[000:00:00;00] do you know the amplitude, in fact, the energy of this seismic shaking? the second thing is that we already have historical data , that is, there is a preconceived method of seismic analogies. then, when we talk about the crimean earthquake, i will simply tell you what methods are provided when we know what destructions took place and conditionally 100,000 years ago. where we have historical records and there is also a third and a third is quite an interesting method which is purely geological when we see there some conventional outcrop on the bank of the river or simply there there is a sharp cliff and we see that the displacement of layers happened there for tens of meters or for several meters, it is geological, we do not know when it happened from the point of view of a historical event, no one has recorded the chronology, but we can see it and we can the fact of this event that it happened and we can and can retrospectively say that in this place we have this happened once , it can happen next time. well, scientists somehow did it. one of the european scientists said that in this

place in turkey , an earthquake may happen in the next few weeks. he tried to predict, now, if we, for example, in the morning in the zone, for 120 years of observation, an instrumental earthquake with a magnitude of 7.4 was recorded, so we can say that in 100 years, that is, it cannot be a bigger event so directly. that is, we have already answered two questions on the first question, where we already know what the maximum intensity is. may be because this is confirmed by many data. and now there remains the question of when, and this is the most difficult question because it is very difficult to predict exactly when this event will happen . well, there must have been a certain tension in the earthly the crust between these plates and for all this to happen even though the plates are moving, i also read the scientific article that the plates are moving there every day, every week by a millimeter, well, very, very slowly, and at this very moment they moved

by 3 m, i know that the shift took place tectonic plates at 3 m, sit down two or not, can you confirm whether the movement of these tectonic plates is centimeters a year, not a day , but tension accumulates and slippage of these plates literally one relative to the other can literally happen in a minute or seconds, and this is the problem because we get a great acceleration and a large mass moves or moves to a greater height, the more energy is transferred , and that is to me, that is, there is a big problem of the state here. m yes even the railroad tracks struck me personally how they simply bent out and after demonstrating the court that took place what does this sofa mean for the further

development of events it basically means when i told you told that the planet is alive, then there was a redistribution of these tensions, in fact, the tensions fell in us, there was no accumulated tension, but the tension, the tension fell directly. that is, all this series of earthquakes, there were dozens of earthquakes actually before the seismic event of february 6, and now earthquakes of smaller, smaller magnitudes are constantly happening there 3 3 4 and so on, but of course considering the fact that this zone is located along such a large fault that runs, for example , along the bottom of the black sea, and so on , this active zone continues in us elizinomori, further there to the caucasus, directly up to the himalayas, so that the movement in one place is carried out until it begins to move in another place, that is, from the general point of view, if this event was of maximum power, then further on, there will be small events that will simply redistribute that the energy that was provided by the massif of rock by the movement

of other mazs, in fact, we will feel such small shocks for a long time, and so on from the point of view of expecting even more catastrophic earthquakes. here is such an example the previous earthquake, which was the most important for turkey, happened in 1939. then a large number of people died directly from this earthquake. it is very much in the mass media when it is the second in history, the second in history in turkey. this is the history of specific observations directly. we can conclude about the fact that such a period of earthquakes was repeated for 80 years, that is, 80 years ago, there was an earthquake about three years ago, and let's take an earthquake, for example, in san francisco in 1906, whatever it is, as an example, i will still conduct it, there is also a periodicity of 8 after 80 dashes of 120 years , such and such a cartographic event may occur, that is, a cycle of approximately 80 years of accumulation of that energy

that needs to be released in such a large volume and you mentioned crimea. and the last powerful earthquake in crimea was in 1927, that is exactly the period. it can coincide with our present times, which means that we are exactly when we talk about crimea. crimea is just a short distance from turkey, but it is also exactly part of the same belt in 1920 er, in the seventh year, er, there was an earthquake, and you still remember the movie about er, the golden calf, about ostap bender, when there were 12 chairs, when he was running around 7 villages, and that chair was simply torn from his hands, and he er he lost it and then it wouldn’t have happened if he had found it right away, the films wouldn’t have had a sequel, it almost went under water, then a part of the rock collapsed , and the swallow’s nest collapsed, so the vorontsov palace suffered as a result of this , serious serious changes took place, and uh

