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tv   [untitled]    July 2, 2023 5:00am-5:31am EEST

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[000:00:00;00] valery zaluzhnoy, our commander-in-chief, that the counteroffensive is going slowly because the russians had time to gain a good foothold in the occupied territories. this is the first time that he said that it is difficult to carry out a counteroffensive because russia has not established itself. it is possible that our western partners delayed their support for a very long time , including decisions about tanks, well you know well, there is such a concept when we look back, we have ideal vision , that is, of course, we understand - we are beginning to understand that it was necessary to support uh, ukraine, and we use a more powerful weapon as quickly as possible, and from the very beginning, of course, all these decisions
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were made in the context of what was known at the time when they were taken in the context of what was happening on the battlefield and in the context of the analysis of a possible response from the russian side and we somehow ended up in this situation, but not by accident. were accepted yes, of course, i would like ukraine to receive tanks and planes much earlier, but we somehow ended up in the situation we are in now. and now we need to think about how to move forward, and i think that what i see is that ukraine will receive airplanes . when will there be or will there be trained dust? mr. dmytro, we thank you very much, dmytro abramosov, a blogger, a political observer from the united states of america, was in direct contact with us about the events in ukraine
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later in the night, the russians attacked ukraine with drones , the enemies launched chess, and from the south, the alarm sounded in most regions of ukraine and it was loud in kyiv region and mykolaiv region, air defense was operating there, according to the kyiv city military administration , all enemy targets were shot down in the airspace of the capital, and in addition, explosions were heard, and in zaporizhzhia , russians probably fired s-300 missiles around the city serhii boychuk joins our broadcast, the spokesman of the ukrainian volunteer army, mr. serhiy, good morning, serhiy. so we will redial you now, since there is no sound . and about what is happening. just now, we are talking about the alarm in kherson oblast, and i have just received a new card. we know that he has run away.
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alarms in kherson oblast yes, but of course we remember that the enemy is insidious and today we remembered what happened that night in kyiv oblast, the ppu system was working in mykolaiv oblast, an explosion was also heard. well, also according to operational information in odesa oblast let's talk and remember, we know, serhiy bratchuk is already in touch with us, we have established a connection, yes, serhiy, glory to ukraine, i hope the teacher's connection to the heroes, glory, please tell us about the operational situation, which information you have as of now well, first of all, we noted and our military spoke about it, that late in the evening the enemy brought out to the black sea , two submarine missile carriers took turns , changing their latitudes with one surface-to-surface eight-caliber missile, it is possible that the room has not changed, but this is always very often a sign of when
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submarines are appearing, what is possible? an attack with calibers. at the moment, we also have an air alarm signal. it sounded for 36 minutes at night, but thank god there was no shelling. and odesa, although at first they gave a missile threat , but still it was an attack by unpaid martyrs in other regions of our country , that's why we currently have 4-5 zero , our neighbors in the mykolaiv region worked absolutely correctly, the air defense systems worked, i hope that and i'm even sure that all air targets were hit we understand that the attack, let's talk about the martyrs, the day before, literally at night, another plane landed again in russia, borzeran, and you talked about the fact that previously it could be military cargo, and it was the shahids that were discussed somewhere, maybe this was just a sign that the enemy was preparing for the next drone attacks, by the way, the air force of ukraine, the armed forces of ukraine, mr. hnat, reported that what is this, that
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it may be related to the fact that the russian army is inventing some new and bad things, and soon there may be an attack from this night only uavs, as we understand it, so the south is also absolutely true, so far it was not about the fact that missiles were used, er , the alarm was sounded as a missile danger, but this is based on prejudice, and then fraudsters worked already in other regions to then negotiate with iran and with someone else and so on, they are transporting even more ammunition well, of course, the negotiations are going on in the morning, and as far as the development is concerned, we are already talking about not only kamikaze drones, there is also talk of mounted charges, respectively, because russia has a certain
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shortage of them, again, accumulation in that and we are talking about new tactics, because today the enemy uses not the greatest but the smallest opportunities to use the landscape, e. 100% especially for cheaters, that’s why you’re looking for small animals, it’s understandable , and the more success we have at the front, the enemy tries to attack on the ground or body regions, although long regions, it still sounds a bit conventional nowadays. can you to comment on the situation in the ports of odesa, today there was an absolutely clear message that russia has stopped processing cargo, not cargo, but cargo ships for entry, that is, they cannot now enter ukrainian ports, is this
