[000:00:00;00] the live broadcast of the espresso tv channel continues and iryna koval has finished her week's summaries, information about ten people killed in lviv. during this week, well, yesterday, i would like to remind you, the enemy attacked liman in the donetsk region, and the number of dead and wounded as a result of the attack has increased. we are now talking about nine dead and wounded, up to 13 in general, in donetsk region, the russians killed ten residents yesterday, another one died in avdiyivka, such sad statistics in the east of our country, and certainly what unites us now and east and west and north and south is a common grief and longing for all those who died at the hands of the russian occupiers. by the way, the number of russian occupiers is decreasing in the direction of bakhmut and in some places they find themselves in traps

, reports colonel-general syriansky, we have success, the defense forces continue to advance and the enemy in some places finds himself in a trap, they note the excellent work of the ghost group of a separate presidential brigade named after hetman bohdan khmelnytskyi, do you remember by the way, you and i recently gathered on the radio of this presidential brigade for fighters who they turned to us, er, obviously the connection does its job and when it is good, the guys can work effectively to increase let's say this , their effectiveness at the front during the work of a sniper behind the field group of an enemy uav that also managed to shoot down and colonel-general syrskiy marks the defenders as well done well , now we will talk about the zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, despite the fact that the degree of tension is decreasing a

little. continues to mine the zaporizhzhya npp, they deliver to the territory of the station changes of soviet models and explosives in the technical premises and machine rooms , mini-explosive barriers are installed , which consist of remotely controlled and unguided anti-personnel mines of the directional type, representatives of agate, i would like to remind you that this mission is in rotation on a rotating basis is at the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant and inspected the coolers from the npp of additions, of course they were not allowed, namely on the roofs as reported by our scouts and the defense forces of ukraine, the russians and put some objects that could be explosive substances in contact with us serhiy mirnyi, an ecologist and an officer of the chernobyl radiation intelligence, mr. serhiy, i congratulate you glory to ukraine good day do we share the word yes do you share the opinion

that the horns around the terrorist attack probably planned by russia is already decreasing somewhat. i would say that, in fact, for specialists, the degree of tension has been high all the time since the seizure of the zaporizhzhia npp, er, it has been more than a year , and in fact, the consequences of the explosion are possible explosions, explosions, or accidents at the zaporizhzhya npp, they could have been significantly greater all the time the npp was operating. and now, when almost all of its power units are stopped, it is not a danger, but actually the consequences of a terrorist act of invaders are much less, and it is possible

to say that they are small compared to those that could have been, uh, been before, well, that’s how it has to be. we had to be ready for this all the time , and now we have to be ready. scenarios from the most so would say the best for us. well, here are the options for detonation. well, just to give, to give orientation for this, and look , in fact, there are already several cases in this war when the russians retreated very quickly.

facilities chernobyl nuclear power plant nuclear fuel storage spent nuclear fuel eh my gravediggers oh eh and eh and besides that they left from eh from kherson too why both there and there they were afraid of the environment and i am absolutely sure that in the case of zaporizhzhya the nuclear power plant operates, the ukrainian armed forces will remain the same, no one will fight there, no one will fire at it, but we will be built here in such a way that the russians will simply be forced to leave. well, at the same time, of course, they can do harm. let's now outline several options from the scenarios , let's remind that now the first , second, third, fourth and sixth power units are in the cold shutdown mode, this means that in the event of the destruction of let's say the power unit through

an explosion or something like that pollution will not be on such a scale as it was at the chernobyl nuclear power plant in the 80s . at the same time, the occupiers leave the fifth power unit in the hot shutdown mode, if i am not mistaken , and periodically make efforts to transfer the fourth and we talked to experts, they say that activating the operation of the reactor from a hot shutdown is faster than from a cold shutdown, so actually they can try to start another reactor in a hot shutdown now in order to maintain this degree of tension and leave the possibility to blow them up there

