tv [untitled] May 1, 2023 9:30pm-10:01pm EEST
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[000:00:00;00] returned to the bombing of residential areas and infrastructure facilities, taking into account that the damage to critical infrastructure will not be so critical , so to speak, compared to the winter period with cold weather, and in fact, with such attacks , russia is once again reminding the world that terrorist acts are taking place e terror of the civilian population why do you think this is being done now, well, it happened, is happening and will happen, the russians do not understand other logic and how to try to sow fear and panic among ukrainians do they achieve the strategic picture? they do not, but in my opinion this volley has an additional additional goal . the best anti-aircraft systems in their class have entered ukraine. this means the mim-104 patriots. the russians suffer a strategic defeat under bakhmut. propaganda has no substance, and it seems to me that such large
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aviation take-offs but small missile salvos are nothing more than the formatting of our anti-flood defense and an attempt to calculate where the patriots are in order to further hunt them down but this is as a secondary goal of the general philosophy, there is not the slightest doubt that because there is potential , they are accumulating and there will still be a large missile launch over ukraine. dmytro, it is interesting that the analytical report of the institute for the study of war came out today, and it talks about what this scenario of a long war is trying to plant russia and the world and the domestic audience. it is not a given and it can actually be avoided by taking appropriate steps in the partners who say that the west and the united states in particular have huge opportunities to influence the outcome and duration of what the head of the war of the russian federation against ukraine do you share the opinion that a prolonged protracted war is not a long-term and that the decisive actions of the western partners will not allow
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the war to be prolonged for several years or even decades? i share the point of view that this war may end in this phase in the fall, it is quite possible if there are very high-quality weapons, weapons, weapons, and once again, weapons , first of all, those that change the rules of the game for combat, i mean aviation, f16 - this is 60 machines with the entire range of af-16 weapons has 105 units of a wide variety of weapons that can be used, especially long-range missiles such as agm158 or rocket-gliding bombs and agm 154 or the whole bomb jbl line, it is very long, can really turn the tide of this war, but this working case lies exclusively on the tables of the western coalition. well, you see today , defense minister reznikov expressed in an interview that he is confident that ukraine will receive
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modern fighter jets of the 4th generation from the usa, but he explained the procrastination from partners, what we will call procrastination, with practicality and soberly calculating that they act only when they are certain that they can provide assistance with new weapons to the end, it concerns the service, including to what extent do you think there is a political aspect to this issue, or is it only about the military and sobriety, as mr. reznikov called it, it is very difficult to comment and to provide some analysis of a part of the political moment because geopolitics is an incredibly complex science and a complex reality - it is thinner than a spider's thread, there are a lot of variables, it is possible somewhere and there are fears in the collective west that they say such a super weapon. and this super weapon will actually raise the same nuclear blackmail. is it possible for the apocalypse to reach a higher point ? although, in my opinion, such rhetoric does not stand up to any criticism at all, because by and large, from the point
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of view of russian legislation, we are already fighting on their territory in four of our regions and crimea are fully included in the composition of the russian federation and that where did this terrible nuclear zhukov lie? it is very complex and needs incredible attention. but i am sure that if we managed to settle such equipment as himers in a matter of weeks , it took weeks to settle the same patriots . only a serious political pole, today there was another statement, this time from the bank, that at the last rammstein , where the idea of obtaining fighter jets for ukraine, she moved to a practical level, where zelenskyi’s deputy ihor zhovkva a voiced such an opinion
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in your opinion, what practical results can we count on if we move into the practical plane, and when it comes to it, it is probably not only a manifestation 16 and other fighters, in my opinion, the f16 is still the best. at the same time, there are also very successful swedish machines jazz 39 gripen is a good german tornado and the frenchman has at least two mirage and rafale machines, as well as a joint european development of the eurofighter and the pound to which machine will reach in reality. i will not predict now my personal position as an expert and as a citizen still f16 a few words why is it the most massive machine around 4,600 units were produced 25 countries of the operator of the countries of the operators and most importantly there is no more powerful lobbyist in america than their military-industrial complex as such machines appear in us these are the threads that will bind us not only to the military lobby in the usa, and in general to the political and
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political hemonic, and this is exactly what should be called to strengthen the euro-atlantic integration. returning to this narrative about a protracted war, which the kremlin is trying to plant, many analysts now agree on because despite the huge human resources, despite the considerable number of defense structures that the russian army is building, it is not ready for the offensive of ukrainian forces, and here are the arguments put forward by two points: they say that personnel rotation is very frequent, and prigozhin's statements about insufficient support and what actions they can take in the kremlin will succeed if the ukrainian counteroffensive is inevitable and they are not ready for it. well, they will resort to only one action that is understandable for them, a deaf defense, and one should not underestimate the enemy's meat, the key is incredibly many, at least up to 20,000
