[000:00:00;00] and china, so china and india will benefit from the reduction in prices, but the main thing is that russia receives a significant reduction in income from e-e oil and petroleum products, despite the fact that the supply itself on the world market is more or less balanced, there is a decision on the decision of the opec countries to partially reduce and extraction, but this is largely related to the fact that the growth of the world economy is far from at the pace that would allow to increase the demand for oil, therefore, in order to support prices , they decided to reduce production, but i emphasize that the task was not to completely remove russian oil, oil, and petroleum products from the world market, but to reduce purchases, including the blocking of purchases that go to e-e at a price of more than 60 dollars, if we take e-e oil, this is

precisely what led to the revenues of the russian state budget for the first three months, by and large, they are catastrophic, and if you look at the data, again , er, which were made public in march , er, on the russian budget, then no party for the account of these funds is from the population welfare fund. did they improve the situation a little by selling gold, but if we remove this factor , we will see that in fact the deficit of the state budget, on the contrary, has increased. accordingly, the situation of a-a will continue to deteriorate and they will continue to improve as time goes on, the less opportunity there will be to achieve a balanced situation, although again this year i do not expect such a drastic change shaft and so on, they will last a year, but if

the war continues longer, then it will already be a process. any materials can be kept there and up to some equation. it has the ability to return to its previous state . but if for any material there , for example, metal, fabric of any material , if there is a certain level after which it breaks, everything can’t be turned back. it can be the same with the russian economy until a certain point. it can hold on, but after that, it will start to be a breaking point, but unfortunately, i do not expect it this year. but if it is a mathematical model, you can calculate when, in principle, it can happen, and i think what is this, well, there is a set of factors that can affect this. well, first of all, what is happening in the world markets, and secondly, to what extent

will russia be ready and when will it be ready to reduce the ruble exchange rate, accordingly, receiving ruble revenues to the state budget and balancing the situation, that is, it will undoubtedly worsen the economic situation for ordinary russians, but uh , the model itself, economically, you will keep it on uh , well, on a certain, let's say, controlled regime , that's why it's so easy for you not to calculate, it's all just a model thing that you can use it there to calculate several models and under what circumstances will they still have problems, in addition to the same national welfare fund that they have , it is closed data on a large account, so imagine which part is real and which part is inflated that is, behind which there are no real cash that could be used. and this is also one of the factors that does not give the opportunity to correctly calculate when the funds and the fund of this welfare to finance the state budget deficit

thank you mr. boris, i wanted to know to talk about what is happening with russian money, which is supposed to be handed over to them, do you generally believe that russian money will really be confiscated from russians in the west? because here, again, i constantly emphasize that it is incorrect to use the term ah-ah-ah what will russia pay to ukraine in money in the form of well, if there is a surrender, then in this case there will be contributions, and there will be no contributions, and because there will be no capitulation as such in the classical sense, that is, the advice is the ukrainian army on red square it will not and will not be signed, the russian capitulation, and accordingly, they will not pay a contribution , and we will only be able to talk about the payment of compensation, and the compensation is something that russia must agree to pay itself, and here is

exactly the sanctions regime, including will be occupy a very important role because a-ah the sanctions are actually killing the russian economy not as quickly as we would like , but they are killing it in order to get out of this regime of strangulation not about putin, but about the successor, and they will have to negotiate with the measures to ensure that the sensational regime is er removed, and this is where the question will arise that i am sorry that you are the funds that are er, this is only the first tranche, relatively speaking, which you have to pass ukraine has a certain e-e measure in this cynicism, i constantly say that why should the west be interested, including in the defeat of russia , because now they are essentially financing ukraine at their own expense, and then there will be a question about the restoration of ukraine and the fact that money will be needed, including the world

