[000:00:00;00] eyes when the russian empire did the same thing and how it ended everyone knows very well and this time it will end the same way in the loss of the russian federation in the black sea if in practice i immediately apologize for such non-professional in this field er fantasy question dmitry but nevertheless , if we talk again about these non-standard paths of the grain corridor, is it possible to imagine that the ships of such countries as turkey can enter and pass through this corridor in order to establish this grain corridor so that grain from ukraine was exported by these routes is this too great a danger and it is impossible to imagine it in principle or in such a case will russia be able to counter somehow or will all threats remain only threats you know this question uh how do you say not professional it is just a very correct question this question now

hundreds of campaigns by states are set, and not only because of course, when a ship enters the water area according to international law without violating anything, they must count on the safety of civil shipping, of course, and of course the insurance company in this case knowing the situation in the black sea, they can suspend insurance rates, and there are other public ones, and this is so to speak, taking into account the fact that the ship is in territorial territories , under which flag it goes to the country it belongs to, and if, for example, it is a vessel under the chinese flag , or the flag of the turkish republic or some nato countries. that is, it is a big question whether the russian federation will actually allow itself to attack the territory of these states, and everyone is asking this question, of course, because how

will the pirates of the xxi century conduct themselves the russian federation, no one can say for sure, they constantly turn on the crazy ivan mode, and in this mode they try to intimidate everyone. of course, in business, it takes into account all possible losses and, er, always equates risks with benefits, accordingly, if they see that the risks are high, they do not use them through these corridors and this is already a problem for us, because for ukraine sea routes are the main experts of the channels, which make up 90%. the export of the import of our country is therefore a problem as of now and there is no full-fledged solution as far as i understand because these are risks, that is, until someone tentatively checks it in practice, theoretically, you can simply calculate different options and that's all. yes, you know. taking into account

that they periodically enter, for example, these trade routes. and it is not clear, for example, what they did last week near the coast of romania and in bulgaria, they could leave three-footers there, but they could not simply replace them, because anything can be expected from them, and after that, of course , they will say that ukraine did it; moreover , they usually do it in order to to create a provocation and blame ukraine for this, for this, for the internal audience, this will be quite enough for the russian consumer of information, in principle. thank you for such explanations dmytro pletchuk, spokesman of the navy of the armed forces of ukraine , the captain of the third morning of the rank was a guest of freedom together, thank you, this is freedom of the morning in this

stream. important topics molotov cocktails in russia in the country record a series of attacks on military commissariats more than 10 cases in the last two days and about a hundred initially full-scale war who and why throws incendiary mixtures at the doors of military commissariats and what is the situation with mobilization in russia two belarusian helicopters crossed the air border of poland the ministry of defense of the country did not immediately recognize this fact, but as a result, the polish minister of defense instructed to increase the number of troops on the border with belarus and to send combat helicopters there, a provocation coincidence or vigilance intelligence, what does it mean, we will analyze it further, i will remind you that svoboda morning is with you every weekday from 9:00 , so as not to miss important streams on the svoboda channel on youtube, subscribe and ring the bell two belarusian helicopters crossed the air border of poland during exercises about this the polish ministry

of defense reports that it is interesting that eyewitnesses were the first to report the appearance of belarusian helicopters in the sky above the polish border. from the photos published on the network, polish analysts concluded that it was about mi-8 and mi-24, but the polish ministry of defense says that the helicopters flew at such low frequencies that the radars did not immediately detect them , so at first the polish armed forces declared that there was no airspace violation, the situation was clarified only when they analyzed the reports of officials on as a result, minister of defense mariusz blaszczak instructed to increase the number of troops on the border with belarus and to send combat helicopters there to the urgently convened meeting of the committee on national security and defense of the country, the incident was also reported nato in addition, the ministry of foreign affairs of poland summoned

a temporary chargé d'affaires for the affairs of belarus. meanwhile, the belarusian ministry of defense denies the crossing of the border and says that official warsaw makes such statements allegedly in order to justify the buildup of troops near the borders with belarus. but the volunteers of the belarusian district project say that the crossing of the border could have happened unintentionally and that the helicopters that the polish authorities and eyewitnesses are talking about could actually protect lukashenka the same day before in the morning he was flying to his residence in the village of viskoli what is 7.5 km from near the border with poland, the pilots could have flown into poland by accident, but a purposeful provocation is hardly possible , the belarusian district summarizes this way, because it would be risky considering the fact that lukashenko is nearby at that moment, the belarusian district also writes that there are no military exercises involving helicopters near the borders with poland all this was not in belarus, it should be remembered that it is happening against the background of the aggravation of the situation between belarus and poland after the units of

