tv [untitled] April 18, 2023 8:00am-8:31am EEST
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[000:00:00;00] of its operators, a huge number of enemy losses, a tactical group was assembled, and to this day it maintains the defense in the bakhmut direction, the group commander, the hero of ukraine , the legendary tankist yevgeny mezhevikin, the fighters are not the first month to give a worthy age or the enemy in donetsk region, and at the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the adam group took part in the kyiv and of the kherson regions , so join this collection, four million need to be collected, 3 million 97,943 uah have already been collected, all the necessary details will be in our etar, so stay with us from espresso, now there will be economic news. congratulations, thank you, colleagues. we will really talk about money, grain, and in general the topic. well, the topic of today's program is what the economy was like in march. andriy yanivskyi with economic news on the espresso tv channel, as
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usual on weekdays at 8 a.m. direct you and i are talking on the air. if you watch us on youtube , please like it. comment on this video , so more people will see us. and if you haven't subscribed to espresso's youtube channel yet , do it right now. ukraine has already started preparation for the next heating season ukrtransgaz began pumping gas into underground storages ukraine hopes that leva chat part of this will be an energy resource from the european union in early april naftogaz offered foreign companies to store up to 10 billion cubic meters of gas in our storages for the winter period of 2023-2024 a complex of underground ukrainian gas storages is the second largest in terms of capacity in europe ukraine also started selling electricity to slovakia from monday, it became
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the third country in europe after moldova and poland, which began to buy our electricity after a half-year break, the export capacity of 200 mw/h was reported by the ukrenergo company . currently, the situation in the energy system is stable, a difficult situation with the supply remains only along the front line. the agreement is in danger of being stopped russia has again blocked inspection checks of ships in the bosphorus the ministry of infrastructure reported this since april the kremlin has been trying to interfere in the work of ukrainian ports and impose their own criteria for determining ships. a few days ago, the russians, without any explanation, refused to register three ships for which cargo is already waiting in the port of pivdenny, and almost 8 million ukrainians
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left their homes due to a full-scale war , and with them lost a stable income only in kyiv the regional employment service currently has 1,480 registered unemployed people, but in reality there are more unemployed people, how the state is fighting unemployment, let's see in our story to the white tserkva victoria moved from donetsk region almost a year ago and all this time she in search of the desired job, she notes that the salary here is a third lower than at her previous place . twice i went to interviews, it was probably a negative experience . the first time i went through an interview, i found an employer, but i did not like the conditions in which i had to work . and anastasia , a migrant girl from kramatorsk , has been trying to get a job in the city
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as an administrator for six months, and no future employer has responded to her resume yet. i am a physical education teacher. i am a physical education teacher in kramatorsk i worked as a karate trainer here, i am looking for a job not in my specialty. it seems to me that it is especially difficult for immigrants to find a job in the city now, probably first of all because of the lack of knowledge of the ukrainian language and the fact that immigrants can quit at any moment. i can go home, but i am always ready to learn something new and not against getting another specialty and working , and the most popular vacancies are headed by a seamstress, a doctor, a fitter and an electrician , the bilotserk district employment center notes that there are currently more than 630 vacancies in return the search for work for economists, lawyers and commodity experts is rarely successful, besides, due to the war, ukraine lost giants among enterprises, and along with them, a large number of jobs, economist
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oleg penzin emphasizes, because according to the estimates of the international labor organization, it published its report at the end of the 22nd year ukraine lost 5 million jobs 5 million jobs approximately 36-37% of the total labor market when you and i carefully look at the budget for this year we will see with you what the minimum wage is planned to remain unchanged at 6,700 despite the fact that inflation in our country is expected to be somewhere around 20% according to the national bank of ukraine, the ministry of economy and the international monetary fund itself, and the minimum wage will not increase, also according to experts , the labor market has significantly shaken the migration of ukrainians provoked by the war for example bila tserkva alone has become a new home for more than 16,000 displaced people to adapt to the changes and
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start their own business. they are taught in one of the city's business schools among internally displaced persons , mostly middle-aged women with children and employment, the question of starting one's own business. the question of employment itself is very relevant if a person has decided that she will stay here. well, at least for a certain period. well, for example, for six months, and she made this decision. she will look for a job, but she does not leave, according to the data of the local center employment, the average salary in the kyiv region is more than uah 17,000. however , finding a job for this money is not an easy task , since most vacancies offer monthly earnings in the range of uah 10-12,000. taking into account inflation, payment of utilities, rising prices of food and other expenses, people obviously do not have enough of these funds, and therefore the level