, for example. of ukraine and so on and so on. can we now calculate what the infection option will be in such a case? so, look here, we must clearly say that you are god. well, let's say it is at least somehow comparable to the chernobyl explosion. on the zaporizhzhia npp is impossible, it is impossible due to two reasons, there are reactors of a different type, of a much safer fukushima type, let's say so. well, to understand, you need to know that the chernobyl reactor was obsolete . it was easier and cheaper for them to build them in the soviet union. this is the second time. as you said correctly, all the power units, except, well, you can say

that practically all the power units are stopped at the zaporizhzhya npp, and it has been stopped for a long time already for a long time so there are really five well there are 6 power units in total five they are completely stopped uh and in such a condition that starting them up is a rather long technological procedure, well a relatively long technological procedure, it is not a matter of minutes even hours, but one and a cold hot stop, that is, it works at some very small power, but this power

can be raised to quite quickly. fukushima, which was significantly less than the ukrainian one, because the reactors were working there, and that's why the scale of emissions was there, and there were dangerous radioactive components in the event of an accident at the zaporizhia npp . of an important component as iodine why because the reactors are stopped uh where everything is long enough for the iodine that was built up during the operation of the reactor to completely disintegrate well, this reactor, which is currently operating at a low power, there is a meager power and there will be this iodine well, at all they get to the point a little bit, the experts say that and i share these opinions that it could be about contamination of the first few kilometers from the reactor. well

, it could really be a few kilometers from the reactor pollution that is dangerous for short-term stay of people, but on the other hand, i am also absolutely sure of this, a small increase in radiation can occur in the event of this accident, and it will be possible to measure it in europe, well, a small increase is an increase there by 20% to 50% , well, hardly anything twice as compared to the normal natural background, just radiation is easy to measure, but many devices are sensitive enough and so it will have an effect, this one, but uh, really, measures for such elimination, evacuation or persecution, this will apply well , first of all, kilometers in the worst case scenario well, for the first tens of kilometers there, if the russians somehow influence

the spent fuel storage, they are also at the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, or will the situation look somehow different in principle, it will be there, too, there is no iodine, it lies there longer, but here you understand, it is difficult to determine the scale because, er , we are dealing with the fantasy of sick people , you understand, and that is why the consequences to a certain extent depend on how exactly they will harm zaporizhzhia npp is the russians, but in any case, experts agree that it is quite difficult to blow up the power unit itself, it is quite well protected by very thick concrete walls, and it is difficult to destroy it from above, and it is not so easy to blow up the middle

but technologically, there is equipment there. that is, it is possible to damage some important communication lines that ensure its operation . well, even if we stop the reactor, stop it, because the beetroot is there even when it is not working, but everything is going on there, the background natural process of radioactive fission is very small valuable in comparison with uh, well, with the working capacities but everything is equal there , heat is released and, well, it needs to be cooled a little, mr. serhiy, lastly, when the chornobyl nuclear power plant and the surrounding territories were under occupation, many people talked about they say that the red forest is a distant practice of the occupiers occupying it and living in it, and so on. months later, after the liberation of these territories and the chernobyl zone in general, there were thoughts that this is a thesis about the red forest and there are

more occupiers in it. for the psychological impact and that they say there will be no serious health problems for the russians in connection with this, but the fact that they directly took away from the station, hmm , various artifacts, in fact, even some equipment and so on. this is much more dangerous for them a do we have any data maybe we are tracking are there traces of our 2022 model chernobyl walking around somewhere in russia so far. so far there is no such data. well, there is indeed , you said correctly, there were, er, were lost , stolen, lost, er, there are a number of high radio highly radioactive, among them there were calibrated samples for measuring instruments , they could also be very attractively packaged . so i absolutely admit that

the robbers could have taken them as a souvenir. well , god help them, what is it called? of radiation intelligence was in touch with us thank you and now we have a short pause on the air after which we will talk what's wrong with the russian problem that er, well, in fact, he is already worthless er in a few moments a little spasm and combispasm gastrocomfort 10% in pharmacies traveller, bandashkadku, it is always easier to get poisoned when ordinary water is not enough for adults and children , i recommend reo we will save ourselves with water reo reo water for special medical purposes two-in-one nailer, when used, it is not necessary to cut the nail and it is easy apply twice a day, it penetrates deeply, destroys, stops the reproduction of the fungus, brightens the color of the nail, it is a proven effectiveness, a noticeable result, convenient to use

