[000:00:00;00] sugarloaf has already said that there are primarily warehouses with weapons, ammunition and equipment, and well, i will also remind you that over the past almost 10 years, to be more precise, since 2014, russia has turned crimea into such a large military base. there is a lot now more than 200 military bases have been discovered, in particular by the journalists of crimea realiy . judging by today's news, apparently explosions are happening somewhere near one of these bases, and viktor kyvlyuk, a reserve colonel of the express center of defense strategies, has already joined our on the air good evening good evening let's start from the south while we monitor what is happening in crimea right now ah general what is the situation at the front at the front what is the overall picture you see and do you not see signs of a large-scale offensive in the south in particular

about which the western media write in the southern direction, the grouping of the forces of the defense forces has been developing the offensive for the past two months , an offensive operation is being carried out in three directions in the berdyansk , melitopol and tokmak regions, the events on the right flank are developing somewhat slowly in in the central and left flank and left flank sections, the events are developing more dynamically and more successfully, although everyone wants everything to develop faster, we are dealing with a long time, but for a long time , the enemy's defense has been prepared, which, firstly , is not quite canonically equipped, and secondly, the depth and the density of minefields there exceeds all possible standards, and thirdly

, the enemy had 14 to 15 months to prepare these fortifications, so events are developing quite slowly, although our troops demonstrate good tactical techniques, putting the enemy in an awkward position, avoiding large losses, but they pay for it with the pace of advancement. and what do you mean , they pay with the pace of advancement? you know, when i was preparing for our conversation, i read your interview with glavred in may, and then you said that russia could be defeated in as little as four months. well, two and a half of them have already passed, and actually then you referred to western researchers who analyzed the russian e-e wars

in which russia participated over the past 300 years and came to the conclusion that in such wars where russia won, victory came in 8 months, and where it was defeated in 18. well, actually, now is the 17th the war continues for a month, it turns out that this theory does not work, the theory works just fine, we have a situation where the enemy has the most combat-capable, better -prepared and equipped forces on the front line, and these forces are under enormous pressure and are suffering enormous losses to date. huge problems with operational reserves, because he spent almost everything he had in the operational zone of his 58th combined army, which forms the basis of the grouping in the south of ukraine, the 34th brigade from the kherson region was transferred

, the 20,247th airborne assault regiment of the seventh airborne assault division was transferred that is, the most combat-capable units, and they are taken in the neighboring operational zone, that is, in order to somehow restrain our forces in the zaporizhzhia region , the number of troops in the kherson region is decreasing, that is, the operation is developing quite well if we manage to break through the main line of defense in the next month, it should lead to the total collapse of the entire enemy defense system in zaporizhzhia, so we have a chance not to destroy the statistics derived by western researchers. and you see signs that , as you said, it will be possible to break through this line of defense in a month er, yes, er, our units in the work area have already reached the main line of defense. and judging by the fact that we have used

approximately a third of the available forces and means, we have something to build up, we have something to break through the main line of defense and the enemy has such opportunities day by day less and less taking into account that the other day they finished the training process of about 17,000 fighters and these are 3 full-blooded brigades equipped with western weapons i think that events will develop more dynamically in the coming month, this is you about the south now let me talk about crimea , but right now, crimean public and telegram channels are reporting that explosions are happening there, and since august, i have been reminding our audience of this and since august 22nd in crimea, and in particular in sevastopol, explosions are really heard almost every day, and the russian authorities in crimea explain this by shooting at drones or the work

of air defense eh, how much weaker is crimea if you consider it as such eh, hmm, the main center of the physical support of the russian troops, they do not quite correctly formulate those questions, and crimea is an administrative-territorial unit in itself , it does not become weaker or stronger, it was crimea, crimea remains in mind the troops that were in crimea, now they are in the south of ukraine, what is left there is no understanding crimea is used by the adversaries as, firstly , the base point of the black sea fleet of the russian federation, and secondly, as the base airfields from which the aviation support of the russian group in the south is carried out by itself, russian logistics connected to the railway and crimea is a kind of logistical

hub of the enemy, what is happening on our side is in trinity such operations as forming and supporting operations, namely supporting the operation is being carried out on the crimean terrain with means of long-range fire damage provided by our allies, it is being carried out quite effectively, judging by the fact that the intensity of artillery fire in some areas in the south of the enemy has dropped by 60% compared to well, about six months ago, the ammunition standards have been reduced to 20% of those which were at the beginning of the invasion, the enemy will suffer some losses, first of all, and quite a purely logistical problem, how is this indicated, how will it be indicated in the future, more precisely, in the future

