[000:00:00;00] uh, well, we also had this system or corridor, the way and how it works now. because it was also used a lot and was the main channel for men to go abroad, tell me, yes, and the administrations there decided who to let in and who not, and we know many cases that there these lists were formed not very honestly, and the rules for crossing the border clearly define the conditions for leaving for men between the ages of 18 and 60, because in general, those categories are limited in their right to cross the border to leave ukraine , one of the exceptions is just that system way about which you mention but i can add that the border guards are not the administrators of this system, in fact the ministry of infrastructure as well as the regional state administrations

determine who will be given the opportunity to travel outside of ukraine in this direction because they can go to receive assistance abroad for the armed forces of ukraine for of other military formations. of course , the border guards will check in the future whether there is when a person arrives at the border, whether he is in this system or whether there are documents to confirm his own order from the regional state administration that such a person is given the opportunity to follow the borders of ukraine, but if our inspectors have any doubts that a person, even while in the system, is on the way, but he is going with a different purpose, then such people we refuse and refuse to cross the border, and i can point out that not only there is a way for those who are in the system and for others who do not fall under the condition

of crossing the border. this is about 150 people a day who are refused at the border e-e because they do not have confirming documents or have no reason to cross the border in order to leave the borders of ukraine for andriy, what about smuggling? i read your site here, quoting from the lives of ukrainian smugglers in the settlements of sumy and okhtyrsky districts, there are not only shellings there , and smuggling is active there, law enforcement officers conducted searches in places where tobacco products are stored for sale under excise duty, as a result of investigative actions, unbranded cigarettes were seized of excise tax in the total number of 9,000 packs for the total amount of almost half a million hryvnias, here is a video of this seizure , an arrest was made together with the national police , this is all happening. that is, you are giving a tip the national police conducts searches and seizes cigarettes. i understood correctly and which regions of ukraine are the leaders in contrabass. and what exactly are cigarettes or other excise goods

? tell me about it, please. well, i would like to note that from the first months of full-scale secondary russia on the territory of ukraine, we noted, well, this a significant decrease in attempts at illegal activities related to the illegal movement or illegal processing of goods, but in the future the dealers are again trying to renew their attempts , including for the movement of goods across the border in particular, tobacco products, or storage, illegal manufacturing of goods, and such warehouses can be set up in any region, at the same time, our operatives are actively working to expose such schemes, expose such illegal devices, and in the future, together with other law enforcement agencies, this and

the national police of the security service of ukraine is trying to bring those who try to make money in such an illegal way to justice as part of the penal implementation, but andriy a, all of them, in particular, from sumy cigarettes that we just saw, were they preparing to leave where in russia or did they come from russia, i.e. where in sumyshchyna, in our country, the border is supposedly closed, how could these cigarettes move either there or here, one checkpoint remained not completely closed in sumyshchyna, yes not all of them the checkpoints on the border with russia are closed , there is no movement across the border, the only possibility for those who can cross the border are citizens of ukraine who are returning home, and from the territory of russia, these are those citizens

who were or were forced to escape from the war to leave er across the border to the russian federation in the future. they return home in a different movement to the exit to the entry for foreigners er, there are no warehouses in this direction that you are talking about. of course , the parcels could try to illegally cross the border with goods but in most cases it is designed for the domestic market for distribution of these goods among ukrainians , i.e. cigarettes were produced on the territory of ukraine without excise stamps for distribution on the territory of ukraine but without payment of excise tax, as i correctly understood now and the law enforcement agencies are investigating in order to establish the origin of these cigarettes or where exactly they were manufactured in order to expose the entire scheme and in the future , er, stop its operation, tell me in more detail, er, there are numbers according to the number,

how many people are returning, exactly those who were forced to leave via russia from the occupied territories and now how do they go on foot through our checkpoints or how do they return ? return home, we will provide them with a pass in any direction . of course, there are certain complications, since they first have to cross the border with neighboring countries, but i would like to note that since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, about seven and a half thousand citizens of ukraine have returned in this way, including across the border with by belarus along the border with russia , even if they do not have ukrainian citizens do not have sufficient documents, which is determined by the rules of border crossing for crossing