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of poverty in ukraine remains at a high level . betley, a leading researcher at the institute of economic research and political consultations , mr. oleksandra, i congratulate you, mrs. oleksandra, we see you very well. you publish the data about march already in the middle of april, is it so slow that the data from the state statistical bodies come in? we have to wait a little. well, to explain to our
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viewers, we started to estimate the real gdp ourselves from last april of last year, that is , the dynamics of the real gdp are evaluated at the institute, and why is that? that there was very little information about what was happening in the economy, so we are making an assessment on our own now, but the state government is correcting itself and is gradually starting to provide the information it previously provided again, and therefore i think that soon we we will already have official data for the middle of the month, your estimate of the gdp in march, did the economy of ukraine grow or fall since march , we need to be very, very careful with the numbers , uh, when someone announces the growth rates of the economy, for example, which happened since march , because in march they really brought estimated real gdp cut by 28%. but what is more interesting is that why did this happen and did it happen because last year, according to estimates, real gdp again fell by 46%. last year, due to the fact that
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a full-scale war began in our country, many businesses were frozen, some could not to work due to the disruption of the supply chain someone because a large part of the economy was in occupation that is temporary and did people start to leave uncertainty people started to stop businesses in order to wait and see what happens as a result the economy fell a lot that is this comparison comparison eight percent yes the comparison of this march with march of the previous year so we compare yes we compare march of this year to march of last year and then a 28% increase in low base dose how do we say this but if we compare it to in march of the 21st year, that is, before the full-scale war began, the real gdp decreased by 31%, that is, we are now at a fairly low level in general compared to what was before the full-scale war as a whole , if we take the entire previous year, what are
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the indicators here there are already official data. as far as i understand, it's not your calculations anymore, but the calculations of the state statistics committee of the state statistics service, according to the information provided by state steel, the real gdp decreased by 29%, and 29.1 and i want to say that it was very close to our estimate, we estimated the decline of the economy last year by 30%. that is, our estimates are quite close to reality. and what is special about last year is that for the first time in our country household consumption fell so much, it fell by 26%. and quite often we did not have such falls. this happened again due to the unemployment that you talked about in the previous story, but also because many ukrainians were forced to leave ukraine to seek the safety of these uh living conditions in other
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countries, and some people have become internally displaced persons of such people, about five million people today, and these are people who have moved again, they limit their consumption, on the one hand, because they cannot find a job, and their incomes are quite limited on their part, they are helped by humanitarian organizations, and it is very often difficult to calculate such assistance. although it should be recorded in numbers to the state, this is interesting. let's put it this way. it's in tons. well, if we 're talking about the indicators of the real export of goods, here, now we're talking about goods and services. it fell by 42%. then imports fell much less by 18%, and this is again about the fact that we have a little problem in the balance of payments and they remained for the first three months of this year and, unfortunately, they will remain so for the time being, precisely the policy of our
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neighboring countries, which now are restricting the export of our grain, it is hitting the economy of ukraine a little and will continue to hit if they are not canceled the solution in your report is what is the correct name of macroeconomic monitoring, how is the meme correctly deciphered, the monthly economic monitoring of ukraine also talks about certain sectors of economic development and , in particular, about energy, there is a separate section on the work of the grain corridor, and there is a separate section on railway transport why did you choose these sections , why not those, for example, or not mechanical engineering, and also, well, two words each, if you can. tell me what is there in energy, what is the grain
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corridor if we are talking about energy. this today is an extremely important sector of the economy . because, especially in the autumn , we suffered a lot from the fact that we had problems with access to electricity. of our international partners, we were able to overcome problems in the energy sector. and this is very good, and in coordination , the government's actions were very useful, and also in the energy sector - it is interesting . this is what everyone is interested in. this is how we are going through the heating season this year. naftogaz pumped enough gas into its storage facilities to get through this heating season without problems, uh, from naftogaz's side . let's be clear that there were problems, but they were due to shelling, and therefore this sector is, in principle , necessary for people and for business in general in order to continue work that's why we allocate it separately and uh fortunately
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now there are problems in this sector uh there are no uh special the grain corridor, the grain corridor is now a mechanism in our country to help agricultural companies export what they have grown , that is, if they have the opportunity to export their grain, let's say, they were to grow grain in ukraine and pay, for example, for shares to the owners of shares, on the other hand, this is an important tool has become over the last year our diplomacy on the international market when they support us precisely because you understand that we have grain is needed in particular in poor countries and that is why this tool of diplomacy unfortunately there the situation is sad now because the russians continue to sabotage the inspections and as a result we can export much less grain than in general the capacity of these three large ports of odesa or it is said that the three ports of the great odesa unfortunately, others about those are blocked. that is,
