[000:00:00;00] to invent a bicycle, quoting valery chalov, official but non-public discussions are already underway, which security model will be better for ukraine, my humble advice is don't break your brains , don't try to reinvent the bicycle, and even on four and a half wheels, the quick accession of ukraine to nato is the optimal model and the most reliable more stable and even cheaper, what do these security guarantees mean , first of all, oleksandr, and is valery chaly right here when he says that all these conversations and any peace initiatives are just a screen behind which stands the north atlantic forest, to which we must come, yes . i absolutely agree with mr. valery , because in fact, if we are to be what are guarantees, guarantees are actually a legal obligation of our allies. and we still

have no allies. are members, have a son, and a legal obligation to come to our aid and actually fight with us, this is in case deterrence does not work . of course, deterrence is the best , let's say, defense method and the most important the factor here is always, well, it is in parentheses, it is nuclear weapons, because if the russian federation was not a nuclear state, then of course we would have been members of nato a long time ago and this issue would have been resolved. but the most important thing is that everything that is offered to us less than the fifth article of the washington treaty , it cannot be a guarantee of security, it can be military aid, it is here and there, it is a contribution to security.

best friends in the ranks of nato to fight for ukraine's membership in nato, at least a signal that this will happen in the near future, that there is some concrete perspective for this process, since we may find ourselves in the position of the budapest memorandum two, where ukraine will interpret that we have guarantees and our western partners will say that this is an assurance and, accordingly, that there is no mechanism that would immediately include , well, really the appearance, let’s say, of the citizens of nato member countries on our territory. that’s why everything is very good. all these kyiv compacts are kind of additional things that can be given to us. i have legal ones to provide us with weapons, money, training and intelligence information, and yet what we are getting now is very good, but it is an intermediate stage to an exceptional one, let's say, that can satisfy us, and this is nato membership, another

will mean that russia has achieved at least one of its goals , that there is an unspoken right of veto on the expansion of nato to the east, there is an unspoken right of vyta to sovereignty and to sovereign decisions of any state that unfortunately still finds itself in a gray zone, first of all i mean, of course, molotov and georgia, but also belarus, because we should not write off belarus, now there is a non-legislative, uh , this collective farm worker, but in fact, without this state becoming a member, there is a senate, uh, ukraine will be in danger. that's why we have to press our partners, first of all, it is clear that this is old europe, which is still afraid that you are wrong, that you are actually giving putin the green light and , let's say, understanding that he can do something more reasonable next time, well, russian liberals can fight corruption

and then this money, which was embezzled, will be sold and directed to the armed forces of the russian federation and the next war . it may be more successful against us, and most importantly, we do not know what the political balance of power will be in europe and in the same united states on the 24th this year there will be presidential elections and we do not know whether joseph biden will remain or whether mr. trump will come to power, who said that he can actually solve the ukrainian issue in a day, and again let's remember that the impeachment was caused by the fact that he delayed the aid to ukraine, which was allocated by the congress, that is, he wanted to actually use ukrainian security for his own political purposes, therefore, of course, we cannot rely on anything except the fifth article of the washington treaty. thank you, mr. oleksandr, for the conversation . defense strategies, friends, we work live on the espresso tv channel, for those who are currently watching

us live on youtube and facebook, please like this video and subscribe on our social networks on youtube in particular and on facebook we can also join our sponsor club now you will see a qr-code by clicking on which you can find detailed instructions on how to join the sponsor club and we will be grateful for any help except also, read our news on the espresso tv website, the most up-to-date information from ukraine in the world, front chronicle , everything is on our website. and remember that we work for you 24 hours a day, seven days a week. rural director of nu goltix resorch network mr. mykhailo good day good health to you thank you for joining our broadcast i congratulate you i congratulate you let's first of all start with today's agreement

