[000:00:00;00] well, you talked about it in your first answers, and the experts in our studio often say that well, we are actually dependent on weapons of the west, and they, on the other hand, sometimes delay all these processes a little. at the same time , we saw an insufficient reaction to what happened in kakhovka after detonation of the hydroelectric power station, that's why we are asking what will happen if you need something else, that is, we need a nuclear one, so that we cover everyone here with nuclear dust, and then it will be clear to everyone, that is, i am talking about how dependent we are on what the west supplies us and what we still we are waiting to see if it is ours of our army, our professionalism, he will help us to do what we are doing, the plan depends on the ukrainian logistician there , which replenishment of ammunition is from our

partners, of course, they are dominant , because with such a scale of the war, we have gutted all of russia well, no, without supervision, no one would be enough. it’s just that all our reserves are already almost exhausted, so, in this sense, we are dependent, and on the other hand, they are dependent on us. if we lose, if we are not there , the chinese are also there very important observes whether they are impotent or not, whether there is something else there, it still moves, it is alive and beautiful, that's why uh, the pace is low uh , probably already now well, because i've seen a lot of state bodies, er, i guess we can announce it right away, er, how much it should be, so it should be obvious if something needs to be done about it. i think that it will simply be an operation of stages, some period of time somewhere . it will pass, it will be successful, at least it will be er- it

may not be completely successful there, but it will reach most of the tasks set will be understood after that at the event . oh, they will win . it is necessary to invest the victory in a run, to be standing next to the ukrainians who did all this, to be smeared , if. because they will probably be applied, as we can see from the pace there, probably september, october, not earlier . and by this time, a lot of wonderful events will already take place, and i think in 16 this is already the second counterattack of his question to this on this counteroffensive, see our team then, well, she knew that we have it with us, our problems , she again calculated, she knew about the price , well, our task is to win the war, because the command, if they did what we had to do, well, the question here is that the next contrast is what we created it, he will do it by means, this is already a question for our partners, they really want to show that the west is still worth something and that this game is not

to end this war, not just with some kind of truce, but to end this game with the fact that world came out with the best, then of course these deliveries must be accelerated, it must be started now so that it will arrive by mid -autumn and already in november, for example, somewhere there, october, uh, no, there will be rains, well, in short , there will be november and winter, so that there will be a second counteroffensive, that is correct. i understand what we have to convey to our viewers and ukrainian society in general. there is no need to expect that everything will happen in this context . metaphors yes to a patient who is terminally ill, we have these er medicines in the form of ammunition we will cut off little by little until they are finished and this patient well he is not so terminally ill yes but just how long will he last

this is already er the results of these pictures attacks. i think that there will be several operations, because in any case, well, constantly attack it and obviously wait for the vector of the attack. it is obvious if there is a back plan . what period it's hard to guess the time of this here, and you, yes, well, in general, i think that of course there will be a war , and it won't end in one stage, right now , we're gone. we 're endlessly advancing there until december. oh, vanga, carp, they are not baths. these are just obvious things at the moment of the direction. i have been saying since march that there are a lot of them there. well, because it is as if the military knows what they are doing there, yes, in the last four days, they are trying something, they are trying something , they are trying hard battles, that's why they they will try to distract our troops from the office , they are attacking , and there will be another operation. i think there will be another operation after our counteroffensive is successful.

there are still many of them, they will also be capable of some maneuvers, maybe we will have some more there somewhere, yes, look, we liberated the kharkiv region. we completely liberated the kherson region there , then they roasted a dozen of us there kilometers there in the donetsk region, it might as well be now, we will elect them there, and in the zaporizhzhia region, they will drive something there, even from the luhansk side, how many kilometers can it be there , that is, it is not a war. well, what can i say here, surgically, i don’t just mean well, we have to to expect that it would be like a two-sided battle, both sides 12 blows and it won’t happen so we are already advancing and everything is fine that they also have tricks of changing command somewhere they are learning but the important thing is that so far everything is going great thank you for your comments and analysis yevgeny karas, a nationalist, a soldier of the armed forces of ukraine, was with us on skype while we were adding our next guest. and i ask you to like us on the youtube channel if you watch this broadcast on great lviv on

youtube, it is important for us that this broadcast could be seen a larger number of people, you can also write a comment. from where you look at us, we will also be pleased to see it . well, in the end, what are your feelings in the whole information field in which we now live , says a lot about what can be something a provocation was made at the nuclear power plant in zaporozhye. what do you think or are you afraid of this? write it in the comments . it will be interesting to see your thoughts because we all live in this taras berezovets, we will join you in our conversation and let's start by analyzing what took place today on the chongar bridge, in your opinion, how important is this event and what consequences can it have in the context of what we all expect, we all expect our global victory, which

