[000:00:00;00] that we are in the near future well, at least for weeks, yes, a week, two weeks, ah, then we can talk about the fact that logistics is beginning to suffer, and it is true. are occupying and they are now occupying very advantageous defensive positions, by the way, primarily due to the multi-story building, which we control and effectively use precisely in the format of mobile defense, and what will we say about the fact that the situation is becoming a threat but it will be decided by the coming weeks and not by hours and high-rise buildings . i remember i was at the front in transnistria

, in eastern moldova. yes, it is profitable to look there. well , i am unarmed, i am a journalist, but a bullet flew in front of my nose. i remember yatayu, and you said about high-rise buildings, i somehow remembered my uh, my stories , okay socks. listen, well, we will know, but the russians too, here it is constantly said that the weather is the weather, but the same is true of us russians, under the same sky with the same clouds, that is, uh - how to cheat or not this is how they supplied is it possible to fool the russians, because i always say in my programs that the art of war is the art of deception, all the intelligence and counter-intelligence of the world are determined to deceive the enemy, but when the sun shines, we and they have the same warming, the drying of the soil is the same, they also know that

now everything has been dry there since the third of may or since the 13th or since the 23rd of may, now the ukrainians will be worried and will prepare what to do, how to find, is there even a theory of er war of conducting military operations, what are the ways to deceive the er are the russians just enemies who already know that this dry ground is an attack on us? well, we have been doing this since the 22nd year, and we had the same weather conditions in which we carried out counteroffensive actions on the northern bridgehead a in kharkiv oblast on the right bank everything happened in kherson oblast. by the way , it was very unexpected for them. now we can still state if we look at what the russians are doing on virtually every elephant there , the left-bank kherson oblast, zaporizhzhia oblast,

donetsk oblast, luhansk oblast. well, they are acting accordingly even the defense lines that they are building now are chaotic, for example in zaporizhzhia, zaporizhzhia region, in the left-bank kherson region, there are so many of them, and these defense lines are primarily of the battalion and brigade type, but they are doing it quite chaotically, there is no system, so they surrounded there er, with these tokmak trenches, they laid there along the main routes, but there is no capacity there . counteroffensive of the armed forces of ukraine with what forces and means and what is the ultimate goal of them, well enough. such a gullible attitude, a frivolous attitude towards luhansk region and donetsk region. donechchyna, where we do not see that especially in this way , large lines of defense are formed, which can

be somehow to compare with a rooster so a different situation and misunderstanding in general where a counter-offensive can really start. that is, it can already be said that the first stage is what you said that how are numbers possible? well, we are already fooling them. they do not understand what is happening and the last question is literally short and i hope there will be a short video. we are already in the united states somewhere on a wire, as they once said, and when i look at photos or filming of russian fortifications, i always say to myself that i, well, no military expert is simply zero but i understand that these narrow

long multi-kilometer trenches, well, this is a trap for those who sit in those trenches , because you can break through in one place and you just surround tens of kilometers of these trenches in a second these entrenchments do not help the defense, please, and here are two points. and they depend, er, both on the side that holds the defense and on the side that carries out the counteroffensive. of course, these lines of defense should not be underestimated. and well, for example, if they are compared to the first world war bakhmut did not survive the second world war . by the way, this was demonstrated by our defense lines, which held back the russian invaders for quite a long time. to use the russian occupation troops in return, which i have serious doubts about, they can hold the defense and inhibit our control of the offensive, on the other hand, we are preparing a counteroffensive, if we are preparing a counteroffensive

in this direction, then accordingly, we take into account these obstacles and accordingly the following scenario will be used, which will completely induce the effect of these lines of defense and precisely create such conditions that each of their lines of defense will be destroyed in a cascade format , that is, the entire defense must be destroyed to be exactly a cascade. thank you very much oleksandr kovalenko , military-political observer of the information resistance group, thank you, thank you very much. and now, as i promised, we will go to america and directly. literally, after a few seconds, i got to america , where we are waiting. initiatives p. good health, peter. thank you for joining, even though not so much. thank you because

it is very early for you in america. in the evening you have to drink, but since beer is at least in america, and in america it is morning, it is not the time to drink. so, on tuesday, they promise that mr. trump and mr. biden will announce their election campaign to run for a second term . as far as i understand sitting here in lviv, not in america. and trump does not have the same support as last time, and biden does not have the same support as last time, what can happen then , how can the elections be held? leaders and democrats

