[000:00:00;00] the intensification of internet traffic will be very large , the americans will record it because each group of influence will communicate with each other to decide which of them is the most important . well, many, many different signs. thank you, mr. ivan. and ivan stupak - military expertise, an employee of the security service of ukraine in 2004-2015 was also with us . we invite you to stay in ukraine and stay in touch with us, mr. ruslan. good morning. mr. ruslan well, of course, let's start with biden's visit, or it's probably the event of this week, besides the fact that we all have a premonition of february 24, but this is the event that with huge plus signs, we

don't have that much good news lately , respectively the visit of joseph biden and the fact that even in poland he still talked about ukraine , can we actually expect any more gifts from the united states or from the world community after this visit on the 24th? i definitely think that there will be additional help in ukraine because this firstly, biden's visit, he broke the plans of both moscow and beijing at the same time, he crossed out 24, in fact, they have nothing to say and nothing to show even after this visit, because the leader of the democratic camp actually came to warring ukraine on the eve of the offensive, putin dreamed of visiting kyiv in three days and he did not visit there for more than a year, but he still visited our cathedral and expressed support for our sovereignty. that is, we see how the situation has changed a year ago

, and the statement that was heard in poland will be supported it just proves that america has chosen its own path and it will go side by side to victory with us, this is a long road for us after such. if only joseph biden's public speeches were special in kyiv, but many factors can work here, look, china joined in. - and unfortunately, from my point of view, he took an active part in this war, if he did not publicize his position for a year. well, there were several speeches that we are not neutral for peace, let's stop the war, then here we see the visit of the former minister of foreign affairs pvan and to the munich conference where he found out the position of the europeans of europe regarding this war, then he went to moscow , then he will return to beijing, where he will

make a speech and propose an alternative peace plan, which proposed a meeting where our the cute formula is part of this western plan, in fact, and beijing now wants to offer an alternative, so i say that the connection is changing a lot and the connection is such an alarming moment , in fact, we can say that biden's visit was also so, so serious a slap in the face for russia and a signal for the russians that you are telling us that everything is going according to plan, but look at the american president walking in the center of kyiv and you can't do anything about it, and did it happen? what do you think about russian society, how will they react to it is there a feeling that everything is not going according to plan and why was president putin's speech so weak in the end, in your opinion, because it is called weak even by the same russian bloggers who have tens of thousands of

followers there, one of them even wrote that this the political troupe spoke. i think that it did not reach the russian society because if it reacts to its propaganda and lives in me bubbles in this propaganda and actually goes to die for it is not clear what there vapor war then it will reach the population it reached the elites the elites understood that uh he did not offer putin a way out of the situation with his weak speeches. they all count and expect some way out. they see that russia will lose, that an imbalance of power has developed, that russia is weakening and ukraine is stronger with a coalition that supports it, and they were waiting for this speech. not even threats. they were waiting for some kind of plan. what are we going to do 1 2 3 in order to get out of this situation, and he didn't say anything about it, he deliberately moved away from it, there were some economic projects, he started to tell something else , that's why this speech was actually broken with the visit of biden, the position of the united states of america is clear that they will go all the way with ukraine, this means the loss of russia

, and he simply did not have an answer to this , that there was no way to give a clear plan that we will go out to threaten with nuclear weapons, he did not maybe because his closest partners, china and india, forbade him to do so; in fact, at the g20 they said that he did not intimidate the world there, and that in the 21st century it is unacceptable to use nuclear weapons, but he has no more trump cards, and he lost, the army will lose him on the battlefield the economy is subject to sanctions, it showed a decline already in january, in fact, a deficit of 1.8 trillion rubles ago well, there is no positive news, there is nothing to say, so such a weak speech is again accusing the west for the 10th time already and not offered no plan to get out of this situation for russia, and if joseph biden had not made such a surprise in the form of a visit to kyiv, what could

