[000:00:00;00] against a fairy tale about how the main character survived difficult times and what awaits him in the future. if there is such an opportunity, of course , be sure to seek help from a psychologist. at the same time , there are still many children who are still missing in ukraine. i will remind you that you can see their photos on the website of the child tracing service , please look at their face, if you recognize someone, call us on the hotline of the child tracing service at the free number 116 000. greetings , dear viewers, on the air of the

espresso tv channel, program, studio, event, analyze will be the most important events of this week and we will try to predict what the next days will bring us, our guests, a military expert, retired colonel of the british army, glen grant, as well as a well-known video blogger, a former member of the state duma, a member of the russian opposition , mark fagin, will now be on our air , a military expert , retired colonel of the british army, glen grand , he will analyze the current situation on the fronts and the attempts of the russians to attack in the so-called larger format. glory to ukraine, dear mr. colonel , i congratulate you accordingly, the key story is the unfolding of the great battle in donbas, we understand that our group near bakhmut was crushed by the russian strategic offensive and attempts by the russians to advance , the battle near ugledar demonstrated that the russian attempt was choked, they lost an extremely large number of both personnel and armored vehicles , the battle in the east should be considered along the entire length of the front on in the east and not only

in bakhmut or ugledar, because these are the places where the ukrainian troops are concentrated, and so they are really quite successfully resisting the russians there but there are other places where russia is looking for slack, these are certain gaps between the cities of the forest where they can move forward. so they are slowly but surely moving forward somewhere and whatever it is, it is still a movement forward , the question arises whether we are getting a general strategic the value of what we are doing in donbas and what to do next, because if we simply wage a defensive struggle there and wait for the next wave of attacks, it will cost us a lot of blood. the question is how long ukraine will be able to withstand such a high the level of one-on-one combat, because this is exactly what we are seeing now, it is face-to-face combat , all military personnel are told during training that if you

have to engage in such battles, you must fight with the intention of seizing the initiative and not just destroying the enemy. you must to actually break through to find yourself in the enemy's rear for the purpose of encirclement and not exclusively neutralization , because a one-on-one confrontation is extremely expensive in terms of ammunition and manpower , the main goal is always to break the enemy's spirit and therefore move to what worries me is that we are unlikely to act immediately, instead we will wait until the systems and tanks of the west arrive. and this time delay until the moment of counterattack gives the russians time to transfer more soldiers and equipment and continue the attack, so i believe that there must be something else if we going to fight so at some stage we must try anything to cross the current demarcation line not forgetting that during the first

and second world wars more soldiers during the attack covered long distances on foot not waiting for transport dear glend yes, we are all living now in anticipation of large-scale hostilities on the front line, and accordingly, your anticipation regarding the northern direction at the moment does not see that they are going to do anything with belarus, since they took so much ammunition and equipment from under russia they're just going to continue training there to make sure we leave as many troops as possible on the northern border because they don't want those troops to enter the main combat zone around kharkiv or sum, there is always a possibility that they are preparing for something there, but there is no intelligence about it. so we have to assume that if we do not receive intelligence from satellites from the americans or someone else

, then all they do is just continue to destroy school buildings with artillery and rockets and that they will continue to do it. in the future , it seems that the main front is still in the east, it seems that their goal is to break through and thus capture the donetsk region. if they succeed, they will not achieve this, because it is too big and that it will take them too long but it seems that this is their main goal and then the south you have a nuclear power plant and now they are pumping the water around it which is very dangerous because if you take the cooling water from the nuclear power plant it can lead to a serious nuclear incident what is the way to the southern russians are quite positionally weak, it is possible that the attacks in the east are aimed at drawing all the armed forces of ukraine to one place and then attack elsewhere, but at the moment there is no intelligence