and republics that despite the fact that both have lost a lot of politicians, as we say point , i mean points and of course, not only trump what kind of er well, you know, of course with er, still er restrained that at least with regard to the support of his er, as they say, the nuclear voters of his electoral backbone a-a, but still, he remains a rather unpopular figure in american politics, of course, and in particular due to the fact that he is now under er, well, under investigation and a criminal case has been initiated against him case and eyes because other criminal cases will be added to this - on the one hand, it even strengthened his support among his voters , but of course it helped him among independent voters .

can't go for a second term, it's not only the democrats who are playing all the ag games let's say so, but also the democrats and today i woke up ah and well, on the first day of the octimes, the article is about that and can't it happen like that democrats will nominate an alternative candidate to their er their er candidate their party leader the current president ah there are few such precedents but they are in the history of america i.e. er could it be a primary from the primaries not only among the republic but also among the democrats because of course, not everyone likes the democrats, not only job's age, but it is different, because we know that there are certain america now, of course, it is a very divided country, er, since the vietnam war, we

have not seen such polarization in america at all. but also inside only among republicans, democrats, but the war continues for the so-called so because, on the one hand, the party of democracy, on the one hand , there are whole wacky progressives, macasio cortes, and others who you remember in particular , wrote a letter to bayda a few months ago, so that he would think about reducing support for ukraine and on the other hand, those who remain in such more or less well-understood positions are scumbags. and that is, within the democrats, i would say even more disputes about the identity of uh and the future of uh in this party than among the republicans, that is, yes, you are right, mykola, both candidates are not popular, but the question is how much a-a well , we can talk about alternatives to him

now, on the one hand, trump, well, you may not like him, but now it turns out that the site from the governor of florida and likes it even less and in general they lose with each one does not lose support i think that for on the side of the democrats, i still don't see any real worthy alternatives to uh, that is, if you look at a popular american comedy show, that's what they say about it, that we can see in the 24th year, uh, a repetition of 20, that is, we will still get to the point that again there will be a round of rights and bye, one more question, i would talk about the election, but i am interested in some, at least at the level of gossip, when trump says that if he is nominated

, then he will win the right and he will become a candidate, then he will stop before the election russia's war against ukraine how it should look, someone is analyzing for themselves, well, what is putin's call and the words listen volodya, if you don't stop tomorrow, then the day after tomorrow nuclear weapons will fly from my submarine and you will be bombed, so let's stop it, it will all end, how can you stop the war, how trump can stop is it just la-la-la, as often happens with trump well, in short, it's just la-la-la, how often does trump literally mykola, as always, very eloquent, the best, where do you say? we remember e during the time of his first deadline and i really hope that he is the only one, do you remember his diplomacy with the north korean dictator, yes, he also promised a lot of things, yes, he got this meeting

, he got a picture, it was very uh , well, effective, i would say and what's next, is he uh disarmed uh north korea did he reconcile the two koreas did they unite did uh north korea abandon its uh its policy of nuclear blackmail against the whole world against especially against korea uh south against japan no and he met with putin we remember he agreed very ah-ah a lot of very complimentary things to putin, and you remember this oil seal in helsinki that he received literally nothing in return , that is, this statement is a continuation of the policy of giving your voters to their viewers what they want to hear, ah, of course, it's not about anything. you know the demand for simple solutions even if the voters know

somewhere deep in their minds that the dollar will not lead to anything, but i cannot reject the fact that trump can be sincere, of course , he has already commented many times that he wants crimea is russian by right. let's be frank. he paid attention to the russian -speaking part of the peninsula. that is, he believes that if ukraine cedes its territories, we will come. he is not alone in this . let's also be frank about this. what are we looking at, beijing , moscow , how they are now trying to attract to their positions and, er, comrades

in brik. convey to the world that this is what the terms of peace with ukraine will be, give us territories, putin has to declare some kind of victory there . and just like that, it is very, very sad for me as americans that the american former president and possible future president, god forbid, and before that, at least rhetorically ah joined the last question short i think a minute literally peter look as far as i understand domestic politics and economic domestic politics trump can attract a lot of people to him i have a friend who works in hollywood a lot there 30 years already when i his i ask how i am, who are you voting for, he says you know i continue for the democrats but my credit cards are screaming at me to vote for trump because trump in the economy, he is doing some reductions in some taxes in the middle class, it is becoming somehow le well, that is what i am

