[000:00:00;00] it is more with the spring, it is generally more. that is why we must go forward, prepare for difficult battles and win back the temporarily occupied ukrainian land, more and more . in fact, by the way, i have seen everything even on the russian airwaves , which i still have to monitor. of course, there is julia davis, an american who helps a lot in this sense and by the way then it is not necessary to listen to the russian language, you can just watch the english subtitles calmly, this is a good option, but more and more i just see that they sound the same even on some more or less at the national level, there is already an awareness of what is possible. they will not be able to win this war as they imagined. does this eventually open up some options for a faster end to the war? and in your opinion , it does not open the pace of mobilization so far

theirs, i would say, are more than satisfactory, at least judging by the last six months, and vice versa, what they are now shooting with conservation, this is an old weapon, an old moklop that was released in the 50s dash of the 70s of the last century, for me, this is evidence that they are entering long and the fact that there are some there are single sprouts who are immediately baptized as extremists, so to speak, and immediately take control of those who write about what you say, the essential situation does not change, russia is a deep archeological country that believes in putin no less than god and until the loss directly military potential will not be such that they simply will not allow them to continue the war in ukraine, then i do not expect anything personal from them, from ordinary russians, of course there are black swans, but to count on

black swans, well, at least in such large ones issues when ukrainian statehood is not proven faster. believe me that at some stage some troops who will be surrounded in some end by a couple of thousand will start giving signals to their families, and not liberals abroad or some pro-positionalists in quotation marks who, according to the methods of the fsb , write out such somewhere there, i don’t know any news to support that it might be time to stop there , well, they are falling, so to speak, who will react to it as they perceive it, i.e. hope for the internal russian factor, i personally do not have any p oleksandr, we often hear from servicemen who join us in the telethon about the fact that what affects them very much is also that sometimes in the rear they do not begin to forget that there is a war, that the war is the business of the volunteers, that is the business, first of all , of the military themselves who went there themselves or were there

somewhere there they mobilized and so on well and and and no sometimes it seems that it may be exaggerated but but i just understand that we are also here with our information bubbles, we are constantly at war, we are someone’s volunteer in business, i will perhaps hide in lviv this week my the friend and me. i don’t feel that the war is far away. although i am a hundred kilometers from the front, but then you see such and such a video from bukovel , where is there a person who did not like what was said by the military that he speaks russian everywhere and he he says go to your bahmut and he suddenly realizes that maybe you are just a bubble and really for many in ukraine this war is already far away is your opinion hmm is this high mobilization of society necessary for us

to win how to preserve it and what to do in the end with such people how did you see this scandal in general, what caused you these thoughts and emotions, well, a standard reaction of course there are people , and there are people, if so, in the lviv language, although through the press, it is the whole country, that is, despite all that, there are better layers in society and there are individual representatives so now ukrainian society, well, this is a normal psychological technique , it tries to push the war out where it can and push it out, because it is very difficult to live with it every day. it is very difficult for a family to understand a loss, well a defeat. hmmm, one should treat the category of people who firstly suffered from copper and secondly are in service with equal dignity. that is, not everyone wants to understand this, and really sometimes it is better, as you say, to close in a bubble, nevertheless

, we do not have there is no other way out, i mean the state of ukraine, there is no other way out than to be mobilized, than to improve our economy, let everyone have their own survival skills, the ability to work with weapons, and we have no way out but to build up our own retirement potential, then, unfortunately, the war is coming for a long time, and if we did not want to make it a matter of several thousand 600,000 volunteers and several million servicemen of the armed forces of ukraine, it is not profitable, unfortunately, it will not work because the enemy has completely different plans and his plans are not limited to the ukrainian donbas, it is equal to february 24 and the fact that someone just displaces because it is easier for him to live like this, maybe it’s true, i’ll say it again, it’s a normal psychological reaction, maybe it’s for a short time , but because of the fact that many people hide this problem from themselves, it’s not going anywhere, believe me is disappearing, and unfortunately, taking into account putin's decision to go on the road, on the contrary, it is even intensifying, so my personal opinion on

this matter is approximately as follows - that not the entire state machine and all conscious layers of ukrainian society should constantly give signals through the media through their own environments that we we need to be as collected as possible and continue to help the ukrainian language of the front in the person of concretely promises a specific brigade and the armed forces of ukraine as a whole we need to build up the ukrainian economy we need to be as close as possible to and move as much as possible without approaching the facility west. by the way, it gives regular signals and it is necessary to understand that as long as these signals with that frequency or rhythm are turned into weapons , finances and ammunition, until then we will successfully resist the russian army, but i will offer all this as a guarantee our victory in the ukrainian war is the stability of ukrainian society in many upheavals, and believe me, all of them are still ahead and there will be a lot of them, so everyone needs to

