tv [untitled] August 9, 2023 9:30pm-10:01pm EEST
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[000:00:00;00] is this the second attempt, after the antonov bridge, to take the bridgehead and then expand it and transfer and reinforce it? i think that we will not understand this sooner than a day , well, here is such a peculiarity, eh, judging by what the american institute for the study of war transmits that just this time supposedly experienced paratroopers were transferred by the russians to the zaporizhzhia direction, and there , on the left bank of the kherson region, less trained soldiers were transferred honestly to all. go to the institute for the study of war, they know. they they are often busy with what. they read these messages of the war codes and try to find some deep patterns in some random details. well , you know, it is much simpler in war . send them, but if they
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have already lived here for half a year, they have lived here for half a year of this war. i'm sorry, you can't call them uneducated, that's already there. there is no big difference, who among them spoke and who are contract workers i started to understand you, yevgeny, the question is , from your point of view , is there a chance to liberate the left bank of kherson oblast by the end of this year? predicted that it could happen in the summer until the end of the summer, but it seems that it is not so easy to do, is there any chance that it is very difficult to do, just as we do not allow the enemy to gain a foothold there , in fact, a 15-20-kilometer strip along the left bank of the dnieper is a kind of gray zone where the enemy cannot set up stationary positions and linger for a long time, because our artillery from the right bank simply carries it out, but in the same way their artillery, when
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it moves further from the shore, it itself covers the coastal strip. it can go to the right bank. e coastal area of the left bank and the islands, they can shoot from relatively safe positions simply by moving further, and therefore landing there and gaining a foothold is an extremely difficult task; moreover, this task was for a very long time completely unrealistic due to blowing up the kakhova hpp, blowing up the kakhova dam is a huge environmental crime, it is the biggest man-made disaster in europe after chernobyl, but purely from a military point of view. it was a very competent decision, they understood then that they simply did not have enough strength and resources to... in which case, to repel our landing on the left bank and the creation of a bridgehead, and they won themselves two months of time by arranging this terrible disaster and the spilling of the dnieper, because even
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when the water receded, the soil remained very strong it is wet, no equipment, even wheeled, especially tracked, would not be able to pass there, and in this way they postponed for at least two months any of our attempts to land from there and make a permanent bridgehead there, but it is possible that the soil is recognized as dry enough at the moment , and this is kozacha lagerii. it is indeed an attempt to return again to the plan that we had before the blowing up of the kakhovka dam , but in any case the task is very difficult and there are no simple tasks at all, although simply because, first of all, what is the actual number of enemy forces keeps on that direction , i consider it as one direction what is the south of zaporizhzhia, what is the left-bank kherson region , this one is the southern front ? we already occupy the south of the zaporizhzhia region , we go to the sea of azov
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, it is impossible to hold the crimea and we all perfectly understand what it means for the russians to lose the peninsula, so they know what the stakes are and they understand that their only chance to keep crimea is now to hold us, leave us only on the right bank of the dnieper and hold the so-called line 40 of the viking in zaporozhye, but if they succeed in this , then crimea will be theirs for a long time, if we break through the line of syroitin and land on the left bank, crimea is ours since the stakes are very high, then accordingly the resources to throw away are huge, therefore, to your question , is there a chance? i will say yes, there is a chance, or is there a guarantee , not even close, but given the seasonality , autumn is coming soon, then winter, is there any point here? return if, relatively speaking, to a certain month, the autumn rains are not a point in the calendar because the year does not fall, so we now have a window of opportunity, so far, so far, it is dry , roughly, it is 2 months, august, august
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, september, possibly october, because october happens very different year to year well, but when we say it like this in november , it will definitely be charged again, and when they charge , both sides will not be able to actively move, so where to put an autumn shower there will winter there, the front line will pass i can't help but quote the western press on the eve of the late evening of xi'an with reference to four high-ranking western officials who , according to xi'an, know the latest intelligence data and reported that a few weeks after the start of the long-awaited counteroffensive of ukraine, western officials allegedly continue territory, i will allow what cnn writes . in the next few weeks, they, that is , the ukrainians, will see whether there is a chance to achieve
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some progress or not, but what they really will achieve progress that will change the balance of this conflict, i think it is extremely unlikely, said the publication, a high-ranking western diplomat, do you agree with such an assessment, of course not and here is the key word. speaking, i already think that it is about an organized company. in general, i am very much against conspiracy theories. my life experience somehow teaches me that when something can be explained by incompetence or stupidity, it is a conspiracy theory it’s just not needed, but you know the number of very synchronized e-e publications with very similar messages that i’m already assuming that and maybe in this case it’s not just e-e let’s say this is a false popular opinion, namely the planting of the russian narrative is quite conscious e well, it's completely thought out. but whatever it may be, the point is that the authors of all
