tv [untitled] May 3, 2023 10:30pm-11:01pm EEST
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well, on the one hand, i would not like to express too optimistic sentiments here, but here we are asking for such a logical reduction on the one hand, if the time won by the fighters who defended bakhmut on our side helped them to create at the same time reserve lines of defense, because directly on the shelves of the city, then the russians well, let's say that you will have to at least choose an operational pause in a good way because they did this whole story with the formatting of the attacking orders of the troops and refused the battalion of tactical groups in favor of these snoring , i apologize
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, assault companies . formations there in the format of a company on there an assault company or an assault battalion this november urban areas you can attack on open this rough terrain well such a formation is unlikely to be capable at least because well, let's say so providing firepower and sanitary provision there, it will have a problem if even simulating this worst-case scenario , what is there, yes, they have reached the western outskirts of bakhmut by may 9 and will try to go forward, indeed they will try to go forward because there is some let's say theoretical calculations in their style, somewhere there is a lack of armored vehicles, somewhere of medical supply, somewhere of ammunition for artillery, well , they have never been hindered by their traditional style of weak-mindedness and courage, but to do exactly as they imagine that they will go to the front it will pour down no it will rather be a picture well if it’s just another well then they go to the western college of bakhmut and they have an advance well
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the orders of the advancing troops are pouring down because what was formed there was formed for fighting in this narrow space of an organized area on a cut-off area can behave, to put it mildly, quite differently, and it is obvious that they will have to take a thunderbolt, well , i will pay the bill to the contact of this russian science collegiuchkova theorists who publicly advise the ministry of defense of the russian federation accordingly, they deserved their gallows, they already say that the russians are in a good way in order to achieve their goals in that war. well , they have to come to fight for one against the soviets in general, because the staffing of such, well, advancing masses of troops, well, that is, rude if to talk about m-m more clear parallels well, relatively speaking, they stormed vugledar not by brigades, but by divisions, but they turned out to be rolling back, uh , it turns out that they were able to reach this point when they attacked an entire brigade , they could not reach the divisional level, now they were
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forced to roll back at the level of the assault companies of its battalions, that's why such a discovery was made on them, and it turns out that, as i say, you know, the parties can be more hopeful that their coming orders, even the worst options for us, can be sprinkled and than what they imagine there that's all, on may 9, you see, the children helped them with something, then, er, sprinkle our front, well, if that's the image , not saying the situation is actually there bahmut and they will go with the same intensity. according to the idea of such a situation that then the russians will be able to transfer these forces to other places . our counteroffensive operation. what does the russian tactics
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look like, it basically remains the same. they are trying to destroy the maximum number of buildings so that our defenders have nowhere to gain a foothold, nowhere to find shelter or build a position. and actually, in this way, they are attacking. that is, this is such a nice tactic. but it also works in their direction, that is, if counteroffensive actions will take place, then , accordingly , they will not be able to gain a foothold in the destroyed place. more yes, in detail, now we will discuss a slightly different topic, er, we have been watching the last er week, especially so actively, in fact, such a confrontation of air defense forces and the attempts of the parties to trample each other's air defense, and here, er, from this point of view, actually ivan somehow describe what what
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what are the russians trying to achieve? now, they have increased the shelling of ukraine, but again we see there are cheaters flying, rockets flying, hitting somewhere deep into the territory. well, what are they trying to do now, because it is obvious that these you know, i would say that on the one hand , the russians are not doing anything fundamentally new here, let's say so different from what they tried to do in the same period last year, that is, because if we recall well, i didn't kill russia with missiles in april, may, summer 2022. well, mainly , or, well, let's say this, according to our industrial infrastructure , because they optionally tried to harvest various kinds of well, there are oil objects, because well, as there are already some players in the oil, well, fuel market , write in
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it is open that the russians are even now shekhedami sometimes let's say this is the coolest that cannot be knocked down they mainly look after the oil bases , of course the result is not revealed, it's just the trend itself, eh, if on the other hand, we can talk about the fact that the russian even at the same time tries to probe the anti-aircraft defense, that is, in order to find out what it is, how it knocks down, how to hit it. well, for now, too, i would not say that it is similar, because the free-range missile attacks that were there in the fall, winter and at the beginning of spring , when the russians were there, shot it back up to 80 winged years, but in one salvo they were still generally characterized by the fact that in parallel the russians fired up to a dozen wings of the tactical level, which was in theory supposed to be in our half. well, for example, these k-31p against radar now the russians they don't do this, and accordingly, well, considering how much they have. sometimes, very specifically , information on the so-called bank comes to the top, well , that is, where are the batteries next time ?