-e world leaders of such countries in order to do it not with their own money, it can be done only at the expense of russian money and for this you have to make them pay and in order to make them pay you have to inflict a strategic defeat on them so that they are forced to pay these funds and they themselves agreed not only to return those funds that are currently blocked in accounts in europe, although again there is no exact figure for how many there are, because when they were frozen, they were actually oriented not so much on internal data as on the data of the russian central bank that to know uh, there are so many currencies in the world, there are so many currencies in free-color, khalished currencies, in reality, how many of them there are uh , it is not known for certain, and as far as i know , until now, they can't uh-uh gather an accurate picture, so the question is that this

by the way, there is also the question of what is happening with the russian economy itself, how much of this money is actually there, and how much was stolen, but it continued to be displayed, which, as the presence of funds, is also a separate story. an interesting story. and what was hidden, and hidden in it, is also a separate story, but i emphasize that in any - in any case, those funds that are currently blocked and will be absolutely insufficient for a-a compensation to ukraine and including for the implementation of measures for the reconstruction of ukraine and the restoration of those destroyed objects and public and and civil and social infrastructure and a -a private objects and so on. that is, this basket will be insufficient, therefore , the question posed is what a you have to pay the total amount and this amount can be very significant, this is a question, including how much we we will correctly give data on the amount of destruction and this is a very important thing, i wrote about this that without a correct account and this simply will not be

compensated because with all that and it will have to maybe even conduct something in court to determine the amount itself so that the court determined the amount that should be paid to ukraine, but after settling the question that russia is going to pay first at the expense of those blocked reserves , pay ukraine and then pay a certain number of years, 15-20 years, it is possible to pay a certain amount of funds annually and only in this case the selection regime will be weakened thank you mr. boris borys kushniruk the head of the expert-analytical council of the ukrainian analytical center was in touch with us now we will talk about what is happening in the middle east with us on communications evgeny sova, deputy of the israeli actes and from the party israel by the secret, former vice-speaker of knetsto greetings mr. yevhen greetings vitaly well, first

of all, happy easter , thank you. so that you don't understand the ukrainian language. so you can speak russian. why is that so ? so, let's try to figure out what is happening today, because there have been no escalations. and besides, shelling from lebanon, shelling from the west from the gas sector a terrorist act on the west bank of the river and a terrorist act in tel aviv . permission, i want to trace a small episode that i already had when i was already a deputy in the 19th year in knyazete, i met with a group of ukrainian parliamentarians, i will not name

their surnames. which are happening now. unfortunately, you and i really hope that this will end. as early as possible, a group came to the prince and met and, uh, they were interested in this group of ukrainian parliamentarians. they were interested in the question. how is israel? здесь постаный в израил and what is important for the construction of a normal western democratic society, i told my colleagues in the east that the independent court, that is, the supreme court , like the independent court, the hierarchy goes there , the district world, and so on, that is, on that i wish ukraine had an independent judicial system after the end of the war. but this is one of the foundations of democracy in general. yes, this is western democracy . and now you have listed the events that have been happening in our country in recent days from the point of view of financial security. let's put it this way, this is the consequence of a situation that was misunderstood by our enemies in our environment , that is, three months ago. it started with us when

the current petition was filed. i am in the opposition . now let's talk about it in a model that has shaken society, brought out hundreds of thousands of covers, almost a million people there in different cities of the country, and all because of what people said, you can't just take and change the commission for the appointment of judges , the judicial system will actually fix itself explain one thing to the authorities in israel because you won the elections. so it doesn't work now. all these three months, while in israel, there was a terrible domestic sport, and this sport was otherwise affected, including the army. i don't know if they are watching in ukraine now is your situation being monitored as the israeli army also shared here, the pilots said we will not carry out combat missions here, the infantrymen said we will not come to serve in the reserve, then we are a unit there, for reconnaissance and

reconnaissance. you are now breaking the essence and do what you will do what is behind all of this, they were watching hizballah in the north , yes, iran is watching, syria is watching after all , khoma and the group in gaza, and this is the assessment of these organizations as follows, we are now using this moment let's check on how much is israel ready to confront and shake up the situation? someone did it on the temple mount , then shelling. as you correctly noticed, there was no such thing from levan for a long time , and there was a demand for shelling even on the territory of the sinai peninsula. well, it seems that the egyptian special services there prevented all of this . because, oh, in the army , in the society in israel, there was a split, and because of this reform, it is now natural.