concluded by belarus and russia, or rather signed by the two ministers of defense sheik placement of tactical nuclear weapons on the territory of the republic of belarus according to reports in the press, because the agreement itself does not exist yet. i have not seen the text yet. russia will fully control the placement and use of nuclear weapons on the territory of the republic of belarus. republic of belarus, what does this mean for ukraine and for the future of the russian -ukrainian war? actually, of course, it directly affects the military and political situation that is developing around ukraine. put all the pressure, of course, not on ukraine, because ukraine is not afraid of a-a if it didn’t sound paradoxical, it is not afraid of

russia’s nuclear er-e club, it has repeatedly shown that because russia is blackmailing ukraine, ukraine itself, with nuclear a-a weapons from the first days when it became clear that russia failed in its plans and actually strategically lost this war in the first er from the first days of its large-scale invasion, from that moment russia regularly uses poisons to blackmail ukraine , but it does not work ukraine clearly demonstrates that it will not stop in his desire to completely liberate the ukrainian lands, of course, including crimea, from the russian occupiers , putin's only hope is to put pressure on the west , to put pressure on, of course, various opinions that

can exist in various politicians let's say our western partners, starting with the united states and ending with france, germany, italy, spain, great britain, each of these countries may have their own point of view on this event , and the use of belarus is one of the means of such nuclear blackmail of our western apartments, why exactly in this format , that is, in fact, russia how often it happens mirrors the situation with the placement of american nuclear weapons on the territory of european nato members since the time of the second world war in fact, it is understood that american nuclear weapons located on the territory of a nato country do not belong to a nato country, they belong to the united states and are used, including in the interests of nato , a mirror approach is also used here. that is, it is not a belarusian nuclear weapon because otherwise

in this case, it is very interesting if russia actually transferred nuclear weapons to belarus. this would be a very dangerous precedent when nuclear weapons would begin to spread across our planet, and china is also against this. it is very important in the general schedule in the general analysis of the situation and not only the united states ukraine is for example the signatory of the budapest memorandum of the same i.e. russia follows a mirror approach they say by sending this signal that we do not transmit to belarus we do not violate any agreements we place the same as the united states tactical nuclear weapons on the territory of its ally based on its own interests, it is obvious that this is pressure on the west - this is an attempt, including er, to use this

factor er in attempts to destabilize the situation in europe, for example, the spread of the so-called anti-nuclear movement of the pacifist movement, as it was done, for example, in the 1970s and 1980s, when the soviet union directed such protest, rather massive protest movements in western europe against american american weapons, american missiles carriers of nuclear weapons, it really affected the political situation in europe. i think that such attempts will soon manifest themselves . when the pacifist movement, and especially the movement against nuclear weapons, can appear in europe, because the argument will be like this: look, you american nuclear weapons are kept here, and at this moment putin is forced to react to this by placing nuclear weapons in belarus, that is , there are still such aspects from the point of view of military danger. i think that here , after all, the danger is minimal and not only because the fact that in fact putin is not determined

to use these nuclear weapons, although this is also this factor is also present. it is also very important here that ukraine and our western partners during this time, while the large-scale invasion continues, have created a fairly effective system of anti-missile defense in ukraine, and even this fact when ukraine has already shot down several daggers of these pseudo-hypersonic missiles , it demonstrates that there are no carriers of special nuclear weapons that can be used from the territory of belarus in russia and effectively, that is , they can overcome the ukrainian anti-missile defense system, in fact, that is if they try to use nuclear weapons, the naval component of the black sea fleet can use the aviation component from the territory of russia, but there is no deployment on the territory of belarus no military sense. that is, it will have to be used from airplanes. well, for example, you could use the mig-31 with the same dagger carriers, which

are again defeated by the ukrainian anti-missile defense system, and therefore the very fact of the military from a military point of view does not actually make any sense, but it will be used, of course to put pressure on our western partners regarding the inexpediency of further support for ukraine, because russia thinks that the idea that this is going to escalate will be propagated. propagandists are less and less commented on by putin and his entourage, this is the event of fighters of the russian volunteer russian volunteer corps on the territory of russia. defense minister shoigu reported to the board of the ministry of defense about the complete destruction of the so-called nationalist

