[000:00:00;00] without analyzing this story, i would still like to understand what is happening now, this is the state of the start of a counteroffensive, this is one of the episodes of our future offensive, or is it possible that it is actually the preparation of the battlefield for offensive actions, several important points that, in my opinion, should be understood the state of affairs in general along the entire demarcation line, the first is that we are in the zone of the so-called strategic fire balance by 90% . by the way, we were in it last year from may to september until the brilliant kharkiv and then the no less brilliant kherson operations, this is the moment, the first eastern, to be honest, it remains the hottest so far to talk about the change of roles, that we have moved to full-fledged systemic counter-offensive actions , it is not necessary, the enemy is currently in the state of the attacking side, at the same time , the average daily indicators of attacks, unlike, say, in march, they were 100,120 per day

, they are within 40, this is a sign of the strategic emasculation of the enemy, and these passages of prigozhina are nothing but an attempt to provoke us into a so-called trap expected weakness of the enemy is an incredibly common phenomenon in a huge number of battles, for example in 1648 ukrainian cossacks at the battle of korsun brilliantly lured the polish army into a trap and defeated it there, they are terribly afraid of our contrast, this is true and they try to provoke us on the basis of the incorrect philosophy of our success and the liberation of our lands but in fact, as the gamephone of the cartoons said, the army must be dispersed, the territory will return by itself, it depends on three words , patient, patient, and once again, the tape and help regular help to the army i would like to quote lord a simple beauty from wagner this morning he gave a somersault that i really did not fully understand well it

correlates to me very much with what he said literally yesterday and secondly can you decipher what it means in the language of a person who he understands military affairs, so pmc wagner continues to break through in the nest of the heart of the zsu district in the west of bahmut. i apologize from russian - this is just the language of the original prigozhyn says pmc wagner is moving in this nest, the maximum advance is about 220 m, a very interesting point is that when he talks about the occupied territories in bakhmut, he uses the meter 68,500 m, it sounds different , but under the control of the enemy, he always uses kilometers, and it is only 2.18 km. obviously manipulation, what is a breakthrough in the nest, what do they mean, everything is very banal, they simply put certain labels on the combat zones in their understanding, and

the territory we get looks like a nest , and i am a nest, and it is round and surrounded by on all sides with twigs, you have to break through it to get to the center, this is banal verbal the passage is exclusively calculated on its own, this is a game with kilometers, this is only to show how powerful they are, what a huge area of ​​expansion they have, and how small we are, how little the ukrainians hold, i already have an official confirmation that we have some good moments, we have to be very careful about moving forward and regaining some previously lost positions . but again, let's take our time. an emotional bar of expectations, so that they say tomorrow everything will turn out as best as possible in bakhmut let good news come to us in a natural way, the pleasure of disappointment is always better than its bitterness, peter well, in the distance of this amount of weapons, i read about tanks and airplanes, so in units it is

not much, but the lures and missiles that we mentioned, well, lately it has been impressive what it can change on the battlefield, in your opinion, on the battlefield without just before that my colleague gave a very comprehensive description of what else is there i will not go into detail tactically, but in truth this is the weapon that can change the course of the war, there is one very serious nuance , the number and once again the number, even a few dozen, of course, very well, we will destroy some control points, a base of fuel and manning materials, or say ammunition there, but to really conditionally transform the crimean military bridgehead. and this military bridgehead is saturated in the metal part, everything is incredibly abundant into a kind of infinite candle, then we need several hundred such missiles, and

then we could really talk about what the enemy can suffocate without full-fledged logistics, because let me remind you that a person is fighting, but a person needs propellant materials for security, for equipment, for conventional ammunition, both artillery and small arms, and these missiles could help to strangle this logistics. i really like the historical parallel in the year 43, when the ukrainian by the way, came up with the concept of the so-called rail war when outside 3,600 echelons during the battle of kursk were launched under okis, the level of support of the nazi troops fell by 70%. and this became the main reason i will win in this battle with one of the not the most important a, but one of the reasons i give this example is because large massed missile strikes, which would amount to dozens per day, can really lead to the fact that the enemy will simply not have weapons. well, but also a question for our allies. at the same time, such the step of great britain is really a big geopolitical event, well, in order to hit weapons and ground airfields and warehouses with fuel and

