[000:00:00;00] on the topic of what to do with public holidays there and weekends, and in general about the essence of some holidays, again, in the action application , the majority of ukrainian citizens who took part in this vote voted to leave march 8 as a day off. well, people's deputies it is proposed to leave international women's day on march 8 as a day off, but to rename it to the international day of protection of women . practice on the international day for the protection of women's rights and leave it as a day off , says the parliamentarian. well, as promised, we will talk about why the united states continues to announce what awaits

china, in particular, in the event that it will help the russian federation armedly in any specifics, but they warn, at least this is how these messages sound . at the same time, the main directorate of intelligence of our country, its head, kyrylo budanov , emphasizes that according to our information, according to the information of our intelligence in china, no there is not even a discussion about whether to help the russian federation so far russia takes such weapons under certain conditions only in iran in connection with the studio alina hrytsenko chief consultant of the national institute for strategic studies alina congratulations glory to ukraine glory to the heroes good day well, ukraine and partners hope that china will not arm russia, but as far as we understand, the recent calls from the united states mean that such an unpleasant scenario can be

implemented, well. actually, you cannot rule out such a possibility for 100%, but in my opinion, such a scenario is very unlikely. it is one thing when china supports the russian federation ideologically, and this does not happen because china really wants to support russia there because of some kind of friendship without borders, but because the russian-ukrainian war is considered by china in the context of a confrontation with the west . well, it is one thing, but another matter when it comes to material and technical support and, in fact, direct inclusion in the conflict and no china will not get a profit from this, i mean from the supply of weapons to the russian federation, except for serious economic stations , e.e. in the technosector, for example, in trade, in terms of tariff increases, for example, on the import of goods and the like , the chinese will not receive any bonuses, and in the ownership of this reason i i believe that the rate of the russian federation in the russian federation of some

kind of lethal weapons is not very true , a similar scenario for the future. probably the interest of many leaders of many countries, even lukashenko went there recently, and since that day, penyok had a certain contact in the near future, and we understand that the leaders are sursula, fondling on charles michel , they can go to china, which the main purpose of this visit, for what purpose and will it be some kind of persuasion, after all, to abstain from active participation, more active participation in the conflict between russia and ukraine, or something else please? well, first of all, china has changed a little at the moment, the leadership is being formed, we learned about what has changed, the prime minister and deputy prime ministers

have also changed . therefore, firstly, it will be an acquaintance . points in general of common interest let's say so or the european union although it defines china as a systemic rival but nevertheless, jose borel has repeatedly stated, including the methods of control, that they are ready to cooperate with china, the order of the issues e china nevertheless remains a powerful economy due to its geopolitical weight, e-e is a rather influential state without which solving problems in such sensitive areas as, for example , climate and ecology is simply impossible, and the european union, accordingly, is interested in continuing unification and not deepening conflict with china, so they will look for e-e topics of common interest and where they can cooperate topics of

common interest, the key is what topics can these be besides the unconditional economy because same this factor is now of most interest to china itself, and this is what it would like to preserve, since its economy is basically oriented towards exports and how much everything it produces for the world will be bought and used and will be interesting. i am also interested in the field of trade in order for the chinese market to become more open for european investors for european companies in general, but it is also, as i said, a topic of ecology and climate, in particular, the reduction of co2 emissions and similar things. that is, all the questions that the european union poses to itself as the most important, and in fact everything, and this will be discussed at the meeting with the strong bin michel, and also in a judicial role. is the current leadership of china, with all the changes that

have taken place recently, in contact in this sense? in your opinion, there is no progressing isolationist uh-uh, somehow there is such a tendency on the part of china as well. well , china is closing itself off from the world a little in the sense that a-ah china now in the near future some will happen problems in the domestic economy, china's economy is slowing down in its development. last year, china failed to achieve its goal of 5% gdp growth. there were only three. and here is the sisinping in us, she said in her speech at the opening of the 20th congress last fall spoke a lot about internal challenges, he meant , of course, internal economic challenges, that 's why isolationism will happen here, in the sense that now all china's resources

