[000:00:00;00] this lukashenko regime, which was actually able to keep its seat with the help of putin's troops, well, here too. of course, it can be considered a stoppage of the rapprochement between minsk and beijing, and here is what is important to understand, because it is not the impossibility of such a thing - the improvement of relations between the two states draws belarus even more into the orbit of the kremlin, and here it is also worth playing, and more military presence and western sanctions are possible against the lukashenko regime. well, the actual impossibility of negotiating with third countries regarding china , so there may be such an option here like a fight uh, with the image of chinese lard in order to reduce stereotyping, uh, about the asymmetric nature of relations with the people's republic of china , well, actually, this can also happen , but we must understand that putin's regime

is now becoming even more isolated, it is becoming uncontrollable and should not be perceived the fact that china sees putin as a reliable ally , you understand everything very well, the only thing is that in beijing now they have a wait-and-see attitude , they are carefully watching the situation in ukraine and, in fact, there are very strongly drawing conclusions that after the hostilities, it will be clear what role and what place such people will occupy in the international arena . thank you, mr. stanislav, for such high-quality analysis. seven countries at once, including the former soviet republic of estonia , latvia, and lithuania, since then the baltic states have been under the reliable defense

of the alliance umbrella and are themselves joining this reliable defense umbrella. took place on march 29, 2004, the flags of seven new members of lithuania, latvia, estonia, romania, bulgaria , slovakia and slovenia were raised above the nato headquarters in brussels. this was the largest wave of expansion of the alliance since its creation. when nato was founded the peoples of these seven countries were captives of the empire they endured bitter tyranny they fought for independence they earned their freedom through courage and perseverance and today they stand with us as full and equal partners , the door to nato will remain open until all of europe is united in freedom and peace, the western press

emphasized for the first time that not only the members of the warsaw bloc joined nato, but also the countries of the former ussr, are latvia and estonia for them joining the alliance was vital because it guaranteed security and protection from russia. since then , four more balkan countries, north macedonia, croatia, montenegro , and albania, have joined the alliance, but at the summit in bucharest in in 2008, nato refused ukraine and georgia to provide an action plan regarding membership, according to many observers, in particular, and this is possible russian aggression against ukraine to remind our tv viewers that military aggression against ukraine is about putin's aggression . so it was accompanied by a corresponding statement by putin, so he demanded the elimination of the euro-atlantic alliance from the countries that were included in nato during the last waves , we will talk about this and others with petros

of austria, at the time a lithuanian deputy, the head of the group of friends of european ukraine in to the european parliament glory to ukraine, mr. ostryavichu congratulations to the heroes of slavia glory i congratulate you very much thank you for everything you do for our country, we in ukraine - we appreciate it extremely much at the same time we would like to move on to the current agenda we understand that a huge negotiation is unfolding before us track so this is in particular about american pro-democracy initiatives and various shuttle initiatives to which the same shizenpin joined, on the other hand, we understand that the task of russia under the guise of some of pseudo-negotiations or pseudo-negotiations to freeze the situation on the fronts in order to then, after the russian interventionists regroup, start a new next phase , of course i may be wrong, i would ask you to give

a current assessment of the situation yes, uh, segodnya zanote takoy uh, uh, symbolic day, uh, 19 years old, kak lithuania joined the north atlantic bloc, we call it nato, and you know, i would say so in the mid -1990s. and by the way, lithuania declared that its е интересы will join and the european union then had another name, euro, but it was the same as nato, the very beginning of the restoration of independence, that is , from march 11, 1990. but already at the beginning of the 90s , we heard such definitions what, where, why do you need nato, everything has changed here, the cold war has ended

, there is no threat, and so on, but we had our historical arguments, and we also saw that russia itself is already going in a completely different direction than we expected, and that's it. moving on to the current situation, i would say that despite everything, these actions are uh-huh continuing the aggressive war against ukraine on the part of russia , as well as creating a second-leg situation around eastern europe, we should not stop promoting this issue, that is, the countries that want to join and see this as an opportunity meets all the criteria for membership. they must be admitted to this organization in 2008. in 2008, bucharest made a huge mistake. when ukraine