data that would indicate that they are going to do it, it looks like they act in the same way as during the battles around kyiv circulating in their military bloodstream and every time they noted failures so they currently have no evidence of any reasonable strategic approach to the use of tactical nuclear weapons, the russians once again began to repeat the story that they are a nuclear power to withdraw its navy, to deploy its submarine flotillas, which are carriers of nuclear weapons, in particular, that is, they constantly return to this argument, the nuclear threat - these are exclusively political actions aimed at sowing uncertainty in the countries, let's consider finland for example, it was going to give tanks now it won't and won't until it joins nato the same story with other countries, i.e. russia this is how it plays on

the weaknesses of many european politicians as well as some in the white house that it can worsen the situation, this weakness creates a delay and i mean that even a day or two delays as we know in donbass means the death of ukrainians and this is what putin wants and he will try to use all possible hybrid methods to sow fears in the minds of european countries so that they accordingly delay the decision by saying we can't, we think about it , we haven't decided we must do it all together in nato, such weakness of the europeans is dangerous for ukraine, because everything happens in a day two three four slower and slowness means the death and superiority of russia in this period when we are talking about the russian plans for a war of attrition voiced, so to speak, by many military experts. so we

understand from the other side that this means that in they don't have a strategic plan of action, a war of attrition is always about tens and possibly hundreds of thousands killed, that is, field marshal douglas heik became famous for it at one time well, i don't even want to mention the freud of marshal zhukov you are right, this is exactly what russia is doing, but i am worried that ukraine is also doing this. we pay for time with human lives, not with conquered space , so we should ask ourselves whether bakhmut, which has now been razed to the ground, is so important to continue to hold it for any reason price and what does it mean at any price it means we will just stand in the same place until we die we will lose many of our priceless fighters who would help us a lot in the future let's not forget that we have already left several times maybe we will have to do it again if we

have to do it again, it will mean that the bahmut line was not so important, but we must choose the space to try to infiltrate in certain places in order to confuse the enemy and not only lose my people well, accordingly, i would like to ask your vision of the pace and number of tanks promised to us, first of all, these tanks will not arrive all at once, but two by three by four by five during the summer, so the general staff faces an important decision, which is whether to use these tanks as soon as we get them or have them until we have a large number and then hit the enemy somewhere and successfully break through, this decision by the general staff worries me that as long as they have a defensive mentality they can start using them right away, fingers crossed that they have

had the sense to hold back the tanks until there was a sufficient number for the breakthrough, why is there a delay, many of these tanks were in storage and therefore they need to be brought into proper compliance, because there will be nothing worse than if the tanks from germany break down on the very first day, this demoralized both the soldiers and the whole country this is why it is so important to bring tanks to full readiness before sending why countries do not provide more tanks i go back to what i said earlier partly because of the political aspect it is about pressure which is attacking the countries of the russian hybrid war with hybrid comments about nuclear weapons and everything else, we have what we have and it does not stop bothering me that we will wait too long without even thinking about how to attack and how to do something you promised we would wait for tanks and it can climb out our side so we have enough equipment not only tanks but also bradley 60 bmps of which have already arrived in rotterdam we must use everything we can to

break through and do it as quickly as possible because delay means that russia intercepts initiative, and therefore we move to the defense of which you evaluate russian military resources and their potential use of additional options , in particular the countries of asia and the countries that are russian satellites according to the soviet union, in particular, it is about the production of additional weapons and, of course , the use of additional human resources , russia does not receive much from its satellite friends, the majority of which the issue of war is denied, but they receive equipment from north korea, as well as equipment for missiles and drones from iran, the problem is with russia is that russia still has a lot of equipment in stock yes it's old but it's available and they have an unlimited number

of people they can use they say what they don't have so it's the ability to train these people to fight and you saw the video from the uglydar soldiers in cars but in reality they are not soldiers but civilians in uniform they don't know what to do they don't have any fighting skills they haven't undergone proper training and don't understand what they are doing but there will be many more of them so they can be killed but one should not forget for a moment that russia can continue the war for a very long time. what cannot be given to russia. this is because if you give them time, they will have time to bring more equipment and more people in november, december , they were weak, but we gave them winter so that they could transfer more people and they did every time we give them time they will take more people out i think they have equipment and ammunition for another year or two and if we give them time they can