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these tests are either political scientists or diplomats, that is , deeply civilian people who, in principle , have never seen war, who do not imagine the logic of war . you remember this kind of misunderstanding maybe from a month ago, uh, which harvard professor of political science, that is, clearly, well, not a stupid head, in principle, so i counted how many kilometers we had walked at that time, uh, then i took a calculator and calculated that we should go to the crimea 16 years old, well, that is, a person simply does not understand that in a war, distances are linear, so that there are 5 km, which you will break through for several months and then. well, why do you simply not understand such really elementary things that any soldier understands, so, er, in those unique cases when the word is given to the western military, they
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place accents in a completely different way. for example, i will quote ben hodges, the former commander of the us forces in europe, who directly said that with the resources and the conditions given to us by the allies , the american army would not even start us , and our army not only started it, but has been successfully continuing it for two months and has already overcome it the first of the three lines of russian defense, this is the assessment of a professional, but yes, we are dealing with a very powerful information wave of non-professionals who for some reason invented a fairy tale for themselves that as soon as our offensive begins, the russians must flee , but it turned out that the russians are not obliged and from our side no one had such illusions, especially in the army but not so even from the rear and in the rear we all perfectly understood that the kharkiv miracle will not be repeated the essence of the kharkiv miracle last year was
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a surprise, we caught the enemy by surprise the russians, as often happens, underestimated us and for some reason did not think that we could attack in two places at the same time , but they were waiting for us near kherson. and by the way, they met us there in a very professional and competent manner, and instead, suddenly we began to perform in kharkiv oblast as well, and it turned out for them it was a complete surprise, there was no question of surprise here , it was enough to just look at the map to make it absolutely clear where the main blows of our offensive would be and the russians had eight months to prepare for their defense. by the way, in particular because of the way ours are now portraying disappointment, because of the way they provided us with their own equipment, how they provided us with ammunition, because of this, the russians had a lot of time to dig in three lines of defense , replace the kakhovka hpp, drive an inordinate amount of manpower there, and of course, they were preparing to fight us off, and that's why it was absolutely
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no surprise for us that they didn't rush in when the first leopard appeared on the horizon, so we were ready for the fact that there would be a very tough defense, that they would cling to every meter and these are their three lines of defense, we will not have to break through, but to gnaw through them. and this is exactly what we are doing, moreover, we are doing it very competently , what i mean is that despite the fact that we are on the offensive and they are on the defense, and their losses are two or three times more , this means that we have learned to fight we and we learned to fight exactly how we have to fight under these conditions and not how we say beautifully in the movies some of these political scientists saw the storm in the desert, only they do not understand that before the storm in the desert there was wind new companies in the course of which absolutely the prevailing american aviation carried away everything, and only then did the ground troops arrive in our country, the picture is exactly the opposite; in our country, the sky is under the control of the enemy
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, with russian aviation ten times more than ours, and even despite this, we are still on the offensive , we actually destroyed the first line of defense and already at least in three in some places, we went to the second line of defense, the so-called surovikin line, this does not in any way guarantee our victory on the second line, because it will be even harder than we are on the first line. we did not break through it. so there are no real reasons for this, but the fiercest battles are going on right now and they will continue . we dismantled the first line for a month and a half, and accordingly, on the second line, we should expect fierce battles in weeks, maybe even in months, and only somewhere in the fall it is clear that we broke through or they held, now there is no objective data that would allow us to make this forecast clearly enough, but if we try to make a forecast
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, the dynamics are in our favor for the time being now we will move on to the events near moscow. i want to clarify very briefly. you just mentioned the liberation of kharkiv oblast. it has not been the first day or even the first week. the ministry of defense says that the kupyan direction is the hottest now and that the russian forces are forming a fist there for offensive for a breakthrough, you see there now signs of the threat of re-occupation of the kharkiv region there, not about that, by the way, i did not say that it is the hottest there, it is very hot there, but still the hottest in the south, where are we next, and actually, the kharkiv offensive of the russians, where is he will have already called kharkiv kupyansky the maximum, so unfortunately this is a very competent decision of their command, which has learned to really soberly assess the situation , has already gotten rid of this complex of absolute superiority over us. they began to respect us as an enemy and fight as a serious the enemy and eh actually, they perfectly understand that
