[000:00:00;00] but he is such a very weak man, mark count, who is constantly looking for a stronger suzerain in order to confirm his vassal rights somewhere and stay in charge of his small land business and in fact , this is lukashenka's problem, he, as an old cunning politician, is really starting to solve it at the expense of china and weakening putin's weakening of russia, which was a guarantor for him, of course, one way or another pushed him into the arms of china , does china need it, this is actually a very big question. china, as we can see from the alleged support or non-support. still neutral positions towards russia, china does not need to go to hell in front of its father. china does not want to lose its opportunity to blackmail the west and conduct negotiations with it . therefore, for the time being, support for lukashenka, well , to put it mildly, is very, very limited. alexander will not work, so that later lukashenka, do you remember how

after the orange revolution we had volodymyr lytvyn , the country needs lytvyn and he will act as a peacemaker. a tyrant and always believed that he was a thief. and i am an honest and decent head of a belarusian collective farm who became the president and now i was ready to serve under any conditions and the ideal of democracy and, well, in general, good against all bad, for all good opinion because it seems to me that just such an option is possible if there will be a search for a compromise of some compromise figure who will have to reconcile russia with ukraine, i do not know russia with the european union, the united states is actually very good, because they asked lukashenko will definitely play this card, lukashenko will definitely present himself as the last opportunity to agree on the last adequate person in that part of the world, and so on and so on, but if you look at the western point of view, the international

courts, our allies, and in general, all our partners have already clearly said that lukashenko is the same initiator of aggression against ukraine and against the western world in general as putin. that is, there is no difference between these two dictators, and therefore the west will not perceive him as such a negotiator with regard to china, as i have already said. so far there is no clearer position of china and unfortunately it is difficult for us to understand it, but i do not think that china needs allies that are so toxic and so provocative in relation to the west . thank you very much, mr. oleksandr oleksandr krayev , expert of the ukrainian foreign policy council prisma, we had a very meaningful conversation . thank you, mr. oleksandr u we are already in touch muhammed e parad zhalakh general secretary in the arab council in ukraine the editor-in-chief of the publication ukraine in arabic peasants

alley p mukhamy peasants good day good day information appeared in the mass media about the fact that russia is slaughtering young palestinians for the war in ukraine, even with figures of $350, they are paid for this , what do you know about it? tell me, please. good day to you. good day to your viewers. unfortunately, once again, our information scheme in ukraine turned out to be very vulnerable, which simply intercepted the first information, as they say, that smells like fried, and spread it, and in this way our mass media became victims or accomplices in the spread of fakes - and that's something i didn't come up with when information opal me for the first time, we immediately asked the name of the administration, the police administration, the gatekeepers and the rescuers were put over there, and of course, the palestinians themselves were the main plus , i have a group of journalists who hugged me there , who in enenhelva is a camp of palestinian er refugees there, and of course there, who

changed, nobody about it no one heard any facts when they started to analyze where exactly such smoke came from, after all, it means that such a journalist is called a jeep, this is precisely an unknown journalist with such fingers go deeper, find such a site, say for line, too, an unknown site, when they began to dig deeper and raise the question, namely, analysts , this site works for israel, this is an israeli site that is not very dedicated, and immediately below it , become one that says jacob’s positions, advertise , and make a gift to the jews, happy jewish new year, then есть представить компьютер сайт арабий собриает дорокат в жевый комментарии от озловещей врагамы когда всеме всеми при нализировали прилли. in relation to how much, even as that journalist wrote, even even below the lower level, it is clear to everyone that the swedish

militia or the hezbollah are the same evil enemies of the polistians who, if they stayed in lebanon, plus after the civil war in lebanon, everything is military the formation is , and we fought against them, not for them. under the control of the lebanese army, the lebanese police, there is no such thing as a bullet, not everything, there is no policy at all, there is no military issue there, the issue is completely protected by the military of the lebanese republic, but the boy is at the right moment , as zelensky himself said about it when he came to the mister of restaurant affairs

of ukraine with the claim of mr. zelensky that israel is the only single democracy of the state that has not yet come to the aid of ukraine. it was clearly not voluntary for ukraine. two months ago , they have already raised the foci of obscenity on the streets of polesten. the attention of the world community is a failure of the internal politicians of israel , how much of a pancake has already filed claims with hydrorats for their wrong policy in relation to the palestinian occupation of the whales

since the americans are gathering maximum attention to the war in ukraine and any focus, any distraction maneuver is not only in the hands of the russians, and from the second moment, we understand that the war between palestine is already under the palestinian administration, or when israel is swimming , it has been going on for 75 years and very much everything from the sharp side is trying to denigrate the palestinians somehow because they are a people. now, in addition to this, if we analyze it, we will find that in the entire history of the palestinian revolution, it has never been terrorized that the palestinians fought in those ranks as mercenaries it's just a contradiction and the dialogues of all policemen, one more moment at the beginning of the war, i didn't throw them into those that i didn't joke about you , but they started recruiting eh against ukraine, and that's how the group was already destroyed

