[000:00:00;00] i haven't prepared the potatoes for planting in the middle, and i often have to hide like that, well, it's making noise, the main thing is to run. what's going on? yesterday there was a whistle . i have to run. i don't know where it will fly. the fox doesn't happen . i don't know how my cow miraculously survived, it was all burnt out like this pit, well, it has a little bit , it is necessary so that they would seriously get out of our land , so that we live peacefully. rest in peace they lived and lived and now they came and brought us such a world so that they could see their eyes on this. i have everything. don't forget to subscribe to the youtube channel of radio svoboda. if

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the mind of one putin finally went astray, the nuclear threat and planes, you are watching the ukrainian version of the atlatl chain, trends, world politics and analytics, made for the whole world more about this, right now, russian planes have once again resorted to dangerous, reckless and unprofessional actions in the international airspace over the baltic sea, the american side is constantly trying to find some provocations to incite confrontational approaches, the heavy fighting for bakhmut does not stop between the ukrainian and russian armies, the russians announced that they entered the industrial zone on the outskirts of the city , but the armed forces of ukraine immediately began

to knock them out . bloody battles in this direction will not interfere with the preparation of the armed forces of ukraine for the spring counteroffensive, our journalists were investigating the sound of explosions and the whistling of the wind breaking the silence of the destroyed bahmut , will the ukrainian military be able to hold the city , the main question of the last days is that the russians are attacking from three directions, north-east and south, the mercenaries of the wagner group succeeded enter the industrial zone on the northern outskirts of bakhmut and the armed forces of ukraine are trying to knock them out , we are trying to storm their positions, god grant that we will succeed so that you understand the scale of this

tragedies are factories, such industrial zones, and everything has already been destroyed in just a week under the bombardment, the russians lost more than two and a half thousand soldiers killed and wounded, announced the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi, the supreme commander-in-chief's staff, which met this week, again decided to continue the defense of the city and the clear position of the entire staff to strengthen this direction of destroying the occupier as much as possible and at the same time continuing the fight for bakhmut even despite the threat of zelenskyi’s entourage is often criticized in the west skeptics claim that the losses incurred by the ukrainian army in the direction of bakhmut may jeopardize preparations for the spring counteroffensive now that the ratio of losses between our forces and the enemy 's is one to five, which is quite optimal from the point of view of bleeding the enemy if such losses continue to decrease the ratio will be one to one and the risks for the grouping that bakhmut will receive now will grow, then the decision to leave will really be made

, it is quite difficult to accurately predict it. moreover that both the political leadership of ukraine and the military leadership are determined to hold bakhmut, because if we move away from bakhmut e, no risks will disappear, the russian troops will not disappear, they will continue to advance, and then it means that other frontiers may also have such risks as today has a pakhun, in particular, also agglomerated by slavic kramatorsk is located behind the bakhmut of the same opinion, military expert roman svitan clearly ukrainian troops are preparing for offensive actions that will begin no earlier than in a month when the weather conditions they will more or less allow and the equipment will arrive, and the defense of bakhmut will not affect

the preparation for a counterattack . there is now a very difficult situation for our military, but we are not talking about any operational environment. bakhmut fulfills its task of maintaining the line of the donetsk front. the front in this area should be held by our military until about the middle of april. because when the counteroffensive begins , the russians will no longer be in trouble; they will have to shift their forces and equipment to the areas of the breakthrough the russian military machine is increasingly experiencing shortages and has almost tripled the consumption of shells at the front, the world street journal writes, but ukraine's reserves are still almost three times less than those of the enemy . this gap must also be reduced for an effective counterattack, journalists emphasize. for the first time in the years of independence, our state deployed its own the production of ammunition the other day, ukroboronprom announced that, together with one of the nato member countries, it launched the production of five types of mortar mines, artillery shots and

tank shells, is it possible to obtain bachmut the best strategy, will ukraine be able to make a breakthrough with the help of new weapons? we will talk about this and other things with my guest, dr. marina myron , a military analyst . soldiers they manage to push back the russian military, is defense with bachmut really the best strategy? first of all, you need to look at the military clock and understand what if general zaluzhnyi believes that it is really important to keep the defense in good condition, and in case of failure in this direction, it is possible that the country will suffer universal losses in the future, and considering

now, it would be wrong to give the city to the russians if the armed forces could leave the city earlier in order to save more human lives . it was it wouldn't be so painful, but now i got wet a lot to get out of the mess - it's not a decision , as the diligent general said, and certain western leaders are questioning such a decision. bakhmuti for such a way that the russians lose more human resources, because there are colossal losses. therefore, it is now very important to hold out for time, and in order for russia to really exhale within the framework of its military, an important moment is also the fact that the russians during the second phase of the special military operation they

