[000:00:00;00] the threat that the company for the liberation of the occupied territories will come to a dead end, take more human lives and require more weapons and army training, the edition to the island of black also writes that the concern of the white house due to the impact of the war on the future of the presidential elections in the usa forces the biden administration to be cautious about providing support to kyiv, and european leaders have recently begun to believe that ukraine must win, but they do not have enough resources to provide them with kiev usa in retired john nagol says that no western army, in particular the american one, would dare to counterattack without having air superiority

, as the ukrainian forces did, but the minister of defense of ukraine, oleksiy reznikov, believes that the war between ukraine and russia will end next year by the summer. nickname admitted that ukraine can join only after the end of the war, referring to the fifth article. and when he was asked if he thinks that the war will end by next summer, he quickly answered yes, we will win this war, and that is why he considers the nato summit next year as possible, such terms for ukraine's admission to the alliance are possible

. kiv and i quote there is no reason to doubt putin's statements, as well as the fact that russia has achieved some success in moving nuclear weapons to belarus, but officials did not disclose details, according to cnn, it is difficult for the us intelligence community to track these weapons even with the help of satellite images . signed placement documents tactically of nuclear weapons on the territory of belarus, according to various data, today the russian federation has almost 4.5 thousand nuclear warheads, which is exactly how many of them will be or have already been transferred to belarus, it is currently unknown, meanwhile, at a meeting with the russian president vladimir putin in st. petersburg, alexander lukashenko said that prigozhin's mercenaries want to go on an excursion to warsaw and zheshuvan . the wagnerians

are asking to go west. allow us, i tell you why isn't there a smell of tobacco? we can control what happened. well, let's go on an excursion to warsaw and rzeszów, and rzeszów is unpleasant for them - they fought near artemovsk, they know where the military equipment came from, and they have it sitting inside. rzeszów is a problem . for nine thousand people

, the wagnerites went to belarus after yes the so-called encirclement in russia, which lasted less than a day, about the situation in belarus, about general issues with the counteroffensive, including that we will talk with our next guest, a military expert, colonel of the armed forces of ukraine, petro charyn, joined on saturday morning. petro welcomes you to our broadcast. glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes. gnerivtsy from an attack on poland, but this is about a military strategy, about real military threats from lukashenka from putin, or are they just political statements, if objectively, then this is propaganda, we have to understand this, a tyrannical regime can only rely on the absolute loyalty of its own population, and this loyalty must be fed endlessly, and most importantly, the rhetoric of their power must be raised to the highest point . these are

the rhetorical statements of lukashenko that he refused someone is rushing somewhere, this is nothing but to show that they still have some potential, that they can almost attack a nato country, let them alone. they are talking about this in a strategic sense, these are literally words, that is, imagine that the wagnerites will walk back and forth across the border of poland, from a military point of view, it is simply impossible. well, if they decide to carry out such an act of suicide, because it will be an action, it is to the polish side, the belarusian border on the polish side is very seriously fortified . peter's crisis boiled over at the end in 2021, since that time, the poles have made very serious conclusions and strengthened everything they could, or could such an act be made by a madwoman, so that mark tulid, the cheese of his time, said that the closer the collapse of the empire, the crazier their actions, how did they introduce themselves into the same chernobyl women

? 1% for such madness, but let's say it will be real then the nato country is so affected, and there may be completely different moments in the development of the situation, the military capability of drones to fly to moscow has already been proven more than once, and tonight drones attacked this russian capital, and it seems that a building next to the ministry of defense of the russian federation was damaged. and from christogroziv in his twitter, i draw attention to the fact that one of the drones probably fell in front of the military university named after prince oleksandr ranevsky, the headquarters of the georgian bernastupu can these objects really be

a goal? and the traditional questions of who and what from where did he send those drones, any objects of military infrastructure can become a target, the very fact that some good alien force somewhere, maybe for my humor, used these drones and they reached the zone of destruction, because after all, it is a zone of destruction, but so far they have not reached a specific object, this is already welcome war is gradually moving and by and large it has already moved to the territory of the russian federation and the more large-scale this phenomenon will be, the better means it did let us in fact, let's not go into detail because the enemy will understand our word, why should we give him ready-made intelligence information about the situation in crimea? because in the morning it also became known that something happened in crimea, well, cotton, as they say in social networks and in quotation marks, and actually there the local authorities announce the evacuation of people, and there is talk of the fact that the highway is now closed, so in the area within the radius of the explosions, traffic on the railway is stopped. e-e dzhankoy district and