. it turned out that the wagnerians fought in libya and learned a few words in arabic, and this is another time how beautifully they ask us to quarrel with those peoples who, on the contrary, support us and like to treat us with respect. i would like to talk about israel and the palestinians i would like to talk about the arab muslim world in general, how realistically and adequately does it perceive what is currently happening in ukraine's relations with russia, how does it really perceive this war, it is clear that arab and muslim education have delicate relations, let's say with israel, and they perceive the united states as israel's main ally and since the usa is the main ally of ukraine in this war , somehow it also applies to ukraine. this attitude towards israel and the usa also translates

into regret among the arab muslim world exists, how can ukraine break this situation now and tell the arab muslim world that in fact, this is actually a struggle of light with darkness, good with evil, and you cannot support the a priori aggressor who came as an occupier to ukrainian land, kills customs officers , rapes women as tell us about this truth in ukraine. please tell us a very important question, and we are dealing with it for another eleven years, and of course, when all my publications in arabic simply welded a parallel, something like the arab world was a victim of the occupation, different from the past, because ukraine is now the same under the occupation, clean and fighting for its dependencies, the point is a very important topic and try to be as succinct as possible at the beginning of the war russian cars of ukraine , of course, the arab world tried to keep the subway flying, but after the war the beginnings will also affect the economy of the arab world, as they raised the question of trade, as it is true, in the arab world, since then, there has already been

a greater understanding that russia is nobody's business имеать е-е do not want to go outside the polar world, especially after the crime , be irpen and so on and so on. the arab world started me really, really, and it will be reflected in reality. arabs in ukraine, prince feisal, who was the other day, and this is already the first visit, er, arab resources, the arab state, this is exactly what has been poured into kiev since the day of the invasion, and the words of the saudi minister when he says that the issue of dol must be solved peacefully in the same way, but he is only on the basis of international law, from the considered territorial, it is ukraine, it clearly gives understanding of judicial arabia in diplomatic language that in arabic, it does not accept the formula of russia, which wanted to impose on the world, like, here

i am, and now ukraine has 4 regions and cares, this is already the arab world, a clear star its concept , and saudi arabia occupies the position of the league , it is a leader in the arab world, which means in arabic peace is the general opinion, and some countries have already begun to be our allies, such as morocco , which is a truce for us, and saudi arabia k he has already transferred 300 million dollars to us, together with the products, this is already changing now, why did this happen? that part of the arab audience, uh, well, let’s say that they submitted or supported putin’s words as if to me , because russia invested more than 250 million dollars in the poisoning of the arab air. russian today, arabic hurts more than 12 years , budgets $200 million. and it has already captured quite a bit

of the arab audience , that is, russia was preparing for this information war. i would not shout and say that we need to choose resources so that there are real analytical centers that deal with ukraine's relationship with the middle east and the arab muslim world . so far , there is no such thing. america, the cretan moment , in the arab world, at the beginning of the russian war , we relied on our allies to make us successful, it is wrong, for example, when biden asked to dictate the koro himself, let's see what will happen in scaravi eight presses wheat with asphalt это не понравилось когда украиначал праймую общащаться already kiev kiev qatar kir e-e bahrain kiev e cairo already in this way we in ukraine

will begin to distance ourselves from some sins in the ducks that ukraine, the arab world, and the west have begun to form their foreign policy regardless of this, this country is related to the west or the east, and this is only the beginning . eh labirovat interest of ukraine is among not only the audience among the people who make even more decisions by the way there is a big difference in the arab world between them and lithium and the opinion of the audience example egypt can be millions of

egyptians shouting then in cairo he perfectly understands what is happening for ukraine and this is exactly how it will be reflected in the vote at the un or pancake how it changed eh voted at the beginning of the invasion and at the end the whole arab world voted for the resolution in our favor well in front of him with the number of bees secretary general of the arab council in ukraine thank you, mahamed and thank you indeed. well, we need to develop public diplomacy , classical assistance, information diplomacy , spread ukrainian narratives to the muslim arab world, absolutely supports the last words of our guest, yes , thank you. this is an important work to establish these direct connections. let's move on. also about establishing ties about one of the key reforms of decentralization, we will talk with anatoly tkachuk a little later, and for now about what is happening with vasyl furman's dollar we will ask the doctor of economic sciences mr. vasyl. we congratulate you. good day. everything is happening there because of the hype. uah 38.5 per green