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the sale price of only uah 399 call events the most important events events that are happening right now and affect our lives of course the news feed informs about them, but we don't know much about what is happening, we need to understand antin borkovsky and the invitation experts soberly evaluate the events and analyze them by modeling our near future that saturdays at 1:00 p.m. with a repeat at 10:00 p.m. studio event with anton borkovsky nayspresso every week saturday political club helps to understand the processes what is happening in ukraine and the world vitaly

portnikov host of espresso and invitation experts based on facts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow see saturday political club that on saturdays on espresso, the russian ruble falls below the bottom due to the fall of the national currency, the prices will rise, what do you think, for equipment and alcohol, and somewhere from samogonochka and boyarishnik are rubbing their hands in the russian thickets, eh, but really , we have to sort it out professionally and with professionals this is what we will do. and i am glad to welcome you to the studio oleg penzin, economist - member of the economic discussion club, olezhe. congratulations, glory to ukraine . glory to heroes. i am extremely glad to see what

is happening with the russian ruble. well, it is falling. and to be brief. and if you take a more serious look at this, mr. prigozhin's puppet mutiny , he played the role of a trigger, you know, which very seriously changed the stability that was extremely difficult to maintain by russian economists the problem is that russian business finally felt the extreme instability of the russian political system , that is, formally everything was as if, you know , there was a dictator, everything was predictable and then suddenly this colossus turned out to be on

clay feet, do you understand? is completely a gang of armed criminals was enough to shake this whole huge system. so wait, not sanctions are powerful, not restrictions . look, it's not the pressure of the world, but just a gang of bandits. you see it as a tautology. no, i will explain. what you are talking about created the undermined the russian economy from the middle, but the hook that started the avalanche was actually the processes that took place inside the russian federation at the political level, that is, you understand the independent limitations, the pressure of the world, it created a general deterioration of the conditions for the existence of business but you know, there is one that is probably not a very good comparison, if you throw a frog into a cauldron and start slowly raising the water, it

will boil there, it will not straighten up, but actually this was the situation when the temperature jumped very sharply and that frog in the form of a russian business finally it's clear that well, it's really hot , you have to run away actually eh, this is the situation today with russia accounts e-e the ruble tumbled and it continues to tumble, moreover, russian economists say well that this is actually the result of a sharp drop in export revenues and very large requirements for imports, so actually these are the general conditions that created the sanctions restrictions, only until a certain moment everyone seemed

to close eyes that well, that's temporary and now suddenly they understood no it's not temporary and the system is collapsing and uh, as it was written in russian economic publications, the russian government uh, after the beginning of that point, was able to do two things in order to protect moscow and themselves , dig up the federal highway and call lukashenko, that's all, that is, you understand what it is. for russian business and this process that is happening now and the fall of the ruble and a very large outflow of skilled labor and the flight of russian business outside the borders of the russian federation, all this is in a heap and it is exactly this process that we are actually very

interested but you and i have a good rule and we often apply it in discussions of the economic state of the russian federation, in particular, where it goes, it is truer where the fat will lose weight and the thin will die, and when we talk about the russian economy, we understand that there is a certain the margin of safety is still certain, there is a certain cushion that will allow them to hold on, what will be the development of events, that is , now to obtain and return the ruble exchange rate to a more or less adequate state, they will again throw in some of their reserves, right, er, well see the answer to this was given in the report of elvira na biolina, the head of the central bank of russia, at the st. petersburg economic forum. she said that the russian economy has reached a state where there are two directions of development, either to sharply reduce budget expenditures or to sharply increase taxes there is no other option

