me that as long as they have a defensive mentality, they can start using them immediately, fingers crossed that they have the sense to hold the tanks until there is a sufficient number for a breakthrough , why is there a delay, many of these tanks were on composition, and therefore it is necessary to bring them into proper compliance, because there will be nothing worse than if the tanks from germany break down on the very first day, it demoralized both the soldiers and the entire country. that is why it is so important bring tanks to full readiness before sending why countries do not provide more tanks i return to what i said earlier partly because of the political aspect we are talking about the pressure exerted on the countries of the russian hybrid war with hybrid comments about nuclear weapons and everything else we have what we have and it does not stop me to worry is that we will

wait too long without even thinking about how to attack and how to do something, we will wait for tanks and it may slip out of our way. so we have enough equipment not only tanks but also bradley fighting vehicles 60 of which have already arrived in rotterdam we must use everything we can to break through and do it as soon as possible because delay means that russia seizes the initiative and therefore we go on the defensive how do you assess russian military resources and their potential use of additional options in particular countries asia and countries that are russian satellites according to the csto, in particular, it is about the production of additional weapons and, of course , the use of additional human resources , russia does not receive much from its friends

satellites, most of which are silent on the issue of war, but they receive equipment from north korea, as well as missile equipment and drones from iran, the problem with russia is that russia still has a lot of equipment in stock, yes, it is old, but it is available and they have an unlimited number of people who can use what they don't have. so it's the ability to teach these people to fight and you saw the video from ugledar soldiers in cars but in fact they are not soldiers but civilians in uniform they don't know what to do they don't have no fighting skills, they have not undergone proper training and do not understand what they are doing, but there will be many more of them , so they can be killed . if you give them time they will have time to bring more equipment and more people in november and december they were weak but

we gave them winter so they could transfer more people and they did it every time we give them time they will bring more and more people, i think they have equipment and ammunition for another year or two, and if we give them time they will be able to transfer all this forward . that is why it is important to put pressure on them and do it quickly, well, in general, the classic russian formula is to carry out offensive actions until the offensive momentum is completed in simple language, the offensive is not completed until the people and equipment, on the other hand, we also live in anticipation of our counteroffensive actions , and we understand that the southern bridgehead is an extremely difficult story, because the russians were regularly drawn there as manpower

and technique with you, we are talking about a breakthrough, the question is always where you are not going to break through in bakhmut and along the entire line from the north of donetsk , which is 200 km there, because there are too many russians, so the breakthrough must be somewhere else, in fact, for a breakthrough, it is often not it takes a lot, this is a matter of breaking through the line of demarcation where it is weak, and therefore a transition to the rear of the enemy and inside his thinking to convince him that we are more and stronger than we really are, that is, it is also about psychological military activity and you could see it on the example of the russian front on the example of the allied offensive across germany across europe to berlin, it is extremely important to make sure that you have good commanders who will continue to advance and take risks because as soon as the enemy begins to retreat and everything will unfold very quickly because the russians are weak in command and control, they have very few means of command and control, there are quite a few

radio stations, and therefore they must be hacked somewhere, as soon as they are hacked, they will be confused and will be forced to retreat due to a lack of means control over the fighters their only way to control the soldiers is to put them in the front and tell them to go ahead that's why they can't do combined combat that's where they are weakest and therefore this is where we have to hit them by crushing their ability to do something for now we let them have the initiative and because of that we are losing a lot of people zaporizhzhia what do you think will happen in this direction it seems that russia has dug in and is simply defending itself with the minimum number of soldiers and artillery to actually hold the territory therefore, at the moment, the situation is deadlocked, none of the sides is doing anything. they are gaining positions by firing at each other in the zaporizhzhia area, it is very difficult to break through because there

are large fields and a lot of open space , which makes it very difficult for people to move. i think that most of all they hope for some kind of incident connected to the atomic power plant, we know that the russians built defensive structures around melitopol, so it is quite clear that they predicted that ukraine would begin to advance south from zaporizhzhia by building defensive structures further south from melitopol, and therefore in the direction of crimea. at the moment, this has not yet happened. this is where the general staff will soon attack. therefore, we need to wait to make sure of this. i understand that it is extremely difficult to rebuild and reform the ministry of defense. we understand that this is an extremely delicate story, in particular under the conditions of war and preparation as our counteroffensive and preparation for the repulsion of even more large-scale russian military operations, but in any case lieutenant general pavlyuk

