[000:00:00;00] live with ukraine russia has been actively redeploying troops to the ukrainian borders since the spring of 2021, they call it training , but certain invasions will not change everything at the end of october 2021, when we saw another way of accumulating troops , we had all the intelligence data, they were declassified and we were now able to share them , we were able to speak publicly at the beginning of november, we sounded the alarm about what russia is planning to do, experts in the field of intelligence are very reluctant to make public

specific information with such a large by the number of details because first of all you don't want your enemy to know exactly what you know and you don't want them to find out how you found out source protection is even more important than information protection although of course we all try to understand what other things are doing so nothing there's nothing new about it, but you don't want your opponent to know how much you know or what you don't know if you 've made certain things public. with this to do and

the recovery of the world economy, the main issues that the leaders of the g20 will discuss at the g20 summit in rome, president biden for the first time reveals to his intelligence colleagues ukraine, the saving of the planet, so they say about the meeting that is taking place at this moment in the scottish transport, a few days later, secretary of state linkin meets with the president of ukraine for the same purpose zelenskyi on the sidelines of the climate summit in glazu, we were only two meters away from each other . it was a difficult conversation. the politician has even shown fresh images of military equipment such urbanized satellite images show the location of russian forces, their numbers and weapons lebedinevich images have always been an important factor but never trust

only one fact governments will always seek confirmation you heard something and then look for another way to confirm that make sure it's really like that, for example you intercept a signal and then you want to get a picture or a person makes a report and then you try to use various sources to connect them and be more confident in your analysis if you have only one source it is usually not enough france and germany have the same satellite images but do not believe the apocalyptic predictions of the americans about what sharing intelligence data but what is going to happen did not talk about who is their sources or how they found out about it

, the intelligence methods were supposed to remain totally confidential, that is, there was information that they shared, but not all of it, and this also led to a certain skepticism, some americans also possessed other data that were precisely about the intentions of the kremlin, there are two ways to get this data: the first mole is sitting in the kremlin, that is, this is a person who is there and really works for the americans, of course, this is very likely, but in addition to this, we can talk about a large special operation in cyberspace that the americans had access to an incredible amount of secret of russian documents so what really mattered was that these data were extracted from the kremlin through human and technical data , and therefore they knew very precisely what

the russians were going to do, so be convincing enough and not say too much, drastically change their plans the chief american diplomat anthony blinken urgently flies to europe negotiations in kyiv , berlin and geneva regret what happened in the white house they do not want to be alone in the confrontation with russia they need a coalition with europe we wanted our european allies to join us in supporting ukraine in the supply of weapons and sheep or putin well, as you know some of them at that time maintained a very close relationship with putin and we wanted to make them wake up shan could never be called close but

they haven't been this bad since the cold war they spend a huge amount of resources time and money to strangle the shal embassy in moscow as soon as there is an opportunity they follow us everywhere we go listen to everything i say i always meant to have everything i say recorded by the fsb fsb i understood that i don't have private phone conversations . when i needed to have a conversation that i wanted to hide, i had to go to a special closed room in the embassy . macron schultz is certain to have good relations with putin. the french president talks for hours.

with him on the phone, putin behaves as usual, denies, accuses, avoids clarity they all had their relations with putin, of course, putin lied to them and said oh no, i am not going to invade and lavrov said that he is not going to invade and of course they did not want to believe because they did not want to face the prospect the war is on its doorstep from this house and less cut was the intelligence analysis always decided by the political power often these decisions go against what recommendations and data provided by the intelligence service it is very often possible that the second case when in the end the decision becomes

a political one, it contradicts the data , it is always the responsibility of the political authorities. in the place of ukraine, what would you believe in the most incredible scenario , like tanks going to kyiv, teacher, would you believe the countries that seem to have the most valuable communication with russia and say no, no, we do not believe in such a scenario, in the end, macron schulz decides to visit putin personally, but in order to get closer than 5 meters to him, the kremlin requires both of them to take covid tests, the schultz test brought from berlin is not satisfactory, both of them refuse contact with russian doctors. i think that president macron knew that

he was not a carrier of the virus, so there was none once, well, subject yourself to the test of two heads of state, do not accept someone without a medical test , you know very well that when you take a test, when you just drink a glass of water, you already get microparticles of the skin, enough to do genetic analysis if president macron refused to take this test, it was only because it was simply against the rules of protocol as it is well known to the trumpets of the srt that their relations with putin have never been so distant, this is part of putin's model of behavior, he tries to humiliate his interlocutors because he does not respect them look on the size of the table at which they

sat with macron when merkel came to him, he knew that she was afraid of dogs, so he let his dog out to scare her, this is part of his tactics aimed at put the interlocutors off balance and humiliate them pandemic putin will get into even the inner circle before talking to him goes through long isolation such whitney tests it gives rise to rumors that putin is seriously ill i will quote my friend bela burns director tsoi who said that putin's health is a problem in the fact that he is too healthy, putin has clowns or doppelgangers who appear at public events as a person who likes spy