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personnel every month, they still replenish the ranks of the russian occupation troops along the line of demarcation and 140 million nations , given their psychological and mental makeup, to fight for the family is too great for stalin, now for putin, an attempt can be made in ukraine with a few hundred more personnel to pass the fortification lines that they actually built it, it will be quite a difficult task along with the fact that if we do receive a large number of high-quality weapons, the final victory will be ours in the great in the historical sense, the wheel of their defeat cannot be stopped, the only question is how long it will spin, but i actually mentioned the personnel rotations that take place in the military leadership of the russian army, and the institute for the study of the current war even compares the situation to the confrontation between zhukov and stalin during the second world war, you also mentioned that the russians are ready to fight for putin as well as for stalin, do
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you think such parallels to what is happening among the military leadership of the country are currently appropriate and justified and can the results be the same as 80 years ago, there will be no results there, there is no such figure as zhukov, such a reduced figure as stalin, this is putin , although he has been delivered very, very far, if at all, extremely objectively, and in reality, if hours from the permutation of terms, the sum does not change for to me, they are all infinitely bad, it doesn't matter what surnames the russian occupation troops will command, they have all shown their absolute toxicity, their absolute inhumanity to barbarism, and i can't even find a metaphor to hang another label on them, this carthage has to be destroyed in moscow imperialism is experiencing its last reflection in the historical context. at the same time, we remember that the tsarist empire suffered a catastrophic defeat in the russo-japanese war
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of 19034, but fell as early as the 17th year under the pressure of the first world war, so not everything will be so unequivocally they are well aware that their defeat is the death of putin and the possible disintegration of the russian federation , and therefore they will fight to the death. does not want to give a fake victory to anyone, and on the other hand, he needs to look for those responsible for the fact that it was not possible to take kyiv in three days, or occupy ukraine in two weeks, why are these personnel rotations taking place, in your opinion , and in my opinion, the second opinion is more correct, he is to blame for the disaster in ukraine must be appointed and there is this personnel reshuffling of everything that they have to understand and who is the culprit, let's not forget that in addition to the military wing, there is another tower that is quite strong, which is called the fsb tower and
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patrusheva bortnikova, they also at one time in a peculiar way they misled putin that they said that the war can really be won in three days and the shoigu tower did not cope with this strategic and also in my opinion putin is trying to keep the balance of power there in the middle. i do not believe in any uprising from the bottom of the russian people, but the palace the coup is a classic sign of the struggle for power in the russian empire , starting with elizaveta petrovna, ending with the tychotomy of stalinbery and yeltsin himself. philosophy, putin is fighting for his own survival in them there is a pack of wolves, the question is which wolf will win, which one will die, well, in addition to the personnel issues that we are talking about now, there are also aspects of security pointed out by analysts. how important is what is happening in this context. here
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there in the last few days in afrifs in the occupied territories i am now about the explosion at the oil depot in sevastopol about the mysterious explosion in the bryansk region where on the railway and because of which the wagons with oil went off the track how much is it in general affects the ability of the russian federation to conduct military operations, of course, comprehensively, their potential will decrease in all senses, starting with fuel and lubricant materials , ending with the wear and tear of the resources of the same static rocket launchers that were in the air today , let's say the youngest here 95 ms of 1994. they will not be able to build new ones, only repair them every hour in the air wears out the resource and sooner or later they will reach the point when the machine will not be able to rise into the air but it will not be as fast as we would like it and most importantly kalashnikov assault rifles
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mosin and even weapons of the second world war ppsh-41 ipps-43, they are made by millions, there are no millions per standard, but there are hundreds of thousands of kalashnikov assault rifles, two horns to it, a sapper’s shovel, a small handful of crackers, kirza paint, and they will die. big we can neither ignore it nor cancel it mr. petrenova , literally before the release tonight , we have news about drone attacks on the occupied peninsula, there are reports of explosions in sevastopol, there is already information allegedly a drone was shot down over yevpatoria. it is still unclear who implemented these actions in addition to the military purpose. what other consequences do they have ? well, you just mentioned the internal struggle in the kremlin itself, about the struggle for survival. these are the events that affect this internal struggle and how will the search for the culprit definitely affect him ? there is unconfirmed information that
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certain arrests have already begun among the military wing of the middle and even higher ranks. it is very hidden whether haltization and pressure on the psychology of the highest priority is clearly needed or such explosions add to this pressure add to this pressure but i will emphasize once again that it is impossible to give such cases too high a positive emotional expectation that something will crack there, this is the newest gulag, everything there is built on the vertical of putin's one-man power and in terms of the fear of the junior boss in front of the senior well, they probably surpassed everyone they could, and in terms of crime - this is a very corporatized system, they will die but will do their dirty work mr. petra, thank you very much for an interesting conversation. petro chernyk, a military analyst