, so we know exactly about this now earthquake surprisingly, from the results of the work of the insurance companies, the insurance companies went through the entire process, then described each building, told what happened, the wall cracked there, for example, not the house itself, the chair , the price collapsed, the chimney, eh, those who pay money are interested in fixing everything correctly, we on on the basis of this, they use the so-called method, our scientific engineering analogy, if we can compare, for example , buildings, then they were built approximately all the same, so i come, for example, to the khmelnytskyi region to my wife's homeland and i see that there is a street where the houses are all built almost the same, even the prices are the same, and that they were building the same way, and when we see that one house was destroyed for some reason, and the other builders were dressed themselves and did it, they just say that the soil conditions are completely different. let's talk, because depending on the territory where we are, the effect of that earthquake can

either intensify or, on the contrary, decrease, and now, from the point of view of when, it is very difficult to determine. well, i came up with such a the situation that we said is now announced on our channel it will be there tomorrow at 4:00 p.m. or at 6:00 a.m. it will be winter labor people get together people have packed alarming suitcases jumped out into the street and stood for two hours this is in underwear nothing will happen next time 10 times and so on, you understand that it is very difficult to do eh actually, eh, i was familiar with one of us who came with a training lecture from japan , talked about their seismic service and so on, they have every alarming suitcase in the family and they can to be out 100 times and uh every ukrainian already has an alarming suitcase, they are ready for the fact that it is possible to get out through our neighbor russia , let's say so, to listen every time, so there is another simple method that the leading states took, this was taken by the sejm

. in fact, this is an engineering study of geological structures that require similar conditions for these given territory and plus special buildings and structures that will take into account an intense earthquake, i said that oil , which acceleration, which will give buildings of a certain size, must only be certain the second component of the form, which should stand directly, is to study the engineering conditions in this territory, that if , for example, the territory is flooded , then one more point is immediately added to one intensity point, this is in tens, this is a very relevant issue in turkey, it also raised the question of which houses were built in in those cities where the most significant destruction took place. in ukraine, for example , they treat the turkish builders who build our roads with great respect, and we always say that look what quality roads the turks build

here we see a video of how they take their bricks and simply crush them with their hands. they scatter the owner of the construction companies in turkey. they are now under investigation and are being called for questioning. they are checking what they built with, how much money they invested. the law enforcement officers are investigating, this means that in 1999 there was a big earthquake in izmir, which destroyed about 20,000 buildings and so on. there were victims then, and they were also quite large, but not such as at the moment directly and since then there have been implemented a state program specifically for rural construction, large funds were allocated for the study of the geological structure in order to create detailed maps of seismic training in each area, there may be such a situation that you, er, we are building in this place, the house will stand in front of us 10 m, it will not be there, just as we , for example, look for underground water, there is water here, but it has not moved. therefore, it is necessary to investigate this territory in detail. in this

case, when when my point of view can there may be two options, firstly, certain building regulations may not be observed, there may be a violation of the design of this particular building , there may be no resistance, and material a may still be , all things being equal, something was destroyed, something was poorly studied, local conditions were not constructed , maps of the micro-rural district were not constructed with the increase of seismic barnosty now, here i am, if there will be enough for me to give us a chance , the system of this assessment of the seismic hazard, the minimization of the risks of the system is being implemented in general, how our developers take the map here this is how they see that here we will build like this because here this delicious activity can be that i just imagine what can happen in ukraine with a minimal earthquake, especially in kyiv when there are problems with construction here well, here here, by the way, the editors tell me that in we have er that now the houses that are being built are built according to these technologies and the possibility of an earthquake in ukraine is taken into account, is it really so