transfer it all forward that's why it's important to put pressure on them and to do it quickly, in general, the classic russian formula is to carry out offensive actions until the offensive impulse is completed, in simple language, to carry out the offensive until the people and equipment are completed, on the other hand, we also live in anticipation of our counter-offensive actions, and we understand that the southern bridgehead is extremely a difficult story, because the russians regularly sent them there as manpower and equipment. with you , we are talking about a breakthrough. line from the north of donetsk, which is 200 km there, because there are too many russians there, so the breakthrough must be somewhere else, in fact , for a breakthrough, it often does not take much, it is

a question of breaking through the demarcation line, where it is weak, and therefore moving to the rear of the enemy, inside his thinking, in order to convince that we are more and stronger than we really are, that is , it is also about psychological military activity, and you could see it on the example of the russian front, on the example of the offensive of the allies in germany throughout europe on berlin, it is extremely important to make sure that you have good commanders who will continue to advance and take risks, because as soon as the enemy starts to retreat, everything will unfold very quickly, because the russians are weak in command control, they have very few means of command and control, there are quite a few radio stations, and therefore they are needed somewhere to break once they are broken they will be confused and will be forced to retreat due to lack of means to control the fighters their only way to control the soldiers is to put them in

the front line and say forward so they can't conduct combined combat this is where they are weakest and therefore this is where we must strike at them by destroying their ability to do something at the moment we are letting them have the initiative and because of this we are losing a lot of people zaporizhzhia what do you think will happen in this direction it seems that russia has dug in and is simply on the defensive with the minimum number of soldiers and artillery to actually hold the territory so at the moment the situation is a stalemate neither side is doing anything they are gaining ground by shelling each other in the area zaporizhzhia is very difficult to break through because there are large fields and a lot of open space, which makes it very difficult for people to move. i think that they are most hoping for some kind of incident related to the atoms of the power plant. we know that the russians built defensive structures around melitopol, so it is quite understandable that they predicted that ukraine will begin to advance

south from zaporizhzhia, building defense structures further south from melitopol, and therefore in the direction of crimea, so far this has not yet been possible. this is where the general headquarters it will attack soon. therefore, we need to wait to make sure of this. i understand that it is extremely difficult to rebuild and reform the ministry of defense. we understand that this is an extremely delicate story, in particular , in terms of war and preparations for our counteroffensive and preparation for repelling even more large-scale russian military operations, but in any in what way lieutenant general pavlyuk , an experienced soldier, a hero of ukraine, a person with a good military reputation, became the first deputy minister of defense well, accordingly , we understand that additional new ones are being launched there processes, we will not go into what may have signs of a state secret, but in your opinion, where should

the updated team of the ministry of defense react most quickly , accordingly, you used the wrong word because there was no reform as such, there were only replacements of people, the reform is when they change processes are increasing the use of it is using clearer processes so that you can do certain things faster and more efficiently this also means having processes that are much closer to understanding and supporting the front line than those that exist now because we we know that drones have not justified themselves so far the defense system does not learn from mistakes if it had learned the proper lessons we would have already produced our own mortars mortar ammunition and our own drones and pushed all this to the front line the fact that we are not doing this indicates a malfunction in the processes the processes do not respond to the echo from the front should be much closer, the connection between what the ministry of defense produces, finds and buys for the front, i cannot but agree that it works very well with the international

community, but neglects its internal work especially with non-governmental organizations civil society not using the best people available i mean we still have really great people working in society as volunteers and the ministry of defense is not using their skills in areas like medicine technology and so on there are people alone of the world's best technologists who do not even communicate with the general staff and the ministry of defense, they have no connection with them, but these are people whom the ministry of defense should use, that's it process change, i.e. reform, when the ministry of defense begins to attract and use all the skills that are available in the country of all the best people in society, then we will be able to say that the reform has taken place by that time, it is not