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true, absolutely correct, since june 26, 29 applications have been received the address of the joint coordination center located in istanbul, the russians have completely blocked the work of this center, they are isolating this work and none of these applications from 29 of them was with a plus sign and was not resolved in the odesa neighborhoods, there are many more we are not talking about one out of hundreds of thousands of millions of tons of agro-industrial products, which we are obliged by international obligations under relevant international programs , including the president of ukraine, to rank among the poorest countries in the world, we are talking about the fact that russia continues to use this mechanism more actively now food famine in order to put pressure on ukraine, especially on our partners in the sense of supplying ukraine with weapons and other
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components for our ports, today they are actually blocked in this regard, ready to fulfillment of all duties is understandable, but last week only five students left the ports and we understand very well that against the background of these rates and what the grain initiative was , it is actually nothing, i will say again 29 applications since june 26, they have been blocked, none of them have been implemented , and so far, russia is thinking about what to do with this. well, we are actually thinking about how to establish and direct trade routes. but the main thing is security, as you said to mr. sergey, let's talk about security, but in odesa we know that directly in kherson oblast. i am now the liquidation of the consequences of the undermining of the kakhova hpp by the russians continues, but the result of this is also the events and safety measures in odesa, we know that it is forbidden to visit the beaches directly to swim because all this is coming down and the water is also ecology and
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of course the mine danger is certain whether people comply or understand or have heard you and in general, the security situation is related to this in odesa, well, i want to note that it is not a secret that immediately after the terrorist attack on the kakhovsky hpp, it is clear that here in odesa, the government is primarily regional the military administration of our honoree oleg the goalkeeper made all the appropriate decisions precisely from the point of view of safety and components to protect people excellent explosive threat to protect people from the epidemiological situation that could have developed can be gradually cleaned up you see nature and our hopes have come true nature itself takes some and conducts some measures for in order to clean the sea, it is no longer so fresh, that is , salinity - it returns gradually, but we are really talking about the fact that
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it is forbidden to swim in the sea, there are relevant infectious agents they are within the limits of the season, that is, within the limits of the norm, in fact , what happened last year , but this does not mean that you can go swimming . people are personally responsible. they actually pose a threat to the territorial community. unfortunately, there are representatives who still try to get into the water to swim and sunbathe. i don’t know how pleasant it is to do it in the water, which today is also characterized by an unpleasant smell and bloom. but nevertheless, people are trying to break these rules, unfortunately, regarding mines of explosive danger, taking into account the fact that the coast is being cleaned today from the garbage that still arrives on our shores, first the pyrotechnics go, first the military checks what might be there, you protect the utility workers from trouble eh for now that , thank god, we do not have any transitional
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cases, as i say once again , the epidemiological situation is fully controlled, and we are prepared in case of need to emphasize that god forbid that there will be eternal places in our hospitals and more than 2,000. if there is something there with infectious diseases, but at the moment the situation looks , well, as much as possible, as much as possible, because it is possible under these conditions, so well , we will say that it is worrying, but everything is fine. absolutely not the time for relaxation , tourism
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to more carefully monitor the observance of the curfew, well, regarding the curfew, it is in effect, who did not cancel it and is not going to cancel it. of course, there is a burden not only on the national police, but on all those structures that are engaged in the protection of public order, there are tourists, because excursions in the city people are interested in the history of ukrainian odesa, and it is good to have a rest , and you can do it in that coastal zone , unfortunately, you don’t usually have to count there, but what comes from information messages we see, for example, queues at the aquapark, and those that are active and the queues are huge, well, this speaks of the consciousness of citizens, first of all, that they will find swimming, after all , there are appropriate entertainment activities at the sea, but i want to emphasize that all of them clearly end at 10 p.m. the national police is also monitoring other structures, and let me remind you that this was the joint equipment of the regional military administration
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and the military command, that is, 22:00, full stop, you need to rest, you need to hold back because it is ongoing, that's why we don't have it so far, there have been no reports that there are any gross violations, what kind of medals are there? so i hope that in the future citizens will also be as conscious as possible . thank you very much, mr. serhiy, we wish you a calm and successful day. of the volunteer army in the south, we remind you that we will continue to work for you live , stay with us, the marathon, the only news , continues, ukraine, our native land, mother, god, father
