[000:00:00;00] on history and we are talking about the fact that the crime against peace, as it was characterized as crimes of aggression, was first recognized as such that he should be prosecuted, and it was precisely in the materials of the nuremberg tribunal and the tokyo tribunal that nazi criminals were prosecuted for these crimes well, in fact, according to the same scenario, the attraction of new nazi criminals, which we are, should take place. this is the newly formed russian federation in its current form. thank you for your comments, we will hope, at least we know for sure that the international center for the investigation of crimes of the russian federation will do its work . it should be operational in the summer. well, then, regarding the prosecution of putin

directly, of course, this should be worked with us. pavlichenko is the executive director of the ukrainian helsinki union for human rights. in fact, human rights in ukraine have been violated and are being violated, and they will continue to be violated as long as the war continues. and here you know if well, in fact, what should happen is the trial of russia, of putin, this is what should have happened, that in fact, in 45, they just treat things like this today, 70 years ago, as along stalin, that’s why today is such a significant date, everyone is waiting for this day, somehow repeat it , grandfather and zdohny and putin. well, we don’t have such information yet, but in any case, if we talk about the 45th year and the nuremberg trials , of course there should have been one of the stalins, and this was such a unique, unique episode in history. when the one who started an aggressive war war, he was among the winners of this war and judged the one whom he prepared for this war, because it is not a big secret that, let's say , stalin, the soviet union actively participated

in militarizing nazi germany and preparing it for war, well, this must be completed. obviously, in our time and it is finally finished because unpunished evil returns ilya naiskolovsky economist head of the analytical direction in the network ans mr. ilya i congratulate you good afternoon let's talk about money that we are entering, so to speak, in the spring-summer period, but first of all, i would like you to comment on the phrase that is already being commented on by all those who, even on experts, that putin has money left until the summer. and general budanov , the head of intelligence of the main intelligence department , said that putin has money for the war in resources. let's put it this way: resources to the end of the war, somewhere to the middle or until the end of spring, well, actually, until the summer, uh, should we hope for that? is this just some kind of information that may or may not be true, because we do not fully know what resources russia possesses, which gives reasons talk to the experts and general budanov about the fact that putin has money until the summer, please. well, he rather focuses directly on

what decisions were made during january, when it turned out that they had a significant shortfall in the budget of russia, as a result, they were forced to sell e-e currency from the fund national well-being and thus compensate for the lack of money that exists, but still i have to , let's say so, i think that this is a very optimistic forecast er why because understanding how the financial system functions first there is still an opportunity, and this is basically robbing one's own business, this is an increase in taxes, and the result for january is not, let's say, representative, why . because there were changes to the rules on vat refunds, there were changes to taxes, they were increased, so these taxes will begin to flow into in a larger amount already in february for the month of january, and in january they paid for the month of december according to the old rules, a certain other

accumulation of funds is carried out accordingly as a result despite the fact that the indicators of budget implementation are very favorable for us, and well for january, after all, in february, most likely, they will not be as much. moreover, they published information on the statistics of oil production , they increased compared to the previous month. therefore, my forecast is until the end this year, that is, if it is not summer, then until the end of the year , there is even more of a possibility. can find here it is very important to limit not only this factor a and it also did not supply certain components for the production of weapons. because there are more restrictions here because the production capacity does not allow to compensate for the weapons that will now destroy our army, by the way, i just read it on

the same site i don't remember on which one about the fact that there are persons in switzerland who are employees of the banking sector who are suspected of helping russia to carry out financial transactions in the wake of lack of income . there are persons everywhere who helped russia to obtain assembling through third countries necessary for the production of high-precision weapons, first of all well, but this can be fought, you know, such a moment of humor, you said that if putin really wants to fight, then everyone will be forced to tighten their belts and, er, give money for war is like a fog anecdotes about the fact that the price of vodka has become more expensive and the son asks his father, will the father now drink less, no, he says , you will now eat less, well, the same thing is happening with the russian federation . let's talk about our economy, too. it is important for us, it is more important even than the economy of russia, uh, the dollar is falling. and you know, people who first bought dollars, then dollars were sold cheaper somewhere, then it was expensive , in general, nothing was obviously done about it, and now there is a dilemma, what to do next, it is clear that the purchasing power of citizens has decreased significantly in ukraine well, but the number of people