on e-e on the russian troops in ukraine, to explain it very simply, the russian troops in ukraine will not only have nothing to shoot at, but also soon will not be able to do anything. the goal will not be achieved in half an hour, this is a long process, but it should be noted that despite the statement of russian propaganda, not a single missile from the heimers or rszv m-270 complexes or the stormshed missile was intercepted by the russian ppu all 100% they hit the targets that were planned, what is said there about the fight against drones, aksyonov entertained well, it seems to me that as the ukrainian parliamentarians here said the other day , crimea will be a source of medical marijuana. it already seems to be a source of marijuana, but it

is used for weak purposes, as i think i understood you the question is, today there was information that the chinese government announced a temporary restriction on the export of drones, its components for them, and according to american intelligence, this is me too let me remind you that until the spring of 2023, china supplied russia with drones and various components worth at least 12 million dollars. what does this ban on exports from china mean? is this some kind of demonstration of such reluctance to supply russia with drones, or vice versa, china will supply russia with drones and restricts exports to all other countries , first of all, i, at least, during the one and a half years of the war , i never heard or saw the use of weapons , the use of military drones by our

enemy's armed forces the purpose of chinese production, i can not recall any such case, we are talking about dji mavic drones, which are very popular both on the russian and ukrainian sides, they are uh, different types of different formats with different ranges and different weights, and the chinese aim to somehow influence on the intensity of the conflict limits the supply of exports of these systems to both russia and ukraine. but i think that this is a series of china's pressure from the world community to stop increasing the degree of confrontation in ukraine , so it seems to me that direct supplies how there will be no such, but no one forbids buying through the countries of, for example, central asia or the middle east, that is, it will not have any special effect, and

it will not affect the course of the war at the strategic level. parties , it will be quite noticeable, because the loss of an aircraft that lives for a week, if two, then it is a great luck when it will be possible to purchase the next one by detours, it will be quite painful , i heard you. well, i guess i am in moscow the top topic of the last few days has already been commented on from the ukrainian side, but the ukrainian side does not directly take responsibility for the fact that it is a ukrainian drone, the russian side says that it is a ukrainian drone, the air force of ukraine is joking, they say and where is the praise , not russian air defense, but from your point of view, what is happening, who is flying

to moscow, and are there any signs that these drones are actually ukrainian, so what can be said about that ? surely there is a person who has the means to fly to moscow, that's about it i don't know about aircraft of this type that they created this one in ukraine, no, what could it be in version three, the first version, russia bombs itself on the eve of the announcement of general mobilization, i'm sorry, i 'm just serious, this is one of the serious versions at least i do not rule out such a version, because the attack on moscow city does not carry any military

force, nor does it pursue any military objective . touches the depths of the novorossiysk people, who consider moscow to be a part of russia and do not consider it to be a part of russia at all. therefore, to say that the masses of the people will be shaken and rise up to defend or shake something, they do not care what mm. the north of the russian federation, sitting down on red square, showed then that a small-sized aircraft is a huge problem for anti-aircraft defense . therefore, everything that is the size of a cessna plane will calmly fly to moscow until

petersburg to ryazanii to tula, there to anywhere. this issue has not been resolved by russian air defense for the last 30 years, absolutely absolutely, it is actually a myth or does it exist , it is simply not used specifically if, for example, we assume that your version is true , when you say that russia itself can launch drones, the medic stands of the russian ministry of defense is worthy of a missile gun complex pantsyr, the aircraft hits some object 300 m from the position of the pantsyr, this means that the complex was not seen at all, it was not even fired at because of that air defense, which was created to counter a strategic means of defeat, is not able, due to its peculiarities of its structure, to fight such targets as unmanned aerial vehicles, but you said that you at least do not know about the manufacturer or about

the person who has or produces such drones in ukraine that would fly to moscow if i understood you correctly, literally, literally, the new york times just wrote about the fact that, again with reference to their sources and the experts with whom they analyzed these attacks on moscow, they they write that the attack on moscow was carried out by at least three different ukrainian-made aircraft, and although , as i said, kyiv does not officially recognize that ukraine is behind these attacks, but actually , there are a lot of veiled statements and comments that these drones are really could be ukrainian. well, on the video recorded during the last raid, the outlines of this drone can be seen. and many experts draw attention to the fact that it resembles a drone called a beaver, and where exactly such

