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tv   [untitled]    March 6, 2023 5:30am-6:01am EET

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[000:00:00;00] the product that is needed and it is already subject to payment directly to the e-e enterprise and a compensation algorithm is provided for independently purchased certain items, but this mechanism is currently quite limited in amount, i.e. there is no sense in such an algorithm to work there with a stick, a cane , or a mobile phone, or something else a person buys something on his own and is compensated . now we are working on an algorithm to extend such a compensation mechanism to other rehabilitation aids, but here we must understand the capabilities of the person himself to initially pay for such a tool, if there is 300,500,000 uah, a person can pay for a certain tool with further compensation, then if we are talking about 250 or 400,000, it is clear that a person will hardly collect them and
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pay for them on his own. thank you, and for this conversation , i want you invite next time to talk because i have another topic - this is social services and also the reform of the employment system for people with disabilities well , today i say thank you and thank you for coming and talking in detail about prosthetics thank you for the invitation is the time of each of us, protect your spirit, the strength of your spirit is like a light, it is the light of the whole world. i pray that it will be bright enough to lead you through this darkness .
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believe how terrible the situation in ukraine is. i want to say that i am with the ukrainian people. i am with the ukrainians . i give my heart to ukraine. we must help as much as possible. i am very proud of the ukrainian people. this war will be finished . it must be won. they will win. sometimes they told me that every day is a difficult day because it is a capture. when they were given a hard time, they started to hate us and we even realized that the more they start beating us there, the better things are with our soldiers the day before, which means they win . heroes are not born. voice. who are you? i thought it was cooking. and he was in pixel for
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today and it was such happiness, he said glory to ukraine, i wanted to cry and often we ukrainians we ukrainians will definitely win now we can watch how it will look like we have to finish the matter of generations our parents and we will do it heroes from monday to friday 23:00 in marathon the only news russia was very strongly integrated into the world economy they objectively prepared for war not only militarily by accumulating weapons and military contingents but also economically ms. yulia i congratulate you on to the first channel of public broadcasting, thank you very much for all the time
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. congratulations. the european commission has already presented what the new 10th package of sanctions will look like, its approval, final approval, we expect literally from day to day, to summarize that it should affect russia's access to certain technologies, which in particular it uses for waging war, and we can also mention that they plan to sanction both a part of russian propagandists and a part of russian officials. what do you think of this new package of sanctions, and it is undoubtedly important. eu, they serve our evidence and in general the fact that our intelligence, our military finds certain components in russian weapons that are of western production, and it is actually very important
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that we now cut as much as possible any ways for russia, namely in the import of similar things so that they cannot continue the production of such weapons. and in fact , it can be expected that in the next all the packages they will concentrate very strongly on improving the legislation and strengthening precisely with regard to the impossibility of circumventing sanctions , because i want to remind you that it is russia is one of the most sanctioned countries, and it is the absolute leader. and because of the fact that there is an unprecedented number of very different restrictions , from financial to commercial or individual, it is quite difficult for all of them monitor and follow up so that they are really carried out in a high-quality manner so that they cannot circumvent them. we should not be upset or surprised that now the focus is precisely on stopping the circumvention of sanctions, on the other hand, ukraine is promoting a number of siya, especially with regard to
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nuclear energy, with regard to diamonds are quite debatable within the eu, and therefore we have not seen any new large sanctions, which we have not yet seen in the 10th package. who still think it is normal to cooperate with russia and help them . we will analyze this answer of yours. so gradually in the course of the issue of bypassing the sanctions, the issue of russia's access to western technologies. ukraine, because as you rightly noted, for example, the ukrainian leadership called for the introduction of sanctions against the russian nuclear power industry, against , for example, the rosatom corporation, but we see that
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in the chest package of sanctions there is no such there is this interaction, communication, so that hmmm, do they listen to those weak cities that ukraine is paying attention to, do they listen , this is true, this process has changed a lot compared to what we saw there after february 24, because it was quite surprising that the first sanction packages were so large, they really were accepted without the full involvement of ukraine in their development, that is, yes. at the top level , between the presidents and the ambassadors, there was certain information about the essence of these e-e packages and what exactly will be included there, but that’s exactly what it is the fastest possible exchange of ideas and proposals has not been possible for some time. it was in april or at the end of march that the international sanctions group of the mcfall fair was created, which began to generate very strong content-analytical proposals.