, now i see the irony of er natalia and what yevhen said, i partially share, but i just want to tell you that you underestimate a little bit of us, because you know her point of view, our state building regulations are made very strictly in our country, in essence, any work , any eh, in any territory should be built taking into account the possible intensity of an earthquake of at least six points, in some cases only if we build there on clean rocks or the geology allows us to design a building of smaller size, that is , in fact, for the entire territory of ukraine , maps called general seismic zoning have been constructed, they are an addendum to the state building regulations and each organization which plans to build on this territory should follow them what is this real because i can tell you the first map takes into account

the possibility of an earthquake in this territory with a frequency of 500 years, that is, if an earthquake can occur in this territory once in 500 years, then the building must withstand once the second map for objects of increased necessity, an earthquake must be taken into account, which can happen only once in a thousand years, and for especially responsible objects there and so on , an earthquake must be taken into account, which can happen once in five thousands of years well, of course, this does not happen because builders build the maximum period of operation of buildings and structures is 50 years . therefore, these maps are calculated a little differently, they are told what , for example, in 50 years, it is assumed that 0.9% will not be exceeded in this territory a seismic event of a certain intensity, another map says - since the probability of 095 will not be exceeded the possibility

of the intensity of this earthquake is such a hard map itself 099% probability of not being exceeded in 50 years and immediately i think that in our the audience has a question: most of the houses in ukraine are built during the times of the ussr, on the well-known khrushchev , nine-story panel houses, how much they are ready to withstand today, given that their service life has long expired for several years, it is actively discussed that they need to be replaced. this housing as far as they are ready to withstand although some earthquake from my point of view i am not a builder so i will not talk about the aging of building structures although i know that concrete houses gain during the first 10-20 years, which gain strength because these constructions start there, it turns water, the structure changes completely crystalline, and so on. i want to say that our building regulations are made with a very

large margin when i looked, for example, in the united states of america there and icons, when houses are torn down because they are built with plasterboard walls directly, this is one situation , but when i look at the territory, for example, in the middle of nowhere. with a certain reserve i am not saying that it is not possible that there cannot be seismic events on the territory of ukraine, otherwise i would not be a scientist and he needs to study this, but it is necessary to study it from the point of view of local conditions, from the point of view of those frequency spectra and so on, i can separately say that i told about these maps, uh, the world between tourism, which are used in construction, and for nuclear energy, there are completely different maps, which are even tougher, which are under the control of an international agency , i have a lot of energy and there is absolutely nothing about construction standards, we want to ask you, er, now a photo of an ancient bridge, er, sander bridge , which is in turkey, which is located here, viewers

can see it, it was built during the roman empire, it is not far from the epicenter of the earthquake in turkey, and it is more than a thousand years old of the bridge and he stood, who can comment on what i said earlier, high-quality materials were built once and the very construction of the bridge was made by construction workers, we stole, built for two years all our lives, and such a construction of the bridge that takes into account resonant properties i.e., the spices of a successful signal, i.e., mine itself could have made these arches there, relatively speaking, after 10 m they did it after eight or five and it stood even then, all this was taken into account for 7 years at that time there were people who at that time called psychics bumam and the current at the moment, such psychics are seismologists and geophysicists, they do not use any virtual devices, but its devices are seismographs of three components that register there are devices that register physical fields and

so on, that is, on the basis of this, you can do a lot of things to do it, but it is necessary to invest funds, for example, i will give an additional example, i talked about the francisco earthquake in 1906, the san andreas fault, by the way , a lot of landslide events are directly connected with this fault there and so on at the university of california there are several thousand funny stations that stand along this fault and that are processed by scientists at the university of california, they can tell about the seismic conditions from 160 to tens of meters, where we are located, the entire network of seismic stations in ukraine consists of about 60 devices it is a national network of seismic stations, local networks that are located at individual facilities at the npp in south ukrainian khmelnytskyi. it recorded some aftershocks immediately after the turkish castle.

of a power unit or to build a new unit, there is a whole set of works that need to be performed. and this set of works must include a study of the seismicity of the given territory and not only earthquakes that may occur somewhere far away in turkey or in the zone in the morning and so on, and it turns out that we have local earthquakes that need to be investigated because, although ukraine is located on the territory of the eastern european platform, the platform is the most stable from the point of view of the seven e-e places 60 % of our residents live on the territory of the ukrainian crystal shield , it is even more powerful there for billions of years , in fact, it has not changed, uh, its viewers finally heard something reassuring, that is, ukraine is relatively safe safety but but now look er relative safety is such a concept as seismic risks well, i will tell you now so that you understand it . so it consists of displacement risk, what is the possibility of a seismic event and readiness for

