[000:00:00;00] business and everything that is happening in china it has to do with us but actually there are certain things you can do to influence china that we would never be able to do you have reduced the risk he is not from taiwan as we never dreamed you did it without entering confrontation with china in general, there is no direct confrontation with china, on the contrary, zelenskyi constantly talks about the ukrainian official position. we would like to have better relations with china. come to visit. why are the things different about china and russia? it must be remembered that there is really no chinese. affairs to russia from the point of view of beijing russia is just a large african country with natural resources russia exists so that the russian domestic elite can be bullied and manipulated in the same way as they

do african elites, that's who russia is in their eyes, they do not perceive they can try to convince the russians of this, but in fact they have never thought about russia for them. russia is another client state or a place where there is water, minerals, natural gas and oil. they think of russia as a country that has a dysfunctional central government that barely extends to siberia, they will talk about russia to please putin a little, but they do not think that russia is anything like them, the russians would like to believe this, but the attitude of the chinese is different from this point as well from china's point of view, it's a bit uncomfortable that russia loses, it's uncomfortable when your good partners and clients lose, but the chinese really don't care that the russians are dying

. this is my opinion, which i was asked to express and not everyone shares it. that russia is weakened by the war, they just like it, they like that russia is weakened by the war, because going back directly to your question, i don't think that between china and russia there is anything like a partnership. i think that china visited russia and told the russians that this is not a partnership and the longer the war lasts, the weaker russia becomes. they claim that it is a multipolar war, that it is just a conflict, and so on. they benefit from the fact that russia is weakening. of course, they will never say this out loud because it will offend the russians, but it is obvious that such a situation is in their hands and as a result of their agreement with russia, they are becoming better and better in all matters and more profitable

, i cannot help but mention putin now. to russia, if i were a real leader, i would understand that it is necessary to maintain a balance between china and america or china and the west. i would always like to be able to say ok, americans, i am going to china or ok, beijing, i am going to washington. and what has putin done as a leader since 2014? impossible cooperation with the naive fallen west in the west, there were many people who agreed with putin, whether on gas or on anything else, and we tried to reset our foreign policy during the obama era, people really wanted cooperation with russia by invading ukraine, what

does this mean for russia, strategically, this means that china is the only possible partner , and this is a terrible position, because if you claim that you are in a multipolar world, then why do you want to be dependent on one of the poles, it would be logical to have it is possible to jump from one pole to the other, but this option is not for putin now , he became dependent on china because he distanced himself from us and from the europeans and tried very hard for this, historically, it turned out that putin will not be perceived as peter the first or catherine ii, let alone about them they didn't think, they clearly knew how to build russia, they had their own global vision of russia, i don't think that putin has it , he made a terrible mistake by creating a situation in russia that depends on china and , in general, this whole story about russia and the west, everything

it's so fake they know putin knows solovyov knows they all know that the west is not a threat to them in any serious sense they all know it well but they pretend it's not true and deep down they also know and deep down they also know that china poses a threat to them, they know it, but they don't talk about it because their political and private careers, which have made them very rich and successful, depend on what they say about protection and how silent they are , but if putin were a true russian leader, he would care china what as for china's aid to russia, let's go back to biden and the fact that biden is a good president , the biden administration is concerned about this and is trying to convey to the chinese that such support has economic consequences, the chinese regime is not democratic, it is not as unstable as in russia, but it is not

a democratic regime. i am not an expert from china and there are people who will have a more informed opinion than me, but my intuition suggests that the communist party of china depends on economic growth and economic growth depends on exports, and therefore they are vulnerable in a world in which americans and europeans feel that they must direct their economy and away from china, they are vulnerable to this even more than russia because the russians do not expect to become richer every year and the chinese expect that the biden administration is right and the europeans should also pay attention to this attention to let the chinese understand that if you arm russia if you this economic consequences will not

be far away this is the line that should be drawn that was not concise such thank professions cinema television port music education free people have choice, choose what you want on megogo