already similar to the situation on february 24, 22nd year in ukraine , assessment of the situation, society is weak, it can be attacked in ryzyum kyiv - this is one story yes, as it were but if there was an estimate that they would meet with flowers there and say that we are ready now to replace our power and the second story is here, after all, no one is talking about the fact that our enemies want to come and they will change the government here and put their people in i don't know if it's going to happen there and it's going to take over the whole city, i don't know what's going on, because i don't know how accurate this comparison is, you only know that the minister of defense , who is not the same party or party, or kot when he spoke 20 now i remember he spoke on march 25 - it was at the end of saturday. he just couldn't. he already said, guys, or we'll stop all this madness now, or i can't be responsible for the situation because the chief of the general staff and the head of the mossad are reporting to him. the head of the

counter-intelligence service, shabak, and everyone told him that the situation is critical. that is, if we do not stop this crazy legislation, the purpose of which will now be subverted by the authorities, then the situation will get out of control, and then we will find ourselves here, as the client says. you know such a conflict that starts somewhere local and spreads immediately we have, thank god yes, there is a lot of conflict in quotation marks and here are our ragas who are closely following us for the situation, they decided to take checks to check how much israel i'm ready for such a situation now eh, this is what happened, this is a fact, and now i’m all saying what will happen next because eh, it didn’t get better because the situation is still the same as before, and we still have the month of ramadan, the revenge of ramadan - this is a holy month, this is a muslim when the situation explosively dangerous and without the fact that he is trying to carry out a judicial reform here, plus i

want to remind you that the situation in our north is also critical . otherwise, it should be in heaven, yes, with the russian army, which is located there. and in this situation, it is now necessary to make some decisions, which i am not a member of the cabinet, i am in the opposition, i do not know what was there , i can only assume that the visible army proposed and said that we cannot be drawn into the conflict, therefore, if we, too, in the near future, we are israel as a state privy to decisions on technical measures against the organization against attempts to strike us , that is, it will naturally be not in as a result of some kind of action, so that it doesn't look like we are succumbing to these provocations, and israel must initiate , that is, always when israel or a circus of some kind of event is always the result, here are the last examples. this is when we were still in the government , that is andrey, there was a government in august last year, there was operation dawn , when i remind you on friday after noon, that is

, four o'clock in the afternoon, and the operation against the icelandic jihad began. icelandic jihad is a pure proxy early, that is, two powerful groups in the gas sector, the islamic dzhigan, who is almost 100% financing us this morning. here's homa with kamaz - this is more of the kind you know from a personal tourist group, but it also has such a good social support because hamason is involved with the population there and what- then there are civil issues , that he controls the gaza strip, and that is why khoma did not interfere in this operation that was in august of last year, then he understood that this is not a war, and then there was an attack on it the icelandic jihad was fired upon for several days, yes, they fired 1,000 rockets in our direction, a thousand rockets, most of them were shot down by the iron dome system, but israel initiated this operation , certain progress has been achieved, and this is what needs to be done, and it does not respond to provocations there from the side of livana from the side of the ball there or siri and so on as if it were a permanent situation here already israel again i can’t

do everything but israel partly from abroad we know partly we recognize strikes at the territory of syria, the strikes are of course aimed at iran, iran, there are some iranian groups, there are some chic groups, so in this regard, it’s nothing , how would it be? which is not because of you vaccinations but with hezbollah and with lebanon , of course, this has not happened for a long time, so it can grow into a full-scale conflict, which will only drag the north, the whole country, and the plus is definitely jelly, so are you the first to bear it ponesyot on the tv случай поламасштабные i understand that the government of lebanon and the government of israel they do not really want to get out of such a big conflict and get out of the way, there are some soothing words from the leadership of lebanon and in israel they are trying to carry out a very careful operation on the territory of lebanon itself , it is the same the risk is serious for both countries, of course it is not just a serious problem, i

see that there is no contact between levan’s request and israel, even to the agreement that was signed by the previous government, that is, we signed it regarding the gas field there are two places of birth, we believe that there is a good agreement, no concessions of territorial things, moreover, a guarantor agreement has also come forward, and the americans and the french company that should now be conducting reconnaissance on the elms since rojaden, that is , on the levant side, there is a story with levan that has been going on for many years you, as a person who follows the situation in the middle east , know very well that we have no land borders , we do not have, we do not have an agreement on a land border with lebanon, and accordingly there is no agreements on the sea border because the sea border is determined by all international channels, it is determined from the land border, that is, the land point is taken, and the line is drawn further, and the two gas fields are not as large as the ones we have, that is, we have them, buy tens of times more place of birth well, here is karish and uh, this