a drone was shown on the video the day before volunteers serhii sternenko and serhii prytula, also hinting, they did not directly say that such a drone had flown to moscow, but they hinted at an attack on moscow, and what kind of drone is this , then the beaver, i can’t say anything about it , in general, in the market of unmanned aerial vehicles, the percentage is 80% what is shown in the form of mock-ups and presentations, i have not seen the aircraft shown on television by serhii pritulov in flight, so i cannot say anything about this, i am not sure that it flies at all, why did i not see how it flies is not certain. yes, that is, you will not see it until you see it with your own eyes. you cannot be sure that it flies. you have doubts , of course, at exhibitions. i have seen many flying machines that are made of plastic and are beautifully painted and will never fly anywhere. i understand you well. then so far we only have a new york times publication that

says that these were ukrainian drones after all. well, you said at the beginning that ah, in principle, moscow city is not a strategic object and that ah, especially it is possible that this drone attack will not affect the general situation you said that, on the contrary, there should be a large-scale mobilization in russia, if it is a provocation, but if these attacks become regular and if not only on the moscow network, is it somehow able to change the course of the war in ukraine, the situation at the front, the course of the war is will not change, but the course of the information war will change, even very strongly, blows to the ambitions, blows to the dictator's self-esteem, this is always painful for the whole country, although formally we see that hitting the office of some ministries, defeating some accounting department. well, it is

more like a holiday than a tragedy for the people and excuse me, but if this will change the information war, the information situation, what will it affect? ​​well, for example, on the motives for general mobilization in the russian federation , they say, look, they are attacking us, we told you , of course, you should rise up and defend the state until we are all bombed here and you will fly to the village council and your store will be closed because you will have to hide. you don't have any. let's quickly go to the front, some such motives may have room for the enemy to switch to more active mobilization measures and make sense, judging by the fact that the western ammunition production industry has certain problems, no

one prepared for an intense military conflict of such a scale in europe , production is only gaining momentum, russia can respond promptly to the development of such events, only e human resources that will be poorly trained poorly equipped poorly armed but very numerous in order to counter the infantry in such quantities we have to spend simply insane amounts of ammunition that we have a limited amount of therefore, the meaning is not the enemy, thank you very much victor kivylyuk, colonel zaparov, an expert of the center for defense strategies, was on radio svoboda, thank you, i encourage you to subscribe to the page of radio svoboda, like this broadcast, the more likes, the more people will know about us, support our work in this way. and about the situation in the east

, the ministry of defense stated that in the kupyan lyman swatov directions , russian troops are storming and trying to pull the forces of the armed forces of ukraine away from the eastern direction of the offensive. and in all the eastern directions where hostilities are underway, the ministry of defense records an increase in shelling, here's what's happening. just now, we'll briefly talk about it. petro kuzyk joins our broadcast , callsign apostol, commander of the third battalion of the border offensive brigade of the national guard of ukraine . good evening. peter, we just spoke with an expert in more detail about the situation in the south, and somehow we did not dwell on the situation in the east, what is happening there now, and in particular in bakhmut in the direction where i understand you are, very hellish confrontations are taking place, very dynamic confrontations in certain areas, we

manage to move forward, eh, the ukrainian armed forces, eh, in some areas , we have to hold back and push their efforts. the fact is that this sector was pulled e weapons, tanks were drawn up, new reserves were drawn up by the enemy, in addition to these zekovski stormzits who replaced wagner, they drew up fresh personnel units and are simply trying to stabilize the enemy, they are trying to stabilize the situation, restrain the e-e advance there are areas of ukrainian troops where the ukrainian troops are advancing slowly, and there are strategically and tactically unfavorable areas of the lowlands, difficult areas where you simply have to defend yourself. this is due to the fact that the enemy has large reserves

of ammunition for artillery. is rapidly shelling our positions, our initiatives are using additional eyes, introduced tanks in unreasonable quantities, eh, i am speaking completely frankly, i have already said somewhere that well, it is very rare that i see when 10 ukrainian fighters go to a position that is being defended by 10 enemy fighters tanks well, such a concentration, of course, we immediately destroy a part of it and burn it down, but some part still gets to the positions and it does not make the work of the infantry easier, that's why the situation is difficult and very dynamic. the russian army there is persistently trying to stop the offensive in the direction of bakhmut, but