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no one will let them to kharkiv, moreover, they understand that most likely no one in kupinsky will give them their own eh capture of kupyansk and the line of defense along the oskol river is their program is the maximum, but even it i think they soberly assess that no one will give them but why do i say that this is a very competent decision of the next party, for them it is critically important to withdraw our forces from the south actually from the main direction of our next and here in this regard, unfortunately, they they achieved success. well, when they gathered a group of almost a hundred thousand people there, they hope that it will be held there by those two or three very tired brigades that have been standing there since the fall of last year. well, it was unrealistic and they had to throw some from those brigades that were preparing for the offensive in the south, they had to be transferred there to restrain the russian offensive . so, in this way, we can say that they at least fulfilled their program, they forced us to throw part of the reserves into the slobojan region instead of the south, and
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the program at most does not shine, and the question is already up to there are events near moscow, ah, an explosion that occurred at the zahirsky optics mechanical plant in serhiyiv posad, the plant produces high-tech products for military purposes, produced or produced there now , there are various information. and officially, it allegedly took place the detonation of pyrotechnics, but also on the spot. there were found some objects similar to artillery shells. from your point of view , what could it be? well, first of all, i would insist on the formation of the release. well, according to the photos that i have already seen. there is no way that this plant will resume its work soon, if at all it will ever be restored, some production shops are simply completely demolished, but the rest are badly damaged. and this is very important , so very much. i would say that
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it is not a random factory. vision, all sights, in particular, night sights for russian armored vehicles, and it has already produced guidance heads for a number of russian wire missiles. that is, it is one of the key factories of the russian defense industry, and the factory is very unique. duplicated, therefore, if it is really a coincidence, if it is, er , a coincidence, then it is a coincidence, absolutely happy for us. and if it is not a coincidence, then it is a brilliant special operation, well, the special operation is absolutely legal, because it is a military one object - this is a completely legal target in the case that it is us, well, at the moment there is absolutely no information, after all, was it a diversion or was it really just that they were smoking in the wrong place? and about objects similar to projectiles. yes, it is true projectiles actually er at this plant, in addition to everything else, in particular, krasnopol krasnopoli were manufactured - these are actually the only russian, let’s say conditionally analogs
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, for example, of western smart projectiles , the so-called ot excaliburs, for example. that is, they are guided projectiles precisely with guidance heads and er, it is very likely that it is precisely because of this was there composition of projectiles it was supposed to turn them into guided ones. well, how about it. you don't have to smoke in e-e and wherever you belong, i thank you for joining our broadcast yevgeny dyky public activists former commander of the aydar battalion company we talked about the events near moscow and also about the situation at the front, particularly in the southern direction, thank you well, in the southern direction, ukrainian operators are testing new kamikaze drones , the work is complicated both by the specifics of controlling new drones and by
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the activity of russian means of radio electronic warfare reuters journalists talked to a military drone pilot listen when i was transferred to this unit to work with buckets and every time i put on glasses i pick up the remote control and think to myself and my mother said that these games will not lead to anything good but here is the benefit of them about myself 5.8, he has other options at the moment. so far, we received a new batch of drones yesterday. and today we will do tests. we will see how they work at a distance, whether the connection is lost, etc. the drone that you receive must be checked because there may be some defective part somewhere or something like that, why the main task is always kamikaze because marik, according to his system, it hangs, you can let go of the remote control, it
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hangs with the background of such no, there should always be full control over its use in flight, and therefore it is reset at speed from the height of the peak, well, there are different ways, each in a different way, but it is done at hover speed, there is no plus in it. as you can see, well the cameras of almost all drones do not go down, as they have this problem, you need to plan everything how will you perform minimal movements to the right and left, the way your drone flies changes a lot, plus, somehow, the enemy has a very developed rebus system, it delivers him a lot, a lot inconveniences, you cannot work with one position many times because it reacts against them, it turns on its rap, jams our drones, accordingly , you constantly need to look for new positions, where