, including georgia, were left on the doorstep of this organization, then not there was a dizy er there was no exact definition how can the situation develop and you can see where it went that is always when the aggressor sees an opportunity they always use this opportunity, so we must not only correct the mistake they made in the eighth year, but do everything possible in the previous months before the vilnius summit so that the ukrainian issue was raised at the highest level and everything was done as it is said that it is necessary neb- all necessary work also all political eh as they say eh decisions are made so that this path would be

open for ukraine because ukraine has already heroically proven with its struggle that it stands by eh on those eh i would say principles that determine membership in nato, so it won't be easy because the argument of military actions not determined will probably be used again, there will be threats and continuing threats from russia, but i think that if we make this mistake even now we will simply open the door to the future eh, different possible eh situations that may require even more от нас есть dotrat и и жизни, tell me petros, how demonstrative do you think what is happening now with sweden and finland, these two countries intend to join

the north atlantic alliance after a long time well, actually, there was such non-alignment outside of this bloc, at least they were, but you hear that russia's aggression against ukraine prompted them to take this step, there is already a reaction from the russian side, actually, putin resorted to something like well, nothing, that's their business. all okay, everything happens, he spoke about it frankly, and if it was about finland, on the other hand, with sweden, things are a little different , for example, the ambassador of the russian federation in stockholm, viktor tatarintsev, published an article in which he stated that by joining the bloc, sweden would become a legitimate target for the russian federation. and as far as it became known, the ambassador was summoned to the ministry of foreign affairs of sweden, so we will wait for the continuation of this story . how indicative is it for you that what the russian federation is demonstrating and whether

the north atlantic alliance should somehow respond to these signals, which can turn out to be just a bluff, you know, i think that ukraine is plotting a scene here, which i saw and finland and sweden immediately made their strategic decision to join nato, there are no questions left for them, who became russia what kind of policy does it pursue and what can it be? it has plans for other neighboring states. that is, the ukrainian defense, the ukrainian struggle, it has become, as it were , a shield for the new one. an opportunity, and by the way , it may even be an optimal interval

time for finland and sweden to react to the new geopolitical situation, so i think that they made very correct decisions that they refuted decades ago when lithuania entered no, it's not necessary, we have completely different and uh outcomes of our security policy, we cooperate with russia and so on . they made the right decision, i think finland and sweden will become the most full-fledged members of nato very, very soon , probably finland

rather than sweden. borders with the russian federation , they have already gone on such a path, and i see only membership. russia, therefore, this is a very good argument. i think the argument will benefit both ukraine and georgia , and i think that in the future of moldova, because i do not see, as it is said, the security of moldova, if it continues to pursue such a policy that conducted until today, dear mr. ustryavychus, russia has announced its readiness to deploy nuclear weapons in belarus, and we understand that it is not even a scenario of a possible global armageddon, we

understand that it may be a specific military provocation in the near future that means half a year, a year, several months, in particular against poland and against lithuania, we understand that the so-called suvalt corridor and er ground communication with the kaliningrad region remains one of the key directions for the kremlin. poland itself is strengthening, so to speak, its positions in the direction of kaliningrad, in particular, it is also about the placement of patriot systems there and the placement of himers systems there, i operate purely with open sources, how realistic is the military provocation in that direction well, because there is another explanation for why the russians should place nuclear weapons in belarus and i do not see

i know that i i i i am convinced that ukraine has a good experience е-е совіх отношения с е-е with the current leadership in belarus которые очень it is difficult to predict er. i think that er lukashenko's regime no longer has the decisive say on all these decisions that we hear about, that is, strategic defensive and er decisions related to security. yes, to regional security, i think that it was completely pressured by sides of moscow and lukashenko was forced to accept all this now he represents it as if it were a request from minsk and so on what is it because belarus feels pressure from nato but these are all words, these are words that simply

explain and show us very much it is very clear that belarus is falling more and more into the arms of russia, and russia is openly dictating all minsk decisions . and according to the current one the arrival of the russian armed forces in belarus, everything comes from the pocket of minsk, and therefore there will be an organic economic problem for belarus, but for us it is definitely a challenge, for us it is a challenge because it is, as it were, the factor of intimidation, yes, it showed that this is - it can be used and so on, but you know, i think that moscow and minsk should understand that lithuania and poland are nato countries , so how would our country answer this answer? no, and

not from poland. that's why they, i think , fully understand these conversations are accelerating for as they say for uh, um, for those who don't understand the situation. and here, i think that uh , we have even less time to prepare, uh , what needs to be done is to buy uh, weapons and invest in our defense even more, that's why i really hope that this will be another one for us. as they say , it is a factor in increasing investments that are necessary for our security. thank you, petra. well and regarding plans for defense purchases in lithuania in 2023, there are plans to purchase