, however, to every citizen of ukraine the possibility of passage is ensured in any direction where they arrive at the ukrainian checkpoint the following from these countries is now andriy demchenko, the spokesman of the state border guard service of ukraine 7,000 ukrainians returned during the full-scale invasion who were forced to leave our country and often through russia only people had to e- to escape from the occupied territories, we already have andriy ryzhenko, an expert at the center of defense strategies, in contact. good morning, good morning to you . good morning, the navy of ukraine reports that that russia brought five 30-caliber carriers with 30 missiles into the black sea . what does this mean for us, how much does it strengthen , well, for russia in general, this is a strengthening

of the naval component of their request, but really, in the last two weeks, what has been observed is that the sea was there are not many ships and, as a rule, the caliber carriers were 1:2, we see that five caliber carriers came out, this is an underwater boot , they came out a little earlier, yesterday evening , another hive ship came out, they can really have two missile launchers on board together, but it’s worth saying, i only believe that such quantity now has up to 20 ships, but it will be up to 20. let's renew the communication with new ones. mr. andriy , i'm sorry for you. andriy ryzhenko is with us . let's try again to recruit an expert from the center for defense strategies. well, in particular, let's talk with him about the threat from the sea and how it

changes there and about the sea of ​​azov, in particular, after the restoration of control over the azov region , it will be necessary to establish maritime borders , mr. ryzhenko said, territorial waters with the appropriate conditions for their protection and defense, and here we can count on the help of nato andriy ryzhenko express center of defense strategies andriy, we welcome you again good morning good morning so it's better to continue with these calibers please, well, really, in the last two weeks, russia kept few ships in vola, there were a few ships there well , there were days when there were several units , mostly they were scouts but but somewhere in the last two or three days we have seen the reinforcement of this udarnaya component. at first it turned out two submarines of the sevastopol. and yesterday evening it turned out that three ships, uh, this is a frigate and two

corvettes buyan. and really together, they can have theoretically 32-caliber missiles, which means but i think that in principle there are fewer of them on board now because in reality they have released a lot, we know that ships are being replenished with these missiles, they are really being produced in russia now in the amount of about 20-30 units per month, but oh well i was there for the full amount. i honestly don’t believe it, but again, such an outcome, the presence of such a group, indicates that in the near future they can launch a missile attack on ukraine. it is also known that, by the way, their air force is here, 95th aircraft x- 22 a there are also certain indications that they may become more active, that is why the presence of ships in the sea is also connected with this

. andriyu andriyu, in general, the nature of these missile attacks , many information sources, in particular , telegram channels, report that the russians will now change their strategy these strikes, in particular, will not be infrastructure objects, but will be some other objects. i really don't know which other objects may or may not be civilian objects, which objects may also become the main target for these strikes, and how can it be is it that simple? the informational and psychological operation by the russians is conducted through there, the telegram channels are controlled, what do you think about this, well, you see, when mr. surovikin was in charge of the group, he was a general, then his idea was to completely bleed ukraine in terms of energy sources, because of this, the main blow was really aimed at the energy infrastructure, well there was a certain result , despite the fact that 50 to 80% of us

failed, but there were days when there was a separate region of ukraine, even practically the whole of ukraine was in trouble. we remember it in november december, but fortunately for our energy industry, here are these. we are now, in principle, the situation normalized when gerasimov came . i think he looks at the situation a little differently now, especially since there have been much fewer missiles and the news crudes used the main potential and, by the way, to him this was one of the claims when he was removed from office, now i think it will again be a combination between attacks on infrastructure, perhaps on military facilities, because they know that the west supplies us with equipment and they are hunting for the supply of this very equipment because they are afraid that it will increase our offensive

potential. i think that there is a combination in this. another feature is that they, i think, take reconnaissance measures in advance when they launch these bullets and drones and uh, thanks to their means of radio-electronic intelligence, they are asking to raise a picture of our air defense means to know and then it is possible uh, and often plan strikes from them, well, we know, and then there is already such a combination and the strike is not drones and missiles these are modern ones. they make caliber h2 k h1 and such antiques as s-300 e-e x 22 missiles and these are converted a55s, and they get them up to a hundred units in a volley , as it was. a couple of weeks ago, he

comes to these modern missiles are very serious to dilute, but to keep, let’s say, our tension ceiling system, they have the maximum concentration of precisely these means of missile attack in relation to ukrainian attacks and alleged ukrainian drone attacks on the eve of march 28. well, already in russia, everyone is excited on february 28. i apologize to everyone excited and worried not only the military, but also russian celebrities, so-called so-called journalists, in particular, tina kandelaki was hysterical yesterday . a football player. yesterday she wrote the following to andriy and simon. i will not

translate the original conditions . in tuapse region, drones were also spotted, there was a fire at the rosneft terminal, combat drones were deployed in the bryansk region, adygea and the fifth region , the moscow region, where the drone fell there with a gas station, the geography of the drone attack, as you can see, is large-scale from the southern border to the central federal district, i have a bunch questions are written by russian celebrities, and now this is our new reality question mark, how many regions will the next attack be, question mark, the ministry of defense has a plan to protect our cities, question mark, someone ready to give security guarantees to our people question mark from tina kandelek how would you answer tina kandeleka 's question, i'm asking andrii well, really, well, countermeasures are being carried out on our side, although it's generally such a non-public topic, but we know that it's

