[000:00:00;00] uh, in this, that is, according to you, they can blow up the titans, arrange just uh, well, another ecological disaster , which will obviously suffer not only ukraine, but also eastern europe, countries that are part of the uh, north atlantic alliance, well, roza vetrov there. such constructed in such a way that most likely they will not go to europe or towards russia or turkey, well, or they will go towards ukraine, that is, if it goes towards ukraine, even in the north, well, in the north of ukraine or in the west of ukraine, i think that it may not reach russia before that until the west but together, at the same time, it is extremely dangerous for ukraine and , first of all, for the population of crimea. i simply understand that russia now adopts such

a doctrine if if we lose something, then it’s better to let it go to no one, let them spend money there, restore something, try to get back on their feet, and we will do everything to make everything worse and harder, that is, russia is fully implementing tactics when they destroy, well, they actually destroy everything that is in ukraine and for the purpose of making it impossible to live on the territory of our state, and i understand that putin's statement to the military commissions that we will create a sanitary zone that would allow, as he said , to create a distance between ukraine and russia that would not allow ukrainians to reach our territory is related to this shelling what is happening in the east, now we see

the complete destruction of cities in the donetsk luhansk region, the complete destruction of villages located in the east of ukraine, they want to create, i understand, a multi-kilometer zone there will be a gray zone between ukraine and russia , i understand correctly, but what they understand is one thing, and what we understand is another. there are artillery data, then they are deeply mistaken, the same zone can be created on the territory of belgorod, er, bryansk , belgorod, voronezh regions, this is one thing, and the second is that they are going to destroy everything during the retreat, and we we forget

about such an organization as gazprom, there is already information in crimea that they are preparing for the evacuation of gazprom employees and their families. of the black sea region, no one even remotely knows it . i would like to go back to lukashenka , please, and ask you about the information that was broadcast on our tv channel, because valery sakharchyk, who is a member of the cabinet of those anuzkyi said that the self-proclaimed president of belarus, oleksandr lukashenko, was ready in december 22nd to issue an order to start an invasion of ukraine, but the soldiers serving in the belarusian army

refused to go to ukraine, and the kgb bodies , almost in full, as said mr. sakhatchyk, they spent almost a week in the army , blackmailed them, intimidated them, talked to the military, it did nothing, they reported to the top management that the belarusian army is not ready to conduct hostilities in ukraine, that is why the order was not given. do you have such information, general, because i know you have contacts in belarus , you know the situation in the army of the republic of belarus. i have information that such a situation occurred, but it was not er, i have no confirmation that it was them in that period er they had to come to the border, they had to be ready to cross the border, the dates were not determined, we just had to be ready and say yes, i am ready to fight with ukraine and mainly the majority of them, and they first conducted such a conditional

anonymous anonymous survey among officers and they were simply horrified because the vast majority of officers said that they were not ready to fight with ukraine, and after that, conditional intimidation began, a purge there, and uh , the vast majority of officers simply closed in on themselves, that is, they did not answer questions, they said that we did not understand about that all your orders will be carried out, but uh, against this background , it became clear that when crossing the border, the belarusian army may begin to surrender, uh, as prisoners , or simply return weapons against the regime before a decision was made to change the system now, well, after that there was an adjustment of personnel from one part to another, yes, i don’t know , dilution of a certain category of officers by representatives of law enforcement agencies, they

were directed in the army, i don’t know how much it is to give satisfaction and the same situation, the army officers were transferred to the law enforcement function in order to cover them up in some or other cases that are not very ethical stages, and the rest are some kind of beating there or pressure on the suspect and in this way they they actually want to connect the law enforcement agencies of these people who were smeared in those repressions with the pigtails of the publication for the economist mr. generals voiced three versions of the development of the war according to the west. so the first version is that ukraine makes a big breakthrough and returns a significant part of the territory in the east and develops, breaks the supply lines to crimea, the second is less losses for russia, but also the prospect of further defeats, and the third is a more gloomy result, a stalemate that will allow russia to get most of