wanted to use bakhmut as a springboard for their further actions, in particular in the direction of kramatorsk and slavyansk, the problem is that they will most likely use bakhmut with such a purpose in order to in order to advance further, therefore, in fact, it is likely that the russian forces will probably want to re-unite in some way, because or close , to take a ring in this direction, in particular , there was a lot of talk about what the russians can do militarily, of course, for them, it will be for us, for it will be important for the ukrainians to preserve the city as much as possible, and in particular also the old ravines and other settlements. so the situation is critical, we will not be able to predict what will

happen now, because we understand that the people of wagner also they are losing their soldiers en masse , on the other hand , new fresh forces and new weapons are coming to ukraine, so we hope that the position will really be held. the speed of russian advance on the territory of ukraine has decreased and in fact this is exactly what the ukrainian and what the american institute for the study of war said or you what do you think will happen next if

bakhmut will remain under the control of ukraine. so it will be a very huge loss and failure for the russians because they are already very many . and move further west and in particular to kharkiv and slavyansk kramatorsk other cities and therefore now if russia loses bakhmut it will be very unfortunate for them indeed their original plan will fail and they will not have she has enough power, it will not be so easy for them to supply their troops, to control the logistical routes that are west of bakhmut to the northwest, that is, in the army, it is in the military, er, in the military sense, but in general, politically, we understand that it would be as

political as possible for putin if they would take bakhmut, because putin wants to show something to his audience, general general gerasimum now wants to charge him somehow, and the russian is in fact the head of this operation, and therefore it is very important for them to actually keep bakhmut, even despite such a huge loss people and weapons, so we understand that now the morale of the russians has fallen a lot every day. we hear a lot of news about the supply of western weapons to ukraine, when ukraine will really be able to change the situation on the battlefield thanks to these weapons. now we know that some leopards have already arrived on the territory of ukraine. we also we know that the brigade and their crews from the military are preparing them in order to

properly use this western equipment, so that there is an opportunity to integrate western weapons within the framework of the weapons that are in available in ukraine, it is also very important to learn correctly. and to manage the equipment, that is why training is so important, there are such estimates , which indicate that approximately at the beginning of may, at the end of april, we will see the rest of the promised tanks, which are now being put in order before sending them to ukraine and also the crews of the military should already be ready for that period, we are also talking about challenger tanks and again there should be specialists who can correctly operate the equipment

, master the t-72 and western more modern tanks it is clear that the training process is also difficult, that is, we understand that together with tanks, other weapons must be sent to ukraine in order to be able to cross the rivers and disrupt the course of events on the battlefield. we really hope that at the end of april and the beginning of may , ukraine will see the rest of the promised tanks , but the bigger problem is the actual provision of the promised ammunition with a diameter of 155 mm, and i think it will take more time for this , talking about the long-awaited counterattack of the armed forces, there are various quotes, but here are certain opinions, in particular from

my colleagues from the washington post, the quality of the ukrainian military, which used to be superior to the russians, and we see that this quality has already decreased after a year of war, and therefore there are certain doubts, they doubt whether the ukrainians will be able to conduct an effective counterattack this year, they have heard similar statements from my colleagues from other institutions, in particular , the essence was that ukraine also suffered a lot of losses in terms of human resources, and there is such a problem that recently drafted people and we know that the mobilization continues these soldiers are not as well trained as those who were at the beginning of the war and also now. the very idea of ​​a counterattack is that these fresh soldiers should have the opportunity

to conduct this operation in cooperation with professional soldiers who already have a lot of experience. general zaluzhnyi said that of course we are not we can drive them to the front by force because they demoralize the military that are already there and indeed this is a certain problem. when we talk about the difference in skills, there are certain threats from the side of the russian army, in particular their plans to mobilize about 400,000 military, what do you think about this? i think the problem is that even if they manage to carry out such a mobilization , putin still has to behave sensibly, so he has to, he will have to show some progress, for which people are dying, this is actually the kremlin's war machine. they

people must be convinced that there really is a need for such a wave of mobilization, but if the kremlin fails to conquer bakhmut, it will be very difficult to justify the pop-in view of the losses that the russian army bears to justify another wave mobilization if there is no victory achieved and also we see that wagner's groups are already being exhausted, they sometimes do not cooperate well with the russian army , another problem is training for training ben some time ago, people who are newly called to the front , they do not have a green idea how to act on the battlefield, so that they didn't have proper training and in fact they themselves can provoke danger for their fellows , that's why they really need a lot of time