, an experienced warrior, heroes of ukraine, a man with a good military reputation became the first deputy minister of defense well, accordingly, we understand that additional new processes are being launched there, we will not go into what may have signs of a state secret, but in your opinion, where should the fastest response be to the renewed team of the ministry of defense , accordingly, you used the wrong the word because there was no reform as such, there were only replacements of people, the reform is when the processes change, the use of it increases , clearer processes are used so that you could do certain things faster and more efficiently, this also means the presence of processes that are much closer to understanding and supporting the front line than those that exist now, because we know that drones have not proven themselves at the moment, the defense system does not learn from mistakes . if it had learned the proper lessons, we would have already produced our own mortars, mortar ammunition and our own drones and pushed

all this to the front, the fact that we do not do this indicates a malfunction in the processes, the processes do not respond to echoes from the front, there should be the connection between what the ministry of defense produces, finds and buys for the front is much closer, i cannot but agree that it works very well with the international community, but neglects its internal work, especially with non-governmental organizations , civil society, not using the best available people, i mean that in we still have really great people who work in society as volunteers and the ministry of defense does not use their skills in such areas as medicine, technology and so on, there are people who are some of the world's best technologists who they do not even communicate with the general staff and the ministry of defense, they have no connection with them, but these are the people whom the ministry of defense should use, this is

the change in the process, that is, the reform when the ministry of defense will begin to attract and use all the skills that are in the country of all the best people in society, then we will be able to say that the reform took place by that time, it is not about reforming, but simply about changing people 's seats and mandates, but today i would say that general pavlyuk is facing a serious work and i hope that he has all the necessary skills for this, what were you afraid of, russians? yes, we understand that at one time our drones flew to the airfields of the strategic aviation in the city of engels, and the russians were hysterical, accordingly, they are afraid of something. because some of our actions completely break their internal the plans are specifically about putin's attempts to stabilize the situation inside russia, in your opinion, what courses of action in this regard would be the most

progressive and the most successful, a good question. i think that any actions along the line clashes, the russians are vulnerable because they do not have proper command and control , they cannot quickly react to changes, therefore, any actions inside russia, inside the crimea , in the areas of melitopol or mariupol, along the line of their defense, all that i and along the fortified areas where they feel stability destroying all this is valuable for us and that is why the general staff wants to have longer-range weapons, but if they cannot get such weapons, then they must look for other alternative ways, you saw what started after the operation of the drone in this caused real hysteria in sevastopol because it showed that the russian navy is weak and that they are not doing their job properly . that is why we should continue to work on what we in the west call a depth attack. such an attack is carried out not only by missiles, it

is carried out by all the methods at your disposal the value of deep attack is extremely high you hit targets sometimes you can destroy a critical target so deep attack requires a separate level of thinking since we most likely don't we use even half of our special forces properly they are often misused as infantry and not as a deep attack tool so i believe that in this area we can still do a lot thank you very much dear mr. colonel for this honest conversation on the espresso tv channel glory to ukraine got save the kind god save the king and every soldier on the front lines glory to the heroes on our television viewers i want to remind you that

glen grand worked for them now on the espresso tv channel military expert retired colonel of the british army and now on the espresso tv channel, mark fedi, a figure in the russian opposition, no emigration, a former member of the state duma , a well-known video blogger, glory to ukraine, mark, i congratulate you , studio espresso, to the heroes, glory to all, greetings to the viewers of the channel, welcome to anton putin , you are jealous, friend lukashenko began to emit rather strange signals so, in particular, it is about the fact that lukashenko voiced, whether on his own or behind the kremlin's keeper, such a thesis that they would be ready to talk again about some with quotes or without quotes, the peace of the truce and so on, they are ready to meet with biden, and at the same time, lukashenko also threw another informational bone, well, we understand that it is about a different plan of ipso, in particular, that it is necessary to talk with the ukrainian military, and accordingly, this is actually woven into what putin and

in the near future, well, we will talk about it a little later. so, in your opinion , what do all those false signals mean? handily, remember putin himself in his second address last year, after february 24, after the beginning of the aggression, called on the military to give up their clothes for these sophisticated weapons for those at home, as he said to drug addicts and nazis , something like this was said, so this is not the first way to appeal some kind of military, who have a second position. and the context of what lukashenko says is military, just like, from her point of view, they want peace, that is , stop the war, the conditions of moscow, and here he took, in my opinion, military, just like i say for radical bank settings, no matter what, there is no big difference, but the leadership of the country is responsible for what obligations there are in the negotiations, the allies , yes, the military is not only in honor of the military victory, and

