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plus even more active protection i congratulate you, this is freedom, my name is vlasta lazur, ukraine is preparing a new attack on the russian fleet in the black sea, similar to the sinking of a cruiser, moscow announces this, oleksiy reznikov and promises surprises at sea, what does this mean , let 's talk in a minute. the first visit of a european diplomat to russia, at least publicly, after the international criminal court issued a warrant for the arrest of vladimir putin, what official budapest is looking for in moscow, and is the european union a part of hungary cannot influence this strong friendship. well, the considerable enrichment of the ukrainian deputy from the banned pro-russian party opzzh and his family, the family of the people's deputy

suto mamoyan purchased 13 cars for more than 1.3 million dollars in 2022, like most ukrainian officials, their fortunes are not mine declares, because there is a war in the country, because of which the declaration was necessarily canceled , at the expense of which ukrainian politicians get rich during the war, why ukraine still has not necessarily returned the declaration, and if it is returned, what will it change about today svoboda life ukraine is preparing a new attack on the russian fleet in the black sea, similar to the sinking of the moscow cruiser , defense minister oleksiy reznikov stated this at a joint briefing with the acting minister of defense of the kingdom of denmark, the russian military said reznikov and still do not know all the nuances of the sinking of the moscow cruiser in the spring last year, ukraine said that the minister could repeat a successful attack. at the right opportunity

, there are some nuances that are still unknown to our enemy, which means that we can offer them yet another surprise at sea another piece of cotton related to their ships, and we are just waiting for the right moment to repeat this story. the flagship of the russian black sea fleet, the guards missile cruiser moscow, according to reports and even the ministry of defense of russia , sank on april 14, 2022 while being towed in the port by the way, almost a year has passed since the damage to moscow is considered the most expensive military loss of russia in the war against ukraine, well, of course, a natural question arises here, whether ukraine can really repeat this military success again, what does it say oleksiy reznikov and when he hints at another surprise at sea, this is what we will talk about now. pavlo lakiychuk, head of security programs of the center for global studies

of the 21st century, joins our broadcast . have heard such hints or even frank threats from oleksiy reznikov . he says that ukraine can repeat this surprise for russia at sea. do you understand what oleksiy reznikov is hinting at ? forces at sea right now, well, there will be no surprises, so the minister of defense said that the surprise is to keep my intrigue, but compare the situation that was a year ago , the day after tomorrow will be the anniversary of how the ukrainian neptune missiles against the ships, well , the flagship of the russian fleet was hit at that time, we they had an incomplete division, well, actually, a battery with

a limited number of our domestic missiles for various reasons, since that time, denmark has handed us a number of american harpoon complexes, which are more powerful and more tested than the coastal complex, only a dacha they were not so poorly armed, and uh, with harpoons, they fried them well and sank them in a sea tug. it’s just a name, it seems simple . vasyl bekh, who was carrying out the supply of sharp snake, is a big uh, big uh, auxiliary vessel, uh, they killed on boyka’s towers and platforms on which the russians in the western part of the black sea placed observation posts for the surface and underwater situation , they continued from there to us, too. we demonstrated some there, one tower is still

burning gas in it, so we have enough means of destruction. all over the country, we are gathering, we are gathering for a fleet of naval drones that have already carried out at least two successful attacks on the main naval base of the russians in the occupied crimea on sevastopol. so i will say the navy of ukraine, the armed forces of ukraine are improving the tactics of using their means of destruction, they are inventing new dietary techniques, so the russians should wait for feodosia and sevastopol, and i think in

the new russia as well. cruiser moscow well, now you have assessed the role of the russian fleet in the war against ukraine in general, what are the current functions of this fleet and how have its functions changed a-a year later, the functions of the russian black sea fleet have changed dramatically in a year, in fact, when the invasion began, the russians relied on our state on him, er, it was supposed to be such a force that would invade ukraine from the sea. the black sea fleet drove five more amphibious ships into the black sea , large amphibious ships from the north and the baltic. yes, there is a huge kalosha, only two there are such in russia, they were preparing to conduct a naval amphibious operation on the coast of odesa, it was not for nothing that

