[000:00:00;00] of our wagons, in particular, changes, er, changes, er, including tracks and modernization of ukrainian infrastructure, but these are very approximate numbers. i think that the first thing we need, what we need to start with, after we finally get the advantage of victory, is sit down and understand in general what will be the next transport model, what role will it play for the difference and then make some specific calculations thank you serhiy vovk, the general director of the center of transport strategies was with us on the phone thank you and to you antina thank you for this broadcast, as always, i will tell you about this day well, tomorrow's meeting is approaching six o'clock, and now the floor will go to serhiy rudenko and his guests, the verdict with rudenko well, we say goodbye until tomorrow, glory to ukraine, this is the program, the verdict, my name is serhiy rudenko, all the best day and good health

today, february 28, is the 370th day of the heroic resistance of the ukrainian people to the russian occupiers, the situation in bakhmut in donetsk region, where the bloodiest battles have been going on in recent months, is becoming increasingly difficult, the armed forces of ukraine on the border with moldova, security measures have been sent and fortifications are being built, meanwhile, the russian occupiers continue to lose manpower and equipment in ukraine, as of the morning of february 28, russia has already lost 149,240 people in ukraine in the last day alone , the armed forces of ukraine destroyed 550 orks with the beginning of the great war, the russians have already lost in ukraine 3,388 tanks, 660 armored fighting vehicles, 2,383 artillery systems, 478 rocket launchers, 247 anti-aircraft defense systems, 300 aircraft, 288

helicopters, 5,252 vehicles 18 ships, boats, 873 cruise missiles , 2,051 drones, 231 special equipment , about the current situation on the eastern and southern fronts of ukraine. does not take place on the northern front, in particular on the border with belarus and russia in the chernihiv region, we will talk for the next hour, today i want to introduce our first guest - this is mykhailo myself and a military expert, director of the new hepeltics research network, mr. mykhailo. good day. good health . thank you for joining our broadcast. i congratulate you. so , let's start a conversation with the situation on the eastern

front, the most difficult part of the front at the moment. is becoming increasingly difficult, the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi said about this in his evening address, we will hear and see what volodymyr zelenskyi said , he is constantly in touch with our commanders , especially the situation in the east is clear in donetsk region, the bakhmut direction, the situation is becoming more and more difficult, the enemy is constantly destroying everything that can be used to protect our positions, for consolidation and defense, our soldiers who are defending themselves in the bakhmut direction are real heroes, mikhail, quite disturbing information is passing . there , the russians make the main blow in their

offensive on the eastern front. how do you assess the current situation, as of this hour, at this minute, well, it is obvious that a-a before the russian the command has the task of a political level to turn bakhmut into a huge victory , that is, to achieve success by destroying this city, surrounding it and forcing the ukrainian forces to withdraw from a strategic point of view, even from an operational point of view, it will no longer mean much for let's put it this way for front because the ukrainian troops will retreat to prepared positions and this will not allow the russians to break through further. how do they dream and plan on kramatorsk sloviansk, but it is precisely from the point of view of propaganda that russia will try

to demonstrate uh and uh to the russian population, and of course from the outside that russia is beginning to win, that russia has achieved a huge strategic victory, and in this regard , obtaining bachmut is really important from a psychological point of view. we talked a lot about the military significance of this city . of course every ukrainian city is unique and it cannot be given to the enemy under any conditions other than those that are made, and we cannot sacrifice our military to you if the conditions are already critical that threaten, for example, the environment the garrison of the city will then have to make decisions about leaving the city. i am simply talking about possible options for the development of events, although at the moment ukrainian soldiers are holding the city, and they are resisting both in the north and in the south and from the east, preventing the enemy from breaking through and despite these frenzied attacks because it is really the impression that now russia has simply concentrated

all its forces precisely on this narrow area of ​​the front, that is, if we talked , do you remember about two months ago, when there were a lot of predictions about what would begin now a large-scale offensive by the russians and uh, in the imagination of many people, this large-scale offensive was depicted the same as on february 24 of last year from seven directions on fronts of 2000 km with huge forces of 300,000 troops and so on . in fact, all this is now concentrated in fact in three small areas uh, this is the bakhmut direction, this is crime and this is the ugledar direction where the russians are trying to advance, and it is obvious that they are concentrating their forces on these directions, and in any way , regardless of any losses, we see it can actually be seen in real time, there are many videos that demonstrate the losses the russians are suffering, they are simply walking