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to heavy sanctions, such as, for example, energy. actually, one of the proposals of the group was that the countries of the sanctions coalition should begin to create and appoint individual sanctions coordinators whose work is directly there is the creation and promotion of sanctions a-a and actually somewhere in june they actively began to attract such people, there is a procedure by which ukraine can initiate a meeting or our partners initiate meetings and actually we as analysts give additional arguments and facts why exactly these sanctions are important in fact, how do we internally say that we are making shells for our diplomacy on the sanctions front so that their positions are strong and that everything is not just a-a conversation let's sanction
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all the banks and let's operate the nuclear energy should be justified and ukraine should take into account the fact that countries have their own problems , their own challenges, their own dependencies and , unfortunately, russia has been very strongly integrated into the world economy, and this is precisely the reason why it is very difficult to remove nuclear sanctions. i note that the mcfall fair group that you mentioned is a group at the president's office, and separately it is worth mentioning that the kyiv school of economics, which you represent , is the very analytical center that participates in the development of all these recommendations, in particular. we have been observing such a phenomenon as sanctions against russia since 2014 in one form or another and in a more severe form. they appeared after february 24, 2022, meanwhile, a very big question remains whether these measures can affect russia's ability to wage war, because
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i am sure that many people of outside observers. if you raise this issue with them, they will really question it, and they have a full right to do so. because we, as ukrainians, really want the collapse of the russian economy to happen much faster and instantly and be irreversible. but i repeat that firstly, they were very strongly integrated into the world economy, and secondly, they objectively prepared for war from the 14th year, not only militarily by accumulating weapons and a military contingent, but economically, it is indeed the most prepared country for war , considering their condition economy, how they entered the war, plus the completely depressed and incapable state of the population for any protests or any practical thinking , that is, when we talk about why russia
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still has this margin of safety, even though it's been nine years of the russian-ukrainian war, so here we have to take into account that russia was preparing for the war so unquestionably and there were no most important sanctions - these are energy sanctions. even now we 've had almost a year. sanctions on the energy industry began to take full effect at the end of last year and on oil products from february 5 , that is, they were already delayed because , again, there was a great dependence and even there the whole year before the start of the full-scale invasion, russia was engaged in energy blackmail, in particular, of the european market. there were inadequately high gas prices, accordingly, they earned it and filled with these revenues not only their own budget , they created a huge separate fund , it is called the background of national wealth, and as of the beginning of the war, it amounted
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to an additional approximately 185 billion dollars, that is, they had a budget the rule is that if oil is traded higher than, if i am not mistaken, $40 per barrel at $40 conditionally goes to the budget, everything from above goes to a separate fund all this time they have been accumulating this financial resource and the world played tricks with putin and tried to somehow appease him and they could not dare to get rid of this dependence, the effect of sanctions is really just that much now it is entering full force and gaining momentum well then a logical question arises how long can all this continue as for a long time, russia will be able to use this margin of safety that it has accumulated. well, we expect that this year they have already started irreversible processes and it is true that this year they are really about to go into a significant crisis and quite well
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it can be seen from their e fiscal component in their budget because last year they finished with a deficit of 2.3%. although they planned to get a 1-2% surplus before the war due to precisely these oil and gas revenues, until last year the main reason for the deficit was that they had a 30% increase in their expenses, since they are financing the war in order to close this deficit, they already took out 37 billion dollars from of this national welfare fund, in order to close the hole, they were forced to enter the domestic market and also in such arrangements. there, about 40 billion to attract domestic debt that now falls on the shoulders of their banking system and they quite effectively squeezed money out of gazprom because they first forced to pay six 20 billion dollars a-a dividends in the form of an additional
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tax that they allowed not to pay them and another 10 billion in dividends for the past year, i.e. at the end of last year, they ran very chaotically and tried to cover up fiscal problems, since it seems that they are not going to carry out the sequestration of the budget, that is, to reduce their expenses, we already have data from january, and in january it has only passed in one month of this year, they already have a deficit of 1.7 billion. this seems to be due to the fact that their incomes are falling, especially now that we have just fully implemented oil and non-oil products. and their economy should be remembered, it is quite simple and primitive in terms of their dependencies, 60% of their export revenue is from oil and gas, 40% of their budget revenue is from oil and gas . and actually, one of the goals of the entire selection policy in general is to deprive them of these
