[000:00:00;00] in ukraine so this is a gradual process, and we are now approaching it, that ukraine is getting long-range systems and such f16, and i believe everything that ukraine needs additional ammunition to launch a successful counteroffensive and liberate all ukrainian territories from the russian invaders. by the way, in ukraine of the army, there is currently no such term as counteroffensive, our main goal is to liberate all territories of ukraine until the borders of 1991, and by that time there cannot even be any talk of the end of the war, the secretary of the nsdc stated oleksiy danila emphasized that the ukrainians will not surrender any of our cities to bakhmut, including that they are constantly shouting that they have already captured it, they hung a flag somewhere ,

a rag, some other thing. i don't know how victory in the second world war is, they are crazy because they believe that taking the district center is the solution to all the issues that exist in their country . it was active last year. and before that, since july. last year, when a difficult situation began there, what concerns er , er, our territories , we are not going to surrender anything to anyone regarding the counteroffensive, although mr. danilov insists that eh such a term does not exist, but let's say that regarding ukrainian offensive operations , i want to ask again. kuleba. the minister of foreign affairs of ukraine said that he urges not to perceive what we call a counterattack as a decisive phase of the war. i think

he said it for a reason, apparently in the west and this was precisely the appeal to our western partners, probably in the west, really just sentiments, i want to ask you about your assessment of how important this counteroffensive is, and what they say about it in general , how they describe it, what they expect from it look, i am not ready to comment on any details or specific plans. the counteroffensive is correct. green must win. ukraine is complete. as you said, go to the borders of 1991 and then stand on the border and defend your territories, and then this war will surely end. this is also important because from a different point of view in the west, everyone is looking at what ukraine can do, whether ukraine will be able to really implement the tasks that are now facing it in order to free at least additional territories . we remember, as i told you at the beginning in a full-scale invasion in the west, few people believed in the victory of ukraine. when ukraine managed to stop this russian

aggression , it was planned to hold a victory parade in kyiv for two weeks or so in the kremlin and drive the russian invaders from kyiv region from other regions of ukraine, it was a shock to a certain extent. it was a positive shock. everyone understood that ukraine can stop the russians and can defeat them. it is worth helping. then we remember that in the months of august and september last year , a successful counteroffensive took place in the south and east of ukraine, where they were released. kharkiv region, kherson region, other regions , this was again a big push for western partners, western society to support ukraine even more. is being prepared for in ukraine. also, i do not think that the western partners consider these offensive actions, which they hope will begin in lisnaya or

at the beginning of the summer, as only a single phase that , one by one, it is possible to liberate, so to speak, all the territories of ukraine. this will probably be a multi-phase approach and he will need this additional western assistance at every stage, but it will still be important so that this offensive does not begin and that this offensive is successful, and that is probably why the ukrainian is preparing for it so carefully the party and the western partners are so carefully approaching and are trying to provide ukraine with the same help that it needs. at this stage, and then already reshaping their opportunities for further help for the further perspective for the complete liberation of ukrainian territories from the russian party, mr. igor, regarding the success of the counteroffensive on my lips the reconquest of our territories and when they talk about the fact that one of the main factors is a sufficient number of weapons, then uh, a sufficient number is

how many. look, there are many factors. probably these are natural conditions, depending on how nature will show itself. it is also important for the offensive when defending, some natural conditions , when you attack, you hope for completely different weather conditions. so here we can no longer control this, but it is also important factor e and the second e is the preparation of the armed forces of ukraine for these offensive actions , for the tactical operations that will be conducted on the battlefield, this was done very successfully during the last counteroffensive last year. weapons, i cannot enter any details now because i do not have the information possessed by the general staff of ukraine, which is preparing this is a counteroffensive, but it should be enough weapons and especially ammunition when we are talking about special artillery shells so that this counteroffensive does not

stop there at the first the beginning of the base, and so that he could continue and go deep enough to free a sufficient number of people from the ukrainian territory from this with this strike, we must also realize that even though the russian plans on additional territories of ukraine on the offensive was successful during the winter completely failed although their missile strikes against the critical infrastructure of ukraine completely failed as well, they already understood this , they learned from their mistakes and we now see from intelligence data and satellite data that russia is preparing for this ukrainian offensive operations, they are digging in, they are also withdraw their military units of their television support to a distance of more than 80 km so that the gunner of the fire volley system cannot breathe on them and hit them on this