is the official information. the dollar has fallen sharply on the cash market. what is happening and what is in the money changers? is it possible to buy it in money changers because we are from in olevsk, we haven't been there for a long time, in fact, we don't have anything to buy without problems at the exchangers or to hand over at the exchangers, that is , there have been no problems at all during the last months, and honestly, i don't remember what the situation is today, i can say what i saw yesterday in the exchangers yesterday you could hand over dollars to money changers somewhere at the exchange rate of 38.8 and buy them at the exchange rate somewhere at 38.9. well, plus or minus, up to what limits could this be done yesterday? what we see is that the hryvnia has been strengthening for several weeks. well, there are a number of facts here. it is not even possible to single out any one factor. what are the factors? the first is a seasonal factor. i would say so, that is, the hryvnia

always feels better in the spring. well, in particular, for example , farmers sell e-e dollars in order to carry out successful sowing and so on. other factors are seasonal. the second is factor that i would today, i would like to highlight ukraine's cooperation with the international monetary fund, and we know that, by the way, on the 8th , the imf mission begins, cooperation with our government on the development of a new program, well, there are different estimates, but there are several weeks. planned, probably as it sounded about the fact that it will be there at the beginning of next month, ukraine , well, this is again an optimistic forecast, according to my estimates, it can receive a new program of cooperation with the international monetary fund, and you can also get here from this positive information there about the war, that is, well, we all understand and very much want the war

to end successfully for our country this year. the third factor i would attribute to myself the actions of the national bank of ukraine and here er there are a lot of actions carried out by the national bank during more than a year of war. by the way, i only evaluate the actions during the war because the policy that was in place before the war was also successful, but it was a completely different policy, and so we know that today the national bank is alone for the first time and the wars of exchange rate changes for non-cash transactions are taking place which operation they are much larger and today we have a fixed exchange rate at the level of 36.6 well, there is a cash exchange rate at which you initially spoke, is it partly when this policy is correct and it will play an important role for some time. on the foreign exchange market, the second, second direction is the national bank has introduced several deposit programs for the population of ukraine, and today the population has the opportunity, for example, to buy a dollar , a cashless dollar, by putting it on deposit in the bank at the exchange rate, which seems to be 37.5

plus or minus, that is, it is much better than it was to buy dollars there for 40 or a little more or a little more or a little with us exactly this exercise it works and today we can see by the numbers how much these programs for the population are growing. also, it must be said that the business of the national bank of ukraine is also growing according to this indicator, too. they are watching and we don't have them at a high enough level. and they are bigger than they were at the beginning of the war. well, for example, at 1.02. i remember there about 30 billion e.e. at 1.03 . that is, there is a figure. will not significantly differ from those figures we have and also an important factor in this in the block is that the transmission mechanism has worked, in simple words, you remember , we have been talking about this for years and we say that when the national bank increases rates, the sub-rate is its own rate, that is

, other rates should also increase, there are interest rates on general interest rates or interest rates in bank deposits so that citizens of ukraine and businesses there have the option of an alternative to investing, not just simply buying dollars in order to save in order to, for example, buy another udp there today, the rate of need for to the primary market of bonds within the states and 20% almost, well, and on the secondary novelty, the rate of return is even higher . by the way, this is tax-free, that is, today a lot of business people invest directly in odp, that is , they think that about what is there, a can still buy a dollar, well, or i was talking about the deposit right of the banks, yes. yes, interest rates are also rising to the bottom with the fact that having a very huge surplus banking system. but there are some disadvantages. the national bank is taking a number of measures in order for commercial banks after all, the funds that are available to the banking system, that they became deposits, that is, it

stimulates administrative matters and the process has already begun that last year, the next factor that i would bring here is that the interactive and devaluation expectations of our population have improved, that is, the national bank has done by the way the inflation forecast for this year of the plan will be a little more than 18%, next year it will be a little more than 10%, in the 25th year it will be a little more than 6%, that is, we have a positive trend, again this the forecast is made in conditions of a high level of uncertainty, but at the same time it is positive and people trust the level . by the way, we also see the same balances of funds in the banking system, that is, people do not take funds, people keep them. and by the way, the balance if compare, for example , 24.02.22, and as of a year later , the balance of individuals' funds in the banking system increased by more than 40%. yes , it is clear that these funds are preferable, more

questions are why the national bank is taking measures, but on the other hand, people once again trust the banking to the system well, it is also important. an equally important factor is significant international financial aid, which enables us today to reliably maintain the financial defense of our state. for us, defense and finance are the only things we received. i would also compare them to the weapons we received. these funds. look, if you imagine our budget as 100% as a whole, then 50% is spent on the army, on the military-industrial complex, on the salary of the military there, for example, and the other 50% is international financial aid, which finances other sectors of our state, including the remote sector, and made pensions there for budget workers in our e. well, it is clear that the reimbursements, that is, the programs that we have today, that is, they are also needed for that, and look at this, it is all such a puzzle. i would say that

