[000:00:00;00] at the end they plan to return 5% of respondents clearly do not plan 18 are undecided but these numbers can pay literally 30 seconds in our country today people are not able to give themselves an account of the fact that they are ready to stay abroad what can we say about how they answer these question, sociologists understand very well that there is an effect of meeting social expectations. thank you , professor. we are very glad that we had the opportunity and honor to communicate with you. it is with great regret that we have to pass the baton to our colleagues now, but we hope that you and i will continue our cooperation well, the sixth

hour is coming on the air espresso serhiy rudenko glory to ukraine is a verdict program my name is serhiy rudenko good day and good health to all today march 6, 376 days of heroic resistance of the ukrainian people to the russian invaders on the night of 5 on march 6, the russian occupiers attacked with iranian kamikaze drones, a martyr from the bryansk region of the russian federation , the territory of ukraine, a total of 15 attack drones were recorded, 13 martyrs were destroyed by air defense forces and means at the same time, last day, the ukrainian aviation made 12 strikes on the concentration areas of the occupiers, units of the ukrainian missile forces and artillery hit three control points, four concentration areas and one position of the enemy's air defense means, the confrontation continues and the fight for the ukrainian city of

bakhmut continues. there is an advantage, but the ukrainian military is restraining the russian offensive , meanwhile, the russian occupiers continue to lose manpower, strength and equipment in ukraine as of the morning of the sixth of march, russia has already lost 153,000,770 people in ukraine in the last day alone, the armed forces of ukraine have destroyed 650 orks since the beginning of the great war, the russians have already lost in ukraine 3,423 tanks, 6,703 armored fighting vehicles, 2,433 artillery systems , 488 multiple rocket launcher systems of 250 means against air defense 302 airplanes 289 helicopters 537 units of motor vehicles in 18 ships boats 873 cruise

missiles 86 drones 234 units of special equipment about what is currently happening on on the eastern and southern fronts in ukraine , the attack by russian drones on ukraine and the strategic defeat of the russians in bakhmut . glory to ukraine glory to the heroes so , as reported by the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine, russia is currently focusing its main efforts on the introduction of offensive actions on the kupyan, liman , bakhmut, avdiiv and mining directions, according to the data of the armed forces of ukraine, our soldiers repelled

more than 95 attacks of the enemy in the indicated directions, in particular, in the areas of bilogurivka and nevsky , luhansk region, on zaliznyany and dubovo vasylivkas, orihovo vasylivkas, bakhmut and ivanivka vasylivkas in donetsk region, mr. colonel , how would you describe the current situation is taking place on the eastern front and is this the same offensive that they have been talking about for the past few months, the offensive of the russian federation that they were planning in my opinion us here in the russian federation did not stop for a minute, especially since the end of november , when a rather large and serious russian combat group came out from the right bank of the kherson region and was concentrated precisely on the eastern bridgehead. and

the enemy has already put a lot of psychology there, so there was a large number of people and equipment that he cannot stop and will not stop. putin gave not the one that we are not the eighth. and the ninth order to enter the administrative borders of donetsk region and luhansk region, is the enemy clearly achieving this goal ? no, at least 10,000 square kilometers of donetsk region are not occupied, and our military is demonstrating miracles of tactical mastery, courage and endurance, and in fact, it is one very serious aspect of changing the enemy's tactics he no longer has full-fledged combat groups, in the first place, which would be sufficiently covered by armor with fists and artillery and resort to giant , colossal infantry ramparts, classic zhukivshchyna in execution, if in march of last year 3,900 personnel and 900 11 pieces of equipment were disgustingly spent

, then in december 21,000 personnel and 300 pieces of equipment so that they do not understand how serious the disproportion between equipment and personnel is, but here is also dangerous news, which consists in the fact that they are ready to throw new hundreds of thousands of their er-er personnel to be buried in our chernozems. and this is incredibly difficult work , it will have to be done, colonel, i er-er counted the number of dead er-er and killed russians on the territory of ukraine during february more than 20,000 of them, as you say , are in the grave, but our armed forces of ukraine are more faithful to their own