novels, god, i hope so, but i have no reason to say that this is so, it is indisputable it would be exciting, quiet , ah, would i be stunned, yes, no, do i think so, i don’t know what is really in putin’s head , a limited number of people from his closest circle, a foreign leader with whom he has to share plans, have all the calls can i postpone the olympics and maybe stop putin's attack on ukraine when putin was sitting and i thought, what if they are going to attack, they will wait until the end of the olympic games because i would say don't spoil my olympics and putin

would definitely need tacit approval or at least the lack of resistance from china to do it and this is the time if it were for the olympic games i think they would have started earlier because in the end they waited for a rotten winter when there was no longer solid ground or secretly visits moscow and kyiv for the last time a little more than a month before the invasion of putin speaks via video link with zelensky face to face during that visit of white burns to moscow, he handed a personal letter to putin from biden and also a message and it was like this we know what you are doing we know what you are planning don't do

this will have extraordinary consequences, and then bill burst also visited kyiv and told zelensky that there was a threat to his life. and he also directly warned zelensky that the landing force would try to land directly at the airport of the guest house, that is, there was a sufficiently specific scenario that, as we know, came true, that before the war developed, there would be an offensive including kiev, there was a message about a possible attack by russia as early as next wednesday. and although we have heard such warnings not for the first time, and the kremlin called the warning hysteria , the situation has clearly escalated several times european countries e.e. intelligence services to ukraine cancels most of the airlines, the trunk is taken out first, family members leave , the americans are fundamentally wrong

about others and one mistake entails new analytics, certain ukrainians will give battle, but they will take kyiv no more than 72 hours, i don’t know who came up with it about three days, but this is just ridiculous , i was in kyiv two weeks before that , so the memories are fresh, the size of kyiv, how difficult it is to move there. even if there were no ukrainian troops there, russian troops would not would be able to surround and capture kyiv in three days - this is mathematically impossible ukraine and assuming that ukrainian troops will fight, civilians will fight i know a little about how it happens in the city , to clear a large building where people are defending themselves

, a battalion of hundreds of soldiers will be needed to clear, for example, at least part of the university and so when i understand okay they have a total of 130,000 troops three days it 's impossible mathematically impossible i don't know who came up with this analytics about three days who said that but obviously the analytical skills in he is even worse than the russians, zelensky will be kidnapped or killed, burns directly warns him about this, yes, of course, i thought it was quite possible, you know , the thought of invading czechoslovakia and what happened to the club was about the same military was constantly running through my head

force it was the warsaw pact, not the russian military and security services, about 200,000 troops of the warsaw pact who entered czechoslovakia went to prague, put him on a plane, sent him to moscow... slovakia then sent him to the east, he became someone like a forester, but if i were president zelenskyi or a close member of his family, this is probably the best i could hope for. the americans offer zelenskyi to take him to a safe place

, he will respond. sweet or something like that, they tried to ensure that the head of state was not killed when they offered zelensky to leave the country before the beginning of the invasion or immediately after, once they discussed plans with him in the evacuation before and after the partners again offered him to leave the country to evacuate the united states wanted to understand the succession in power, what will happen if he is killed, who will be the successor, who will be the legitimate leader of the time video, the question of who defeated the government was asked some of the government officials moved to lviv in case of the worst case scenario, the officials were supposed to be safe, they could not stay in kyiv for

security reasons, but he grew up refusing, sometimes angrily, to listen to offers to escape and was very persistent intending to remain shadows of the recent past unfortunate miscalculations lead analysts into a new trap learning run lessons the united states learned the wrong lessons from afghanistan and libya just left afghanistan and it was a disaster president ghani left the country and we simply assumed that with the russian invasion ukraine would fall we just have to make sure that zelenskyi is safe and we have to get him out of there completely wrong understanding that between afghanistan and ukraine there is a huge huge the difference is no comparison and i think that we were reacting to

our own ghosts and our own images and not to the reality in ukraine to believe that its art was really a modernized area i definitely overestimated the capabilities of russia i thought that they were much better in many ways and therefore for months i tried to understand why i was so wrong and now i understand that the depth of corruption has not disappeared and to what extent this corruption will affect everything from the quality of equipment to the quality of training and the actual number of troops. well, of course , i spent billions of rubles on modernization.

