[000:00:00;00] and inform about what he signed. so this also needs to be understood. there may not be this point where everything will focus. there may not be a point that will be set. it may simply not be . you yourself will decide when the war is over for you and i repeat, you can decide that this is an exit to some borders, a halt to some military operations, the signing of some temporary armistice agreement. again , you will think that this armistice is over , to what extent will it be violated, who signed it anyway, well, that is, or localization of the conflict, the final localization of the conflict within the donbass, it continues for months and years, this is the end of the war. well, we are from the 14th year . well, that is, it is up to you, and will this end of the war not turn into a new big conflict

and when you decide for yourself when on the territory of belarus 300,000 soldiers are gathering there, well, that is the question for them, in fact, no one has the answers. i know that a huge number of experts are constantly engaged in these guesses on a coffee solution. i am not ready to guess. i am just saying that now there are such objective conditions, the tendency of russia is unlikely to protest for a long time and resource-wise from the point of view of military e-e actions by the civilized education of ukraine, however e-e from the point of view of the combination of military human resources in russia there are preliminary opportunities until 2000 there 29-2030 if china intervenes in this story, who will take even longer, but the consequences for the economy may

become apparent much earlier. the union will weaken the economy of russia, they will decline, they will not have the funds to manufacture weapons, and secondly, there are also restrictions on the spare parts of various elements for the manufacture of various types of weapons, but as such, we do not see the effect as such, because i remember that at the beginning of a full-scale invasion, many economic experts said, well, until the spring. and then you will see that russia will collapse, and now, in principle, if you look at the assessments of international economic experts, they even sometimes agree with

putin's position, which he expressed in his address to the assembly of parliamentarians , he said that they were able to withstand and this is partially true. i think i never said that russia will collapse due to sanctions. certain things, the first is that russia continues to sell energy resources, the second is that this whole crisis has led to an increase in the price of energy resources, if during this war there were situations when russia, under sanctions , earned more on energy resources than the third - it is that there are reserves in russia , objectively speaking, the budget deficit is large , but there are reserves. what are the deficits of these reserves covered by?

fulfilled, these resources will run out by the end of this year, but we don't know if putin will fulfill them because he quite often gives commitments that you don't fulfill, he doesn't stick to them, but in any case, believe me that if the reserves and revenues finally run out from of energy carriers will not increase enough to form new reserves , the economy of russia will collapse, it is true, but it will collapse in what sense they will simply be much worse to live, there will be no social fulfillment, people will receive 2-3-4 times less, the quality of products will be cheaper, there will be no new housing e.e. apartments in new buildings, banks will not give loans at these interest rates that they give now , there will not even be a cheap mortgage

, there will be none of that, but in iran this summer there are no russians in many regions. they live very poor, now the question is how much under these conditions it is most important for me to achieve stability in the city of moscow , i will say it there. i remember this wonderful time, the summer of 1991, when in moscow the products that had always been there began to disappear, and for me the lack of bread became a certain climax when there was no bread in the street bread shops and it was transported by cars and sold from the car. i had a favorite scene when i was standing in line. i lived then on a shack in the

backyard. in fact, the ministry of foreign affairs of the soviet union if my binoculars look at shvarnadze's office, he's joking, of course, but that means all the leading embassies were there, and there was a moment when i was standing in line for a bread machine, and there in that line stood the deputy minister of foreign affairs of russia of the soviet union. i apologize and next to us stood the counselor of the united states embassy, ​​and behind us stood the counselor of the canadian embassy, ​​and the counselor of the canadian embassy and i exchanged who would stand in line and said that it meant the deputy minister of foreign affairs excuse me, we'll leave for half an hour, please, here's me. i'll stand in line for our channel. of course, it was the turn of ordinary people, i was a simple person, but the students of the university just worked as journalists, so i will pass these people over, but for me we were laughing, it

was as if it was funny, but for to me, it was an indicator of the fact that everything ends because when because why were they all standing for bread ? how funny it wasn't in stores for foreigners and it wasn't in special dispensers for officials because it was believed that bread is always there. so why is it? and it is of high quality in moscow, why deliver it to the distributors, there are some birches there so that they buy it for currency and they will buy it for currency because it is available for 10 kopecks and if there is no bread and all ordinary people are some ordinary employee of a store was there a co-operator who paints portraits standing next to american and soviet diplomats in the same line, this means that the state has exhausted its economic potential and it was clear to me

that it will soon be covered with a copper basin let's wait for such a moment, because again they said that they won't have raw sausage from the european union and so on, but i still don't know whether it is possible to wait for such a moment from this simple situation that there is a market economy and in a market economy there is always even an authoritarian regime there is room for initiative and then you know when i hear that they had to go crazy there because they don't have italian or french cheeses, i also don't understand how you imagine the life of an ordinary russian, here are all these camembert roqueforts switzerland did not introduce food sanctions. they usually live in moscow. if you go to some yuryv palska or some big ustyuk, then of course

