[000:00:00;00] the e-e invasion did not take place viktoria berezyuk is applying for the high position of a member of the central committee of the communist party of ukraine, which provides for checks on the professional suitability and integrity of judges and candidates in the court berezyuk sees the integrity check as the criterion of integrity should be checked e-e with the help of special checks organized by e-e the higher qualification commission by checking the declaration and also from those documents that are provided directly by the candidate and also with the help of an interview with him well, maybe some other means are very interesting, and berezyuk herself, taking into account all the dubious facts of her judicial biography, passed such a check

from the commission for the selection of members of the communist party of the soviet union , they were satisfied with her explanation to the court, we will see it constantly, as of today, i had all this judicial control, i am tetyana shustrova if you are aware of the facts of corruption in the courts or you have encountered an illegal judicial process, let us know, write to me on facebook or by e-mail, her address you can see on the screen now. good luck , we will meet in exactly one week. greetings, dear tv viewers on the air espresso tv channel's program studio event will analyze the most important events of this week, there were many of them, at the same time we will try to predict what the next weeks will be like, our guests will

be former adviser to the secretary of state of the united states and andriy piontkovsky, a political scientist who is in washington. of the united states former director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council kudos to ukraine dear mr. ambassadors kudos to the heroes president of the united states made a historic visit at a historic moment during a full-scale russian invasion. yes, but the most important thing is not even that he flew to the eastern flank of nato, not even that he came to kyiv , although this also causes great respect, but he held extremely important coordination meetings, in particular, this concerns of the entire eastern flank of nato, we understand that there are certain additional things that did not make it into the official protocols regarding the visit to kyiv, as president zelensky said. probably the most significant visit of any american official to

ukraine, and i agree with this, this is because biden, as the leader of the transatlantic family, unlike other european leaders, has not yet been to kyiv . he had to go there to demonstrate his courage and, of course , oppose moscow's statement that biden is already a frail old man detached from the people and therefore cannot be a global leader. but the most important thing for ukraine, of course, is that for the first time in american history, the us president was able to visit a combat zone that is not under american control military by showing that he is ready to take such risks and by demonstrating his strong support for ukraine, which is constantly growing , so president biden's visit to kyiv was an extremely important political symbol when it comes to the meeting of the bucharest nine , that is, the advanced nato states closest to ukraine. i believe that this is also an extremely important strategic symbol of nato unity and these countries as a whole have historically been most

concerned and most aware of president putin's aggressive claims against ukraine and the threat he poses to nato territories are also countries that were occupied by russia during the soviet union, so they need to be reassured, these countries must understand that the nato leader takes their concerns into account, and even if in some other parts of nato, support for ukraine may change somewhat but remain strong, it is important to show them what he said biden, all nato countries united to deter russia from any aggression against nato territory and the last reason why both visits of president byron were so important the thing is that the far right is the most extremist part of the republican party in washington, which we have already discussed before. they suggest that it is possible that the usa should reduce its aid to ukraine, and if donald trump

is re-elected as president, i am very worried about what the support from the usa will be under such circumstances , but these elections are still far away, i would not start predicting now that president trump will win what could bring the president of the united states to kyiv, we understand that this is important. this is historic and it is a huge risk for president joseph biden, but he took this risk and accordingly it means that either we have some kind of historical moment, that is, we are talking about some big geopolitical negotiations with the russian federation, maybe with china and so on, that is, the president of the united states manifested himself by coming to kyiv . what is the western world here, on the one hand, on the other hand? somehow he could postpone it, i don't know, to transcarpathia or to lviv. no, he came to kyiv , and the most interesting moment was that the kremlin did not make

a military provocation. and here, i would like to ask you, dear mr. ambassadors, about your opinion, why the kremlin did not launch a missile attack on kyiv and what could be the response from the united states. did the biden administration warn or warn russia that president biden was going to visit kyiv ? the white house warned the kremlin in advance, which clearly indicates washington's responsible behavior if moscow in turn carried out air raids or missile strikes on kyiv while biden was there , she would have suffered a huge blow from the point of view of international public opinion and possibly even inside russia, since there is an international political and legal understanding that countries do not try to kill major powers, despite the fact that russia grossly violated international law by invading ukraine, it tries to manage

international relations with the public and , frankly, they do well because outside of europe, the united states, japan, australia in new zealand and other countries, almost two-thirds of the world sympathizes with russia. the kremlin has well understood that it will lose this support if it does something so imprudent as the launch of missiles after they were warned about biden's visit, but on the other hand, putin gave some kind of clear and understandable tough answer , so everyone expected that putin would start very tough, well , at least in rhetorical terms, to try to realize his imperial fantasies or ambitions, the only thing he did with such an important thing was to freeze it suspended the treaty on strategic offensive arms it is important to focus on your words putin decided to freeze the suspension of the treaty on the reduction of

