[000:00:00;00] water supply security thank you for taking the time to join ruslan movchan, deputy head of the zaporizhia attention, we are in direct contact and in the next few days , we should expect a major attack by ukraine on the donbas, this was the opinion expressed by the head of the defense committee of the british parliament, topias elrod, according to him, now the ukrainian army conducts probing and forming operations, and the main front of the ukrainian potential is still in reserve, ready for this single attack, on the basis of which such forecasts are based. we will continue to talk with peter chernikom, a military expert joins our broadcast, mr. peter. i congratulate you. good evening. glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes , mr. peter. do you agree with this last thesis expressed by the head of the defense committee of the british parliament that

a major attack is expected and should be expected specifically in the donbass ? from a completely opposite point of view, in my opinion, the tactic of 1000 cuts , which has repeatedly justified itself in the kharkiv operation and in donetsk, is still much more effective and of much higher quality why the numerical potential of the enemy is so much greater than ours and to put everything on one map as in my opinion is not entirely appropriate but at the same time how it will be in reality will be decided exclusively by our general staff , i trust him 100% and am sure that all operational plans to millimeter in any more complex understanding of this word, fully calculating whether during the period of the so-called dry periods of dry weather , the most serious operations with the conversion of our lands will boil over, in which i have not the slightest doubt, but it is really not worth getting ahead of circumstances, well, now the armored forces of ukraine will introduce counteroffensive counterattacks in at least three directions, they say that the defense force is also

the flanks of the bakhmut section of the front, west of the region, and the west of donetsk region, on the border of zaporizhzhia, and the biggest message comes precisely about the advance of the ukrainian military, that is , in the west of the donetsk region that is not far from the administrative border with zaporozhye, why exactly there, what is your version, and it is actually quite weighted, it is reconnaissance by combat , so far the heavy forces are occupying one column there what is our enemy rozdoli, we need to be very careful about those losses that, other than reconnaissance by battle, it is important for us to understand the lines of the enemy's defense, his fire system and, most importantly, to make their bodies move. in general, everything including food is the philosophy of our victory, we reached the point when we began to methodically and comprehensively destroy the enemy from all sides. in the broadest

sense of this word, it can be it is happening slowly because it is extremely important to avoid making strategic mistakes, we must understand that our attacks are brain surgery and we have no right to make a mistake. sometimes individual brigades report the liberation of populated areas. the ministry of defense does not comment or confirm. the fact that the armed forces of ukraine have gained a foothold in these settlements, or why is this happening? mind you, when one of the heads of the general staff clearly and specifically declares the code of which villages, towns and territories of liberation - this means not only one thing, as far as we have strengthened ourselves, that the enemy will have very little strength and means to knock us out of there, remember that modern genetics is not only modern in general any war is a battle of intellects, and war is a way

of deception. who will hide his intentions better , including throwing this or that information against the enemy, will have better dynamics, well , now very much from many military experts er, experts have statements that they allegedly broke through the first line of defense of the invading russian troops, how correct is this definition, actually, where exactly did the defenses break through and what does this indicate, i will not give where exactly , by what forces, who did it and how, because we will now give a ready-made information to the adversary so that he understands the real state of affairs, the adversaries really have very serious problems with development , somewhere they are throwing a lot of information into our information space, so that they say we solved one and a half thousand ukrainian dances tanks, i am generalizing a little in order to explain why this cannot be done, the enemy is trying to induce us to make excuses and in this way to publicize the real number of our equipment, this cannot be, we understand

the most important thing, the potential for liberating our lands has already been increased and high-quality operations will take place often and since it is necessary and i repeat my own position in the second, we trust only official sources and i very much ask you not to go into the details of the front, where if and when, with the exception of when the state has already done it, namely based on the statements of the general staff about the situation in the direction of bakhmut, for several days we have been hearing about advancing precisely on the flanks , how much more successful the positions are for force defense . the environment for bakhmut, the strategic heights have long been ours, and there are already such phenomena as the bakhmut paradox, and this is something that our historians will have to study in the future, how it turned out

when we defended it bakhmut had quite a large building and we had something to cling to. where to hide and how to maneuver. the russians themselves turned it into rubble, except for a small number of basements. they have practically no natural defenses and they have a paradoxical situation. they now ported primarily on their own population that this point under under their control, they cannot get out of there for political reasons, but they themselves have turned themselves into a shooting range for our artillery, and there is now an undermining of everything that is true there, we do not raise the bar of emotional expectation to say everything will happen tomorrow, the enemy has never reckoned with his soldier and bakhmut is saturated with quite a large number of troops, but we will cope with this if we understand that the tragic battle we won after the destruction of the dam of the kakhovka hydroelectric power plant, the occupiers allegedly took over the small dam of the zaporizhzhia region , at least there was such a statement from the defense forces, but just now zaporizhzhia ova could not confirm it to us, however, they are allegedly resorting to