through such a cemetery of equipment, through fields full of bodies, but they are walking. despite this, they already have foreign troops that simply do not give them the opportunity to return and run away from the battlefields and uh, the moviks, and even more so, uh, these prisoners who are used by the so-called wagner pvk, that is, the situation is very tense, and it is precisely explained by the fact that russia decided precisely on a narrow on a narrow section of the front achieve success, which can be presented as a huge strategic victory, although in any case it will not be such a military serviceman on the call sign magyar says that the enemy troops have changed their tactics, now they are letting the wagnerites in front without the right to turn back, after that the regular troops go until the night the enemy is carrying out airstrikes, let's hear what he says

about the situation near the city of bakhmut, magyar, here's his blog, we're here. that's good, i'll entertain you a bit about the new dog tactics around bakhmut do you remember that i told you that the concentration of the wagners of the syrian er-er was lost, the regular troops entered, and you know that the regular troops are a little bit like sticky worms, let's start massaging them. then they run away and in a couple of days they found their way and returned the advanced units of fire fighters. what are they doing right now groups of 5 to 20 worms are fire fighters, we clearly understand this, because even they themselves

follow everything according to radio intercepts right in ether, this is what they are now using every night, powerful missile airstrikes on bahmut, it flew now, it will sound like this, it sounds like an air strike on the center of bahmut, as it was , wagnerian stewed meat, so there was a little left, they took it away, now they have returned it, and they are in all directions around bahmut as an advanced group that has no right to go back , all after them regular troops enter , they are called greyhounds, regular troops , in fact, it is quite so with fear, er , there is nothing wrong with their limbs uh, a worm that behaves accordingly, receiving an art meeting accordingly, whether or not getting in touch with difficulty today, february 27, by all means, without exception, in the direction of bakhmut

, mr. mykhailo, until the first of march, putin wanted his army to go to the administrative borders of the so-called lpr and dpr, and earlier he wanted it to be on march 1, 2022, then by may 9, 2022, then by the unity day of the russian federation, there were still many, many different holidays, and they all wanted to cross these administrative borders tomorrow, march 1, the beginning spring uh, this means that the russians have failed again in their plans and what does this mean for ukraine actually, i think that they have really reached this date uh, but putin will set a new date, that is, there is no point in retreating, his only option is to continue this war and try to somehow break through the ukrainian defense to occupy the entire donetsk luhansk region and then it is possible to talk about

the fact that he is ready for negotiations . lavrov appears. and there were several other statements that they always spoke from the position of negotiations, that they are ready for negotiations, the only thing is to respect the interests of russia . but putin would like to fix, let's say , the situation, freeze it by occupying the entire donetsk luhansk region, because in this situation, when they are not can show any success in the don, or in fact, well, except for the luhansk region . it is in the donetsk region, uh, during the year of the war, in fact, the progress is very minimal, well, under such conditions, of course, putin uh, even with all his propaganda, could not it would be a victory if he occupied all of donetsk oblast and luhansk . it could be presented like this. well, really

. in principle, our goals were in this so-called we wanted to protect the people of donbass. everything else was just pressure on ukraine . and the west and now we are ready to consider the terms of the peace of minsk regarding the signing of some new minsk three other treaties , that is, for putin, it is fundamentally necessary to achieve this goal of occupying the donetsk and luhansk regions, and therefore he will continue to postpone these dates for ukraine this means that we will still have at least 1 very difficult month when the ukrainian army will prepare for counter-insurgency operations in the spring when the ukrainian army is now forming its shock heavy a-a groups already armed with western equipment are already receiving information about the first trained battalions, for example, on bradley, there are already results on the training

of ukrainian troops on leopards on other equipment, there is hope that long-range missiles will appear in our country just in time the spring campaign is again march, we often say that now will be a critical period of the war, but now will be a critical period and march promises to be really critical again , because for putin it is a period when he can do something before the ukrainian army is ready to strike unknown where because for putin it is impossible to determine where there will be no strike, many say it will be the south, that it will be melitopol and maybe not the south and maybe not melitopol but maybe it will be a completely different direction for putin this is very it is difficult to determine his concentration of efforts, for example, on bahmut. it puts him in such a disadvantageous position because he concentrates all the reserves there, he concentrates

the most combat-ready parts there, and in other directions he has a problem because he cannot stretch his combat-ready combat-ready reserves on such a large front, expecting an attack from any direction, therefore there is actually a month left for him , maybe less. i hope that it will be less when the ukrainian army starts to actively act offensively, and if we remember the tactics ukrainian what is going on first is the application, mass application, a rather long mass application of high-precision weapons at the e-e command post, warehouses with ammunition, the basing areas of the personnel, then we can see as soon as this is a mass e-e application of such tactics, this shape has moved on , it is possible to say that already preparations have begun for our next offensive operations, in principle, sometimes now there are strikes against melitopol, and there were several strikes against

mariupol, which was quite interesting from the point of view of what kind of weapon it was and whether it was really already western weapons. are these our developments, but on the other hand, in any case, it raised a question before the occupiers that mariupol . it turns out that he is not in the rear, but he already considers this ukraine as one of the goals of de-occupation, and direct de-occupation, and this really changes for them a lot a lot of things because it is one thing to believe that this is the rear, and another thing is that it is necessary to keep anti -air defense systems there, it is necessary to keep forces that would be able to conduct defensive operations . for several days, even several months, the russians have been trying to roll out the chernihiv region, that is, to use the border of russia from the chernihiv region, there, the bryansk region of the chernihiv region