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funds so that when they do not have these resources, they will not be able to finance with on the other hand, we have trade sanctions that are limited to their import of dual purpose goods, certain microcircuits, chips that they can use in the production of weapons. i am not a military expert , but from what we see there in the gardens in the media , we see that they can no longer produce high-precision weapons on their own , that is why they have this show when putin went to ask iran for weapons, now they are trying to beg something from china, and this is a sign that their military capacity, that is, their military-industrial the complex can no longer produce such a quantity of these projectiles and weapons with the same scale to use them against us . i want to clarify, you mentioned some really
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impressive figures that relate to the russian economy and the russian budget, but there are also figures that were mentioned in the european union when they announced this new 10th package of sanctions, which should be adopted in the next few days , it sounded, for example, a figure of 11 billion euros , that's how much the new package will cost the european union, this is data from the european commission on expected losses, and i noticed that in this discussions during the last year about what the sanctions should look like, the question is periodically asked whether it turns out that the sanctions of the european union against russia harm the eu more than russia, for example, in terms of the amount of such losses, but this is precisely this very good narrative that is worth talking about and raising firstly, for 11 billion , trade restrictions will also be introduced in this package . that is, this is a restriction on x exports to russia or imports from russia of certain goods, the range
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of which we will see when it is finally there, when they will already accept this package and these 11 billion - this is the total amount, for example, in the 21st year, the last reported adequate year, there was trade, the volume of trade in these categories of goods. that is, it is not a direct loss for the european union so that they do not receive something there, or on the contrary, it is more relevant to russia that here is an additional 11 billion of their trade cover, and as for this damage, this is an absolutely pro-russian narrative that needs to be fought , because russia is now trying to promote it as much as possible in all western media and through diplomats that sanctions don't work, look, everything is fine with us here, despite all your sanctions , we fell by two and one percent, this is yesterday's data of the lottery a and here and you are here, uh, you are going to freeze crazy funds for gas and energy you have no
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goods and here remove the sanctions from us, but by supporting these theses, we are helping russia to promote certain relaxations. about the sanctions, why am i saying this because we will return to this figure of a 21% drop in gdp, they absolutely cannot be trusted and this is incorrect, really, because they had high prices for energy resources helped to level their trade balance, they did not ask for export revenues in monetary terms because they still managed to earn from gas and oil, but it is important to remember that how they are talking about it now, how they publish these statistics , they are engaged in manipulation because that ostap himself published one percentage yesterday and we all expected that they would reach a drop of 2.5%. because it was promised
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publicly by putin, putin came out and said at a press conference that sanctions are not working . look, we fell by only 2.5%. visibly growing i overdid it a bit, twisted something, and they got as much as two and one percent , and if we look at the details of what was there at the expense of what, what fell, what grew, they surprisingly grew agriculture quite strongly and construction. but we perfectly understand that agriculture is this is our stolen grain that they sold because it is very difficult to trace it to some country in africa er, well, that is, they will not monitor their hunger and they need this grain to survive , that is, they will not er, understand where from to take a grain of construction, it is also a very interesting fact that if you look at alternative indicators conditional on the consumption of e-e, allergies, metal construction, which are the main e-e components of extension construction, it
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did not increase in them. and they report on construction , i don’t know, 5-6% growth, that is, all of them, even internal russian analysts, are already openly laughing and saying that this is a very open menu, manipulation of the data, the fall is clearly deeper, because they are manipulating it, and now we, as analysts, see that these are already good external environment for russia and these ultra-high favorite prices, the effect of the sanctions will no longer be there, it has already increased because the main sanctions have come into effect, and in fact this year we will see how they will simply roll down without the possibility of a quick recovery in the coming years, at the beginning of our conversation you really mentioned that periodically during the last year at least we hear about the fact that russian weapons contain western components and of course , the war has been going on for so long, so many sanctions
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have been introduced that the question arises is this possible or did i understand you correctly that this becomes possible thanks to third parties who help russia in one way or another to purchase some components that are needed for russian weapons, or does russia still use the stocks of what it bought a long time ago, well, probably they still are they use some reserves. we cannot deny it. but there are indeed a number of schemes and approaches as russia tries to circumvent sanctions. for example, if we return to the sanctions that were introduced there in the 14th year and this was a fairly well-known case right at the beginning of the full-scale invasion there, that one of the ways to circumvent the sanctions was the extension of certain contracts, well, conditionally, it reduces the sanction to k - contracts with such and such a number and trade are prohibited. but there were certain existing contracts that were then
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extended and trade continued , if i am not mistaken one of the french companies was er taken er with all the evidence that they continued to export to russia certain types of weapons er or equipment er and it became a well-known case and now everyone is there they pay a lot of attention to this and try to close it there and prevent similar cases, and on the other hand, it seems to me that it is spring, at the beginning of summer, russia has legalized parallel import, this is in fact a gray import when a certain intermediary can introduce goods without the consent of the of the manufacturer of these products, we already see that they can thus import some microcircuits or something and then disassemble and use them during production. also
