[000:00:00;00] well, there are three hundred wagnerites against the whole excuse me nato machines, uh, they look somehow, well, unconvincing and uncertain, so i think that the nato structures, uh , military intelligence, they are all very carefully monitoring this story and, well, they probably won’t give any, excuse me private military companies to do something significant with this part of the state border between lithuania and poland, yes, we heard that lithuania and poland are monitoring the situation of something significant, you say, well , they can't do it with such a number of such forces and if we talk again in the context of some provocations or some certain damage . well, what can the wagners do to this, or do you think they will somehow go into such a direct conflict with the nato countries, so that they

do not plan and do things there? i think that the nato military machine will find an adequate and absolute response to any provocations on this part of the state border. the fact is that this issue did not arise yesterday and not the day before yesterday. this corridor is a very important strategic point and are appropriate nato structures are monitoring the situation surrounding this story and are probably planning some actions in the event of an aggravated situation right there . i thank you for telling me about the situation surrounding the wagnerites displaced to belarus. this is the freedom of the morning

. my name is kateryna krecha. and further on in this stream. they could hit and who caused what damage and whether the traffic on this bridge is being restored . sanctions and the president of turkey hinted that he has already agreed with putin whether they will continue the black sea grain initiative . and most importantly, under what conditions will we understand further on the air. if you like our content in live broadcasts on important events, be sure to subscribe to the radio freedom channel , set the favorite and the bell so you don't miss anything, and be sure to write comments and ask your questions to the speakers of this

morning show about counteroffensive. forces and equipment, the new york times writes about this with reference to unnamed european and american officials. and according to the estimates of these officials, the ukrainian army lost in june about a fifth of the heavy weapons provided by the allies, after adjusting the strategy , the loss of equipment was reduced to 10%. now the armed forces of ukraine are focused on exhausting the russian forces with artillery and long-range missiles instead of constant assaults, according to the journalists of the new york times, this corresponds to the statement of general zaluzhnyi, the commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine, who stated that the increase of ukrainian indirect fire can both suppress the russian forces and reduce them to the minimum ukrainian losses of the analyst of the american institute the study of the war claims that the armed forces of ukraine can continue to adjust their strategy in the course of their counteroffensive to the use of heavy equipment by the armed forces of ukraine

resulted in large-scale mining of the territory of the russian army, the washington post writes about this, according to general zaluzhny, who gave an interview to the american army, even tanks and armored vehicles are vulnerable due to the density of mines and within the framework of a possible counteroffensive we are also discussing the topic of the crimean bridge and returning to the topic of the attack on crimean cities that happened at night railway traffic there has now been restored, a representative of the occupation authorities of crimea reports that the simferopol moscow train seems to have set off in the direction of the krasnodar region , and the russian operational headquarters of crimea said so, while the head of the occupation parliament of crimea , volodymyr konstantinov , called the attack on the crimean bridge a crime, i quote, from kyiv and demanded retribution from the minister of defense of russia , sergei shoigu, the ukrainian side has not commented on its involvement in what happened in the crimea, and the ukrainian pravda publication

, citing its sources, writes that the attack on the crimean bridge was a special operation of the security service of ukraine and the navy, and the publication notes that the city was attacked with the help of surface drones . i would like to remind you that earlier the deputy minister of defense of ukraine , hanna malyar, officially admitted that the attack on the crimean bridge that took place in october last year was carried out by the armed forces of ukraine, but in an interview with the washington post, the commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine, valery zaluzhnyi, said that no one would stop him from returning crimea . about what is a lullaby for the occupiers - this is also a quote that is already being prepared, this statement is from yesterday and it was written by the commander of the ground forces of ukraine oleksandr syrskyi in his telegram channel, well, it is a coincidence - is it or not, and we can discuss it further