strategic offensive arms but not withdraw from it and not cancel this treaty. i think that putin is sending a signal to the united states that the entire system of arms control that existed since the 1970s , starting with the missile defense treaty of 1972, from which the usa withdrew in 2002, by the way , is no longer valid. wants to sow fear, especially in europe, that the us is behaving dangerously, which could lead to a nuclear confrontation not only between the us and russia, but also between europe and russia, so putin is using this threat in an attempt to undermine the unity of the transatlantic community in support of ukraine, however, as i have already said, he did not mention that russia withdrew from the agreement, because in this case he would be working against his goal of driving a wedge

between europe and the united states. in reality, however, the practical impact of this step is small, because at the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, russia did not allow any inspection that was foreseen earlier and just a few times a year, each party and russia and the united states, according to the treaty, have the right to notify that in the near future they will make a visit to observe whether the other party is complying with the treaty or no, russia did not allow this, first the pandemic, and then when the pandemic subsided, when russia invaded ukraine, the continuation of this kind of political cooperation became impractical. this is another symbolic gesture aimed at sowing fear, and there is no reason why strategic stability would be undermined in any way if russia freeze the implementation of the treaty well in any case mr. ambassador i don't see that you

look scared i don't see that the united states is too scared of this extremely undiplomatic and dangerous russian step, that is, as far as i understand, the united states is not surprised and in case of something would be ready to give an adequate response with a treaty each side can keep 1,550 nuclear warheads, russia has kept this number, while the united states has 1,420 nuclear warheads at its disposal , so this is enough to deter any what russian attack on the usa with the use of nuclear weapons the question of whether russia will tactically use nuclear weapons in ukraine is a completely different question and it depends entirely on whether president putin comes to the conclusion that

frankly, he himself will face an existential threat if ukraine defeats the russian army on the battlefield, in your opinion, for what purpose did the head of chinese diplomacy, the head of the so-called foreign department of the central committee of the people's republic of china, ivan carry out his great european voyage now, and what could one bring and what could this person be? this is the chinese peace plan, about which everyone is talking a lot. what is the chinese peace plan ? turkey, they have not shown any interest in active involvement, on the other hand, china is trying to balance from the point of view of its own strategic interests , the other day there was a meeting of the minister of foreign affairs of china with president putin and minister of foreign affairs lavrov, so the minister of foreign affairs of china, speaking about

the sino-russian partnership, used the term that is translated as strong as a rock , but this time he did not repeat the phrase that sidin-pin and vladimir putin used during the meeting before russia's invasion of ukraine and precisely because china and russia have an unlimited partnership, it is obvious that cindy is trying to limit russia, and this is exactly what i see as the balance of china's approach to war. as for the use of nuclear weapons, it is no secret that these dnas persistently advise president putin not to do this during their last meeting, as in the rendering mode , china wants the end of the war from the point of view of balance, it wants to maintain its principle of supporting the territorial integrity of states, and here the matter concerns taiwan, and the balance is

that china is not a supporter of russia occupied and divided ukraine, there is another very subtle side of chinese thinking, which few analysts pay attention to . from the point of view of china, it is possible to consider the illegal, in our view, russian invasion of ukraine as an attempt to restore the territorial integrity of russia from the point of view of putin, who, as we know, by his invasion to ukraine violated international law with his statement that ukraine has no right to exist, inclines the international community to accusations of genocide, but in chinese strategic thinking, the conflict there is no clear interpretation of territorial integrity, and that is why china would simply like the war to end without pushing ukraine away, as it conducts active trade with it . china wants peace, but does not show readiness for active mediation, however, everyone knows that there is no chance that ukraine will simply say , ok, let's stop the war now without the spring offensive, which aims to restore

the territorial integrity of ukraine, forgive me for trying for so long to explain my opinion that the chinese peace plan will lead nowhere well, it is a strange but characteristic moment, so we understand that the chinese would like to sell themselves as great peacemakers in quotes , of course, on the other hand, well, it is extremely strange that the van flew to moscow and not to kyiv , that is, as far as i understand, if china had serious intentions to intervene i don't know how to try to extinguish russian aggression , and first of all, i should talk with the leadership of the top political leadership of ukraine. this is what i tried to prove in my previous answer that china has no serious intentions to be a mediator or as a peacemaker, china's fundamental strategic interest at this stage is to help counter the dominance of the united states on the world stage through