putin’s speech have been or what was prepared in the end? what should he have said to his citizens before he had to rewrite it? go to google and what he had to say there but i think i think he would have announced some uh partial victories in the first stage of the war i think he would have put more emphasis on this land corridor on what he attached new territories that they are winning that everything is going according to plan and this is only the first stage, it’s okay that it has dragged on for a year, but we will still achieve our plans and will mean , uh, return ours, so to speak. but such victorious rhetoric was crossed out, as i said, with a visit what to say, because if america said that we will support everything, we will support to the end until victory. well, what will you say that in the second stage you will try to win, if in the first stage you have minimal conquests, if we take

the chinese topic in your opinion, what is it now will be china's next move. what to expect from the visit, these calls to moscow, will he be such a counterweight to biden's visit, so that if he declares absolute support in moscow, or on the contrary, will it be an attempt of some kind to force putin to peace, so to speak, he is quoted, well this, from my point of view, this visit is carried out against the background of the growing confrontation between the united states of america and china, if china is included , then this is already a confrontation between the united states and its camp and china and its camp, so china is now according to the statements so what can we analyze the statements made by the representative of the ministry of foreign affairs of china where they said that the peace plan will include two initiatives first that they

will respect the sovereignty and borders of the countries and on the other hand they declared that all issues related to security must be taken into account from both sides , that is, so that we take into account russia 's security concerns. in fact, this is what russia started the war with, so it is not known how china is doing, but connecting china with its potential can to actually break this trend that has developed on the battlefield. when ukraine actually grinds down a professional army, it can move to a counteroffensive and win if china joins in with the potential, then it will either take a long time or it will be difficult for us to win and the chinese can use as a lever of pressure on the united states of america, put

ukraine at the negotiating table, let them negotiate and take into account the security interests of russia and ukraine, let ukraine concede something. the union and the united states are sales markets, if china is a big world workshop, but it is a workshop until the time when it has to go somewhere to sell its goods at normal prices, and at normal prices, it can sell to the european market and to the market of the united states of america, so if it starts the confrontation will be bad for europe and the united states and china and the whole world because it will start, everything will start with economic wars, technological information and psychological operations, well, that is , we will be dragged into this confrontation confrontational scenario let's say so and it will have consequences if you are in a confrontation the same europe and the united states means you have less potential to

help ukraine logically logically and this will also happen in our interests then china will force there na na the size may force the united states to the size of some because the united states also depends on china china actually in these production chains 40%, er parts are supplied from china for the assembly of the final assembly of some goods in the united states of america, the largest technology companies earn the most money on the chinese market, china buys the securities of the united states of america, actually balancing the deficit of the budget of the united states of america, that is, they are tied like a twin, like twins on each other, and if a serious confrontation begins, well, the whole world will feel it ruslana, i wanted to ask you about the protectors of the russian world in europe, about hungary, the head of

the ministry of foreign affairs in slovakia could not stand it who literally sent orbán to where the russian warship was sent, not in diplomatic language, but simply directly and said that for when putin's critics , especially for our carpathian basin and highlands, for all those who want peace at the cost of the destruction of ukraine, i have only one message well and here is the actual message, which was also for the russian warship , according to his visa, slovakian to undergo treatment by a psychiatrist, so that they did not often exchange such very unfriendly escapades happens at the diplomatic level, especially within the borders of the same union with the word how to evaluate everything, where can it all be proven? well, it has already become obvious to everyone that hungary is in the shaper of russian policy, it is simple, well, it

has already become obvious. yes, when it took active steps to block it there packages of sanctions to block some initiatives to help ukraine, when she said that she would not supply weapons there, she would prohibit transporting them to her territories , that is , they are not in the third. they share in many issues the values ​​of modern europe, they block the interests of the union, and that is why we see that they are like that, you know. well, soon a country that has completely sided with the enemy of the democratic world will be isolated in the european union, even though it is and will be and is and a member of nato and the european union, and by the way, it is included in the budapest nine, the summit of which is taking place and with whom biden is meeting

