tv [untitled] June 3, 2023 1:00pm-1:31pm EEST
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, we will analyze the most important events of this week, of course, the key story is happening now in russia it is about the intra-russian game for nina, which manifests itself in various statements, and we have already seen extremely specific manifestations of what can be called the russian civil war, in particular it is also about the events in belegorod region, but of course we will not only talk about this, of course the key story is currently unfolding in the great battle of donetsk about this about the other retired colonel of the british army glen grant and the political scientist who is in washington andriy bionkovskyi now on our air will work glen grand colonel of the british army retired military expert glory to ukraine mr. colonel get save the king love battles on the russian-ukrainian border shebekino
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belohorod region we understand history is a serious story was generally predicted, but it was not expected in russia. how do you assess the potential for the development of this situation? it was a great attack and it upset all russians in this region. of course, russia moved troops from the donetsk region to the north in an effort to protect the border, and this is a rather significant step. there will be consequences in the long term, such actions weaken the enemy's defense of all potential places for a counteroffensive by the armed forces of ukraine, so the effect is felt both in the military and in the political plan. since publicity in russia is gaining momentum very soon people will learn how vulnerable russia is, at the same time it was restless and in moscow this happened several arrivals of strange drones no one took responsibility it is meant to be about the origin of those drones but in any case moscow began to feel what they feel in
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kyiv although, of course, we are talking about a fundamentally lower level, but still, this magic of imperial security is beginning to crumble before our eyes, on the other hand, we understand in what way putin and the kremlin can try to use it, it is important to understand that no one took i am responsible, too. and this was not as serious as could be expected from the side of ukraine. i believe that if the ukrainian army had been involved, the consequences would have been much worse. obviously, the task was to create an effect similar to the effect of downed drones over the kremlin and the whole it is possible that this is an attack organized by russia , an attempt to gain political power for putin for the offensive measures he needs, more soldiers and more money for the defense of the system
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, he has problems because current events on the front lines at the moment are favorable for ukraine ukraine intercepted a significant part of the initiative and therefore putin has to do something, let's remember how he acted when he wanted to invade chechnya and now something very similar is happening. well , another strange statement by the former russian president medvedev was extremely unexpected, now he is a member of the russian security council, because he stated that defacto britain is at war with russia, we understand that medvedev is voicing only what he would rather agree in advance in the kremlin will understand that great britain took an unprecedented, extremely important step, in particular, it is about allocating long-range storm shadow missile systems to ukraine, so it is extremely important to understand that even the americans did not go to supply such missiles in russia feels that their rear
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and logistics centers are under threat, although we we use storm shadow only on our territory in order to help the russians remove their interlopers from our territory. well, all this is interconnected, first of all now it is quite clear that the idea of medvedev as a potential reformer president who can be something different from putin has completely dissipated now this is very clearly manifested in his recent speeches bear is as evil as putin if not more and his attitude towards ukraine and the west is so contemptuous as far as it is in principle possible for a russian, the comment about great britain is interesting because if you look at it that way , russia has been at war with the west since 2008, just
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now all this has come out for the first time. is this because they are going to act in some way, i am not sure if before that or if they will act at all. is all this for the sake of internal consumption , a kind of attempt to convince the public that the enemy is not only ukraine, the enemy is the west, the enemy is nato, the enemy is great britain. i think that this is a more important moment of storm shadow - this is the first long-range weapon provided to ukraine, which enables the defense forces to strike at some specific targets, so far it is not about the crimean bridge, but about other targets that were still outside radiosome damage, because we know that the russian military moved their headquarters and logistics back so that they would not be hit by heimers shedov dramatically changes the situation, which means that the russians will have to make a lot of additional
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defensive efforts. i think that stom shedov will in most cases overcome their air defense. thus, the russian front-line support has increased significantly and the command has entered the reach zone from ukraine . why are the americans still delaying the delivery of those long-range missiles? but it is possible during in the near future, the administration of joseph biden will dare to make this important decision, it is obvious that the administration of biden is still deeply concerned that there will be no real war between russia and nato, russia and the united states, because then it will be very tragic for the whole world, at the same time unfortunately , the fact that the war is ignored it is already happening, we already are in more than one sense. the attacks involved in it are completely different