distances and this must also be approached for that. all this must be taken into account. we see that they are not only preparing to repel ukrainian counteroffensives, but also, in principle , are preparing for what will be obvious after it, taking into account that they have made changes to the legislation, and now in russia no you have to have some special circumstances there. in order to come to the military commissariat, if you are a man and fit the age to serve, you will be sent to the military commissariat. let's put it this way. that is, there is no need to receive summonses and so on. the state itself will find you and tell you better to fight. in view of this. in your opinion, what is the russian federation actually preparing for and is it not exactly the kind of blackmail that they say , look, we are ready to send everyone to the front . and we have a lot of meat. first of all, this is blackmail, because russia is also appearing in the international arena, and this information is being spread on ukrainian social networks and through other sources

that it is ready to prepare for a long-term conflict, that is, here a bet is made on what is possible in the west. when will you come? i am not satisfied with the fact that ukraine is running out of resources. ukraine also has limited russian resources, but russia is ready to fight for a very long time and it is trying to intimidate western partners and ukraine . the economy of their e-e human resources, the low level of combat capability of the armed forces, the lack of efficiency of their special services , after all, they are not ready for a long -lasting war, and they simply cannot withstand it . because there are many different issues here they will lose all these aspects in ukraine and the west, first of all, secondly , they are probably preparing for some kind of long-term

confrontation, how effective it will be , we will see. for vladimir putin, for the kremlin summer, this is the collapse of their entire system of their power. this is the end for them. and that's why they are ready to really sacrifice. the history of this already says that they are ready to throw thousands of tens of thousands of millions of their own people into this meat grinder only in order to hold on to the rights of the authorities for a while longer. so i have no doubt that they will use the available resources, at least the human resources they have now, in order to drag out this conflict as long as possible and to hold on to the truth, but still i believe that time is not working for the russian federation, it is only a matter of time when ukraine wins, it is obvious that this victory must be accelerated in order to save as many ukrainian lives as possible in order to attack ukraine as soon as possible

therefore, ukraine should plan this offensive as effectively as possible, for this we need more western high-tech weapons, modern high-precision weapons , which we are talking about with you and this is exactly what we are currently doing in the west, in order to accelerate this as much as possible and to accelerate this victory, the institute of war says that the russian the federation cannot carry out large-scale offensive operations in several directions at the same time, and we all remember how the widely announced large russian offensive, which was talked about a lot, and what it actually turned into we see increasing pressure on bakhmut, increasing pressure on avdiyivka, where the enemy is trying to take these cities into a ring, can they do more than what is now, they can't, and if they could, they would have done more a long, long time ago , this is already the second year. this war does not drag on. take into account their enormous sacrifices at the expense of their resources. where the most combat-capable units of theirs have practically ceased to exist. when

their most combat-capable equipment is essentially destroyed. taking into account that in the international arena, they have completely lost their lats. this myth about the second most powerful russian army in the world, about this extremely effective russian weapon, which is now very easily destroyed on the battlefield, and ukrainian weapons, not to mention western modern models, which in general, russia cannot compete with them, is that their capabilities are very limited and it was you who told the show this fact - this is bakhmut , this is avdiyivka - this is maryinka, this is soledar, where they completely lost this and the military tank offensive where they wanted to do something, and if it failed , they have been stuck under bakhmut for 7 months, they they throw wave after wave and the manpower did not lose more order 10 times than the ukrainians are not decorated by approximately 1,500 soldiers per day and they cannot achieve any

results, this means that they are not combat-ready , but for now they can still withstand this pressure , they can defend themselves and therefore that this war is dragging on, but to some large-scale actions, whether it is in donetsk region or in luhansk region, or i am not talking from the side of belarus, at the same time they are simply not capable. and if you pump up the russian army with even more meat that they obviously plan and threaten to do. how do you think this will affect the situation at the front ? it can affect only one member. this conflict can drag on and it will obviously lead to many more victims, especially from the russian side, but the turning point in it will be gone at some point this is not the first world war - this is not the second world war we are talking about high technologies that are currently used in the west look even at russian equipment

when they can throw their t-72 t-80 tanks and 90 even those outdated ones are also four, it does not play a role under the soledar when these same jabelins or bra american or british enlavy, there is nowhere to hide from him from these modern weapons and the more these weapons now enter ukraine, the faster the victories will come, i don’t i think that this time they will be able to solve the issue by force, they are trying to do it because they have no other way out, they are behind by 100 years , figuratively speaking, but they are behind the world and they are behind their technology, they do not have what to compete with and they turn to what they know, they just throw it into this meat grinder and you said manpower, but they will not achieve any specific result . thank you for your time. ihor kozak , military-political expert, reserve officer of the canadian armed forces, public figure uh, direct video link and actually quite a lengthy conversation with which i concluded for myself that, according to the respected