today, why did he have to meet , despite this , they are pursuing such a policy. at such a level between leaders and between countries, we will see them more often if the european commission does not take any measures to ensure that hungary is more balanced and is not such a trojan horse that russia in the european union does not torpedo european solidarity thank you mr. ruslan and ruslan osypenko , the deputy of international affairs, helped us to understand international politics, which is currently spinning and revolving in one way or another around the russian war against ukraine, and now we will ask ivan usa, candidate of economic of the chief consultant of the national institute for strategic studies is about whether the russian people have finally become sick, how about this? putin said in his speech that it is the western world that wants the russians

to suffer. well, they are already suffering, so we can't hear you correctly. good morning studio good morning the audience specially listened to putin's speech, it was 1.5 hours of horror , i got the impression that in general it was a parallel reality because this entire speech was held, let's say, from one side that they forced us to attack, after all, what a bad event there was. putin constantly complained about this event and told stories about how good the economy is, how everything is cool, it ’s growing, everything else, but you know it, he said a very interesting thing about the fact that everyone rallied around one ideas unraveling the fact that in the third quarter of last

year the amount of money withdrawn from the russian federation was almost 1.5-3 million rubles 26 exceeded the amount of money withdrawn in the third quarter of the 21st year. to be honest, sometimes it seemed to me that they rallied around ideas on how to leave russia as soon as possible, this is what really unites russians there , at least those who have money and those who understand something in this country. after all, there are people like that, and the other question is that they, uh, let's say, they don't express their opinion they are afraid of something, nevertheless, the fact that they are leaving russia . this is already a very clear signal. and then about economic growth and that the people are satisfied, well, you know, prices are really rising there, the truth is that it is unpleasant, it is not related to the economy, it is, on the contrary, a parameter nevertheless, inflation is there before the definition in russia ie

to say that putin bragged that their inflation is better than in the eu, and before inflation is the executor. another question is whether you have partners who will provide you with loans so that certain problem points come. there are none at all. there are not enough internal reserves, plus they can help the united states of america. although it is unlikely that it will be necessary, because you emphasize whether there is a similar reserve of russia. i am not sure. and the russian experts on television, uh, with their television, emphasize, they are already saying that, most likely , russia's reserves will disappear within this year, that is, they do not say when specifically, but well, taking into account that it seems that in october they borrowed one trillion rubles from the national welfare fund, and there were 11 in total, that is, 10 remained , and these are data for october, november, december , january, i think so, and they were borrowed, so it is not excluded that somewhere in august, he is one of them. well, most importantly, you know and the figures are already appearing that

in the first month and a half of the current year , the deficit of the budget of the russian federation, and by the way, putin. we have a surplus, we do not need to borrow money from anyone, in fact, for the first month and a half, it is a deficit, eh , i think i already see a figure of four trillion rubles. accelerated well, it is possible four times ago but nevertheless, the fact that they would already uh, under the budget deficit, fulfill the annual plan, yes , i agree, and uh, i think that the population may not feel so much for now, but this is a matter of months rather than years, when they finally

, by the way, i want to say that what you mentioned about double-digit inflation so that ukrainians would just think about us in december, back in december, for example, the hryvnia-to-dollar exchange rate for the dollar was 36, the official rate is now the end of february, the official rate is 3,650 in exchangers in december, up to 42 hryvnias reached 40, somewhere it was now 39 with kopecks in our country, the price of the dollar in russia has even gone down a little in two or so months. during the same time, the price of the dollar and the euro have increased by 20%. inflation in a couple of months, that is, in thailand, we would now have 40 hryvnia became, accordingly, almost 50 just to still feel it. that is, i don't know. when you say that the reserves will run out, in practical terms, that is for those people who do not really understand such economic nuances. see what this