. the war will continue - this. does this mean that russian losses can reach up to 300,000 killed, or is this the limit we always say that russia can approach those losses that will no longer be acceptable for it, that they are still here the limit will still come and the leadership in the kremlin is deciding to stop the war or at least to get out of this war in some way, i do not yet see evidence for myself that there may be some threshold for the russians, i myself as an expert at the beginning of this war believed that when there will be a threshold of 100,000, we should not think about it why i thought so, because 15,000 in afghanistan were critical in 10 years , they emphasize for the soviet union, they became critical and 100,000 looked logical from the point of view of common sense, this did not happen, it

is only a measure of what common sense in they are not there, and if there is any rational vision , then it is so specific that it is almost impossible to solve it for europeans according to an adequate communist way of thinking. trying to put myself in their place , i understand a simple thing. defeat for putin is, by and large, his physical death and the russian federation can become the path of his schedule, by the way, he himself is now very actively speaking with his mouth exactly such a thesis, it is nothing but the organization of his own population absolutely and i without such a final they are really ready to go to the end of the war, and it is difficult for me to say exactly where this turning point will be. at the same time, i have some restrained optimism that a huge armored package needs to move, just as it should create the conditions for turning this phase of the war around late spring to mid-summer, but this

extremely careful forecasts on e to give clear analytical conclusions in the case of such a war and it is existential, it is actually divination on coffee grounds, everything will inevitably turn out in our favor, but how and under what circumstances this is how it seems to me does not predict the brightest future and at what cost it is clearly the bakhmut direction was and remains the hottest and most important on the eastern front the enemy does not stop storming the city and surrounding settlements about the operational situation bakhmutie from a soldier of the state border service of ukraine since the very morning he says the enemy is shelling the city with artillery and mortars. we will see each other. good morning to all. today is march 6. as you can see, the weather is in

the city of bakhmut. these are mortars and launchers firing, asking to push our flanks, but the state border guard service of ukraine, together with its cooperatives, today with you in their positions, did not do everything as much as possible, entered the city because ukraine waved it, it was and will be glory to ukraine, mr. colonel, it is difficult to comment on the logic of the russian military leaders e- e of the military and political leadership, and yet well, they have been trying to storm bakhmut for a year. they are trying to take this city and are trying to show their superiority on in this direction, is there any logic and expediency in this, considering how much force they are spending on storming this city and what will give putin access to the administrative borders of the luhansk and donetsk regions, is this not his goal to later say well, we

won or well in some way , it is quite possible to record some intermediate victory and stop hostilities for a certain time, and in my opinion , it is exactly such a goal that they are now setting before themselves, whether it is to eliminate ukrainian statehood in three days, but they did not manage to let's remind you that they started this war also under the right applause of their own opinion when they recognized these so-called republics of the lpr and dpr and declared that they would go to their borders, they really need it , and bakhmut is actually a very serious strategic point here not only in a political but also in a purely military context from bakhmut to debaltsevo railway node within 40 km, hymers work for 84 km. so this node is the only one that works there with the delivery of ammunition and what is the rest of the logistics

by railway, bakhmut is an extremely important plus - it is a kind of node and network of do ri for our potential counteroffensive actions in the direction of north dona - behind the trees, because they do not see the forest of war, we must remember that this is what happens in wars, that battles are lost, but the war must be won even napoleon once said that in this case, you can lose all battles except the last one, and if bakhmut reaches the foundation and there is no logic and expediency in holding it, then it will certainly not be a disaster, our hearts hurt very much for the withdrawal of severodonetsk and the abandonment of lysychansk, but then there was a brilliant counter-offensive operation of kharkiv and then kherson, there is not the slightest doubt that our next offensive operation will be the same . well, what about the fact that the enemy is trying to freeze this line in some way? well, i believe that this is how it is because practically speaking, erdogan is already talking about some negotiations

between putin and zelensky, this is nothing more than the desire to find a point of agreement, but at the moment this cannot be acceptable. as he said the last ones are also those of the upa army, vasyl kup, negotiations with the enemy must last exactly the length of the automatic queue, although sooner or later someone will go to his side to surrender and still sign the issue of the school, experts of the american institute for the study of war say that the armed forces of ukraine are currently exhausting the russian troops creating favorable conditions for a counteroffensive according to the data of this institute - this is an analytical structure, the culmination of the offensive of the occupiers around bakhmut is inevitable , their offensive near ugledar has already been completed and the offensive in luhansk region has been stopped. this creates strong

the conditions for the future ukrainian contrast, before february and january, we quite often heard from the leaders of the military leaders of the ukrainian military leaders that the counteroffensive of the ukrainian troops was being prepared, then these conversations were moved with the offensive of the russian federation, russia threatened, but still, the counteroffensive as they see it as predicted by american experts, it is possible and it may be precisely in the bakhmut area. how do you assess this situation now? how do you assess the capabilities of the ukrainian troops regarding a counteroffensive on the eastern front? there will be a counteroffensive or a third offensive operation without fail, however, as the great chinese thinker claims. he said such words that truly brilliant operations or winning strategies are never repeated. the kharkiv operation is diametrically opposed to the kherson operation, they are very