, there is no friend better than mother, there is no land better than the homeland, this is may memorial day for the victims of the crimean tatar people's genocide, the war in ukraine is the main topic for ukrainians, victories and losses, analysis and forecasts, politics and geopolitics, all this will be discussed by serhiy rudenko and guests of his program are people who have information and shape public opinion people who defend ukraine and create the future right now the main and interesting thing in the program is the verdict by serhiy rudenko from monday

to thursday at 1:00 p.m. repeat at 6:00 p.m. our amulet our business card in the world, the code of our identity, what the wild hordes from the east want to destroy once again is our heritage, and this is what we will pass on to our descendants embroidered shirt a symbol of our unity a symbol of our resilience happy ukrainian embroidered shirt day happy ukrainian day big broadcast of vasyl winter my name is vasyl winter two hours of air time and my colleagues are with you until 21:00 for two hours of your time we will talk about the most important two hours to learn about the war serhiy zhoretska joins our broadcast military summaries of the day and what is the world like what is there in physicist yuriy will tell the world for two hours to keep up with the economic news of radio broadcasters oleksandr marchenko he tells us about the economy during the war and new sports evgeny pastukhov is ready to talk about sports for 2 hours in the company of his favorite presenters about culture

during the war lena is ready to talk or something else to many people, maybe the weather will give us some optimism, ms. natalka didenko is ready to tell us, and also the distinguished guests of the studio will be volodymyr hryshko today, if everything goes well then tomorrow in two hours, vasyl zima's big broadcast will be a project for smart and caring people in the evening on espresso with economic news on the espresso tv channel, as usual in the morning at eight o'clock, you and i will meet live on the air and talk today about business sentiments with expert oksana kuzyak from the institute of economic research, but before that i have some short news, let's listen to them , russia will pay for all the destruction now it is known for sure at the summit of the council of europe, 41 countries did not sign the declaration on creating a register

of damages caused by russia's aggression against ukraine now it is necessary to ensure its work or the victims could submit their applications , the prime minister of ukraine denys shmygal said about this, this register will be in gas and the satellite office will be in ukraine , the main goal for ukraine is to work out a complex compensation mechanism that will ensure full compensation to ukraine for the damages caused by russia this is the creation of an international registry of ukraine's losses due to russian aggression ; today's relevant decision is, without exaggeration, historic. after that, we must prepare the necessary legal basis for confiscation of russian assets, as well as the creation of a compensation fund, these decisions will become an integral part of the full-scale restoration of ukraine, this means, first of all, that there is a legal recognition of the obligation of russia to compensate for losses, this is at the legal level. of course, this is the basis for

further steps, the following may consist not only of seizure of russian assets, a large part of which has already been confiscated, but also transfer these assets to ukraine for recovery , let’s say the core of reparations, it will not cover all the losses because they are huge, but at least part of russia was unable to disrupt the work of the grain corridor, as it became known, its work will be extended for another 2 months, the process was announced by the president of turkey, rezhipta, and erdogan . he added that turkish ships will also be able to enter the ports of mykolaiv and olbia, what ukraine really wanted, the minister of community development, territory and infrastructure oleksandr kubrakov confirmed that the grain agreement was extended until july 18 and noted that for the agreement to work effectively, it is necessary to eliminate the problems that russia has been creating for several months

by sabotaging inspection and registration new fleet, thanks to the efforts of our country, the support of our russian friends and the contribution of our ukrainian friends, they decided to extend the agreement on the black sea grain corridor for another two months, and now we will talk with oksana kuzyakiv, the executive director of the institute of economic research and political consultations, about how business is feeling, what the mood of our businessmen, ladies, how exactly, congratulations, let 's first remind you what kind of survey this is, what we will talk about, how long it has been going on, how many entrepreneurs you are interviewing every month and we conduct an institute of economic research and political consultations, and starting from may 22 of last year, we conduct a monthly survey of managers of er, mainly industrial enterprises located practically on the entire territory of ukraine, which er, we control this and

there where, in principle, it is safe to work, and well, our respondents can answer this question, and there are 20, er, 21 regions out of 20 seven, and we are interviewing 560,550, this time there were 560 respondents, and those who answer give us answers to a very simple questionnaire and this this is the first time that we can say that it is such an anniversary - jubilee 12 survey why anniversaries because we have closed one full year and now we can even better use these data for forecasting. that is, you can see the dynamics over the course of the year and over the periods compare the changes that will be in the future to feel well, you can predict them a little already with the state statistics

. they said that it was probably not the first time that businessmen had such optimistic forecasts of expectations. we thought that spring had come and the lights were not turned off. people felt some kind of improvement this time. i understand that in may you will present the data collected in april, that is , as in april itself the businessmen felt a-a yes, in may we really present the data that we collected in april and well, in fact, it is a feeling er-er that they ask this the feeling of what happened in april and the plans er-er, so i can say that it is the result of the work because we ask what has changed in their company? how have their indicators changed , for example, production and sales month by month and these work results? we call it that they were the best during this entire 12-month observation period