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to fly from, new targets, fly several times at one and the same goal is unprofitable because sooner or later they either raise their guns or, in principle, include it completely . well , what about domestic politics? andriy holodov is no longer a servant of the people today. sent the cold from abroad after the journalists of the radio svoboda scheme program published an investigation in which it was said that the cold left ukraine in january of the 23rd year through the porubne checkpoint on the border with romania, and since then he has not returned to ukraine and has not participated in parliament meetings, according to journalists , it is cold now, his family lives in cyprus, where he owns an estate and is engaged in business. well, in the meantime, the council appeared the new deputy is not instead of holodov, but instead of yury aristov, who was previously deprived of his mandate after it became known
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about his maldivian voyage, so instead of the arrestee , natalya laktionova became a people's deputy from the servant of the people at the time of the elections in in the 19th year, she was officially unemployed, and investigative journalists info info, but the lecture sister of the long-time assistant of president volodymyr zelensky, maria levchenko, referring to their joint photos. well , meanwhile, the head of the servant of the people faction davyt arahamiya initiates the expulsion of people's deputy bohdan torokhtiya from the faction and calls on him to mandate and also to return to the budget the money that torokhtii received as compensation for housing rent, our patience is not eternal bohdan torokhtii had time to explain his behavior during the war and try to at least somehow rehabilitate yourself as an option to sell something from your family's elite car fleet and transfer the funds to defense needs, this does not excuse anyone, but at least it makes it clear that the person realized his
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mistake and will not do it again, but nothing was done about it well, as before bigus-info journalists established that after the full-scale russian invasion , torokhtiya's family managed to change three cars. all of them were bought in the name of his wife alina levchenko precisely thanks to the posts of the deputy's wife on instagram it became known that during the full-scale war last year in august, torokhtii and his family rested in bulgaria, and what is interesting about the servant of the people faction was that they did not react to torokhtii's trip to bulgaria, but when david arahami and journalists asked him if he should go to torokhtii a week ago apply some kind of punishment for violation of leaving for vacation arkhamia said that the trip to bulgaria cannot be compared with yuri's trip to the maldivian islands, for which i will remind the aristos just in time and lost the mandate well, today in the servant the people have changed their minds, and we can see that they are demanding a rather flimsy mandate, but the deputy has already declared that he will not do this because the people say he was elected. well, just like that, the clouds
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have thickened over another deputy, oleksandr dubinsky, who informed him that he was aware of the deputy's suspicion that they suspect that he provided false information in order to obtain permission to travel abroad under the pretext of accompanying his father for treatment. a few days ago, people's deputies were searched. dubinsky claims that the case against him is a political order. i will remind dubinsky to the parliament also got caught as a servant of the people. but in the 21st year he was expelled from the pro-government party , later from the faction after the us state department introduced sanctions against the deputy. however, this did not prevent dubinsky from maintaining the mandate of the deputy until now. well, the day before i will remind one more deputy from the servant of the people anatoly hunka was kidnapped for a bribe in the amount of $85,000, according to the sbu , the deputy demanded a bribe from a private entrepreneur for the alleged lease of state lands, but today it became known
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that hunka had already been declared a suspect all this we will discuss the history of all these stories more precisely with the political scientist oleksiy koshel, the head of the committee of voters of ukraine, the political scientist has already joined our broadcast . i think that just accumulated over the past year and a half, criticism of the government was minimal, that is, everyone was engaged in a certain self-control or self-censorship, because actually breaking myths about the government in the conditions a large-scale war is not the best story. that is, we just now lacked political crises. by the way, the signs of a political crisis are already appearing, and this should be a very dangerous signal for everyone for everyone , god forbid that we have another political crisis in the fall. i think that journalists were silent about a lot of things, experts were silent about a lot of things, it's just that now political life has become somewhat more active and
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more is being said about, er, individual deputies. but first of all, i think that we simply missed a series of scandals because it is impossible to follow all the deputies the corps, especially since the work is now taking place in such a somewhat closed format , secondly, i believe that we will see a huge wave of scandals related to electronic declaration, it is not for nothing that the process of submitting reports by people's deputies is now being artificially delayed. i think we will see more than a dozen stories about new e acquisition during the war about new cars, new apartments , real estate abroad, a different story, that is , big scandals are waiting for us, but here it is important to understand that these are personal issues of a separate political force. i think that the future for the servant of the people party no longer exists, no longer exists, that is, it will obviously be a new party with new names and new approaches to the selection