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, was in direct contact with us . thank you. so recorded in the crimea, perm and briansk weekend, we in different parts of russia , in the territory occupied by it, a number of incidents occurred, more details, on the night of april 29, in the kozacha bay neighborhood of occupied sevastopol, an oil depot caught fire according to the correspondent of the radio freedom crimea realia project, around two in the morning, gunfire was heard in the area of the bay, then a powerful fire broke out, according to the head
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of the occupation administration of the city mykhailo razvazheva, the fire broke out due to the impact of a uav , and a fire train had to be used to contain it, and this photo was published on the crimean wind telegram channel on it, they explained the traffic jam in front of the kerch bridge on the way out of crimea, a little later they also published a video of a drone that fell near the village of zernove in the central part of crimea, previously the head of the occupation administration of the peninsula serhiy aksyonov said that at the same time as the attack of drones on sevastopol, the air defense forces shot down one without a pilot and planted another one by means of rep ot smotry zernov smacked the wing yes wild animals will come open the doors please according to the same data from the representative of the state government andriy yusov an explosion in cossack bay destroyed 10 tanks with with oil products with a total capacity of 40,000 tons, they were allegedly
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intended for the russian black sea fleet, also on saturday, april 29 , a fire broke out in the russian port , local telegram channels reported that there was a fire on the territory the motovilikhin plant, which is subject to eu sanctions, is the only one in russia that produces multiple rocket launcher systems. this is not the first fire at this plant. there were several fires here last year as well. and this is already the result of explosions on the night of march 30 in the village of suzinka, bryansk region , approximately 10 km from the sumy oblast this morning in the bryansk oblast , a freight train derailed. this is reported by the russian service of radio liberty with reference to telegram channels, it is necessary to approve from here
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you can hear the oblast governor oleksandr bogomas announced the detonation of the track, according to the information of the telegram channel, the base of the train contained 60 cars with petroleum products and wood in the distant area of the incident, an interception plan was introduced , according to the data of the project, the belarusian villages, in connection with this event, the connection of the belarusian gomel with russia was disrupted, also the telegram channel- the base reported that unknown persons blew up the lep support in the hachyn district of the leningrad region , the charge on the support was demined by explosives technicians max grabovsky radio svoboda due to the night shelling of the invaders, several settlements in the dnipropetrovsk region and chernihiv oblast was left without electricity this was reported to ukrenergo, they say that russian rockets damaged distribution power grids and their restoration will require several grandfathers in total since october 10, and it was then that for the first time russia carried out a massive attack on the ukrainian energy system at key energy
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facilities, more than 1,200 missiles were launched drones more than 250 of them hit the target, 43% of the main networks were damaged, this is despite the fact that part of the generation capacity is not available to the ukrainian power system. due to the occupation, all this affects stability energy system of ukraine how critical is the damage caused by the russian attacks this night about all this and not only we will continue to talk with volodymyr omelchenko, director of energy programs of the razumkov center, mr. volodymyr, i congratulate you i congratulate you too on may 1 , it remains damaged well, which is not subject to recovery at all, what numbers are the way the part was damaged and remains so because
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the attack on may 1 did not affect the stability of the energy system and will not affect the energy supply of our consumers, i.e. 43% was actually damaged before, that is, the lines of high-voltage networks, that is , the ukrenergo company also had up to 50% damage to the equipment at thermal power plants, but it was completely destroyed , of course, it was much less, it is a few percent therefore, in principle, in principle, the system is currently in even though it is in emergency mode, it works with a reserve of strength, and there is a certain surplus, so for now, people do not need to worry that there will be the same outages as in the winter. well, if we talk about the capacities that are currently unavailable to the ukrainian power system. because of the occupation, i
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mentioned how it affects the operation of the system in general . that only one zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is 6 gigabytes, there is also the zaporizhzhia thermal power plant, and so on, which means that there is also the slovyanskaya tpp, and other other damaged objects, and it really affects it quite negatively, but
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you save the fact that our power engineers did a good job, they helped international partners , they delivered more than 500 units of very important large equipment to e. first of all, this applies to e. autotransformers, circuit breakers from other equipment and e. role in the fact that we are all now in a situation of normal energy supply to ukraine, except of course in the area near the front, it is the fact that our consumption of electrical energy has decreased due to the war due to the fact that the majority has been damaged a lot of industrial facilities were destroyed, consumption decreased by more than 30% , and this is also a very important factor. why is the ukrainian energy system able to cope with the energy supply of countries so far, but about the fact that the factor of warm weather plays a big role, but there are big risks, that's all about it analysts say that russia will try to organize another blockade of ukraine next cold season, and have the chances