formations. left after them , we will hear that by saying that artillery fire and active actions of the unit cover the state border of the western military district, the evaluation formulations were blocked and defeated remnants of the nationalists thrown back on the results of ukraine. acceptance continued the application of provisions until the complete liquidation of more than 70 ukrainian terrorists, as well as automobile and armored vehicles . this is the version of the minister of attack of the russian federation. freedom of russia explained what was happening in the territory

of the neighboring region of ukraine. let's say so . wonderful yes yes documents yes correct military documents including that too we were able to pick up an even bigger plate by the gram of the fsb point in fact the stronger we are yes the more powerful let's say it like this enter the territory of the russian federation the more and it takes time to come to your senses and accept what the mayors in charge, that is, until they, let’s say, rolled out tanks in large numbers on the road there, they couldn’t even oppose us . it’s just that we don’t have some, well, let’s say, huge amounts of forces to cover all of this territory to take full control of it, for us this is still a breakdown of forces, and today information has already appeared that the rdk fighters have again entered the gorge of this

belogorod region and have also posted a video on their channel that they are already there again on the territory of belogorod of the region although he reported it well, we see, we can turn on the sound, we can turn on the sound , we will turn on the winter, every time we enter the territory of russia with battles or quietly. it is no longer important. in the village of slavyka, so friends of mr. mykhailo’s russian volunteer, it is clear that at the moment when we are all expecting a counteroffensive , everyone says that this is one of the elements of the counteroffensive. that is, of course, it is a russian volunteer corps, there are russians, they are fighting for their freedom for their state, but after all, is it possible to accept the fact that this counteroffensive operation of the armed forces of ukraine began on monday, this monday, because now the russians are starting to regroup their forces that we had on

the eastern border and transfer them to belgorod oblast, they understood what could be next: kursk oblast , bryansk oblast , rostov oblast, then voronezh oblast, how does it affect the general picture of hostilities in eastern ukraine? which precedes er-e disaizev cause decisive operations a-a in our doctrine then er-e actually er-e whispers have been going for more than the first week when we first see the actions of all special operations in different directions they manifest themselves in different ways way, but these are precisely the factors that influence the formation of the reformation of the enemy. as you absolutely rightly emphasized, he begins to regroup as we need, and not as he

needs to prepare the defense. shadow's search for personnel gathering places , command posts, storage places for ammunition, petroleum products , etc. for example, the situation under the bahmut around the bahmut in the bahmut itself, this is also an element of whisper practices , it is obvious that this forces the enemy to concentrate huge forces in this direction, and what's more. means that an additional few thousand regular forces have to go there from somewhere, and it is not so easy. these are several battalions of the tactical group, the russian army must remove them from other directions and transfer them to prevent the front from collapsing, because at the moment the ukrainian army has created a very dangerous

situation for the russians under bahmut when the ukrainian forces are looming on the flanks and on the commanding heights in the very place. although not everything is 100%. there are russian troops who are now coming in and coming out in agnerivtsi, and if , instead of a few thousand wagnerians, a few thousand regular forces are brought in , the front may simply collapse and it will already begin. the situation is catastrophic for the russians in the donbass. i can say the same about the belgorod region, we won’t. to clarify who planned to conduct this and is conducting these operations but if you theorize, that is, abstractly speaking, this is a very absolutely ideal operation of the special operations forces, especially in the information and psychological component , since the special operations forces are not just a force component, which, as was once believed in the soviet union, the special forces broke through the bricks heads and

that's the end of it, ah, the ukrainian approach, the western approach to the creation of special operations forces and pso is one of the main components, and if you look at it as the world information e-e the world official space, the world information community reacted to this situation, i can say that this is simply a 300% completed task and, in addition , what can be the consequences ? it's naked there. there are no troops there, you can go in groups in separate units, ride on chariots and so on. this means that russia, so that we know how the soviet and russian bureaucratic system works, there was hysteria now. i'm sure that