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of candidates, but on the other hand, it affects the parliament in general, because there are no incentives for the further work of deputies of the servants of the people . i think that 90% of the deputies understand that their chances of getting into the parliament of the next convocation are close to zero, close to zero, and therefore no one will pay attention to either the party leadership or president volodymyr zelenskyi, such self-activity , such indifference, she will continue to have place and will mark the work of the verkhovna rada in general. this is a significant minus. i will only add here that the bill on the mandatory declaration of assets has already been approved in the first reading. and by the way, ukraine promised the international monetary fund to launch the declaration from august 1. it is late . well, i understand that the deputies intend to do this from september 1, so surprises are still waiting for us, so to speak, the thesis is not exactly on the topic, nevertheless, i wanted
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to talk specifically about each of these mentioned cases. for example, davita arkhamiya said today, the day before, he said that in vinnytsia he is initiating the expulsion of people's deputy bohdan torokhtiya from the faction. i think few people really knew about him, but thanks to this scandal , his story became known, and the authorities are calling on him to submit a mandate, but that a week ago, arkham i said that you shouldn't compare bulgaria and the maldives torokhtia and aristova what has changed this week shows something this is such a radical change in the rhetoric of the head of the faction i think the phrase bulgaria is not the maldives will remember her for decades to come. she is part of the lexicon of ukrainian politicians, but i want to remind you that davydorahamiya is actually there. he gave certain explanations. he said that everything was not right in the family of this deputy, where he went, there were some problems in family relations.
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legal proceedings, i don't remember the details, there were just certain things, there were certain explanations, and now there is a call to draw up a mandate, that is, it is not clear whether there really were grounds for leaving. was it just really a summer vacation? does the mp follow or support this appeal well, the question also arises, well, it will be his personal matter, he does not want to be chosen by the people, as it is a personal choice, it is his matter . i think that it will depend on how much he may have individual problems with the law, problems with business, and obviously everything - after all, david arkhamia, there are no such levers of influence on individual deputies, there must be a voice of the bank, the voice of the bank, which can say quite directly and rudely that if you do not submit the mandate , big and small troubles await you, but on the other hand
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, we should not to forget so on the one hand now these deputies are certain even weights for volodymyr zelenskyi, they drag him down, they destroy trust in the authorities in general, on the other hand, on the other hand, there are already so many scandals, and the next wave of scandals can be , that is, it is obvious that further scandals cannot be avoided. well, and later, obviously, a big purge will wait only before the elections when the president will say now we will get to the elections here simply in the story with torokhtii deserves special attention arahamia's proposal he says that they say torokhtii could be rehabilitated as alternatively, he could sell something from the elite car fleet and transfer the funds to defense needs. you know, it turns out that it’s so easy to break the law, then sell something and donate it to the army, and say well, i ’ve been rehabilitated, isn’t that how it sounds or how should we understand it then? and this
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is not the first example. we have a certain tradition that is sad enough and rude enough. well, i want to remind you that the former deputy head of the president's office , kyrylu tymoshenko. do you remember when he drove a car that was passed as a humanitarian car that was supposed to work on the front lines and they even laughed, saying, haha, well, it’s only a matter of one car, no , this car is now very expensive for the state, because such details really judge the level of corruption in the ukrainian government , because we are unable to control western money about many other things, and then i remember that kyrylo tymoshenko also gave something to the army, or cars or funds, this car in which he drove from home to work and from work to home, he gave her army to where this the car was intended from the very beginning and it was simply tymoshenko, it’s absolutely not followed the details, if he really handed
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over a car that was supposed to work there for six months or a year on the front line, then well, well, i can’t even choose bad words, you can’t even choose but such a format of indulgence when it is possible to pay off, this means that in many ways we continue to live according to the parameters of viktor yanukovych's period, we were also paid back then, and i remember that we were even paid off from fatal accidents , that is, a person hits pedestrians, pedestrians they die and later a high-ranking official says that the ball helped the family and studies and bought a car my house was renovated, well, you know this is the format of the middle ages but not everyone is bought off, you saw it must be so a bribe to an entrepreneur for the lease of land $85,000. here, by the way, there is an interesting moment, bohunko is also the head of the tsk for detecting corruption in the
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