will definitely take place and be successful a counterattack that should become an important component of this victory. good evening. i would still like to start with the fact that there should not be excessive expectations involved in this ukrainian offensive. i don't know why it is called a contour offensive, because this offensive is an initiative on we have been keeping it on the battlefield since at least september 2022, when the kharkiv offensive began, then october, november, it was already the kherson offensive, finally, now the new thing is that the russians tried to storm us , this situation does not change, just as they had the counter-offensive is the answer to our two successful offensive operations, therefore, first of all, there is no labor offensive in the conditions of the current war, which is very reminiscent of the first world war, not even the second, but the first, because the so-called trench war in the trenches, which is now taking place, it is, in principle,

e does not provide for very fast offensive operations , the only exception from all this is really paradoxical is the nominal kharkiv operation, which lasted its main phase for only six days . including now we already understand that this will not happen again, the enemy has been preparing and preparing very seriously against and for three months he has been digging in and, er, every recapture of a settlement now comes at a very heavy price for us, and therefore this offensive operation can continue and most likely will continue even not until by the end of summer and by mid-autumn, we have at least five months of such a campaign here, secondly, it will not be fast, it will not be rapid , basically all promotion will take place approximately as it is now, of course we cannot to rule out force majeure, the russians may start fleeing at a certain point if their key strongholds are taken under control

, but for now our enemy must be recognized as ready ready for various scenarios they foresaw all this and in the end on that battlefield which we now have there, well, there is very little room for improvisation, but the ukrainian offensive with a large score that has not even started , we only have local offensive actions with the aim of finding the weak point of the enemy's position . that's all if you analyze our enemy. you you yourself say that they were preparing. well, this is obvious for all this time, and what is this preparation of theirs, that is, they stand even more in positions, they have some new weapon that they will use, they have a new tactic or, in general, a strategy, because reading there their public understanding that they have certain er-er certain misunderstandings or even scandals that arise and in the government between the ministry

of defense we understand that it is not easy. it all looks not easy and therefore er-er the last successful quick operation kharkiv was carried out when the enemy fought the personnel army from that moment. after this defeat, they started mobilizing and now they have mobilized so much that today there are about 350,000 russian servicemen on the territory of ukraine. they prepared carefully . they know how to build engineering structures, everything as the book says, and they had a lot of time in order to do this, the most important thing is that they managed to spy on our land and all the ways are possible, and what are the mines ? attack drones were developed, which was not the case even 6-9

months ago, plus the enemy had enough time to turn these mobilized, eternally frightened people who had just been taken away from their women and children into soldiers under fire, because while they were sitting in the trenches, they were actively targeted our artillery was working and that is why these are already shelled troops, these are not those who will flee there after the first shelling , and uh, we must say frankly that we are facing an experienced and very dangerous enemy , especially since he is in a defensive position in addition, they secured themselves by destroying the kakhov hpp er-er they secured in what sense that er-er now any state operation on the left banks of the kherson region is extremely unlikely if before that the enemy believed that there were high chances and there were definite signals that such an operation

can start now , it is very difficult to carry it out because everything is silt there and the dnipro has returned to its old river, and therefore it will be impossible to carry out any operation suddenly of the war, they are now considering their formations with bc and personnel, realizing that we now have means of impression that are far superior to what we had at the beginning of the war, and they move very quickly, pleasantly at night, as a rule, they move large groups . what is the downside of this work now? it is not a secret to destroy the land bridge that connects the rostov region with the occupied crimea, this is the goal of this offensive operation , it will be destroyed near mariupol, near berdyansk, or near the occupied crimea, this is it is important to carry out this main task. in addition, during the current operation, our team is watching very carefully how the enemy moves its reserves, this is also very

important information. that is, we see for us this information that we will receive with the help of intelligence, where there is a lot of valuable information about what the enemy considers to be the most dangerous rules and safe directions. and at the moment when they will move, they are the most vulnerable to our long-range artillery and missiles please tell me, this is what you are talking about. in the end, the occupiers do not hide the fact that they are currently in such a defensive phase, and they talk about it in their various propaganda resources. what do you think, well, it is a two -part question. to what extent do they potentially have the resources to try with defensive, to go on the offensive again, this is about weapons and people, and the second is the political decision, or how likely is it that they are there in some perspective and in which perspective will they try to translate the defensive phase into the next

answer, in principle, any historian the offensive operation begins when the counter-offensive begins when the offensive operation is silent, that is, when the offensive has failed, at this moment the counter-navigation begins, are they preparing their strikes ? undoubtedly, we can see it now, because in the kupim direction and in the elemensky area, where the enemy is now actively trying to organize their offensive actions they will not sit in an easy defense. this is not the enemy , again, this is what their military science teaches them , which they studied in their military colleges and in the academy of the general staff of the russian armed forces. er, according to their concept, they adhere to active defense. they will not sit and try to disturb us ; moreover, these attacks are their calling . do not give the opportunity to withdraw

combat units in order to throw them into a breakthrough with submissions and their e counteroffensive actions. it is heating up, on the one hand, it has not been so much in the information space for a long time, after all, president biden says that he sees the possibility that putin can use a tactical poison nuclear weapon, and at the same time there is a meeting of blinkin following the foaming china, you can connect these events together well, these events should not be connected . because there is no direct connection , america is now trying to level relations with china, which have reached the lowest point according to the estimates of the chinese foreign ministry - this is the lowest level american-chinese relations during the time of the famous warming