russian products of low quality can be of very high quality, some ukrainian goods, every russian knows the names by heart. of high-quality small-scale factories yuriy falskoi dmytrov vologda the first second because there the fourth is already bad and this is a limited list but believe me this is also a story about moscow and their tastes because if you are in any in the tambov region, you definitely don't want to search for milk products from the dmitrov dairy plant, it's all a joke of people who earn much more, and that's why these plants of mine are fighting for muscovites because they can sell products in a huge place with a huge purchasing power, and there it's not like that at all well, that's our idea of ​​russia. it's not mine. after all, i lived and traveled there for 20 years, and the average ukrainian's idea of ​​russia

is related to tv shows that are usually told in real life about life in moscow, you know there the hero suddenly arrives at a certain ivanovo and there, as a rule, this is a criminal story. there in this ivano, what will happen to the mafia? someone will be killed, or his lover or his lover, or the house of his mother's housekeeper, and he must go there and find out what determined her in ivanovo it can only be like this or in er orly. that is, it is not the same there. that is, you understand very well when you watch this series that you have to live in moscow and that stability in moscow , you know, i know this is important. i have a wonderful story about my neighbor, i am leaving my house in which i lived on the street a large georgian woman in the center of moscow and next to me lives a simple woman a simple woman in the apartment next door she also goes out or works as a house cleaner , well, professionally let me be a non-cleaner

, try hard, a hard-working woman tatar by origin and she tells me, god, what a terrible weather in music, it’s impossible, smog, rain, cold my head hurts i can't it's normal for work pressure well i say well yes well we all know what we're getting into and in nizhny novgorod you know that's where my sister lives, the little lady, the river , she's sitting on the bank of the river, the weather is beautiful she is in excellent condition, i say . well, i know, they have many gardens. they are better in winter. we also know that. well, we live in moscow. salary because even working as a cleaner, i received several times more than my sister receives in nizhny novgorod, and i have other opportunities to educate my children, and any russian government is concentrated in this place, as always, it reminds me of gulliver's island of laputa, which flew there

over the country, and they threw stones into this country from time to time. that's it, that's it, that's what it depends on. when we run out of resources to have enough resources on the brain for moscow, if you don't have enough of this strong mask, something bad will happen, then we have to look in every time and wait the 10th package of sanctions was eventually adopted before the anniversary of the full-scale attack on tuesday, so i have to quote barack obama, who said that the sanctions have a cumulative effect, that is , to wait six months, a year, in any case, it will reach its level, the more absolutely correct we today in the program they talked about the fact that china is much more dependent on this relationship with the west and it is unlikely that it can really affect the health of the economy of the russian federation , but i keep saying that the very idea that everything will end with the economic problems of russia is false everything will end if we succeed in defeating the russian army on

our land, expelling it and joining nato, this should be a two-pronged formula for the liberation of the territory and joining nato after that, the story with what will happen in the russian economy, what kind of cheese are they what kind of sausage do they eat ? what kind of sausage do they buy and which putin do they kiss on the ass? there will be an optional story about the life of russians . let them kiss any part of anyone. to shove kraków sausage in the place of their leader teaches or absolutely wants to, and this is what we will know for sure they live their lives, they will not come here anymore comedy well, that's all and china

, what is the situation of mr. vitaly in such a way that and he will still help russia in order to improve economic cooperation and also work in the military , or will they now try to balance and not quarrel with the west, so the issue of lethal weapons will be on hold for the time being, they will be careful, this is the formula i also read today . by the way, in to one in the chinese edition, the sauce is a fashionable post. i can even quote it to you. i kept even this story to myself. it seems to me that the idea is there, it is monozed , it goes there. what is the priority for the people's republic of china to raise

the level of the economy of the economy is absolutely obvious and the opening of the country after the coronavirus is a priority for china, but china also does not want russia to fall to ugu, and even more so not on the terms that will be dictated by washington and its alliances, this is a political formula, you just need to remember it in the economy, the main thing immediately with the development of this economy, china cannot afford a complete defeat of russia, here we imagine that china really wants this defeat, china does not want defeat, but a weakening , but not for russia to surrender to the west, nor he wants to be the guarantor of its endurance, and then this russia is simply not absorbed politically, and this is what he was doing. to what extent does this concept fit into the supply of weapons, only those that do not lead to western sanctions ? china cannot afford western sanctions , then one more moment very it is important now that we

