[000:00:00;00] intelligence professionals are very reluctant to release specific information with so much detail because first of all you don't want your enemy to know exactly what you know and you don't want them to find out how you found out source protection is even more important than information protection although of course we are all trying to understand what others are doing, there is nothing new about it, but you don't want your opponent to know how much you know or what you don't know and if you have made certain things public they may think hmm they can only know this if this and that

i can only imagine how fierce the dispute was in the white house, what and how to do about it climate change, the fight against the hobby and the restoration of the world economy, the main issues that the g20 leaders will talk about at the g20 summit in rome , president biden for the first time reveals to his colleagues the last hope for salvation the planets say so about the meeting that is taking place at this moment in the scottish owner. a few days later, secretary of state blinking meets with the president of ukraine for the same purpose zelenskyi on the sidelines of the climate summit, we were only two for a met-1 from one. it was a difficult conversation . the state secretary will say later whether the information was sent to the political press, or even showed the latest pictures of military equipment. detailed satellite pictures show the location

of russian forces, their number and weapons . the pictures were always there. an important factor but never trust just one fact governments will always look for confirmation you heard something and then look for another way to confirm it to make sure it's true so for example you intercept a signal and then you want to get a picture or a person makes a report and then you try to use various sources to combine them and be more confident in your analysis if you only have one source it is usually not enough france and germany have the same satellite images but do not believe in the apocalyptic predictions of the americans, i

am so excited about the fact that the united states , even when sharing intelligence, but what should happen, did not talk about who their sources are or how they found out about it, methods intelligence had to remain totally confidential, that is, there was information that they shared, but not all of it, and this also led to a certain skepticism, and the americans also had other intelligence that was more precise about the intentions of the kremlin, there are two ways to get this data, the first mole that sits in the kremlin, that is, it is a person who is there and really works for the americans, it is of course very likely, but in addition to this, we can talk about a major special operation in cyberspace , the possibility that the americans had access to

an incredible amount of secret russian of documents, so what really mattered, the americans extracted this data from the kremlin through human resources and through technical, and therefore knew very precisely what they were going to do, the russians are balancing on the verge of how to be convincing enough and not say too much. to europe, negotiations in kyiv, berlin and geneva in general do not want to be alone in confronting russia, they need a coalition with europe, we wanted our european allies to join us in support ukraine in the supply of weapons and sheep or putin? well, as you know. some of them at that time maintained very close relations with putin and we

wanted to force them to wake up. relations between russia and the usa could never be called close , but they have not been so bad since the cold war. war they spend a huge amount of resources time and money to strangle the shal embassy in moscow every chance they get they follow us everywhere we go listen to everything i say i always meant everything i say recorded by the fsb, i understood that i did not have private phone conversations. when i needed to have a conversation that i wanted to hide from them, i had to go to a special closed room in the embassy. macron schulz is certain that he has good relations with putin . the french president talks to him on

the phone for hours. putin behaves as always denies accuses avoids clarity they all had their relations with putin of course putin lied to them and said oh no i'm not going to invade and lavrov said he's not going to invade and of course they didn't want to believe because they didn't want to face the prospect of war on their doorstep and less intelligence is always decided by the political power often these decisions go against what recommendations and data the intelligence service provided it is very often that the second case when in the end the decision becomes political it contradicts the data. so, in general, it is always

the responsibility of the political authorities that brought down ukraine . france said that there will be such an invasion, macron said, i spoke with putin, he told me that this will not happen if you are in the place of ukraine , why would you believe in the most incredible scenario, how tanks are going to kyiv, teacher, will you believe countries that seem to have the most valuable communication with russia and say no- no we do not believe in such a scenario, in the end, macron and schultz decide to visit putin personally, but in order to get closer than 5 meters to him, the kremlin requires both of them to take covid tests

, the schultz test brought from berlin does not suit both they refuse contact with russian doctors. i think that president macron knew that he was not a carrier of the virus, so he never had to undergo tests. these are not the things that happen in the relations between the two heads of state . do not accept someone without a medical test. you know very well that when you do a test when you just drink a glass of water, you already get microparticles of the skin, enough to do a genetic analysis, if president macron refused to do this test, then only because it was simply against the rules of the protocol as well

it is also known that schulz and macron are assigned a place at a five-meter table, their relationship with putin has never been so distant . this is part of putin's behavior model. he tries to humiliate his interlocutors because he does not respect them. look at the size of the table at which they sat with macron when she came to him merkel, he knew that she was afraid of dogs, so he let his dog out to scare her, this is part of his tactics aimed at throwing interlocutors off balance and humiliating them during the pandemic . putin has acquired distinct paranoid features even the inner circle before talking to him goes through a long isolation such whitney tests it gives rise to rumors that putin is seriously ill i will quote my friend bela burns director tsoi who said that the problem with putin's health is that he is too