this cruiser moskva was cruising under our shores and not only one eh and and in that after the defeat of a low number of russian ships eh in russian paratroopers, marines, simply got scared and landed on the shore of odesa, being wary of a powerful encounter from ukraine. in the end, after six months or even less, all these marines died, the vast majority of them could have died in the battles near mariupol, near kherson, and there are no marines in them. they do not have the capabilities to carry out a naval amphibious operation, that’s another matter again. remember his capture of the serpentine and how they threatened our port with their force of strikes against ship-based missile

con-pu-con-complexes on e-e russian ships forced them to flee to the coast of crimea the owner hides, saying the sea is no longer russian and those grain corridors that we have reached an agreement with the organization of the united motherland and turkey, their security is ensured primarily by the ability of the armed forces of ukraine to strike enemy ships, the only thing the enemy can do so far. unfortunately, he can still strike our infrastructure with missiles of the caliber of cruise missiles from carriers in the black sea. unfortunately, he still has such capabilities, including drone strikes on the sevastopol city naval base there has been more than one such kind blow, the last one was quite recently

in march, forcing the russians to disperse their carriers e.e. to sevastopol in the direction of partly feodosia partly to novorossiysk e. the enemy will lose their ability to be so protected. no one has tested it. i also completely agree with you. they have not become less protected. the enemy simply did not know that they are not protected at all. i will remind you that when ukrainian missiles hit the sides of the cruiser moscow, a representative of the black sea fleet headquarters conducted e kayu company

from this cruiser is engaged in political work regarding what is a special military operation and how it is carried out. this is how the russian baryaks learned what their svo is and that with them there will be resources to strengthen their fleet. russia has such capabilities and potential, or is this potential depleted, and perhaps due to the sanctions, it is being depleted , well, first of all, the fleet is such a thing that you can restore quickly, you cannot rebuild it quickly, and to replenish the capabilities of the black sea fleet, perhaps, you need the good capabilities of the military-industrial complex which are rapidly decreasing in russia , well, in recent years it was obvious that even from 2013-14, the capabilities of the russians

to build ships in the far sea zone of the ocean zone are significantly reduced, not without the fact that the ukrainians have stopped supplying component engines, in particular the zorya, our project is our engines are on their frigates that are in the black sea . the russians will not get more such ships because there are no power plants for them, secondly in the e-e black sea at the entrance to the black sea the regime of the montreux convention, i.e., in the 36th year , the black sea and non-black sea states defined a certain mode of entry and exit into the black sea, and turkey strictly adheres to it with the beginning of russian aggression against ukraine on the entry and exit of military personnel

ships in russia, ukraine, well, ukraine is clean formally, because we didn't have such a thing, but russian ships were forbidden to pass through the black sea straits. so, even those ships that are in the mediterranean sea will not be able to reach the black sea before our victory, and after it, i think that they are already here and there will be nothing to do. and i would still like to go back for a moment to those surprises promised by er-reznikov . well, what we are talking about here is that ukraine will receive some necessary weapons to impress the black sea fleet from the west partners, and here it is obvious. some political will is needed, not just weapons, or is it about the fact that most likely ukraine is developing some kind of its own weapons and has two components to defeat the black sea fleet here definitely and not necessarily there some serious political decisions so when we say about e-e missiles with a firing range of up to 300 km, and

there is no political decision from our partners about their transfer, but remember again the same american harpoons against ship missiles what kind of weapons are the americans of the time armed with the armed forces of ukraine? well, at the beginning of the war yesterday, due to a large-scale invasion, they refused to transfer them to ukraine , however, they were handed over by the dachas, by the luck of some, there were only coastal missile systems, not shipboard missile systems, but complexes of these missiles which shoot from the shore and the russians found out about their existence after their ship went to the bottom, and it is also with missiles against non-radar missiles with feed that is very important from weapons and the russians and

we even learned from them that in of the armed forces of ukraine, they are after our air forces hit a number of their radar stations of anti-aircraft defense complexes with these missiles. therefore, the surprise may be completely unexpected from our partners and in collaboration with our partners, however, the pace of developing their own means of defeat, sorry for the tautology , is actually yielding this year, we have gone through the development of unmanned aircraft and sea systems, well, a ten-year journey, and i repeat, the other day , the enemy's radar station in the feodosia region was hit, it is 250