means that the russian federation, since it has a deficit, the deficit must be covered with something. you can take a loan from the imf, but the imf will not give now where you ask for it. everyone understands that you can take a loan from partners, but who is russia , close partners, e.e. belarus, belarus itself is asking for money from russia they will not give their russia, iran, well, drones and weapons can be provided to russia and drones, but the money is unlikely to be given early, it is also not many countries, of course , china could provide it, but we see that china avoids the word partnership in its statements - it is russia who says that they have partnership relations with china that here they have one and now the possibility will be interesting that china does not say something intimate, they will have it and russia says that there will be no salt of the earth. that is, well, it can be one condition for them that russia will become a part of

china and then it is he going to siberia there? that china wants to take for itself, that is, i mean that china is unlikely to also help russia with money. that is, it turns out that the only source at the expense of which they will support is to cover the hole from here so that they don't just have it, it increases sharply rapidly, it 's the reserve. but when the reserve it will not be, this means that they will not be able to cover the hole in the deficit. what will this lead to? well , moscow and saint-petersburg have things. and here it is , and with all due respect to you tv, some kind of thing may end up in a situation where money for there will be no public servants at all, there will be no salaries and no pensions, that is, people who receive money from the budget, because this money must be taken from the end , and this is the reserve. of the russian federation and then it will become more and more infected, the number

of such people will not reach moscow until the end of the year. but next year, if it is very good, then anything can happen. well, these even poorer subjects then take loans through these loans so that their to pay and close, they go to the russian army, where they hope for payments and then go and die. well, that’s all in principle. the problem is solved, so the only thing they hope for is not payments, because if you read a-a, let’s say, russian hawks, that is , bloggers, who are the most for others in russia is determined to go to war, so they directly write that the money is not paid, that now in those battalions. by the way, there already seem to be 26 attractive armies in russia that appeared so unexpectedly. that is, everyone knows pvk wagner, but the leader there, many others even appear gazprom, the leading russian company, created its own private military company, that is, you know, for people who remember

the middle ages, they will remember such a term as feudalism and feudal vienna . feudalism is now being formed in russia, when each actual company does not have its own security service, but its own army, but from moreover, from the point where there is feudalism to the point where there will be feudal wars in russia, several positions can pass. that is, i do not rule out that even during this year some significant internal military operations will begin there, but returning to money, really there are statements that certain similar structures and military units do not have salaries because they are promised but in fact they are not paid, and that is why there is such a situation when certain russian pocketmen are interested in the maximum mortality of their soldiers because they will not have to pay, i.e. imagine a model for which is sent by a certain

group of people and those who sent them are praying that none of these people will return. that is, it may lead to the fact that they were to provide the u.s. army with the coordinates. these groups were riding please hit here, because you will save us money, this is the model that is currently being developed in russia, largely due to the fact that the money is running out there, and nevertheless, putin said in yesterday's speech that russia is starting a new cycle of economic growth at the expense of what do you think they are going to to grow at the expense of 200 percent tariffs on russian aluminum, something the united states is about to introduce. well, i repeat that there is a parallel reality, that is, from the point of view, if you really listen to putin, everything he said, you get the impression that everything is super, everything is fine in general, then there uh russia is not really waging a war. and in general, it is there somewhere. it is on the side. that is, it was not the main topic of the speech at all, but again , returning to these hawks, i emphasize that

russian bloggers write that there was no mention of it, and no defeat was said about it. what in general is so lost for a second the flagship of the black sea fleet in russian is somehow already in russia they forgot that they had a cruiser moscow and that it has been gone for a long time and that is, in its reality, everything is super, everything is cool, the economy is working and here is russia for another year or two there will become a leading country in hello, but you know, just yesterday i commented on this speech, the price for one channel from lobodabi, let's say now is, and here i told them to watch, let's compare your country , the united arab emirates and russia for 23 years , that is, the period when putin was in power, what happened to you and what do you have now, that is, like a cut or dabi, how did it go down, how, in principle, another town is growing a little. now let’s look at russia . well, i agree with moscow city. there we see a change. and as for russia, 38% of the villages there

