[000:00:00;00] documents from the white house, i.e. how does he arrive in new york, how does he leave from there, and so on and so on. therefore, now trump is in the media, this is basically what trump is doing . - is the governor of flora, namely and finally, as of april 30, 2023. how do you assess the chances? if we take the idea that trump and biden will compete for the position of president of the united states, then as of now , who do you think has a better chance from the point of view of your expertise? be elected a and this is a very good question, of course it is very difficult to predict a-a more than 500 days before the election but as of now, what we have a-a it seems to me that a-a despite the low rating of joseph biden, he

will still be able to a- and it will be able to influence a lot of many factors due to various different events that took place in the academy for trump, but i do not discount the republicans who can also mobilize, we know what we have to give in. we remember 2016 when all the media all eh - is one way or another the importance of the speaker of the united states the united states did not even predict a primary victory for him, as a result, he became the president of the united states. therefore, it is very difficult to predict, because before the election, a lot of things can happen. secondly, joseph biden is physically simple maybe this will happen if he cannot run for office we cannot know anything in advance but as of now my predictions are as follows thank you arsen martyshchuk martyshchuk

international expert co-founder of the institute of american studies was with us on a direct video link, eyewitnesses on social networks confirm that we will carefully monitor everything and report it to you live based on preliminary information. but only official confirmation will appear or i hope the promotion of this information, we will definitely inform you allies continue to form tank support for ukraine leopards challengers abrams, all of this is coming to us to help liberate the land from the occupiers, in addition, the partners are planning to create a service center for the same leopards in neighboring poland, this will significantly speed up the repair of western equipment, so what equipment entered the tank coalition further in the plot predator leopard is already in

ukraine, a modernized soviet tank p -72 british challengers also appeared here in ukraine ukraine actively continues to receive modern western tanks, which is very important during the upcoming offensive , in general, the allies promised ukraine hundreds tanks as modern and so modernized soviet ones, we were waiting for the leopard two the most, and when germany finally gave permission for their transfer within rammstein , the so-called tank coalition was formed, that club of specialists, uh, specifically tankists who gathered within the framework of our uh, western contacts allies, if we talk about rammstein and this group, there are 54 countries, of which approximately 15 countries are those countries that are able to provide us with tanks and solve the logistics problems of these machines, both

in terms of ammunition and in terms of spare parts of tools in the plan of training such armored college 4 months from spain to eight from norway and canada and even more than a hundred of the first leopards will be received from denmark, germany and the netherlands when the tank coalition was first launched it was about the leopard tank as the main european tank that is in service with many countries and there were calculations that from those couple of thousand tanks, which are of different versions in different countries, it is possible to recruit a coalition of ukraine that is ready to give a little bit and together a significant force will be obtained

creation of a tank coalition of modern models ukraine will still receive 14 challengers from great britain and we are waiting for the american abrams, but we will receive them no earlier than the fall as part of such an unofficial coalition czech republic, poland, morocco and slovakia also supply soviet tanks to ukraine, but 60 modernized pt-91 units are solid, it is modernized the t-72 tank, in fact, in addition, the czech republic gave us the banal t-72, it seems 90 pieces, yes, these tanks are relatively obsolete, morally obsolete, but they are also very important for our army the house partners understand that it is imperative to maintain the combat capability of the systems already provided, that is why on the 11th ramstein , the members of the tank coalition of the minister of defense of germany , poland and ukraine met behind closed doors, they signed a protocol on the creation in poland of a maintenance center for leopard-2 battle tanks delivered to ukraine earlier this the first step towards the creation of a maintenance center for our

leopard tanks, which were provided to you by oleksia. thank you to poland for its hospitality. it is nice to see how we are moving forward after the late western technologies will lead to the defeat of russia in the war, the armored fist formed by joint efforts will stop the aggression of the terrorist regime against europe and the entire free world ukrainian soldiers skillfully defend their country modern western technologies will lead to the defeat of moscow the sooner this happens, the sooner peace will come oleksiy reznikov minister of defense of ukraine dragon expert not servicing leopards in ukraine, the neighbors will significantly speed up the repair of equipment and thus ukraine will become closer to nato on this rammstein ukraine

actually joined the general system of service and tele-logistics support of nato, that is, roughly speaking , there is no need for separate agreements for the purchase of certain products, everything goes through this integrated system, so while the russians replenish their crazy losses technicians at the front with tanks of the 40s of the last century ukraine continues to receive western weapons of new models from partners and our soldiers learned to skillfully operate them in a record short time vlada tsymbalenko we ukraine marathon the only news can turn a tragedy into a holiday . only russians can turn a tragedy into a holiday. year after year, may 9 is a terrorist country.