such actions in order to artificially swamp the area and slow down the advance of jesus to what extent does it affect the contour offensive or it is about what to expect when the soil dries up, or can there be some other tactic implemented here, there is really a distortion of reality among the russians themselves, they are terribly afraid of our counteroffensive and one of the reasons , not the only one, why they did not blow up this dam . they live in ideas about forcing the river , as it was when the soviet troops liberated kyiv, that is, on large watercraft on pontoons and so on, a huge number of personnel and equipment were transported across the dnipro, and they really believe that we it's so crazy that this kind of forcing happened, no one ever thought of such a thing, because it's hard for me to imagine how a seventy-five ton car moves with some kind of watercraft across the dnieper, i mean the transportation of a leopard or a challenger . but in fear, the eyes are big and they think

so. consider the point of the operation as it was carried out with the help of light motor boats and forces of a special project and will be carried out and all serious operations will take place on solid land where really serious heavy equipment will have a solid support it was not and is not about a war in the great wetland, what part of the force of means they will really withdraw from there and aim at other directions. but in the strategic context, they did not achieve any military effect and will not achieve in the general philosophy of the counteroffensive, everything will be according to our exchange of the crimean titan chemical plant and in the temporarily occupied armenian, which is reported by the general directorate of intelligence, it already says that in the event of an explosion, this ammonia cloud will cover the surrounding areas in half an hour as this will help the russian army in defensive operations. there is no logic. there is no logic. and where was the logic when they blew up the camel

of the kakhovka hpp? this is a pure act of terrorism, and what can they do to it ? only those who believe that the territories will be given away are acting, and they follow the principle of scorched earth, it is very correct on their part , so they at least think, if we cannot hold and we have nothing left , then we must do the only thing that they know how to destroy you know i also want to ask you, as a candidate of political sciences, about medvedev, who holds the position of deputy head of the russian security council and today congratulated the russians a happy holiday and russia day, and he posted a photo of the independence maidan with the russian tricolor, now maybe they will show it to us and wrote a maidan independence square is coming soon, why is it the largest country in the world in terms of territory, and which is in the top ten with the largest actual population, so it is important to plant

your flag on the independence square in kyiv , this is the photo we now see on the screen and it's elementary and simple the russian empire is impossible without ukraine emphasizes and i will never agree with its ugly identity, which originates from the tatars of the mongol horde and in truth, even further from the finno-ugric tribes, between the subjective human reality is a very complex thing and there is no stronger social glue than common myths they have their own myth of greatness because they have no words, the myth of origin from kievan rus and in their school of values ​​mulder's kyiv to russian and this is a constant that we cannot apply and the main reason for this war and its of all the rest who boiled between us and them, the empire was built by our hands feofan prokopovych on the order that our ukrainian wrote them the first alphabet and

a graduate of the mohyla academy built their education and parties can be played for so long that a few thousand pages will not be enough for how much of our work and the intelligence was heard, mr. peter. thank you for joining petrovych's broadcast . the military expert was in direct contact with us. the assault positions of the russian military are carried out. moreover, on a trophy t-80 tank that was captured under a raisin, it had to be brought closer to the shelter of the russian army trenches and shot literally from 20-30 meters. how the assault took place and what the soldiers of the armed forces of ukraine tell about the soldier

. we apologize for the technical malfunctions, we now have the correct plot, the plot we wanted to put, and for now i remind you that you must subscribe to the youtube channel of radio svoboda and like and devour this publication so that as many people as possible could see it. well, follow the news in the telegram channel of radio liberty and also in other messengers. well, let's move on . german chancellor olaf schulz and polish president aje and duda are arriving in paris for talks with french president manuel macron. the meeting is dedicated to ukraine's desire for nato membership and the guarantee of security from the allies on the eve of the alliance's vilnius summit in july , you previously reported on the dinner of european leaders

of the working scheme for ukraine well, by the way, at the weekend, during a conversation with canadian prime minister justin trudeau, volodymyr zelenskyy expressed the hope that there will be an agreement in paris about accelerating ukraine's movement into nato, because he says this and is the best guarantee of security for ukraine, we will monitor the results of this meeting well, for now, about what ukraine should count on in general . well, actually, as i already mentioned, the official results of the meeting will be later, but at least what program can we talk about and what are the risks of not being able to implement it ? i think that let's rely on what will be successful . a few months ago, our partners, hmm, you know, took the main percentage