dzhankoy simferopol highway. well, there talks about the detour scheme and other things that can be said about these night or morning strikes on crimea, which probably became the target. i think that some military objects were targeted. there are really many of them. today, the crimean peninsula is the largest military base that probably exists on planet earth. there is absolutely everything . this means that the entire power of russian air defense

the federation is taking the song seriously, it flew today without fail, it will arrive tomorrow again, the tonality of the task of strikes on the deep territories of the occupied crimea and other russian territories is gaining scale, and this cannot but please . and why did the explosions happen today in the chankovo ​​district , while traffic was also stopped on the kerch bridge? could this be related to the fact that the railway was damaged? what is the level of damage from these morning or night shellings? an extremely logical conclusion, there is a very high probability that the canvas itself is damaged, and there may also be damage to electrical transformer stations, because the main traction of the entire railway of the russian federation is still powered by electricity and such objects are absolutely military legal chile, understanding that 90% of all drugs that are transferred through crimean cities go along this railway line, so in which part it can be violated not on the ukrainian bridge itself, but somewhere in the depths of the territory

and again, all such actions do not matter where did they fly, in what way did you fly? it is important that they arrived. the russians say that out of 17 drones, they destroyed almost all of them. did they silence them? so, we divide this information in half and have firm confidence that this part definitely flew somewhere. well, where to give an exact export estimate? well, at the moment, we have a lack of information . forward i would not say that they are have already broken the course of this war and will not break it, but this is another very strong brick in the building of our victory. that is, we feel the pain points, we begin to understand the entire general strategy of their logistics and really develop a methodology for its destruction, there is a very good saying from the commander of the us army on the continents in europe during the first world war, john pacing, soldiers win battles and logistics win the war and here we have everything

set in the right direction, the only thing we have understand that this is a very long-term process . the kherson operation lasted more than three months at first, the antonovsky bridge then gradually knocked out all their logistics, and only in november we saw the result of more than three months of very hard work we are now just one and a half months in offensive mode and to the sight and kherson operation of its level of completion , at least one and a half months of a time, a little thing

about a time. heard from the american presentation was the last that the administration of us president joe biden refuses to hand over long-range missiles to ukraine for attacks, this is despite requests from kyiv and the pressure of american officials, you can say in practice and why are these missiles so necessary for the ukrainian army? why are they important for the armed forces? why don’t the usa give them because there are few of them in warehouses there or they keep them, so to speak, for themselves? here and there, somewhere around half a ton of explosives with a range of operational damage and those that reach within 300 km, but there is a nuance of the sides of the shed or the french version of the scout, they are integrated into aviation complexes, in my opinion, it is the su-24th. so this machine is on the airfield, a missile must be attached to it, the machine must go out and fly into space, reach the launch sites, carry out these launches , return back, and the machine itself must undergo maintenance , this is a very complex engineering procedure, and plus it

takes a lot of time a lot of time for attacks with mgmance 140 can be fired from the m-142 hms and m270 installations that we already have very quickly. that is, it is a ready-made container that reloads in about 10-15 minutes, no more than a few trucks with these missiles increase the number of launches per conventional unit of time, that is, an attack is the speed of the task of strikes and this is the number of tasks of strikes per conventional unit of area. that is why they are very necessary, because everything that is air-based is a long, long, long work in time, and the most important thing is the load and so on our old

aviation equipment, and the m-142 and m270 - that's enough new products, i.e. attack systems, can significantly increase the number of strikes per unit of area regarding the statement of the ukrainian president that ukraine needs a full-fledged air shield and the only way to defeat russian missile terror is what zelenskyy said in his telegram, what kind of shield is it, what and in what quantity can it protect ukrainian cities ? well , including. we need as many patriots as possible - 104 and those institutions themselves as much as possible 10 20 30 40 50 there won't be much, emphasize there won't be much and we need a full-fledged aviation because, let's say, f16 can fight ballistic and aerodynamic targets because it has at least three classes of missiles from the farthest hey them 120 that can cause damage up to 180 km ending with close range winder nike site the most massive short-range missile up to 20 km plus has a high-speed cannon m-61 vulcan

