[000:00:00;00] which will be lifted by the air relay well, we still have literally 30 seconds left that there is still a threat of missile attacks, there are reasons to believe that the russian federation is preparing for them, this is official information from our military, but on the evening of march 1, the russian federation brought one of the five rocket launchers that were in the black sea in the morning, the total number of rockets can reach 24 calibers , but the threat of missile attack on ukraine remains, do not neglect this threat , we have a fortress serhiy rudenko, glory to ukraine, this is the verdict program my name is serhiy rudenko good day and good health to all today is the first of march 371 days of heroic resistance of the ukrainian people to the russian occupiers in the past day our aviation made 11 strikes on

the areas of concentration of the occupiers and rocket artillerymen hit nine areas of concentration of manpower and the area the concentration of weapons of military equipment to the enemies of the defense forces per day repelled more than 85 enemy attacks , meanwhile, the russian occupiers continue to lose manpower and equipment in in ukraine, as of the morning of march 1, russia has already lost 149,890 people in ukraine, almost 150,000. in the last day alone, the armed forces of ukraine destroyed 650 orks. since the beginning of the great war , the russians have already lost in ukraine 3,395 tanks , 6,638 armored fighting vehicles, 2,393 artillery systems, and 479 rocket launcher systems. 247 means of anti-air defense 300 aircraft 288 helicopters 5257

units of motor vehicles 18 ships boats 873 cruise missiles 2055 drones 230 units of special equipment about the situation on on the eastern front and in particular around bakhmut, however, how drones are attacking russia and what the americans are predicting regarding the further development of the russian-ukrainian war , we will talk about all this for the next hour , i want to introduce today 's first guest - this is andriy illenko, an officer of the freedom battalion of the national guard of ukraine, a politician, a people's deputy of ukraine of the seventh and eighth convocations, mr. andriy , good day. good health to you. thank you for joining our broadcast. good day, mr. serhiy. so, mr. andriy, yesterday was extended meeting of the stake and volodymyr zelenskyi in his evening address spoke

about what is happening at the front in the bakhmut area, as he says the enemy does not count his own , the intensity of the fighting is increasing, we will hear zelenskyi held another stake meeting today again in an extended format. on each of the front lines, the most difficult battles are as before, which are important for the defense of the city. at least twice a week have passed, the meeting was on thursday, today general syrskyi reported that from the last attack in his direction alone, about 800 enemies were killed, russia does not count people at all, sending them to constant assaults on our positions, the intensity of the fighting is only increasing. so, andrei, i know for sure

that you have the situation in bakhmut and e. i am there now, i understand that you are on rotation correctly in kyiv so that we are more accurate on the air, yes mr. sergey, i always emphasize this so that if there were no unethical moments our the battalion unit has been in this direction for a long time. now we are on the retreat, replenished with retraining . are there , of course , and from other units. i know the situation well enough

, how is the situation around the city now? do you understand what the situation is, every time you ask what the situation is, it doesn't change much, every day or every week there are heavy battles . the intensity continues, the battles are as intense as possible and the enemy continues to try to surround bakhmut continues to try to bypass the flanks, and there are battles for every landing, for every height, for every meter of actually ukrainian land, and in this regard, especially nothing changes yes the situation is very difficult, but despite all attempts to surround the enemy, it does not work. because well, let's look at the dynamics of the battle there . since the middle of summer, winter has already ended today, the first day of spring, and we can see that

the enemy is not able to fulfill the tasks that he has before himself despite the fact that he throws virtually everything possible there and suffers huge losses, that is, in essence , his power is established, the enemy is bleeding, and this is the heroism of the ukrainian army, which , in particular, in this direction, actually forces the enemy should bleed until march 1. putin wanted the russian army to enter the administrative borders of the luhansk and donetsk regions or the so-called lpr and dpr of these virtual pseudo-republics that exist . this exit of the occupying troops on the border of donbass, what will be the further actions

of the russian army according to you, they will continue to advance and will continue to try to pass bakhmut and go further to e kramatorsk and slavyansk or will they still change their tactics over the next few months, it seems to me that they have long, long ago no clear strategic plan according to which they act, that is, they act based on the situation that exists today, and in fact their whole plan consists in the fact that they try to delay as long as possible war for as long as possible to do this in order not to admit that it is obvious that they have already suffered a strategic defeat by not being able to defeat ukraine in the blitzkrieg, in fact they have already suffered their strategic defeat well, but