different from each other, and here is the third operation it will be there and then until then no one should see it, i emphasize that all things should be in absolute informational silence because the enemy is closely watching and feeding us with our word and there is no reason to give him any ready-made analytical designs why a counteroffensive is inevitable and because a huge armored package is on its way to us outside of 1011 vehicles of a more diverse class, starting from super-heavy tanks leopard-2 challenger two and even abrams lazy dirty did not speak ending with tank destroyers such as, say , the french there is a 105 mm machine with an amx 10 rc gun and m2b and this is a far from complete list , this is all coming to us in my opinion at the end of spring, the beginning of summer and will not have a really colossal update for this potential

it is certainly absolutely logical. we have to kill the enemy from our territories in some way . there is no other way. of course, a lot will depend on the weather conditions. uh, this flood, and in general, on the spring roads , how are any significant uh-uh offensives possible? defense and defending in defined and well-prepared positions is very convenient and better because the enemy cannot move

on land , that is, he cannot go on the ground. artillery of anti-tank calculations we learned to work on the roads at the beginning of this war then also the weather favored us in the first place because if the ground was firm and they could deploy these colossal huge columns in full-fledged battle formations would not be enough for us, and we even managed to cut columns 60 km away, so long as this package of assistance on the road, which i have already mentioned , it is better that after all the weather was against us and that is how it is in the top military leadership of russia, a conflict is brewing due to significant losses and the lack of real achievements at the front , the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine reports this , referring to its e-contacts or its informants, to the top leadership of the russian

federation, minister of defense serhiy shoigu wants that the commander of the group located in ukraine, colonel-general rustam muradov, launched an assault on gledar and there were significant successes. since in february of this year, putin awarded the commander of the eastern military, cream muratov, the rank of colonel-general for a report on the successes in quotes 155- of the marine infantry brigade in the ugledar direction, colonel, in your opinion, is this a misunderstanding, to put it mildly , or at least a quarrel in the top military leadership of the russian federation, an attempt to transfer them from one general to another do they affect the capabilities and effectiveness of the russian army, which is on the territory of the ukrainian state, of course, the more deadly the dance between the spiders

, the better we will get, but there is no need to raise the bar to too high a level of expectation if there is some kind of quarrel between them nothing will change on the battlefield, the war is existential, we are fighting not just the russian army, we are fighting the entire moscow imperialism, which represents the entire russian people, this must be understood in truth and until carthage truly will be destroyed, then until muscovy disintegrates into 25-30 states and they do not take away their nuclear weapons, we do not really breathe out what is causing chaos, this is of course good, because where there is chaos, there are mistakes , first of all, at the management level, which will contribute to the improvement of the transfer of their continent to our armed forces forces on our territory , however, i will emphasize once again to raise the bar of expectations that their there is some kind of confrontation in what way will improve our situation is not worth

it, the head of military intelligence of the ministry of defense of ukraine, general budanov in an interview ua studio - usa today says that the economy of the russian federation will not be able to support the aggression in ukraine in three months, they say that there are still three months in the russian federation, and if russia does not take advantage of this, then russia will have big problems, i quote budanova, russia spent a huge the amount of human resources weapons and materials is the economy and production unable to cover these losses it has changed its military chain of command if the russian military does not achieve its goals this spring russia will run out of its tools war is the forecast given by general budanov now not too optimistic, according to your opinion, and to what extent do the resources and capabilities

of the russian federation and the military and human resources allow them to wage a long-term war , an effective pre-hotraology, let's analyze this question in two parts, let's start with the technological part, they really cannot build high-quality weapons, let's say the same a50 that was hit in belarus, it was built in 1991 , they can’t build anything new here 95 ms from which the missile strikes on the khas-101 are the youngest in 1992, and those that attack with the heaviest 22m3 h22 missile in 1993, i can no longer produce t-72 tanks either, the production line degraded in 1998 and will illustrate this serious phenomenon. it is actually very serious on the example of artillery if the russians set up fire shafts in the summer

in the range of 60,5000 per day . this is colossal and unprecedented, now it is barely 15 times how many times it has all decreased, and they can produce shells per month up to four thousand, there are still old stocks, because at the beginning of this war they had in stocks from 15 to 20 million projectiles is an incredible amount, the entire us army at that time had 2.5 million , but the point that they will be able to use 4,000 or less projectiles per day is approaching, and somewhere there is such a restrained optimism that this may happen in the fall, and the large western conveyor belt the production of the series is just starting anew, and if we now have indicators of 7-8000 projectile use, then i am sure that the moment of 10-12-15 will come, and therefore we will get parity over the enemy. this is another aspect why i am cautiously optimistic about victory in this war not even so - i will make a point in this war sometime in the summer, but there is a second moment, now we will talk about it. let's talk about these people and this colossal