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we have not unblocked all of them yet ports and therefore sabotage does not allow us to export everything that well , the volume that would need to be exported in order to continue and improve our economic indicators to allow agriculture to receive enough funds for fertilizers in order to sow now, and as a result, part of the grain goes, a very large part of the grain last year and now goes through the railway. that is, the corridor that was not used very much for grain before was a and e. it is important here why. because as a result , the railway is not for example, iron ore metallurgy can get there, and so on. and for industries that create jobs that could pay a decent salary for their employees, and so on, so it is important to note here that we need further expansion of the grain corridor in order to
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other products were sent to the railway, although it is worth noting that at the beginning of this year, ukrzaliznytsia increased the share of self-ferrous iron ore export, in particular, and metallurgy, and for us it is really very important, so then we will talk about the test , other branches of the industry are also being restored, although they also show now the growth is in march but again with a very small base and in general if we talk about foreign trade, we are in the plus or minus and we sell or import more into the country well, and goods and services from us a very large minus in trade in goods, that is, in services, and for the first time in the 22nd year we had a situation when we have a minus in trade in services, usually and the export of it services, in particular, it transformed into any services there on import, but the methodological aspect must be taken into account in our
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country, all migrants who go abroad and spend money there are counted as import of services. services last year, they lasted for quite a long period of time, and some problems began already in the fall. when customers began to refuse our e-e companies that purchase services from them. when blackouts began in order to cut out their possible risks. at the end of last year and at the beginning of this year was supported by our consumption let's say that of products that helped us to recognize that during blackouts of limited access to electricity, we imported everything we needed in order to, that is, battery generators and so on, it is clear that this gave us support for imports, but at the same time , it creates problems for the balance of payments, which means a problem for creating a balance of payments
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, it means that there are risks for the devaluation of the hryvnia, but it is not it happened because of the fact that we received very large amounts of international aid, and these large amounts of international aid continue to flow to ukraine, and we received an imf program, which also states that this year we we will receive more than 36 billion more aid during this year, that is, we received part of the aid, and this will once again support us, the exchange rate and you will support the balance of payments , which means world relations are very short , we have literally one minute left, but i can't help but ask about the prices, what about them took place in march, what are the possible trends, positive or negative? again , if we look at year-on-year prices, they
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have slowed down to 21%. with previous months, but this is ralph - this is methodologically a question again because they replaced winter clothes with more expensive spring clothes because of the new prices and as a result we see it in prices in general, most experts and the national bank predict lower prices this year than last year, that is, there will no longer be 26, 6 but as it was in december 22, but the important issue here is the tariffs, that is, until the tariffs are not increased, but there will be talks about the fact that they should be increased, why because it improves the condition of our state-owned companies, which again for example, naftogaz should already purchase gas for the upcoming heating season. this will help ukrenergo and energoatomna because we need to repair power units in particular, and this will reduce the need for costs from the state budget for this company in order to support them because the tariffs are low. thank you, ms. oleksandr oleksandr
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petlii, senior researcher , scientific associate, scientific associate of the institute of economic research and political consultations, was on our air, talking about the monthly economic monitoring of ukraine - this the monthly report prepared by this institute calculates how the country's gdp changes on a monthly basis can be found on the website of the institute of economic research and political consultations on this today see you tomorrow at 8 a.m. live andriy yanivskyi was with economic news on espresso together we will win no matter what ukrainians think about, no matter what they talk about, war always comes first, war is our victory , every day of the week, from monday to monday , seven different spheres of human activity, sports
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, culture, politics, eight express presenters journalists, experts, opinion leaders in real time about the most relevant events through the prism of war every day, author's projects on espresso, the war in ukraine, the main topic for ukrainians, victories and losses, analysis and forecasts , politics and geopolitics , serhii rudenko and the guests of his program will talk about all this, people who have information and public opinion is formed by people who defend ukraine and create the future right now the main and interesting thing in the program is the verdict serhiy rudenko from monday
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to thursday at 1:00 p.m. repeat at 6:00 p.m. good morning, friends, we continue our marathon please join us for espresso. we continue to talk about what is happening in our country , about what is happening at the front, i don't want much news from there, but we will learn from talking to the military from