will be concentrated on its own internal security, internal economic security internal political security, but this does not mean at all that china will close itself off from the world and there will interrupt political contacts with other states, then with the european union , for example, that is, well, it will be like this. let 's say that the focus of attention is changing. of china's defense budget even by 1/10 percent, now they are setting a bar of seven and two tenths of percent in the future, eh, actually, what can this mean, on the one hand, we understand that their economy is not working the way they wanted for it to work with this, something will have to be done and certain resources of the country will be directed to solving this problem internally, on the other hand, and again, one tenth of a percent is added to the defense

budget, does this not mean that this financial resource will not only be focused on internal security stability and first of all, china acts within the general general trend, that is, the militarization of the increase in defense budgets, the increase of its own defense capabilities, this is what is happening all over the world and in asia in the first place turn, if you remember, in december of last year, japan also announced an increase in the defense budget, and everything will be very significant news. that is , firstly , this is following the trend. an argument in favor of the fact that china is not ready to supply serious weapons to the russian federation, its resources, its attention will be concentrated for the time being on its own army, and not on supplying ammunition and resources to basically nowhere, because they will not provide

for the russian federation, victories will not change the situation at the front, but actually in petranka, the so-called safety dilemma is happening, this is a term in international relations when someone defends his defense ability, and this causes the risk of being attacked by this state that increases its defense ability , that is, china is simply following the trend and by the way, this is an argument in favor of the fact that china is currently not ready to carry out a military campaign against taiwan and carry out an invasion of tiananmen maneuvers in this direction have already taken place, so china will build up forces a , but this does not mean at all that tomorrow or the day after tomorrow or next year there will be any significant changes in its defense or military policy .

unification with taiwan what can it mean is not very popular according to me to what extent can i own the topic of the thesis actually if we talk about china and taiwan about the history first of all it is relations and secondly the history of involvement and diplomatic and not only of other countries to these relations well and certainly to certain perspectives that can be expected for these relations in the near future, they are in the next few years , as indicated by some of the analysts , are used by china officially in every document, that is, they always talk about what they call the reunification of the homeland and that the transition from taiwan to jurisdiction of the people's republic of china should take place peacefully , well , that is , in fact, taipei should voluntarily agree to this.

suddenly what will have to be used if we have to use force we will use it that's why this thesis is actually eh hmm well very often not very often it is always used in chinese professional documents but there is one thing but at the same time that's why we talk about the probability of an invasion and the use of force against the taiwanese , it is still premature, as we can see, china is not ready for this, in fact, it is not ready materially and technically, and a plus. i think that the russian federation has become an example, and the chinese are people who like to calculate everyone their step and be sure of success by 200%, they are not ready to carry out any maneuvers against taiwan and even well, i do not undertake to make predictions, but the next 5 years i think that no invasion because of a special military operation, that is, an addition has not been made of course, such a possibility cannot be ruled out, but i think that

in the near future this will happen in our country , exactly what we are currently observing, that is, attempts to irritate taiwan, to irritate the united states of america, the invasion of aircraft into the air space, space, theorizing like this, when will it stay here, and what are the relations in china with the ivans? if we talk about pragmatism, the economy, it is possible that their economic relations are quite stable, they actually develop stably, politically , they have a democratic party that does not come into contact with the deceased uh, with mainland china, there is the huminda party, these are the two main parties in travan, but from the humidan party, they maintain political contacts, and party officials periodically visit beijing and meet with leaders, but talk about the probability of peaceful reunification, it seems to me that even peaceful reunification, even

if gumi comes to power, looks even less likely than a full-scale invasion of china, that is, there is a high probability that such a status quo will be maintained for a long time. at this stage, such a status quo is beneficial in principle to everyone. that is, it is not positive , of course, because the tension in the taiwan strait remains, but at least we can state that it will not be closed in the near future, and so far status quo although it is not stable, ordinary, but at the moment it is the most optimal option that can be there alina, thank you very much for this analysis, which is always of high quality, alina hrytsenko , the main consultant of the national institute of strategic studies, was a sign of communication with, once again, i note the analysis of possible movements china in completely different directions, both in the direction of the prospects of providing russia

with armed assistance, which china is now warning about in the united states, and also about the prospects of a visit by the european high-ranking officials to this country and about the possibility of an armed conflict with taiwan well, we return to our important internal topics , the minister of defense of ukraine said that the only guarantee of the non-repetition of such an invasion of russia as we saw it in february 2022 is a powerful sector of the security and defense forces and a clear concept of the army reservists at different steps noted that this is how switzerland lives. i would like to elaborate a little on his words, and at the same time, maybe every young person at the age of 18 should start taking