what it captured, it will undermine trust approach to ukraine and will encourage putin, which of these three scenarios voiced by western journalists are you leaning towards, well, it is difficult to say, i am still shooting for the second one, but i am still shooting that it will not be that simple . there will be victories. well, they will not be as striking as the ones we are observing there we will have to prepare for a grueling war, but we will win, that's true, but for sure we will know everything only at the end of eh in october , probably like this, that is, what will we give eh with in october eh i would say even november ago that these are a few months of more or less normal weather, normal conditions and opportunities for an offensive, they should show themselves, and realistically, i will make

some plans after that. maybe then we will see the light at the end of the tunnel, so far there is no illumination there is a small forecast from the former president of france francois hollande, he says that the results of the conflict in ukraine will depend on the presidential elections of the united states of america in the 24th year , if trump is elected, he says and he will say we stop at this, the russians can to keep everything they have, the war is very expensive , he said in an interview with the fanenchel times , how much do you think the results of the us elections will affect the end of the russian-ukrainian war? well, i don't know. them, including the ukrainian diaspora. i was surprised by this. they are convinced that trump's rhetoric will change after the election and all the predictions

that he will surrender ukraine will not come true. i wouldn't be so carefree at trump's expense. however, there are caveats but understanding that the united states is still quite a powerful country and even despite the wishes of one or another president, there is a certain such scenario when there are well, there are certain safeguards in their political structure, and not always, the president can always radically change things some things, in particular, the same linguist, he is already signed , ratified, and it will be very difficult to stop his transfer of stolen equipment to ukraine. thank you, mr. generals, for the conversation. it was a major general

of the sbu in the reserve of the former deputy chairman security service of ukraine viktor yagun, we work live, friends, and for those who are now watching us live on youtube, please like this video, subscribe to our channel, and read our news on the espresso.tv website, we are working for you 24 hours a day 7 days a week, the most efficient information is available on our website, you can become a sponsor of our youtube channel by word of mouth, join our resources, we will thank you for this, i will say goodbye to you until the next program, we will have valeriy chalyy, a diplomat, so wait. goodbye

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euro-2024, ukraine-malta, 8:45 p.m., after the match , studio tv channel and youtube espresso we need victory welcome to the espresso channel our armed forces and defense forces continue counter-strike operations in the south and east and against this background a meeting was held in brussels of the contact group on the defense of ukraine in the rammstein format, it was announced that the pilots of the armed forces of ukraine will be trained on the f16, that the event will supply ukraine with a significant number of missiles for air defense systems, which are badly needed to repel enemy attacks, and it is also about the supply of a significant amount of ammunition and a certain amount of armored vehicles, including this what needs to be replaced after losses on the battlefield, according to the results of this meeting, us secretary of defense

lloyd austin said that thanks to the historic support of peoples from all over the world, ukraine has good opportunities to overcome the challenges that are still ahead, because according to him, the war is not a sprint amarathon, in turn, mark milley , the head of the committee of the chiefs of staff, said that it would be very premature to estimate how long ukraine's counteroffensive might take, taking into account the fact that russia has several hundreds of thousands of soldiers who are now entrenched along the front line, but he has assessed the situation as it is. a high price, in turn, our enemy is also preparing for a long war and is doing it in order to expand its own cooperation with the countries of the so-called axis of evil, which includes

north korea and iran, that is, iran is now again in the spotlight for a number of reasons, from the desire to master nuclear weapons to increasingly large-scale supply of strike drones to russia . carries ukraine and what methods oppose this hostile union, we will talk about this with our expert guests in our military program , my name is serhii zhoretskyi, the director of the information consulting company defense express, which, together with the espresso channel, strives to highlight the most relevant trends in the field of security and now to us ihora semigolos, director of the middle eastern studies center, joins in. ihora congratulations. i am glad to see. i hear