know how a decision is made there in the president's office, i imagine this scheme when several people make certain decisions of principle, it is called a stake, we see how a decision is made in russia, there is no one there at all not going there vladimir putin is going. as they say, they talk to vladimir putin and then he forms this jaw of his , well, but it's still a conversation with himself. he can spread tarot cards, it's like lavrov said that his advisers are ivan the terrible, catherine ii peter and it is clear that when he advises these in his company, they all say oh oh oh i no, and i will say that shocking will solve what power of analysis of the state's muscle stay away from the power of vladimirovich i wanted to say that i would just be delighted i vladimir vladimirovich i just i

in general, i never dreamed that i would work with a president who, well, i don’t know. i have no words. well, you saw how they all behaved at the security council. oh, and china, otherwise it’s sydzelpin, the general secretary of the central committee of the communist party. the departments have a head , the heads have a referendum, the decision must even be adopted, analyzed, you must write a report, the head of the department must take it to the secretary, which party is responsible for a certain direction, the secretary of the central committee the party should discuss providing this information at a meeting of the secretariat of the central committee, then the bureau members of the police should discuss it, even if they all agree by calling, they should express their position, this is a collective body , this is a collective responsibility, yes, a permanent committee. no, this is invisibility, because if it turns out that the decision false, the general secretary of the central committee of the party can ask a question

, comrade. i thought that the ideology, after all , is what sisinpiniolush is, within the framework of the ideology, there must be a clear hardware confirmation of the correctness of the chosen course, because all will be responsible now for the result and this. that is, everyone, one day later, when all this happens, he must speak at the plenum of the central committee of the party with a report. this report should not be simple. there should be absolutely clear theses about why it was all done just like that . does the party machine work when in the soviet union in recent years, uh, brezhnev's hunger strike, it all stopped working there, all decisions were made at the level of three or four people, and there was nothing concrete in the documents, this was also evidence of the decline of this system of collective leadership

this is the so-called democratic centralism, that is, you are the resolutions of the week, then it goes down, and everyone has to do it, this is not how democratic parties, democratic countries work, but this is also a procedure in china. this procedure has existed. i apologize since the 20s and 30s 20th century this is an old party and to imagine that all these pins just sitting in his office will say that i want i want no first of all he might want to say that but he himself is not like that he was brought up in this nomenclature he simply does not imagine himself another chain of decision-making so that he made a decision even if he was recognized, he needs to read all these documents unlike putin, because who is putin? putin is a colonel of the kgb . he went all the way. he was the deputy chairman of the party, the secretary of the central committee, a member of the political bureau . what is the first thing about the shanghai communist party? otherwise well, it's like a computer. well, it's assembled like that. well, you can't make a computer work like a traffic light, and it has to be done . that is, it won't happen in one day, and that's why

it will be returned to you from uh, europe, he already he returned, now it will take a long time to write the text of the report note, work with referents who will develop these documents in several directions and send them to the secretaries of the central committee of the party . i once anzhelika, when i was an intern in the newspaper , actually wrote an article about the beaver sanatorium , to illustrate how they brag about it. was it a terrible thing? in the crimea, a sanatorium that was built by the tsar and it was not repaired there. it seems to me that no one cares about the children who were sick with serious diseases . i already remember that it seems to me that something happened something is connected with tuberculosis, rats were running about them. i came because i was sent on a business trip to write about the election of director artek, but i saw that next to the sanatorium, people asked me to come there and to write an article. i managed to do it

there was a restructuring. i managed to print this article really because i wanted a new sanatorium to be built, it was not built immediately where i wanted it. the soviet union collapsed and then this land i think lenya grach handed over to medvedchuk, like everyone else, everything that happened there. i hope that i can, now it will be possible to restore all this after the liberation of crimea, but i just saw, then my colleagues showed me this text , it was discussed at the secretary of the central committee of the party there, each member of the secretariat wrote his resolution on these and these pages of this text , what does he advise work build build a new sanatorium build give to the children which sanatorium is nearby then it means that above was the signature of the general secretary of the central committee of the cpsu and then there was a resolution of the secretariat i see it in the documents there in the holes that the ss digs they on the basis of this text, a resolution was passed on the construction of a new sanatorium, but they all worked on it. that is, i do not consider these people, as

you understand, my heroes. i am simply explaining to you how the system worked because i was involved in the development of this decision and it turned out that it that's right. that's how this bureaucracy works. at least that's how they work, even if they didn't do that. they carried out these decisions. they carried out the work. they allocated money for it. then they didn't have a state party. i think that if they had existed there for another three years, the sanatorium would have been built. it's clear that this is the state budget. but that's not the question. the question is that they all had to answer even for such a small thing that will be contributed to the state sanatorium, and they all took part in it. china is exactly the same when it comes to state functions, it's just necessary to understand in putin's speech, vitaly, were you surprised by something, not funny, because in general, the speech was kind of boring . well, at least some emotions were expected from putin. it's a lie , but you know the one with the acting, you