told and my friend says that is more profitable for me, that is, i vote against myself because trump is more profitable for my pocket, but i myself continued to call for the democrats, well, in this historical era , the epoch of peter what what or anything else trump has no good ideas anywhere international politics failed nato is a failure. well, a lot of things have failed, only the financial and economic policy within the states is also a big exaggeration. but yes, you know, this is the truth. bill clinton said that if you want to live like a republican, you should vote for democracy. that is, this is the party that has always been on the side of the wealthiest khabarikans here, you need to ask your friend how much he earns, if he earns more than $200,000 a year, yes , the republics are quite capable of his party, but

let's go back to the earnings of mr. trump during his term of office promised many infrastructure projects so that america would no longer look like a third world country. naukova still fell in love with this. i think you have been to the states to come and land at the airport or fc lviv. this is a feeling. well, this is horrible. it's just a feeling that you're somewhere in the global south, how can you order now, you know , he didn't really achieve anything for this party well , at least during his time even more for the party of plutocrats and joe baikin now let's go we don't talk about it jobaring he did what he promised would happen and he, uh, took out huge funds for the restoration of the infrastructure, i think if we are talking about the general preservation of the country, namely me, i'm not registered. i'm not even a republican, not

a democrat, but that's the policy you know, the republicans here give everything a lot, we leave nothing to the poor in you. this simply leads to the disappearance of this country, that is, i would say that right now, politics and polesii are rubbish. take into account the laws adopted by the democrats, they are, well, much better for in general, there are prospects for the continued existence of the united states of america without exaggeration. i will tell you this. thank you, let's talk. next time, there is no time . peter, we will break the american ukrainian political scientist, director of the eurasian democratic initiative. thank you very much. thank you very much for joining us and we in belarus. from ukraine to america from america to belarus oleksandr olesin, independent military observer, belarusian expert on defense and the military-industrial complex thank you, mr. oleksandr, for what you found for

we have time. thank you very much. well, last time you and i discussed these fears that putin and lukashenko are spreading all over the world . he means that now there will be nuclear weapons. two weeks have passed. that is, we don't see anything, we don't, nobody, about anything. no, no matter what he says, it means that they are quietly preparing to deploy nuclear weapons or their components , or they just saw that they didn't scare the whole world if they did. well, one more time putin said ay-ayy-ayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyys we will shoot you, no one believes everything anymore, and let lukosenko tell putin whether we can already see the delivery of some elements of this nuclear component somewhere in the territory of belarus. well, in the belarusian military today, it is widely reported

that the crew of the operational-tactical complexes of the iskander-m they returned from russia, where they learned how to use special ammunition, that is, nuclear warheads. it is known that kanter can use a nuclear warhead with a capacity of five to 50 kg, and now it’s a brigade or a division that transferred from russia to belarus, they are already under the leadership of belarusian crews, they are quite capable of using nuclear weapons from the territory of belarus if such ammunition appears, and there is no information about the weapon itself. alexander, look when they were . i was a participant in these discussions in the early 90s

, when in you will actively discuss giving ukraine nuclear weapons, not giving them away, and so on and the like. at that time, president kravchuk and then tarpaulin kuchma said we are not, i am not in control, i cannot launch it somewhere near moscow or in moscow in the general staff, there are some there are basements where some people are sitting who, um, who can launch this, for this , someone needs to get his key, then the general staff, a key , then another key somewhere, and so on . what you said refers to strategic nuclear weapons, and it is precisely through the kremlin nuclear suitcase. and it is necessary to control these any warheads. as

for tactical nuclear weapons, it is a little simpler. the command of the commander-in-chief and further, the procedure exists for lower-level commanders, as far as belarus is concerned, according to the information spread by insiders experts, the principle of two keys will most likely be applied, that is, uh, how lukashenko is opposed to the fact that without his knowledge missiles were launched from belarus, he will not agree that the key was only one in russia and russia will not agree that the key was only in belarus, so there will be a principle of two people if both keys are lukashenko, well, let's say that putin's are also turned that's why there's an agreement on firing nuclear weapons on the territory of belarus. that's all. taking into account the ambition of lukashenko, the principles will be applied to the case of the deployment of nuclear weapons in belarus