special training courses in medicine and shooting trenches and coordination, i quote, he studies at whoever he wants, but once a year he takes monthly courses for a specialty. do you want to be a machine gunner ? develop yourself as a machine gunner. do you want to be a drone operator? advocated for the completion of the reform so that officially registered firearms were in the population . they are definitely needed, and we probably need to think about their specialization, i explain that these are his opinions discussed and agreed with the prime minister of ukraine denys shmygal , well, in the context of the possession of weapons by citizens, i would like

to remind you once again of today's news the dnipropetrovsk regional military administration calls on the residents of the region within ten days to surrender the weapons they received during the first days of the first days of some time intervals of the large-scale invasion of the russian federation of ukraine e-e emphasizes that all the data about these people who received weapons is available, and therefore it would be good if a consensus was found within a ten-day period, these people accordingly surrendered their weapons. of the regional military administration under the leadership of yanushevich. so far, i have not seen any information about the number of citizens living in the kherson region who were given these weapons and whether the majority

of the population responded to such a call. what will happen? an absolutely clear symptom of the level of trust in state power. well, state power that is exercised at the local level, we are already ready to talk and continue with our analysts . glory to ukraine , glory to the heroes. i wish you good health. frankly speaking, the number of information reasons is increasing in our country, which forces us to consider the topic of drones in more detail . territory that is currently occupied by the russian federation. that is, it is our ukrainian territory. well, those cases where somewhere in the territory of the russian

federation they have, as they say, in the deep rear, there are outbreaks, explosions and the destruction of quite important objects that directly take participation in the introduction of hostilities or in preparation for those who are in action , the special unit kraken gurmo showed how , with the help of a kamikaze drone, it destroys an autonomous grenadier observation tower in bryansk oblast in the belgorod region on the eve of the drone attack on the transfev druzhba oil pipeline substation, other drones are attracting the attention of international observers after the wreckage of a similar device was discovered in the suburbs of moscow , to what extent this topic is now becoming a game changer , as the minister of defense of ukraine, oleksiy , says about it reznikov and in your opinion, until

the ministry of defense and the general staff of the eu have not announced their affiliation with the participation of such a person in such programs, it is possible to say that some good people have set up this production of drones with a range of up to 1.500 km of the aircraft type similar to the ukrjet 22 ug22 er-er, at least such shots er-er were transferred er-er by the russians and laid out by the whole, that is, these drones completed the combat task er-er they lie on the ground so as back there is not enough, there is simply not enough fuel, that is, they go in one direction, but from homeless people who work eh and in the combat radius mode, that is, no more than 700 km with a return. the drone works either in one deep mode or in another mode, later we hear about the fact that

the kievan legs are found eh but already without ammunition, they worked and gave further, they find the rest of them eh , a good 2x3 aircraft-type drone can carry 20 kg of combat load is not sokomin 80, it is an rpg launcher, that is, it can cause quite serious damage . хороши direction direction всё it will depend on their number, if it will still be put on a serious basis for the production of a city of drones, we can strike at a depth of one and a half thousand kilometers, we will carry out warehouses, we will start industrial chains and a communication control system , especially

е на носяга определё нный большой вред е-е military logic is not in the number of similar drones . isn't it dependent on е-е those conclusions that the russian federation should make regarding its air defense system? that is, we understand that now they are not doing so well as they broadcast to their internal consumer, if at least these objects appear in their sky from the other side, surely they draw certain conclusions and try to strengthen or regroup somewhere in order to, well, accordingly, their the objects were not hit, what do they have with anti-aircraft well , in the perspective of anti-missile defense, there are things that are objectively unfulfillable, that is, such

territory. turnover is very large. the territory has never even tried to do this, even the soviet union, well, naturally, russia cannot do this, and naturally, it does not try. there are hundreds of thousands of large-scale missile complexes that need to be produced there for millions of years. this is simply unrealistic, that is, they will ask precisely how- then to cover their facilities of clinical infrastructure, of course, military facilities, depending on the number of zenik missile complexes and the general defense system that they will try to create. but since they do not have them, they simply do not they will be able to do it, later they will try to cover some objects with the army means of air defense, i will repeat it again , it simply won’t work for them, because the quantity is not enough , they will take it from the front. for a few months from then and there, the russian