willing to carry out certain transactions with foreign currency has not decreased, so what forecasts do you give regarding the price of the american currency and the currency of the united states of america and what are the reasons for that it began to lose sharply in value, please well, as always, one can single out the fundamental factor and the fundamental factor of the situation in the foreign exchange market is that ukraine receives quite a lot of foreign aid, we if last year we compensated a significant part of our budget deficit at the expense of the actual issue of the national bank and as a result, it had such a negative impact on inflation and the situation with the dollar that now we are compensating accordingly for our budget deficit at the expense of or international assistance, it is quite significant for us on the one hand, and on the other hand, the ministry of finance is also quite active in attracting funds through military bonds, in other words, it is no longer the mission of the funds, it receives funds from the economy

, accordingly, banks are buying, people are buying, this is of course a positive trend, this is a fundamental factor that in a lot of foreign currency enters ukraine and , accordingly, it creates its own supply, there are already its own factors, let's say so fundamental, which is more temporary, they pushed the dollar very strongly to the point that it weakened in in relation to the national currency, but now it will stop a little bit, i.e. at the level of 38 fives 39.5, in principle, i think it will last for several weeks, but it is actually such an instinctive stable position why because , again, then there will be a strengthening of the national currency and we have it plays sowing because, accordingly, money is also needed in order to carry out sowing, we see that it has already died down, accordingly it is necessary to purchase everything that is needed well, there is fuel , seeds, and so on, repair of machinery , including further, then in the population as you said

it is absolutely correct that savings have been reduced. and many who sell dollars have already reached the point where they are selling dollars in order to provide themselves with current expenses. this is a matter of the policy of the national bank, which keeps the interest rate quite high despite the fact that inflation has decreased. but at the same time , it increases the reserve ratio. in order to implement the reservation norms accordingly , they actually lead to the fact that instead of going, for example, to the foreign exchange market, one goes directly to e in order to reserve this currency well, of course, the position of the economy as a whole is improving a little, but we still have a significant negative trade balance, and we are actually compensating for our negative trade balance at the expense of it services, which continue to grow and due to the fact that currency is coming in, so at the moment this sharp decline was still more temporary and will continue to be at this level. and closer to the summer there will be a strengthening again because the supply of currency is too much. by the way

, in order for us to receive more currency precisely from the export of our goods. and turkey is working on extending the grain agreement, protested the minister of foreign affairs of turkey çavuşoğlu well, i also now remember which country exactly, but i can say for sure that our western partners are working on improving the conditions for ukrainian export of not only grain by sea, but also the export of other e-e goods and possibly services that can replenish our gold-rich stock and of course e-e business revive business life in ukraine now let's talk a little about e-consumer market i read i also want to go to the stores, but i don't always know what the prices are for what they have. well, in any case, at least for the range of goods that are not there , they do not cost uah 500 or more. but onions, in general, are currently at a record price in history . ukraine, if you compare it, the indicator is so certain. we understand very well that this year's harvest , what it will be there, when it will be, it is not known how

the products from abroad will arrive to us, it is also unknown, and it is also important to understand what people should prepare for. because you know, you always accumulate money on food which you did not have there were no tariffs, the compartment did not cost clothes or other things for food, you always have to have money, because this is life, you have to eat to live, what are the expectations here and what do the prices on the consumer market depend on, well , at least the next quarter, if we say so, we will not look as far as eight well, let's say spring and summer , please, well, it's not surprising, but the price of onions was affected by the unfavorable weather in pakistan, as a result of which frosts led to a bad harvest, the supply of onions to the world market began to fall, and the demand remains stable because onions are consumed in all countries, they are added to many a-a dishes, and as a result, accordingly, this led to the fact that the price of onions began to rise, and with the rise in prices on world

markets, accordingly, the price of sable rose in our country. onions are, accordingly, much more expensive than they were six months ago, and accordingly, in ukraine, they began to increase based on these trends, and in general, inflation in our country is usually always so that we are always from march to april, may in we are experiencing a slight acceleration of inflation, why is this happening, it is due to the fact that i believe that there is no, and accordingly the old one is striking, the cost of its storage is increasing, as a result , the price is increasing, therefore the acceleration will be, but in principle , insignificant for individual types of products . well, let's say that the potential is certain there are more threats to growth, in particular, for example, the dairy industry, it has received very not so negative trends and there may be more accelerated inflation. at the same time, the price of meat in our country