you know this while the football match is still going on there is no final whistle, then the team that loses has not yet formally lost, but approximately the same thing is happening now, that is, time is being dragged out, i understand very well that i do not want my words to be perceived as a kind of relaxation that they say we have already won and everything is fine, no, we are still far away from saying that we have won. there are still many exhausting days , weeks, and months of a terrible war ahead, and unfortunately, we are suffering losses and this is all happening at a huge cost, but it is obvious that there is no enemy a clear plan according to which he acts, that is, they act absolutely impulsively, they act based on the situation that is formed at a specific moment on a specific day, and hmm , they still have political tasks, they clearly fall in front of the military because, in principle, this whole war is a political

task for them, first of all, that is why they can declare anything, well, if they declared that they would take over ukraine in general in a few days, or a week at the most, well , there is little they declare there, they declared that they will take bakhmut they are the first statements about what bakhmut will take, they were not yet er in july, they already said everything there from day to day already bakhmut will be in our hands and what's next well, that is, you can declare anything , but the reality on the field, she fights a little differently, so i don’t see the point in seriously discussing all these things, it is obvious that they will not stop, it is obvious that at the very moment when they will finally understand that their defeat is near, they will rush into the last attack like that wounded animal and not you should have no illusions here, but think about the fact that they have some super plan , a super strategy according to which they act, there is no

plan, there is no strategy. well, what was the plan a year after they thought that they would capture ukraine in a week, they cannot take six months bakhmut, they had such a plan from the very beginning, well, it is obvious that if they had any plans, they all went to dust a long, long time ago and they act impulsively , intuitively, they just come out of each specific day. we have a message from andrii babichev dated march 1 it's a call sign youtube he is a serviceman of the 93rd separate mechanized brigade, kholodny yar, which is located in bakhmut, let's take a look, i congratulate everyone on march 1, the city of bakhmut, i want to say that the enemy was silenced a little, it is shorter, calmer, but on the outskirts, what can be heard is still shooting battles

, isolated showers of mines are flying, but we are standing in old bahamut, then no one is going anywhere he is not going to leave yet, we are standing still ukraine glory to ukraine glory to the armed forces and putin huh well, it is hard to disagree with the last statement and mr. andriy, but in this situation , we have already entered spring today, march 1 survived the winter and the spring of 2023 began, on the eve of spring there were a lot of predictions that russia would go on a big offensive , there would be massive strikes on the territory of ukraine, that the enemy would come from different areas in the east, in the south, maybe in the north, in

the northeast where is chernihiv region, sumy oblast, according to your opinion, is it already here? i watched the dynamics of february because they lost more than 20,000 of their military there, and if you multiply by three, well, probably 100,000, they lost people on the battlefield together with wounded did this big offensive that everyone was talking about start or are they constantly in this big offensive? well, again, i think that uh, you understand that the information war and their propaganda play a big role . it still has a strong enough influence. so , when they are starting to say that a big offensive is about to take place. of course, this worries many, and in principle, it must be so, because we must always be ready for the most difficult, most complex options

for the development of events, but on the other hand, i it seems that what has been happening over the last month and a half, in particular, is the objective maximum that they are capable of. that is, i do not think that now they will show anything more than what they are showing today, if we are talking about the possibility of an attack on some in other areas, except for the east, if it were to be done suddenly now, it is almost impossible, because in order to gather forces for some serious attack, well, they must be transferred there , for example, to the same belarus, so in order to try to start an offensive again, for example since they did it in february of the 22nd year, in order to do this, it is necessary to carry out a major operation to overturn the coldness of their placement. that is, it is not impossible to do. in the current conditions, when let's not, well

, if we hide it. obviously, all nato satellite intelligence works in our interests and not only the satellite, they are the advantages and capabilities of our intelligence, as the war appeared, they are also serious enough to do it inconspicuously , it is impossible. that is, it will still be noticeable , we will understand that such steps are being made therefore, i don’t know imperceptibly, relatively imperceptibly , you can transfer there, i don’t know, a company, a battalion , maybe even within the framework of some one small direction, and that’s all the same. it can be noticed. it is impossible to do it imperceptibly. in the current conditions, therefore, in this case, i do not see the possibility of making any sudden new directions of impact so that we are not ready for it, on the other hand, it is a constant injection, a constant injection, once there