expert, there is no reason to expect that russia will somehow reverse the course of losing the war even for itself in the near future, at least permanently threatens to do it, but it is definitely not worth underestimating the enemy, but here are the reasons what will do it ukraine is quite big, they want to return home, but they cannot. residents of apartment buildings in the village of ruska lozova near kharkiv. their village was under shelling for several months in a row, and there was little left of the roof but people come, clean up garbage, plant vegetable gardens and hope that it will be possible to fix the roof, or can they now help the residents of the village 15 km from the border ? she survived the occupation. she says that because of the invaders and the constant shelling for two months, they were afraid to go outside, it was just as

cold and it was just as cold here, the children were small , yes, it was terrible, things were going to be terrible, but the russians just released the lard, they started razing it to the ground, and it became completely unbearable, recalls olga the sister did not even return to the apartment , evacuated and thus saved her and her family 's lives, their bedroom was hit by a shell, shattered the walls, windows and all belongings olga jokes that she simply opens the apartment with the key out of habit because you can actually enter it just from the street. not a single person could be saved. not even mice. it seems to me that they will not survive after such a thing from the border to russian lozova , 15 km away in the village. 10 neighbors were hit and the invaders literally hit everyone. for example

, the roof collapsed in elena vasilievna 's apartment. i can't enter the apartment, as if through the door, although there was a lot of water coming in, and the furniture was swollen, and here, too, there is trouble on the bed, such a suspicion that something is lying there, which is a dangerous projectile, well, probably something, mrs. elena is telling me that the neighbors dream of returning home as soon as there will be such an opportunity, people really want to return, they want to plant their gardens , children want to play on this platform, we want to live, the head of the community has found international partners who are ready to help with reconstruction, but are not ready to risk the lives of their employees, now in a village 15 km away

from the border with the enemy, now in the community they are trying first of all to help those who stayed here, in fact they live there, they need to be helped, and those people who have the prospect of returning, yes, so i ask people to wait abroad and not rush to return, because after all , the war is not over yet. i would not i was in a hurry and did not advise people to return to the community quickly, at least to those areas that fall into the shelling zone, to more or less in the target houses, now they are connecting communications , for the first time in a year , water, light and heating appeared in mrs. olga's apartment, and they decided with as a family to return home, it was ostentatious, we put in the windows ourselves, we did not wait for anyone, no one asked for anything, the heat is normal, the heating is turned on, there is gas, there is water , everything is fine, you can live, let’s say people return , and not everyone will be able to return. oblast iryna antonyuk oleksiy zhuchkov we are ukraine marathon the only news

join the brave defend your own if you exist become his armor become a protection over the head become his berets to lead us to victory over the darkness sex with his eyes that will recognize evil and will destroy it with the heart who feels all our love if you exist give him wings that do not burn from it brighter sun steel with flame in his hands that do not bless clean us from this moss our lord jesus allah almighty how will you be krishna prophet muhammad jan mary, mother of god, i know you exist and stand shoulder to shoulder with us now and wear the uniform of the armed forces of ukraine and protect

our children and paint the whole world in blue and yellow colors and i in each of us believe in you and in our victory, we pray for everyone our defender from defender they sometimes told me that every day is a difficult day because it is a prisoner when they were given a kick in the teeth they started to hate us and we even realized that the more they start beating us there, the better things are with our soldiers the day before, so they win heroes are not born here you are who did i think that it was cooking and he was pixels with a slider and it was such happiness he said glory to ukraine i wanted to cry from happiness we ukrainians we ukrainians will definitely win now we can

watch how it will look like we have finish the work of the generations of our parents and we will do it heroes from monday to friday 23:00 in the marathon single news marathon continues single news and we continue gdp of ukraine in 2023 will fall by 3% such a forecast was made by the international monetary fund according to experts this differs significantly from the results of the previous year. however, this level of gdp still does not reach positive dynamics. the imf also expects that inflation in ukraine will slow down from 26.6 to 20%. in turn, the unemployment rate in ukraine is somewhat will decrease, but it will still remain at a high level. according to analysts, this is typical for a country on the territory of which there is a war. kyiv receives 115 billion dollars

of long-term support. this was announced by prime minister denys myhal after a round table in support of ukraine at the world bank. the government official explained that this assistance will ensure the financial stability of the state, besides, it is a clear signal to the aggressor country that the partners will support ukraine until the very victory , we are starting the restoration right now in 2023 on the rapid reconstruction project, we need 14 billion dollars, we are negotiating with partners in order to attract all the necessary funds already this summer, so that we can complete all the tasks in the five priority areas of recovery . the united states is extremely grateful to the world bank , the imf and other g7 countries and all international partners who today help us to endure and start recovery diesel shmyhal , prime minister of ukraine, oleksandr chepak , head of economic programs of the analytical center, ukrainian studies of strategic studies, joins our conversation, mr.