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so that it is as if they are probing our ppa, but at the same time they do not damage it. but once nata left that the soviet zrk , what if these western zrk were ariste and petryk ? they are actually located on the wheel base , they can change their position. well, in principle, you can here it’s rather hmm, on the one hand, to say that they are simply engaged in air terrorism is such a loud phrase that may not fully explain their military motives. well, on the other hand, if we were to say what the russians are doing now, what can be effective precisely in terms of military, i.e. to hit with missiles so that it would cause us some kind of military damage. well, they can hardly do that, because on the one hand, if you compare the mito of last year of a certain military result, their missile strikes on they reached our object, they lived then according to unofficial data, including on the training grounds, and it was from this that the story arose that it was necessary to send at least part of the fighters to the village by
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ferry to study. and the missiles will not fly now so that the russians can achieve such an effect, well, i think it is similar to that, but if no one tried to think about alternatives, what options do they have? rather than simply trying to shoot those missiles where they are at the intended object, hoping that at least some of it should fly. well, by the way, we can also conduct something so interesting specifics that, on the one hand, our information space has been very shaken. let's say this the message that we, well, with the reference, these merged with the pentagon , are running out of soviet -style anti-aircraft missiles, which accordingly weakens the battle order of our air defense, but it is obvious , or shall we say, that these data are due to the lack of soviet of anti-aircraft missiles were exaggerated, or from the flights of the side, a high-quality replacement by western anti-aircraft missiles, which we do not know
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about yet, because, well, otherwise, if the situation were truly catastrophic , well, this is the gold standard, when up to 85% of the sonic winged rackets, on our proposal , would be able to to endure, well, purely physically due to the lack of forces and means there , but it is possible, and you are so far. so , despite all the known and still unknown problems, the margin of safety of our military defense force is significantly higher than the margin of safety of the missile arsenal a few years ago what kind of air battle was it, well, that is, the russians are shooting missiles, and our anti-aircraft defense is trying to shoot them down, but it will obviously continue. well, for the russians, it will end simply the physical ability to launch cruise missiles of one type or another, the missiles to the bombers will go to the caliber will end. the caliber will get a few dozens of cruise missiles and the chanting of them will be lowered during the course, well , this is approximately how it will happen on the other side.
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missiles from all kinds of sources, if even before the complexes we find missiles even from jordan, then who knows where else there might be such interesting problems that are still unknown in the open access, well, yes, but not even any goals. to say only 18 rackets were supplied. for example, to do, well, to analyze the work of the railway for several days, and that is now coming out. they would also shoot 18 rockets at a time per lpi. and what, pay attention, something is being destroyed, but such a thing is not achieved of a large-scale effect at the non-strategic level, this is what i meant, roughly speaking, they set themselves to write it is here to paralyze the railway so that we cannot transport anything
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well, here is something maybe if they damage , but in general they do not achieve the set task this is what i meant it's not that they just don't reach somewhere, even though they don't fall , and that's why, unfortunately, it falls. still in anticipation of what, uh, now we really feel the air defense, well, the most active thing that is spreading there is that they are looking for these patriots who came to ukraine , trying to find where they are there on one side and on the other side. well, anyway, uh- well, maybe they are just preparing, well, that is, they are conserving their strength, they are preparing there, they are trying to scout for targets, this can also happen andrii well , what is your point of view on the fact that the anti-aircraft defense is like that ?