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, their cooperation with friendly countries is a big challenge , for example, in these friendly jurisdictions yura is being opened by the russians and here in turkey, if i’m not mistaken, there was a peak value there, about one and a half thousand firms were opened during this time, and that’s as far as i’m not mistaken, more than a year in general was opened in turkey, well, that is it is clear that they are not for their own business. and this life is absolutely all companies opening up. and that is exactly why i said at the beginning of the conversation that now there will be a very big focus on circumventing sanctions and precisely one of the important tools that is still not fully used is secondary sanctions, that is just sanctions on individuals or individuals or legal entities a for circumvention already exist because with the help of russia such a mechanism is the most developed in the united states of america, they
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have many precedents and examples of their application and we already see that even the warning that the united states conducts secondary sanctions it already works for this company, uh, and even the country, in the end . i would like to ask how long do you think, in principle, should the sanctions against russia last? my questions are due to what appeared this week. maybe you saw these 15 points from the imprisoned russian opposition politician oleksiy navalny and among these points his vision of russia's further development and exit from the war, in particular , it is about the fact that when the war is over , sanctions should be lifted from russia, and together with europe, the united states of ukraine will seek, as it were us to rebuild ukraine or for example you and compensations or do you think the end of hostilities means that
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sanctions should be lifted from russia absolutely no and i am very sorry that so much attention is paid to us to mr. navalny and his ideas, we really noticed this wonderful point that let's talk about compensation after sanctions are lifted from our energy resources , and so far there is no such agenda at all , because it is too early to talk about it, uh, as i repeat the consensus with regard to sanctions pressure on russia and with regard to the energy market , they will not be allowed to return to this market on such a scale and again sit on their needle of these energy resources, and therefore, in my opinion , sanctions on russia will really preserve this
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a certain time after our victory and here it will still depend very much on what this peace agreement will be, what they will sign, what will be final in general, uh, this document, what action plan, uh, there , how they will pay reparations , how much they will be held accountable, all their ah, the top of the government and there is likely that with time they will really loosen some ah certain types of sanctions. but in my opinion, it is true that these are critical sanctions regarding the energy industry and the ability to accumulate significant financial resources and everything that concerns their military capabilities of the military-industrial complex and technological development, all of this will be banned for quite a long time, because, i repeat , we are now fighting with sanctions against the entire mizze of russia, not only to stop the war against ukraine as soon as possible, but also to prevent a possible
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recurrence and an attack not only on ukraine, but also on other countries that they also encroach on, then what will happen in this sense if because of that , i don’t know, two weeks after the victory, sanctions will be lifted from the military-industrial complex and they will start producing these weapons again, that’s why the world i definitely don't want this to happen again. ukraine will not allow this to happen again, and at the moment i really wasn't worried at all and didn't raise it at all. this is a question about the lifting of sanctions, because this is again a game of semi- submission with russia, in the sense that the pressure will increase and will continue there are still a lot of ideas and where sanctions can still be introduced , so we have a very difficult year ahead of us in terms of a large amount of work to judge this pressure and indeed for their country to cross
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this line of no return in terms of economic for the future mrs. julia good luck in your work and thank you very much for this conversation thank you we are still living in that day endless february 24 day after day month after month full of pain and despair but you have to finish it there are weapons there are techniques there is a plan start a year of retribution join
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of the armed forces of ukraine to beat to fight to take revenge because war is revenge for mariupol and bucha for the dnipro and stanislavskii kruchi for the ayu-dag and every latticed roof for every scar abroad the ministry of internal affairs of ukraine is forming special brigades of the national guard of the state of the border service and the national police, these are elite combat units equipped with the latest equipment and technologies that will return ukraine to its lands, eight brigades - one goal is to finally destroy the enemy with honor and no regrets until the last battle, join the guards of the offensive, it's time to return your documentary trilogy, military intelligence of ukraine on the sea is in the sky on the ground volunteers are needed to make a flight to mariupol a unique combat air operation of military
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intelligence 86 days of siege of the garrison surrounded by more powerful forces of the aggressor managed to maintain this is the garrison, the people received hope for all combat sorties in 16 helicopters of the army aviation, we understood that sooner or later one of us would not return, four wounded were evacuated, 72 fighters were landed, 30 tons of cargo were delivered, one of the most yards of operations in which i had a film sewn the first sky air breakthrough watch azovstal on wednesday

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