putin ordered to ensure that there was such a thing was not repeated, in order to ensure this, it is necessary again to place several tens, and i would say several tens of thousands of servicemen of various departments - this and this is the armed forces, the national guard, the russian national guard and the fsb and border guards, etc. , to be placed in these territories to ensure the necessary density so that the drg of ukraine or rdk russian volunteers could not enter there, it is not important, but it is necessary to ensure the density of troops in these areas, where to take these troops, again , they will be withdrawn from the south of donbas and so on, because i'm sure that's just how it works. the soviet military bureaucracy once and for all doesn't care about anyone. how are you going to carry out this task? you need to ensure that the task of troop density on the a-a border is fulfilled. everything will be removed from the most dangerous areas and sent to kursk

or belgorod . region well, yes, if they said aluminum tolumin by the way, this is a question that they will start closing the border along the eastern and southern border on the eastern border anyway, i still see them from drones, today the new york times, citing its sources, writes about that that one of the military or intelligence agencies of ukraine is behind the attempted drone attack on the kremlin in early may, to be precise, one of the military or intelligence agencies of ukraine, the intelligence services of the united states of america do not know which unit carried out the attack, and it is not clear whether the president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi knew about the operation, although the drone attack caused a small damage is written in the new york times, it undermined the sense of security and invincibility that the cream tried to portray in moscow despite

the chaos that it created with its war and in ukraine this is the story with drones and, in general, with the fact that there are special forces or special operations forces or special services that can carry it out, this once again demonstrates to everyone that in addition to the powerful armed forces of ukraine , we have powerful special services that can carry out such special operations as far as these special operations on your behalf, mykhailo, can affect russian society. well, at least some of the big cities there will definitely understand that after flying to kyiv , he can fly to moscow, voronezh, and rostov. on st. petersburg on other cities of the russian federation, i would still say here. it is important for us if we are talking about the e-e effect for ukraine and for the ukrainian nation f- the effect is not on the russian population, the russian population. now nothing

solves it, mainly e-e serfs who, in principle, are on the sofa between the televisions and the refrigerator and in principle they do not try to somehow change the situation, they are satisfied with the status quo eh. the main thing is not to touch them, but it is very important how the regional elites react to it. i mean the regional elites throughout russia how they react to what drones fly over the kremlin, and then it looks completely helpless. and of course, those elites who directly support the putin regime, including with money , including resources, in that they, for example , finance so-called private military companies or commit direct war crimes against ukraine. they must understand that the ukrainian special services can get them in any city of russia or the world, this is a very important factor of psychological influence when

the russian elites who stand either for putin or try to somehow survive in this situation, they clearly understood that the enemy that opposes them is not some weak ukrainians and to whom they are used to the image of because they created it themselves and during yanukovych's time as they were mocked there. well, in principle, the whole story is their myth about ukrainians. not smart enough , greedy people who can always be deceived and used in their interests become a factor, yours is a very important factor in how the whole of russia will develop, including from the point of view of regional separatism, well, in the end, very briefly, uh, i uh, i saw a video yesterday with the scumbag, and i hope that you

also saw where he praises the ukrainian army, a war criminal and a war criminal, he can be perceived in different ways and i don't even want to show this video in the program and quote him, but this is an admission that this is not a game for the public and he sincerely says that he is just saying it in order to drown the puck together with gerasim, i think you shouldn't believe zeko and those, of course, you take every word , he tries to manipulate, he tries to use us and, of course, use the entire audience . the growth of the political status of the most beautiful woman, he already wants to escape from bakhmut in order to remain the winner, because then the situation there will develop very tragically for the russian forces, but the beautiful woman will remain

the winner, and he defeated the best army to the world, as he declares, this is also an element of pr, an element of a planned media operation, although of course i think that he himself knows how much the best army in the world, the ukrainian, destroyed its resources of these prisoners there, well, there are various sources called tens of thousands of these zetas military service wagner's group was destroyed by the ukrainian troops. thank you, mr. mykhailo, for the conversation. it was mykhailo samusiyskyi, an expert, friends. we are working live on the espresso tv channel, as well as on our networks in social networks and on youtube for those who are currently watching on youtube and in on facebook, please like this video so that it is promoted in the trends of these resources. well, subscribe to our e-e social networks and become a sponsor of our youtube channel. now you will see a qr-code by clicking on which you can get

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