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, sash, heavenly, bless, i go to destroy , let my hand be strong, mine will be clear let my will be steel hero of ukraine lord odesa heavenly bless us our holy revenge our holy victory the national police of ukraine explains the simple rules of online shopping buy and sell
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goods only on verified sites come by links sent by strangers do not enter payment card details on unfamiliar and suspicious platforms provide advantage after payment if fraudsters have managed to appropriate money from your account immediately contact the police on 102 i hardly sleep you can ask for help as i will think that i will have to tell again and worry about everything. or maybe it is my fault, but support is important. i need time to hug. good
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day, the help center is saved. we are close to the fifth 15th national marathon in ukraine. the only news is ongoing. we wish you all a good and peaceful day. keep up the work. the team of the channel we are ukraine ukraine will receive $890 million from the imf the board of directors of the fund has completed the first review of the expanded financing program for our country that the ukrainian authorities have made significant progress in fulfilling their obligations under difficult circumstances, kyiv has fulfilled all permanent and quantitative performance criteria as of the end of april in the international monetary fund also reminded that the extended financing mechanism was approved in march of this year, this mechanism is part of the overall
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support package of ukraine from partners and , in particular, a fund worth 115 billion billion dollars. the fund emphasizes that, despite the war , the economy of ukraine is more resilient than expected, teaching such a sum of money to of the budget itself. we heard that it is for the provision of social infrastructure in particular and not only of course, but does this mean that our economy becomes even more stable ? and what will we spend this money on? about 15% of the total funding that we received in this order and we lose signed at the end of march, we received the first tranche immediately 3
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billion, now it's a review, roughly speaking, what else is there, yes, 900 million initially movement we received approximately only 23-23.5 billion. that is, well, and according to this characteristic, well, it is approximately where 15-17% of the funding is, and in general, this will give from well, the time of the ave program - this is part of this general package with the ico-mission, and from the usa on 115 billion that you just mentioned, that is, it is from the imf. funding amounts are small here. the imf actually acts as such a financial coordinator, you can say that everything is okay with economic policy, everything is okay there, yes, with anti-corruption and politics, because the memoranda prescribe and structural beacons in in this area. well, there are some small technical and
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reforms in other areas of financing according to the principle that we spent the first months of the war on, that half of the budget we finance military expenses independently from tax revenue , the other half we finance all social and so on from the account of this external income i want mr. grigory to emphasize exactly what maria focused part of the question about the indicators of the ukrainian economy i the point is that the conclusion of the international of the monetary fund, which is precisely what causes the continuation of this program, it is said that domestic demand has stabilized in ukraine, and there is an expectation from the international monetary fund that gdp will grow within the limits of even 3% this year, they do not indicate from which negative number, but everything - after all, such growth is a positive signal, look at the macro forecast for real gdp, i don't remember
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the range before that, until the corridor, one and three percentages, i think it was 1% before that. it 's actually er, well, first of all, the movement looked at the macro forecasts with what it is related to the faster overcoming of the electricity deficit back in february, march, and also the national bank revised the forecast in the direction of growth where it seems to be up to two and a half percent from one percent before this, it was done by the ministry of economy. that is, it is a synchronous synchronous revision eh a little bit better side of the forecast for real gdp is to a greater extent connected with overcoming the problem of electricity shortages. and the funds that we will receive as a loan from this money, we understand that we will not need to give some funds
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some we take as a loan under which the maximum interest is, look honestly, i don’t follow the interest rates sdr-class well, in the financing of the imf and well, there is the european commission . usually these were the rates at which the countries that finance us, that is, conditionally, how much would it be now attracted funds there to germany , the usa, and to great britain and france . and only they finance us if well, i want, for example, the situation with this mtz with our europonds, which are actually defaulted there and not traded, and there, yes , it costs about 30-40 cents there for a dollar, that is, absolutely all the financing that we will now receive in a certain year can be called preferential or is it completely irreversible grant or is it exactly at non-market rates?