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but on the other hand, we actually also have guys who protect bohdan of kyiv region, so i can say that there was really information that they are trying to probe the location of our newest anti-aircraft systems, including radar systems, because this is also very important uh, if , for example, the same anti-aircraft vehicles on a wheeled base , they can very quickly, let's say, change their location, then certain radar equipment takes a little more time. well, they are quite important. that is why there was information that they are also trying to launch their rockets and martyrs in several waves, including because one wave reveals, let’s say , the location of our anti-aircraft weapons and only then they are trying to coordinate the next wave in order to hit them all
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the situation, that is, it is clear that there are constantly such attacks by drones on some oil base , on places where there is a concentration. also, i understand this way . our forces are trying to find and neutralize means of electronic warfare enemy, what else can ukraine do now in order to, well, reduce the possibility of the enemy's aviation to work during a counteroffensive? well, in general , to hit them remotely with these means. well, here, besides , today, the spokesman of the air force hnat spoke about the fact that there is a certain increase the number of mobile groups that are there with manpads and anti-aircraft machine guns and work there as part of various groups, including the national guard, ground troops, maybe there are options , just what was stated there that these mobile groups of conditional say on these czech pickup trucks
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when we will receive these worthy defeats, that is what the victors of the czech republic themselves said that it will be. a certain peculiar way to save on anti-aircraft rocketry because who really ? it’s simple here. if we talk about reserves of strength , we also really have a shortage of these busy missiles, just luckily. well, he it gives us a certain form if we talk about something more specific. well, unfortunately, it is possible, in addition to some military means, it is time to talk about it. and finally, what civil defense measures, well, purely because well, why do we have after all, if things were to happen through let's say a certain year there, such large-scale strikes are possible, for example, the same, well, these free people , they were already used to the syrians and to the fact that something could fly by. by the concentration of some maneuverable strategic reserves there, fuel of other resources, well, it is possible , it is also possible that it will have to be decided actually, what
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is the insidiousness of the actions of the russians. at this stage , why is it more necessary? the psychological result there as a result of their actions, if you take these cruise missiles, the pedestrian, the cockpit, the weapon, well, it’s purely because, not after all, when the russians find weak points there, like there, what can fly through the battle formations of our air defense and hit the accumulation of some of our material there -technical resources. well, we have the same material and technical resources. well, we can’t do without , we can produce accordingly, if you really look at it from such an angle, then even up to the ice of one martyr per one depot, it’s all equal there is a certain achievement of the enemy, what concerns, in principle, these planned aerial bombs that the russians drop from a distance of 80 km , obviously using some of the developments of their iranian colleagues there, who is here? unfortunately, in principle, nothing can be done, but not at least in terms of protecting the civilian population in addition to simply trying to evacuate, because
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until we still have 16 with long-range missiles, at least there are previous versions, and they have 120, which could hit at a range of 120 km, unfortunately, some well there is an effective alternative that could drive the russians with their bombs far away. you won't get out of the other side there , even if you try. a six-barreled 300-meter anti-aircraft anti-aircraft gun that is designed to shoot down such small-sized air targets as guided aerial bombs at first they received this politely and not in public language, and then you went to obtain supplies of shekets , well, the ways of cruise missiles are good, but, well, it is unlikely that against this one, planning
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air bombs, therefore, unfortunately, in addition to the fact that there is a physical increase in the forces and means that are there , it will still be necessary tightly to deal with civil well, so that the soviet times were called civil defense, that is, protection for what concerns the plan of tactical aviation here . unfortunately, after all, the russians have an advantage that, with the available means, we cannot yet break , and if you say so, well, hypothetically, there is after all, these mig-29s, yes. it seems so correct. who gave us, or could there be some kind of weaponry that still allows us to get something to the distance that you said , 800 km, from which they actually launch the guided air bombs of the ivan faba?
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well, if we talk about them. well, i’ll be brief. if we talk about the mig-29, judging by the points, the western experiment to install the same long-range missiles there, and they 120 news, has not yet been successfully completed. 77 which are there just right there not only that, in the war itself, they can be at a relatively long range of 100-120 km, we did not have such missiles historically, but the question is whether it is possible to buy them here somewhere on the world market, because the russians exported worse in the 1994s years, and to such a narrow circle of loyal customers here, we can only hope that maybe slovakia had these r-77s, well, they didn’t publicly hand them over to us, and the russians can expect something here, but well, so far it’s only hopes and missed ones, that is by and large if say, we can only hope that these planes will still be forced to fly closer and we will forget them at
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closer distances, otherwise it is very difficult to do something about it without the newest planes . but nevertheless, we will be able to solve the problem there it will be possible in some other way, it is decided there, after all, in the future, there will be a month or two, depending on the weather , depending on how our general staff will plan there, but the offensive will still go and, well, something will move and so andriy from this er in this context just right you are in such, well, in what is called the offensive guard. could you somehow explain to us in more detail why the national guard and why it will be different from the armed forces of ukraine in general, the work of the national guard in this situation , that is, the offensive guard as part of not of the national guard. this is the first line of the friend. what and what will be its tasks? the whole story
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of the hard-90 got confused to deal directly with the de-occupation of our territories. guards, where there are very, very many different units that deal with very different tasks, not always military, but there are also military units, we call them operational brigades, but in fact they are mechanized professional units in the national guard of ukraine, armed with tanks, armed with artillery with anti-aircraft means, these are units that have e-e and e-e intelligence units of special purpose precisely on the bases of these e-e brigades and an offensive guard was created e-e additional assault battalions were created