, shifting the fact that at the wilson summit , more issues of security guarantees for ukraine will be considered than our membership, but now, thanks to the efforts of the president and the government and the parliamentary delegation which did a great job at the nato parliamentary assembly. and this point moved in the direction of the discussion of future membership and not enough specific signals for ukraine at this summit. i hope that it will still be concrete from our partners that ukraine will become a member of nato, what ukraine will receive invitation you saw that two days ago , when tridu was here, he also signed a memorandum to m. and you give me a cap, in which it is stated that ukraine will become a member of nato as soon as

security conditions allow it, this is already more a specific story regarding our membership in nato, that is why i see quite positive dynamics, i hope that at the freedom summit you will see the specifics in the final stones, what about ukraine, let's talk about this specifics, what specific security guarantees for ukraine now does kyiv want, what is it about, for what period well, if we after all, we are talking about the guarantee of security, not about membership, that is , this is such an intermediate stage between our victory and membership. sanctions policy, and here we offer either such a framework agreement for multilateralism in which uh, which is such a basic document let's say this and which includes bilateral

agreements with various states that choose for themselves in what format they will cooperate or help ukraine uh, here it is with with these guarantees, someone can take on sanctions, someone can take on investments in the agricultural sector, someone can take on, for example , assistance with armaments or simply investments in ukraine, that is, financial assistance here too different countries will choose for themselves what format they more more suitable and if we are talking about the sanctions policy that you mentioned, will there be specific proposals for what we expect now from western partners, well, including in the matter of control over sanctions over compliance with sanctions, you know. now it is still not under the sanctions of the nuclear power industry, and they are still hesitating about diamonds, and well

, that is, there is room for pressure here, too. of course, there are problems , there are gray imports, there is circumvention and sanctions, and this is a separate problem that is being worked on by our partners in order to drive the russian federation and its economy deeper into the plinth, but there is room to move , i say, that is, here i think that we will work together with our partners on the risks of not being able to fulfill program at least, but i meant whether there is a consensus among the partners regarding these guarantees . can hungary, say, block the decision? and what are the other procedures to date except for consensus? that is, all countries have to say yes, but there are no day, there is still no

position of hungary against any guarantees to ukraine in one form or another. of course, such nuances are possible , but for today, i say, we do not see specifics from the side of hungary, the specifics , positive or negative. she is still taking such a silent position, let's hope for agreement on what you mentioned at the beginning about the fact that this will also be the issue of forcing ukraine's membership in nato, and actually they will talk about ukraine's prospects. some new tasks and actually what ukraine can count on in this context already after the meeting in paris, already after the vilnius summit, you know the issue here is not technical or the issue of reforms or the issue of fulfilled obligations, here the issue is political and

this is a political issue. is based more on uh, still the fears of some partners that ukraine in nato can bring a war to nato, this is absolutely nonsense, but you know this, unfortunately, a good result of the information work of the russian federation, which still intimidates some countries and when we let's prove with the example of the same baltic countries that the russian federation will not cross the border with nato, well, it will be more peaceful for our partners. i hope that we will push it, that is, here now the question lies exclusively in the political plane, because despite the war, we continue the reform in that including in the field of security and defense, and in many respects we are already implementing the reforms required by nato on our way to the european

union by implementing the same seven copenhagen conditions again, this is not a technical question, whether it is obligations or reforms , the question here is more political, if we are talking about the political aspect, which will now be discussed , is this not an alarming signal that a now was not invited to this meeting in paris ukraine is a format of a triangle that has existed since 1991, and i am absolutely confident in our partners who take an absolutely pro-ukrainian position, having especially poland on board this triangle, i have no doubt that our interests will be adequately advocated in fact, it is also poland, and i can see that and france has already changed its position, the more skeptical in this triangle is germany, but believe me, this year they have also changed

their position regarding our entry into nato, they will already discuss when and how it should take place there , not whether it is necessary at all, you mentioned information wars about information operations that will not leave the russian federation today in the swedish intelligence reported that russia is trying to prevent sweden from joining nato and according to the head of the must explain to the audience that this is exactly what the swedish intelligence of the russian federation is called uses various methods to prevent sweden from joining the north atlantic alliance. to what extent can russia today in general influence the expansion of the alliance, in particular through internal processes, political processes in other countries, how has its influence changed, its influence has decreased significantly, but i can't say that it has disappeared , that's how they lose in many ways, the information war in ukraine, first of all , because ukraine is now on the agenda

of all our partners and all the media, but still the influence remains, and i say this the best example of their successful information war is the intimidation of our partners that ukraine will bring a war to nato if it is invited there, so i think that they are still there, not that everything that works in the information space of sweden and our partners is effective, but as far as i understand in principle, this will not affect nato's decision regarding sweden, it will become the 32nd member of nato. well, yes , kiorya, you exceeded almost a year ago. nato recognized russia as the main threat, and in may of this year, reuters reported that at the alliance summit in vilnius, which we we say that the leaders of the bloc countries can conduct a secret document that details the response to the threats of the russian federation, and they detail the document and in general, during this year, when nato recognized russia as the main threat , how much has the practical policy