er response to protection after a chemical event and right here is a bit of a paradox, despite the fact that the actual seismic danger is small here on the territory of the ancient platforms and on the territory of the shield, but the readiness for this event is very low, and therefore the chemical risks here are high, they can be even higher than ridiculous risks, for example in the chernivtsi region or in the odesa region or in the carpathians, because there is readiness there, there are services that deal with this directly and in all territories, we cannot have anything here when, well, it is meant on the territory of the ukrainian crystalline shield and which regions does this work yes if we take it from us in the kirovohrad region , dnipropetrovsk region, rivne region, zhytomyr region, and so on . that is, this is the central central part of ukraine directly with us. we have it here. it seems that everything is normal from the point of view of this, but there are data i

and i brought er brought today to show you directly in the studio that there is an earthquake in the territory of the ancients . this is how they happen in the summer, as a rule, when we talk about the earthquake that happened now in the territory of turkey. it was the so-called cow earthquake, it was at the depth of everything - only 10 km, and the earthquakes are conditionally subcortical and there are deep earthquakes, the deeper the earthquakes, the more and the greater the depth of the earthquake, the more volume is pumped with energy and the more powerful the earthquake will be. that is, the deeper it is it is even more terrible in terms of its consequences , because it is necessary to accumulate a large amount of energy there, if you take all the energy that is released as a result of earthquakes, then the subcortical cow is 90 7%. only 3% - these are deep lands, they are rare , but they are very high and powerful, when was the last time such an earthquake was such an article , earthquakes happen all the time, let's say if we are talking about earthquakes, love is deep to deep, which see the maximum depth

of an earthquake is precisely related to the depth and and earth's maximum registered earthquake was up to a depth of 720 km. that is, we are talking about what is usually said about the limit of the upper mantle of the earth . directly on the canadian platform there were such earthquakes on the north american platform and on the platform we we uh these earthquakes were registered on the african platform. here, but the question is about readiness and readiness this earthquake warning system consists in the readiness of the services to respond, there must be a certain number of sanitary vehicles, that is, before all of this, the service must know what to do with it serhii andriyovych immediately after the turkish earthquake

, some conspiracy theories appeared yevhen also knows about them, we discussed them about the fact that it is as if this is an earthquake, a tectonic weapon could have caused it, what is it, could it really have caused such a tectonic weapon, we talked, we talked about the fact that if you look, there is a whole a series of disaster films released by hollywood, there is an earthquake there, a trophic volcano, a catastrophic asteroid fell, and the climate changed dramatically there, and so on. that is, it was all uh, from the point of view of scientists, so let’s say so , you can’t reject all of this directly , but let’s take a look at everything - let's see what it leads to, there is such a method of conditional moments of functions in mathematics, well, i won't dig too much, the question is when we act on a specific point we must understand how this action will be on a neighboring point on another point to a distant point and so on, but in fact that is why they have the moments of the function that we need to take into account

the interactions of all other points with each other, that is , the mathematics is so complex that we cannot predict what it is, in short , a tectonic weapon, we can like when we talk, for example, about trigger effects , which our programs mentioned at the beginning, that when we use a small action, we lead to very large consequences. well, i was talking about the news that we shot there, relatively speaking with special smooth-bore guns blew up small relations, the stars lost a few kilograms and descended, and an avalanche of thousands flew off, exactly the same three-mountain effect can be. well, such a trigger or or press the button. to accurately know the geological structure of a given specific territory, not every point can be asked there, the second question must be directly calculated, a mathematical model of how it will

interact with each specific point, i.e. what will happen in simple words, what will happen after the detonation of some kind of charge, i.e., from a real point of view, there is no appropriate mathematics, there is currently no appropriate theory that would allow this to be done we have heard a scientist, including from our unfriendly country, arguing with us directly about what they have such a program that they can, for example, blow up , well, there is an ancient volcano in the atlantic ocean, my tax , half of which the volcano has already collapsed , they calculated that if that volcano suddenly suddenly collapses, the second part will collapse, relatively speaking into the ocean, there will be a tsunami wave several hundred meters high, which will reach the coast, for example, to create the united states of america at a depth of several thousand kilometers . that earthquake which is not tectonic cauldrons because this is a very serious issue, well