. i sincerely congratulate mr. sergey. to the audience and me, this situation, which now consists of publications with initiatives, real or not, regarding the conclusion of such a new agreement between the united states and iran, because at first part of the publication wrote that such an agreement is being prepared, it involves certain concessions from both sides, then iran in the material for bloomberg e denied that such negotiations with the united states are taking place. what is the meaning of these secret negotiations? because there was one such thing that interested me, that in the form of concessions, iran can conditionally speaking abandon plans to supply ballistic missiles to the russian federation, but this is such an additional touch, but in general, what does this

agreement have to do with it or not, where is the relationship between the united states and iran moving? in the year when president trump made the decision to withdraw from this and the nuclear agreement, the other partners of this agreement were persistently criticized by the political combination of america, and biden undertook to return to this agreement. but it is clear that it is impossible to return to that river in the same water, and it is clear that the process of collapse was slowed down due to the fact that the nuclear agreement gave iran the opportunity to expand in the middle east , it provided the opportunity for resources that they used not to improve the lives of their population, but to strengthen their capabilities, including defense capabilities well, obviously, the expansion to obtain the so-called neck up from

tehran to the mediterranean sea and so on is the main condition of the americans during all these negotiations, which lasted almost immediately after biden returned to power, the white house was a guarantee that iran would reduce, well, stop its expansion, yes , that is, a guarantee somewhere for the allies of the united states of america in the regions that you will use them to undermine their security, first of all, these are the gulf countries, well, of course israel by the way, the israelis are categorically opposed and they are such a joker in this game, they are constantly creating problems for the americans because they do not recognize any possible signed agreements and reserve the right to act as they see fit

if you want, based on your national interests, and it is obvious that this agreement ah, it finally stalled already in december , december, january, december, january 21, 22nd , then there was the last such direct round of negotiations, and after that in fact, we did not hear about it, there were discussions within the american team that it was necessary to stop all this , other experts said that it was necessary to continue , obviously, part of the negotiation team continued these contacts and such negotiations- consultations, you can call them and they continued to take place, including in some countries of the middle east, that is, yes, yes, i am listening, yes, i'm sorry, yes, and i think that the rumors about these talks about the possibility of reaching some kind of interim agreement are not groundless

, that is, something like that has arisen, the question is whether the iranians are not very satisfied with the fact that this information appeared publicly and, most likely, this either indicates that these negotiations failed or indicates that there are forces that want to undermine this process. that is, it is also, in my opinion, obvious, and in parallel, the united as you know, the united states of america has committed itself to return to the nuclear agreement, and in general to this agreement in their there in their contacts , the europeans, yes, the europeans put it forward as a condition , and this is also a circumstance that forces the americans to at least support such a certain level of negotiations. i think that for now we should talk about the possibility of reaching some kind of such an interim agreement for the sake of it, but the very fact that these negotiations are ongoing, the very fact

that contact is taking place, well, this indicates that the americans remain committed to diplomacy in the case of iran, yes, that is, i think that there is an excellent understanding, despite such loud statements that were made by austin blinkin at one time during a visit to the near east, that all options for solving the iranian problem are on the table, including military ones - the state department still gives the key priority to conducting secret diplomatic negotiations , which is, in principle, very characteristic of the american students at some stage. because when i asked about ballistic missiles, i understood that one way or another they should appear in the negotiations between the americans and the iranians, although it is with the secretary of the us security council, kirby unequivocally says that from the very beginning of hostilities, iran is on the side of the russian

federation, that this is such a large-scale defense partnership that harms ukraine, the region in the middle east, and the international community. then the question arises whether are there any ukrainian tracks in these negotiations? and in general, how then does iran perceive the war between ukraine and russia from its ideological preferences and its ideological orientations? i am ready to give an affirmative answer that during these negotiations there is a track recorded in ukrainian that this issue was discussed in detail . it is quite possible to assume that such a track exists . it would be logical during the negotiations because it could be written in a package. iranians really do not trust the americans very much. i do not think that they will be ready to take such steps as to limit cooperation with russia, since they now consider it one of the key

strategic partners. at the same time, we we know that at least macron held such negotiations with the iranians, and there almost all the time it was about ukraine, that is , even though besides the americans there are other important players, hmm, let's say european players who have pretty good relations with the iranians and the relations between the iranians and these relations uh, um, for the iranians, these relations are very important , and france is just ahead in this, and that's why it seems to me, in any case, it was just during these negotiations, uh, conversations about ukraine and about the supply of drones for the supply of missiles or not were, but