, military expert roman svitan pilot joins our broadcast designer and colonel of the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine. welcome, mr. roman, to our broadcast . this is the news of the morning, and viewers are asking for details, well, they are probably expressing themselves. what could have caused the damage to the crimean bridge? can you tell your versions so say really what they could have done who could have done it and in your opinion is it possible to understand whether the damage is significant i wish you good health, this is again the joint work of the sbu of the kid and the navy of ukraine , they are in such a tandem that they have already carried out several attacks by drones with surface drones in the sevastopol bay and ships are standing in riga and it seems that and this is also a joint attack a-a kia footage that is

er surface-level detonation of some kind of device it's not a missile strike, it's the second one, the character of the other one, it turns out, and it's an underwater strike , and the surface moss makes only an underwater unmanned aerial vehicle, we have these lysera drones. about 100-200 kg of explosives, one lister somewhere, and more likely there were two lists, as they were then launched in pairs, launched by each other . yes, not each other, they look at each other, they lead each other. er, the piers of the bridge are not damaged , most likely, at least one span the span fell down, which means that the second span had to be moved. if one span goes away, let's say, it moves with its own weight and the connection with the second span. therefore, it is possible

to say that two spans of the bridge are damaged . you see, it is interesting because the russian telegram channels wrote about at least two explosions, well, this version coincides, so to speak, and ms. natalya gumenyuk in a comment for svoboda early, when we asked about this situation around the bridge, she also noted an interesting moment that is unprecedented security measures around the crimean bridge, but anyway hmm, the russian forces missed something. what was flying, you say, it’s more likely drones . and how does this happen in general ? how does the russian side protect the city? air defense systems are working. which services are involved in this and how could this happen?

what you didn't miss is that it works constantly , that is, 24/7. and here are the nominal services of land and surface services. that's why the attack will be successful, let's say sea drones are more successful than air targets since the locator works constantly air targets are good from them when approaching the crimean bridge from any side, any missile would not be suitable if it is not of the ballistic type, we will attack it, we will see it a few hundred kilometers later, they may not work. that's exactly what there was no information about the operation of the anti-aircraft defense. and since uh, it worked 100% , that is, the anti-aircraft defense definitely saw me , lol, the flying target and eh i would have shot myself rockets would not explode in two pieces, 5 in dependence. let go of the rocket up to 10, then it would be a barrage of explosions at once and there was no air attack, that is , the only version that remains this

time of an unmanned drone that we have already seen several times, that is, we have this drone on combat duty, there are questions related to its management, here each service takes it upon itself , it is permissible if it is the sbu that controls the drone, then the sbu, of course, with the correction of the navy naval forces of ukraine, and if this is the gur's main intelligence agency, they mainly work at long distances, they can take over this agency and already intercept the control of drones , then let's say it can work there in the region of turkey. all the same, the sbu and that’s what the information that is now uh-uh that’s exactly what it is sea drones in pairs ot worked under the control of the sbu in pairs of the ministry of internal affairs most likely on and it’s uh-uh reality you see the ukrainian truth from the link to your source

pointed out that the security service of ukraine and the ministry of internal affairs have a relationship with this, you say, and also about the fact that these are the ukrainian forces. and tell me from a military point of view, what explains the fact that the ukrainian side does not recognize mr. budanov said that, well, who knows him there, what is in russia yes, that is, there is no such definitive recognition that it is the ukrainian forces, why is this happening , and another point, isn’t the informational position of the occupying forces of crimea so proactive , which, well, they discover that they report step by step what is happening? the damage happened, they admit it because we remember the moments and times when you know there was no such recognition that something happened, but now there is such an active information activity on the part of the self-occupying authorities of crimea, and the point is that it is impossible to hide to hide something then they wouldn't have come up with some kind of fairy tale and told

it, it would have amused the lore to the ears. then it will come out immediately outside, because they don’t do it anymore, they asked at first, and now they stopped doing it. they float on the information waves of topics that are already created by people who are at the scene of the incident, or at least they were at the scene of the incident, because the russian side is here behaves logically in principle. well, ours also behave logically. the point is that the longer you do not recognize any action, the greater the enemy. well, at least not with 100% confidence. who did it ? some kind of internal showdown begins they begin to search, er, move, this movement, in the end, the enemy is already on the move, because it is very correct, competently

