[000:00:00;00] every day to free them, do not forget for a moment a little bit about those who have been in the russian federation for more than eight years and there are 167 of them . the number is not decreasing. and it is increasing every day . searches of crimean tatars have started again in crimea. again, delays, arrests, people are being tortured again. i understand that now our citizens who live in crimea, they are already waiting for ukraine to return, and the partisan movement, as we say, is starting such an active action again, we will be witnesses to the fact that they will to be taken prisoner again and i will try again, but this is our fate in order to liberate crimea, we need to do this, in order to liberate other territories , we need resistance, including the internal mrs. lyudmila

has a question, returning to the sensitive category of the missing persons, to be honest, you care the same way with several such cases, people are looking for help and cannot find answers to their questions very often, and in conditions of intense hostilities, unfortunately, this is not an uncommon phenomenon. the execution of a combat mission, the ukrainian serviceman officially went missing with his comrades and the reproduction of the circumstances of those events most likely incline the situation to the fact that he died, but there is no super-reliable , you know, one hundred percent information about this , because the body is not available. it is somewhere in the occupied territories, and it is not a fact that these remains of a person exist at all now, because

we, the occupiers, understand how they are treated and to prove what actually happened to the person, and very often, there is no real assistance investigation into the circumstances of the disappearance or death of our serviceman, please just remind me what kind of compensation the relatives of the missing and the relatives of the dead claim, because this is a very sensitive moment and the relatives often suspect that there is some kind of sabotage in order to pay less or not to pay. you raise the topic very correctly. well, i think which of these people turn to us for help in finding e-e, so that we can help find or find out whether a person is still alive in captivity or something else happened to them, they ask such questions as you now you ask, we have the burden of solving problems with cash payments for the provision

of social guarantees and family support - this is a problem with the fact that we have two laws that clearly define the status of missing persons you need to enter a person to get this status as holders or there is a ministry of internal affairs, but there is no such register and there is definitely a reason when and the possibility of bypassing all these guarantees and not paying, there is another status as a person deprived of personal freedom - this is a register that leads to the ministry level there is no integration either, but there is a commission that grants that status during the period when a person’s family, parents, wife, children, has a notification from the military that the person is missing until the person has changed to

another status, this family has the right to receive all payments that were made to that soldier when he was in the service until there is no other status, these are all the payments, then they are according to the law, i will not tell the other payments for a long time, anyone who is interested in this can go to our garden and there is an explanation section it is clearly written there that everyone can print out these rights and go and demand them if you do not have such an opportunity. we will do it for you. if a person is in captivity and it is necessary to admit that to obtain such a status, contact the commission headed by ms. virishchuk. they work, they have all the necessary documents.

apply and receive, then the family will receive uah 100,000 every year for the fact that their relative is in captivity, and then there are a lot of different opportunities to receive medical benefits, that is, the person must obtain the status of a family member deprived of personal freedom and get it later. if she died, yes, please. yes. that is, the procedure for receiving these 15 million is launched there. it is extremely difficult. it provides such help and legal support, advocacy

, so please contact our hotline. this number is 0833 07.09 and we will definitely help you . thank you, thank you, mrs. ludmylo, a very important initiative. the head of the ukrainian center for the protection of human rights, lyudmila denisova, was in touch with us. very important topics were raised . unfortunately, the history is inexhaustible and we can talk a lot about analyzing individual cases, but we must move on to other important events and guests. we will now talk about the economy. speak ilya ne skadovsky, the head of the analytical direction of the ends network good day good day mr. ilya , let's go with the dog of economic indicators , i wanted to start with you the day before, on thursday yesterday, the nbu, the national bank significantly improved the ukrainian inflation forecast, the nbu revised the inflation forecast for the current year, earlier

it was a forecast of 18 point seven percent, now it is 14.8 in total, and in the following years this indicator will return to a single-digit single-digit level, the 24th year is 9.6% - 25th - 6%. this year, they recorded 14.8, along with this, the nbu again kept the discount rate at 25%. i am certainly not an economist, but it seems to me that these two indicators should somehow be closer to each other, and not 4.8 and 25 please explain. you are absolutely correct. inflation is one of the main indicators used by the national bank to determine the size of the discount rate. and when inflation starts to increase, the corresponding monetary method to contain it is to increase the discount rate and thus increase the price of money. leads to the fact that