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combat beasts that are not similar to everything that is in ukraine, having such a weapon you can start destroying real objects, don't you understand burn and wipe off the face of the earth if you have seen the photos of the ministry of defense of serbia after nato's response to serbia's hope, then you understand the damage such weapons can cause , that is why the biden administration believes that this may cross the line of launching a conventional war, but if putin was going to use nuclear weapons , then he would have already he did because he had many reasons for this and he still did not dare . in my opinion, america should provide atakams because the very provision of such weapons to ukraine will let russia understand that the game is over, and for now this did not happen, russia thinks that if they continue this war, then there is a chance of victory. we must deprive them of this opinion by making
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ukraine so powerful that they realize that nothing will work out for them and then they will have to sit down at the negotiating table, and while america is delaying the provision of attack complexes, unfortunately, such a scenario is receding over the horizon , so this is a really important stage, one of the stages of this war, dear mr. colonel, i regularly analyze the so-called russian propaganda and noticed that they increasingly started to use the term war is not just some kind of abstract military operation, they are already gradually maturing in order to admit, at least in their public space, that the war between russia and ukraine is going on, well, there is another characteristic moment, which is the possibility that russia will officially declare war. what do you think? they will go for it and how it can
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change the situation, in particular, taking into account the fact that russia can try to use martial law and so on to mobilize its economy and the final mobilization of its population, this is a very valid point and i also noticed this just before our conversation was watching a video from russia on youtube and the word war was in every second sentence so i think you are right if it is declared a war it will be a significant step putin will have free hands to do whatever he wants he wants and this means that he can freely dispose of the economy with weapons and people and he will do it, this will mean that russia will regain the initiative and advantage , putin's advantage will also be due to the fact that the ukrainian government
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was very slow in organizing the ukrainian people to wage war, and this really worries me because if russia declares war, they will have a temporary advantage that will allow them to overtake ukraine in the long term, and even in the case of a successful counteroffensive or even the return of crimea, if russia firmly decides to declare war, it will be a long war. will completely change everything, then ukraine will have to reorient itself, because at the moment, most of ukraine is in peacetime, not wartime , your government hopes very much to win without doing anything serious. this is my personal i think they are just throwing people into the hell of war, hoping that everything will pass, but this will not happen. if russia declares war, then it will be very serious. people will have
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to rethink everything, starting with the basic principles of defense of ukraine and fend ukraine . dear mr. colonel, if we are talking about possible scenarios of war we understand that there are several of them, that most likely they can be assumptions or speculation, we do not know what is going on in the head of this collective russian madman, but we understand that one of the scenarios is a long drawn out meat grinder, that is, they will regularly bring in their additional units , mobilize people and try to hold the captured territories and push along the border line. the second option is escalation for the sake of escalation. when they will raise the level in order to reach other negotiating positions, another option is involvement third countries understand that in reality we are not so far from this, taking into account the strange rocket in bydgoszcz
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on the territory of poland, in general, they are aware that war does not have the properties just like that usually end, wars only gather and gain momentum how do you see the unfolding of the nearest scenarios of this war, this is probably the most important question at the moment i want to add to my previous answer if russia really declares that this is a war, then the west must also make a decision about how it will react to that that nowadays most western countries still treat the war as something they can do among secondary things and not as a major effort for the country and a serious war with russia will mean that people will have to look at it in a completely different way, i don't think that russia now has the potential for anything serious, except to continue throwing more people without
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serious training, they have no opportunity to develop highly professional soldiers, so they will act according to proven scenarios, there will be more bachmuts, let's say not one and five bahmuts at the same time over the last year, russia has suffered many failures, i mean that after the initial big attacks in ukraine , it was possible to restrain russia everywhere, i think that this will continue to be the case, but this will mean that ukraine will lose many more people, so we must learn to fight in a different way, we cannot continue to fight in the bakhmut format because this format is too expensive for the country, it can be good from a political point of view but not from a military point of view, because the best trained soldiers die ukraine simply cannot