. one more question, oleksandr, look . well, they say that in russia, in the soviet system, this is not two keys and some say - 15 some say 17 where they are said 19 i.e. turning the key does not mean that it flies means that it is a command of some marshal the marshal gives to the general the general gives to the colonel the colonel gives captain, captain, lieutenant, and then it can fly. that is, the whole story is like that, and it is not instantaneous.

but the command to start a nuclear tactical war in principle must be given by someone, and the first command will obviously be from the kremlin and from minsk. they will give some kind of principled consent to use , but the question is that it may not be necessary er, the question of applying the ammunition itself will depend on the one who is fundamentally waging a war on the battlefield, that's what i think. that 's exactly how it is. as you said, there may be fewer of these stages . who is in charge of the battle? the nuclear tactical weapon is intended for the destruction of the main points of large area targets of the airfield in railway stations in echelons and so on. that is, this

is a tactical weapon. the question is, it's very nice to do business with you, i really like how you interpret everything, the west is silent for two weeks, i conclude that what does it mean for you to london, washington, berlin , paris, beijing, their intelligence did not write that listen, don't joke, it's not funny, there is a problem with the use there is a problem with tactical nuclear weapons, if they received such a letter , they would all start calmly together and end with washington, they would shout hello. what is happening, if they are silent, then there is no data about the seriousness of the intentions, correct me i understand. well, i wouldn't quite agree with this. putin put his authority on the map, first of all, before the russians. i looked at the opinions

of russian experts. well, the country is strongly militarized, and putin's statement was met with applause not only among experts, but also ordinary bloggers and so on, that is, e- everyone believes that it is not just an obeschyna but it will definitely be applied , i think putin is not bluffing but this is first of all an act of informational psychological warfare, i assume that this shelter will be built for nuclear munitions on the first day of july, the question is when the territory of russia will be loaded with nuclear weapons, it may be a month or more , but the question is what lies there, what is there, it will be a mystery

. ok let's discuss the worst option in kiev in ukraine everywhere factor no one is afraid of nuclear tactical weapons that's what i'll say ukrainian troops say it doesn't mean that if it explodes, i will run back to where i am. where should i run? i will continue to stand where i am, they say the military can kill me. well, that means more soldiers will be added, people will still go to the front, nothing will change, but it can change, as the americans said, in 15 minutes we will destroy the entire black sea fleet at least that they promised from novorossiysk to uh i don't know there until

yalta, let's say including sevastopol so when the russians say that we have nuclear weapons you say they supported putin, well done putin good guy, this is before the rocket flew, and after the rocket, because we don’t know what the reaction might be, and if this rocket lands somewhere in the urals, some kind of american rocket or , as they say, in the black sea, well, that is, everything can change, what do you say? well, i first of all, i want to say that in my opinion , the use of nuclear weapons in ukraine has nothing to do with the use of nuclear weapons in general, and the strong nerves of the ukrainian military corps. moreover, i think that, in principle, in ukraine, the russians do not see

such goals that are worthy of use. nuclear weapons, after all, this is already the beginning of a war with tactical nuclear weapons, and there is a big risk of radiation contamination of the territory where the russian troops operate. will destroy by the force of such a weapon , it is so great that it is tactical, so i think that the russians will not use this weapon on the battlefield in ukraine, where are they against whom, i think that the addressee of the points is first of all poland and in russia now more anti-polish company has developed, the same in the republic of belarus, well, poland has become enemy number one primarily because poland is attributed with plans to capture the western regions of belarus with the help of special operations with the help of the so-called fifth column from the local poles it is considered that

there may be some type of kosovar territory, there are western regions in belarus, which will then call to the aid of all progressive humanity, nato alliances the states and so on will generally declare themselves independent of minsk and will declare that they do not obey, for example, tikhonov, and this option is so interesting from an international legal point of view . how will events develop here? an option for nato, how in this case, if the polish army comes to the defense of the polish minority, he told belarus how there will be a fifth application, that is the question from poland, it will not be defended, it will stop, how would be attacked by the aggressive side, and here i think, first of all, in order for the polyakovs to die, these are the plans that issue a counter-plan, the use of supposedly tactical