, accordingly, the demand decreases, less money in circulation as a result of the price thus, they slow down, but in our case and last year, when from 10 to 25% was adopted the decision was completely inadequate, its only consequence is the profitability of the banking system at the expense of deposit certificates that occupy the bank and commercial banks will receive a corresponding profit from the increase in the price of money, which is attracted by the ministry of finance in order to cover the budget deficit of the increase in the price of money for commercial enterprises that are now have problems as a result, for example , today it is simply an absolutely inadequate situation when a third of all loans issued in ukraine are issued for program 579, that is, in fact, banks do not perform their main function of lending to the economy, and when there is such a huge discrepancy

, well, excuse me, none, it means that you must have 10%, that is, the difference between 14.8 and 25%, and there is a minimum of 10%. what are you you have to earn, i.e. loans are expensive as a result of money in circulation, there is little opportunity for banks to earn in a non-lending economy . the maximum is 20% at the moment if you see that inflation has become 14.8 and you have a downward forecast. that is, you do not see upward dynamics . that is, it could still be justified in some way. if you have a dynamic increase in inflation. that is, you understand that now you need to take a certain a decision to contain it, but you have a clear dynamic towards its reduction. if there is, how do you leave 25% alone - it is in the agreement of commercial banks, or some other

adequate reason to explain why such a decision was kept. i simply do not have they declare that they are ready to revise this rate only in the fourth quarter, when i'm sorry, what will happen to our economy, but we often say that we need money, we ask our partners to help invest, and so on. those who primarily have to lend to the economy are the banks of this country in which located. they will not lend . excuse me, on the one hand, the enterprise has a certain risk, and let's say, a reduction in potential demand, and on the other hand , the national bank, which is absolutely risk-free, is a one hundred percent instrument, that is in other words, a 100% guarantee. and it gives 25%. well, let's explain that the yield index of so-called certificates of deposit is tied to this indicator. it is also a tool when the bank can put

money into a safe for the nation . this is one money . are at their disposal. we have a lot of clients, and i will explain this, which clients are what? what is the paradox of the main amount that now comes from the state budget, we are talking about the same 30,000 what are the funds for our military? those who are on the e-e on the front line. they will receive a pasto of thousands, respectively, for 30 weeks of movement, and these funds simply lie on the cards. they do not accrue interest. banks take this money , invest it in the national bank and receive 25% per annum. that is, we this is a situation when we are not even talking about sorry, what are the funds of clients , what are these funds, that is, without paying our sorry defenders a single penny for the fact that they keep the funds, they themselves earn billions and look at the actual deposit

certificates, yes, relative to these certificates, it is tied to -1% of the refinancing rate, that is, 23, yes , they changed the rules, that is, at the moment , they reduced it to 20%, if you put it overnight , but in general, change your mind months, there is a program there for three months, if you attracted deposits from the population, conditionally speaking. well, as for me, the question is who will issue any loans to the population if it is possible to give a conditional loan to the national bank with a hundred percent return, absolutely no people at all. that is, in other words, for example. well, now i am all after all, as much to the population as to the business of the business, which in the first place should earn. so why should i give to the business, that is, in order for me to be interested in giving the business these funds, then in this case i have to give 30 to 40%, well, as a result, the business does not have such profitability but nevertheless, i wrote about it. well, about a month ago, the profit of ukrainian banks in january of this year, the 23rd, was more than