the wagner private military campaign were moved to belarus considering on this transfer and the polish government has already strengthened the borders with belarus with military and equipment well, it should be noted that recently oleksandr lukashenko justified , so to speak, the threats that were made that the wagnerites wanted to walk to poland, now we have valentin batrak, a military analyst, the director of the research center organization, who has joined us army of conversion and disarmament i congratulate you i congratulate you thank you for the invitation, in your opinion, what does this crossing of the airspace between belarus er and poland of these belarusian rotorcraft mean? so it is again was it a coincidence or what was it, and how did it happen that the polish military did not immediately notice this violation of airspace, in my opinion , two aspects should be considered here, the first aspect is

definitely the polish reaction , the polish reaction is evidence of the weakness of nato on today, and perhaps also the technical weakness of poland itself, because poland has been very seriously increasing its defense potential in recent years. at the beginning of the year, the politician called poland the new seapark powerp that a new great power has appeared in europe, that poland is buying hundreds of american abrams tanks and is buying patriots and buying f-35s and is buying hundreds of self-propelled air defense systems from south korea,

tanks from south korea that is, it is really a very powerful country. recently, a law was passed, well, at the end of the 22nd year, it seems to be called about uh, as about the protection of the homeland, something like that, but the law provided for an increase in spending in poland to four percent of gdp, and poland really did in july during an analysis was conducted at the nato summit, it became a leader in terms of spending and was recorded at 3.9% of gdp - that's 27.2 billion dollars in ukraine, such an amount was undreamt of in principle, and poland overtook even the united states in terms of gdp spending and here is such an incident and i will remind you a second time because we remember that a rocket somehow flew into the territory of poland and even killed a person or even two there, i don't remember anymore, but i remember that nato decided

after consultation that it was the debris of a supposedly ukrainian air defense missile, but i would be convinced it was before and still what it was. it was just a russian and nato missile, then we decided to hush up this scandal, so to speak , an incident, and now the situation looks exactly like that . well, poland, most likely, technically missed these helicopters, but at the same time, she planned, decided, and there are even such assumptions among analysts that she decided to hide this incident

. their own and belarusians and so on therefore, the weakness of nato is unconditional against the background of the fact that in 2015, turkish air defenses resolutely shot down a russian su-24 plane, and we remember that putin immediately rolled back , hit the brakes, and so on. if these helicopters were shot down, it would be decisive and ostentatious the power was shown, the power of nato was demonstrated, so it doesn't matter to russia. it doesn't matter if the helicopters flew there by accident, so that they did not intend to provoke , i think so and i think that they did not intend to carry out a provocation, and it is possible for nato that this was also an argument that it was an accidental flight and therefore it is not necessary to touch these helicopters. maybe so. but one way or another, one way or another, this

story will continue because it is an opportunity for putin for the kremlin to continue blackmail and provocations, and moreover, i will say that today there is a report from british intelligence that russia is creating a new group, a new connection for the war against ukraine. for example, i connect all this in one line, so to speak. and what they see in the kremlin is that nato is very, very carefully trying to avoid and very carefully trying to avoid any direct clashes with russia or shall we say with vassal belarus and this gives the administrator - i understand that, in principle , poland could react in this way. when they saw that helicopters from belarus were flying to the territory of poland, the military immediately

shot them down. that is, these are the norms. helicopters, yes, raise your own, for example, fighter aircraft there and so on , it would be possible not to shoot it down, but let's say the experience of turkey, when a plane was immediately shot down, it was a very powerful experience and it was an experience to things are not even nato, namely the turkish national experience, that is, turkey made such a decision for itself, and poland decided to act in such a way as not to annoy the enemy, so to speak , and this is happening against the background of lukashenko's threats, which you also mentioned against the background of the threats of the wagnerites to walk to rzeszów, yes, all this inflames the situation and carries out all this creates great tension, and this tension

is definitely for russia, uh, probing and development, so to speak, and at the same time just a provocation, even if it really took place casually, that is, in any case, in any case, the situation looks like , er, russia is putting pressure on nato, a weak block still remains a weak block. and let 's talk about the situation in the black sea. that the ukrainian forces attacked the ships serhii kotov and vasyl bykov, and later from the babel publication we heard that russian sailors are asking for evacuation, there are declaring problems, there are injuries, there are people killed , that is, allegedly as what the russian ministry of defense said

yes, it was unsuccessful, it does not turn out that the attack was definitely and definitely successful, what can be said, as of now, it is hypothetical to assume what happened there and what kind of damage it might be, what kind of damage, and the russian navy suffered damage again due to the alleged attack, this is the tactical level of the situation yes, i'm more concerned about the strategic level of the situation. i'll remember the july 14 washington post interview with zulzhnogo, where he clearly said that if i have something to hit russia, i'll do it, no one will stop me. means two things that ukraine has been underarmed time and time again ukraine is starting to look very carefully at its own capabilities in terms of creating weapons and attacking this is the military response of the military it is very good and very important that it was successful, so to speak , well in any case all the attacks that