without success. and in general, this is the thesis that they tried to make a breakthrough there, but without success. russian troops in the direction of bakhmut are really unsuccessful. you can understand the success of the situation even if you manage to seize some area of ​​the forest belt there, or uh, it is definitely a success, but we measure success in the number of destroyed enemies and the number of vehicles , because there in a certain area, it is definitely a success when you enter the heights, accordingly, it is possible to work more effectively, but artillery to keep certain logistical routes under

fire control, but well, i talked to the prisoner after their unsuccessful assault, we destroyed a dozen tanks, he told me what am i saying, how many tanks do you have left? he says there are a few tanks left, but they decided to provide 14 more. but this is a small sector , the size of one village there, and they easily allocate 14 more for this sector. we are dealing with a large army, poorly motivated, i would even say unprofessional, but armed to the teeth, and in fact their tactics used to be when they worked with prisoners with guns , now the storm z, the use of barrier

factories is when people are not allowed there to retreat, and they drive them forward and forward. well, it causes certain inconveniences, and the enemy still has an advantage in the amount of ammunition for artillery in these areas. well, i’m already silent there about tanks and others because uh and what i’m looking at uh, well, they have there are certain problems, because this is because there are tank assaults. they are moving, there are two tanks of a new model, there are modern ones, and there are 3-4 junk tanks there that have been deconserved. but nevertheless, it is also a deadly weapon, the guns are almost of the same type , so, well, if in a fire there is not even time for a fight

to choose where the priority goal is and they mix like this plus a pleasant literally the other day the tulip system was burned down - this is a system of which few were made that were made under the soviet union and in moscow, including those left there, well there. up to fifty of the enemy and here we got such a rarity they left carelessly, we managed to stop half a bucket, we then finished the art , it burned beautifully, you could watch the enemy’s equipment burn for an endless time, but, nevertheless, they have this system and what they use there the latest tanks in this direction. such rare systems, the impression suggests that for them this direction is a very principled direction , because if bakhmut falls, all their propaganda will fall. excuse the propaganda story , and in fact it will become obvious the entire potential of the russian comity of their military. but

again it must be clearly recognized that we are dealing with a numerous, well-armed enemy , and therefore a dangerous situation. the situation in which our units operate is difficult, especially in those areas where they we prepared in advance, strengthened ourselves, occupied the commanding heights, it is very difficult to knock them out from there, and unfortunately, we lost everything, so we have to do it. well, we are working, i heard you about the situation in the east , we were talking petro kuzyk, callsign apostol , commanders of the third battalion of the line offensive brigade of the national guard of ukraine, thank you very much in saudi arabia negotiations on a peaceful settlement of the russian-ukrainian war will be held, in which representatives of ukraine, the united states, the european union and

key so-called neutral countries will participate india or brazil, the office of the ukrainian president has already confirmed the negotiations in saudi arabia after the american newspaper wall street jordal wrote about the plans to hold such a summit on saturday . according to the publication, the meeting will take place in jinda on august 5-6. countries , including the largest states are the usa, as well as developing countries, it is india, brazil, indonesia , egypt, mexico, chile, zambia, russia was not invited to the summit, as they say in the western diplomats , which in particular are referred to by journalists wall street journal saudi arabia was chosen as the venue itself because western countries hope that it will help attract china to this summit. beijing , as is known so far, first of all maintains close relations with both russia and saudi arabia, but at the same time it is certain it is not known whether the chinese delegation will take part in this summit

. by the way, it is also not clear for sure who will come. for example, the president of mexico has already stated that mexico is ready to join the meeting he is calling saudi arabia regarding ukraine, but in the event that russia is also invited there, muhammed feraja alla will join our broadcast. muhammed feraja alla, editor -in-chief of the information portal ukraine in arabic, expert on ukraine , arab relations. good evening, the head of the president's office, andriy yarmak, said that ukraine is preparing meetings in saudi arabia regarding e implementation of the peace formula of president volodymyr zelenskyi, tell me from your point of view how this summit in saudi arabia can end and the main question why is it interesting to saudi arabia why is it

i'm interested, once again, good evening. thank you for the invitation. let's separate these two different questions . there were turkish celebrations, chinese foreign celebrations, brazilian african celebrations, but there were no celebrations because the arab world adopted the main resolution at the meeting of the league of arab desires algiers in november last year, to occupy until the deadline this year, it started many changes in many reasons . we will list this question in the end. i think it is necessary to form the arab initiative for the saudi platform . the mana of the fortress is the first and the ambitions in which the saudi government is already ready to exit the format of a regional