it seems to have started in 2007, and that's why, of course, i focused on modernization on all these new aircraft and new equipment, but in the end , people and processes are more important than the technology itself , and the partners are sending heavy defense weapons to ukraine; the united states said they were starting to dig trenches on the border with belarus. i remember andriy yarmak saying how a trench on the border with belarus would help against missiles flying from belarus and this an honest argument tells you that you will be under fire from the sky, everything will be so terrible, blah blah, but they do not give weapons that would be responsible for the duty to protect yourself here, too, it was sure

about understanding, he manages to fool almost everyone , he has the reputation of gentakd and the head of the fsb for the west, he is harsh and cynical but still a smart player putin can't be so irrational putin can't go astray come on now we've decided the russian federation is a criminal organization like the soprano clan only with nuclear weapons and the fact that putin was an agent of the kdb doesn't mean he was a good tdb agent doesn't mean he was extremely smart actually if you look at his career path no matter where he was he got to the top he was sent to where

they end up very average or below average kdb agents so i think everyone we think too highly of his intelligence, every article talked about a former ktb agent oh my god, what does he really know and by the way, i'm not saying that this guy is stupid, no, but they wrote about him as if he could play chess and walk on his head at the same time, obviously that it is not so it is at home that the subordinates are afraid of putin will i support or support so later the proposal informed putin and painted rainbow pictures for him that had nothing to do with reality my colleague wrote about

a survey conducted for the fsb in ukraine fsb claimed that the majority of people would welcome the russian invasion of course it was not so but the russian military had a parade uniform with them to take part in the parade, they took it with them to the war, they literally expected flowers for the parade, that everything would be very simple, that there would be no such opposition, ukrainians the soldiers with whom i spoke about this say that the russians were sometimes simply stunned by the fact that they generally met resistance to washington, where big was, so i think that they were expecting a scenario where everything was so foggy, the troops simply entered without a fight, and here they got something completely different. received opposition, they did not notice that ukraine has changed a lot and does not want

anything to do with russia. on february 17, president biden declares, according to their data, putin made a decision, the countdown ended on the 20th. president macron calls putin and tries to persuade him for another round of negotiations then ends the conversation with the phrase frankly i was going to play hockey i'm talking to you from the gym before training the great war is a little more than three days away we had an array of divorce data several rounds of negotiations unity in europe could we somehow avoid war not giving up russia vladimir

putin made a decision so many forces were involved all these arguments about not being a member of nato promise this promise this i think the united states tried to follow the path diplomacy, like other countries, including ukraine, but russia was closed for this, and the efforts did not yield results from the other side. i think it was important to go through these efforts , it is possible to try. it is important for the public to see that we are trying. it is important to show that putin is an aggressor. i think that this had little effect because it hindered many of russia's actions, such as the operations under a foreign flag that they were going to carry out today. there is zero trust in them so that they don't suddenly say that now no one

will believe them anymore, i mean that in the kremlin no longer who cannot be trusted, intelligence did not prevent the war in the dictator's head, everything was programmed into his last shot , he had been carrying it since 2008, from the beginning, he dismembered georgia, then due to pressure, crimea fell into donbas, and now it dragged on, but the crimean scenario did not work out for the world, simply not they left time for the stage of shock and denial, because everything was known in advance and now putin knows for sure if he is paranoid, it does not mean that he is not

being watched , every ukrainian has a yanukoron, the one who defends the country at the front, the one who has no right by mistake the one who shields people from the enemy who gave his life defending ukraine the story of the hero's feat will live forever because it is these heroes who create the future

, the future, the future of europe, the future of the whole world, the heroes of ukraine write the history of humanity for thousands of years ahead thank you, a year ago we received an official testimony that we have long been a part of the civilized european world , ukraine has become a candidate for eu membership, and this is only the first, albeit important, step towards full membership in the european union, so that to remain in place we are confidently moving towards the goal of establishing the rule of law through the total cleansing of the judicial system of the untouchables there is no more reducing the influence of oligarchs an effective anti-corruption program has been recognized by the world the effectiveness of anti-corruption bodies effective fin monitoring of the prevention of money laundering

strengthening of human rights and freedoms conditions for the development of independent media and dozens more laws that implementing the principles of the european union , there is still a lot of work to be done, and ukraine will pass this way , because we are creating a decent future for our children ukraine is europe, this is a program. my story. and i am anastasia daugulen. an interview about how ukrainians behave, what they feel. how they act during the great war. today, our conversation is not with ukrainians, but with a great friend of ukraine to lithuanian television journalists, andris

tapinos. greetings, mr. andres. andryush lithuanian journalist, host of several popular lithuanian television shows, one of the most influential and recognizable journalists in lithuania, at the beginning of the full-scale invasion of russia, became an active defender of ukraine in on may 22, andrew stabinas announced in lithuania a nationwide fund-raising for the purchase of the bayraktar combat drone for ukraine. this was the first international action of such a scale and direction. we turned to our ministry of defense and told them about the idea. they talked with the turkish manufacturer of drones and they gave the green light. they said ok. we will sell the byraktar to the lithuanian people through the ministry of defense if you raise 5 million euros that's how we started i gave three weeks for this