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the frontline. what can we do now? the report is one of the fighters well, for now we want to remind you that we are collecting funds, we are not even collecting funds, but iryna koval is collecting funds, our presenter is collecting for the poseidon drone for the combined tactical group, uh, adam is reconnaissance uavs of this type are an effective intelligence work, adjusting the protection of the personnel of the operators, a huge number of losses for the enemy, they are also currently holding the defense in the bakhmut direction , the group commander is a hero of ukraine, the legendary tankist yevgeny mezhevikin, the fighters have not been giving their age or the enemy in donetsk for the first month , now you see on your screens the necessary details for e-e, which we need to drop with you, money, who has e, qr-code readers through qr-code, who does not know how to use it
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, card number, also for your convenience, e-e let's collect, we need 4 million, we have already collected 3 million 97,000,943 hryvnias, in short, there is very little left to close this collection and help our iryna koval, whom you know when you see the news broadcasts. today she will also be there , let's all help her together , this company's drone is very cool sworld and it is produced in cyprus, it is based, they say that it is the best drone among those that can be purchased privately, it is meant simply if you want to buy it, you know, but for ordinary people, not for military companies and so on. well, they say that it is still prevails with its technical characteristics ukrainian drones, so we are collecting funds the road together well, but it is very effective well, gentlemen, now peter , the capital of the armed forces of ukraine
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, connects to us from there, mr. peter good morning, i congratulate you, tell us about the latest news, now about there is not much that is happening at the front, but from what we and our viewers can know, please tell us. look , in short, i can’t call it any other way . russian scott continues to go on a killing spree . look at the last day and the days before this. er, they all concentrated their forces precisely on the central bakhmut railway station and railways, and there is still such an elevator behind them . this pile and even sifting through the flank if you know they used to be more intensive ata exactly on if we take
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the walnut vasylivka minkivka here and there bogdanivka chrome so for now all the attempts are left for more or less some efforts what are they capable of they continue to press on chrome, unsuccessfully trying to check exactly that route of the supply of rotation and everything else , but the defense forces do not allow them to do this, they work very harmoniously, and everything that happened from the city, you can now see the eyes and show these frames. donbass, if you know it, bakhmut was exactly what i thought it was called the pearl of donbass, because it was a very nice city, developed infrastructure, good educational institutions that are centuries old, and in general there is a trojan
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now, by the way, there are also very scary ones i am afraid more to the north, where they are trying to advance, but as far as it goes now, it is moving dynamically through the streets, eh, that is, to say that even those maps, if you know some kind of map of the world, are so red, they draw eh, where the enemy has taken up positions, does not correspond to reality. that all that can be said is that they currently control it, more or less, right up to tam nezalezhnosti street, exactly where the city council is completely destroyed, well, it's an ash heap, if you can call it a city, what did they take? well then i don't know at all what the purpose of this special operation is to turn everything into ashes and the entire infrastructure, well, at the moment , wagner is working there
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. that is, their remains, you know that the cook is already shouting, let's finish. what are you climbing right now into our city, mr. petar? is there still a living place left on the body of bahmut and are there any civilians there? yes, unfortunately there are people , they fell into such a fire trap because the enemy does not give the opportunity, as evacuation must be carried out, but i i will tell you ours the guys are desperate and try as much as they want and if possible, the most important thing about armored vehicles is that i won’t say which roads, but we have now found ways there, more or less. have seen what they do with those people who fall into their hands
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, at the moment you understand exactly. at this stage, it's exactly bahmut. and it's exactly this city that they don't spare, they don't spare people and children, that is, they already have such a relationship with them to our people and a video that you could see recently that this guy well, i can’t call him a person that he told that he was ordered and he followed orders you understand, well, it’s not putin who kills, the russians are killing 140 million putins, that is, they are all guilty of their silence and that is, this is just silent support of their so-called special military operation, that's why the residents express their desire to leave, but you understand that the enemy , for example, likes methods, he uses thermoboric charges, and the city has already withdrawn the so
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-called pinocchio, you know sadin for the sun not only that, the houses are now controlled by our defense forces, there is a video, i will also explain it. where we drive in is 100 , it is the south. there are high -rises there, and it is impossible for them to take them, and they pulled up the uh, the uh, heavy caliber, if you know 203 is a pion e and they simply cut nine-story buildings from the pions, that is, they knock down the upper floors and the upper floors fall, they fill in the very basements where people sit. that is, it is waging war and in the institute i don't know how you can study anything there and why so long all this is studied if now we need more give more help and you know what we need we need
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