various types of weapons for the amount of more than 750 million euros, the local ministry of defense reports , and this leads to certain thoughts. well, we are going further in connection with the studio oleg katkov chief editor of defense - express oleg, we congratulate you glory to ukraine, reznikov showed the marders, this is how the information is coming to us that the leopards are gradually reaching us and not only p. oleg , how dynamically is the saturation of our military units with western armored vehicles? of course, we are not keeping anything secret we reveal, but at the same time it does not fall, so to speak, plywood, plywood joy, well, the main thing is that everything is happening according to the schedule , that is, for example, germany, there are other countries , when it was transferred, they announced the transfer of equipment, well, they immediately said where exactly

it will be transferred, the deadline was just the end from march, which is not from march, and marders and leopards and not only from germany, but also , for example, from portugal from by the way , also from poland from other countries, already in ukraine until now, mine at the level of the ministry of defense it was demonstrated that the american striker wheeled combat vehicles have arrived in ukraine, that is, the process of the idea, and it just destroys the organized by many countries . that is, for example, it is a guarantee of those agreements that take place behind closed doors during the same meetings at rammstein, that is, what is happening. exactly this. what is the most important thing there instead of public statements, that is , the transmission of the technical defense itself is synchronized, and the main thing is that these are already assembled units that have undergone full coordination already on the territory of the nato countries, that is, they received all these skills are relevant to from the instructors in the territory of this country and

automatically completely passed eh formed units already there their keys to their beloved everything p olezhe well, we understand that information about the provision of certain weapons to us or its arrival on the territory of our country eh - it can be precisely information and with a certain pause for absolutely objective reasons . we do not want to help the enemy, but when we are talking purely about time, it is clear. can we, in the same aspect, talk about the quantity of this or that technique i.e here is what is declared, but can it be less or more after the fact on the battlefield, well, most likely, it can definitely be more, but here the point is that who is declaring what, that is, for example , there, well, let’s say so, connect the americans when they transfer armored vehicles, any other weapons, well let's say so, they have already been placed in the fact that they were not announced, they were disguised, for example, there are the same

anti-radar missiles that for several months were hiding under the name etc. only after the fragments of the serial numbers, which were well from the rocket that had already hit the anti-aircraft missile systems of the rashkists , simply appeared on the network and identified the missiles themselves well, then the usa already recognized relatively , for example, the demands from germany, well, in my opinion, it might play a role here the role of their pedantry , because what they do every week, in fact , the government in germany publishes an exhaustive list of everything that they transfer, and there is not only armored vehicles or any other heavy weapons, even blankets are counted there. that is, well

this is possible. in fact, such pedantry is german and too superfluous in this situation, but as it is, it is also from the weapons that were actually announced to us. i don’t know how actively it is used. is it used at all, but in russia they claim that for the first time they managed to intercept a clever aviation glsd bomb, in particular, how much is it is it at all possible because we talked about these about these projectiles and that it is not easy for any air defense system not to mention education and we don’t even know perhaps fortunately we don’t know so did gls db fly to us, well, in the sense of reaching or not what is interesting is that washington does not resort to interesting wording. washington cannot confirm the message of the ministry of defense of russia that a projectile was shot down in the zone of the so-called military special operation in ukraine, there are two aspects, firstly they well, let's go, when we talk about a report

from the ministry of defense of the russian federation, then we are talking about a certain rather low-quality genre of stand-up, that is, when konashenko comes out, he tells something. well, because they already well , i'm not wrong yet. the fifth round of the destruction of all the weapons that probably already exist in the world , at least in relation to what is objectively in the armed forces of ukraine, they are already there for the fifth time , which means that they will destroy everything in general, let it become an imaginary fact that there is probably not as many in the world as they have already destroyed the third aspect, there is still, er, in fact, there is such a bradley infantry fighting vehicle, which has not yet reached ukraine, according to the available information, but the russian unit was already destroyed as of september, and it was official the statement of the defense of the russian federation when even bradley was still talking about this armored car in the air, they had already destroyed it, and

since the summer in the steppes of the kherson region, the soldiers had seen these zoopards for the second time, that is, this is a separate moment regarding the veracity of course, and in general the adequacy of logic, the presence of any mental abilities in the ministry of defense p- regarding the propaganda of its er, but if we really say that ukraine received such ammunition, then well, most likely, it is extremely positive news, but the fact is that usually fragments appear quite quickly farishists describe these munitions, well, they are constantly published there by local residents, they appear in the information space , well, regarding the source зd and well, there is no such information, well, in parallel, we would like to ask you about the pace of supplying us with ammunition, we understand that no one thought that the war would be so bloody protracted that it will create so many resources on the one hand, this applies to the enemy

