[000:00:00;00] later on, the military campaign of zbigovytka bandits is a military company, i would call it. so, this is an organized criminal group, and with heavy weapons, well, again, where is it? actually, private military companies that had aircraft in their arsenal, in fact, we can talk further about heavy weapons after the mutiny of the beauties in them in the command center wagner, allegedly, as the russian claims, as the kremlin claims, they took the heavy equipment and handed it over to the guards, although it is not known why internal troops, for example, need heavy equipment and do we not see now the formation of a new private military campaign, but no longer the name of the military offender, for example the name of the military criminal putin is not so much he has it, well, now putin now has quite obviously the threat he needs to balance the power that is, and to

whom he has been displayed. e-e special service who either failed or deliberately made this situation worse also cause him to wonder if something new should be created, what if they went and went. they didn't get there, as we already said , yes. that is, there were a lot of conversations. and when the matter came down to the matter, it turned out that they could not demonstrate anything other than conversations

. used to say whenever war is going on, this leads to two things, the first thing is to increase the role of the army in socio-political processes, and the second thing is that there are always popular leaders in the army, well, military leaders who can then become political leaders in the conditions when we live there in democratic conditions, in order to become a political leader from a military leader, you have to go through a certain procedure . yes, which is called in the elections in the conditions of the putin regime. there with the elections, so look at russia during the war period, at least one popular military leader appeared, well, the military itself, the command, it seems to me that it is only losing popularity. well, it will work out and we perfectly understand that in russia, that is, this dissatisfaction, which prigozhina played on, is not groundless, yes, that is, when there is a son-in-law who is bathing in luxury, yes, what a great feeling gerasima is, this whole herd is, roughly speaking, an average russian military man, as we can judge from the interception laziness

, well, they are in a somewhat different situation, but putin understands very well that if only some popular leaders appear in this military military environment, it will pose a direct threat to putin's regime, so he is solving a very difficult problem, on the one hand, without effective leadership, the army cannot fight effectively. well, this environment is just like that since ancient times, and on the other hand, if only effective leadership appears there, this will automatically lead to the fact that these new military leaders will pose a threat to putin's regime it's like in the times of the decline of the roman empire, there were so-called soldier emperors yes, who were put there by soldiers, and often just praetorians, well, that is, someone was an emperor there for two days, where someone was more than a week

. she is not there. well, that is , putin is already in the tunnel. which well, clearly, or this one the snuffbox is finalized with a pie with dust, which in principle is logical for a person, e.e., the name of the person is, well, or a chair somewhere in the galician tribunal, and you understand it, well, the chair is also an optimistic scenario from the whole set of alternatives, in particular, the exit, you mentioned the luxury with which prigozhin reproached the military leadership of the occupation forces, in the end, now russian propaganda is trying to outline the image of this fighter for justice, as well as the one that he tried to form for himself beauty sculpts from

him the same bourgeois unfinished and as if showing photos of his estate during the search, i will remind our viewers that the beauty had a separate mini-hospital, you think, and he had a large prayer room with many precious icons, all in this style, like a style, etc. in addition to all this, there were also some interesting moments related to his military activities on the wall, for example, there was a photo of severed heads on the wall, in which there was a large sledgehammer lying on the sand with the inscription it's a case of important negotiations, and of course what everyone turned to pay attention to the orders that hung on the jacket of the beauties, there were about 30 of them, in particular, most of them were at least from african countries, and of course these are means of disguising wigs, beards, etc., even after that, photos were posted on the network in which the beauty himself was posing as a villager, taking selfies in different images, mr. valentine, i can’t help but discuss this with you, let’s talk about these awards, first of all, what can they testify that he has a knight order in two and two at once , nile means that he also has some uman