lubricants, it is necessary to know where they are. and the day before , an interactive map of russian military facilities appeared in the crimea how did you feel about this map and this appearance, and yesterday we included vladislav seleznyov, and he himself is a crimean, he says that i served in the army for 30 years, but even i do not know all the objects on this map that they were located there in their time soviet the union built a huge number of hidden facilities for storing weapons, this is true while crimea has always been. by the way, starting with the crimean war between turkey and the russian empire, it was a strategic object in terms of dominance in the black sea in the soviet union. has it changed, are there a huge number of these hidden objects yes but again , you have to treat the certification of the map carefully i am a person who loves absolute facts i emphasize absolute facts we will have

a confirmed fact teenager this is a beautiful storm shadow in a specific object with photo video recording and our overseas colleagues have the appropriate equipment to record it from space, let's say, and behind which the black sea was, they have simply incredibly high-quality equipment such as, say, the mq 4b global hack, which has a huge amount of equipment and can fix such phenomena, then we will analyze it all down to the molecule. as a categorical supporter of concretizing facts and not building some bare analytical structures , i still wanted to return a little to the issue of logistics and the provision of enemy troops. we understand that purely geographically , the crimean peninsula is very specific and essentially the russians now do not have many ways by which they can deliver everything necessary from their territory to the territory of the crimea, i do not know how their situation is with

the use of what they call along the land corridor, yes, that is, along the land there through the ukrainian occupied southern region. it is to crimea that everything should be pulled, but this is this, this is this strait, the kerch strait, there is a ferry crossing there and there is a bridge, uh, there is no specific, complete information in which regime it is all now can function precisely to provide, for example , fuel and lubricants, which decreased in the crimea after the attack on sevastopol a few weeks ago, so what resources do they have in principle through this small strait according to the established the logistics chain will supply everything necessary, they are still there, we will not waste it on the railways, there is one. it moves only in one direction, but if a standard, let's say, echelon can have up to 50 wagons or up to 50 systems, then this is quite a lot, one tank can weigh from 20 to 30, and there is a large

volume of a large ton, even because we really, let's not raise the bar because they say that everything has already gone down when their cotton production at oil refineries and especially at large storage tanks will become massive nature, and the trains under the oxide will go at a speed of 2-3 echelons per day. so then we will be able to say that there is some prospect of reducing the serious turnover of logistics until this happens, really good first favors, the points flew, similar processes have begun, but of a mass nature, which, one would say, will suffocate russian logistics did not work out, let's not forget that despite all the fury, it will not provide them with this

, after all, it is a large energy state. oil refineries and the supply of oil products are still at the level that allows them to maintain at least a deaf defense of mr. peter i. president zelenskyi said in an interview with the bbc that ukraine needs more time to start a counteroffensive against russia, since the military still needs the promised western aid this so this is do you think closer to the truth or closer to this art of deception that you often mention i am speaking very philosophically this is closer to a quality strategic game in an informational and psychological context and such approaches are of course welcomed, will these operations be included in the cycle of so-called dry weather, i have not the slightest doubt, the question is whether it will be one decisive big blow or it will be a series of medium less but very active blows and we remember that one very serious rule is not even the rule is possible aspect we

have no right to the numerical potential of the enemy cannot be canceled really their military industrial complex is declining and moving towards degradation, but not at such a fast pace as they would like, i have repeatedly voiced that kalashnikov assault rifles, 100 million rifles for 37 million rpg-7-9 million, and those hundreds of thousands, of course, there are no millions in warehouses, but hundreds of thousands of low-level weapons, and a cup of kirzaka and a handful of crackers, and the one without crackers for the hungry and an ml-50 sapper shovel, they are able to give it's a pity that they have such a mentality that in the beginning they exaggerate the confusion