has more or less stabilized and this is accordingly favorable for us, we have established supplies of virtually all products, it will further depend on how it will develop, including the situation at the front, therefore, the general forecast for 2023, which was made by my minister of economy and the ministry of finance, is clearly a forecast we will not have any inflated 28%, most likely inflation will be double-digit, but it will not exceed 15 and 16 and 17%, relatively speaking, that is, in other words , it is much lower than predicted and there is an objective reason for this, of course, even time may be influenced by the decision to raise the price of electricity or other communal services announced by our president 's office. but at the same time, this is usually the policy for today. taking into account the fact that we have 30% of the unemployed, our real wages have decreased, we have a serious the problem of many of the population is the delay of social assistance. i consider such a step to be absolutely unfavorable and may lead to the fact that

some people who, for example, were still there thinking or making decisions about where to be now i have to women in ukraine should consider whether to go abroad. perhaps they will make such a decision, understanding that , for example, a utility company without the help of the state, and how it will grow, they simply will not pull it, so inflation will be 15% during the year. it will slightly accelerate for three months, then in the summer, depending on the situation at the front, and when will it be stable? well, then we will look at the harvest , how will the harvest be, and the price of our products will be like this. we don't have much time, but i will still ask. in view of the fact that soledar, let's say now under the control of the enemy in bakhmut , fierce battles are being waged, of course , we are not talking about any business of salt extraction.

i won't say for sure now. well, in any case , it hasn't worked here for 20 years . drohobych, it hasn't worked for 20 years. will be seen by people in other regions, because we understand that many regions sold and mined everything because certain oligarchs were very good at it, and somewhere it could be preserved and spit it out, basically no one needed it, now it somehow works and it can p- p- revive the economy, please, no, it cannot save the economy much , because you can only transfer your company locally. that is, these are large machines there , for which a railway connection is necessary, there are certain restrictions on such transportation as well according to your individual visible production capacities, there are also corresponding risks regarding the fact that, relatively speaking, to what extent it will be provided in our country according to the statistics of the amino economy of 800 enterprises, although they do not give statistics about whether it is large or small enterprises and certain opportunities arise, but opportunities do not arise let's just say that with the fact that you moved to a new

region, that's how much you now have the opportunity to focus on europe, that is, the lifting of restrictions that the europeans had in relation to ukrainian products. removed from customs, accordingly, restrictions are removed if your products meet european standards, you have the opportunity to enter the european market, this is the opportunity that ukrainian businesses that are moving to the west or the central region of ukraine have now thank you very much for your comments professionals thank you for finding time for us ilya nayskorivskyi economist, head of the analytical direction in the anse network , bye, thank you, and we will conclude our two-hour ether with a conversation with vitaly ohienko, candidate of historical sciences, the main specialist of the department of analysis of totalitarian regimes of the ukrainian institute of national remembrance, mr. vitaly, i congratulate you. good day. today is the anniversary of stalin's death 70 years ago, and i think that everyone has seen this film by yevhen

yevtushenko, a russian poet who has also passed away. by the way, we saw a comedy. this hollywood one also resembled stalin, but in any case, i want to ask. then he died in 56. the 10th party congress was held . the cult of personality was exposed. the thaw and many, many other things. and now now again for some reason, russians love stalin, what is happening to stalin, as a person, to a greater extent, as a well, probably as an ideology, as a symbol , what does he symbolize, why has love for yosyp visarionovich awakened in russia, please? was, but still beginning. well, in the soviet era and the late soviet era and in the modern empire in modern russia, that is , there is nothing strange from this point of view.

they say khrushchev when er, well, who actually organized the er-er love affair there to a large extent. when beria was then destroyed, but he was very afraid, in my opinion, it was through him that it was said that stalin should not be buried in the kremlin wall, but the execution should be filled with concrete. well, i don't know what thoughts did he have there, was he supposed to resurrect the old man there, or in other words, was it very important to somehow isolate him, well, even we see this spirit of stalin , he is alive in the russian federation, this is the spirit of genocide, totalitarian purges, the killing of citizens, absolutely totalitarianism and power one person concentrated in one hand now, by the way, recently putin called on the federal security service to carry out purges in the country because a lot of people understood the opinion of putin and the most ambitious nationalists and various prophetic elements with whom it is necessary to work, then he follows in the footsteps of stalin and he came in the footsteps of stalin to the genocide of ukrainians in fact. please tell me, please, how much this path of putin resembles the path taken by stalin