about reforming, but simply about changing people , seats and mandates, but today i would say that general pavlyuk has a serious job ahead of him and i hope that he has all the necessary skills for this, what would the russians be afraid of now. so we understand that at one time our drones flew to the airfields of strategic aviation in the city of engels and in the russians were hysterical, accordingly, they are afraid of something. because some of our actions completely disrupt their internal plans, in particular , we are talking about putin's attempts to stabilize the situation inside russia. in your opinion, what courses of action in this regard would be the most progressive and the most successful, a good question. i think that any what actions behind the contact line, the russians are vulnerable because they do not have proper command and control, they cannot quickly react to changes, therefore , any actions inside russia inside crimea

in the areas of melitopol or mariupol along lines of their defense, all that i and along the fortified areas where they feel stability, destroying it, all this is valuable for us , and that is why the general staff wants to have longer-range weapons, but if they cannot get such weapons, then they must look for other alternative ways, you saw what started after the operation of the drone in sevastopol, it caused real hysteria because it showed that the russian navy is weak and that they are not doing their job properly. therefore , we should continue to work on what we in the west we call it a deep attack, such an attack is not only carried out by missiles, it is carried out by all the methods that are at your disposal, because the value of a deep attack is extremely high, you consider the targets, sometimes you can destroy a critical target, therefore , a separate level of thinking is necessary to carry out a deep attack, since we most likely do not

use even half of our special forces properly they are often misused as infantry not as deep attack tools because i believe that in this area we can still do a lot. thank you, dear mr. colonel, for this honest conversation on the air of the espresso tv channel. glory to ukraine got save the kind. god save the king and every soldier on the front line. glory to the heroes on our tv viewers . i want to remind you that now in on the air of the espresso tv channel, glen grand worked for them , a military expert , a retired colonel of the british army. and now on the air of the espresso tv channel, markfegin, a figure in the russian opposition, no emigration, a former member of the state duma, is known video blogger glory to ukraine mark congratulations studio espresso heroes glory to everyone greetings from the viewers of the channel hello there putin

's face, friend lukashenko began to emit rather strange signals, so in particular it is said that lukashenko voiced, whether from himself or behind the kremlin dungeon, such a thesis that they would be ready to speak again about some in quotes or without quotes, the peace of the truce and so on , they are ready to meet with biden, and at the same time , lukashenko also threw another informational bone, well, we understand that we are talking about a different plan of ipso, in particular, what should be said with by the ukrainian military and, accordingly, this is actually intertwined with what putin and the kremlin have planned in the near future, well , we will talk about it a little later. so, in your opinion , what do all those false signals mean ? there is a difference between the military and the political leadership, remember putin himself in

his second address last year after february 24 , after the start of the aggression, he called on the military to give up their pay for such sophisticated weapons as he said to drug addicts and nazis something like that was said, that's why it's not the first way to appeal to someone who is military , in which the second position is about the context of what lukashenko says, military, just like, from his point of view, they want peace, that is, stop the war in moscow, he even took this one, in my opinion, they are just talking about the radical settings of the bank , as if there is no big difference, but the country’s leadership is responsible for what obligations there are in the negotiations, the alliances, yes , the military is set up only in honor of the military victory and no eh other ways unpleasant, therefore, by itself, this is a statement, you know, it’s weak, so naive, somewhere, even those who are asking for something like that are sloppy that it’s as if the power is not the only one, and there it is possible to find out the internal

difference between the military and the political arm of the thing as for biden, look, they are looking for connections, since biden will fly to poland at this time and will speak there, and what if you , come on, and he will also go to minsk, well, probably , that’s such a primitive kolkhoz thinking , it tells him what is needed, too, somehow in the wallet will turn out i have it, i think that there is also a dark man with one side there, he advised the general about what is needed peace negotiations , fixing the status quo on the positions of realism, as the minister of foreign affairs recently announced in an interview with the tv company zvezda , it is a propaganda story, such a military history he here offers to meet on the territory of the enemy, what is called the enemy