, to launch drones from there, in particular yesterday, and the day before yesterday , they launched drones over kyiv, which our army successfully shot down in the last day or night , the russian federation carried out shelling of the sumy region, 36 strikes were carried out on the middle-buz community of khotyn and osmanska, you said that there is hardly such an opportunity and such a plan in of the russian federation to follow the same path they took a year ago , on february 24 , 2022, we know that entire tank columns were passing through the sumy region in the direction of kyiv, and they were walking through the fields and trying to pass through the fields large columns of 100 to 200 tanks of 300 tanks each went through the sumy region. is it possible now to attack the sumy and chernihiv regions in order

to divert the attention and capabilities of the forces of the ukrainian army from the eastern front? and from the set of forces the russians have there i think that it does not look like a shock strike group of forces that is ready to conduct operations and successful work, because if we allow ourselves such a possibility that they, for example , really start to enter the territory of ukraine again, using all their capabilities , including artillery. maybe there are air strikes and so on, ukraine can respond. and it is not a fact that ukraine can stop at the russian border, but with those small forces that are, for example, opposite chernihiv or sumy oblasts in fact, they don't have very many forces there, they are all concentrated in other

areas, of course, in the donbass in the south. and that's why there is a great danger for the russians themselves . that is, you can look even to the north. i mean belarus, that is, we too. many predicted that, especially in the autumn of last year, that it is possible that the russians will try now , but they conducted one wave of uh, partially also the so-called mobilization, and then they will conduct another wave , for example, from november, and uh, by the end of winter, they will be ready just in time for february 24 to prepare a large-scale operation from the territory of belarus, but they did not do it, that is, there was not this wave of another so-called e-mobilization and there was no establishment of 30-50 groups on the territory of belarus, for example, i believe that there would be even more, up to 80,000 mobs, for in order to really carry out strikes from several directions

from the territory of belarus, so that they would be successful and have some chance from the russian side, now there is the same as half a year ago, for example, there are 10-12 thousand russian troops plus er belarusian forces that i think, looking at lukashenka, would not really want to participate in this war, because lukashenka is obviously wandering and trying to avoid this very scenario, well , it is not for nothing that he is flying to china , obviously trying to somehow settle down, settle down in that peaceful, yes the so-called initiative of china, it is obvious that china is starting a new game, a new strategy in relation to it and russia against ukraine , trying to take its benefits from here, and lukashenko is trying to build himself into this chinese concept, obviously trying to somehow get out of that concept

putin lukashenko probably also doesn't think very highly of putin 's chances of success, that's why, uh, actually, of course, we have uh, now we have an exercise , well, since february 24, we understand, well, too much, someone understood it much earlier, someone understood on february 24, we are dealing with people in which there are not a-a many rivets in the head e-e they e-e have bad intelligence and they can make any decision, the most idiotic , including striking, for example, from any direction if it is obvious that this will lead to a disaster for the e in them but if we talk about really e-e such a probability i think it is not high under the given conditions, that is, they do not have a group in belarus, their forces are still concentrated more in the donbass and just now they are trying to somehow attack the ukrainian forces located in the chernihiv sumy region. i think it is not profitable for them now, because you can get

there are really big problems already in its own territory , because ukraine can say well, i'm sorry, but we will conduct our operation in order to clear thunderstorms coming from russian territory, yesterday in the media there was information that at the belarusian airfield in the match in lishcha, the flying radar and 50 aircraft, which are used in principle for aerial reconnaissance to target targets at a distance of up to 600 km, were damaged. yesterday, lukashenko, who flew to china today, was assembling a power unit, but there is no open information about what they said there, and somehow they did not commented, we know that this is an airfield, it is located literally near minsk, 15 or 20 km away, if i am not mistaken, and of course this

attack on this plane was obviously organized, including thanks to the ukrainian special services, although the special services were not commented especially it was obviously a drone, obviously someone was piloting it and the media wrote about the fact that those who piloted this drone may have left the territory of belarus, they had time to leave according to your opinion these are the point strikes on the airfields from where these damned planes take off, which force us every time experiencing these massive air alarms i remember very well how it was on august 24, 2022 on independence day, 8 or 9 times this air alarm was because they could constantly take off, this a50 constantly took off , how much such point hits can eh to provide us with peace well, at least some kind of conditional peace