know, it pisses me off that i've been following this person for 22 years from 99- th year and i i wonder why there are some happy people who follow great actors there. they saw katrin zelyov there, they read a poem by lesya ukrainka today. and there are some people who write about it, who are biographers of katrin inches, who are interested in roles and men, performances with poetry readings, and they live life to the fullest and i, and i feel myself, there are people who work in laboratories there, but they actually look at some tests there, and they bring them in boxes , you understand, and they analyze them there, oh, well , we see. here, now, it means something, something, something there it crawls, but it’s like that. and i do it all the time. that’s what it’s all about. that’s my job , and it’s necessary to remind you, and then you mean

to comment on this speech. you see , this person can’t say anything new. you say oh, here is a double, here is not a double what is the difference, double factor who is the same gramophone factory and the winch is starting to mean to you on some common such frequencies to perform a valyanka song like this old joke you want to listen to what you want to listen to i want because i want the beatles no, you listen to your favorite song valin. this person is passing by and sings the favorite song of the russian people in a bad voice . from the contract, but if it is stopped, we will not leave. you have to look smart, because you have such a profession

, i can’t tell anyone either. you will bring me yours. i also somehow understood what kind of digestion you have. the fourth of putin putin's baths well, that's not happiness , you know, that's the way it is in ukrainian politics , we 're just used to it . analyze their actions there, their very behavior, emotional reactions, these are living people, get offended, god, you know what he is saying

, a living person, and this is an inanimate person , this is something. put on this bald head and i'll say go to school, and he ran away with the one with the forest alice and the cat, uh, basil, there was a forest alice , there was patrushev, and basil the cat was some bortnyk cool, i don't know who it is abramovych well , he runs with them and they me taught bad things and he now means with his crackling voice all the time the same thing, the same thing, the same thing, i am you. imagine 20 years. i am forced to analyze these messages, they are like this all the time. well , of course, there were some moments when he read speeches like the munich it was not said that in fact what kind of speech is this, we will destroy you all. well, in a nutshell, but in general, it is not what he was holding now. i am very glad that 70 years ago, when he was younger

, he sat for five hours and held these meetings with people are not on tv for some reason now do you remember the story when a girl said that she wanted a christmas tree on the central square of birbyuzhen, and he decided to put a christmas tree there and put a second christmas tree there, you know, it was already a christmas tree. well, the girl didn't like it. there were two christmas trees, so the girl didn't like one that was put up by the governor, and the other one that putin put up, the girl liked it, and that too, at first it was perceived as a joke well , now i think it's me, right? insanity is a sign of competence, he simply does not know what to do. he chose people who do not know what to say to him, if you imagine that he himself is still reading all this and knows what to say to them, this is simply a disaster , this is just a bright consequence of not even that we very often say that it is a problem when an unprofessional person runs

the state, but there is another very important problem when a person without individuality runs the state, he is just such a gray bureaucrat akaki akakiyovych, well, nobody even knows his name and everyone oh look at him someone there wanted to give birth from him what can be given birth from him why from him well that's strange if you want to give birth from someone but are not happy from someone from schwarzenegger why should you give birth from this no that means that also the popular view when to show something like this on tv. so, you can generally vote for anything . well, of course, that's why i think that the message was just a sign of helplessness. they thought that he would come out with something like that, and i'll say, you know, ah, and what. and what?

well, at least the mobilization there was called a partial bogus war a war and not a special operation, well, sometimes his government officials forget about this and call themselves the only thing he can do is get out of the executioner, so i decided that i will drop nuclear bombs now on wednesdays, how do you know people me it's the fourth day when they eat children well, you know how the dragon in this fairy tale seems to be the russian writer yevhen schwartz , well, there was a day when he ate children well, it's just fish day and russians, i decided that i would eat five ukrainian children for breakfast on thursdays, here is the live broadcast and you can write how to cook them so that it would be tastier for me if you don't want to eat it yourself. this is the maximum that he can afford, that is, he has already done everything else in his arsenal of some new ideas. well, cannibalism and nuclear nuclear blackmail, what about principles are one and the same, that's all he has left, well, mobilization. well, some more number of troops, well, or whatever, it's all

already been and can be, but that's not what creates the victory of such an idiotic state like these, all those who sat there, even sometimes not in time when he hasn't finished logically yet, because you understand, it's in fairy tales, it's some kind of speech, it's not chiki wortha, who says whether it's fidel castro or volodymyr zelenskyi. by the way, this one can do it, it's true, so we'll say goodbye here. thank you for the unsurpassed broadcast always. vitaliy vitaliy portnikov of the saturday field in the club and in a few moments iryna koval