, and again . hatred for any peoples who just want to live freely and do not want to obey this law of their zone , please, you know, it seems to me that what the ukrainians saw in buch and mariupol is like that, because i am still quite unmodern, yes, this is a very, very old evil that russia has always had a place, so i’m trying to approach this question from a scientific point of view. well, in the 300 years of russia’s existence , starting with the russian empire, i didn’t count such 18 genocytes, similar to what we have business eh now yes that is with from this point of view, there is nothing strange or so extraordinary in what russia is doing and trying to commit a genocide of ukrainians

. in principle, it cannot be said that there have always been such people in russian relations . it is true. but such grains always existed and russia occasionally resorted to such genocidal actions when certain factors were added, but in order to find out what these factors are specifically, one must first answer the question of what russia wants from other peoples yes, which in the first place, it wants to control and rule over them, and then when it is in the process of obtaining it by military means or, well , let's say by some forceful means, by political means of control over these territories which

it wants on which it wants to dominate and she can't do it, that is, the side they identified as the victim resists and the confrontation reaches a very tough confrontation, that's the extreme way to solve the problem and establish control over this territory, so they use genocide and that that now in ukraine this is not an isolated case, the last one was a genocide during the chechen wars, by the way , they can say that they suffered from the russians, well, probably three times, that is, the russians arranged the ukrainians andriy, this holodomor can be considered the baturian famine of 1708, when 15 thousand ukrainians was completely destroyed in baturin. well, this current genocide is the third one. by the way, once again , you can see why it was important in ukraine

to teach the history of last time we had a film about mazepa directed by the late director er illenko as well. well, there were several such films, but they didn't make much noise. let's just say that somewhere there were something about khmelnytska, but there were no films that would show, let's say, how they were shot in the bullpen of ukrainian e- e of the cultural elite of the creative elite, how did they enter somewhere behind the walls of the october palace , how did they save pluzhnyk, how did they shoot kulish, well , mykola kulish, let’s say, and many other ukrainians, and many other ukrainians, e. knew who the russians were, the big tragedy here is that, let's say well, i clearly understood who the russians were, many of my friends and colleagues also understood, let's say, when the russians were moving to kyiv. it was clear to me that the family should be brought to the west, there's no question if they come there will be deaths in kyiv well, there may be something there but in principle there will be deaths because it has always been like this it was a clear understanding that many people did not have this understanding and that is why we see that the authorities did not

evacuate and many people remained thinks something will not change, but in fact it was a terrible mass shooting of people who were just walking down the street, just riding a bicycle without asking who are you? well, this is russia, and we didn't know this russia here. the question is , how will this war change something in genakh ukrainians for or it will be refreshing to update eugenakh ukrainians and this understanding of what russia is, or again, here the important work of the cultural community, the television community, the film community, and the political community is also to once and for all vividly show the thoughts hands, not forever, for many years to show ukrainians that russia is genocide, death, destruction without any goal, without any ideology, simply because they are like that, where have they not worked out how to work further , please, you are absolutely right, this is a huge problem that we are in in ukraine, we don't really know what russia is like, they didn't know it in the past and probably still do. to be honest, i don't see, so to speak, any big moves. in this regard

, we need to study russia in ukraine. write a book about russia because we have to live in russia and next door, and therefore we have to better understand what kind of country they live in, what is their ideology, what do they want, for this we really need to invest a lot of money, we need state programs and for this, everyone should work for a joint scientific community and cultural community to connect and intellectuals , of course, some such process has already started, but it seems to me that it is not very systematic, perhaps after all the state should take the initiative and start working more systematically in in this direction, it is possible to create some scientific institutions, such as, for example, the institute for the study of russia or some such similar institutions that purposefully studied weddings to find out what

is happening there, for example, russia is an empire consisting of many nationalities and peoples, which we in ukraine know, for example what do these people live for, what do they want , what kind of centrifugal movements do they have, what is happening in russia , for example, how do they celebrate their genocides , do we know a lot about the genocides on the nut or the pro-genocides of the kyrgyz, and there and that and we need to know how to research it. yes, because when we know about it, we will be able to respond better and, in particular, influence it on the russian e-e audience, on representatives of these national minorities who remember their genocides in russia, you know, just like, say , cut kazan in the 16th century under ivan the terrible, it is the same as the nations of the extreme north were destroyed, because there was actually a great war between russia, well, between the moscow kingdom