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because during this year, the higher command drew attention to the fact that these brigades are fighting very effectively, for example, my brigade, if we talk about it, the border brigade, it distinguished itself in the defense of rubizhny and north donets, this is a defense that lasted for several months, and we managed to inflict on the russians, significant losses there during the three months of the defense that lasted there against the russians only in contact battles, about a thousand orcs died and three times as many were wounded, this is what we know, but only from contact battles directly, that is, close-range combat, street fighting, that is why it was decided that since units such as ours, for example , have a lot of experience working specifically in cities in populated areas, then they will also deal with the de-occupation of these cities in addition to 2021 before after
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the large-scale invasion, the brigade was very closely engaged in the topic of fighting in the city . arbitrading training 20-21 together with our partner countries, it’s known, and together with the armed forces of ukraine and the border guards, that’s why i think this experience will be 100%, it was already applied during our counteroffensive and during the liberation of our of populated areas andriy this is the question. when you look at the attempts by the russians to storm bakhmut, is it possible for ourselves and for us to draw some conclusions from this, some things that
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would be valuable for our attempts ? if you compare for example, their offensive actions, our offensive actions, it is clear that here the difference lies in the fundamental approach to planning , because the russians, despite the fact that they tried to somewhat improve their approach and their military doctrine, but it's all the same let's put it this way a slightly modified soviet doctrine of 1947, we have already moved away from this quite a long time ago, back in the year 16, starting from the year 16, we mastered the structure of the headquarters, the structure of the headquarters according to the nato system, we mastered the military process of adopting solutions of mg just as our colleagues from nato do and that is precisely why we have well, let's say we
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are much more effective. in this regard , well, is there any significant difference with the armed forces of ukraine ? there are some first lines, they are some second ones. is that all now? well, there is no such importance already, uh, again, the national guard . this is uh, a military force with a huge number of different tasks . e functions but from the national guard is this one operational assignment brigade is like ours and these brigades were directly created to work in the first line , that is, according to our legislation during martial law, this is a combat e-e part of the national guard, they come under the command of the general staff of the armed forces and they
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participate in combat operations at the level of the armed forces with the units of the armed forces of ukraine e.e. performing joint shoulder tasks actually began during the defense of rubizhny , our brigade was responsible for this direction and we worked together with our units it is cheap and with the border guards, including the patrol police, who also showed themselves very heroically during the defense of the border, so i can say that there is no difference between us now , well, in fact , there is no difference. well, your brigade. it's not just that anyone wants to go, that is, it is expected that people should have some, well, slightly different mood, so the point is that a person
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must have a very high motivation, because the assault brigade is not for everyone, that's exactly what it is for what standing at roadblocks are we talking about assault actions eh but again, we understand very, very clearly that no one is born eh with a sports grade e people are very different sometimes it happens eh there are such cases i have seen a lot of such cases when a person has a very high motivation but the physical training is not at the best level, but it is not scary because the most important thing is moral and willpower quality, and therefore when a person passes the selection and demonstrates high moral and willpower qualities , then everything else is done by us. we can help her on the machine tools. that is, we teach her to be as a professional military, we have very experienced instructors who have worked together with instructors and with nato and who, among other things, constantly go on rotations to
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the combat zone. we will become him. well, look. well, in principle, whether there will be a counterattack or not, it’s not a question at all . it’s obvious that it will be, uh, it can be. well, there are different ways to go, uh, the only question is how much, uh, how much territories we we managed to release how powerful it will be, but rather in this matter, and if we try to somehow simulate all these stories, then what should be the prerequisites for it to be as successful as possible , that is, what would we possibly want to get
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i would say so before the start of the counteroffensive and, well, form some prerequisites so that we can talk about its maximum success. well, here we have the order that on the one hand , the counteroffensive operation, which we all expect, will clearly be, let's say, so long because of these tasks that have been set, well, because of the depth of the defense that the enemy has built, and moreover, it is so large-scale that it should create a prerequisite for another offensive operation. well, somewhere in the summer and autumn, not only the american abrams will go, but these german leopard 1 and, let’s say, these tanks found there, let’s say the standard of the warsaw pact, there are t-72s or other machines, the deliveries of which are already planned and even these polish wolverines brand transporters, they are mostly there, some of them will also be delivered in the fall, and that is not all, not all ,
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not all . the race will not be, well, obviously determined literally in the first if even an hour if now and accordingly it will be determined, in particular, how far on one side our troops will be able to take a fast pace in the breached position of the enemy, and at the same time how fast the russians themselves will be to lose control on the ground , communication with their units, which will also be hiding behind these tsar's cops, so at first glance, it seems that if we take this material and technical assistance, we simply need more of these engineering means , engineering machines, western analogues of the system of these 77 courses for demining more let's say that there were different means of delivery, they would have had the talent of the enemy hmmm, there you are jamming the enemy's communication well, speaking of the disease , the maximum means that could be provided including firepower, but it is quite possible because even the western allies understand this too
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