in a month and a half, it is standardly thrown into our information space through telegram channels and so on. here is this story . what, for example, there is about to be a new attack on kyiv. it seems to me that this is done simply from elementary keys, first of all, to keep our - our people, and secondly, in order for us to be forced to keep a certain part of our reserves, a certain part of our troops for cover, in accordance with these directions, we could not use them where intense events are currently taking place. that's all, and i think it's obvious but again, no one must think that they cannot take any new steps, and similar steps can be taken, but we will know about it, it is impossible to do it suddenly and covertly. mr. andrii, in the united states of america, they said that the war in ukraine may last two or three years, the deputy minister of defense of the united states of america on political issues, kolenkal does not rule out that the war may last another 2-3 years, it is difficult to predict because we do not know

exactly the trajectory of the conflict, the conflict may end in 6 months, or maybe in for two or three years, president biden said that we will support ukraine as long as necessary , the deputy secretary of defense of the united states of america stated during the congressional hearings, according to your feelings and observations, what you see is how long this russian-ukrainian war will last, and i mean finalization of this war, because we understand that one way or another, this spring will determine when the end of this war will be, or let's say at least some guidelines for how events will develop on the eastern , southern and northern fronts of ukraine sergey, we don't know when this issue will be resolved, no one knows. and if we ask any person, even the most informed, answer the question when

will the war end, well, if i don't think that anyone can answer this question if we don't take some, well, statements that are made with some purpose, but really this is some kind of impartial analysis. well, no one knows anything, and we should not set any such time limits for ourselves, what will be decided in the spring, god forbid , god forbid that in the spring everything will be resolved and we will be already there on the borders of our constitutional and and and its all and we would and russia surrenders perfectly and everyone wants it, but there is no need to set any time limits for ourselves so that later if suddenly these limits are not fulfilled , we will be disappointed, the war will continue as long as we do not win that's all, our victory will definitely be and how much time it will take, no one knows, and to think that spring

is here or recently they said that there will be a big russian pump, something else, well, in any case , each of us must do everything in his place in order to approaching victory and this victory will be a when it will be, well, no one knows, and i am not going to give any predictions here, because i do not know this and no one knows this , then yesterday, speaking to colleagues of the fsb, he called on the security forces to fight even more actively against those who, er, oppose the policy of russia the federation of the current russian leadership , those who, according to him, are trying to divide society, call them an abomination , let's hear putin, of course, it is necessary to identify and cut down the illegal activities of those who are trying to divide, it will weaken our society used as a weapon, separatism, nationalism, not in nazism

and xenophobia, this is also always applied in relation to our country, now the demands are of course the most active requests to activate all of this frost on our land , mr. andrii, in the same meeting , another revealing moment occurred when putin said that fsb employees also die during this war and there are, as he said, losses, although russian propaganda usually reproduces one popular servant among them - it will be lost, as the statistics of the general staff show they have already lost almost 150,000 of the armed forces of ukraine in ukraine killed, and if you multiply by three, well, that's somewhere around half a million wounded, er, servicemen according to yours . i already asked you, but i will repeat it until , probably, before the end of the war, is there

even a limit beyond which for the russian federation, for putin, the losses will become critical when the society will already feel when they will understand that this is absolutely senseless , absolutely great losses, huge losses after the second world war, this is the biggest war in europe after the second world war of the world war, is there a limit beyond which russia will not be able to go, and will they go to the last soldier, relatively speaking, again , i do not know if there is a limit, i can only appeal to some historical events because there is , for example, the history of the first world war where in general, if we take the current war as a matter of fact, it is in some ways similar to

the first world war, because the result of the first world war was not that the countries that lost in this war went to their capital and put the flag of the winners there on their ruins the capital as it happened, for example, since the second world war, no one entered germany in berlin in the 18th year, and no one entered petrograd in the 17th year, when the russian empire hmm went to a de facto separate peace and de facto capitulation to the german-austrian block and actually began the collapse of the empire, that is, well, it is possible. here is such an option. i think it is one of the most likely options for the development of events . although no one knows how these events will unfold, you can also recall the same

russo-japanese war that ended like this for the russian empire, a military disaster, although it was somewhere very far in the far east, it seemed as if it did not directly threaten the existence of the empire and a vital center there , but it ended with the first revolution of the russian empire, which also, well, actually put it on the verge of collapse, so i, again , i do not that i believe in some russian revolution, it is obvious that i do not believe that this population is capable of any meaningful action , but of some grandiose pogrom and grandiose civil war that could be in russia in as a result of a series of humiliating military defeats, the next ones that already happened, and the next ones, eh, i completely allow this against the background of economic problems, against the background of international isolation, and so on . and so on. they want to divide us into muscovites, uralians, siberians and siberians, and they want to destroy russia. that's what he said now. what you showed about the rise of separatist

sentiments in russia. it's very telling that they've been talking about it before. well, that's all everything is great, there are no problems, everyone supports putin, russia is monolithic, there is no separatism in russia , everything is fine. these trends are growing and it seems to me that this is actually very good and one of the results of this year 's war that putin and his cliques are already saying directly that russia is in danger of collapsing and at different levels, and this and the national level. and this level is not only because the same, for example, there are all private military companies that are actually not subordinate to the official government, and we already see these internal conflicts, this is also one of the future lines of the civil war in russia