build up, you know, in that core of it very much actually speaking about what is happening now not at the front. or maybe i can say, i don’t know, on another front where ukraine is also fighting to become part of europe, you know . made up of the contours of the countries that are part of the european continent, not even the european union, just the european continent, there is no map of ukraine there, and i and i caught myself thinking that in principle, i don't know what they will be like after this war, i don't know how long will it last and maybe it will stretch for centuries again but okay, i don't know what the offices of this country will be like at different times, but i want this country to be represented in this picture, that is ,

i don't know who would draw it, that is, such a similar picture children in lisbon, i don't know there is someone there in poland so that no one has doubts this country is also a part of europe and this is the minimum that i think can definitely be considered a ukrainian victory in this war, but it also means that we must be a part of this european uh community and now i see the news that the judicial reform is taking place right now, i don't know if this news is reaching the front, is it the most important, well, mykhailo zhernakov seems to be yura writing about what new members eh are now they actually elect the members of the higher qualification and competition commission in the ccs, they actually elected the worst possible ones, that is, it means that the judicial reform can be failed right now, during the war , some things can be laid again for decades to come, which, well, will not allow us to enter the

of the same european union, we can win the war in any way but not become a part of europe. is it important to you that we are all being pressured a little by the hydraulics, which to a large extent actually turned into the worst branch of the corrupt hydraulics, and this is already our history, but what about the european union there is an incorrigible optimist here, i accepted the decision. believe me, in countries that had a much worse internal situation with the reforms, of course there was no such degree of war as is now on our territory, but with the reforms they had everything much worse. i mean ukraine in central and eastern europe. therefore, this will be a political decision and we will definitely be on that map, and i hope that this decision will be in the next 3-5 years, so we must fulfill a number of requirements that are written in the methodology that we gave ursov a counter-day, but even without fulfilling some part of these requirements

, they will make a political decision for themselves that ukraine is from europe, they confirm this in the last year of providing material aid by accepting our refugees and, in principle , promoting the ukrainian name of the res, and they they will definitely prove that the time has not yet come, and by the way, no matter how much someone would like to synchronize these two processes, that is, the successes on the front of the russian-ukrainian war, er, of our armed forces of ukraine and the direct movement towards the european union, these are not identical concepts, believe me but of course , it is possible for us to implement this method among the requirements of which, as i understand it, is the judicial reform about the block that you mentioned . it is like that in the previous places of work well, but now there are other responsibilities and now first of all for me europe is the one who gives hope in

terms of ammunition, weapons, training of our armed forces of ukraine and general political support to win the war, the question of solving it on in the first place, i agree with you oleksandr hanushchyn was with us the major of the third brigade of the armed forces of ukraine , a deputy of the lviv regional council who spoke in particular about the situation in kharkiv oblast. of the russian so-called military forces, they have decreased a little recently. as you know, he writes that there is a certain maxim kalashnikov. he also has a few subscribers in the telegram . even such things are already recognized, and by the way, bakhmut writes

that there is nothing russian, the russian version of artemovsk has not taken root, but even in the russian military, he writes that and because further we are waiting for meat assaults of others in the krep districts well, and meat assaults, too, i see entered in principle, in the minds of even the readers of russian propagandists , here he admits that huge losses under bakhmut are borne by the russians and those who are trying to storm with strong assaults bakhmut continues to hold on, part of the city is captured, it is true that the battles are actually going on in the center, but bakhmut is holding on. by the way , mr. serhii zgorets, military expert , director of the company distance express , mr. serhii, is joining us.

bakhmuti and uh, are the russians moving there to the possibility of taking it? well, i think that the conclusions here are generally understandable, because for a long time the enemy will activate actions in the direction of bakhnuti and avdiyivka and maryanka , but this uh, dynamic is not so significant, although indeed, we can confirm there that the hostilities continue in the urban area, that is, the central part of the city and the south and the north, but the hostilities in the central part, well, it is actually so complex from the hostilities and it is, in any case, accompanied, of course losses on the side of the enemy, and here the main thing is that there should be logistical support and support for our artillery from our side, which is actually happening, and by the way, this night there was a pentagon briefing where

the situation was discussed and it was said on the line that such things are happening along the entire front line well, the actions do not change, the front line itself is slowly becoming aesthetic , and now the main task from the pentagon and from our partners, as was said, is to provide assistance to ukraine in preparing for control offensive actions so that it is noted that the situation in bakhmut remains so difficult, but we recognize, as they said, the american side, well, the choice made by the ukrainian armed forces is important, by detaining the enemy in bakhmut and in avdiyivka, where the enemy is also trying to advance, but the dynamics there are minimal, so already so we can continue to say that this great offensive of the enemy is slowly wearing off, although the inertial actions in the area of ​​bahmut and avdiyivka