in any case, this topic is already publicly raised during the negotiations and discussed, and therefore i think that unlike the previous times when the ukrainians talked more about it, the commission was not created. how do you know the commission that was? well, it was never created about drones, and now this issue is already becoming, so to speak, obvious yes . that is, it is already being discussed at the level of negotiations at the highest level. continue to play their game and here they say they have a knack for internal attitude , of course the situation here is not so rainbow for the ruling radical group, which is connected to the body of the boarders of the islamic revolution, because a significant number of the population does not support, first of all, those

of them ties with russia, considering the past and past relations with russia, russia has several times acted as an aggressor in relation to iran and occupied iranian territories at one time, and in addition to this , there are many people inside iran who do not support this war, the very idea that iran is participating in the imperialist war, but so far one gets the impression that the circumstances have developed in such a way that the islamic revolution guards corps and those political forces affiliated with it have taken carte blanche, that is, they have no other options than to plunge further. the further the further, the more the issue of missiles well, so far it is not on the agenda, it is for various reasons, i think that it is too obvious the appearance of such iranian missiles, besides this, it is

another violation of the resolution of the un security council in the 15th year, it was forbidden to export any of these missiles. well, and import, so it can be said that the situation is ambiguous in iran itself, but in principle, these forces that are against aggression, against iran's participation in aggression, they cannot influence the ruling group er, that is, in fact, the delay there is complete . let’s say yes, the cancellation of the decision on the transfer of ballistic missiles there on the position of france or individual countries that are still trying to convince the russians to behave in an absolutely predictable way

, that is, in fact. one such dangerous factor is iran and nuclear weapons surrender on tuesday there was a statement to the leaders of rich money that iran is rapidly approaching the increase of enriched uranium reserves and the question arises whether this process is really happening rapidly enough and is iran hoping for help from the russian federation because a year ago there were strange claims that iran wants to get more stockpiles of nuclear materials there and for their use in nuclear power plants, including for processing into a weapons format. what process is happening with this, what are the consequences, what can be the results, there are various conflicting data, of course the israelis are the alarmists here, in this case they give more inflated

figures of uranium enrichment and say that er iran stands from er date of creation nuclear bombs are literally there for weeks and months. well, as of now, there are no data that would indicate that iran has accumulated a sufficient amount of enriched uranium in order to have a nuclear bomb. in general, i want to pay attention to the doctrine in fact, i have a doctrinaire who at one time spoke against the presence of nuclear weapons, that is, they are just based on the official iranian doctrine of the islamic revolution, they are speaking out against the presence of nuclear weapons, and i have the impression, of course, that the situation can change here, there can be no such unequivocal assessments but as of now

, they continue with this rather the threat of the bomb rather blackmail than er they want to get it in the end because er they can't exactly predict how the world will behave should continue with it yes, that is, what will happen after they carry out an explosion, well, this nuclear explosion, demonstrating the presence of their bomb, that is, what will happen in, and this circumstance, i think, to a large extent, determines their behavior, that is, they are shorter corro- rather consider it as a weapon of deterrence or a threat of deterrence than the self-development of a nuclear bomb, but the situation can change, the same as you see what is happening with putin, it can happen with er and raisi with others because they are all, in principle

, made from approximately the same dough and asked if does not russia push there de irando more such quick steps in order to achieve a greater imbalance around the world around nuclear weapons because again there the russians return there for the publication of kargan or literally a couple of days about what is there the weapon of god we are there we have to show the americans that we really have red lines there, we should not scare them and are these not parallel processes that in particular in the russian federation and you before they cannot be coordinated well, i do not know about the coordination of karaganov's article, of course and what is happening in iran. and it seems to me that this is just a name, some kind of budgetary processes that are taking place, but for sure i understand that it is not profitable for the americans to spend resources on two fronts, and that is why iran is using it, that is, it wants