, somewhere such things need to be recognized. in this sense, uh, later, yes, later, let’s clarify about the damage, how is it from the damage to the bridge? it may affect the military supply of the russian forces , taking into account the fact that already during this broadcast there is a statement from the occupying forces that the railway connection is already working i.e. the trains are already running. and this means that the russian forces can probably continue to supply ammunition to their forces on the russian-ukrainian front via the krymsky bridge. about 30% of all military ammunition went through the krymsky bridge , with about 20% via the railway bridge and 10% via the road the railway bridge has not yet been damaged, and these 20% will remain due to the automobile osokolo 10%, now minus the empire - this will redistribute the movement of military military cargo or the search

for a parallel corridor, this is a plus, somewhere half a 1000 km, if not more, if not 1,000 if not it is permissible to count up to orekhov from that gesture. that is, uh, at least 10% of the military production we have now delayed somewhere, maybe for a week and a half, because for the time being these cargoes will all be redistributed until they start moving along new routes and there is a window of opportunity and for successful combat tasks in the kherson and zaporizhzhia directions precisely for this purpose and this bridge is being destroyed . automotive miracle, the global situation is within the framework of the counteroffensive. surely, such actions and such strikes on the crimean bridge are looming, and taking into account the figures. as you said, the percentages of the refueling of the russian forces that continued through the kerch bridge continue. and if we talk about the strategy that the ukrainian military

adjusted for the offensive the strategy to reduce the loss of manpower and equipment is the exhaustion of missiles and artillery, and how long-term this story is from the ukrainian side precisely from the point of view of the number of these missiles and of this artillery, for example, about the fact that the usa is running out of ammunition in its own reserves and it will take years, not months, to replenish them through aid to ukraine , the national security adviser of the usa stated this , because iksalivan stated that this is the strategy of hitting the enemy how long-term it is, so to speak, taking into account all these problems, including the supply of weapons , the military often tell us that there are indeed many weapons on the russian side, a lot of artillery, well, not so on the ukrainian side many of these means are not a secret. well, when politicians start to throw the topic into the information fields that we need something

, it is most likely that some budget process is ahead, where it is necessary to justify large figures for purchases, let's say military production, that is, this is a normal process and when it is brought to the informational plane , it is necessary to understand it correctly so that those figures requested by the politicians, er , they were confirmed by the congress, er, later, this is not a problem for the ukrainian er, troops, this is a question financing of internal financing from the united states of america is no more , moreover, they are afraid that we will be left without ammunition there . on the contrary, we will have more of them. what is the fact that we now have a certain shortage of ammunition

, there is never a lot of such weapons? in order to increase or request an increase in the number of artillery shells, or by some means, we are affected because of this direct dependence on broadcasts and supplies , and we don’t have it. they are less, that is, well, there is an opportunity to deliver a blow, and a blow to the bridge, that’s what else is good, even this one is eh . let it be, eh, a little bit symbolic, i would say so. the blow against those traitors is now starting to push through again the idea to give krym donbas for some mats for joining nato for something else for the cessation of hostilities for for some transfers that is, this already puts

such a large point on all these conversations they saw in ukrainian bridge and across crimea we will beat and we will liberate him, uh, this also applies to crimea and donbass , but uh, traitors should be engaged in the counter-tsvetka of the sbu, the kid, by the way . this is just how they are showing their work. you will decide on the zelensky bridge so that it is completely it stopped functioning, could it be in the plans of the ukrainian forces, is it necessary to use the railway bridge, the railway bridge can be reached by rockets, mainly by rockets, that is, two or three rockets, e-e , such as storm schedu or scout edge eh, we will attack up to a dozen rockets because there would be less and