, precisely in minsk, biden and putin. imagine, under the current circumstances, yes, that is, a bunch of war crimes, regular missile attacks, and here that biden has to meet with putin to talk about what you very much doubt, and accordingly . their receiver is just so cunning or vile. well , we understand that if the putins start talking about some kind of peace with lukashenka's mouth, it means that they are preparing some very big snooping , you know. in any case, even if they made a mistake they didn't talk about peace, it's the essence of politics, yes, and provocations will certainly be prepared, are they connected with any expectations of the bolshoi offensive or something similar? i don't know. no one will take you seriously

, these are all these statements. we need peace, we need to yearn to end this war and so on, that's what you've been calling for since the beginning of your military bloc to get involved in this crazy adventure. the trick is that he is more than a part of the interest in moscow, but a part of the interest of lukashenko himself, he did not leave any hope, in my opinion, that he could agree on something else with the west. by the way, i want to note that after those famous events selection in the 15th year, when he released polit zalulyonnykh and the inquiry somehow got sucked into the approach to the regime in minsk . after all, all this was accompanied by the role of lukashenko in the minsk process. in order to demonstrate that he can be useful

for europe as such a buffer of an intermediary, or else i don't know there is some special border zone between moscow and the west, and in part of ukraine, that's why on the but i believe that time has passed without lukashenko being reclassified as a war criminal and being held responsible in the same way as putin, well, in his scope , well, definitely a war crime, and therefore no one will even pay attention to the fact that lukashenko declares that his words were completely lost. some small percentage remains due to the fact that he is trying, that you are still, and as they say, you know how to send a signal , give it a signal, that i am here. under control , because vitya is expected to be connected with putin's speech before the federal the assembly will invite lukashenko and the representatives of abkhazia, south ossetia, i don't know what to do with transnistria, moscow says that they can expand the territory of the union state at the expense of these territories

, which are separatist and, in general , separated from their countries of the former ussr maybe there is some kind of element here in order to somehow modify the carriage because there is all of them leaning towards the fact that it is necessary to create more integration for you to create a re-establishment of the ussr 2:0 then может быть это лестань, some kind of demand for the beginning of the peace process to be postponed, this is a sweet moment when the belarusians themselves, who are already occupied countries, will end up losing their sovereignty, that is, they will take away the keys to the office and the seal, so i agree with you. well, of course, the key story here, mark , is an attempt at a forecast what putin will weave with his tongue during his meetings, so to speak, putin needs to be sold something so because a year of a full-scale invasion of ukraine

so many achievements except how many corpses from on the russian side, there is no destroyed lot of equipment, full of discord, chattering, using, so to speak, a well-known lexeme at the top and putin’s efforts to somehow stabilize, of course , he would like internal plans to be so strict even in december , as he postponed this speech before the federal assembly to the fact that some will be achieved relative military successes that can be sold annually , and shields, we are military successes, well, look, he also reassigned new leadership and returned to the old management scheme through the general gerasim's army, the head of the general staff. well, that's exactly the set with which he entered this operation on february 24, 2022, and the success is no, well, you're not a salesman , to the extent that it's stalingrad or something like that. all the objectives of the operation were achieved by capture. and this was the only achievement that happened from the moment of recognition by the ruler in command as an exhaustive success that all the objectives are the truth

, therefore, of course, he will have to descend into rhetoric of the most general nature, he will says that russia remained, it resisted the west, the questions had intentions in general, yes, through the instrument of ukraine, it will deal with russia with its sovereignty, etc. in such a spirit, it will be endured and he will approach the student cautiously to the forecast for the future to hang on to the continuation of the operation . sounded eh from the official leaflets of the relations of ukraine in the economy itself - this is the so-called special war, the terms of the operation were not there why 72 hours and western observers and western experts confirmed exactly that he is saying anything that even if you would keep all the territories