awards of the central african republic and and the second, of course, how would you rate these masking abilities, the masking skills of the handsome man, and this whole story with his beards and wigs, i think it’s a delusion of course well, all these beards are surety, well, it’s just that in russia it might still work there, well, in civilized countries, there is biometrics, well, that is, i’m not saying that fingerprinting is, roughly speaking, scanning, well, well, i don’t know how he’s going to disguise his eye, wearing an african enemy of countries was probably assigned i don't know i'm not ready i wouldn't be so categorical that's all

it's more like it's natural. somehow, you're a kind of misleading that it's supposed to be beautiful, so he's so elusive that he has a beard, dudes, he's not caught, we didn't catch him because he has a beard, because i'm a head, no one was going to. well, if they wanted to catch him, they caught him, there are people who don't have veil cards, to put it bluntly, they're still trying to find them. all this is refined, well , delusional, well, but the man has hordes, well, well who thought that prigozhin was a poor man? well, the firebrands didn't think so. i think that the top management of this office is also a poor person. well, in general, all the people who work in this field, they work in order to make some kind of fortune, that's why they are all packed, but it destroys

everything. soldiers in very loved and slept with them there together in tents, well, not only about apparently some preferences. why is he there with the pope, yes, about the spartan way of life. by the way, too. well, the same applies to other questions. it is not whether a person has wealth or not . emperor well , i'm just with you, i gave you a brief cancellation he freed serfdom, gave me the land and everything else and they followed him and he showed that look, they were devoured by some scum over there and now i am leading you to the kingdom of freedom, that is, i repeat that er, you should not be like the russians, who think that everything is inspired from the outside, everything always has an internal er potential and soil, that is, well, this so-called rebellion is beautiful, it is not actually er that arose in an empty place. it's all been in russia for a long time. as a matter of fact

, it's the environment of the military personnel and non-personnel mobilized there, it is a scandal at the national level, well these subjects federation at the national level elites are a scandal at the level of e there, the wealthy strata of the russian population are dissatisfied with the fact that they have lost many charms that they had having the appropriate material status, well, this is a scandal, but at the level of others, well, how to say communities that have places in russia, they are not satisfied with everything, so the question sooner or later must be revealed well, this is what

the ukrainian authorities talked about when commented eh, there are events in belegorod oblast. yes, what are these internal contradictions within the russian society? these internal contradictions in the russian federation will only be parting ways. i will tell you more that there are many subjects who are interested in such contradictions growing in the russian federation. interested in the fact that the federal center is a weak shaft, you understand yes, because this is also the logic of the development of any empire, at first the representatives of some provinces, roughly speaking, fight for central power among themselves, at first everyone wanted to sit on the throne of kyiv, and then everyone understood that in principle there is no point in sitting on the throne of kyiv, you can simply separate from the throne of kyiv, yes, that is, roughly, i want to say that we will no longer obey you, just as there once wanted to sit on the throne of the roman emperor

, and then it is clear that, in principle, it is very it's a slow thing that in principle you can just do it so that you don't obey this throne. if you can say that and the logic in the process is similar to that, so far everyone has been fighting for who will sit on this throne instead of putin, but very soon the logic may change and they will think that she is the one who sits on the throne for us. it might be better to make this throne remain without any real meaning. and real powers can also be the same, so i will repeat this scene. the swarm will be more profitable for us as far as i am concerned i understand, it is connected with certain risks. well, of course, that is, because the stronger the internal contradictions of the groups, the internal group, the weaker this group or community is in intergroup competition, that is, but you understand that it does not depend on us whether it is beneficial for us or not, we do not inspire this process, these processes are a necessary consequence of the internal dynamics in the russian federation, which arose long before the start of a full-scale war, and a full-scale war

became only the catalyst for this well, if the war went according to one scenario, the consequences could be but the war went on somewhat according to a different scenario and, accordingly, the consequences were completely different. tomorrow something else will change and it will all accelerate. well, i repeat that this story with the victim is only a symptom , that is, it was inevitable and many say what it ended. it did not end. this is only an overture. wagner is only an overture