supplies anyway, that is, well, without a stock in the rocket in the attack, or 225 kg, too , which is already twice as much eh, and in gromov , ours is under half a ton, that is, a small amount rockets that will come along the railway bridge will put a cross on it well, i think avtomobilny most dobyom a-a dobyut e-e our forces forces e-e ukrainian voorujyonnye dobyut в конце console to the end already thank you for this inclusion for your analysis roman svitan military expert pilot-designer and colonel of the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine was a guest of our broadcast we talked about the situation around the crimean bridge, about the level of damage, what it can affect, and actually what means are needed for the complete destruction of the bridge , this is morning freedom on the svoboda radio channel. don't miss important live broadcasts on this channel, let's talk about the situation with

the grain agreement the day before, the last ship with food from ukraine left the port of odesa, which set out as part of the black sea grain initiative . this is reported by the rogers agency. whether they will continue the grain agreement is still unknown, the russian side does not give a clear answer to this question, but russian official sources reported that president putin had a telephone conversation with the president of the south african republic, ramofosu announced the non-fulfillment of part of the agreements between russia and the un, namely the removal of obstacles to the export of russian food and fertilizers, saying that the main goal of the agreement, namely the supply of grain to countries that need it , particularly on the african continent , has not been implemented, according to putin of turkey erdoğan also made a statement on this matter , which was broadcast by most of the media as an alleged confirmation that putin agreed to extend the grain agreement. we are preparing to welcome

putin to turkey in august and agree about the continuation of the black sea grain corridor in the usa, meanwhile, it has already been emphasized that the document will not be extended, that if the document is not passed, then russia will not face major diplomatic losses, this is a quote from the national security adviser of the us president, jake sallion, which he made in an interview with the cbs channel on the importance the continuation of the document was also emphasized by us secretary of state anthony blinking, russia's aggressive war against ukraine continues to harm not only ukrainians , but people throughout the region. it is extremely important that we continue and expand the black sea an initiative that russia is again threatening to end on july 18 if moscow carries out its threat to ukraine, which is developing , including in the region, will pay a price for this, including, in the literal sense, an increase in food prices, as well as an increase in the food deficit, the secretary general of the code antonio otelish this week sent a letter to putin about the continuation of the agreement and it talks about

support for the removal of obstacles to the export of fertilizers, which moscow complained about, but what about the need to continue the grain agreement . on july 13, in his address, he said and president volodymyr zelenskyi about this. i would like to remind you that due to russia's large-scale incursions into ukraine, the operation of sea ports was blocked, with the mediation of turkey and the un, the so-called grain agreement was signed , which guarantees the opening of a corridor in the black sea for ships carrying food from ukraine. ukraine and russia do not sign bilateral agreements with each other. it is ukraine and russia that are one of the largest exporters of grains , so we will talk about the options for the development of these there may be events serhii fursari investment banker joined the freedom of the morning i welcome you mr. serhii to our broadcast and i would like to immediately ask what are your forecasts whether russia will extend this agreement and in

your opinion, if so, under what conditions congratulations, well, this is the question i have there is no answer. we have to get into putin's head. and we know that this is a very dark subject. that's why it may or may not work, all the more so because we have experience and last year, when the russians said in the fall that the agreement was over, yaftagan said no, the agreement is not. ended and the russians were forced to admit that yes, it is not over, so let's see now, it is difficult to say what they will do, how they can do it, it is difficult to say, but in your opinion, what they supposedly agree is that something should be done with russia's demands, and can such a position be antonia otelisha's really influence the fact that the russian positions will be strengthened in these agreements. see if the un agrees that this is a matter of sanctions from the eu and the eu was apparently ready to go to the meeting to

release the daughter of special pressure rossilvasbank is there specifically, a financial institution that ensures the export of russian fertilizers and e-e agricultural products, therefore, theoretically, theoretically, again. if there is progress and this daughter of the bank is resolved , the specialists will withdraw, perhaps the russians will say that their conditions have been fulfilled, and we will receive an extension of the agreement, even with the consent of russia and in your opinion and what is the role of the budget and its portuguese, why did they look like that right now , as if he was sure that the agreement was continuing, and in the meantime , doubts arise again because, well, traditionally, it is already day the end of the agreement and no one understands what will happen next, he does something. i don't know why he says this or that, but the role of turkey is key and turkey receives many bonuses as a mediator, plus it increases its diplomatic status due to this, because of this