it is difficult to even single out which is the most important, which is the key, all this is going on, it will have a positive effect for a long time, the hryvnia will hold like this, what are your forecasts? well, again, these are forecasts , don't you remember? we were there more than once before the war, during the war. simple but er me i would say that thanks to the effective work of the higher political leadership of the state, that is, if we are talking, for example, about the financing of the budget deficit this year, that is, 108 billion. which should also be said simply that this year the planned national bank will not finance the budget, not expenditures. that is, it is also a huge plus that affects the hryvnia, that is, because any friend of money is devaluation, inflation, and so on that is why we should not do this according to plan this year, that is why i think that there is such cautious optimism about the situation both at the front and

on the currency market, we support talking about it vasyl furman thank you doctor of economic sciences with us anatoliy tkachuk , a consultant of the council of europe is already joining director of science and development of a public organization institute of civil society mr. anatoly we congratulate you good day anatoliy well, the important question of decentralization in the conditions of war is whether to continue the reform all difficult for countries times well, there are two studies that were supported by the council of europe and conducted by the kyiv international institute of sociology. positions on which i would pay attention, the first position is the main one. probably, ukrainians are a united nation because, er, idps

who were suddenly forced to leave their territory and go to other communities very positively evaluate how they were received there, i.e. the assessment of the vpu as they were accepted is even better than the assessment of the residents of these communities as they accepted the vpu. that is, i am most pleased with the second position that our people evaluated decentralization and more than 50% are convinced that the decentralization made it possible to better resist the enemy at the stage of a full-scale invasion, this is also very cool, also more than half of the people are convinced that the territorial communities that were formed as a result of decentralization turned out to be more capable of providing people with

different needs of people in the conditions of such a catastrophic situation that occurred in connection with the invasion. well, of course, there are several such serious signals that you need to pay attention to, in particular, the signal about where the people who left will stay. because our research shows that approximately 2.7 million people who today settled in in other communities, not in the ones where they lived before the escape from the war is not going to happen yet. that is, it is very serious and it is a serious challenge for the communities from which people left, and almost all of us have lost, it seems, 6 million, if i am not mistaken 2.7 don't want to return, that's 2.7

of those who will be in ukraine. it seems like we have six in ukraine or not. am i wrong? well, we have four and seven officially registered idps. and what is difficult to say abroad is that those who are here are not those who are. have left, so more than half of them are not going to return until now, so far the situation is like this, and we have such a very serious dilemma here, because on the one hand , the territorial communities that are located near the front or near the russian -ukrainian border, where they are constantly shooting , they are interested, interested in so that people have returned to them, those communities in which koncha settlers settled are interested in the settlers staying there, because the additional resource and choice

is actually up to the settlers. war, and on the other hand, to enable people to live in peace and safety where they are now anatoly what is the conclusion anyway and is there one now in the reform was not completed and it is not only management, it is also the administrative-territorial division increased the districts, they became three times smaller, but these now is the time to talk about continuing this reform, because everything is changing very quickly in our country, some settlements in general are now without a single person and are simply crushed. should we still wait ? win and then think based on that reality. and how to reform further, i want to say that essentially the reform skeleton is fully formed, we have formed a new administrative and territorial system

, territorial communities, new districts, new the regions are old and do not need to be touched because they meet all the requirements defined in the european union and i am very worried that our politicians, who, perhaps, do not fully understand what decentralization is , do not start talking about what you say that a lot e-e settlements have lost people in general, that's why let's expand the communities, we'll make them even bigger. and where can we make them even bigger along ukraine 's russian border, that is, to deprive huge territories of any power, it's wrong that is why today i would like to talk about something else, it is for us to adopt special development programs, first of all, development programs for the border

areas and the areas that have suffered greatly from the war. everyone will not return at once, and there will be no economy there to provide people with work and a normal existence, but you cannot create huge territorial communities with sparse population there, because it is us we will lose these territories forever, large territories and we are saying what to do with the district administrations, you say there are regions, there are districts , but we remember that they were formed according to the party or principle of our region, which are now yes, you say, now they are responsible, ok, and the district i

i look at what they are doing in the area of ​​the administration, first of all, they are already going to the communities with an outstretched hand, and secondly, what is their function now, what is their usefulness, do we need to hang locks there and that's all . well, let's go. right now, we are in a time of war, in a time of war, e- e systems are automatic systems do not always work and that is why during the war mainly such fast manual control systems work, that is why military administrations were created, the district level for today, which is formed, it is correct from the point of view of the size of these districts, because at the district level there remains an insignificant part of the powers and the key authority after the war there will be the authority to supervise the legality of its local self-government bodies in the area of ​​the administration do not go with an outstretched hand to the territorial communities because they are financed from the state budget and not from territorial communities, perhaps we are talking about