were not gasified, so they now they remain energized, that is, while, by the way, the journalist who took my comment recovered himself and when i told him that, you know , in russia, 38% is gasified, and for example , the country that is the third in the world in terms of gas, the country there is 100%. to which he replied to me that he said that you know vasili 100% razification but for some reason 38% in russia do not know what gas is despite the fact that these pipes pass through all the villages. that is, this is a real russian model of some kind and people see it anyway they may have accepted it, but that does not mean that's good, well, the sanctions are working, no one promised that they will work very quickly, but, of course, a year seems to us that it's been a long time, we wanted russia to be on its knees by now. well, not all at once, but they are working

. thank you very much, mr. ivan candidate of economic sciences of the university of warsaw, the main consultant of the national institute of strategic studies talked a little about how gradually russian knees are getting closer to the ground, they are lagging behind. so they are turning from the negative direction, so to speak, we still have a couple of minutes left - oh my god no i can show the video now, you can't show the video now, but let's say that the air alert is ongoing in ukraine, you see the map in red, there were several explosions in kharkiv . actually, during the air alert, there is a possibility of rocket launches from the territory of russia, be careful, warns the mayor of the city, ihor tarkhov and the head of the kharkiv regional military administration, oleg sinegubov, as well as we call on ukrainians to avoid exposure and be careful

. and i'm just from the video. king charles visited the ukrainian military, he came to prepare there, they study in britain, we had a great conversation there, they had a great time there, he said that you guys are at least where your families seem to be families in ukraine well, we are here studying , preparing, we are all ready, well done guys, in general , i am proud of you, great video he spoke in ukrainian so flawlessly, what is it, friends? miraton continues, eh, the news is on the queue, and after the news, we will return and continue. stay with the press . unconquered cities of ukraine. lviv, a city where more than 2,000 historical architectural monuments have been preserved. and cultural monuments, its center belongs to the world cultural heritage of unesco here at the monastery of st. onufry ivan fedorov founded the first printing house and printed the first ukrainian book the apostle after the november

order and the creation of the west ukrainian people's republic lviv became the capital and the heart of the ukrainian liberation movement in june 1941 on rynok square, the ukrainian national assembly proclaimed the act of restoration of the ukrainian state, after which the nazis began terror against the ukrainian insurgent army tried to take the city under their control, but the reds seized power, despite the repressions, lviv residents continued their struggle today, all roads lead to lviv, even angelina jolie did not bypass it, it became a second home for thousands of ukrainians, it gives the soviet a ton of humanitarian goods and, even under missile strikes , continues to work for victory in lviv vasyl zima unconquered big broadcast

my name is vasyl zima two hours of air time and my colleagues with you until 21:00 two hours of your time we will talk about the most important two hours to learn about the war joins serhiy zhoretska will broadcast military summaries of the day and what the world is like. what in the world will yuriy the physicist tell for two hours to stay up to date with economic news? oleksandr marchenko will talk about the economy during the war and new sports. yevhen pastukhov is ready to talk about sports for two hours in the company favorite presenters about culture during the war, lina is ready to talk or something else that many have become like, maybe the weather will give us some optimism, mrs. natalka didenko is ready to tell us, and we will also have distinguished guests of the studio today volodymyr hryshko, if everything goes well, events of the day in two hours, vasyl zimi's big broadcast, a project for intelligent and caring people, in the evening on espresso, join the community with a ukrainian

view of the world, become a sponsor of the espresso youtube channel, and this is access to exclusive content , personal thanks, pinned comments, special icons and an opportunity of personal communication with the espresso team, click to sponsor and become part of the community with a ukrainian point of view , with espresso the sounding of air alarms began. and