, certain calculations have already been made by scientists, everything has been done directly, now from the point of view of energy, if we are talking about the energy of an earthquake, which released as a result of february 6 in turkey is approximately 6 megatons 6 megatons so it will be six nuclear charges of one megaton each. if you want to count how many charges were dropped on hiroshima, nagasaki, you can divide by 30 there were 5 5 km it seems that it was an order of magnitude less, that is, huge energy . imagine, that is, in fact, this earthquake, if you look , we are talking about we are talking about how much energy you have. from the time they advanced to us, it was approximately 15 million, that is, they actually blew up half of this ammunition at the same time

, can you imagine such an option, and the main thing is, it reminds me of such a case when geologists joke with each other, we have jokes, they say ivan , come here, he caught a bear he says, well, you don’t come here like that and don’t let him go. that is, we don’t know what the reaction will be and no one can do it, just like an unforeseen reaction from the point of view of the use of thermonuclear weapons, all kinds of climatic, tectonic, and so on. at this level, it is possible to cause such an uncontrollable course of events that will lead to those destructions that even no one and uh well and that even no one expected 100%. and that's why even here, i don't even know, and similar theories have not been developed, it can be used directly as a horror film, but to what extent at the moment, i am well versed in a certain literature, we uh, we don't uh, there are no such developments that could be applied at the moment at the same time, to stay safe, that is, there is an idea, a concept, and technology

. so far, there is no technology and no mathematics there is no corresponding calculations are being carried out by some on a friendly basis. i would like to add that those who talk about this do not have any sense, maybe after our transfer, someone will have ideas , so we are in vain, they are considering this topic in detail . romania has already been shaken three times. new zealand , hawaii, kazakhstan , georgia. i will say right away that this is primarily caused by the hands of journalists, because when you turn your attention to this event and so on, i cited a small statistic that i also conducted for the last 100 years.

more every year such earthquakes as usual up to eight seven seven eight points, about 20 of them happen every year, strong earthquakes are called up to 7 points, hundreds of them happen, we are simply attracted by the destruction and victims that have occurred and we monitor any earthquakes that occur on our planet and tie them to similarities , everything will be fine, it happens all the time, i tell you. our planet is alive, and therefore thousands of earthquakes occur every day, but most of them , 99%, occur in uninhabited areas where there are no no infrastructure where there are no people can not bring us any harm and only when in the end they intersect with us we then begin to pay attention and appreciate from this point of view earthquakes what is, was and will be for us too

we have to learn to live with it, the perfect finale of our program is very good yes, yes, that we discuss this topic in the studio because the audience became interested in this topic and now at least you and i understand the structure of earthquakes , their nature and what needs to be done in order to be knowledgeable thank you thank you for the opportunity to demonstrate the problems we are dealing with in a popular way and attract the attention of the public, perhaps those people who make decisions and even finance the work serhiu vyzhva, professor, doctor of geological sciences was with us the night watch was with you see you on the air a year that changed each of us changed but did not break us and did not let us forget that there are people nearby who need your attention and support those who

lack the warmth of protection and rays of hope and that is why we are weaving camouflage nets and melt wax for trench candles to help those who defend our future with sweat and blood and we do it at the call of the soul because our people are our support and victory a year of indomitability together to victory i defend ukraine my blue sky the morning silence of the forest field i protect the culture, tradition, the cossack land, i protect the borders

of my country, i protect what is important, the life of my family, my mother, my father, my brothers, my wife, i protect my ukraine, my will, freedom , love, we are the ones who are building a new, strong, free and independent ukraine, i protect, i protect , i protect, i protect under a bomb in azovstalia decreased and we simply resigned ourselves to the fact that we will remain captive there amid humiliation and abuse. they told me that your child will remain in the territory of russia if you do not prove that it is your child. 7 am in ukraine in the studio, iryna koval welcomes everyone viewers of the espresso tv channel and for your attention , the morning news program in ukraine is deciding