, five or six months, for sure now we can think about predicting what people need time to prepare, to get to the units and eventually to send them to ukraine, so russia will mobilize and at a certain stage putin will try to do it but i think that in the near future they will not be able to do this and it will not affect strategic planning officials of ukraine say that there is a possibility, and it is quite high, that ukraine will succeed in liberating crimea in the summer of 2023. what is your personal opinion on this matter? of course, there will be a lot of things. depend on many factors that are not necessarily

related to the military power of ukraine, it will also all depend on the supply of weapons from western partners , the supply of tanks to poland will be very important, poland has promised to provide its tanks, we know in what quantity, and therefore i think that the ukrainian army and it needs to have both the power and the weapons that will provide it with the west, in particular poland . also, we have already heard about 29 fighter jets that were promised in the country, so it is very important that they reach ukraine as soon as possible, so now we are thinking about a counterattack we are thinking it can be assumed that it will be approximately in the direction of zaporizhzhia in order to break the logistical contacts of the russians and in order to reach the crimea. if the counterattack will be in

another city, then i do not know how it can be successful, that is, there are so many. if so, it is difficult to predict anything. but of course, the russians are preparing. they are preparing and indeed. the last thing they are willing to sacrifice is crimea. it will be just a blow below the belt for them, so they will fight to the last soldier in order to protect crimea and prevent its liberation. geopolitically, this is very, very important, because they have access to the black sea, not only from a military perspective, but also from an economic perspective. this is very important for them. they have a lot of oil, and accordingly they are sending, so they will not allow ukraine to become independent in as part of the black thank you we were contacted by marina myron, a military analyst and research associate of the department of military studies

of the king's college london, you are watching the ukrainian version of the ukrainian version of the arms shortage in russia moscow not only started less to sell abroad fewer weapons, there are also terrorists in the country's regular army , how and from where do russian generals replenish their military supplies, more about this, russia is rapidly losing its share of global arms exports. this is evidenced by the data of a new study conducted by the stockholm institute for peace research against the background of the aggressive invasion of ukraine, the russian military machine began to sell much less of its own weapons abroad , the share of russia in world arms exports decreased from 22% to 16%, and if compared with last year, 2022, export deliveries from

the aggressor country decreased by 1.3%. an expert of the stockholm institute for the study of peace problems, simon wezeman, is convinced that this was influenced by the aggressive russian war in ukraine, it is quite likely that the invasion of ukraine will further limit russian arms exports , this is due to the fact that russia will prioritize the provision of its own armed forces to the demand of others states will remain low due to trade sanctions against russia and growing pressure from the us and its allies to abandon the purchase of russian weapons is proved by the recently published data of british intelligence; according to them, due to the lack of domestically produced ammunition, the russian military command even ordered the opening of warehouses with ammunition that had previously been recognized as unsuitable for use in british intelligence , they claim that russia is increasingly applying the principles of command economy to its military-industrial complex complex because it recognizes that its defense production facilities are very vulnerable during a grueling so

-called special military operation but even despite the lack of ammunition and sometimes equipment, the russian military-political leadership is preparing for a long war in ukraine. last week, during the hearings in the us senate, the director of national intelligence of the united states of america, avril gaines, said that they expect that this year the russian military will recover to the extent that it will have significant territorial gains but putin most likely expects that time is working in his favor and that the continuation of the war, in particular with possible pauses in hostilities, will be the best way to the final provision of russia's strategic interests in ukraine, even if it takes years, so the russians have to actively import weapons from third countries, in particular from iran, according to recently published information, the islamic republic secretly sent two

large boats to russia via the caspian sea, they transported about 100 million bullets and 300 000 shells and this is in addition to the drones that official tehran actively sold to russia last year, and no matter how ridiculous it may seem, the russian military stocks have become so thin that weapons and ammunition for it has to be bought even from north korea as early as the end of december. last year, the us ambassador to the united nations, linda thomas greenfield , reported this in her statement to the united states can confirm that the dprk has completed the initial supply of weapons to the russian private military company wagner, which paid for equipment and currently has thousands of military personnel deployed in ukraine last month dprk delivered to russia infantry missiles and rockets for use by the wagner company and ot

the leadership of china seems to have taken a break after the warning from the united states of america in beijing decided that it would be expedient not to send weapons and ammunition to russia at least until the visit of the leader of the heavenly sisinping to moscow and his meeting with the president of the aggressor country, vladimir putin, and the most important thing is that if the leadership of the aggressor country had not tried to replenish its military ranks in the leaders in terms of the pace of procurement of weapons and ammunition , ukraine would have invaded against the background of a full-scale invasion, our country would have become the third in the world importer of weapons and together with its allies and partners continues to bring its own victory closer every day, it still sends military aid to russia , we will discuss this issue with john edward herbst , director of the eurasian center of the us atlantic council and former ambassador of the united states to ukraine so, russia wants to buy weapons anywhere in order to wage war in ukraine