i mean and deprive russia of controlling our airspace thanks to such flying radars, knowing of such planes in russia, if i am not mistaken, 5 or 6, yes, there are really five or six of them because these planes are actually electronic reconnaissance planes that can create such a picture of e-e and which is already transmitted to the command posts, and the command post of the command distributes this information about e-e targets , including e-air, sea-land at a depth of up to 600 km, distributes it to means that is, defeat is such a universal machine that forms a reconnaissance picture for any ground targets, it can be icons of tanks , even missile launchers , ukrainian anti-aircraft missile complexes, that is , any interesting targets to destroy them. and of course, the destruction of such an aircraft is

a big achievement, well, that is, i have met assessments that well, in fact, nothing will change, well, maybe, at the moment, the destruction of one plane will not change anything, because it can be replaced by another, but if you take into account the fact that after all , russia is a big country, it is not alone. let's put it this way there may be a threat from, for example, now the ukrainian front, they may have several strategic directions where it is necessary to use such electronic reconnaissance aircraft to capture this picture and the same china, central asia , after all, nato is present in the warring countries of the russian federation and having in its arsenal in the park there are only 5-6 such planes, they were produced in the soviet union, russia cannot create them on the same plane, this is all the same as strategic construction aviation, it is unique for russia because they themselves cannot to produce the a50 aircraft in the same way, which was created on the basis of the 076 aircraft, that is, all the equipment

is unique, and uh, five or six aircraft , in fact, it is critical, that is, if you destroy 2-3 aircraft, i think that they will have real problems, because it is statistically we can talk about the fact that there are 5-6 of them, but they fly and perform their tasks completely. maybe the number is less , that is why i think that this strike is extremely important, and the fact that the responsibility for it was taken by belarusian partisans, including even representatives of the transitional government of tykhanovskaya - it is possible to be an element of pr, and it is possible to be an element of some coordinated operation of the ukrainian special services and friends of belarus, that is, but here is a very interesting aspect . it was six drones, and most of them were shot down, but one of them collapsed over

this plane and thus damaged it. it is obvious that russia immediately tried to use all this in order to drag belarus into the war again, uh, pressing on lukashenka , that's it . look, you've already hit the airfields near minsk, and you don't react, but lukashenko demonstratively. he mentioned the kdb and the ministry of internal affairs, and he said that it is necessary to bring discipline in the ranks of the kdb, that is, hinting at the fact that the problem is that, first of all, the agency infiltrated the personnel of the airfield through its strategic airfield and plus is on on the territory of belarus, something is happening, well, it is not clear that if

ukrainian special services or belarusian partisans can reach such an important airfield near the capital, it is something, really, a situation that threatens lukashenko personally, because lukashenko himself can use these airports hackers in russia again an air alert was announced, which the leaders saw in krasnodar, voronezh, kazan, leningrad region, belgorod, saratov near moscow and other cities, let 's see how it was. in response to a word of mouth, the russians are preparing for what might happen. well, by the way, today's situation in st. petersburg, when

the pukov airport stopped accepting planes and military aviation was raised in connection with the threat of an unknown drone, this is also, in principle, a consequence of the fact that they are afraid strikes by ukrainian drones or ukrainian missiles, although uh, we understand that where is st. petersburg, where is ukraine, relatively speaking, at the northernmost point of ukraine , how likely is it, mr. mykhailo, that we can strike at the military airfields of the russian federation. we remember this story with the blow to engels , and yet how far can we develop this success and show the russians that they are also vulnerable to our weapons if

we follow the development of ukrainian projects such as the drone army and the prytula fund sternenko works in this direction, also the same magyar, but magyar still deals with tactical drones, but even in those programs, uh, these are not government programs, this is a crowdfunding program, that is, people are raising funds and uh, different let's say so and with technological contributions and er scientific and industrial ones, more and more drones are created, and in fact , in all these projects, the number of drones is in the hundreds, and sometimes in the thousands, i think that er, this concentration of efforts will give results, well, literally this night when there hackers hacked er and started er on russian television these sirens actually there were several strikes by drones on various russian cities in the belgorod region in

the south of russia er there is a video where these unmanned drones arrive, that is ukraine obviously is studying the ppu system is studying er those er possible routes of passage and are preparing for a massive attack, that is, one day and that would be just right. i think to do a concentrated during the spring counter-attack company, russian cities can feel for themselves what a real strike is - and precisely ukrainian drones , and i think that the attack will be made on really important infrastructure objects and especially military ones, that is, in order to create exactly that situation of chaos and panic . when ukraine starts, for example, an offensive it turns out that the gifts go deep into russian territory and are applied quite far from the border. this, of course, will affect