, that is, really, these march expectations are very high, but in principle they are being realized little by little, but what we also recorded that. that's what we ourselves are thinking about now , what does this mean, and the expectations for the next period, er , three-month expectations for six months, they are quite optimistic, the share of er, optimists is high, but less, er, a little less than it was the previous month, that is, if we look at our graphs, we will see that this line where we measure optimism is going down a little, that is, optimism is high , but not as much as it was a month ago, and this actually applies to this group of short-term indicators. that is, this is what the company is thinking about what will happen in the next 3-4 months and the same more moderately optimistic expectations for the six-month

perspective. well, long-term expectations remain unchanged in principle, there are also quite a lot of optimists, but there a very high level of uncertainty, well, it is predicted, maybe just this spring, and the euphoria has passed a little. well, plus all these alarming news about the counteroffensive, and everyone is really worried about how successful it will be, and what it will bring to us, and how long the war will drag on. no, hmm well, these are my thoughts about these results, but what i felt was interesting. in your research, what are different businesses? they experience these difficult times in different ways, and there is a difference between how large and small or medium-sized businesses feel.

changes, what is the difference, who experiences it better well, here we traditionally do not prove once again the traditional such a conclusion or er, which says that small business in such turbulent times he feels, he reacts more to changes and, accordingly, he is, well, let's say yes, you can't say the word "suffering" is probably not the best, but it feels a little worse , and our data confirms this in various dimensions, as we did not look, but the mood and results of the work of large enterprises, and they now their tendencies are better than e for example, small e-businesses and micro-businesses. that is, this is the main difference in size, although i want to go back to what we said before. indeed, the results and in various dimensions of this month are the best here, and

the share of enterprises that are working at almost full capacity or at full capacity has also increased. i.e., positive, positive, such dynamics did happen, but it depends significantly on the size of the enterprise, larger enterprises , er, well, a lot. let's say better results . what do you associate this with? winter, is it possible for larger enterprises to attract loans and find international partners more easily, is there any answer to this question, because it is not intuitive in principle, sometimes it seems that a small business is more flexible , it can move from place to place more easily , well, it adapts to new conditions faster that it is possible that not all processes are prescribed and bureaucratized and many decisions can be made directly by the business owner without having to gather a board of directors to make some procedural decisions, but

it turns out that larger campaigns are more durable turned out well, here is just such a story that the majority if you have a procedure, if you take a long time to make a decision, take a long time to analyze , look for, for example, the market to sell your place and you have already found it, assessed the risks, taking into account , again, the uncertainty, and then you move, that is, you simply have more resources in order that from a large of a large group of opportunities, and it is always large, you have found your own. that is, you have spent more resources in order to decide that you are moving right here, relatively speaking you sell such products. in this way, in this way, you carry on even in a situation of uncertainty. it is better for you and a large business has this resource, that is , it thinks for a long time.

of business, and here there are correctly, you said both pros and cons, because small business is more flexible, because business, and it, for example, more than a small one suffered from at least in their expectations and assessments from the danger that is connected with well, first of all, with missile shelling, obviously, we interpreted this issue in this way, but in big business it was a bigger problem than more or part of entrepreneurs from big business. calmer and then we recorded a significant decrease in the anxiety of big business or a decrease in the possibility of this obstacle for big business. obviously, this is exactly one of the key e-e security is one of the key points, it has become better and now we see such stability is the development of big business, that is, they are going according to plan

, well, we will have time to talk about obstacles, but before that, i wanted to ask about industry differences , are there any differences here, i know that well, you usually somehow look at different industries, who is currently more successful, who is where is it better, in which area are things going better? well, there are no changes throughout this year. what are we doing in these studies ? this is what we called them in the poetic and food industry. this is textiles and furniture . this is everything that is needed. it actually responds to internal demand and is needed all the time. that is, we are all

we eat all the time. all the time, there is always a need for small repairs or to wear something, that is , these are the basic needs. they are precisely those areas that are not aimed at closing these needs. they feel better we are waiting for the classics of these growth surveys there are some such positive signals in the field of building materials or in the field of construction, well, construction, we are less researching building materials. we have such a signal, er, of future crazy growth. well, we have not received this signal yet, but i hope that with a certain time , under certain conditions, it it will be like that, well, it will be, because the recovery is not far off. i hope that everything will be fine, but there are obstacles. as you rightly pointed out, there are obstacles for business, and businessmen indicate them, which