of nato towards russia been transformed, what does it manifest itself in? i would say that in practice, politics is not only in in relation to russia, in general, the approaches within nato have changed, and they, you know, have turned from a sleeping beauty into a good fellow, what is it called, that is, they have really increased their defense budgets, they have increased their defense budgets orders did not increase defense spending increase contingents move contingents closer to the borders of the eu to the eastern borders of nato and hold trainings develop different scenarios of response to various events, including the aggression of the russian federation against nato, such as the reaction to the eu to our joint counteroffensive, believe me, they understand , and they lay out different scenarios and work out different scenarios, and those words that say

that we will defend every inch of the nato country are the truth and they will they began to defend it with all available forces and means. thank you very much for joining yegor's broadcast in june, the people's deputy , the head of the permanent delegation of ukraine in the nato parliamentary assembly, was in direct contact with us, thank you. kakhovskaya hpp could withstand nuclear strikes , earthquakes. designed this was told by the director general of ukrhydroenergo ihor sirot, in his opinion, in order to blow up the kakhovka hpp, it was necessary to lay hundreds of kilograms of explosives, and in the places indicated by the consultants who design the dams, more in to an exclusive comment for svoboda life, the first question is about how the water level in the kakhov reservoir is decreasing and at what mark it can stop. please tell me yesterday at two o'clock in the afternoon at 2:00 p.m.

the mark was 9 m 10 cm. after that, all hydrological posts have already they didn’t work, most of all they sank into the mud and no longer give us, let’s say, true information. today we are going into other ways and i think until the end of the day to do the calculations and understand how the kahovsky reservoir is working and i think that by the end of the day we will already have approximate approximate data on how the kiv reservoir will work. well, we assume that somewhere around 4-5 cm per hour, that's why if from yesterday to today it was 9:10 yesterday, it means today somewhere around 8:20 somewhere like that mark most likely 8:20 830 today what is happening with the water supply to the crimea and how can the situation change in this case

the water supply to the crimea is not happening because the water in the kakhov storage is already much lower than the level needed to enter the the crimean canal, and therefore, most likely, water will not flow to crimea for at least a year under the condition of video occupation. we also will not be able to provide them with water in the first couple of days, as the destruction of the dam has affected or may affect other regions of ukraine, and which ones exactly. if you can name let's say that the dnipro region , zaporizhzhia, kherson region, mykolaiv region will suffer from water supply. approximately, we understand that these are four regions that will suffer from water supply, because we know that below

12.70, we called it the so-called dead zone the fences don't work, that's why today there are alternative solutions for not providing drinking water in the first place. well , and then for consumption, too , we understand correctly here, but to date , as far as we know, kryvyi rih has reserves for 1.5-2 months and the rest of the places that suffer from flooding .

to provide people with drinking water where it is impossible, they will be brought to the drinking water trucks and then they will work. and the fact that there was technological water, technical water is also necessary , can the kakhov reservoir be completely silted up and if so, what consequences can this have, we hope that some part will still be there is a dam left, and if it is at least 7 m, it will be better because then every centimeter, every meter, we will have to collect this water for months, and most likely we will be able to reach a certain level. after the winter flood of spring and this is another year, it is critical, what could be the worst situation when it falls to the mark ruslan dnipra, it is a mark of 3 m. of course, this will have a new fact for us that we will be able to fill this reservoir in the next folder

i understand the consequences for ecology. it will probably be critical as a consumer, because i am not an environmentalist. but of course, it seems to me that today we cannot imagine and we can definitely make miscalculations, because today it is called some numbers. there is someone in agriculture, someone, ecology, someone. it seems to me that the more accurate figures we will be able to give. well, let's say for infrastructure. of course, it will be in a month. for agriculture, let it be in 1.5 months for two, and for ecology. it is for ecology and for this region , is there a risk of explosions or destruction as a result of shelling of dams in other reservoirs of ukraine, you know what i heard and you and i saw that was blown up in the donetsk region. well, let's say

the reservoir is not of such a volume, of course blown up well, this once again proves that this is the practice used by the russian occupiers. somewhere larger the reservoir, somewhere i will reduce the reservoir, that they are beginning to intimidate us that they can do this with the kyiv dam or any other in our country. it is impossible to do it with a blow, because in order to destroy such a scale of destruction, to cause, as happened in kakhovka, it is necessary to lay explosives, and quite a lot, it is hundreds of kilograms of explosives, these are project calculations that kakhovska is it withstood a nuclear strike, therefore , it is not so easy to destroy it externally . well, considering that today, well, let's say that any missiles do not reach our air defense facility