, it is an outlet for grain wagons of grain the agreement is also very beneficial in ukraine, the only one who did not benefit from it was putin, and since how many years and a half has it been in effect for almost a year. what can to count on russia when you say that it has been there for the past one and a half years, in fact it is not profitable for it, however, it somehow fulfilled this demand, it may not always be there how is this agreement not always as it should have been, not always as expected and partners but nevertheless, again, i can’t get into putin’s head, but i think that what prompted russia to sign the grain agreement were the allies it has left: china, india, for which it was very important to stabilize prices on the food market, and other countries have one and a half millionaire population and actively buy

agricultural products on the foreign market for them. it is important that the prices there remain at a low level and african countries with which putin is actively flirting, which are actually very sensitive to the dynamics of those in the market of agricultural raw materials , and it is these parties that could force putin to sign the grain mr. serhiy in one of the interviews i think you said that the grain agreement is important for the economy of ukraine, but if it doesn't happen , it won't affect the life of the average ukrainian , can you explain ? last year, we had an unstable situation that affected the lives of farmers in our country. on the foreign exchange market, when the grain agreement was launched and agricultural exports started, it contributed to the stabilization of the hryvnia exchange rate. now the hryvnia exchange rate is very stable. in fact, even if a part of agricultural exports does not go, it is unlikely that anything threatens the exchange rate of the hryvnia. they are from the bank, there are record

reserves. and actually there is no pressure on the hryvnia right now , plus you have to understand that now we are much less dependent on sea ports in terms of agricultural exports, because today thanks to the development of the river infrastructure thanks to the development of the infrastructure on the western border already 70% of the future is impressive, we can export not through sea ports. thus, the grain agreement accounts for only 30% of the harvest that can get stuck in ukraine. it was painful for agricultural producers, it was just painful for people who are busy teaching military economics it is precisely in this business that incomes may not be calculated in part, but in general i will provide an average ukrainian - it will not affect in any way. and this whole story can be affected by the actual grain agreement about it natalya humenyuk, the spokeswoman for the south, it is stated in the comment that this can be used by russia as an argument regarding

the grain agreement. in your opinion , how does the situation at the front affect these agreements regarding the operation of the grain agreement? look, there are reasons and there are devices, but what caused the breakdown will definitely not happen again . and what will the russians use as an excuse? well , if there was no bridge, they would have used something else , that is, in your opinion, this is simply a search for arguments in order to achieve their goal but tell me if it is not beneficial for russia, if it does not want, then why. it just won't stop because they are pressuring it. well, firstly, because they are pressuring, and secondly, because they can really want to win something there. what did the americans say about the diplomatic losses that the russians will suffer if they due to their fault, the grain harvest will stop and there will be no continuation because it will be painfully unpleasant for african countries because india can react nervously to china and this

was the main motivator a year ago and this is actually remains the main motivator this year, plus there is such a moment that if the russians come out theoretically, turkey can say that not everything is equal, uh, we remain in the grain agreement , it will last longer and transport this grain with its ships. and in fact, then russia will be humiliated that she just can't do anything about it, they were there before now, bombylo , snake island, showed their strength that they can do something. but again, this is the turkish fleet and the russian fleet, they are not comparable in power, but they attack the turkish ships if the russians do not, i am not yet sure that the turks can dare to do such a thing, that they will definitely go for it, but the possibility of such a scenario exists and the russians cannot rule it out . the parties are actually what the situation will be. analyzed on our broadcast

by investment banker serhiy fursa. thank you for your participation, this is freedom early every weekday from 9:00 a.m. here on youtube on the radio svoboda channel and also on the espresso tv channel. watch live what is happening in the country, everything related to ukraine, we tell you everything that is happening at the front, we analyze it, so join in, don't miss the live broadcasts here on this channel, i'm katya nekrecha and the whole svoboda ranok team, i wish you a peaceful