. a turning point, which for us will be a turning point on the battlefield, the maximum defeat of the enemy, the maximum, it will be a turning point with the crushing of their defenses and the escape that took place in kharkiv oblast and kherson oblast, the further we push this line. and in general, the ideal is to reach the limits of 1991. although i have always remained a critical realist so far, from a military point of view, how to pass a new line from their creed and the old lines of demarcation they built it. it is difficult for me to imagine the amount of ammunition that they provide us and will provide to break through this concrete is not enough at the moment, this is provided that the stability of the defense is maintained, because the stability of the defense can crumble, plus, despite the entire system of cause-and-effect relationships that work in geopolitics, the phenomenon of chance has not been canceled by anyone. the black swan can fly to them there and then. we see that in 2013 a meteorite flew to škoda

, it is a pity that it did not reach a little bit about this crazy contingent that they can use against us. meeting, we are talking about a fairly large number of people. as far as i understand, the weight of russian reality is the number of their population and the number of the population that was or is somehow involved in the armed forces, yes, yes , he informs our defense that this decree contains at least a few secret pleasant points e in the document are hidden sections and what is meant by the ministry of defense of our country well, it does not go into too much detail well , if they do not go into too much detail, it means about the number, that is, how many more of their citizens they can use in the war against us

taking into account this particular wave with the decree on the conscription of reservists, let's analyze and break down this question into components in terms of human potential, they are really large, and putin, realizing that his direct physical survival will depend on how the situation in ukraine will develop, how many millions will have to be killed, he will kill so many there is, but it is desirable and real, at the moment they can provide up to 20,000 personnel, it is the so-called replacement or somewhere around this amount of their personnel, are we destroying them or do they have prepared reserve, it is very difficult for me to say in what quantity, but at least from 50,000 and above for a critical situation, definitely yes, the enemy cannot be underestimated, to what level they will be able to raise the mobilization as such , it is also a difficult question that now the russian citizen will, despite everything, try in some way to flee from of this mobilization is yellow . last year there is why the confirmation of 1.5 million

men went outside the russian federation in the general dry balance they are preparing for the so-called protracted war and will not regret their personnel i said about their minimal armament, and they will think of such philosophies. i emphasize the old demarcation lines of the example of february 24 of last year. heavy concrete-breaking bombs, however, they are dropped from aircraft such as b1b - lantern or b2 spirit or b52 gbu 57 weighs 6 t tell us a little more about these concrete-breaking bombs who could provide us with them, what does the whole story look like and the principle of action, what is important this is a super heavy bomb

jbl57 weighs up to six tons, so that we understand what a powerful explosive force , for example, like jbl 43, it weighs 13th of it in the 21st century . it was used only once in afghanistan , in very large mountain fortified furnace complexes, really, several dozen such bombs can completely destroy the entire line of the old demarcation and turn everything we have there into rubble and scrap metal, but there is a nuance - this is already such a type of aviation that i still do not understand how it can enter our space, because it is impossible to transfer it to us only already similar pieces bomb of course their most classic bombs fap high explosive aviation bombs start from calibers 100 kg 250 500 kg 1 500 3000 and even 9 000 there is such a bomb fab 9 thousand of it you can take a set here

22m3 piece or maximum there is a question of discussion how but he should go exactly above the place of dumping, considering that this is an incredibly huge machine that is almost 40 m long and weighs about 100 tons. it is simply a unique price that we are losing. it was stolen in an easy way , that is, the maximum. what the russians can afford now. 500, by the way, is not controlled, but it is corrected, that is, you have to express yourself very correctly and the pope 1500 these are the two heaviest bombs, because they added certain special wing mechanisms to them and a small engine that the carrier itself remains in relative safety, the bomb falls into a gliding position and at a distance of 70 km finds its target, well , rob bauer, the head of the nato military committee, also spoke about the duration of the war, we showed the meeting live , he said, russia's ambition is not limited