with ammunition of 511 shells and at a distance up to 4 km as soon as he begins to see this target, this gun can destroy almost everything, what we really need, that is, a combination of a large number of modern anti-aircraft missile systems and a powerful air force. from a military

point of view, if there is really a lot of aviation, at least 60 machines and the entire range of weapons related to it. if the attacks will not be artificial or in tens of quantities, as there is a storm now, there will be 100 hundreds, but i would like 1,000. by the way, the us reserves are allowed to make us really out there. 4,000 units are ready, and they are about to deliver them to the convector. this is an absolutely realistic task , but again, everything will depend on number of such weapons, i thank you for your military analysis of what is happening and on the front, and in general, from the statements that are heard, it is important to analyze them. petro cherny, a military expert, a colonel of the armed forces of ukraine, was a guest . freedom of the morning . of the zhenkov district, the occupation authorities

announced an evacuation within a radius of 5 km from the site of explosions, telegram channels report hitting an ammunition warehouse, the head of the occupying power, serhiy aksyonov, said that 11 drones were apparently destroyed in the sky over crimea, but the ministry of defense of russia reported on the attack of xvii drones, and that it is important that the railway traffic was stopped in the dzhonkov region and on the dzhankoy-simferopol highway . in the red guard district of crimea this was reported in the management of strategic communications of the armed forces of ukraine, the day before, a video was published on the network in which columns of smoke are visible and explosions can be heard there, local residents reported the detonation of ammunition at the airfield in oktobersk, and the sounds of explosions were heard even in the occupied dzhankoi, which is almost 50 km from oktobersk, during the explosions, during the explosions, the video shows a column of russian

equipment leaving the meeting place . in addition, the occupation authorities stopped traffic on the crimean railway about this told e-e aksionov and also the traffic was stopped and on to the kerch bridge, i would like to point out that russian channels in telegram are writing about the use of long-range missiles by ukraine to attack the storm shadow, and despite the fact that aktsionov declares the use of drones, the ukrainian side does not specify what exactly they attacked, however, the head of the joint press center of the defense forces of southern ukraine, nataliya humenyuk, stated that i am acetyuu . japanese analyst hidonori

watanawa himself on twitter, and in the photo you can see a column of smoke that rises from a fire that broke out as a result of a hit, this is the situation in crimea, you can write in the comments. if you are from occupied crimea, you are currently watching us. have you heard anything, what is the situation there? mykhailo gonchar, a ukrainian expert on international energy and security relations, joins our broadcast. i welcome you to our broadcast. good day . on the kerch bridge

, what assessment can you give to all this? active phase counteroffensive reactionary application of the complex application of means available to the armed forces of ukraine in order to cause maximum damage to the armed forces of the aggressor on the territory of crimea, from where, in principle, he carries out the main logistical support of his group of forces that conduct hostilities in the south of ukraine. that is, it is a strategically and tactically thought-out series of operations aimed at ultimately isolating the occupied crimean peninsula from supplies from the mainland from russia . referring to attempts to destroy kerch bridge and also the destruction of those facilities that are located on the occupied peninsula, well, they are temporarily located on the road, so to speak, from russia through the kerch bridge to the crimea in the south of ukraine, that is, it is clear that crimea was, in principle, the edge of a militarized zone from soviet times, although it had a reputation there, and there are healthy people there, but its main mission was

to be such an outpost of the soviet union in the black sea, and its frantic rehabilitation took place after 201 in fact, 4 years after the occupation of crimea by russia, the functioning and ranks were restored there military airfields and, accordingly, the increased number of boeza pas at arsenals that were traditionally on the territory of crimea, their place of deployment is well known and now the armed forces of ukraine are practicing in principle according to known goals, taking into account the latest information that is available, whether it is a stockpile of weapons or fuel and lubricant materials, even if it is simple to do, when the phrase oil depot sounds, it does not mean that there is any oil there, there is no oil, it is storage of fuel oil and lubricant materials, primarily

jet fuel for tactical aviation tions of russia, which is carrying out e-e attacks on the territory of ukraine from the occupied crimean peninsula. and actually speaking, the classic e-e military strategy is to destroy the available stocks of ammunition and fuel, cut the logistics routes and thus paralyze the military forces of the aggressor, and we can see that it is largely successful because the movement of the railway stops