critical such a military and energy object that affects the military power of russia, such strikes are carried out. i don't know about what ms. russia has the problem is in terms of detecting these drones and if they fly even into the central part of the russian federation, that is, in principle , the surveillance system . as i understand it, it does not work and gradually. from our borders is moving further there through the russian federation

well, again, this is a question that is excluded , planned by the military, they have much more information, yes, and everyone like that, if such an event is taking place, of course well-founded has a clear goal, which is aimed at depriving the adversary of precisely striking the masters to reduce his combat potential mr. andriy thank you andriy ryzhenko on the espresso channel expert of the center of defense strategies well, we conclude this informational analytical hour serhiy zgurtsem, director of the information consulting company defense express, mr. serhiy good morning, greetings. greetings, mr. sergey, i wanted to ask you a similar question, but i am also interested in tina kandelak and the ex-lover of suleiman kirimov a russian billionaire, and until then drones will fly to russian territory. i don't know if you read her tweet. she also writes about drone strikes in belgorod region and

about the ros neft terminal in tuapse and the bryansk region and adygea and moscow regions . kupala is near a gas station. and we are writing a lot of proposals to the russian ministry of defense , it means how many regions will be attacked in the next attack. safety of our people to their people, former journalist of ukrainian tv channels of a well-known media holding tina kandelaki asks how would you answer these questions well, actually, we are talking about the fact that , yesterday, a fairly massive campaign was carried out using ukrainian drone systems against a number of uh objects in the rear of the russian army, we can talk about at least 10 e-e complexes of various types that were used for e

-strikes on russian critical infrastructure , not on civilian objects, namely on critical infrastructure. part of these e-e efforts were effective when we are talking about all that and about the oil reserves of the russian federation. and actually these approaches indicate that in case of scaling up such actions e-e, we can really e-e transfer efforts to the territory of the russian federation from the point of view of the destruction of critical guest infrastructure, this was said at one time by zaluzhny, but we are still talking about e-e complexes that have, on the one hand, a sufficient range because one of the e-e complexes flew big-moscow and actually he had to repeat and could repeat this is an example matius rusta, who at one time sat down on red square after passing through all the anti-aircraft defenses, one of the ukrainian contests just did not fly

about 90 kilometers to moscow, and this product can actually fly at a distance of up to 1600 km in one direction, so that in any in this case, we see that the potential used by the ukrainian side or other structures indicates that we can really strike deep into the enemy's territory, but in my opinion this is still not enough, we need to scale up these efforts , of course such measures will cause the nervousness of the russian military and russian politicians, which we can already see, but these are the realities of war . the main thing is that we find a way to scale up such efforts again , to increase the effectiveness of such strikes on the russian technical infrastructure. well , actually, we turned it into an effective campaign that will accompany our military actions on on land, reducing the potential of the enemy in

the deep territory, well, interestingly , ending the history of scandals. the man's name is vasyl brovko, and he holds the position of director of personal assignments of this russian state corporation in russia, well, this is a corporation that manufactures weapons for the russian army, and contact him, mr. serhiu. this is already the official position of the ukrainian general staff on copper defense. well, the price of the position will never be. this is absolutely correct . we are talking about certain experts’ conclusions based on the appearance of certain samples of complexes that we have seen for free. uh, at ukrainian exhibitions, and now we see them near moscow, so relatively

speaking, visual comparisons allow us to draw such conclusions, and i think that this has its own. - something else happened to this project, because so far all these successes are being realized on the initiative of private companies. and these conversations about the unfunded defense industry have so far melted somewhere after the new year. and what a manufacturing power similar drones. what do you think about the ukrainian defense industry? i am talking about the potential of our private companies, the potential of the ukroboronprom remains unknown to me, what samples are produced , our companies know that, in particular , the potential of unmanned systems for individual companies is now significantly increasing, they fulfill state orders with a volume of up to 100 complexes per year are for individual companies, but these are companies that already have experience and production capacity, even if

there was a transfer from one area of ​​ukraine to other and young companies actually have much less opportunities . but for them, for now, this is a chance to show that their samples are effective. and actually, this should be the impetus for the best developments to crystallize into a normal large-scale order . for now, i repeat, there are certain gaps in their ukrainian authorities, due to the current operational situation in our country, the institute for the study of war wrote that the ukrainian military has the opportunity to launch a counteroffensive in zaporozhye and try to cut off the occupied crimea from of mainland russia. how do you evaluate this statement? well, i am actually sometimes afraid. so when someone clearly speaks about the plans that are within the competence of the general staff. now we are talking about the first stage when we have to receive the enemy's actions in many directions