. they did not become part of the russian empire just like that, they were, they lost in the great war and were also destroyed, well, you know, in ukraine, a film was released not long before the 1918 war about the battle of kruty, but it would be very good if they managed to make a film about what happened after a while there, literally less than a month after the battle of kruty, when in three days, why? are terrible crimes if they had shown a film about kyiv during this month under the rule of muravyov, then obviously more would be known about the thousands of killed tortured russian officers ukrainian officers ukrainian politicians non-creative figures ordinary citizens civilian businessmen and then it would not have happened and we will return now but i believe what will happen, although you already know the new story, it is bloodier and it is right before our eyes, and it is also necessary to make a film about it and explain to people why it happened, and a little more will be enough, he will return

he died. well, how did they kill him? history is silent, but there is no reason. why was he killed in 1953? the question arises , can such a fate, the same fate, befall putin , that he himself will not die in the near future, i am honest i don't doubt it, but the fact that he can become a victim of a coup, this can happen, but on the other hand, there were people around stalin who came to war, let's say khrushchev, people who knew the price of blood and were, well, by and large , still fearless compared to those i am now gathering around understood people who could repeat this charm. as they say, they can repeat it, or they can repeat the conditional khrushchev molotov and many others , please. well, you know , it is known in russia. so now their propagandists and many public people are saying that for russia it is the war is very important that russia can disintegrate in the west . for example, there are many such critical points that russia really cannot disintegrate because

, after all, it is a big country, a powerful country, and even when the u.s. troops will drive them out of ukraine with a tourniquet. well, russia will remain anyway, but i still lean towards the first opinion, and for one simple reason, i already said that the russians, according to their history, organized, according to our calculations, 18 genocides in the last 300 years and 17 of them were successful, that is, in the xvii and in 18 cases, the russians achieved their goal, they exterminated their opponents, e-e , expelled them, deported them, killed them, and only in one case did they succeed in anything, and this is the current case, this is the case

of the current war and none of the current genocide never in russian history has there been such a thing that the russians started their genocide and could not complete it, and now they do not know what to do because it will happen in a year or two , no one will tell you how the events will unfold , because never in the history of the russian empire or the soviet there were no such cases in the union , that is, there may be quite a few. it seems to me that in russia the consequences will be catastrophic for the russians and for the integrity of the russian state. the community does everything for this. because the russians always really have a little bit of that in them. they don't understand that they have one thing, but in reality it's a little different. they say that no one has won in russia, well , if we don't talk about the japanese war , the crimean war is in another war, but globally, no one ran away from us, they can understand that times have changed and maybe now they are on the threshold of that era when russia will begin to disintegrate, because this

has never happened. well, the roman empire also never had a time when they disintegrated and many others did not in the persian empire either. until it disintegrated, it always happens sooner or later. i say the question is to understand, well, oleksiy danilov, the secretary of the national security and defense council said that the processes have been launched in russia , russia will not be able to stop this , we will not work for it, but the most important thing for us is to win this war and support russia's free breasts. if there are such , if they want freedom, vitaly ogienko , candidate of historical sciences, chief specialist of the department of analysis of totalitarian regimes of the ukrainian institute of national memory, was with us, by the way, this happened in russia the referendum has already been completed, it was an online referendum, we all want it, we could participate in this referendum, the question arose as to whether they can, do the representatives of certain nations that are part of the non-russian federation want to, and it was primarily about ingriva, that is, st. petersburg and the leningrad region

here is this uh, there is karelia, in my opinion, kaliningrad , konigsberg , the urals, and a number of other regions, the kuban, in my opinion. do they want to live separately? them somewhere around half of them wanted to separate from russia a little more, this is already a signal for putin and for the kremlin because , again, i will say that there was no one like that before, i said the late chornomerdin, the russian ambassador to ukraine for a long time and there was never anything like that, and here again, well this is about the same as what is happening with russia. thank you for being with me. i will meet with you at 19:15. i am now in front of yuvi melnyk. it is time for news, not his. please, thank you. here, the news is ready to tell about. information from of the general staff, fierce battles continue