there are no uh-uh other ways, it is not accepted, therefore , by itself, this is a statement, you know that weak, so naive, somewhere, even those who ask for something are so whiny that it is as if the power is not one, and there it is possible that someone will discover its internal a-a within the difference of essence between the military and political arms . as for biden, look at the connections i'm looking for it, because biden will fly to poland at this time and will speak there, and as it were, and you, let's go to minsk too , well, probably, that's such a primitive collective thinking, it suggests to him that he also needs to somehow appear in the suitcase here i think that there is also a dark man on the one hand there is a narrative that is general about what is needed peace negotiations fixation of the status quo on the positions of realism as he recently announced to replace the minister of foreign affairs interview

tv companies zvezda eto propagandistskaya they have such a military history, he offers to meet on the territory of the enemy, what is called the enemy precisely in minsk, biden and putin, yes, no. for this, there are more neutral territories, where such a quick clean is theoretically imagined under the current circumstances, yes, that is, a bunch of war crimes, regular missile attacks here too that biden should meet with putin to talk about what you very much doubt and accordingly perhaps they formulate the task in this way in order to demonstrate that it is immediately impossible performance from the other side, maybe it is just such a cunning or vile receiver of theirs. well, we understand that if the putins start talking about some kind of peace with lukashenka's mouth, it means that they are preparing some kind of very big snoop , you know . and the provocations will definitely be some kind of expectation of a big offensive

or something similar, i don’t know . seriously, don't take all these statements, lukashenko said a day ago that it is strange fashion kb contrary to the fact that it is now necessary to say prepare for war, it is necessary to draw in who is kazakhstan, armenia's stomach, glory, and a day later he declares that everyone needs peace, it is necessary to yearn for it end this war and so on. you are the only one who has been calling for your military bloc to get involved in this crazy adventure since early on in moscow, we want a fraction of the interest of lukashenko himself, he did not leave , perhaps, in my opinion, senseless hopes that he could still agree on something with the west.

prisoners, and the request somehow got sucked into the regime's approach to minsk. after all, all this was accompanied by lukashenko's role in the minsk process, he sold his peacekeeping line as a mediator between the parties moscow and kyiv, and also in his own interests in order to to demonstrate that he can be useful for europe as such a buffer mediator, or i don't know there is a special border zone between moscow and the west, and in part of ukraine, so in fact i think that time has passed without returning lukashenko to war criminals and be held responsible in the same way as putin, well, in his scope , well, definitely a conquered crime, and therefore who does not even pay attention to the fact that lukashenko declares that his words are completely lost, there can be some small the percentage remains for the fact that he is trying, that you are still and as they say, you know how to give a signal, definitely give a signal that i am here under control

, that is because vitya is expected to invite lukashenko and the representatives of abkhazia, south ossetia, in connection with putin's speech before the federal assembly, i don't know anymore as with transnistria, moscow seems to be hinting that they can expand the territory of the union state at the expense of these territories, which are separatist and in general disguised as alienated from their countries of the former ss and there may be some such element in order to change the order somehow, because there is all of them bent on the subject of the fact that more integration of transport is needed to create a re-establishment of the ussr 2.0, then this may be the last, some kind of demand started by myrny, all postponements этот сладостный момент когда actually belorussia , an occupied country, will finally lose its sovereignty, that is, they will take away the keys to the cabinet and the seal, so i agree with you. well

, of course, the key story here is mark's attempt the forecast of what putin will talk about during his meetings, so to speak, putin needs to sell something, because it is a year of a full-scale invasion of ukraine , so there are no achievements except for a large number of corpses on the russian side, a lot of equipment is destroyed, there is a lot of discord, chatter, using, so to speak, a well-known lexeme at the top and putin's efforts to somehow stabilize, you know, he would certainly like to have internal plans built in december, as he postponed this speech before the federal assembly to the fact that some relative military successes that can be sold annually and shield successes, well, look, he reassigned a new leadership if he returned to the old management scheme through army general gerasim, the head of the general staff

. - it's no, solidar, you're not a sale to the extent that it's stalingrad or something like that, that all the operations are achieved by capture. and this was the only achievement from the moment of appointment as a commander-in-chief, as a commander there, i will exhaust even more successes that all goals have been achieved , therefore, of course, he will have to descend into rhetoric of the most general nature, he will talk about the fact that russia remained, she is against the village of the west and so on, but we fired, we were ahead of the west, we, uh, started a military operation there , and it will lead to the destruction of russia. will come to the forecast for the future to hang on to the continuation of the operation