healthy do you believe that putin has there are clones or doppelgangers who appear at public events as a person who likes spy novels god i hope so but i have no reason to say that this is the case it would definitely be a fascinator would i be stunned would it really be so no do i think so i don't know what is really in putin's head, only a limited number of people from his closest circle know, maybe the only foreign leader with whom he has to share plans is all the ringers, will the olympics be able to postpone and maybe stop putin's attack on ukraine, i remember the olympic games when putin was sitting in

the stands next to si i thought that if they are going to attack they will wait until the end of the olympics because i would say don't spoil my olympics and putin would definitely need tacit approval or at least the lack of resistance from china to do it and this is the time if it weren't for the olympic games i think they would have started earlier because in the end they waited for a rotten winter when there was no solid ground anymore cia director burns secretly visits moscow and kyiv twice the last time in a little more than a month before the invasion with putin, he speaks via video link with zelensky face-to-face during that visit of white burns to moscow, he handed a personal letter to putin from biden and also a message and it was

like this we know what you are doing we know that you if you plan, do not do this, there will be extraordinary consequences, and then bill burst also visited kyiv and told zelensky that there was a threat to his life, and he also directly warned zelensky that the landing force would try to land directly at the airport of the guest house, that is, there was a sufficiently specific scenario that, as we know , came true regarding how the war would develop , that there will be an offensive, including kiev, there was a message about a possible attack by russia already next wednesday. and although we have heard such warnings not for the first time, and in the kremlin, the warning was called istria, the situation has clearly escalated

based on intelligence data, the majority of airlines cancel flights to ukraine, foreign embassies first take out family members, then they leave themselves and the americans are impeccably accurate in some forecasts, they are fundamentally wrong in others, and one mistake entails their new analysts. i don't know who came up with the idea of ​​three days, but it's just ridiculous. i was in kyiv two weeks before that, so the size of kyiv is fresh in my mind, how difficult it is to move there. even if there were no ukrainian troops

there , the russian troops would not have been able to surround and capture kyiv in three days. it is mathematically impossible. to clear, for example, at least a part of the university, and that's why when i understand, ok , they have a total of 130,000 soldiers for three days. no , it's impossible, it's mathematically impossible, i don't know who came up with this analysis about three days. who is it? said but apparently his analytical abilities are even worse than those of the russians. zelensky will be kidnapped or killed, burns directly warns him about this, ah, definitely. i thought it was quite possible

, you know, the thought about the invasion of czechoslovakia and what happened to the bat there was approximately the same military force . it was the warsaw pact, not the russian military and security services, about 200,000 warsaw pact troops who entered czechoslovakia entered prague and imprisoned him they sent him on a plane to moscow and the entire army of soldiers there quickly reeducated him and then sent him back to czechoslovakia and then sent him to the east where he became someone like a forester and on the air if i were president zelensky or a close member of his family this is probably the best i could do to hope that the americans offer zelensky to take

him to a safe place, he will answer i need weapons and not let him down from the american side, they urged him to leave kyiv because they considered him weak or something like that tried to ensure that the head of state was not killed when they offered zelensky to leave the country before the beginning of the invasion or right after ah you you inot timesis repeatedly they discussed evacuation plans with him before and after the partners again offered him to leave the country to evacuate the united states wanted to understand the legacy in power, what will happen if he is beaten , who will be the successor, who will be the legitimate leader every single time, the question of who defeated the government was asked. some of the government officials

moved to lviv in case of the worst scenario, one of the officials should have been safe, they could not stay in kyiv for security reasons, but he did not grow up , sometimes angrily refused to listen to offers to escape and was very persistent in his intention to stay shadows of the recent past, unfortunate miscalculations drive analysts into a new trap learning room lessons the united states learned the wrong lessons from afghanistan and libya we just left afghanistan and it was a disaster president ghani left the country and we just assumed that with the russian invasion ukraine would fall we

we just have to make sure that zelenskyi is safe and we have to get him out of there, a completely wrong understanding that there is a huge huge difference between afghanistan and ukraine, no comparison, and i think that we reacted to our own ghosts and our own images and not to the reality in ukraine, weapons were allowed to believe that her army was indeed modernized i definitely overestimated russia's capabilities i thought they were much better in many ways and so for months i tried to understand why i was so wrong and now i realize that i couldn't to assess the depth of corruption and how much this corruption will affect everything from the quality of equipment to the quality of training and the actual number

of troops, but well , of course, i spent billions of rubles on modernization. technology, but in the end , people and processes are more important than the technology itself , what are your partners sending to ukraine a ton of heavy defense weapons, all the requests of kyiv are rejected with a heavy heart, you simply will not have time to use them, the united states they said you are starting to dig trenches on the border with belarus. i remember andriy yarmak told me that the border with belarus will help against missiles flying from belarus and this is an honest argument, you will be under

fire from the sky, everything will be so terrible blah blah but they don't give you weapons who would be responsible for the duty to protect himself here, too, it was certain about understanding putin successfully manages to fool almost everyone, he has the reputation of a general and the kdb and the head of the fsb for the west, he is a tough cynical but still a smart player putin cannot be so irrational putin can't be wrong russian federation is a criminal organization like the sopranos only with nuclear weapons and just because putin was a kdb agent doesn't mean he was a good kdb agent doesn't mean he was super smart

actually if you look at his kar' the way he was, he didn't make it to the top, he was sent to a place where very mediocre or below average kdb agents go, so i think that we all think too highly of his intelligence, in every article there was a former kdb agent oh my god my, what does he really know? and by the way, i am not saying that he is stupid, this guy is not, but they wrote about him as if he could play chess and walk at the same time with his head firmly on his head . it is obvious that this is not the case at home. the subordinates are afraid of putin.