of ukrainians and present it as a victory to their population, taking into account the recent missile attack , whether the russians are able to launch another massive strike at the beginning of may , the tsymbalenko authorities found out may day and a sacred day for russians and personally for their dictator putin on may 9. glory to our valiant armed forces for russia. for the victory, cheers, the exercise of victory and defeat is ideologically very important for the kremlin, and even despite the murderous war unleashed by russia, traditions do not change and are preparing to celebrate. they built their entire modern historical and, to a large extent, political narrative precisely on theses about the great victory on may 9 and we can repeat it. from the point of view of even a propaganda presentation of this action, this is a fairly convenient period. that is, it

will be possible to say that the grandfathers fought there with fascists, and we, accordingly, are at war with the fascists and now we are firing at them, but putin has nothing to brag about in front of the russians , there are no victories at the front in a year of war, they have not achieved everything, they have a lot of sanctions in their blood and it is the last one that putin is trying to sell to his people if he gives some kind of victory, the experts do not exclude that that part of the celebration may be regular rockets, drones and bombs on ukraine, pigs' point of view will be used for attacks on troops along logistical routes, one of the principles that you analyze the constant influence of on the enemy, including the civilian population, despite the fact that the amount of ammunition has decreased compared to the beginning, its missile potential has really decreased, according to experts, compared to the beginning of the great war, now only 15% of long-range missiles remain in russia , but as the gur says the aggressor country continues to produce them, however, due to sanctions

, it is no longer at such a rate, about two dozen per month , and this is precisely why the increase in the interval between attacks is connected, for example, on the night of friday , the enemy launched 23 missiles deep into ukraine, and also they are looking for new tactics, the daylight hours have increased, now they can actually launch missiles in the dark, and when they approach the area, which they have in case, they have the most accurate optical guidance system on board, which compares the area under them with the one laid out in the program and adjusts the accuracy of the strikes increases because during the almost two-month pause between the previous mass strikes, the enemy was able to accumulate a missile resource and with the last attack tried to scout out the locations of the new air defense systems that were on the defensive of the ukrainian sky recently. therefore, now there is a break. until the next attack, it may be shorter. they are inspired, let's say, by the message

that we have somewhat updated the air defense . they could arrange such a check in order to calculate the coding in order to understand for themselves the power . the possibility of using missiles from the sea is absolutely not excluded. separately, according to another plan, let's absolutely assume that it can be combined, they do not rule out that the enemy will terrorize the border territories even more powerfully in the first days of may, and not only the s-300 a, where there was no can attack odesa, in particular, attack from su-35 tactical aviation planes, it is enough for them to approach the coastal zone at a distance of fifty kilometers there in order to release those bombs, which is an extra reason for the enemy to terrorize ukraine, besides, as intelligence reports, they are in a panic because of a close attack of ukraine, and this is another reason for the occupiers

to attack our lands with all their weapons . they bought housing, built estates, villas and hotels, now they are trying to quickly get rid of them, it is cotton that does not subside on the peninsula, which contributes to panic announcements about the sale of apartments and houses after invading neighbors, how are they, russians, about a carefree life , theft of ukrainian land began to attract magnets in front of the eyes, elvina will tell you how they bought this bulaeva apartments received ownership of service real estate - this is a real find for connoisseurs and lovers luxury of beauty on 17% of the land there are three houses so eight

years of occupation until cotton was scared under the time of full-scale blossoming on the military bases in novofedorivka, then in dzhankoy, sevastopol, on the sacred kerch bridge, does not subside and still does not want to leave the captured ukrainian peninsula, the russians did not want to leave crimea at all, i do not want to leave crimea , they lived so heartily at home, but it happened that the more blooming cotton, the faster it changes the mood of the invaders, at first they bought, now they are getting rid of real estate en masse, the number of urgent ads for the sale of the background has increased to 50%. such real estate objects appeared on the market in crimea the elite are those people who are in management positions, they put up all these objects and are waiting for a buyer, but there is no buyer, and

with all these restrictions and sanctions , the dollar exchange rate began to rise, so how much on average are russians willing to get rid of their housing. we go to one of the local real estate sites we call the real estate company in crimea, there are 12 million , at least somewhere 3.60,240 square meters, we look at the map of the peninsulas, we see more than fifty thousand real estate objects for sale, and their number is constantly increasing, the russians are also losing their business. here on the map we see that an hour ago, a hotel near alushta cost 85 million rubles . and this is more than a million dollars. rare exclusive estates are being sold in a hurry. most of the owners are wealthy russians. but what are