. so that you can single-mindedly only e it's not valkyries it's flies lucky fly to the shit eh that's how we'll end on an even more inspiring note valentin smooth political scientist came to our studio today to talk about what processes are happening inside russia in the background in the background how to call it correctly a castle no around what is increasing increasing the substance to which the flies fly the number of flies will increase and in it among everything in this substance somewhere there is a moth fighting eh which we know which awaits only one way or what can a moth fly in the substance thank you mr valentina and we will move on, in the meantime, the western partners are preparing a new package of sanctions. it should include a ban on the import of diamonds from the russian federation and restrictions on the nuclear industry. at least this is what poland wants. this will be the 12th package, the deputy minister of foreign affairs of poland piotr wawczyk said

. we congratulate mr. ivan of the economy we saw that the studio welcomes the viewers of the previous package of sanctions, it was not focused on introducing new restrictions, in order to focus on the implementation of the old ones, now on the 12th

package. how much you do you think it is likely that they will touch nuclear energy, on which, according to experts, the european union is quite dependent, and oleksiy, the problem is that poland, like the baltic countries, is, let's say, the most active member of the eu, which advocates the introduction of new sanctions. but on the other hand, this is what poland says - it can be considered as a maximum. what can be counted on, at the same time, there are other eu countries that, as history has shown, have a slightly different opinion, but this does not mean that this is nuclear energy experts will not be there because we see how the position of various other eu members has changed, for example, the economy of germany, because when there was still a conversation about the 11th package of sanctions, germany started making statements that, you know, in principle, we can also consider nuclear power and rosatom, of course, we must say yes, the consent of other countries, such as france and hungary . there is

a language within itself they are jumping and therefore it is quite possible that they will join france as well. and if france and hungary are barely left alone, then as history shows, she does not like to be alone . that is, she can also give up. and how to allow

? gas is not metals at the same time everything connected with precious metals, diamonds are also a significant source of income for the russian budget, so if it is possible to include diamonds, it will have, well, i won't say that it is significant, but it will have a significant impact on the russian economy . in order to transport oil. what can you say in which possible industries it is necessary the european union would have to concentrate in order not only to develop and increase the list of sanctioned countries, but also so that russia does not have the opportunity to find more and more new

ways to bypass these. first of all, it is necessary to return to the question that was discussed and discussed during the discussion regarding the eleventh package, which is the possibility of a blanket embargo on russia, because ah, so far, our steps , but you know. well, they were not ready to give us weapons, but they were not ready to give us tanks but further, such letters were also not ready, as if they were already given, therefore, in fact, we need to move in the direction of a full trade barrage, we also need to consider the possibility of secondary sanctions against countries that somehow have normal relations with russia, putting them before the elections, or they are with russia, or they are with the whole e-e

. pressure on others the country is primarily the largest country in the world with the largest population in india, china, but i think that it is possible to achieve something here. i understand that it will be difficult to do this diplomatically somewhere, but still, otherwise, the expected effect of economic sanctions against russia will not be achieved. what mechanisms can be used to really strengthen control over compliance with e-sanction requirements in russia's partner countries? look, first of all, restrictions should be introduced, or it is even forbidden to use the currencies of countries that have imposed sanctions against russia in trade with russia. imagine what will happen if they cannot trade in dollars and euros. i will remind you that according to this swift system, approximately 43%, in general, of payments in the world are made in

dollars, another 32 €. i.e. 75%. when russia says that we will trade in yuan or in other currencies, well, that's their right, but another question is whether they will be able to buy something from anyone in foreign countries or yuan, because in general , neither china nor india. economics and can be completed for russia by the fact that for those who still have a normal relationship it is better not to have any trade at all than trade in your currency at the same time to move away from their own principle not to risk sending this currency to other countries so as not to repeat the situation that has come to france and the united states of gold . towy pressure on

the united states of america at a time ago in order not to be exposed to such a risk, these countries can simply prevent the exit of their currency from outside the borders of their countries in significant volumes, and therefore it will be better not to trade with russia than to be exposed to such risks in connection with sanctions, gas production in russia in the paz fell to a historic low, bloomberg writes about this due to an unsuccessful attempt to freeze europe. in the end, for russia, it turned out to be a collapse of the gas industry, and this is how much this industry is. was significant as it fell to a historic low it will hit the russian budget. look , if we take data from the ministry of finance of the russian federation for the first four months , they had a