doubled compared to january of the 22nd, that is , the pre- war month. how could this happen? deposit certificates of e-banks do not carry any risks at all, they do not lend to businesses. in fact, if you look even under the 579 program, this means that the state compensates them for this rate, that is , the profits of the banks come from our taxes. no, the program is absolutely correct, that is, in principle. we need to help business in order for it to collect these funds, but the banks do not actually bear any risk and who do they lend to? i'm sorry to the agrarians . and only wholesale trade, 80 if i'm not mistaken, 3%. 83% of all loans are only these two directions, only agrarian and only excuse me, wholesale trade, wholesale trade - this is mainly our import, that is, they actually earn by importing products, industry only 13%. and if you take into account that

our business faces the problems of blocking tax invoices, then in this case , working in our country at all, well, it's just some kind of crazy people who decide in the conditions of war to pretend to work for people, to pay wages, to pay taxes with such lending, to invest their own funds , to bear responsibility, then sorry, business makes a decision on relocation, but not to the west of the country, and not to the world, the truth is, there are problems. why? because from the first to the seventh, respectively , checks will begin. these will be mask-shows, raids, in other words, now these will be blamed on those who stayed to work, because they are all criminals . that in such conditions only a criminal can work according to the logic of the state from all of the above, when the actual business should be russian in our economy, i would like to believe it, and i do not quite understand the forecast of the national bank, which improves its the vision of recovery of the ukrainian economy of ukraine

this year from 03% to two 2%. well, they argue that the power system will recover quickly, and this will give, if er, new risk groups from the power system, now it is in principle unencumbered, our energy engineers have shown that they react very quickly and restore energy very quickly, because the calculation was for six months, which we have there will be problems with electricity, it turned out that in fact, for several months, we have solved these problems and we are creating a system that is sufficient let's put it this way resistant to the shelling that is taking place, first of all, the nbu service, in view of the rapid restoration of our system . may and only from the month of june it started a little, well, you could see on the street , some small shops began to open, more coffee shops and so on, if you take the period

of march, then excuse me. it was well, if i was talking about kyiv, then there was a bed there, nothing there was a plus and still a very significant occupied territory as a result. then after the deoccupation there he started to return with business, he started to work . therefore, i believe that this year will definitely be a plus . they have to work here, restore their production , start working here in ukraine as soon as possible, look for their own resources in order to earn money and give money to their families and their to the employees who work for them well, let's still have time i wanted to ask you a little about naftogaz of ukraine naftogaz of ukraine this year expects uah 327 billion from the state budget , and the lion's share of this amount is compensation for preferential preferential tariffs tariffs for the public but it is obvious that this

not all the money will go from this money precisely to the compensation of your assessment of the efficiency of the work of naftogaz and the new team. well, first of all, i will make an amendment in the conditions of the war, in the conditions of the fact that the oil refineries were also shelled and and the structure and so on, after all, there are certain circumstances here that work this year was no matter what there was, there was no management, but it was difficult to work, it is necessary. well, let's say clearly such a preamble. even for some new wells, this is a problem, in my opinion, and there is a lot of noise and very few concrete results. we remember this noise about the fact that there is not enough gas and well, here is the issue of lowering , according to the cabinet itself, according to

the need for gas injection, which was essential above, based on the fact that you have a large part of the occupied territory with destroyed cities, enterprises are not working, and you set a corresponding plan higher than last year, and even then well, the question was only one in order for naftogaz, not having the opportunity , to pump out such a quantity of gas for in order to fill his gas storage , then he was forced to buy at inflated prices from private producers. that is, in fact, it was such pressure and, of course, then criticism of naftogaz, so here i evaluate it negatively, and despite throwing the preamble that i said but this is the joint responsibility of naftogaz and the government, the government set tasks, the government accordingly made decisions that significantly worsened the situation in naftogaz