took place from today to today in the black sea there and in the sevastopol bay and everything else. this is a psychological level of influence on russia, it is not, let’s say, such a powerful destruction , like, well, for example, like the liquidation of a cruiser moscow, that is, after the liquidation of the cruiser moscow, there were no such operations of this level, but also psychological pressure, and let's say, there is a real threat to the crimean bridge, a real threat to ships , constant attacks by drones. lack of readiness of the west to adequately arm ukraine, in particular for the liberation of crimea. this is what is very important. that is, we

have at the strategic level the refusal of the biden administration to support the liberation of crimea, the deoccupation of crimea on today, i emphasize today, and at the same time we see the maximum possibility of an attempt by the ukrainian army to take advantage of the national developments in order to carry out attacks , the result is powerful psychological pressure, because it must be connected, however, equally with drone attacks on moscow, and it is in the same situation eh and eh this is a high-precision filigree somewhere surgical work of the ukrainian army , but once again i want to emphasize that this is psychological pressure for now, but these are signals that ukraine is about to do such actions that will really to kill the russian strategic potential, it should be noted that officially in the usa

and biden, of course, they support the integrity of ukraine even before the occupation of ukrainian territories , but ukrainian experts. well, the military also talk about what they call the weapons that, including the usa, have not yet provided which would purely significantly without changing the situation at the front. and i also want to talk with you about the situation at the front, so analyze the general what is happening with fresh information and not the spokesman of the general staff, kovalchuk reported that the armed forces of ukraine knocked out the russian forces from their position near avdiyivka, so in general what is happening around the front, we hear that there is a difficult situation around bahmut , that there is still progress on the southern flank , and in the south we hear from british intelligence, for example, that that the russian forces there are generally exhausted, analyze, tell us what the situation is and where it is necessary to follow the main points in detail - this is really the exhaustion of the russian

groups. it is very good that in the russian groups there are sometimes victims, even evidence that not only from the fact that there is a shortage of ammunition and everything else, and even hunger has been recorded in some areas, that is, the situation there is difficult, but difficult not only for russian groups, but for the ukrainian army, and actually saying the fact that oil is moving forward - this is rather the merit of the military command , the merit of the stability of the defenders of ukraine and the readiness to take risks. the states have officially invited the head of the chinese foreign ministry to you and i emphasize that it is returned already returned this is the one who was replaced by er in qin gran who

at the end of july vinnyk and er ceased to exist as a politician and as an official, so to speak, what is happening, very powerful consultations are taking place and i will remind that the tsingan who was released is a person who was a supporter of compliance with international norms and the recognition of ukrainian borders at the level of 1991, and you are also a person who, in principle, plays against russia and very powerfully plays on russia, and this fact of his return is a negative, extremely negative episode of international politics, particularly for ukraine, and now consultations are taking place against the background of these consultations, uh, there are statements that the united states is preparing a new package , i want to draw attention to the fact that the new the package is exclusively tactical support of the ukrainian

army in order to hold on, it is all types of ammunition for air defense, for artillery, it is a small reconnaissance, let's say, hornet drones , it is, let's say, explosive munitions for overcoming obstacles, it is anti-aircraft defense, jave linda, others - stingers and so on, yes, that is, there is a situation such that the center of gravity of the war has been transferred to international politics , today at the international level, and what is happening on the battlefield is only, well, a situation that, so to speak, lives autonomously, yes, that is, everyone understands what is going on. exhausting and powerful bloody war and now the event is waiting and let's see if the ukrainian groups will reach the sea. if they do, there will be

big changes in the position of the united states and the leaders of nato countries. if not, the situation may be threatening because ukraine will be pressured to sit down at the negotiating table, and we know that putin, during a meeting with african leaders, has actually declared his readiness for negotiations and that such a situation will suit him or not. thank you, unfortunately i have to say goodbye to you valentina batrak military analyst the director of the organization, the center for research on the army , conversion and disarmament, or as a guest on our broadcast. we talked about the situation at the front and the political aspect surrounding it and the support of western partners. the situation in russia there recently, a wave of arson of military commissariats, the russian service of the bbc and the opposition edition of your story counted 14 such cases in less than two days. the arsonists were mostly older people, although there were also young people among the detainees