its support for russia and president putin, who is a global figure seeking to undermine the international system of rules, the multilateralism that emerged after world war ii, and all efforts that at that time, the usa was involved. beijing will always lean towards moscow in this conflict and will never be a peacemaker. but again, as i have already said, beijing is also conflict-oriented because of its support for the principle territorial integrity, including in ukraine, but of course, first of all for myself regarding taiwan, i agree that if beijing wanted to play the role of a peacemaker, the minister of foreign affairs would come to kyiv, but this is not the case. beijing simply wants to avoid being against russia and at the same time not be too favorable to russia in this conflict , the nsc-complex in your opinion. when will this moment come, what will be its most characteristic signs that would prove that russia will be ready

or russia will be forced to enter into negotiations because we understand, well, in general, there are two bloody scenarios before us, and that is, big battles or attempts by the russians to freeze and somewhat reduce the intensity. but somehow, without stopping hostilities, it will be determined by the success of ukraine's military operations in the future spring offensive. putin is absolutely determined to destroy ukraine, and he he will do it if he is not stopped he will never sit down at the negotiating table in the spirit of goodwill if he wins on the battlefield we are already trained by the minsk process putin simply used the time between 2014 and 2022 to strengthening russia's military presence, increasing it perhaps preparing for the invasion of ukraine is exactly what he would do now if a ceasefire was reached as a result of some negotiations

, the only option is to defeat it on the battlefield as we know, russia is facing serious challenges and difficulties the regular army has run out, it has little ammunition and it cannot manufacture ammunition due to the sanctions of the adventure recently announced that they can no longer recruit even from prison there is an intense political the struggle between the military and the military of russia, especially minister shoigu and the chief of the general staff and the head of the military operation in ukraine, gerasimov. i think that putin knows that in a totalitarian or authoritarian state like his russia, such competing centers of power must be separated. the people who control the military force must be separated, otherwise they can to rebel against him, i am trying to say that russia's military situation is quite dangerous in russia, there are many more people whom putin is ready to sacrifice as

cannon fodder during attacks on the lines defense of ukraine putin hopes that ukraine will be exhausted on the battlefield and that its friends and partners will at some point stop providing it with such decisive military assistance, i think ukraine is ready for a decisive victory this spring, then the post is not a difficult question whether ukraine will continue to advance and liberate crimea, which is what my whose dear friend i have great respect for general benchos, will the collective action put pressure on ukraine to stop hostilities at this moment it will be a difficult political decision and that's when putin can sit down at the negotiating table, in particular, understanding that if he loses crimea, it will be for him both an exceptional political defeat and a physical existential threat after ukraine wins a decisive victory over russia on the battlefield outside crimea, there will be a very tense moment of

deciding whether to continue liberating crimea on the screen, as far as i understood, president biden shouted when he arrived in kyiv and in warsaw, he demonstrated something, but the issue is not only the demonstration, but also the readiness to use specific forces, in particular, it is about ground forces of course, this is necessary, it is connected with the amazing behavior of ukrainian society both on the battlefield and with its unity in supporting military efforts. to say ok, now we see that ukraine is capable of winning and therefore we are ready to take the risk of escalating the conflict by providing ukraine with the weapons it needs ukraine can defeat russia on the battlefield therefore this is a risk

worth taking because we must see ukraine's victory on the battlefield and ukraine can do it. therefore, ukraine should be provided with more powerful weapons and we have seen how the usa and its european allies step by step cross each of their red lines, at first no longer-range missiles were foreseen, and then the usa provided heimers then there were anti-ship missiles provided by denmark and great britain and you remember that a few years ago the obama administration did not even want to provide javelin anti-tank missiles and president trump agreed to do this then there were statements that no nato tanks would be provided in the last ones we spoke to just before the contact group meeting in rammstein and there was a consensus that germany would eventually provide leopard 2 tanks following the us decision to provide m1 abrams tanks and then the us provided missiles patriot, now we are talking about strengthening the ukrainian

air defense system with f-16 fighters. i think that soon the us will agree to transfer f-16 aircraft to ukraine . so as ukraine succeeds on the battlefield, its friends in the west and the future nato allies are more and more ready to risk a greater escalation of the war on the part of president putin to make sure that ukraine can defeat the terrible earthquake in turkey , as far as i understand he has weakened certain positions of president erdoğan as of now god is changing or on the contrary weakening the position of president erdoğan and turkey as the key black sea negotiator at the moment at the highest level of the turkish government system , there is no ability to think about anything outside the borders of turkey, this is an unprecedented natural disaster in the history of the turkish republic and

some experts claim that it can become the biggest natural disaster in the history of mankind, there have been many major natural disasters, but now an area larger than the whole of bulgaria has been affected, where almost all buildings have been destroyed or seriously damaged only in the city of attacks . for example, the local mayor announced that 80% of the buildings or destroyed or in need of destruction and reconstruction 80%. in a region with a population of more than a million, previous international disputes between turkey and greece, cyprus, armenia , and israel now look quite trivial and in fact these countries were one of the first to offer turkey help by providing both rescue teams and other humanitarian aid. erdogan will be preoccupied with his upcoming elections, which are for him politically and existentially. will be as determined as now after the first complaints