will continue for some time, which actually well can confirm that these areas will be active for a certain time, or will it be enough active shells with about the pentagon's own aid, a new package of two and six billion has been made public , what is in this package for you to pay attention to, well, this is really important. attention to the four components is actually, first of all, strengthening against air defense - this is providing the ukrainian army with ammunition, spare parts, then art systems, the third component is armored vehicles and the fourth component is training to prepare for conducting such a large-scale combined operation, that is, in fact, we can talk about a shield in the form

of anti-aircraft defense, the fire in the supply supply system then beckoned when we talk about various samples of e-e-e-e-e-e-m-e mobile automotive british equipment. preparation is precisely the preparation of the force of means for conducting the next fire operations and conducting defensive operations in the directions . let's remember in general that the united states still provided us with military aid for 33 billion dollars and this package told the composition of the castle 2:1 and 2 - this is what is ordered in the american defense industry. the strengthening of the current in meeting the current needs of the ukrainian army here, the main thing is to look at ammunition of various

calibers and here it is written about rockets for patriots, ammunition up to 155 mm high-precision caliber, ask for excalibur ammunition up to mines, that is, in fact, 500 million, it is precisely from the ammunition component and the missile component, mainly when we talk about it , more than 2.1 billion, there is also the manufacture of missiles for the nasambs system, a significant list of ammunition equipment, some new samples, these are new samples, there seem to be 9 new ones installations with 300-mm high-speed guns to fight free complexes 10 of these new complexes with ipq ws guided missiles that are capable of hitting the enemy there at a distance of 5 km with guided weapons well, actually

many other systems are included, by the way, we will burn the number of refuelers, which also seems to be 60 pieces , which are also a sign of a new reinforcement, on the one hand , the mobility of our units, because the fuel of non-refuelers forward is necessary, and on the other hand, it is security from the point of view of what we understand that now the ukrainian side is implementing such a concept of options, when it means that this part of the fuel is stored in fallen gas stations or to be mobile, well, in conditions when the enemy can carry out strikes on our fuel storage containers. well, that’s it part of the future logistics of the offensive, is it possible to assume that there is absolutely no engineering equipment, fuel, etc., a system for demining the territory in fast-moving russia, these are the components that were transferred earlier and are being transferred now , it is really important for the offensive to be well prepared, planned, secured, i myself, you are reading sometimes there are also reviews like that, and i myself once thought that we still need to transfer all those javelins there, we

need f16 for a long time, but here are the shots. i already showed them today, maybe if they are now to repeat this, the fifth separate assault brigade and aidaru made it public, by the way, there are similar videos, a few more saw this moment, a worker who was filmed from drones , as the ukrainian armed forces are cleaning. the bmp is also working, and the assault brigade. this seems to be the actions of knocking out the enemy in the ivanivskoye zone, where they were entrenched. at first , we repelled our positions, then we repelled them from those positions and pushed them back, and here we see that the tank goes first. well, in fact, the tank performs now it is a rather risky function, because in fact it takes on the main burden of clearing these burns

, then an armored personnel carrier moves behind the tank . it is heroic and risky, but we are the work of our tanks. by the way, we also saw in the matchmaking-criminal zone where our tankers are. this is a well-known video of the k2 battalion, where several of these stages were how we knocked out the enemy from. did we, more precisely, hold our positions using tanks when our tanks carry out offensive actions even without the support of infantry, there are certain nuances here, one can criticize there, but we see the result when they are not ready against such. place them under fire and fortune teller in that other video, by the way, there is a moment when they shoot from under that trench, from those chances , they shoot at our tank from the bassoon. as far as

i understand from russian, this anti-tank take such an analogue and well, it’s probably bad that they get smeared by a very small distance and it’s fatal for them to get wet because then, well, in fact, the position is completely destroyed eh but but actually and that’s what i was leading to. imagine what they would have javelins, such an attack would be simply impossible and this and this and this shows what the russians face in the same situations when the ukrainians have javelins in this package. literally, you see, that is, in fact, the enemy, when he is scared, he runs away, but in order for him to run away, it is necessary to use giovanni and mine the territory, because this increases the guaranteed approaches to the destruction of enemy tanks, but i will repeat the extreme package , which was announced by the united states, there are sources , that is, a significant number of mines

ammunition for automatic grenade launchers - this is what our soldiers in bakhmut complained about, so that there is a lack of mines, there is a lack of ammunition for automatic grenade launchers, we see that in the format of such a quick operational delivery these needs are met, and because it will really affect the stabilization of the action with the use of weapons that were provided earlier, which are effectively used by our military mostly in the west , they look very optimistically at the future of the ukrainian offensive, and they recently quoted again there unnamed sources say that there in the pentagon believe that this will be a successful offensive , but sometimes there are skeptical voices, i think it is important to hear them as well, on the eve of the visit of our president zelensky to warsaw, the former from