house, which is, as it were, on the lebanese side, uh, there it was necessary to solve this sport, and this sport was resolved with the intervention of the usa and france, and it is very good because, uh, on the one hand, it is yes how would it calm us from our side, because all these places must be an object for attack, and the same and collections, for example , if there will be a conflict, and at the same time, it will allow lebanon, and even from more, in the future , to start mining because today lebanon is experiencing colossal economic problems , they have no light there, they have light there for two hours a day, and it includes terrible economic crises there, banks do not lend money, and so on, and this was a normal agreement because this agreement can slightly brought the positions of the two countries closer in general, but we are not talking about what kind of cooperation it is.

in the sixth year after the war, which says the izbala should not be on the territory of the river letanii, that is, this is a buffer zone. when back in the day , israel controlled southern lebanon so that katyusha, who flies there for 30-40 km or грады yes, usual, that’s how many there are, 125 by mm, yes, so that they were not in south levan, but they have their own groups there, there are polistinsky groups, some groups of hamas sit there, they sometimes periodically threaten there with rockets, rockets there, of course, this all happens in the iron dome. now, in this situation, hizballah behaved extremely cautiously, that is, on the one hand, they somehow gave the green light for this attack to check to make such a reconnaissance, because on the other hand, when the lion immediately got up from the discussion, this is non-homogenous country there and shiites from the sonnet and friends christians there everything that is like that you know the tangle is like that and when they started they were older they immediately started ot nicky this no no we don’t want we don’t want wars created for us accepted that we created a war it means that will you have ruins, that's why it's not necessary, and how would the israeli system hear it, because

we're also not looking for extra cries, we don't need the dead, we don't need victims, after all , we don't need more conflict, because no one is claiming the territory of lebanon nor on месторождения лёва she is not needed, we don't need anything, we already have silence, silence will be calm, if there is no silence in the air, if the era is trying to equip itself with the fact that then we will attack the dutch heights, then we will not have enough of this silence, this is a very simple principle. and therefore, how would i not i can say that there are some contacts, there are contacts through the youth, because of the forces that are located there on the border, but this is not what is assumed, i don’t know, for the resolution of some big global conflict, we have, in principle, with lebanon, such that the question regarding aggravation of relations with the arab world. as you can see, this whole story with alexa she brought led to the fact that a large number of arab countries that are in principle in contact with israel, with whom you have contacts, egypt , jordan, the united arab emirates, on the other

hand, turkey is not arab country, but there are also statements that sound so bellicose. countries with which israel is formally in contact, but has some contacts, uh, out of the limelight, such as saudi arabia, they all protest like this. arab solidarity is the wider muslim world, from saudi arabia to turkey, well, look at me, the arab country in the muslim country , for a long time here, it was the main initiator of all the events that are happening on the ohram mountain in iruale, they even once asked me about it, by the way , i was a chaser they tried to open their offices, but naturally , izrait did not allow us to establish relations with turkey. it will get better because turkey is an important player. by the way, there was a conversation between our president and the presidents . i don't know the details, but according to everything, turkey behaves

very restrained. saldovian arabia, under which it renewed relations with iran , this is bad, this needs to be understood. why did this happen? foreign policy a-a as for the other countries of the arab countries, i don't think that this is a joint venture . so we have signed, except for the peace treaty with egypt, jordan. avraham, that is, it is with the volume of the arab world, it is with bahrain, it is two sides of a rather poor country, the persian gulf, which naturally also has an influence on the situation. to this point, in principle, there is no such solidarity against israel. how was it there eh 20-30 years ago eh when dana can be afraid she can appear when this whole conflict flows from the political plane to the religious plane there is a danger

a- and that is, there are two factors that, in my opinion , are dangerous for the entire region, maybe even for the world . there who is building there? the settlement is a second story, when is it important for hamas to be involved? well, because khoma is behind everything with this initiative, he is trying to transfer it from the political plane to the religious plane, so the additional factor of the current cabinet comes into play. in israel and the nainshchyn cabinet he is ultra takoy you know ultra-nationalistic i can’t even say a word of rights because i myself we are a party of rules of views as if yes and we think that it is necessary to call the settlement and a tough answer toroh but when i look at the behavior of some of our ministers who have not sat there for a single day, for example, in the commission for a foreign day on defense, then i understand that uh, their task is that this is christmas, it's all the same , there's a minister here. here's the minister of national security, the security bondvir