km from the nearest borders of ukraine. well, i think it is possible to dial to the crimean bridge . thank you very much. pavlo lakiychuk, head of non-stop programs at the center for global studies, strategy of the 21st century, was on radio svoboda. if you watch us on youtube , please like this broadcast . the youtube algorithm works in this way what the more likes, the more people will know about us well, please support our work in this way, and then we will show you a report from donetsk region, the city of the times of the river, this is the very front line, what is happening there

look, the flight was a little scary before, but now we're used to it. well, how can you say you don't pay attention to it? well, everything happens , as they say, everyone has their own projectile , their own cartridge. well, what will happen, what will happen , guys?

to wash yourself, wash yourself with living water, we do everything with tears, we thank them. thanks a lot, they carry bread, they still give at least something, so it is known that it does not work, as they say, it does not fall into one funnel 10 times. ehalsya saw what destroyed completely for you, i guess it's easy yura, buckle up stay here a second for what this is for us people who, well, accordingly , have nothing to do with it now i have now completed 60 years of my life that i tried to do with my own hands everything-everything-everything is there

не мог забрать октура well, that is, they didn't give me sex at home. american intelligence believes that ukraine's problems with the concentration of troops, as well as the lack of ammunition and equipment, may lead to the fact that the armed forces of ukraine will not live up to kyiv's expectations regarding a counteroffensive about this reports the washington post with reference to secret documents that got into the network as a result of the leak of these very secret military documents of the usa in large numbers , as the newspaper writes, in the documents labeled completely secretly dated february 2023, it is said that the ukrainian offensive is likely to lead only to modest of territorial acquisitions, according to the washington post, during the offensive, kyiv plans to return territories in the east of the country and also calculate that the armed forces calculate more precisely that the armed forces of ukraine will be able to advance in the south in order to cut off the russian army from crimea, however, the document states that the combination of strengthened russian defenses and

insufficient training of ukrainian soldiers will probably slow down progress and increase losses during the offensive; in addition , the newspaper's interlocutors among us officials added that similar forecasts were also supported by the assessment of the national intelligence council according to which ukraine is unlikely to be able to regain as much territory as it regained as a result of the autumn offensive in its in turn , the high-ranking officials with whom the journalists spoke did not dispute the american assessment, but noted that the results of the offensive will also be affected to a greater extent by delays in the supply of western weapons . said the official, but the most critical part is the delay of the already promised systems, which delays the training of the newly formed brigades and

the counteroffensive as a whole, several countries in the including the united states sent battle tanks and other armored vehicles to ukraine, but only after organizing because of this decision, which caused criticism from kyiv and its most determined supporters in eastern europe. washington accelerated plans to send a block of abrams tanks, but the delivery was several months before our broadcast joins oleksandr musienko, the head of the center for military and legal studies, with whom we will discuss this information, this is your post, we are yours, congratulations, here is what american intelligence writes, the publication believes that ukraine has problems with the armed forces, more precisely, firstly, due to a lack of ammunition and equipment, and all this can lead to the fact that the armed forces of ukraine will not be able to live up to the expectations of a counteroffensive, so to speak, firstly , do you trust this information, and secondly, why could the united states

to make these are the conclusions regarding the counteroffensive, where do these doubts come from ? the fact that ukraine needs as soon as possible as many weapons as possible for the counteroffensive. i think this is not a discovery for anyone, it is all in the public space and everyone can get acquainted . that is, this issue is relevant . concerns the doubts that may arise, this is also not news, we also heard skeptical assessments earlier, in particular, the views of the highly respected general of the united states , general milli, who also expressed that at the beginning of the year there were doubts that there would be well let's say that it might be difficult for deo to buy the entire territory of ukraine that is occupied by russian troops, he said it is not impossible but it is very difficult to achieve this, accordingly, there are different opinions and different visions and analyzes regarding how

quickly and er, let's say what territory ukrainian forces will be able to buy for deo of defense and this is constantly discussed in the west , therefore i have no reason not to trust what the washington post writes there, the question is in principle different. i would like to pay attention as a center to something else. and not only cautions and warnings were given since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of russian troops, then they also gave us little and said that the ukrainian army would crumble and perhaps we should prepare for a guerrilla war in ukraine in order to resist and support resistance movements in the future, but luckily for us it happened in a different scenario, the following forecasts. i want to remind you that i also remember some analysts who doubted that ukraine would be able to