, so of course this is also one of the factors that is very a serious role is played by the country, because we remember how on february 24 of last year we entered the republic of belarus from the territory of the republic of belarus. russian troops today, self-proclaimed president lukashenko flew and arrived in china, rather, the chinese ceremony was the first person lukashenko met on the square, there was a wreath in beijing on the famous tiananmen square, and this is also pop-indicative because it reminded me of another figure of ours yanukovych in the past well , the self-proclaimed president of the belarusians of china has already proposed an agenda for the meeting

: support for china in the international arena , support for china's so-called peace plan without aggression and sanctions, and support china regarding taiwan in the so-called one-china principle, let's hear what lukashenko said. the international agenda is fully supported by us. we condemn actions aimed at increasing tensions around taiwan in belarus, this time followed the principle of one china,

advocated a peaceful solution and categorically against interfering with a foreign state in the internal affairs of the chinese people's republic well, of course, lukashenko is not such a global player, to put it mildly, as a sit-and-go and belarus is not china, but in this situation, we consider lukashenko's visit in the context of the statements of american officials who say that that because of the belarusians and wants to import lethal weapons to russia , as anthony blinken said according to your opinion, if china joins the russian-ukrainian e-e war, how can all this end and what kind of war can it all lead to transform or transform well, i think that lukashenko definitely did not go to china to negotiate on the supply of weapons. i think that

he went to china in order to get weapons for russia. i think that he went to china in order to establish relations with a more serious suzaren because, well, susan, is lukashenko’s master , putin, er, at the same time, he himself is actually already a vassal of china , or he becomes a vassal of china, and why does lukashenko talk to er, the master, there is some kind of position, maybe it makes sense to try to talk the strongest host, which is obviously china, and already somehow try to establish relations with it directly. so that it is possible in the event of an inevitable collapse, russia and putin know how to try to loop around and somehow try to stay in power already at the expense of chinese support, although, to be honest, i still do not believe that lukashenko completely linked himself after the 20th year and then after already 22 he completely linked himself with the fate of putin and the collapse of putin

will automatically mean the collapse of lukashenko in a matter of days and in this situation if we are talking about the position of china china behaves very cautiously all the time, and i can say that it is very unlikely that china will start supplying russia with weapons, because china did not do this during the whole year of the war, and did not do it even when russia's position was much stronger stronger than it is now and now in this situation, well, in fact, let it be indirect, but get involved in a war that is clearly a losing proposition for putin and support putin. well, to be honest, if china has done this before, i am very unlikely that it will do any work. this is how china is a much more powerful player than russia wants to be incredibly powerful, but on the other hand, china is very cautious and china

understands that 85% of its economy is related to its exports to western markets, and if china takes such risky steps, it risks very serious economic consequences for themselves, yes, it can certainly be severe consequences for europeans , americans, and australians, canadians, and so on, but it is obvious that it will also be a difficult test for the chinese, so i don't think that it makes sense for them to associate themselves so strongly with by russia it seems to me that china's latest statement is on the contrary, it is of course very like that well, it is not specific, it is like that, for all the good against all the bad of course you can't say that she is there for us and just as you can't say that she is unequivocally pro-russian , she is so very well, it can be interpreted in different directions. she is very oppressive, but the point is that this entire statement does not in any way imply that

china will suddenly take and start supplying weapons to putin there . that the americans are more likely to take certain such informational steps in order to show that we are celebrating this issue carefully and once again to remind the chinese that it is not necessary, it is not necessary, it is not necessary to put weapons in russia, it is not necessary to cross certain certain limits, but i very much doubt that the chinese need this and they will start now, i don’t know about such things, that is, i think that china will, on the contrary, now look at how weak russia is, and it is unlikely that china needs a direct collapse of the collapse of russia, it is unlikely but the fact that china needs russia, a weakened russia as much as possible, which will simply fall at its feet in the end, which in principle is already happening, i think that this is exactly the