, that is, there are no internal sources in order to pay off the things that are happening in them today, that is, at the moment, well, imagine there is a huge pile of bills in the russian to the house regarding raising taxes on practically everything well, imagine they want to introduce a so-called military tax on e-cheques in restaurants and public catering establishments in the amount of one and a half percent, well, even about that . last year, it was difficult to imagine, nevertheless, we already have this a precedent, that is, at the moment, there are many factors that indicate that these internal reserves , which have been talked about repeatedly, are really being depleted every month. the russian federation is forced to sell up to 50 tons of gold in order to at least somehow preserve that

what is the balance? now the ruble has fallen. it is already said that these er, let's say, these revenues from the sale of gold are not enough, and one more moment, look, they get 80% of their petrodollars , or rather, they get oil from the sale of oil to two countries, china and india , yes. india increased its foreign trade turnover with the russian federation seven times , but the joke is that both india and china are not calculated in freely convertible currency, they are calculated in groups of india , china in yuan, and this is the currency of limited convertibility, uh, you can’t use it to pay, for example, for the purchase of shahids with iran, that’s why the russian federation is now starting to build a large highway in iran at the expense of russian budget funds, because otherwise they

can’t pay for the supply of shahids, so you can buy foreign goods in india i'm sorry, but this is definitely not what the russian federation needs today with china, the situation is a little better there , there is a fairly large volume of production of household appliances , but the problem is that household appliances the equipment that china produces for pop and that goes to russia - these are two completely different things , that is, everything that is protected by licenses and patents of european and american countries definitely does not go to the russian federation, because chinese companies that do this can lose the european and american market, so it goes in the russian federation, in terms of prices, it corresponds to western models, and in terms of quality - these are replicas, it is much worse both in terms of quality and service life, that is, in reality . what we are talking about now. this simply indicates the fact that the quality

of the domestic market has fallen sharply. well, there is no doubt that the drop in the ruble exchange rate also has a very serious impact on the incomes of russians . it currently produces absolutely nothing from household appliances it currently produces absolutely nothing related to high-tech , it all came from abroad, it all came in the form of components and finished products today this is a problem. well, oleg, we can’t help but say it about that message from the national bank, which cheered up many ukrainians. and you are deciphering it now. ukraine’s international reserves grew to almost 39 billion dollars as of june , which is the highest indicator in the entire history of independence . of ukraine , please tell me how this was achieved in such difficult circumstances, and the most important thing is the international reserves of our country. what can they be

used for and under what conditions? this is the largest amount in recent years. i am a little i will correct not for the entire history of ukraine for the last 11 years. see what's positive, what's negative, what's positive when we go back with you to the most difficult, in my opinion, year in the history of independent ukraine hmm i mean the 22nd year well, about this same time, somewhere in july. last year, foreign exchange reserves amounted to 23 billion dollars and they were rapidly decreasing, uh, now they are 39.5. this is really an extremely large amount, and uh, the positive thing is that the national bank of ukraine was able

to preserve foreign currency reserves, ugu was able to create conditions under which you and i absolutely do not feel any pressure on the hryvnia today, it can be freely exchanged at the normal rate and, in principle , at the moment there are already certain principles for the gradual removal of those currency restrictions that were introduced by the national bank of ukraine at the beginning of the active phase of hostilities in the 22nd year. that is, this is a positive. what is negative? a certain negative is that the main source of foreign currency inflows to ukraine is not ukrainian exports. and there is macro-financial assistance that we have today provided by our partners, well, i want to remind you that 18 billion euros from the european union, 9.9 billion dollars from the united states, it is true through the mechanism of the world bank guarantee, that is , there is no need to return anything there , ukraine has direct relations with other countries as

a sovereign. - and well, and certainly the program with the international monetary fund for 15 and a half billion dollars, but we just did not receive the second tranche of uh, 890 million dollars , they looked a little, uh, the memorandum there, plus or minus , they clarified some figures and gave absolutely everything absolutely everything can be done. that is, there there are no problems with the composition of the substances, that is, the negative is that ukraine immediately needs to restore its economic achievements and increase export income . thank you very much.