military objects in the geo, especially the rest on the territory of russia, they will not be covered from the sky, therefore it is possible to work here even with such drones as they are starting now работать no good people for now, let's talk like that, roman, from your words, i understood that the russian federation is already on such a stretch, on the one hand, they need to protect uh, on their territory, important objects near moscow, i am already actually experiencing some kind of influence, yes on the other hand, they need victories at the front, and it is not known what prospects there are of achieving some successes here without saturation with air defense means, and you think that it will still be more important for them to maintain their capabilities

air defense on the contact line near the contact line let's say that rather than protecting the kremlin, conditionally speaking, the fact is that the combat aircraft that is in ukraine, it is without a russian system, it will er destroy er on the front line er russian military objects a lot more powerful than any unmanned aerial vehicle that can enter russia's stupidity, this difference is thousands of times, that is, one plane can carry 9 tons to 9 tons of combat load, one drone is only 20 kg, there is even a tens of thousands of times difference if this more there is a quadrille, that is, uh, air defense will be used on the front line to the detriment of the entire rear, and this is not predestined , at least this rule is unequivocally, no one will change it , it will not be changed later.

eh and everything will go to the front, because then you can say that russian russia is like that already in this life, you will never hide yourself from the shores of the sky. ugh, what a couple of novels, let's move a little to the territory of our state directly. of the commander-in-chief took place today and in fact both the luzhny and the syrian eh advocated the continuation of the defense of bakhmut, this topic was discussed in society. already extremely threatening, threatening for our, in particular , logistics in this direction, the decision made to continue the defense of bakhmut, is it based, from your point of view, perhaps on certain

point successful actions in that area of ​​our defense forces and before that , the correct decision was made by the commanders and the commander of the syrian commander of the e . they can perform tasks inside the city, that is, in urban buildings , they are the most effective ones, they perform tasks in the defense of urban buildings , special operations forces, the national guard, that's where

stormtroopers of the national guard and border guards are just one of these types of military forces that the garrison of bakhmut is now surrendered , it is clearly thrown without problems from eh hours of the yarsky garrison. the encirclement or the operational encirclement exactly now does not threaten the road , it is in a few hours of the bakhmut er garrison, they complement each other with artillery and ground troops, and bakhmut is still a well-fortified area, even in the destroyed state in which we are now . this is a good fennel area. this is the best district to build on your own, which is practically impossible, because we will definitely

keep this district from the movement of russian troops, and they will continue to advance towards slavic kramatorsk friend, i think that the russian troops here will be deployed to their maximum values ​​now , that is going on, well, offensive actions are taking place in the south, they are stopped by our counter-on-counter strikes, that is, the exit from the south is not possible for the russians for a while they are trying to bypass the troops from the north. but this is also subject to certain flanking strikes, since any movement to the north in the direction of chasov yara from the south and the north is already met by our troops, which are cutting off these units that are trying to break through to часовя и полуокружить bakhmut i think the situation is definitely under control, but after the decision of the bet to continue the defense of this region, mr. roman, with what

forces do the enemy operate in the north, yes, colonel roman kostenko , the secretary of the verkhovna rada committee on national security, said that the key the story is to break their offensive impulse eh in the north to the number of eh ready eh to move and performs eh offensive actions approximately a brigade of up to two and a half thousand people namely eh trying to leave for hours

there are 2 borders, which are practically also impossible to pass, especially after the decision to hold the region is made, additional units will be transferred from there. the localities will then redirect them now and stop this movement, the total number of troops if all over bakhmut is about 50,000, that is, within a radius of about 30 km , the popasnian group will press bakhmut, well, it is trying to the extreme, it is pressing well, technical technical e- it is already impossible, that is, certain operational topical actions have been carried out that do not give the russians the opportunity to carry out not a semi-encirclement, not an operational encirclement of bakhmut, not when moving in the direction of a-a slavic and friendly thank you roman for

this extremely useful and important conversation roman svitan, a military expert