are the main ones, and who is hindering business now. to develop well, of course, except for the russians who are leading against the consequences yes and this time we have such different dimensions of obstacles uh compared to the obstacles that we ask obstacles during the war and a specific list of obstacles where and security where and power outages and here in the first place continues to be for quite a long time, there has been such a problem as the rise in the prices of raw materials and materials. that is, this enterprise. well, how does it hinder what they are facing ? well, accordingly. ready-made products, i.e. for what you already produce, and then we have such a group of obstacles, they change places, but in principle, they are connected with logistics problems. and these are difficulties with transportation in

the middle of ukraine, that is, logistical problems and this the problem of breaking supply chains inside the country, that is, they are somewhere these obstacles always take 3-4 place. well, problems with demand are , in principle, the top four main problems faced by businesses. asked and compared with obstacles which we asked about before the war is a little bit different er list but i note that now we are talking about the obstacles that i mentioned somewhere close to those interviewed, they say, well , this is a problem for us and when we asked to compare with the lists which we asked before the war, and there we paid a lot of attention to the regulatory climate, e.e., changes to the legislation, corruption, e.g., because to say that well, in general , the problem of the regulatory climate is, in

principle, already starting a little bit. somewhere around 30%, and chooses one or another aspect of this regulatory climate or load or changes in legislation or the same corruption but if we compare with how these problems were before the war, of course, now it is many times less, in fact, the same corruption. i want to say that we only have 4% this month, and the respondents say that this is a problem, whereas, for example, during the last such peace poll, it it was before the war in e in february of the 22nd year eh then we it was held quarterly. but nevertheless, it was in february, and 27 percent

of the respondents said that corruption was a problem. now , this is the whole 22nd and 23rd year. up to four to five percent, it is difficult to say that corruption is not so terrible, and we do not know whether it has really decreased. yes, but it has decreased or it has simply decreased. well, it is possible that it has decreased, but simply . other problems are on the agenda, the same or the heat, by the way . this time, too, it significantly decreased in the possibility and it has already moved there. from the third place or from the second place, i had it somewhere at the end. well , there is no electricity either, and it was one of the key problems in the winter . now it is gradually losing its relevance, because in the first place, remind what is the problem? and in the first place we have the problem of rising prices for raw materials and materials, that is, the problem with prices, these are problems not only for businessmen, only for

company managers. oksano. thank you for your comment. we will announce a little about one of the obstacles to businesses next week. let's talk with colleagues from your institute, and it was about logistical problems yesterday, there was an interesting presentation , you can find it on the facebook channel of the institute of economic research and political consulting, and that's all today oksana kuzyakov, the executive director of the institute of economic research and political consulting, was on our air, they talked about business sentiment business expectations jubilee, so to speak, well, the 12th year, we turn on the full year, the 12th survey was conducted by the institute and now it has a well, the full picture for this uh year uh now it will be easier

to compare the changes and moods of businessmen, i will also announce, to be more precise, such a resolution from the espresso youtube channel, the next issue of the business program with andriy yanitsky once a week, we present it on wednesdays , this time we spoke with yana reznichenko , the head co-founder of the nota bene company - this is a music academy for children and adults , you can find the espresso channel on youtube in the live section there is already a full recording of this program on this today everything see you tomorrow at 8:00 a.m. andrii yanivskyi host economic programs on espresso, we will win together, i congratulate you on the air, the program of the ukrainian

voice of america time time, i am its host, ostap yarysh, the us ministry of defense confirmed that one petriv system in ukraine was damaged , but now it has been repaired and returned to operation , and it is fully operational, he announced this the deputy spokeswoman for the pentagon, sabrina sink, added that the united states has provided ukraine with repair support if the bolt is successfully used by the provided air defense systems to repel russian attacks, but at the moment in a meeting of the security council on the supply of western weapons to ukraine begins at the un headquarters, this meeting was convened by russia , the course of events is being monitored by my colleague iryna solomko, who is now joining the broadcast iryna , i congratulate you, the meeting has only just begun, what do we expect from her, yes, ostap, you know this in fact, this is the fifth out of 7 attempts to conduct a full-scale invasion in the security council on this topic. the first meeting was first in september. then there was