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afford this. what do you think the russian air defense system will do if they continue to hit our civilian cities with ballistic missiles, killing our civilians? logically, if the prophecy of the secretary of the national security and defense council of ukraine, oleksiy danilov, comes true, who warned the russians that there could be a ukrainian army of drones, it can also fly to russia, and this is not about the use of british or american long-range systems, it is about drones. if you want an army of drones to attack russia you will have to attract huge funds because drones do not fly far and do not give any effect. if it is not the most expensive drones, we are talking about drones not for thousands of dollars
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and it is 200-300 times more expensive, and therefore there is a problem to buy or manufacture them, currently there are no systems in ukraine that would allow them to be produced in large quantities, but it is possible and i hope that the necessary money and time are already being worked on here, the fact that danilov said this does not mean that someone is going to do it, let's ask ourselves what is the point of doing it over moscow if russian drones will rally people even more over kiev in the desire to win this war, it should be taken into account that the flights of drones over moscow and the killing of people only increase the determination of the russians to their victory cannot be thought that they are different it will probably have the same effect in case of causing too much damage it is much more important to keep the population away from the war as much as possible while the main target should be their leadership shoigu gerasim in putin because
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the people do not love, if you start to turn this into a war between the russian population and the ukrainians, then i am afraid that ukraine will be in great trouble, because the russians have much more resources in terms of people and equipment tenden ukraine dear mr. colonel who is your opinion is now leading the war from the russian side of the stable gerasimov prigozhin or patroshev or putin personally yes, we understand quite strange things, in particular, those or other public marches of the criminal prigozhin, which are formally led by the criminal group wagner, we see how seriously he is going against shoigu and gerasimov and we understand that if nothing happens to him, it means that he is being covered by the federal security service of the russian federation, which is under the control or under the serious influence of the very same little bit, this is a very
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primitive scheme, but we understand if similar it happens to mean that this should either ensure a potential transit of power in the event of certain major or minor disturbances , or they are now starting to dismantle the existing levers of influence on the political situation, which is an interesting question with putin alive. i think the only person who knows what is going on in prigozhin's head is prigozhin himself but it seems to me that prigozhin now works for putin as before and tries to distance himself from putin, the failure of shoigu and gerasimov, that is, he spoke in this way to push them away from putin from the point of view who is the main one and what is actually happening, putin is more likely still constantly communicating with them, but now prigozhin portrays them as losers, setting them up for a possible failure and gives putin additional political arguments and political space for
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action. it seems to me that this is exactly how everything is happening, although i could be wrong because everything is quite strange, but i am absolutely sure that prigozhin really wants to be the minister of defense and replace shoigu. it is clear from his words, the terms he uses, his main message is that he can win the war for of all of russia, not only by wagner's group, but by the entire team, so i think that there is still a lot of interesting things ahead. and for prigozhin's supporters - this is a real test of analytics, dear mr. colonel, there are large corpse storage facilities in the border regions on the territory of the russian federation, well , at least they were recorded. so i have no way to check to what extent this information is true. but perhaps it somehow so fleetingly characterizes the summer campaign of the russian
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federation against us. how do you think what resources our enemy is displaning with, in particular it is said about technical resources and about trained manpower, so because during the last six months they actively tried to educate themselves from the mobilized interventionists at the beginning of the war, the human resources of the regular army of the russian federation left much to be desired, but now it seems that what is happening is that the russian army is learning its lessons and improving. they are still using conscripts and others as cannon fodder but if we talk about the soldiers of the regular army, they are constantly getting better and i would even say that in in some areas, they are learning lessons and changing faster than the ukrainian troops , which is very worrying, as i already said, people will be cannon fodder, many of these cannon fodder are already using rifles from the first world war, not just old
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rifles, but truly hundred-year-old rifles because there is not enough weapons in russia, and we have seen that they bring really old equipment to the front line, old tanks that we used in world war ii. at the same time, you must remember that a tank in battle is a tank in battle even an old gun is capable of many things in russia there will be a huge shortage of specialists, people who know how to use tanks and armored vehicles, how to control them correctly, if you watch the video, you will see that now they have a bad time with this, if ukraine can keep them under its pressure, they will not be the best, they will not become the most dangerous for ukraine should give russia time , because every time you give russia time, they become better, so from the moment of the counteroffensive until the end of the war, they should be held in a vise without