. bottles with molotov cocktails were used for arson, and most of the arsonists were called . the day before, unknown and incited to commit crimes, as they write in the media, military commissars were set on fire in russian kazan and omsk , st. points, this wave began, and in st. petersburg, on monday evening, a man threw bottles of fuel at the door of the military commissariat several times. later , he tried to ram the gates of the institution with a car . he was detained by the arsonist. the following details are sent to ukraine, according to the fontanka publication, e-e, in return, the husband was allegedly promised to write off the loan in the end

; the media presented themselves as employees of a bank or special services, for example, in transbaikalia - this is eastern siberia, a minor girl set fire to a military camp because there were allegedly saboteurs there who collected and passed information on the residents of the village to the ukrainian special services, this photo is published in russian by telegram channels . in some cases, they detained two people, such as in podolsk the arsonists turned out to be pensioners in their 80s, and in ulana, where a man and a woman threw molotov cocktails at the door of the military commissariat, in some cases the detainees even threatened with grenades for according to the calculations of the russian human rights project autozag life, at the beginning of the full-scale war, until the end of june, the military commissars in russia were set on fire at least 90 times , what happens next, let's talk serhiy kryvenko, director of the russian human rights group of citizens, the army of law, on our air , i congratulate you, mr. serhiy, i greet you, good day, and what do you associate with such a number of arsons of military commissariats, and were

they really provoked by calls from unknown people? but this is very incomprehensible to history, of course they understand because there is data that people were called, but it may be my own reaction, because in russia , since the beginning of the war, the rules and conscriptions have been tightened, and the responsibility has been tightened, and conscripts, as if disobedient, are being driven into such a very hard channel in order to how as many people as possible, the russian government had the nice opportunity to send eh to the army and to the front , and what kind of punishment in connection with such actions awaits the performers, well, for example, there is some article and eh that threatens fines or imprisonment well, it very much depends on how the authorities will recognize this, uh, there is an article of terrorism that provides for

a rather large life sentence, and the terms of the decision of freedom, and if during the investigation , someone who dares or something else is found писать с конечно ето может быть менеше сейчас датус as far as i know, the deprivation of freedom for those who set fire to military enlistment offices for a few years, eh. but it can speed up quite hard . across russia and to moscow as well doletayut take into account that the rules of mobilization have changed, the age has been changed from 18 to 30 years to 30 years, and also now the summons is not necessarily delivered in person, and it can appear in the system. the arson of the military commissariats and in general how

has the mood of the russians changed in connection with all these changes and drone strikes well , first of all, we need to separate what the rules of mobilization actually have not changed with an exception, well, they have changed in the main the amendment touched on conscription in our country, that is, in russia there is also conscription for short-term service, where you serve for one hour and then you are fired, everyone is sent to the reserve, and then you can be called up for mobilization . mobilization since the fall of last year. the authorities consider active recruitment for the contract. now , during this year

, they are not asking for volunteers to replace a----------------------------------------------------------. year, in fact, until the end of july, those who were initiated, they are called up, the rules of the summons and the rules of the engagement of summons are running out now, indeed, the new citizens can be limited if he receives a summons, or even if he does not receive a summons sent to him , the summons already runs out of him responsibility, fines were raised many times, a dozen times, like that. so, the age of the call-up itself was raised to 30 years, and the age of the call-up for mobilization was raised to 50 years, one at a time. well, for now , for now, such measures well, no matter how they are reflected the difficulty of connecting a finite number of recruits to the ass of military enlistments, this is what can be socheniyam, um, i think that they are not very connected, or if they are connected, then they are a single action, but until such a change in the mood of the russian society in the mood of the russian society

, the difficulties of the last changes in these rules we are calling for mobilization, and have you received more requests from russians asking what to do, how to avoid the spring draft ended on july 15, according to the amendment, they are accepted and i will act for the next draft of course, there was a lot more appeal concerning conscriptions. they asked a lot about these amendments, but now there is such a wave of decline until the next conscription , there will probably be interest. well , it won’t be that big, but of course people are interested because it has changed the strategy of countermeasures and here are the strategies as before i was running away from the military enlistment office and just didn’t get a job application. she doesn’t actually work now. yes, but i want to remind you that it remains to say goodbye to sergey kryvenko, the director

of the russian citizen’s human rights group the army was rightly a guest of our air svoboda morning with you on weekdays from 9:00 a.m. i am katya nakrecha and our whole team wish you a peaceful day until we meet and subscribe to radio svoboda in all social networks to be informed ten o'clock on the clock is the time to find out what is happening in ukraine and the world at this time khrystyna parubiy is working in the studio, the russians attacked kyiv at night, the wreckage of the downed drones burned in holosiivsk svyatoshynskyi and solomyanskyi districts in the latter , and the facade of the administrative building was damaged , the city military administration reported