the buyers for the goods ? they should not invest in the crimea during a full-scale war. that the war is not going at all as it was planned from the very beginning, according to the entire territory of ukraine , they will return one way or another, and many planned to sit there and buy for some kind of pension and old age. well, they are starting to leave and they have no particular desire to use the annexed crimea for today, they are not just selling off the peninsula, but fleeing the peninsula to russia by night and reserve trains through this administration, already looking for false ones and such, to block them lying down already prepared by the fsb and representatives of the corn administrations, the non-seizure of the civilian population, so that the action of the occupiers is increasing here, immobilization, including those who

definitely do not sell real estate, are the crimeans, because they are waiting at home until the uninvited guests are finally evicted . and somehow it is necessary to underestimate that , residents of dnipropetrovsk region, please take care of your safety where you are now . next, we will talk about money, namely about the money of the russian federation, which is rapidly running out of oil, is the main factor in the stability of the russian economy, and this year it will not be convinced by the international monetary fund, there they predict that the budget revenues of the russian federation will decrease this year , mostly due to the drop in oil and gas prices

, i will note that from december 2022, russian oil will be sold with a price limit of $60 per barrel, and since february, the eu has set a price limit for natural gas, all this will lead to a decrease in the volume of raw materials and, therefore, to a decrease in profits ukrainian aggressors are with us solution oleksandr ivanov economist financial analyst from the united states of america good good night to you oleksandr we congratulate you i congratulate you glory to ukraine glory to the heroes glory to the russian economy we would like to talk with you and the problem is that in reality you do not understand the state of the russian economy simply taking into account that at the level of the law, the russian lawmakers allowed the government to prohibit the publication of any data related to the state of the russian economy , that is, at the discretion of the government, they can

to refuse simply to publish information but nevertheless, by what markers as of today, in the conditions that exist, can we assess the state of the russian economy after a year of a full-scale invasion of ukraine, and how do you assess it? это очень хороший вопрос russian language because i feel more comfortable speaking in russian than in ukrainian, although i'm from ukraine, from odessa , and i know ukrainian since childhood, nevertheless, i haven't worked in a long time, sorry. yes, this economy of russia actually turned out to be much better пстихойкая as with all the challenges that she is now experiencing, what many experts in the economic community expected . after three six months at the most, this did not happen, first of all, because the introduction of sanctions on the export of oil resources from the russian federation, as agreed, began on

december 5, 22 a.a. to prove if the statisticians have nine dollars, the year 20182 allowed russia to accumulate approximately 600 billion e.e. at the expense of oil and gas exports, respectively e.e. a decrease in imports , since the leading western companies left the market because the fork of income and expenses, that is, between import and export reached with a decrease in imports of about 12%, and the growth of exports there by 20 , that is, this is something. sanctions will work on this economy, and fortunately, the holiday december was a ceiling. how do you know that oil products that russia can sell on the foreign market

? not liberal in the east and the global south is that the global skirt remains, in principle , on the sidelines, and the situation of india, turkey, and china is used. the same thing, the turnover between turkey and russia has grown three times, this is huge money that the russian economy and turkey receive, and at the same time, parallel exports have arisen, and russia has bought about 300 tankers, which, in principle, distribute oil supplies to the global market, bypassing western sanctions, entering western countries insurance premiums and everything else , therefore, the russian expert lived and the 23rd year will be a serious challenge for the russian economy, but at the same time consider that the sanctions

it is impossible to fully work because there are still other players in this market, china, india, and the arab countries, and the global ymz , that is, africa and erika, that speaks of the complete collapse of the russian economy . unfortunately, mr. alexander, our western partners have already taken many important steps sanctions steps, we already have 10 rounds of sanctions, and the 11th package is on the agenda, which should, in particular, close all possible loopholes so that the russian federation does not circumvent these sanctions. if this happens, we we are closing these loopholes and it is clear that russia needs to look for some others, but when russia can run out of money in this way, as far as its resources can still be enough. and you now know that in russia the so-called national fund was created even before the 14th year