to ukraine, they are playing much further, he said russia's war against ukraine is the biggest threat to euro-atlantic security in recent decades. moscow hoped that it would be a three-day war. meanwhile, the war has already been going on for fifteen months. the determination of the ukrainian people and the military do not leave us indifferent . nato will support ukraine, rob bauer said , as long as it is necessary or ready if europe and the north atlantic alliance and we , in general, the whole world, are ready for a protracted war not three days, not even 15 months. and what choice does it give? allow me to moderate a bad scenario, it will not happen, but we, as thinking people, must consider the worst scenarios , including solely in order to understand the approaches to the possible provision of such scenarios if ukraine does not translate, god capitulates if it will happen, what will not happen, but let's assume that our enemy has

a colossal resource of intellectual, human production, despite the fact that 30% of our economy has been destroyed and the like, and if someone believes in very long partisan battles, then i am here, i am personally not optimistic , of course they will be, but time will tell for how long, because the history of the army in the past shows that despite the fact that they faced death and stood for a very long time in a shelter until the end of the 50s, everything after all, our national resistance has been broken and a huge number of ukrainians have joined the service of the empire, and the taste or appetite comes during the meal, the main goal of this war is to return ukraine back , the persian londo without ukraine over the russian state is impossible if they succeed. they ask themselves a simple question, and our troops stood in paris, stood in berlin, stood, we stood

as a great state, a great state, and the fact that they will start to move forward further. and what goals they set for themselves and our fundamental task now in this historical cycle is to finally break free from this disgusting asian main thing, mr. petre, i can't get it out of my head, for example, when we talk about nato and uh, about his readiness to resist russian aggression by helping ukraine, first of all, i can’t get the incident out of my head, and with russian, we can definitely talk about it precisely: the rocket that fell a few months ago, far, far from uh, the ukrainian-polish border but on the territory of poland, almost on the border with germany, poland needs to understand that according to the studies of the relevant technical institute of the pps, if i am not mistaken, it is still

a russian missile, it is not a ukrainian esterist and not even something similar polish, in your opinion, did nato pass this exam as a provocation of russia? no, and it will not pass until it is clear that they are attacking, they are what they are, we will not change them, they are the mentality of some people, such inertia, i will give two historical examples. sank the liner lusitania in 1915, then the americans entered the war only two years later, for two years they discussed whether to enter it or not, and only when zimmerman, the imperial minister of foreign affairs, telegraphed to mexico that we would sink everything is absolutely everything and it was already an established fact that this would happen only then they went to war until pearl harbor happened, this is a terrible disaster of the american

pacific fleet, the americans did not enter the war and europe will remain in this inertia as well. we want it, we don't want it, so it will be in order for a full-fledged act of war to take place, nato acts against russia, a missile must fly to bohdan in the bundestag, god grant that this never happens, but i cannot give another example, i apologize to our viewer somewhere for such geopolitical cynicism, but only actions of this scale will provoke a military response from their side, otherwise it won’t happen. well , myroslav the czech was visiting us, he is a former member of the polish diet, and he said that you know what he said about the negligence of the polish military and polish politicians. he says that they didn't even know that it had flown there

, it was just that some firman was driving. perhaps no one would have known that a rocket had flown there, this one is a russian one, and the previous rocket killed two polish citizens, among other things . yes, to pshevodov . and he says about a certain laxity of both the military and polish politicians. let's remember, we already had a long war from the 14th to the 22nd year, somewhere over there they bandaged the wounds for the last five years along the demarcation line. and we weren't in the mode, 98% of us were in the safety mode, so that little by little, everything would be there somehow boil little by little and i will not do the rest i have a small personal frame, this is my small personal drama , i became famous in english only because i predicted a war by 100% , i was wrong in one day, it would be better if i were unknown, so let's get out of this opposite, look first at ourselves, at ourselves, how we looked at all these pacifist illusions so what can be said about asking europe, which is firmly convinced that the nuclear umbrella

of the united states, if it comes to the real thing? and it really will be , the united states will be the first to step into battle, and not someone else. so why bother with some military security preparation and similar war is the most difficult phenomenon in a community of people that only exists in nature, they are used to a comfortable well-fed life, and here you have to take care of your safety every day, like in israel, and no matter how someone tries on us, this is human nature and it cannot be canceled, i am ready to argue with you, peter, and with you yehor, it is not like negligence, it is similar back well, it is more so that the president of ukraine will answer this question in the coming days, it is not like negligence , as far as i am concerned, it is like deliberately closing one's eyes to things that one does not want to see everything well somewhere, in some sense, yes, don't look, as they say, do you remember the light? unfortunately, well , mr. peter, it seems to me that