de-occupy kherson quickly and in such a way as it happened in sensei without local battles without destruction for the fact that but it also happened, that is, in fact, the realities will demonstrate only the battlefield, only directly the battles, based on the results of which it will be possible to draw conclusions and give assessments, and we all of course believe and sincerely hope that these are all the uniformity of the ukrainian armed forces who will succeed in destroying the enemy and inflicting serious and significant military defeats on the russian troops, on the troops of the secretaries in ukraine, here is actually everything you need to know and understand about this situation weapons, as for support, there are constant discussions about this, and in the end, i think that it is possible even such publications, i look at it from this point of view, sometimes even those that can be perceived as critical in our country, but perhaps they will serve as an incentive for extending the help that

we need, you know, i just want to draw attention to the fact that these are the reports where we read doubts about the ukrainian counteroffensive, they are very much at odds with the reports that we simultaneously hear from even the american of the military, for example, the same general hodges, he literally in every interview, just a few days ago , in an interview with ichevela, he also repeated that according to his estimates, it is quite possible that ukraine can liberate crimea in the summer, and here, in parallel , we are opening another edition and there is already a reference to american intelligence about the fact that there are doubts in principle that the ukrainian army is capable of carrying out a high-quality counteroffensive, and this is where i am sure that even the average reader, but even people who constantly monitor this situation, have doubts and the question is, who to trust, how, what conclusions to draw from this, the conclusions are the same everything will show the battlefield , there can be no other conclusions, they can be wrong

, even highly experienced generals or intelligence can be wrong, it can be wrong to make certain predictions, sometimes with caveats , consider different scenarios, we we can also say that there is a position of various generals and various military personnel in the united states . united states secretary of defense lloyd austin, who after the previous rammstein and last time he said that the ukrainian troops should be ready for a counteroffensive in the spring and the usa will make every effort to achieve this and to help it, and ukraine has good chances, that is, there may be different opinions and assessments and it is necessary to perceive it absolutely normally, not to perceive it immediately with the fact that everything is lost or the situation is critical, to perceive it

absolutely with the assessment that there may be different approaches, but everything will be shown exclusively exclusively the situation on the battlefield will show, from what i know from my sources, i can say that for today, despite what is happening , this is the situation we know with the investigation now in the united states of the leaks of these documents, which are being taken seriously at the time. in principle, our combat morale and preparation for this counteroffensive continues and in no way does this affect the fact that morale, etc. is declining, preparations are still being made, preparations are underway but, again , certain remarks regarding the supply of weapons ammunition and projectiles if necessary to speed them up, in principle they remain as they were in the end, and we all know this well, and the western press, in particular, and washington , too, analyzing the leak of these secret documents, write about the fact that, uh, we know that kyiv is in the course of this offensive

plans to regain territory in the east of the country, but also expects that the armed forces of ukraine will be able to advance in the south and cut off the russian army openly, but these published documents say that russia is very well entrenched in the ukrainian south and that the totality with the insufficient support of the ukrainian army will probably happen, the process will slow down and this will lead to greater losses. during the offensive from the ukrainian side, do you share these forecasts and what can be the solution? us in one direction or another, the risks of probability are still there, it is really difficult to disagree, this is understandable, but there are other examples that we have already experienced during the year of this

full-scale war. i want to remind you that on kharkiv oblast in russia had two fortified districts called moscow and peter, and accordingly these fortified districts were given great importance , the chief of the russian general staff, gerasim, came there, there were modern russian weapons, t-90 tanks , they had modern artillery, they were quite strengthened by fortifications with concrete e- e trenches, etc., but this did not save the russian extremes, they gave them a slight advantage , in the end, then the ukrainian offensive there succeeded , therefore, defensive structures are important , they can slow down, but they are not decisive from the point of view of generally ensuring the general deterrence of ukrainian troops, everything depends on how much, let's say, in what volumes ukraine will receive long-range weapons. i mean the same starting j lsdb shells