oleksandr, we welcome you good night good night night thank you for the invitation mr. oleksandr 115 billion that ukraine will receive is 15 billion imf funds 20 billion debt restructuring 60 billion are soft loans and 20 billion are grants for grant funds for receiving them we will not return them at most 60 billion will go to soft loans, and at what percentage and for how many years will these funds be given to us? we do not yet know the exact terms of the imf because we have not seen these contracts between the ukrainian government and the international monetary fund, which stood as a bank for other countries, but it is obvious that this there will be some kind of soft loans, as you already said, that is, the interest rate will be less than five, and obviously they will be restructured or extended, we will not be forced to give them in the near future

, that is, the imf now needs their explanatory note to this decision. the war should end at the beginning of next year. this is, of course, a very optimistic forecast, as i already said, but they believe that after the 24th we will be able to start giving ourselves debts, so until then - until then, they are from us they don't expect this. but it is clear that this will probably not be their last loan , including that they will give us later , just as it was. in addition , they will help and give this money . ukrainian parliamentarians in the context of their work on amendments to the law on the budget, for example, it is interesting

that now in this specific program for 115 billion e.e. there are no such specific restrictions regarding fiscal monetary policy , it is an indication that we should continue make reforms that we should restore business taxation, because now during the martial law we had either removed or reduced some taxes, in particular on some categories of natural persons, entrepreneurs, on some corporate taxes, but the imf wants us to continue this, so that we finance the war from our own resources as well sources as well as external ones, but such tough demands on us as it was for greece, for example, in the year 1880, or just

as it was for us at the end of the 1990s , when the imf was asked to raise prices, for example for utilities, for gas, for the market, there are no such requirements . oleksandr, the imf allocates, but there will be a quarterly review of this program. that is why it will be reviewed so often and whether any new conditions will arise from quarter to quarter. we do not yet know that certain conditions will arise apparently, it will depend on ukraine's success at the front. if we move forward to liberate the territories, the imf will want us to introduce a more stringent fiscal tax policy, and why is this so often? well, because these funds all have

a specific purpose, they will be issued for specific things, specific programs, and only then the imf will verify their use and carry out their purpose and, accordingly, further er , further assistance to us will be approved by whether or not we used that money. well, i think when no one here has any doubts that ukraine will to be used as intended, as it has been done since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of russia, because we know that, for example, the combination of flashlights has already carried out more than 20 inspections of aid to ukraine. several dozen more aids are planned and they are not did not find any significant use oleksandr , in your opinion, what is the reason for this and the international monetary fund reviewed the forecast for the growth of the ukrainian gross domestic product and the world bank also revised its forecasts and reduced the expected growth of the gross domestic product of ukraine by seven times they were so modest in their expectations there, three and five and a half percent, now they think that

there will be a maximum of 05%. what do you think has to do with the fact that the prospects of the ukrainian economy were previously international institutions were seen more optimistically, but now they are as they are, here it is worth saying that the growth figure itself is quite conditional , because the ukrainian economy is going through a period of simply crazy and uncertainty, we do not know what will happen in a month or two, and to give a forecast for up to a year is too much therefore , the difference between one percent of growth and three percent of the composition is small, taking into account this uncertainty, let me remind you that, for example , the ukrainian government gave it at the beginning of the year + 3% just like the world bank before they expected so, and last year, at the beginning of the 22nd, they expected minus 40 - 45, and

it turned out -29.2 , that is, there was such a gap in favor of ukraine, and that was only thanks to the fact that russia started bombing our infrastructure, we lost a lot of gains before this indicator could be even less than 29 and 2. in the end, because of how it will be according to the results of the 23rd, well, again, everything will be resolved at the front if ukraine can, you will be able to stop repelling the russian invasion. if ukrainians abroad start returning, if there is a recovery of business, there will be no interruptions with energy, the -3 predicted by the ministry of internal affairs and the world bank can turn into plus three ato and more on the pre-war economic development

, which are currently forecasts, again , the most difficult question, we already see that ukraine has suffered very large losses, such as losses from missile attacks from loss of territory as well as to the loss of human resources, because as we know according to un data, more than 8 million ukrainians left the country, and they say that more than half of them should return with us. but whether they will return is already a question, we hope that's right, ukraine is definitely creating the conditions for them to return, but we can already see the loss of human resources, according to the kyiv school of economics. for example, ukraine suffered losses of 144 billion dollars, this is the physical destruction of buildings, infrastructure of other

objects, plus ukraine did not receive 30% of gdp 29 ,2 in the last year and this is in absolutely you have approximately 100 billion dollars, that is, the figure is quite large, and in order to recover before the start of martial law, we will have to receive a lot of investment from our partners, these investments should be immediately