proposition yes and therefore proposition he is lying to people who have informed putin and painted rosy pictures for him that had nothing to do with reality, my colleague wrote about a survey conducted for the fsb in ukraine the fsb agent claimed that most people would to welcome the russian invasion of course it wasn't like that, but the russian military had a parade uniform with them to participate in the parade, they took it with them to the war, they literally expected flowers at the parade that everything would be very simple that there was no such resistance ukrainian soldiers with whom i am talking about it was said that the russians were sometimes simply stunned by what the resistance fighters encountered in general, so i believe that they were expecting the crimean scenario where everything

was so foggy, the troops simply entered without a fight , and here they got something completely different, they got against the opposition, they did not notice that ukraine has changed a lot and does not want anything to do with russia . on february 18, president biden declares, according to their data, that putin has made a decision, the countdown ended on the 20th. president macron calls putin and tries to persuade him to another round of negotiations. putin ends the conversation with the phrase to be honest, i was going to play hockey , i'm talking to you from the gym before training , there are a little more than three days left before the great war, we had an array of intelligence, several

rounds of negotiations, unity in europe, could we we somehow avoid war without surrendering to russia no i don’t think vladimir putin made a decision so many forces were involved all these arguments about non-membership in nato promise this promise this i think the united states tried to follow the path of diplomacy like other countries including ukraine but russia was closed for this, the efforts did not yield results on the other hand. i think it was important to go through these efforts. it is possible to try. it is important that the public sees that we are trying . it is important to show that putin is the aggressor. i think that it had a great effect because it hindered many of russia's actions

, such as the operations under a foreign flag that they were going to carry out today. there is zero trust in them so that they don't suddenly say that now no one will believe them anymore, i mean that there is no trust in anyone in the kremlin anymore intelligence did not prevent the war in the dictator's head, everything was programmed for his last throw since 2008 , when he first dismembered georgia, then due to pressure, crimea fell into donbas, and now it dragged on, but the crimean scenario did not work out, the world simply did not leave time for stage of shock and denial because everything was known in advance and now putin knows for sure if

he is paranoid it does not mean that he is not being watched your future is in your hands protect your past year how we woke up at 5 in the morning a year of goodbyes a year of pain that changed our life forever a year of how we fight in the dark with bright hearts we were given two days and

we stood together a year of recognition country of heroes country of the brave we inspire we fall in love we create believe in freedom believe in ourselves and our victories we are the only one we do not know glory glory to ukraine heroes we have endured because we understand that our people are the most important wealth, that is why we are happy for every ukrainian , ukrainians whom we managed to save, simply because we know that there is no such thing as small help and we are ready to support

to the best of our ability with shells only strengthens our unity and desire for victory unlike them we will display the winning one and refuse from the ruins a washed-up kimzhi will never be, we are ukrainians and we stand i wish you health , dear ukrainians, today held several fundamentally important meetings in the energy meeting took part in seven the stability of our energy system. it was a long meeting of 3 hours. energy companies naftogaz, energoatom, ukrenergo, ukrhydroenergies, others, the government, the office, the head of the special committee of the top, military intelligence , this winter is very difficult, and every

ukrainian felt this difficulty without exaggeration, but still we were able to provide ukraine with energy and heat yes, the threat to the power system remains, but work for the sake of the power system continues at the energy department, today at the council we recorded the current tasks to normally finish this heating season and we have already started to prepare for the next season, each of the participants of the meeting received his part of the work in this regard, we will find a response , today we held a long detailed selector with everyone, someone is in charge of various directions of state protection, the military, the sbu, the gur , foreign intelligence, the ministry of internal affairs, other government officials, the office , we keep every front direction under control khortytsia, tavria, odessa, north, there were reports that the situation during the day, in addition to the direct front lines, attention was also

paid to the front-line territories of those places and districts who are subjected to russian shelling of deliberate terror every day and night nikopol and other communities of the dnipropetrovsk region zaporizhzhia kherson and the region of the front-line part of the donbass kharkiv and the region of sumyshchyna chernihiv region now in most of the territory of our state where it was possible to give relative safety to life may not be felt what is the life of those people who are in the border areas regions with russia who are in the south of our country where there is shelling, where there are people, even though they are not at the front, but still directly in the war where russia is constantly trying to destroy everything that people have constantly and this is without exaggeration, when we prepare active actions of our military of all our defense and security forces, we also mean that such active actions will gradually restore security