that not enough aid has come to this huge region that was affected by the earthquake, it will be very good erdugan promises to start the reconstruction of two hundred thousand destroyed houses within a month. he is going to strengthen his status in the upcoming elections, so all eyes at the top of turkish politics are now focused on reconstruction, then on the upcoming elections, however, foreign policy continues, the minister will continue active turkish diplomacy, but i do not think that turkey will be ready for at the level of president erdoğan to return to the role of mediator that he played between kyiv and moscow , the rescue mission will not be completed, which will take at least several months, turkey is preparing to the elections that were originally scheduled for june 18. they should be held by june 18, but erdogan postponed them to may 14 due to the cataclysm, the elections will most likely take place

after june 18, on the other hand, it is impossible according to the turkish constitution, because to postpone the elections after the announced it is possible to give only in the event of a war in turkey, but the people who wrote the constitution did not foresee a disaster of such a scale, accordingly, if the elections are postponed , erdogan will most likely not be able to fulfill the role of mediator until the elections are held president joseph biden in some ways reminds me of such a better version of president woodrow wilson, who returned america to great global politics and who was not afraid. but unlike president wilson in the morning , president joseph biden is supported in the united states. we remember how it was more than 100 years ago president wilson wisely began to normalize the world, so to speak, at the same time when his relations with his native politicians and congressmen deteriorated and , accordingly, the domestic political situation in

the united states cannot now be negatively to influence the idea of ​​president biden to bring the united states truly back into the big global politics us activity in foreign policy is a natural state of things after the first world war and much more after the second world war that it was then that the united states became a world leader, but in the foreign policy of the united states there has always been a tendency to isolationism, the desire to use, as they said in the 19th and 18th centuries, the geographical isolation of america, that is, the oceans that isolate the united states from conflicts in other places recalling the farewell speech of the first president of the united states, george washington, one of the key things he said in this speech was that the united states should avoid external entanglements

, that is, focus primarily on the domestic situation. how the world is organized, but also due to a complete lack of interest. thus , biden returned us to the natural state of us foreign policy after the second world war war will be the leader of the trans-atlantic community, which is based on nato , as well as on the american treaty on the defense of the treaties on the defense of japan, south korea, australia , new zealand, the united states undertakes to defend all these countries militarily , but unfortunately, inside the united states, the population does not pay much attention to the rest of the world members of the us congress do not even have passports for international travel, which is a cause for concern , the foreign policy of the united states has been

a kind of sphere of activity of the intellectual elite, and the entire political approach of the president trump's aim was to criticize the elite, even if he himself is the economic elite of the country, and he built a significant part of his political support among people who feel that the american intellectual elite treats them with contempt, and it is this intellectual elite who cares most about foreign policy, so there is a constant the trend and tension in american politics between isolationism and internationalism but as i said before, as long as donald trump is not the president , internationalism will remain for a long time the default position in the foreign policy of the united states, thank you, mr. ambassador, for this extremely interesting and useful analysis on the air of the espresso tv channel, and i want to remind our tv viewers that matthew bryce

, the secretary of state of the united states , the former director of european and eurasian affairs at the national security council, was currently working for them usa and now our guest will be andriy piontkovsky, a political scientist who is in washington. glory to ukraine andrii andriyovich, i congratulate you to the espresso studio to the heroes of glory good evening good evening there are two events, the triumphant, powerful, bold visit of the president of the united states to kyiv, and at the same time , it is unclear what putin's blustering in moscow is about. толко себа на всу западную цивилизация

от барбарского на 6 путинская орды we remember that they learned that here are the three phases of conflicts , eh, the establishment of such a thing is not a minister of ribkovka - this is a sting, yes, collect coins and choose from there, the task was, they were confident that they, like ours, will march en masse into ukraine in 5-10 days and will repeat this ultimatum already on the borders of uh-uh sticks , poland is swinging its nuclear weapons. the question is even the sky is ready for such a large-scale military response eh putinskaya says andrey andreevich i remember very well our conversation just on the eve of a full-scale invasion , yes, and the key thesis that was voiced in our broadcast with you was that such a war will be with

or without concentration camps well and we see which the concept still won, after all, they wanted it in full, but it happened in a completely different way, so we were here, bleating, meowing from the rublevka district. well, i don’t know the topography of moscow very well. pants to protect the swindler personally during his five-minute speech, he did not stay long, he was afraid of the witch of ukrainian rockets , uh, kavidohode, 5 minutes about the spark, all this was a duplicate of poroshenko, something about nationalism, to the mother’s family, the people ran away, they drove out budget workers and others who wanted for 500 рублей сегодня eh, the lucky ones warmed up in the toilets, the toilets were jammed with mufflers