. and supply of russian troops to attack the railway right there on the territory of the occupied crimea and not on the kerch bridge, well, from the point of view there, let's say sabotage the railway. yes, it is possible, but it is necessary to understand that blowing up the railway track there will not require a lot of time and effort to restore it all , so if in this case it is about that. feeds the group that is on the territory of the occupied crimea, as well as that

the transit connecting link is an interconnector through which forces and means are sent to the mainland of ukraine for the continuation of hostilities by the aggressor, and therefore it is strategically necessary to eliminate it. of course, when it is not possible to eliminate the main artery, you can continue to act by the method of a thousand cuts, that is, to create. these are the logistical problems on the railway. dzhankoy in this context is just such a traditional logistics hub . in essence what then they lead to the mainland of ukraine and so it is not the same as it was now and before it was under special attention from the armed forces of ukraine, taking into account the location there of the railway hub and the substation and the electric one and taking into account the location near the airfield, so if all this is worked out in a complex by the armed forces using drones and missiles, respectively. rdance

that the jabayden administration refuses to hand over atakams long-range missiles to ukraine, despite the fact that kyiv is asking a lot of american legislators, as if the washington post is writing about it in general . by the way, varshkikov made a fresh statement that he believes that the victory of ukraine will be in the summer of next year, and there will also be an invitation or acceptance into nato, so what should be said about weapons in the country? and ukraine without at least these two components in the e in the proper amount, so to speak, well, first of all, there is no such thing as a miracle of weapons when we hope for one type of weapon that will solve everything. it won't be like that, eh, a complex of the use of forces and means is needed. and for this, operational tactical complexes of the type atakams eh, of the american cycle

are needed . let it be long-range compared to others. it will really allow us to reach there 300 km deep and so on. there are only purely political reasons why the united states does not provide ukraine with these operational and tactical complexes, which have been discussed almost since last year from a military point of view

. and uh everything is rough starting with so uh light small arms and ending with aviation support but the united states continues political leadership or the united states continues to remain captive to a completely false concept uh not to provoke russia to something even more and because russia is constantly letting the white house know through official and unofficial channels that in the event that they resort to extreme measures, it is obvious that traditional russia is playing blackmail

with the use of practically nuclear weapons knowing that the united states adheres to the approach that even in the case of the use of tactical nuclear weapons, such weapons in the course of this russo-ukrainian conflict, the united states should not react with the use of nuclear weapons from its side, and in this context, russia is a successful exploiter and, in fact, the lanterns insert certain red lines that ukraine should get there a-a fighter jets in 16 ukraine need to get operational-tactical complexes there a fuss was raised in russia when it came to ukraine's acquisition of the last thing is cluster munitions for artillery, and before that let's remember how much violence was associated with armor-piercing shells, make a memorandum for the same reason, in principle, unfortunately, politically, the biden administration is still in this false concept, a false vision, but let's remember that in a different way to the weapons systems that we asked for earlier and in the end we received at first the approach of the administration was exactly like this

no, you don’t need to give it, but then , in principle, under pressure, and there is not enough time 30 seconds under pressure, but it’s all time and the same people write about the fact that it’s a waste of time, it means more military casualties, it means, well, delays can lead to a negative outcome of a counteroffensive, here you briefly say whether you agree with these conclusions of the publication or not well, i don’t think the question is that then the actual contrasting of actions will be reduced to the deterrent actions of the enemy and will bring limited results in the general staff and as planned and thank you mykhailo gonchar , ukrainian expert on international

energy and security relations was guest svoboda ranok we talked about the counteroffensive and the assessments of the minister of defense of ukraine, in particular that the war may end in the summer of next year thanks for the conversation svoboda ranok with you every day from 9:00 a.m. subscribe to the svoboda radio channel and set the bell to your favorite so as not to miss live broadcasts my name is katya nekrecha, i and our entire team svoboda ranok wish you a peaceful day and see you 516 days of heroic resistance of the ukrainian people to the russian occupiers on the news broadcast on espresso in the studio anzhelika sezonenko hot morning in the temporarily occupied crimea in the dzhankov district, the ammunition depot was flown in , gauleiter aksyonov said according to his words