as well well, but we are primarily interested in our combat capability well, accordingly , the french minister of defense yesterday the day before yesterday he said that france would almost double the number of 155 155 millimeter shells that will be supplied to us, but we looked and saw the number of 2,011 ammunition , that is, this is an extremely small number. joint programs with ukraine in order to satisfy our ammunition hunger, well, first of all, france really, let's say, has a rather limited production capacity, and from the point of view of ammunition, precisely because, well, always you must remember that france itself, for example, has an armed force, and there are 200,000 people

in the armed forces, 7,020 uah. that is, if you have 72 artillery systems in the caliber of 150 mm, then it is quite difficult to have, well, there is no need to have a powerful production of ammunition, and france does not plays, of course, the first violin in the supply of ammunition to ukraine, and even within the european union, an important aspect is that other countries with developed ammunition production, which actively earn money by exporting them munitions all over the world, they are massively increasing the production of the entire range of munitions, in principle, poland has already announced that it will increase the number of times , similar statements were made by the slovaks, if we appeared there, information, for example, from the already ex-minister of the prime minister of bulgaria, who announced that after naming the factories which transferred arms to ukraine through re-export through the usa and great britain for something like two

billion euros, and these are precisely the ammunition productions that are responsible for the production of indigenous calibers, i.e. we are talking about 122 mm from 152 mm artillery was equipped with waste paper mines of anti-tank e-e guided missiles rains of soviet complexes rocket munitions nurses i.e. this flywheel that is just beginning to unfold we are talking about the fact that now all ammunition companies are increasing production multiple times because you already have it there is demand and well the important thing is that we are talking about a market military economy, that is, there is demand , companies are starting to expand production, and the fact that, for example, in the european union , a multi-year program for the production of rifles has already been announced through a single procurement center in the form of the european defense agency, it is about the fact that 30 armies and the european union , most of which are women , they will purchase centrally, that is , entrepreneurs have received a guarantee of a long-term order, and this allows them to expand

production and meet the needs of only our own army and, of course , ukraine . we get them from there, as we understand it, but the russian federation is also trying to find such sources, or could a situation arise that, relatively speaking, it is permissible for pakistan , which has certain reserves of the corresponding projectiles, on the one hand, to supply them to us , on the other hand, to sell them is it normal for the russian federation? i think that any sale of any weapons to the russian federation for any country that is not an outcast of pakistan is not a country with grief in principle. it is a quite powerful country that simply yes yes, that is, for any country, the supply of any kind of weapons is

a huge risk. the only country that actually still retains a fairly high share in defense contracts and joint projects with the russian federation is india, but it is trying to distance itself , that is, to complete these projects that have already been launched there is invested money and well, at least there is no more information regarding new agreements , at the same time we can fulfill those already concluded in the contract, for example, to the v400 complexes and even well, again to him when we talk about china we say, we understand that china is not the worst, it was hoped that it will not supply weapons officially, that is, with an open fence, but will look for it, maybe if it is so , after all, a decision has been made, for example, regarding the transfer of shells, then it will look for as many detours as possible so as not to fall under western sanctions, therefore that well, they are really extremely influential , including its influence on china, and the worst, but

most realistic, scenario of the bad ones is that, for example, the same china can start the production of ammunition for the russian federation er, they are under the wing, that is, masking their origin and passing it, for example, through the dprk. but it seems to me that such a scenario will be fixed quite quickly and everything will be done so that this does not happen in the end. putin has a different plan, the putinites started throwing in different numbers. well, accordingly, i would like to know if there is any ability, so to speak, to calculate how many units of armored vehicles they can restore and or modernize in a month a difficult question, super difficult. and let's take what the russian federation and the ministry of defense said in official statements at the end of the year, that is , for the first time in the 21st year, at the level of the ministry of defense

of the russian federation, it was reported that the military was sent 500 units of new and modernized armored vehicles. in other words, this is only a new release, it is also a modernization of old soviet equipment. 500 units, half of which were tanks. increase in the production of the main types of weapons and military equipment by 30%, that is, roughly speaking, armored vehicles - this is the main thing that is in the armed forces of the russian federation, that is , plus 30% to 500 e-e, now they will most likely continue to expand or not rest on two things, the first is simply the capacity of the enterprises themselves , that is, switching the enterprise to 24/7 mode does not