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the possibility of reassurance, because it is being restored they are because they have a lot of things, they have a lot of equipment, they have a lot of people , what they lack is good commanders . well, of course , they still lack such things as radio stations, night sights and the like, but let's not forget that russia also has volunteers who support them in the same way as ukrainians support their armed forces, these volunteers buy what is necessary for the russian army, as ukrainians do for the armed forces, so i especially emphasize that time is the only thing that we should not give them. thank you very much, sir to the colonel for this honest conversation on the air of the espresso tv channel. i want to remind our viewers that glengran, a retired colonel of the british army , a military expert, gatsey zen, was working for them. glory to ukraine . glory to the heroes. i got save the came tank you. well , i want to remind our viewers that we
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megogo there is a cure for cystitis there is discounts on drops and capsules urolesan bye-bye cystitis for life hello 20% in pharmacies podorozhnyk to you and savings moscow continues to bombard ukraine with ballistic missiles, what does the individual want to achieve by shelling civilian objects, is the drone attack in russia part of the ukrainian fonternastu, but the ukrainian authorities forcefully take land from citizens in order to hand it over to polish mercenaries. well, a third of the stockpile of missiles for the patriot system was destroyed in ukraine, we debunk this and other myths together with our stopface partners in peace . congratulations, this is freedom. life on radio svoboda we have already come to the change itself, the following shots may shock you, news from the scene
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live, and also kamikaze drones, political analysis objectively and meaningfully, there is no political season, exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest spots svoboda life front openly and impartially draw conclusions ourselves, our current guest, andriy piontkovsky, a political scientist who is in washington. kudos to ukraine , andriy andriyovich. i greet you as a hero of the villages. good evening . well, the story of moscow is not over. in particular , it is about drones and a complete collapse. propagandists and simonyan herself to evacuate well, and so on, and first of all, who evacuated the local russian authorities
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would be a wonderful explanation of the 59th committee of defense state house when she explained why it doesn't work so ineffectively once well, our common country we can't do everything, he's not kidding, this was told to me by a colonel who every day demands that you destroy great britain blow up the yeostovsky volcano today and so on. well, what can i tell you? before its decisive blow , it had an anagrammatic effect on the russian society, on the russian region, the state of general gender and panic, well, besides, it is a very effective military operation it is no longer important to the districts that this member is the russian two-polish corps or aliens, are they expanding
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it, or are the fronts forcing the same thing? and the absence of a visit pulls this action, well , the psychological effect, believe us, is much more than that. of course, it correlates with it. by the rebellion of the commander of the most effective and russian military unit, he arbitrarily left chukov's entrance in bakhmut, here is ivan working for it, how there will be razromleny, replacing him, when he writes that the testimony is i apologize to the ministry of defense before we listen to the olympic broadcasts, we must understand that the mood and intention and the process are passing through to the state of the programs. it is
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my russian without everywhere or you are there and then you are fucking me. we are the hosts of the red square, that is, in such a state of the russian population, the general population is running to evacuate from the years, and everything will be good in such a state of russia, in russian society, it is possible to prepare for it specifically, and not in a ukrainian speech, well, dear andrii andriyovich, we we understand this is the principle of throwing fire. they thought that they would set our house on fire, but they are starting to burn themselves like this, and we understand that this process is starting. the second thing is how quickly it can spread. that's all. i 'm sure that the first success is the first big move .
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i am convinced of irreversible political changes within russia, although the opinion is not divided and the majority of the ukrainian theological sphere in russia continues to repeat the old one that generated everything that does three of the year what is he doing to order putin in order to create a discorisiovato so that i myself but excuse me it was an hour ago when putin let you down optically to disrogate that this is the time of the beautiful discotheres the very idea in or wars ego not he i am writing you a statement no we no we came up with this we did not unleash a special operation on this mindless czech war, because these are soldiers who were abandoned. tragedy when they open their eyes and not
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tear the path . frankment, if he was a loner, he would have been liquidated a long time ago, in my opinion, and surrounded by putin, a fairly serious group of people had already formed who understood that the war was lost and that a much more important task must be solved, how to preserve the power and property of the defeated country in putin's , that is, military russia and prigozhin, with his returns, he prepared and performs the most important thing for this group, he prepares just that, this is a patriotic part of the society, so we can 10-15% of the population to accept defeat, i say that he he offers them to occupy the place of victory, he offers them others, another pleasure
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