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tens of percent of us, no one is a creditor. well, to what extent. we understood the statements made by ursula fund roline, which spoke about 53 billion for ukraine in the next four years. this is a long-term loan at 0%, but there are many conditions for it which are related to ukrainian reforms, everything rests on the reforms. yes, mr. grigoriy, well, look at the reforms, it is tied to the reforms, well , if the memorandum is what macrochemes are, and therefore exactly, please note that many things were done there at the last moment, conditionally national the bank has published a strategy for foreign exchange policy that we will definitely return to, well, in a certain time horizon , we will remove currency restrictions on the movement of capital, those that critically need to be removed, and we will return to a floating exchange rate and remain committed to the same applies to inclusive credit. by the end of the year, a national
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income strategy must be approved on which the future of tax policy should be built. that is, all these things that concern absolutely everyone. after all, with the imf, regarding the matter of tax policy , they are preparing to return many e-e tax rates , rather pre-war taxes. what is your attitude as an economist to this process, well, in particular? the tax which of the two will be increased to 5%. so far, there is a serious discussion in the parliament
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, but still, no, look, the question is definitely increasing. because there are two and 5% it is not so a-a high really there , that is, let's say, i was forced into this opportunity to pay 2% at the very beginning of the war, especially large retail is tied to the impor, that is, yes , without it, the tax conditions are much better than they were to this and the questions well, i am clear that somehow well, this benefit it was probably in wartime , it was a little extra. and so they held out for more, that is, the rate will rise to 2%, you can return to or to 5% of the simplified system or if it is more than the limits of the simplified system and on the general
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taxation system, the question here is how much of this tax burden the question is that the business is afraid of tax audits is he afraid of undue pressure from the tax authorities? are fiscal authorities visible and this is exactly what the polls show that the main obstacles are seen by the business anyway. it is where corruption is there, yes, the problem is on the customs, and the problem is somewhere in the pressure of law enforcement agencies and the last meeting with the president, that is, all business comes yes and complains more about checks for any corruption risks than about, in this case, rates a-a , taxation rates a-a, inspections there well, so far , the situation is ok, they were allowed only for this under
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excise goods, financial services, and it seems gaming business, that is, for all other members of the simplified taxation system, the checks have not yet been returned. well, we have been monitoring from august 1 to august 1. the moratorium is still in effect. for now, it is planned for october 1. this is such news for small businesses. inspections are , er, that is, the inspection of cash registers is carried out now. and this is also, as you said . by the way, this is a really important point. how much, how and who will check the moment of corruption, this is one of the important things, mr. grigory, regarding the dollar exchange rate, because it is also an important and painful question for ukrainians, how will this figure change, taking into account the events in ukraine, what are your forecasts , see the first key indicator of reserves and taking into account and the imf trench
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, and this latest funding is now about 30, 39-40 billion dollars, roughly speaking, this is exactly 100%, the optimal level for us according to the imf criteria is slowly coming a certain currency currency liberalization is not for small, not for medium-sized businesses, but for large ones. well, all same-group business is the locomotive of the economy, and that is, yes, over time , there will be an opportunity to service corporate obligations abroad , service foreign loans, pay income on, well, dividends, to be paid by a foreign investor and all these things, well, they gradually appear, it is actually more important now than just the course itself, if we talk about the course, we can definitely see that cash is tied to the official one, and well, there are none at all
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reasons for some kind of spread to arise again, i.e. banks through three-month deposits and convertible deposits saturate the market with cash currency, and there is a lot of it, that is, roughly speaking, a quarter of a billion is sold every month by the banks , a net sale in order to maintain this one there, yes 37.1 37, 2 and in the dashboard of the exchangers on the account of whether there is now an opportunity to return to the floating exchange rate, well, in the nearest horizon, 3 months, so far, do not say if, well, even then, by the end of the year , there will be a return to the floating exchange rate on our the forecast is a corridor of 39, there is 141, there is no such high devaluation pressure, that is, there is definitely no such situation as there , sometimes, sometimes, reserves are growing, if we make a free market tomorrow, the exchange rate will be there at 32, for sure. this is impossible, that is, the whole balance is now he is holding on to very strict restrictions on the movement
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of capital, and restrictions on the movement of capital will be removed little by little in order to give the real sector a chance to service its obligations. well, little by little it will be the exchange rate will level off a little bit upwards, but it will not be almost, not imperceptibly, that is, roughly speaking, it is 36, there is another 57, the current one is 39 - it is the same, well, the level of the exchange rate , yes, mr. grigoriev, i asked you a question about the refund of the single tax from two to p you said that the decision has already been almost 100% approved. well, the decision of the verkhovna rada in the second reading is 239 votes in favor. and indeed, the tax can return from the first of august. but the signature of the president is still needed. here is a parallel with water tariffs
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how did it end? well, it's like that. remark more, that is, it may not happen yet. thank you for taking the time to talk with us. hryhoriy kuzurza, economist , ukraine , economist, outlok, more. post - this is you in the commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine valery zaluzhnyi noted that western countries would never launch an offensive without air superiority, but ukraine still has not received modern fighter jets, and ukraine, moving to offensive operations, should follow which nato doctrine, russian federations, isn't it your business? you have your own doctrine. you have tanks. you have guns. you have combat vehicles. you can do it.

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