who filmed there all the time uh, he shot some videos in tektoke. and now he needs to make a decision about the chrome game , but they don’t talk to him, you know, but he doesn’t talk to them in the united states, there niva, not in egypt, and they don’t consider a normal minister to be normal, i’m the one who talks like that problem well, this problem is not ours, agree yes, this is the problem of the one who leads this government, not yours, not yours, but it is a problem of the state, a problem of the state without words but this is a problem, first of all, of the prime minister who is responsible for the situation in the state. a minister who cannot not accept this means that he must be responsible for this, that means he must come and make a decision not based on some of his own narrow political interests. i will remind you for a moment that in we are about to be sued, yes, in court, as if he is exchanging corruption cases, and no matter how these corruption cases are handled by the court, and why did the judicial reform begin, because the prime minister wanted to change the future judges who, possibly in the future, will decide the issue of epilation and that's why everything this is when you gather together and put, you know, how we have it now in pesach and

passover on the easter table and see what they take first. it boils down to this judicial reform to the judicial reform that mowed down the army that mowed down the situation within society that forced our enemies to look at us differently and plus you also correctly mentioned the situation on the temple mount. the responsibility for him bears the responsibility, that is, he is at the helm of the government, this is the prime minister , then, uh, then, already there, uh, specifically, by the minister , specifically, by the order of the deputies. it was never accepted to have deputies there. now i hear my past journalists , uh, life. i remember it well. i didn’t. please do it in the books with this do it inside and this is how

the situation itself turned out, how would it lead us to this , that is, when this sky needs to do something, he is the first to budget for the american sme he does not give interviews in the israeli mass media, that is, he is maksym there, he chooses one of two such court journalists, he goes to the american mass media, uh, it has never happened that in five months, five months in the white house , he was not invited, actually, the head of the government of israel well, there was no such thing. israel and the united states are the main allies . well, now you have cooperation between ukraine and the united states. and now multiply by 100. and you will get the situation between israel and the united states . there is no way for israel to defend itself without americans. this is our main and most loyal and most intimate ally. in this situation, our ally has not invited the acting head of government to the white house for 5 months. tell me if you have any questions. it’s not happening. it’s also wrong

. and that’s why we went to hell. we already know, as it were, from many interviews with foreigners. what is happening there, look at what is happening, imagine what the situation is, that is, i can no longer defend the state's position when i understand that decisions within mermaids are not always accepted in an adequate way, you understand , if you can see my collections there, my collections, and a video-rollerman's performance in the knosti you'll see that everything i'm telling you, i said it's inside israel that is, i can't stand the kind of izby, but the situation is so critical that it already seems that someone should leave this madness it's madness until june i don't know there at home june with this court form they will want to protest again hundreds of people eh so to speak a good sign of a healthy democratic society when hundreds of thousands of people come out and are ready to stand day and night raising their noses until it calms down all this reform progress is now a good sign for any democratic country, we know it

from the ukrainian experience. israel-ukraine was on our air, we discussed these problems that have now arisen in the middle east. i simply said there that it is not incredible. the situation is difficult from the point of view of security , and it really is. the fact that in fact the same players who today are trying to undermine stability in central europe, iran, let's say, they are quite seriously trying to do this in the near east as well. so you can see how very similar coalitions are being created from the point of view of i would say the distribution of interests. well, and of course we will have to address this topic more than once but my time on the air is already exhausted i will hand over to anya melnyk now has a microphone so that she can tell you about the latest news of the day and i will say goodbye to you

all the best please a new news release and i will start it with operational information from the general staff, our defenders repulsed more than 40 enemy attacks per day, about half of them fell on the direction of bakhmut, the invaders continue to storm the city of bakhmut in order to take it under full control, but our soldiers are holding on fighting is going on, the clashes also continued near the settlements of avdiyivka, maryanka, bogdanivka, khromove and dibrova in zaporizhzhia and the kherson region , as before, the russians continue to build up their defenses, and the russians are throwing summer units, in particular paratroopers