, er, ensure the exhaustion of the enemy's forces and then already prepare for counterattacking actions, more precisely, carry out counterattacking actions in the antiphase, so to speak, and now we are first of all restraining the enemy in many directions, which is related to what the enemy is actually trying to impose he imposes his initiative on us with his tactics of combat operations and not on individual directions. can we now carry out large-scale offensives there? no, we cannot, because they have repeatedly said that we are now creating reserves and expecting the arrival of western military equipment, despite the fact that yesterday there were interesting hearings in the house of representatives of the united states where the deputy minister of defense, a chance for political issues, the leader, said that in fact he does not expect any significant changes on the front of the war in

the weeks and months to come, and in the future there he says that russia does not have the ability to ensure any significant advances deep into the territory of ukraine , that is, the americans also expect a situation related to the front line, and therefore the stage that the ukrainian population expects to carry out powerful counter-offensive actions. i myself expect such measures, but i understand that many obvious things that the experts talk about will not be obvious in reality, why do we believe that the general staff will act as everyone expects and foreign ukrainian experts i hope that he should find more cunning measures that would ensure, on the one hand, the exhaustion of the enemy or the implementation of actions that would really ensure the effective liberation of our territory with minimal losses, which is extremely important for the ukrainian side, mr. serhiu, regarding the russian supply of weapons from abroad. germany is concerned that

china can supply russia with unmanned aerial vehicles , german defense minister analiana berbuk said this , she said it means that china cannot send drones to the aggressor. well, she referred to said that as a permanent member of the un security council, china is particularly responsible for the resolution of this war and for the indirect support of russia, she said that this means that china cannot send drones to the aggressor in the state of the president who is waging an aggressive war in order to violate international law, we follow we hereby make it clear every day that such alleged support does not meet international standards . she said what do you think. there is a lot of information in recent days that russia can receive direct lethal military action. help from the people's republic of china. can this really happen? please, this topic is becoming quite relevant and important

. in addition to the statement from germany, there are many powerful statements , primarily from the united states, starting with the president of the united states, representatives of the state department , where it is said that what actually china must not hand over any deadly weapons to russia, which can use them against ukraine, and this is actually immediately connected with possible powerful sanctions from the united states against china, and i think that this maintaining the dependence of china's economy on orders from the united states, it will be a decisive factor that will actually deter china from supplying any weapons to the russian federation and the day before yesterday , it seems that there was also an interview with the head of gurbudanov in the voice of america where he said that he still does not see, he confirms that china will be ready to sell some

weapons to the russian federation , he hopes that these conclusions of bohdanov have an evidentiary basis because the actual involvement of china in hostilities with the provision of military aid from the russian federation was an extremely negative factor that would significantly affect the course of hostilities, mr. sergiu. what are your forecasts for the near future, what should ukrainians expect in view of these announcements and more, please clarify the forecast. we talked with our previous guest about that that there is a lot of information, in particular, in theorem channels. that the russians are changing the strategy, tactics and goals of these missile and air strikes can also be changed, not the analytical infrastructure, but something else, something else. is it that simple the informational and psychological special operation of the russians themselves, who spread these gossips and rumors, so in fact, it is difficult

to imagine anything else. i think that now this whole strategy and tactics of the russians is based, on the one hand, on their capabilities , which actually exist on the one hand limited, they decrease but all things being equal, they remain dangerous in view of the individual capabilities of individual missile types, if we cannot train, on the other hand, i don’t, hmm, i can say that all the previous tactics with the use of missile strikes on critical fuel bases, then on the energy structure, it did not affect the effectiveness of the vast army on the battlefield, and it was primarily aimed at destabilizing the internal political situation in ukraine - this is not a small factor of influence. so, i think that any change in tactics is due to a change in some other goals instead of those that were chosen until now, i think that in fact there is no difference from the previous results of the previous actions of the russian federation

take away the cold and the darkness, today is already spring, thank god, they endured that it is so theirs about gazprom to the song of yuri vizbora , and winter will be big only twilight, snow , that's it twilight and snow are over today, we have already arrived at work today, and it's dawn, you understand, seven in the morning, it's already dawn, we are writing this in the west, ukraine, and in the east, it's already an hour, so all three with the beginning of spring, i hope that this will give us and our fighters even more effort to win faster and beat the enemy, by the way , today we reach the figure of 1,500,150,000 of destroyed orcs because just today there will be just such a beautiful round number just before march 1 number thank you serhii zhurets a-a analyst military expert head of defense express analytical consulting company it's almost nine o'clock on the clock and this means that we are commemorating the memory to all our compatriots , fellow ukrainians, whose bright