of the state, and at the time of the annexation of crimea, there were approximately 300 billion dollars in it, and then the economic community predicted that after two years, this reserve fund would be completely exhausted and russia would be left with nothing more than the sanctions that the obama administration then had russia's borrowings on foreign markets are protected in this, borrowings in one month greatly undermined russia 's external financing opportunities after the full-scale aggression of the twenty-second year. which are there today and budget financing, which has increased in russia by about 20%, allows even today to

fully finance russia's military economy of course, the second wave of mobilization, which forced those who did not want to die to leave, and on the fields of the war in ukraine, it undermined the absolutely qualified force that was in russia at the second time, in general, the maintenance of the oil complex was not the gas production complex does not require a large number of people , police forces, and therefore there is still a demand for russian oil and no gas production. they are gathering to start a gradual reduction from ordinary to my strange again. they want to make 1 million $166,000 per day and bring the reduction to 3.6 ml by the end of the year. this is the eye of three percent of world exports. but

for the time being , you accept that this affects the growth and, accordingly, the growth of the income of the russian economy. an assessment of how much the russian national reserve system really works and it can bring this side to this war in any case uh, we hope that these resources can be exhausted by the end of 23, but time will tell if it will be like that alexander and if we analyze the dynamics because here probably more important is the process itself, how it goes, than the expected result, because the result may differ from what we imagined what it should be, if we look at how events are developing, including events in the russian economy, as of

now, in your opinion , what is the most logical assumption about, for example, the russian economy in the medium-term perspective of 5 years? and we will say the departure of the world's automobile industry from the russian economy and their replacement by chinese brands and russian brands already indicates that god is counting on the russian economy to be on the verge of the same catastrophes about which they even an hour ago did not even think about it, so within five years it will probably be a country with a volume of production , a volume of gross income, maybe half a percent, although wearing one and being satisfied did not reach two percent, so i think that it is four times that for sure sokratsya, and in this regard, take into account the green revolution , take into account the subsidies that the biden administration provides to european countries, green energy and reductions from millet to oil resources, and this is the main export

article of russia's economy, which forms such a kpi in general, the industry in this regard is definitely the russian economy is dying, so in this sense, russia is definitely even under the condition that china will continue to provide it with money and try to help its development less about the russian economy, there is no future, that is, in 5 years, this is not the future, it’s just me, i don’t even know what to compare it to , probably the soviet union, eh, during its collapse, when it wasn’t for oil, there were 10 dollar seizures and economists were looking for where would to find money in international currency organizations to support this strange from the complete death of oleksandr aderei, or how dependent russia's economy is on china, and at the moment it is about

60 percent, because it accounts for all of russia. china, in general, is the same life pipe they say in america, which they ask this economist without throwing. i think that this war would end today, but it does not end, even though china has taken a step let's put it this way, many did not expect him from him. i once spoke with volodymyr zelenskyi from pin, but this is a separate topic. and i am returning to the previous one regarding, to put it mildly, dark forecasts for the russian economy. in your opinion, are there any factors that will prevent the implementation of this the scenario, that is, that they will manage to hold on even at a relatively decent level, just as they hold on in the 22nd year

, both economically and politically an influential role in the formation of prices on the oil market. and therefore, the possibility of manipulating this price ceiling is probably the fact that today the congress is considering a resolution without which is called a nopek , which assumes that if the american congress can prove that the countries of pharmacies are engaged in m. - and manipulation of the price cannot lead to sanctions and drawing er assets again in america, this is a serious threat to these countries, but nevertheless economic facts and of course others can influence this factors and factors of a practical nature, if putin succeeds in launching a war in the 24th year, and he, as we understand, is on this path and on this goal, he is definitely counting on a change of administration in the white house, so everything is quite difficult in relation to and wrapped up because

, on the one hand, the congress of ukraine has a co-aggressor of two parties, and only a small wing of the trumpists is trying to say that it is necessary to end the war right now, because it affects the prices of they see inflation on the rest of america's interests here precisely in reducing america's spending on a--an unnecessary war in the name of war, and at the same time, if our administration remains in the white house , it will definitely be a signal for putin that it is possible therefore, in this respect, this year and the next year will be decisive, it seems. plans, friends, thank you for being with us, the marathon, the only news

, the broadcast continues, our colleagues maria skyba and maksym sikora , see you on february 24, for many, that day began with panic, what to do, where to go, how to proceed, but you knew that millions of ukrainians are counting on you they expect to take away from under fire, they expect to deliver aid to the military to bring them home, we are grateful to thousands of ukrainian railway workers who fearlessly perform their work even when there is no strength, when they have not left the country for a month of a train when you know that it can be a one-way road proven on the railway all