potential they have kalashnikov assault rifles, mosin rifles , simonov self-loading carbines and even ppsh-41 pps 43 weapons of the second world war they have tens if not hundreds of thousands in their warehouses, because all this good is produced in millions of units, of course there are not millions, but hundreds of thousands, and in view of what we have already said and illustrated that infantry units are now their main tool, this is another force that we cannot cancel can the chancellor of germany in lawsholz, mr. colonel, says that germany is now resuming the production of ammunition and, in general, is strengthening its defense industry and germany is becoming one of the largest donors to ukraine in europe, at the same time, the

same china warns something that if china sending weapons to russia will have consequences, we know that there was a meeting with biden in the united states of america and they talked about ukraine, about uh, this balance of forces and means that allow us to restrain the russian federation , it is clear that the russian federation is now puts great hopes on the news - the visit of the leader of china to moscow, which is expected in the spring, and here the question is quite simple , whether china can and whether china wants to disturb this balance that is currently maintained, or at least the proportions of forces and the proportions of weapons e-e in the direction of helping russia and to make an armed bow to putin is a very

difficult question, because from the point of view of common sense, it would not be worth doing for a chinese person , because the entire chinese economy is already the first or second in the world, how to count or in nominal terms or the pre-eminence of purchasing power is integrated into the global economy and primarily into the euro-atlantic space , which has a combined gdp of america and europe of almost 53 million dollars , this is a colossal figure. vision of our problem because, let's say, the freezing of this conflict is nothing but a strategic defeat of the west, because if the west accepts such rules of the game, then the chinese are already very serious are thinking about whether it is worth solving the taimen problem exclusively by armed force, taiwan will never agree to return to brovilno on its own to china, the chinese will never agree that this is a separate territory

, very serious keys are being held for the chinese , first of all, to enter the pacific aspects and purely economically there 80% of all semiconductors and microelectronics of the entire planet earth. that is why they also have such a very peculiar tachyotomy , it seems to me that they will now carefully study and calculate all possible scenarios we hope that common sense will still win. at the same time, we remember that there is no greater disease than the struggle for world political domination and the chinese are maturing to be a hegemon. we are on the threshold of the great confrontation. the fourth international system has been destroyed . expressed himself cunningly and it will not appear in any other way than the great military confrontation russia plans to annex belarus by 2030 this is the conclusion reached

by journalists of several publications from different countries and this the investigation shows that for this purpose it is planned to integrate the belarusian army into the russian one, to impose the russian educational system, to destroy the belarusian language, to cut the russian vision of history, to distribute russian passports , in fact, this forecast, in principle, is completely invested in the turkish tours that putin has and the opportunities that we he do they pay attention to these forecasts, mr. colonel, according to you , there should be further cooperation, or let’s say, communication between ukraine and belarus , we still have diplomatic relations despite the fact that they were a springboard for the offensive of russian troops on february 24 , 2022, and yet if russia absorbs belarus at any final of the russian-ukrainian

war, if russia absorbs belarus, we will have a rather large there is a long border line with the russian federation with the russian army, what is the way for ukraine to rebuild its national security strategy as well as the security of the state itself, and should we not talk about it now, in my opinion , subject belarus does not already exist as such, there is lukashenko who fights for his physical survival and, in my opinion, a difficult, difficult, difficult question for putin, how to remove him and when to do it, why, after all , in the 20th year, the belarusians showed that they are a nation , there is a serious surge of national national consciousness, and there are no guarantees that when the dictator is changed, he can it can’t happen again plus let’s destroy it not on a large scale, but the belarusian partisans still exist, will they manage to completely swallow

belarus, well, in my opinion, it’s a very difficult question. they still try to maintain at least some rules of decency and even to a bad game, i.e. they are trying to appeal to some international law and the like. but can such a scenario be implemented? of course, what should we do ? well , what did they do to build the manergame line in the north ? will the flag and name not change, the russians had a fighting group there, and still have, as it launched missile strikes from their territory , now that has stopped, and they will continue to do so and in the future we are building what i have already mentioned mannerheim's line and the philosophy of our security is that one nato, nato and once again nato after all, mr. colonel, i would like to hear from you your forecast or in what way the belarusian army

will be involved in the russian-ukrainian war in the near future, and it is meant not physically simply as a military bridgehead, a military bridgehead for the russian federation , the territory of belarus, in the words of the great roman emperor, the closer the collapse of the empire, the crazier their actions are. why can they succeed with those forces and means a now it is a little more than a mechanized division of 15,000 personnel ready to fight, made up of belarusians and russians, so why can't they go as they imagine it and it's hard for me to understand because they can move only by roads and we have already talked about roads and we will be able to drink them and know how and what they are, and in order to really prepare a serious cop corps, 40,000 personnel are needed, and it