, which was started back in the distant 70s by the nixon administration. therefore, this is actually the lowest point in 50 years. in addition, for five years , high-level american officials have not visited the chinese, the first such visit , especially after such a high-profile scandal is not all good, they showed the replica of president biden , who addressed the phrase about the dictator zyzipin in all relations, but they understood that they should adhere to at least an armed but neutrality and not playing along now in those points where, er, their partners or so like russia are trying to increase the level of escalation , as for the increase in the level of the nuclear threat , it is absolutely real, this is clear and our sources also confirm this, the president of ukraine also spoke about this the other day, the question only in the fact that russia will use the detonation of one of the reactors of the zaporozhye nuclear power station or a tactical

nuclear charge. i think both are possible . in fact, they can use both the first option and the second. moreover, putin is preparing or maybe he already moved the nuclear tactical charges to the belarusians, although the information was that it was allegedly not. it is quite possible that they are already there, i do not rule out that they could have already been moved to the operational field of activity of the southern russian command , that the nuclear tactical charges are definitely there occupied crimea was told about this more than once, and that is why i think that putin has already prepared an order in case there is a breakthrough of the ukrainian armed forces, either to the donbass or to the occupied crimea, well, this can happen in the hall of this name and simply the russians will begin to flee in panic to the crimean perishivka at this moment, he used this order to strike precisely at the ukrainian military group, not at the civilian object , but precisely at our military who will

break through the russian front, how should ukrainians react to this information because it it really sounds from many experts that this can happen because, well, such a difficult reality that emerges from all this and that can affect their decision or really another event is the united states of america have any levers of influence to stop this, because i will tell you that the armed forces have already had cases when they issued e-e tablets against radiation danger to personnel, this has already happened and ordered officers to carry them with them at all times. we already had such a precedent last year, it is obvious that then there was information in intelligence. thank god that these pills were not needed, although we carried them for many, many months. how to act in this case is only in the hands of our allies . ukraine, of course, does not have means of influence

of such a level as to dissuade putin from the use of tactical nuclear weapons or the detonation of the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, but our allies have such leverage, including direct blackmail of putin, including that, for example, at one time he distributed a script about this and spoke to the general at a distance. so, if putin uses nuclear weapons at any level of tactical or strategic nato, he can he said he could destroy the black sea fleet of the russian federation as a show of punishment, that is , strike directly at post-war ships not in the city of sevastopol, but not at a post-war facility on land, namely, russian surface ships as a demonstrative punishment, i am sure that similar options are being worked out today by our allies. as we know from some sources, the threat to putin was proven , we do not know why it consists in the use of one or another option that the us

allies have already prepared besides, i am sure that the americans understand that not everyone in nato would support such a use of force , they leave the right of choice to themselves . this option of using nuclear weapons could be resorted to, for example, the same great britain, they have the right knives here, the only question is political will, and in this blackmail there is always from above, and whether putin will fall for this bluff, i think that if he believes that although b 10%, what they say to him may be true, this will stop him. thank you, taras berezovets, with a professional, difficult opinion, but we have to broadcast it because, really , we know very often, well, sometimes even during a full- scale invasion of the russian federation it is human nature that we want to be enchanted and we must understand that our enemy is still strong and indeed his nuclear

powers are not used in any way . i will respond to the comments you write in our chat on the youtube channel . thank you for being with us and you are active there. to volodymyr zelenskyi unfortunately, volodymyr zelenskyi does not come to journalists so often to communicate with them directly during live broadcasts, our broadcasts are designed to talk with experts, we do not invite random people , only those who can really express an opinion , if it is taras berezuvets, then he speaks his mind as a soldier, as a person, an analyst who can analyze what is happening, it means nothing, we do not want to scare anyone in any way, we don't need it either, we also

live here, why do we need it, you know, incitement with us is mark zheleznyak, a scientist at the institute of environmental radioactivity of fukushima university, chernobyl liquidator , a long-term expert of megate, we welcome you to our broadcast . be mining because the fact that there are mines there are experts already saying and confirming hmm what could it be tell me as a person who is definitely an expert in this matter well as experts i want to say that i am very angry today because i see how people are suffering from such wild horror stories. today i just read about our program that one of the most respected ukrainian channels, now we are the top 3, published such