52% drop in oil and gas revenues compared to the previous year. there are already data for half of the year, but here i already have a question about those data, because if as of april, russia reported that they had a deficit of, let's say, 3.4 trillion rubles, then by some miracle in may, they said that it remained at the same level. and if i'm not mistaken, in june there was even some improvement, therefore, i have great doubts about the reliability of the data provided by the ministry of finance in russia, i just think that it is most likely a political instruction not to publish real data. and if we start to model the situation based on the data of the first four months, then we get the impression that they will have a negative balance in the next month, so in august, it is quite possible that there will be a negative balance or this er excess of outstandings over income by approximately 7 billion determines seven trillion rubles, why is this

psychologically important number because in russia in the fund for national well-being a and six minutes its own hole in the budget with its own, let's say, accumulated reserve if it happens, then it is quite possible if the next period, mr. ivan, according to the data

of the same bloomberg, for example, now in russia every third ruble is for the war. the russian leadership in order to keep the economic system afloat. and what can this threaten and how much of this fund was nationally received, although we understand that it is certain and the amount is certain, we do not know how much money is in this cube. however, according to your forecasts, how much can be enough and what will lead to the fact that there will be no money left in such a background, if there is no money left in this fund, then russia will either have to ask for a loan from someone, but we understand that belarus will not give loans or ask for all the money itself, and china will row or want to have it further, the second option is to print money is quite possibly russia - it does already do that it does not mean that it is a good option because it leads to pressure on the currency in russian now we see how e -e to mark 100 rubles for the euro already euro has crossed the dollar now when it will be a hundred

and more. or yes this is how we started our conversation with you, the polish side, about what should be banned from russia to import diamonds, introduce restrictions in the nuclear industry. and another proposal from the same polish side is to introduce sanctions against belarus. what kind of sanctions can

these be and how will they help to solve the situation? we really need to look at them and maybe when we talk about a trade embargo, we should at least start it with belarusians, if only because this country is not a member of the world trade organization, so the rules of this organization do not apply to it , that is, poland has already started to restrict movement across the border with belarus . russia create thank you, mr. ivan, for helping to understand complex issues with simple words, ivanus, an expert in international economics, joined our broadcast for the last hour and you were with us kateryna derkach oleksiychuk, thank you for your trust, let's broadcast on this day, thousands of ukrainians turned to friends around the world, vote for this song. it is very

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support ukraine we will become the captains of the blue and yellow teams support our collection with a charitable contribution support ukraine watch the match of world football legends for the restoration of ukraine on august 5 at 20:00 in marathon the only news for the past 20 years we have not had anything good worth fighting for war will not always happen somewhere far away on the other side of the world it can happen to your country we are dealing with a country that attacks police stations and schools they do not know less it is a war crime and the ego could accept defeat

from nato, however, he will not be able to accept defeat from ukraine mr. putin, you have already lost this war, but you are too stubborn to admit that these are values ​​that we believe in, we must protect people's freedom and democracy, what is more important in life besides fighting for the values ​​that you believe in, ukraine will be reborn, those were dark times, but ukraine will be reborn again and the glory of ukraine literally thousands of kilometers were overcome and crossed the oceans to prove that the war in ukraine is not only about the pain of loss and tears and about freedom, independence and democracy in the whole world this is a story about what is the announcement of landlizzo and they turn on rammstein with headphones and go wet the dew and you can call me thank you for the invitation my name is michal my name is harry hello you