, that is, some kind of joint activity to make it worse than better may increase this year, they will increase, the only thing here is that to some extent it is objective, because what is happening now is to compensate for the cost of electricity for the population, and the producers accordingly raise the cost for production, as a result, the cost of electricity for production is higher than in europe. we rent not for business , but uncompetitive, because it is normal to work in such conditions, well, at least it is very difficult in some, it is impossible at all, therefore, prices rise in order to, including this cross- subsidization, at least reduce as much as it should be raised. i think that there should be ways out of that situation, after all, there should be two, two, two, two tariff approaches, that is , in other words, to a certain limit, the price must be

unambiguously social and even possibly lower than the cost price if, for example, it consumes more than 250 kw there, then the price must be unambiguously market, which will also encourage people to economize. it is possible to approach separately and establish such a preferential tariff for those houses or such apartments where there is an electric stove and where there is no electric stove . for example, if there is an electric stove conditionally speaking, the social tariff should be raised, and where there is no electric stove, leave it as it is, and here the situation, in my opinion, is the following, that is, but also the long-distance tariff and the tariff , which is more, according to a certain social norms, it will definitely grow, the main thing is that there is correct accounting and the main thing is that you, accordingly, have help because in this case , if in relation to other a-a growth of communal services, at the moment this question

remains, well, let's say so controversial, based on the social component why because in the event that people now raise tariffs , in fact, 80% of the population receives a loan, and no structure, accordingly , will be able to properly serve such a number of citizens, taking into account a certain migration and plus. moreover, this means because there will be mistakes. some people will not be singled out. people will find themselves in a more difficult a-a situation, an economic situation for themselves, the inability to pay, debts will accumulate, and so on, that is, if the energy field is more or less clear about the situation, then according to other utility tariffs, i believe that at the moment, more it is more profitable to keep the price accordingly, or if there is also to consider an increase well, i definitely don’t want it to be a shock , how about that? then i thought of raising it two or three times , so we still have 5 minutes left, and

the story about what happened in the russian let us remind the federation that the country of dung has hit ukraine again today. we already have ten dead in uman, among them ten-year-old children . two uh-uh, kyiv oblast was also attacked in ukrainka, and there is destruction in kyiv oblast as a result of the fall of rocket fragments. a woman and a child well, actually traditional unfortunately for ukraine, the history of the president of ukraine volodymyr zelensky emphasizes that the sanctions against the russian federation should be made even tougher and his statement coincides with other missile strikes well, despite the sanctions, the russian federation will supposedly still be able to ensure aggression against ukraine for a long

time. and the opinion about the rather close relations of the russian federation with china, which takes advantage of the opportunity and buys energy carriers from russia, for example, it is not very expensive, but the energy carriers of the russian federation are, in principle, enough now does not export to europe, for example. well, the situation is almost as follows for the grenotian russians: if they did not buy, they bought elsewhere or they would buy in another city , then the price has increased significantly, the difference between , relatively speaking, the price at which russia sells and the price that will be formed accordingly due to the shortage of oil in the world, it will be so significant that simply by transferring less and russia will receive more profit , therefore, the correct approach, according to which you did what are you selling but at such a price when you have the budget from the oil and gas complex fell by 44%.

that is, there is no shortage in the world and this allows, despite the ineffective decision of opec to reduce the supply of world oil, there was a temporary jump to 85, now it is already falling to 75, respectively, and the price of the urals also rose above the limit of $65, $60 to $65 was for some time, now it again went down to 58, that is, in other words , even such an unprecedented decision still did not lead to the fact that the price rose steadily there and held on to high marks such an approach that you sell but in fact sell at cost price is correct . it gives this sector the opportunity not to make a profit and has significantly reduced their income . are used for the manufacture of weapons e-e, in particular, this applies to semiconductors that are formed by high-precision

e-e means of guidance e-e and so on , respectively, the same bearings, they have become much less than they had before because the main manufacturers have left, but still they buy either chinese ones of worse quality or are found through other channels, so it is very important to emphasize if we are talking about sanctions on any goods , any components, any raw materials used in the military the industrial complex of russia, that is, all this should be blocked and any hint of a country or company that promotes circumvention in this context is a sledgehammer. they should be severely punished now, accordingly, there will be a trip to kazakhstan. i hope that kazakhstan will realize the consequences that will come precisely for this country since he is active , but we often talk about china, well china yes, but kazakhstan is the most who is now participating in circumventing sanctions and helping russia thank you

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