news that a year ago some experts there said that there would be an accident on zaporizhia the zone that will be 10 times larger than it was in chernobyl and evocative and so on. well, this is complete delusion , in fact, how can you refer to any estimates because the fish of year-old estimates, first of all , the situation changed dramatically when a year ago of those blocks of the zaporizhzhia station, several blocks were working , i want you not to remember that the accident that happened at fokusivka station on the shores of the pacific ocean, it lost its energy capabilities for cooling the reactors, but these reactors were working, they were working at full capacity, and a year ago we also had six reactors

working. we have many three vectors working here . a completely different amount of radioactivity, and even this assessment of 10 black sea zones was incorrect a year ago , given by people who are not specialists, they are humanitarian education. what now what do we have now? a consortium of german, japanese and ukrainian specialists who carry out such calculations, and you probably saw the information that in the event of a major accident , pollution could reach even the shores of turkey, bulgaria, and so on, but not just one six units are not working now 5/2 units are in the cold and the reactor is in a cold facility and only it is hot, cold means that there are no thermal processes , the fuel is cooling, the fuel that is in

the reactor, and it is in the so-called hot main , this means that it er produces thermal energy there, there was a park for heating in winter , the city of energodar and other needs, but today an accident of such a scale that will affect a very large area is impossible. the maximum that can be . fortunately, this can be the territory of covered, let's say, a 10-kilometer zone, and at risk are the cities of uh, where are the energy donors of the cities of sowers, the stations that are located right next to the station there for km, the city of nikopoli and on the other side, but what is such an accident, an accident of the fokusym type - this is an accident without destroying itself suddenly er only a couple and a couple left er from this station. i want to note that everything is so very little known in ukraine

, not a single person died in us in such an accident focilyl people had fun there were evacuations er zone whose radiation safety standards were impossible for a long time. and now , 12 years have passed since this accident, and more than half of this zone will return, people have returned, so there is no need . of course , this is a nuisance, and as the president said , is there a risk? of this provocation. it can be such that the west is very sensitive as a population, as we have already said , to any pre-radiation if such , even small ones, will increase the pressure on the peoples of european countries, first of all on their state administration in order for ukraine

to start negotiations with the russians. now we have such a situation that we, the ukrainian army , are offered the body of the vasylki from five houses to vasilivka, 20 km from the consequences to the dnipro dniprovskyi, which is on the key road to energodar, another 60 and not the ukrainian army will not need to storm the administration just as it saw , knows the map, understands that the station is on the shore of the reservoir, as soon as the ukrainian armed forces enter the road that literally blocks the road to energodar, the russians will leave and there is one more a factor that still seems to me to work to ensure that there will be no accident at the station itself, this is the one that needs to be hammered. what are you, those reactors that are currently standing at the zaporizhzhia station, all the characters are the ruler, there are thousands of them here, er, not all characters work, not

only the majority modern nuclear reactors in russia are of soviet design, but also russia is building such raptors abroad as in the vr 1000 series, in such a field, 1200 if we take examples, they say that a nuclear power plant is being built around ukraine , the plant is already working, the fact is that it has been a long time in hungary, now russia i signed an agreement on the construction of a new unit of 1,200 e-e, planning will be a mystery if russia implements this reactor with weapons, it will put a draft on this reactor, so i believe that the risk of an accident, such a schedule, is not very great, but there is such a risk that there is also e-e from work it uses fuel, it is stored, it also needs cooling, and i, er, the russians may have plans, because i think that the plan is to make a small one, you

only radiation, first of all, nowhere from the urban impact on the population and not for psychological unfortunately, everything is possible. what you said is very important for us now. from the point of view of the military operation, conduct it qualitatively quickly and simply do not let the russians have time to implement these plans, because they are now starting to disperse such information in their public well, in the first place, we will broadcast it, but under the crossword that these are propagandist publics so that perhaps at the beginning of july, on the third of july, there will be an explosion, we just need to get them out of there as quickly as possible, and then and then we will be able to blow them out no less. i only want to call on ukrainians if inspections are already included . well, we say in the modern lexicon of hype. unfortunately , there will be a lot of people on

this issue in ukraine. e scale, unfortunately, now in ukraine , i mean no more ryza, a healthy population, direct military actions, shelling, etc. it can only affect the psychological situation. thank you, mark zheleznyak, a scientist at the institute of environmental radioactivity of focus university, chernobyl liquidator , a long-time expert of the mgt from japan, he spoke important words because there is really a lot of old people talking about it now, and we have heard that, unfortunately there are cities such as energodar , such as nikopol, which will obviously fall into the zone of very serious radiation, but what they said is that other countries and turkey are still subject to threat at least the expert says that it is