deputy minister of defense and former commander of the ground forces of poland, general skripchak, said that he believes that in his opinion, ukraine will not be able to completely liberate all 20% of the occupied territories in the near future , because for this, ukraine needs to have a four-to-one ratio, in his opinion , to outnumber russian forces and this is something that ukraine will not be able to implement, well, this year , respectively. he believes that no matter how successful the offensive is, in the end, this war , at least in this phase, in this stage, will end some kind of compromise solution what do you think about this, in fact, there is part of the truth in this, we are talking about the fact that we need to prepare a counterattack or several counterattacks according to our estimates. i think that in the ideal version it will be the end of the third quarter, the autumn in the format will be decisive hostilities and further, we must ensure the most successful actions

in view of the forces that we will have at the present moment, one of the following solves the issue of victory , this offensive creates must create a new political reality in order to set the maximum damage to the enemy, and further conventionally speaking, how is this related to political negotiation matters, because now it is necessary to press the enemy to the readiness of the fact that in any case they will lose this war now to the teeth putin himself believes that he is still waiting for the 24th year and thus he will rely on the european community and this is a component of the current russian actions

. the dynamics of one offensive is not equal to victory, this process will still take a long time, how will the enemy act? i think that now i will play for one of the important challenges, which the violinist emphasizes, saying that one to four is actually a breakthrough defensive positions. we hope that we will test defensive positions. it would not be possible to use exhaustion, as we did the liberation of the kherson region. well, this is exactly the ratio of 1:4. well, we have seen examples, for example, there is dough in iraq itself when the ratio was not at all 1:4 and it was even there somewhere. it seems to me that at some time the coalition or american forces were less than the arab forces, at least numerically , however, it did not affect anything, but they had an absolute advantage in the air, does ukraine have

any may have such technological advantages that will allow, even though we do not have this huge advantage, to achieve some such consonant results. i think we are now because when the americans talk about the fact that the first priority is air defense, it is precisely the reverse side of the leveling of russian dominance in the air, if there are no planes in the air, then we can actually say that there are fewer risks for conducting an offensive operation on land, when we talk about the fact that we will soon prevent russian planes that will threaten us and i think that this er operation is an offensive or several offensives there in several areas er. it should take into account some elements and technological solutions and unexpected solutions. so i am sure that there

will be many things that will differ from classic combat operations to ensure the advance of our troops no no we understand that preparations for this offensive have been going on for a long time there are regular meetings of ukrainian and american advisers to general zuluzhny american advisers say that you will be surprised by this operation so this is the expectation of surprise as i understand it all - after all, it has some systemically different approaches to organization in hostilities, and not just the classics of trying to break the enemy with a larger number of personnel, i think that this approach absolutely not adequate in the current state, we need to look for a technological solution, an organizational solution, i really hope that the general staff and the american partners are working on this very thing now about technological solutions, again, and today we were told about this again by mrs. natalya humenya brown, it is

the afternoon of the command about what was increasing in those years, these bombardments with the help of guided bombs of the russian aviation, there is one of the russian experts, it is true, but he is very supportive of ukraine, i am matviev, he i tried to calculate from open sources, taking into account the losses of ukrainian and russian aircraft in this war, in principle i came to the conclusion that somewhere the ratio is now two to 21 to 2.5 . this is also if his input of thoughts is correct, this means and he concludes that even 20 planes, for example f16, could simply be a game changer because the advantage of russia is not as great as it may seem. that is it is not tens of times. well, here ian. the fact is that the number of aircraft

that the ukrainian side has today is somewhere around one third of this number, it is 127, and the rest - this is my 29, that is, the number is also 70 and those that are capable of carrying out combat operations today, and the defect of these aircrafts is that they have an outdated arsenal. in fact, these are indicators of the range of weapons use, which are half as much as what the limited number of russian aircraft that use long-range missiles have, so it is precisely the appearance of even there are 16 or 20 f-16s that are equipped with the most modern range of long-range weapons and in the air and on the ground, this is really the factor that will balance the situation and we can even talk about parity because the f-16 is a universal that can carry the largest range

weapons from guided to long-range private missiles, and there are many times the command of the air force, and on the contrary, give us planes, we are already ready for this, and this is actually the factor that can really change the rules of the game on the battlefield, i really hope that it will happen in the near future, thank you mr. serhiy serhii gorets, military expert, let's express company was with us, but now a minute of memory, a minute of silence for all those who died in this war, we will honor with a minute of silence the memory of the ukrainian military and peaceful citizens of ukraine who died in the war