it would be a little unfair not to look into the territory of our even more northern neighbor, another northern neighbor. we are talking about belarus. something is happening there that should worry us or draw our attention more than in the last few months, there is a wide-ranging discussion group because it is either 5,000 or 10,000, is it one full-fledged brigade? is this a division according to the old soviet ones patterns, but if this force, well, it cannot be canceled, it is still quite numerous , the group will dare to strike a potential attack in the land part, or it is the most interesting to us , then already at this moment a serious line of fortifications has been built there, everything that could be mined was mined, and we will go from the opposite when we were not ready for an attack, and a contingent from belarus entered the russian, belarusian , first of all, into the chernobyl zone, we managed to cope and repel this attack. now that we

have increased our potential, well, the truth is for them it will be an act of suicide. at the same time, we cannot cancel it. we keep certain forces there, we are forced to keep them because they could be very useful , let's say on the eastern bridgehead. but nevertheless, it is as it is, considering how swollen this bulb is lukashenko looks like he is moving towards the end of his earthly life. but again, i would not get ahead of the situation and say that something will change in belarus, and right now , belarus is completely occupied by the russian federation. words. and i am most interested in the preparation of the site on the territory of belarus where russian nuclear weapons can be based in july. it seems that the preparations are left to finish the construction of storage facilities in the military sense.

then what is the difference where the bottles come from, the warhead from podminsk or let's say from podbryansk in the part of the intersection, the distances are the same prvet and don't we care where they fly to we martyrs from belarus or from russia, we often argue with khrystyna here and talk about the fact that they are probably flying, but our military command, well, consciously . from where, at times , there is an operative long distance of a nobleman who, according to tactical and technical characteristics, can by and large fly over the whole of ukraine, then the launch point is not so fundamental, it is important to calculate this object and take all measures to shoot it down this is what matters. well, in the political sense. in this case, there is no such thing. we just spoke

about the occupied country from this country . we still have not canceled the relationship between them. i am a soldier, not a diplomat. thank you for sticking to the limits of your competence. this is really cool. because we very often have experts on uh, on all topics uh, probably on the last, last, mr. peter, it's always unpleasant to have such a uh, to-the-point story when we talk about the most necessary things for our defense forces. what else has not yet been provided for various reasons i do not i'm talking exclusively about sabotage, well, literally yesterday, oleg sentsov, who is now defending our country. this is a crimean ukrainian director , a former political prisoner, and he turned to the people again and said: "we need certain equipment and equipment, and unfortunately, we don't have enough time ." or does not have the opportunity to provide it to us now, and we have to prepare for the liberation of our territories. we are directly involved in this, we already have a

specific task, and when they turn to people for help, very often it looks strange because the alleged preparations the points should already be at a higher level, what is it about, about which i did not fully understand the question that some ukrainian military personnel who are located directly in the hottest spots personally asked me for a uniform, this will surprise you no , it does not double me and i will give a very uncomfortable answer i can afford it here, and we did not take care of security for 30 years, 30 years, and we want to . in a year and a half, it is not yet 15 months to answer all the questions that in a healthy and literate state have been building for decades, and sometimes, let's say, the anglo-saxon model. i am in she is in love with her, the content of her birth goes back to the plantagenets, the landkars. well, it is 700 years, so we want to give everything

that is being built so quickly . the year is so in shape. 5 years of the rocket's birth is from 4 to 5 years, this is provided that the government of the country is consolidated, all the population is thinking about it, thinking about it, working on it and investing in it, thank you, thank you, a military expert spent the last half hour with us, thank you for the expert assessment of vat and now and now khrystyna gives the floor news iryna the sly appears on our screens so now we will learn about all the most important things that happened in ukraine and the world thank you khrystyna really 10:00 in ukraine news time on espresso tv channel in