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of preventing it increased, or has the ukrainian system become less vulnerable due to what and whether there are challenges now in the summer, well, the biggest challenge. i believe that these are not missile strikes on the power system. this is definitely the biggest challenge - it is the financial state of the system, because we have practically the same model of the electricity market , it generates huge debts every day, and without money, of course, that is very it will be difficult to prepare for the autumn period . this is the first challenge
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. preventing a repeat of the situation with the destruction of the energy grid, gray in general, and the generation equipment next winter, there is only one recipe, this is the expulsion of the enemy from the ukrainian territory, i believe this will also be the second recipe - this is the receipt of such missiles from our partners that can hit to the strategic depth of the russian federation and to strike any military targets on the territory of russia, and this alone will ensure stability , and i would say that the vulnerability of the ukrainian energy system is also
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in general, the critical infrastructure only means that retaliatory strikes can stop russia, but russia's impunity will not stop it, and that is why we need to think and work with our partners so that by the autumn healthy period they must hand over to us not only powerful air defense systems as well as missiles that can reach strategic depth in russia , we will talk about military-political cooperation . we can talk about the main assets and what are the main problems he could not solve. well, first of all, he could not solve the main problem, which is a large deficit of financial resources of the ukrainian energy system due to internal ukrainian problems. precisely because the model we have in ukraine it exists today, it is, well, it is stolen, distorted, it is, first of all, a huge
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financial shortage of funds, there is, uh , well, what he was able to solve, uh, is exactly help with equipment, uh, it is possible, it is possible to supply lending to the ukrainian energy economy, first of all, the prospects of investments in the development of the decarbonization of the ukrainian energy sector, that is, the ways of cooperation between ukraine and the rammstein rammstein group, they are very serious, very big, but there is still a lot of work to be done in ukraine, and this concerns the improvement of the electric energy market model which is currently the biggest problem because it generates billions of debts every month of the first lupan volodymyr thank you for joining the broadcast
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of volodymyr melnychenko, director of energy programs of the razumkova center, thank you. well, returning to the shelling, i mentioned that 15 of the 18 missiles were shot down by our air defense forces, but the general staff did not specify the number of drones that were shot down over the capital, but radio svoboda asked the residents of kyiv whether people go to shelter during air alarms, when explosions are heard, for example , and we also asked people why they ignore alarms more often now, although they hid earlier , see the answers below, without comments, we did not hear, but there we heard a siren, it was on obolon, we heard well, there were not very strong explosions, were they hiding? no, i was scared from irpen, because i had already experienced such a thing, there was nowhere to hide . well
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, you usually hide. exposure when the siren is rare lately. no, dmytro, we heard explosions. yes, it was very scary . there were people in the subway at night there were many people there were many people after the alarm somewhere after a while there were supposedly so deaf and far away several explosions and do you hide exposure when the alarm or when you hear explosions although i know that i have to hide, that's all i know very well, but it’s night and you know it’s different when we hear syria . well, it ’s understandable. here and i'm scared, why, in your opinion, why has the attitude of ukrainians to
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air alarms changed so much now, i guess there is hope that more air defense systems will come to us now well, now i'm somehow calmer there, we relaxed with what was there in october , remember do you think there was shelling on october 10 or even? a year ago then you went to the shelter more often and what has changed and in october we went to the shelter let's not hide, we are used to it like most ukrainians and it may be wrong but as it is, at night no one runs anywhere , well, we hear an explosion and we react somehow it's like that in your house well, you know something, you don't sleep anymore and it's already become some kind of reflex . you just hear, you know that you have to go to the corridor and you're waiting for it to strike, you'll go on doing your things for your life, for some reason it's not
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as scary as for as for the life of others for life friends who are now at the front, of course it's a pity for the people who are dying, and i'm not saying that this is just some everyday thing, but if it's about fear, then it probably doesn't exist now with the improvement of technical equipment and the appearance of new complexes when you air defense works much more reliably and this of course gives people there is more confidence in general, there is such an understanding that this is a lottery, somehow it seems to everyone that this is not my house, it can't be, uh , somehow it will be like that well, it's true. you think well, the house is just a house, just a house, people were sleeping, it’s a horror well, i’m telling you how it is maybe it’s getting used to clinging to all these things to the war is very scary i want to win
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faster than these katsaps to beat and return everything to my home i used to live in yalta in crimea, an economic rammstein against putin is proposed in great britain , a member of the parliament there from the conservative party, the head of the foreign affairs committee of the house of commons , alisa and kertz, took such an initiative, in her opinion, such a necessity arose due to the fact that the sanctions imposed on russia previously did not have as great an impact on its economy as western countries expected, and it is precisely such an economic ramstein who would be able to further consolidate the efforts of those who are literally fighting for the freedom of ukraine. it is obvious that we were not able to adequately financially strangle putin's military machine and we must stop him from funding attacks on civilians we can
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